The Williams Commercial Index (WILLCO) | Larry Williams

The Williams Commercial Index is Larry Williams' measure of commercial positioning for swing trades and for position trades. The Commercials are the producers, processors, and merchants who use futures to hedge their own business. WILLCO is derived from the weekly Commitments of Traders (COT) report. Since 1975, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) publishes that report every Friday. The positions in it are the positions held on the preceding Tuesday. WILLCO does not say whether the Commercials are net long or net short in contracts. It says where this week's commercial position sits against their own last 26 weekly reports. A reading of 100 can occur while the Commercials are still net short. It means only that this week is the most bullish their position has been in those 26 weeks.

 

 Commercials versus total Open Interest.

 

The calculation has two steps. Commercial Longs minus Commercial Shorts is divided by total Open Interest (OI). That result is called R. Dividing by Open Interest puts a large market and a small market on the same footing. R can be negative. It is negative when the Commercials are net short. WILLCO then ranks this week's R against 26 weekly readings (t). Those readings are the current report and the 25 reports before it. No later report is used. The rank runs from 0 to 100. A reading of 100 means this week's R is the highest of those 26 weeks. A reading of 0 means it is the lowest. If the highest R and the lowest R are the same number, WILLCO is set to 50.

Weekly CFTC Legacy COT report, Futures Only.

The calculation uses three figures from the CFTC Legacy COT report, Futures Only. Those figures are Commercial Longs, Commercial Shorts, and total Open Interest. Each reading is placed on the Friday the report is released, normally at 3:30 p.m. Eastern Time. It is not placed on the Tuesday when the positions were counted. If a report is delayed or missing, the chart keeps the last published reading. It does not estimate the missing week, and it does not invent a number.

 

   High WILLCO = Low Price: Prepare to Buy | Low WILLCO = High Price: Prepare to Sell.

Eight Weekly WILLCO Charts: Equities, Metals, Energy, and Agriculture

Eight weekly updating WILLCO charts at the bottom of this blog cover equities, metals, energy, and agriculture: the S&P 500 (ES), Gold (GC), Crude Oil (CL), Soybeans (ZS), Chicago Wheat (ZW), Sugar (SB), Coffee (KC), and Cocoa (CC). 

 

The upper part of each chart shows weekly price bars for the front-month continuous contract. Those prices are not adjusted when one contract expires and the next one takes its place. A weekly bar uses the first session's open, the high and the low of the week, and the last session's close. The change from an expiring contract to the next one can leave a gap even though the market itself did not move. A break of the previous week's high or low that comes only from that gap should be treated with caution.

The lower part of each chart shows WILLCO on a fixed scale from 0 to 100. A green band marks 80 to 100. A red band marks 0 to 20. A dotted line marks 50. Each chart shows the latest 69 weeks. The calculation also uses 26 earlier weekly reports. Those reports lie off the left side of the chart and are not drawn. During the week that is still open, the price bar is updated as new prices arrive. WILLCO stays on the last published reading until the next Friday.

  

High WILLCO = Low Price: Prepare to Buy | Low WILLCO = High Price: Prepare to Sell. 

Veteran traders, analysts and economists consider the Commercials (producers, processors, merchants, and hedgers) the true "Smart Money" because they have deep physical or fundamental insight into the underlying commodity and fade the retail and speculative trends at major market turns. However, Non-Commercial Traders (Large Speculators, Managed Money) are most commonly referred to as the "Smart Money" because they represent large Institutional Players, Hedge Funds, and Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs) trading purely for financial profit.

Why WILLCO

A conventional COT index ranks the raw commercial net, which is Commercial Longs minus Commercial Shorts, and it usually ranks that net over a year or more. The index most charts call the COT Index does this over 156 weeks. WILLCO changes both parts. It divides the net by Open Interest, and it ranks that result over the last 26 weeks only. Dividing by Open Interest keeps a change in the size of the market from distorting the reading. A large market and a small market can then be read on the same scale from 0 to 100.

In the agricultural markets, the Commercials are often net short, because producers sell futures against the crop they grow. The raw net can therefore look bearish week after week, even in a week when the Commercials are buying part of those shorts back. WILLCO does not treat that standing net short as a sell signal. It records whether this week's position is more bullish, or more bearish, than the Commercials' own last 26 weeks. Speculators hold the other side of these same contracts. Their position is largely the mirror of the commercial position, so adding it does not supply a separate fact. Every market uses the same scale from 0 to 100. A reading still belongs to that market alone. An extreme in Wheat says nothing about Soybeans.

