Thursday, February 26, 2026

All Five ICT Entry Models Explained | JadeCap

The majority of traders lose money because they enter the market at the wrong time. In this breakdown, I will explain the exact entry models I utilized to generate over one million dollars in just two years, analyzing each one step by step. Although I have been trading for 14 years, it was only in the last few that I truly refined my strategy. It took nearly a decade for me to achieve consistency; consequently, I am sharing my experience and knowledge here to help you shortcut your own journey toward becoming a profitable trader. 

ICT Entry Models: Premium/Discount—Liquidity Raids—Fair Value Gaps—Order Blocks—Breaker Blocks. 

I. Premium and Discount
The first entry model is the fundamental concept of premium and discount. We utilize the Fibonacci retracement tool to define our specific trading range by anchoring it to a swing low and a swing high if we are bullish, or a swing high and a swing low if we are bearish. This allows us to identify the 50% equilibrium level, as well as the deep discount and premium zones.

Discount, Equilibrium, and Premium Zones: S&P 500 (1 hour candles).
 
After establishing these swing points, we wait for a retracement beyond the 50% threshold—into discount for buys or premium for sells—before hunting for an entry. Our objectives are typically a Fibonacci extension outside the range or the range high/low. In a bullish scenario, we wait for price to dip into the discount zone before targeting the previous high or a specific Fibonacci extension. Conversely, in a bearish scenario, we target the previous low or the extension.
 
Discount, Equilibrium, and Premium Zones: EURUSD (15 minute candles).

Regarding execution, candle confirmation is not strictly necessary. For instance, within a bullish range, any area below the 50% mark is considered a discount and serves as a favorable entry point. This model is particularly effective for limit orders, allowing traders to execute without being anchored to their screens. We enter long via a buy limit and place the stop loss outside the range. Because a setup is not technically invalidated until the initial swing point is breached, your stop loss should remain at that level to avoid being "chopped up" by price volatility.

II. Liquidity Raids 
This entry model identifies zones where "smart money" is likely accumulating positions: liquidity raids, commonly known as "Turtle Soup." First, we identify the specific liquidity pool we expect to be raided, such as a Previous Weekly High (PWH), Previous Daily Low (PDL), or session-specific levels like the Asian range.  
 
Liquidity Raids: EURUSD (5 minute candles).

A common mistake among novice traders is entering the market the moment a level is penetrated. Instead, we wait for a candle to close back inside the range. We look for a strong rejection followed by a close above or below the previous swing point. Only then do we enter, placing our stop loss beyond the newly created swing high or low. This ensures a superior risk-to-reward ratio, as it allows the market to signal an actual intent to reverse rather than forcing us to catch a "falling knife."
 
III. Fair Value Gap (FVG)
The Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a three-candle pattern where the second candle is so impulsive that the wicks of the first and third candles do not meet, leaving an imbalance, a "gap." We wait for the market to rebalance by trading back into this zone. 
 
Bullish Fair Value Gap: EURUSD (15 minute candles).

Ideally, the entry should be executed as price moves against the desired order flow. If we are looking to go long, we buy while price is actively dipping into the gap. While many traders demand extra confirmation, the most effective entries often occur when the market looks visually "weak," as this is where you secure the best pricing. 
 
Stop-loss placement can be aggressive (at the gap's edge) or conservative (at the high/low of the first candle). I recommend the conservative approach to give the trade sufficient room to breathe.
 
IV. Order Blocks
An order block is a down-closed candle prior to a move higher or an up-closed candle prior to a move lower. High-probability order blocks are those paired with an FVG. When an FVG rests immediately above or below an order block, it validates the level as a high-probability zone for institutional activity. 
 
Order Blocks and Breaker Blocks: Gold (5 minute candles).

We enter as the market retraces into that order block, anticipating a rejection. For instance, if several consecutive candles form an order block that aligns with an FVG, the bodies of the subsequent candles should respect that level.
 
V. Breaker Blocks
The breaker block combines liquidity concepts with order blocks. It is an order block formed prior to a raid on liquidity that is subsequently broken by a decisive move. If price sweeps liquidity and then aggressively trades through the original order block, that level transitions into a "breaker." We enter on the retracement back into the breaker's range.
 
Breaker Block: EURUSD (5 minute candles).

