Geometry of the Inner Orbital Center (Mercury, Venus, Earth, Mars, Jupiter, Saturn) and the Outer Orbital Center (Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune; Jupiter and Saturn sit in both centers): two mass-weighted planetary-group centers with the Sun at the vertex. When the angle is near 90° (Hansen uses 86°–94°), an AFP column is active, plotted as orange bars/columns in the US Stock Market Price Level chart below.
Physics Times the Turn; Economics Sizes the Move
Across thirteen AFPs from 1933–2024, the average cumulative gain is about 28%, followed by a 13% post-peak decline—near the 98th and 95th percentiles of duration-matched history. Physics is proposed to time the turn; economics to size it.
Thirteen AFPs, named by the year of the price peak (1933-2024, exact dates in the chart above): geometry window = first 90° event through last 90° event; prior/post lows and returns are his market annotations (visually dated orange on the DJIA chart below). Average prior low is about 2½ months before the first event. The fourteenth cluster is the 2026 AFP (not in the 1933–2024 sample). Appendix U dates its 90° Fridays as Apr 24–May 22, 2026; Aug 07–Sep 18, 2026; and Nov 20–Dec 04, 2026. There is no completed peak/post-low for that episode yet.
US Stock Market Price Level (Log) vs. AFPs, 1920–2024. A century of prices with orange AFP columns; column height represents intensity.
Each column is one 90° configuration event. A cluster of those bars is one Anxiety-Free Period.
2026 has three columns (late April–May, August–September, November–December).
Pre-peak ("boom") and post-peak ("bust") cumulative returns for the thirteen Anxiety-Free Periods since 1933, with empirical percentile ranks based on duration-matched periods in the full weekly Dow Jones Industrial Average history. The ranks measure the share of same-duration historical periods with less extreme returns. High percentiles show that gains consistently fall in the extreme tail, while declines do so in most cases.
From Orbital Angles to Schumann Standing Waves to Human Physiological Entrainment
Market impact is attributed not to the angle itself, but to a four-step causal chain ending in Schumann-type modes, the Earth's ionospheric waveguide ringing at approximately 8, 14, and 21 Hz. A 90° configuration is hypothesized to laminarize solar emissions, stabilize ionospheric height, and lock global standing-wave frequencies near 14–21 Hz; this coherence is then linked to analytical optimism, with overlap in the 13–30 Hz EEG band.
Hypothesized causal mechanism for Anxiety-Free Periods. The diagram proposes a causal chain from solar-system geometry through solar emissions, ionospheric stability, global electromagnetic standing waves, and human physiological entrainment. It is repeated at the start of each section, highlighting the relevant step; here, Element 1 is highlighted.
Established Space-Weather Physics and Speculative Solar-Geometry Links
Stabilized solar output and ionospheric height extend accepted space-weather physics; the solar-geometry and cognition links remain speculative. Intensity scales with outer-group clustering, measured by Sun-to-outer-center distance, which is offered as the reason 1937 and 1987 were violent while 2006 was mild. Intensity is already represented by the column heights in the US Stock Market Price Level chart above.
Ap Index, F10.7, and Sunspots as Fellow Travelers
The same geometry used to time AFPs is associated with tighter co-movement among Ap Index, F10.7, sunspots, and Oulu neutron-monitor counts when the outer planets cluster. Geomagnetic and radio-flux series are treated as companions of standing-wave stability rather than as separate daily trading signals.
Correlations of Solar Energy Metrics by High Intensity and Low Intensity Weeks.
Ap, F10.7, sunspots, and Oulu neutrons co-move more tightly when the outer group is clustered.
The Frozen Eight-Driver Orbital Model
An eight-driver orbital model—six frozen orbital-geometry factors covering planet-group angles, distances, and clusters, plus the predicted AFP and M-Spike series—was calibrated through late 2000 and then frozen. Using NASA coordinates alone, it forecasts the 14-week RSI from December 2000 through April 2024. Here, 14-week RSI means Wilder's Relative Strength Index calculated on weekly bars with a 14-week lookback: Hansen's proxy for multi-month price momentum and investor sentiment, rather than the more common 14-day RSI. The M-Spike is a short-term orbital-geometry factor—not an RSI or an AFP—computed from planet-group positions and read on DJIA/S&P prices as a multi-week M pattern: lift, mid-dip, rebound, and fade. About 88% of predicted turns match actual turns within ±1 week, versus a chance baseline near 0.25% (p < 0.001).