 

Trading Signals and Execution

Only the two extreme zones produce a signal.

► From 80 to 100, the commercials' position is among the most bullish it has been in the last 26 weeks. This reading appears while the price is still low. The signal is to buy, or to cover shorts, and only after the price rises through the high of the previous week.
►From 0 to 20, the commercials' position is among the most bearish it has been in the last 26 weeks. This reading appears while the price is still high. The signal is to sell, or to go short, and only after the price falls through the low of the previous week. 
►From 20 to 80 there is no signal. A reading near 50 does not point up or down.

A high WILLCO does not mean the Commercials are net long, and a low WILLCO does not mean they are net short. A reading of 100 means this week's commercial net, relative to open interest, is the highest of those 26 weeks, even when that net is still short. A reading of 0 means it is the lowest of those 26 weeks, even when that net is still long. WILLCO supplies the condition. The price supplies the signal to act.

The buy comes when a reading of 80 or higher is followed by a rise through the high of the previous week. The sell, or the short, comes when a reading of 20 or lower is followed by a fall through the low of the previous week. There is no need to wait for WILLCO to turn down from a high reading, or to turn up from a low one. A fall from 95 to 85 is still inside 80 to 100, so the condition is still the buy.

 Time for a bounce in Wheat (ZW).

The Commercials are often early. In Soybeans, WILLCO entered the zone from 80 to 100 in June, while the price was still about 1,050 to 1,100 cents a bushel, and the price later rose toward 1,350. WILLCO then entered the zone from 0 to 20 in September, near that high, and the price later fell toward 1,200. A gap that comes only from the change of contract should be treated with caution. A signal in one market is not a signal in another. A high reading is not an overbought condition to sell against, and a low reading is not an oversold condition to buy against. The upper extreme is the bullish condition. The lower extreme is the bearish condition.

 

Reference:

Larry Williams (2005) - Trade Stocks and Commodities with the Insiders: Secrets of the COT Report.

The 8 Possible Range Patterns in Any Chart | Larry Williams

In any chart, there are only eight possible range patterns, and each bar can produce only four possible outcomes relative to the preceding bar:

(1.) Down Range: The current bar's high is lower than the previous bar's high, and its low is lower than the previous bar's low.
(2.) Up Range: The current bar's high is higher than the previous bar's high, and its low is higher than the previous bar's low.
(3.) Inside Range: The current bar's high is lower than the previous bar's high, and its low is higher than the previous bar's low. On a daily S&P 500 chart, this occurs approximately 12% of the time.
(4.) Outside Range: The current bar's high is higher than the previous bar's high, and its low is lower than the previous bar's low. On a daily S&P 500 chart, this also occurs approximately 12% of the time.

Each bar can produce only one of four possible outcomes: an up range, a down range, an inside range, or an outside range.

 

Price action cannot produce any other range configuration. Each of these four range patterns can, in turn, form either an up bar or a down bar, giving us eight possible range patterns:

(1.) Down Range, Down Day
(2.) Down Range, Up Day
(3.) Up Range, Down Day
(4.) Up Range, Up Day
(5.) Inside Range, Down Day
(6.) Inside Range, Up Day
(7.) Outside Range, Down Day
(8.) Outside Range, Up Day

These eight patterns can serve as the basis for some powerful trading strategies. Larry Williams presented back-tested statistics for trading them in the S&P (ES) using a simple entry-and-exit methodology. He emphasized that these were not necessarily the best entry or exit techniques; he chose them because they were straightforward to understand and program. The objective was simply to identify where a directional bias or statistical advantage might exist in the market.

Entry: At the market close.
Stop Loss: Based on a fixed dollar amount.
Exit: At the first profitable opening.

Williams's message was that traders could go home and verify the results using their own software. His back-test of the E-mini S&P 500 futures, covering 2002 through 2015, produced the following results:

The Down Range, Down Close pattern (No. 1) offered the greatest net-profit potential as a short-term long setup. This was the central takeaway from the presentation.

Williams then examined the Down Range, Down Close setup in greater detail to determine which day of the week offered the best trading opportunities. The statistics supported the "Turnaround Tuesday" concept.

Further analysis by trading day of the month identified the 1st, 17th, 19th, 22nd, and 23rd as the most favorable dates, producing 92% winning trades and $47,500 in net profits across 107 trades.