Stop-loss placement can be complex; I tend to favor a conservative placement because breakers can produce deep wicks that may stop out aggressive traders before the trend resumes. Often, a breaker overlaps with a fair value gap; in such cases, you might utilize the 50% equilibrium of the gap or the high/low of the original order block to set your invalidation point.
 
 
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Ultimately, whether you are utilizing premium/discount, liquidity raids, or gaps, success depends on proper stop-loss placement and trade management. A stopped-out trade does not necessarily mean the setup failed—it often suggests the stop loss was too aggressive for the market's inherent volatility.
 

Wednesday, February 25, 2026

March Stock Market Performance in Midterm Election Years | Jeff Hirsch

Beginning on March 2 (Mon) (Trading Day 1), the US stock market historically follows two distinct paths. Over the recent 21-year period (solid lines in the chart below), March tends to open positively with modest gains through March 4 (Wed) (TD 3) before weakness leads to a sharp dip around March 9 (Mon) (TD 6). While indices typically move higher from March 16 (Mon) (TD 11), the NASDAQ and S&P 500 usually lead this recovery into the final close on March 31 (Tue) (TD 22).
 
March generally finishes positive across all major indices.
  
In contrast, Midterm Election years since 1950 (dotted lines) show significantly greater historical strength, potentially as a rebound from a typically tepid February. This cycle produces a front-loaded rally where R2K small caps flip from laggards to leaders, often outpacing S&P 500, DJIA, and NASDAQ. Strength generally persists until the Spring Equinox, reaching a seasonal peak on March 20 (Fri) (TD 15). After this point, indices tend to lose momentum and close out the month with choppy trading. Despite these differing mid-month trajectories, March has a 64% win rate, generally finishing positive across all indices.
 
Reference:
 
 
  

Cosmic Cluster Days | March 2026

Heliocentric Cosmic Cluster Days (CCDs) and financial markets do not display a consistent polarity or directional bias. The 'noise channel' serves as a signal filter, with the upper and lower limits of the channel being empirically defined. 
 
Cosmic Cluster Days  |   Composite Line  |  Noise Channel
   
That said, swing directions, along with swing highs and lows also within the 'noise channel,' may correlate with or coincide with short-term market trends and reversals.
 
 For previous CCDs, click [HERE]. For background on the author, concept, and calculation, click [HERE].

Tuesday, February 24, 2026

Solar System Geometry Forecast (Feb 23 - Mar 4, 2026) | Frank Hoogerbeets

 Immediate Events:
February 23: Initial Geometric Convergence: SUN-VEN-NEP align, followed by SUN-VEN-SAT.
February 24: Lunar Criticality: Tight convergence of lunar geometry involving MAR and URA, likely triggering earthquakes in high 5 to 6 magnitude range.
February 25: Seismic Peak Window: SUN-MER-JUP align, potential for larger seismic events (±1 day).
 High-Alert Window:
February 27–28: Major Electromagnetic Peak: Secondary, intense convergence of MAR-URA-JUP grouping, followed by VEN-MER-EAR alignment.
February 28: "Planetary Parade:" visual alignment of six planets (MER, VEN, SAT, NEP, URA, JUP)
.
March 1: High-Magnitude Risk: Seismic response from Feb 27/28 geometry peaks. First of two "worst-case" windows where magnitude 8 event possible.
 Full Moon & Total Lunar Eclipse Convergence:
March 2: MAR geometric connector between JUP and URA. Combined with MER-SUN-MAR alignment, seismic response in magnitude 6 range expected.
March 3: Total Lunar Eclipse & Full "Blood Moon" at 11:33 UTC: Aligns with MER-VEN-NEP conjunctions, creating massive geometric cluster.
March 4–5: Final Seismic Peak: Following eclipse and MER-VEN-SAT alignment, final activity burst expected. Second high-risk window for magnitude 7 or 8 earthquakes, depending on crustal stress levels.
 
[EAR=Earth, MOO=Moon, MER=Mercury, VEN=Venus, SUN=Sun, MAR=Mars, JUP=Jupiter, SAT =Saturn, URA=Uranus, NEP=Neptune]
 

Planetary-Lunar Geometry, February 
23-25, 2026.
 