Predicted and Actual 14-week RSI for the US Stock Market, December 1, 2000–April 1, 2024. Frozen-model path versus realized RSI and log price; the 88% out-of-sample test begins here.
When Price Rises but Sentiment Does Not
When actual RSI runs below the geometry path, as in 2007–08, Hansen interprets the divergence as economically driven pessimism despite rising prices. Pre- and post-event weekly returns around 26 individual 90° events differ less than 0.01% (p < 0.0001).
Predicted and Actual 14-week RSI, Periods A and B. Arrow A marks the 2007–08
actual-RSI divergence below geometry; B marks an AFP in which both rise together.
The Limited Schumann-Resonance Test
US stock-market price and indicators for the 2017 Anxiety-Free Period and M-Spike episodes, June 05, 2015–December 31, 2021. The chart overlays market price, episode indicators, and ellipses A–D marking notable relationships between price patterns and episodic signals. It also shows modes 2 and 3 electromagnetic standing-wave stability, measured on weekends from 8 a.m. to 4 p.m. local time and lagged approximately two weeks.
Sunspots as the Longer Proxy
Solar activity is more stable during 21 of 26 90° events and more often declines by day +21 after an event ends. Shorter geometry-defined M-Spikes (53 cases, 1940–2023) show weaker weekly-return significance (p ≈ 0.19).
Mega Cycle and Phase 1 Valuations
The same inner–outer angle maps onto a four-phase Mega Sentiment Cycle. Phase 1, from 0° to the AFP at 90°, has accounted for about 32% of weeks since 1942 but 53% of returns, with higher S&P 500 P/E ratios but no corresponding growth differential.
Mega Sentiment Cycle (2004–2027), showing its four phases, the timing of Anxiety-Free Periods, and the changing Inner Center–Sun–Outer Center angle. Stock Index Price refers to the DJIA, S&P 500, or related ETFs.
How Panic Is Supposed to Spread
A Geoffrey Moore-style adoption model divides the market into Pioneers (~15%), Early Majority (~35%), Late Majority (~35%), and Laggards (~15%). Micro geometry is said to move the Pioneers, while the Mega cycle moves the slower half. During Phase 1, roughly half the market remains optimistic, so valuation alone is judged unlikely to force a crash larger than 30%.
The 2026 Live Overlap
Phase 1 of Hansen's Mega Sentiment Cycle—the long inner–outer angle from 0° up to the next AFP at 90°—runs from autumn 2022 until the first 90° column of 2026, projected for late April–May, with peak geometry-driven euphoria in late May, a second lift by early August, and a third close in early December. A moderate M-Spike overlaps the first column, making April–June the unstable hinge.
The chart (December 06, 2024 to January 01, 2027) shows the US stock-market price level (log) through July 18, 2025—the analysis date—along with the drivers of the three 90° configuration events comprising the 2026 Anxiety-Free Period and the M-Spike as of June 2025. Forward map showing the three 2026 AFP columns, overlapping M-Spike, May peak, and June hinge. US Stocks refers to the DJIA, S&P 500, or related ETFs.
2026 AFP Map and the Boom-Then-Fade Hypothesis
Hansen's sketch is: enter several weeks before an AFP, hold through the cluster high, exit on the Micro Market Resilience Index; he prefers equal-weight S&P 500 or the DJIA as cleaner sentiment gauges. That is a multi-month calendar, not a daily trigger and not proof that high valuations cannot break.
2026 is one such labeled window: three separate 90° columns, not a continuous anxiety-free bid into year-end. The first and strongest was late April–May (peak late May). An overlapping M-Spike made April–June the hinge—historically a dip zone, not a melt-up. A weaker second lift was dated August–September. The third column, late November–early December, ends the cluster; Hansen's average script is a boom during the bars and about −13% after the peak. 2006 barely rose, so an AFP is not a guarantee of higher prices. November–December is the close of the episode, not "anxiety-free until Christmas."
Use that map to watch whether price, Ap, sunspots, and standing-wave stability follow the boom-then-fade pattern. For next-week risk keep short-horizon Ap/Kp and real-time L1 solar wind—those still have skill. The Schumann link rests on one AFP and R2≈0.05; 2026 is the live joint test of cavity-mode coherence, solar-metric co-movement, and that price script. Do not size as if the mechanism were already proven. Hansen's paper is research, not investment advice.
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