He also found that a Down Range with a larger-than-average range outperformed one with a smaller range:

Larger Range: $205 average profit, 80% winners.
Smaller Range: $33 average profit, 85% winners.

Another distinction was whether the close was naked or covered. A naked close means that the bar closes outside the previous day's range. A covered close remains within the previous day's range. The results favored the naked close:

Naked Close: $155 average profit, 83% winners.
Covered Close: $30 average profit, 83% winners.

Finally, combining range size and close location produced the following results:

Down Range, Larger Range, Covered Close: $60 average profit, 83% winners.
Down Range, Larger Range, Naked Close: $215 average profit, 85% winners.

 

Reference:

Larry Williams (2014) - Las Vegas Traders Expo Presentation.

Larry Williams (2015) - Presentation in Moscow.

 

See also:

 Larry Williams (2022) - How Markets Move: The Natural Cycle of Range Change.

TPR (2026) - Trading Toby Crabel Patterns.

ES, NQ, and YM vs. the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow McClellan Oscillators

Three widgets in the blog's right-hand column now plot the ES against the S&P 500 McClellan Oscillator, the NQ against the Nasdaq McClellan Oscillator, and the YM against the Dow Jones McClellan Oscillator. Data are updated and charted daily.

The McClellan Oscillator is one of the most useful instruments for examining the internal condition of an equity market. It measures something conventional price charts cannot reveal directly: whether an index's movement is supported by broad market participation or driven by a relatively small group of stocks, as reflected in advance–decline metrics. The widgets independently calculate these figures for the S&P 500, the Nasdaq 100, and the Dow 30 after the market close (ET) and plot breadth signals: bullish and bearish zero-line crossings, divergences, and breadth thrusts. Moving the grey dashed vertical sliders across the charts displays the corresponding metrics for each date in the tables below them.

 

See also:

Trading the McClellan Oscillator: A Practical Guide.

S&P 500 (ES) vs. Geocentric and Heliocentric Bradley Indices

Two updating widgets in the blog's right-hand column now plot the daily S&P 500 (ES) against the Geocentric and Heliocentric Bradley Indices, each with a 45-day forward preview. Moving the vertical dashed sliders across the charts shows the exact dates.

 

See also:
TPR (November 5, 2026) - 2027 Turning Points in the Geocentric and Heliocentric Bradley Indices.

S&P 500 (ES) vs. Detrended Seasonal Composite Cycle

An updating widget in the blog's right-hand column now plots the daily S&P 500 (ES) against its detrended seasonal composite, with a 45-day forward preview. Moving the vertical dashed slider across the chart shows the exact dates.

The detrended seasonal composite equally weights three seasonal averages, calculated from daily closing prices for completed years only (1928–2025): Annual Seasonal Cycle of all years (98), Midterm Election Year Cycles (24), and the years of the Decennial Cycle ending in 6 (9). Each historical year is normalized to its own preceding year-end close, then detrended by subtracting a straight-line progression to that year's closing level. This preserves the shape of each year's price trajectory while removing its net gain or loss. Consequently, the direction of movement matters more than the absolute price level across all seasonal composites. 

 

See also:

TPR (October 26, 2026) - S&P 500 November Seasonality in Midterm Election Years.

The End of the West or the Rebirth of Western Civilization? | Lorenzo Carrasco

The Great Confusion About the Fate of the West 

Amid the profound transformations of the world order, aggravated by the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, two seemingly opposing interpretations are competing to define the meaning and destiny of Western civilization. On one side are those who, faced with the decline of Anglo-American hegemony and the rise of Eurasian powers, proclaim the inevitable end of the West, which would be replaced by a new world order dominated by China, Russia, and other centers of power. On the other side are those who seek to preserve the supremacy of the so-called "Collective West," identifying the survival of Western civilization with the preservation of its hegemonic political, military, and financial structures.

Although antagonistic, both interpretations fall into the same fundamental confusion: they identify a civilization thousands of years old with a historically transitory power structure. Western civilization was not born with NATO, the European Union, or Wall Street. Its roots go back to Greek philosophy, Roman law, and, decisively, the civilizational synthesis brought about by Christianity. Likewise, Europe and the European Union are not synonymous. The former is a historical reality composed of nations, cultures, and spiritual traditions that have endured for centuries. The latter is a contemporary political and institutional construction which, by progressively concentrating supranational powers, has been justifiably accused of distancing itself from the interests and aspirations of European peoples.