See also:
Frank Hoogerbeets' Solar System Geometry Survey (SSGEOS) operates on the hypothesis that specific geometric angles (i.e. 0°, 45°, 90° and 135°) and alignments between planets, the Moon, and the Sun exert electromagnetic and gravitational stress on Earth’s tectonic plates to trigger major earthquakes. Its primary purpose is to provide a global earthquake forecasting system by identifying high-risk time windows through the Solar System Geometry Index (SSGI), a proprietary mathematical tool that monitors planetary conjunctions and lunar positions. The methodology treats the solar system as a massive electromagnetic generator where celestial bodies act as magnets and the Sun as an armature, creating harmonic resonances that destabilize Earth's crustal equilibrium. This remains unrecognized by the mainstream scientific community, which maintains that planetary forces are too weak to influence terrestrial seismicity and that earthquakes cannot be predicted with temporal precision.

Monday, February 23, 2026

VIX Cycles: Forecasting Volatility Peaks Through 2032 | Branimir Vojcic

Seasonality within the Standard & Poor’s 500 Volatility Index (VIX) ndicates that volatility typically rises toward the spring, declines during the summer months, and ascends once more in October. Chart 1 illustrates the six-month cycle that dominates the daily timeframe, aligning closely with established VIX seasonality patterns.

Chart 1: VIX - 6-Month Cycle.

Shifting our focus to longer-duration significant cycles, we examine the two-year and 3.5-year cycles (Chart 2). The latter is formally recognized as the Kitchin cycle and is observable across numerous financial markets. Although these two powerful cycles are frequently out of phase, they generally succeed in capturing significant spikes within the VIX. By combining them (Chart 3), we yield a composite cycle signal; we observe that these two cycles capture the majority of the VIX's historical movements, notwithstanding a notable failure in 2005.
 
Chart 2: VIX - 2-Year and 3.5-Year Cycles.
 
Chart 3: VIX - Composite of 2-Year and 3.5-Year Cycles.

Naturally, various other cycles—both of shorter and longer durations—simultaneously influence price action. On the monthly VIX chart, the six-year and ten-year cycles are the dominant forces, beautifully capturing multi-year fluctuations (Chart 4). It is important to note that both of these cycles reached troughs in 2005, which explains why the shorter-term cycles were unable to produce a volatility spike during that period. 

 Chart 4: VIX - 6-Year and 10-Year Cycles.
 
The integration of these two cycles further underscores their critical importance for long-term VIX trajectories. Currently, the composite cycle signal forecasts a multi-year cyclical peak in 2032, a period which may correspond to a significant low in the stock market. Finally, by incorporating the two-year and 3.5-year cycles, we add essential granularity to the composite of these very long-term cycles (Chart 5).
 
Chart 5: VIX - Composite of 6-Year and 10-Year Cycles.
 
The next significant cycle peak and trough are estimated to occur in November of 2026 and throughout 2027, respectively. Following that inflection point, the VIX will generally maintain an upside bias toward 2032. Given that stock market movements are typically inversely correlated with those of the VIX, does this imply that the equity market will decline through October 2026, rally in 2027, and subsequently enter a secular bear market until the early 2030s?

Sunday, February 22, 2026

S&P 500 Hurst Analysis: Projection into Mid-March 20-Week Cycle Low

The current 40-week cycle began at the November 21, 2025 trough. Its primary components are two 20-week cycles, which averaged 16.9 weeks (118 days = Delta cycle) over recent iterations. 
 
 SPY (daily candles), September 2025 to May 2026.

The low of the first 20-week cycle is expected to occur between March 17 and March 19 (Tue–Thu).
 

 10-day cycle (7.6 days) low = Feb 24 (Tue)
 20-day cycle (15.4 days) low = Mar 3 (Tue)
 40-day cycle (31 days) low = Mar 17 (Tue)
 80-day cycle (57 days) low = Mar 18 (Wed)
 20-week cycle (118 days) low = Mar 19 (Thu)
 
The 40-week cycle (and 18-month cycle) trough is projected into late July (±).
 

Thursday, February 19, 2026

2026 Market Update: Crude, NatGas, Metals, Stocks, Cocoa | Larry Williams

Crude Oil
Larry Williams identifies a setup for potential decline, noting that commercials (via Commitments of Traders (COT) Report red line in the chart below) have ceased aggressive buying and are exiting the market, with the line declining after marking a recent bottom. 
 

The public (green line) has become heavy buyers, signaling vulnerability. His proprietary valuation indicator (gold line, based on Crude-Gold Ratio) shows overvaluation, similar to prior pullbacks. As a conditional trader, he views this as a setup but requires trend change confirmation. 
 
 Downward setup via overvaluation and commercial selling; imminent cyclical
downturn, low in March/June needing trend confirmation for shorts.
 
Cyclically (weekly charts), a downturn is imminent, with a low expected in about three months (around March or June), historically good for longs. He advises watching for sell signals in energy markets, emphasizing cycles for bias and timing.

Natural Gas
Williams was seeking a short-term buy opportunity but canceled orders due to lack of upward movement today, anticipating a possible bounce. He stresses evaluating the COT report to determine if commercials or the public are buying, cross-referenced with open interest for directional insight. While acknowledging a seasonal pattern, he deems it less significant than current buyer/seller dynamics via the COT.

Gold
Williams admits a prior bad call, expecting a cyclical high aligned with Bitcoin's peak, but Gold held firm. Currently, commercials (COT red line) are unusually buying the decline at high levels, a position not typical and reminiscent of past buy opportunities. He notes recent shorts in Silver and Copper have shifted.
 
Gold bullish from commercial decline-buys and March cycles; 
Silver similar with rally soon, upside late Feb/March on trend change.
 
Cyclically, short-term (red) and longer-term (blue) cycles converge in March, establishing a substantive buy point without implying a drop to chart lows. This timeframe warrants bullish attention, pending trend change.

Silver
Williams observes that Silver exhibits strong similarities to Gold, historically regarded as the "poor man's gold" but now akin to the "expensive man's gold." It follows a comparable cyclical pattern, indicating the onset of a rally within the ensuing couple of weeks from the time of discussion. Aligning with his year-end forecast, he anticipated initial downward pressure, followed by an upward shift around late February or early March. He emphasizes restraint in entry, requiring confirmation of an upside trend change—such as a trend line breakout or moving average signal—within that timeframe to qualify the trade.

Dow Jones, S&P 500, Disparity in Advance/Decline, and Why Dow is Stronger
Williams affirms a bull market persisting through 2025 into mid-2027, dismissing pessimists based on repeated past errors. The advance-decline line (net cumulative advances vs. declines) is at new highs while stocks are not—an anomaly he has rarely seen, historically followed by higher prices, providing a fundamental bullish rationale. 
 
 
Bull to mid-2027 via advance-decline highs; Dow stronger than

S&P on value focus, mid-March cyclical buy/rally.

Comparing charts below: Dow Jones futures show a higher low and greater strength than S&P E-minis, attributed to fewer "hot stocks" like the Magnificent Seven in the Dow, which suffered hits. 
 

The Dow better represents quality and value, with funds shifting there for protection over speculation. As a trader, Williams is long Dow contracts, not S&P, due to Dow's outperformance. 

Cocoa
Williams sees a buy setup, though not yet long, awaiting trend change. Commercials (top pane red line) are adding positions amid declining total open interest (black line)—indicating others exit, a rare bullish "bubble up." Valuation (gold line, Cocoa-Gold Ratio) shows undervaluation, contrasting prior overvalued tops. 
 
 
Rally from commercial "bubble up" buys and undervaluation; 
short-term immediate, major in June/July with trend entry patience.
 
Cyclically, short-term (red) suggests immediate rally start; longer-term (blue) aligns with short-term around June/July for ideal entry and bigger move.
 
See also:

"Prepare for US War on Iran within 72–96 Hours" | US Col. Douglas Macgregor

The US is on the verge of launching an air and missile war against Iran. It appears likely to begin within the next 72 to 96 hours. The goal of this operation is to inflict such horrific destruction on Iranian infrastructure and society that the leadership is forced to submit. A key factor in this timing is the Ford Carrier Strike Group. Having recently passed through the Strait of Gibraltar, it is expected to reach its position in the Eastern Mediterranean by Sunday. This group provides essential reinforcement for air and missile defense in Israel. Once this defensive shield is in place, the trigger could be pulled as early as Monday, February 23.
 
Surpassing post-Iraq benchmarks, a massive US mobilization—anchored by 50 stealth fighters,
150 transports, 35 warships, and 50,000 personnel—converges with peak IDF combat and rescue
readiness to signal a 90% strike certainty within a Trump-projected weekend window.

The political objective is not necessarily regime change, but rather forcing Iran to comply with a specific list of demands originally outlined by Prime Minister Netanyahu and adopted by the Trump administration (total nuclear cessation, ballistic missile dismantlement, abandonment of the Axis of Resistance including Hezbollah and various Shiite populations in the Emirates, Yemen, and the Gulf).

It is unlikely that Iran will submit. Unlike the 12-day conflict seen last June, this would be a "fight to the finish." Iran has built immense redundancy into its command-and-control structures. If the leadership is neutralized, local commanders have standing orders to continue missile launches automatically. With an arsenal of thousands of missiles, Iran could potentially sustain launches 24 hours a day for weeks. Furthermore, their air defenses—potentially bolstered by untested but advanced Chinese technology—could prove far more capable than anticipated. They claim the ability to identify targets at ranges of 700 kilometers, reaching deep into Iraq, Syria, and the Caucasus.

Tehran’s blockade of the Hormuz choke point—the artery for 20% of global petroleum
—leveraged alongside Sino-Russian naval maneuvers, would catalyze a systemic global
meltdown of vertical oil prices and runaway inflation.
 
This conflict will not be a "cakewalk." We must anticipate significant casualties—potentially hundreds, if not a thousand, if things go poorly. Beyond the immediate battlefield, the geopolitical consequences are vast. We should expect Iran to activate proxies throughout the region and perhaps even in the Western Hemisphere via cooperation with drug cartels. Turkey is increasingly hostile toward Israel and the US meddling in what they consider their "backyard." A war would create a massive refugee crisis that Turkey desperately wants to avoid, potentially pushing them to provide direct or indirect support to Tehran. Russia and China have invested billions in Iran. While they may not intervene directly, they will likely provide the Iranians with every possible resource to ensure they survive the onslaught.

This war is tied to a larger struggle over the future of the global financial system. We are seeing the rise of BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, and others), which represents an alternative to Western institutions like the IMF and the World Bank. If the US appears militarily weak or unable to achieve its objectives in Iran, it could accelerate the collapse of the US bond market. Experts have long warned that if the 10-year Treasury yield hits the 5% mark, it could signal "game over" for the current global financial order.

Wars are easy to start but notoriously difficult to end. If we maintain the position that we will not negotiate—labeling every opponent as a "Stalin" or "Hitler"—we leave ourselves no path to peace other than unconditional surrender, which is rarely achieved through airpower alone. We risk entering a conflict that we cannot stop, resulting in a strategic defeat similar to Vietnam.

 
 
Munich Security Conference, February 14, 2026.
 
See also:

One Trading Strategy for Life: The "Daily Sweep" | JadeCap

The 'Daily Sweep' strategy changed my life forever, powering me to a world-record $2.5 million payout from Apex Trader Funding in April 2024. Before mastering this methodology, I was caught in the cycle of 'strategy hopping,' constantly jumping from one system to the next. That ended here. This approach is the last one I will ever need, and my goal today is to teach it to you in full. By the end of this, you’ll have a clear, mechanical system to help you escape the noise and finally achieve consistent profitability.
 
» Mark all hourly swing points that haven't yet been traded to from yesterday leading up to 8AM.
If we are trading beyond yesterday's price action, use the next most recent day. «
 
Step One: Identifying Hourly Swing Points
Step one is deceptively simple, yet its precise execution is mandatory for the rest of the system to work. Every morning at 8:00 a.m. EST—ninety minutes before the US equity open—I sit down to map out the field. I meticulously mark every hourly swing point from the previous day leading up to the current session. If price action has moved beyond yesterday's range, simply pull data from the next most recent day. This pre-market routine ensures that by 9:30 a.m., I have a crystal-clear map of where liquidity is resting.  

» By 9:30 a.m., I have a crystal-clear map of where liquidity is resting. «  
Higher highs and higher lows or lower highs and lower lows?
 
It is critical to perform this analysis exclusively on the one-hour timeframe. While intraday trading involves lower timeframes, we require the one-hour chart to serve as our higher timeframe anchor to guide our decision-making. In the context of the Daily Sweep model, the hourly chart provides the necessary indication of when we can begin hunting for specific setups. We do not descend into lower timeframes until we receive high-level confirmation on the hourly chart.

To understand this step, one must first master the technical definition of a swing point. A swing low is defined by a three-candle pattern where a specific candle’s low is flanked by two candles with higher lows. Once the third candle in the sequence closes at the top of the hour, the central low is officially validated as a bullish swing point. Conversely, a swing high occurs when a central candle is flanked by two candles with lower highs. Again, we must wait for the closure of the third hourly candle before that peak is confirmed as a bearish swing point.

These swing points are vital because they allow us to identify market structure. When the market creates higher highs and higher lows, it is objectively bullish; lower highs and lower lows indicate a bearish trend. In a trending market, opposing swing points will often fail as the trend continues. However, the market rarely moves in a linear fashion, and we frequently see short-term "runs" on these swing points—where the market raids a low to gather liquidity before continuing higher. As traders, we are not seeking 100% certainty; rather, we are making a high-probability educated guess, ideally with a 60% to 70% success rate, to align ourselves with the higher timeframe trend.

Step Two: The Swing Failure Pattern (SFP)
Once you have identified your major swing points, you must integrate the concept of the Swing Failure Pattern (SFP). Without this secondary layer, the identified swing points are merely arbitrary lines on a chart. An SFP occurs when the price briefly breaches a significant swing high or low but reverses rapidly, failing to sustain momentum and closing back within the previous range. This phenomenon indicates a liquidity grab or a potential trend reversal.

Bullish and Bearish Swing Failure Patterns: When price briefly breaks a significant swing high or low but quickly reverses, 
failing to sustain the move and closing back within the previous range, indicating a potential trend reversal or liquidity grab. 
Why do they work? Instead of trying to anticipate the reversal, this provides confirmation that it is actually happening. 

In the marketplace, liquidity often clusters around these swing points. Traders entering "long" positions typically place their protective stop-loss orders just below a swing low, while "short" sellers place theirs above a swing high. The SFP allows us to capitalize on the moment these stop-losses are triggered. We are looking for the market to run through a swing point and then show a definitive rejection in the opposite direction.

A key distinction must be made: the mere breach of a level is not an SFP. We require a strong closure back within the range for confirmation. For instance, if the market raids a swing low, we do not simply buy the moment the level is touched; we wait for a bullish hourly candle to close back above that previous low. This provides confirmation that the "Smart Money" has entered the market, allowing us to ride their coattails rather than attempting to front-run the move.
 
"In professional trading, you do not want to be the first person rushing through the door. Those who rush in first are often the ones who get shot. Waiting for confirmation allows you to capture the 'meat' of the move rather than obsessing over 'top-ticking' or 'bottom-ticking' the market."

My mentors at a major Chicago trading firm emphasized that this filter saves significant capital. In my earlier years, I lost thousands of dollars attempting to trade "Turtle Soups" or liquidity raids by entering as soon as a level was breached. I would often watch the price drift slightly further, trigger my stop loss, and only then move in my intended direction. By waiting for the hourly SFP closure, we ensure that the lows or highs we are trading against are protected by confirmed institutional activity.

Intraday Execution and Case Studies
Once an SFP is confirmed on the one-hour chart, you can transition to lower timeframes—such as the one-minute, five-minute, or fifteen-minute charts—to refine your entry. The goal is to anticipate that the next several hourly candles will trade in the direction indicated by the SFP.

 NASDAQ (hourly charts): Setups and Trading Examples.

Looking at the NASDAQ (NQ) as an example (charts above), we can observe this pattern nearly every day. On a typical morning, if we identify a swing low and witness an SFP at the 8:00 a.m. candle closure, we can anticipate a bullish expansion during the New York session. In one specific instance, an SFP provided a move with a 3R (three times the risk) return on the hourly chart alone. If a trader were to refine that entry on a five-minute chart with a tighter stop-loss, the reward-to-risk ratio could be significantly higher.

All Five ICT Entry Models
: Premium/Discount, Liquidity Raids, 
Fair Value Gaps, Order Blocks, and Breaker Blocks. 
 
It is important to note certain market conditions, such as holiday gaps. For example, during the period surrounding Thanksgiving and Black Friday, the lack of overnight data can make SFPs "sketchy" or unreliable. In such cases, it is often prudent to wait for the market to return to normal volume. However, on standard trading days, the pattern is remarkably consistent. Whether the market is trending or ranging, plotting the previous day's swing points and waiting for a session-open SFP—during either the London or New York sessions—provides a crystal-clear roadmap.  
 

ooo00O00ooo
 
I encourage you to perform your own "homework" by backtesting this on your charts. Plot your hourly swing points, identify the swing failure patterns, and observe how the subsequent hourly candles behave. This is the exact strategy I utilized to generate millions of dollars. While many traders have access to profitable strategies, they often fail due to a lack of discipline. I struggled for ten years before I was able to make this work, but by sticking to this one clear system, you can finally overcome the cycle of inconsistency.