The Europe of genuine nations did not disappear with the establishment of the institutions in Brussels. Nor can it be reduced to the decisions of the EU bureaucracy or NATO's strategic directives. Its historical identity remains linked to the Greco-Roman heritage, Christianity, the founding of universities, the development of science, the great legal traditions, and the cultural diversity of its peoples. Above all, it is associated with the long medieval process through which European political communities took shape and from which nation-states would eventually emerge, still embedded in a Christian understanding of political authority, law, and the common good. In this sense, Europe was not born in Brussels: Brussels is merely a recent institutional construction within a far older civilizational history.

Marco Rubio at the Parthenon: Which West Is Worth Defending?

This contradiction acquired a particularly revealing dimension in the speech delivered by US Secretary of State Marco Rubio in Athens on October 7, 2026, against the symbolic backdrop of the Acropolis and the Parthenon. Rubio sought to establish a historical continuity linking Ancient Greece, Rome, European Christendom, and the United States, presenting the latter as the heir to that tradition. He emphasized reason, science, heroism, excellence, and ambition as attributes of Western greatness, associating them with the need to restore American supremacy.

Yet there is a fundamental contradiction between the universality of the Greco-Roman and Christian legacy and its use as a justification for the supremacy of a particular power. Greece did not bequeath to humanity merely the exaltation of excellence and competition. Through Socrates, Plato, and Aristotle, it also left a profound reflection on truth, justice, virtue, and the nature of the Good. Rome contributed its legal tradition, while Christianity established a conception of human dignity that transcends nationality, wealth, and power.

There is, moreover, a historical irony in the setting chosen by Rubio. The Parthenon was the victim of one of the most notorious episodes of cultural plunder in British imperial history. Between 1801 and 1812, Lord Elgin, the British ambassador to the Ottoman Empire, arranged for the removal of a substantial portion of its sculptures, which were subsequently incorporated into the British Museum, where they remain despite Greek demands for their restitution.

Such was the admiration for Greek civilization that one of the West's greatest imperial powers was not content merely to contemplate its masterpieces: it carried away the stones and sculptures of its most sacred monuments. Two centuries later, a representative of American power symbolically returns to the same setting to proclaim Western greatness. Yet the true universality of a civilization is not demonstrated by appropriating the achievements of others, but by respecting the peoples who produced them.

Plato Against Thrasymachus: Justice Is Not the Right of the Strongest

This contradiction also deserves examination in light of the influence of the German political philosopher Leo Strauss and certain interpretations of classical philosophy within American neoconservative thought. Some neoconservative intellectuals who invoke Plato seem to have forgotten the fundamental lesson of The Republic, particularly the Book 1 dialogue in which the sophist Thrasymachus maintains that justice is the advantage of the stronger. In other words, rulers establish laws according to their own interests and expect those they govern to recognize as just whatever benefits those who hold power.

It is precisely this identification of justice with force that Socrates challenges, arguing that authority should be directed toward the good of those entrusted to its care. This is not to attribute Thrasymachus's doctrine directly to Strauss, but rather to recognize that certain political interpretations of the classical legacy seem closer to the sophist's conception than to the Socratic-Platonic critique.

This contradiction became particularly evident after the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989 and the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991. Instead of seizing that historic opportunity to build a cooperative order, Washington embraced the expectation of prolonged unipolar supremacy, accompanied by the so-called "forever wars."

The most disturbing expression of this conception came in April 2026, when Donald Trump, during the confrontation with Iran, publicly threatened the disappearance of an entire civilization. The threat against the ancient Persian civilization represents a moral contradiction of the very universal principles proclaimed in the American Declaration of Independence, grounded in the laws of nature and of the Creator. Justice does not arise from power, nor is truth established by force. It is power that must submit to truth, justice, and the Common Good.

True Western Civilization and Its Christian Roots

In the face of these contradictions, it becomes essential to recover a rigorous definition of Western civilization. The synthesis of Greek philosophy, Roman law, and Christianity laid the foundations for a conception of society in which political authority is not an end in itself but must be directed toward the realization of the Common Good.

Christian Justice over Capitalism and Socialism: Pope Leo XIV (2025–present, left) honors Pope Leo XIII's (1878–1903, right) 1891 encyclical social doctrine Rerum Novarum by updating its pillars—private property, worker and employer rights and duties, and faith-driven social harmony—in Magnifica Humanitas (Magnificent Humanity, 2026) for the digital age.

This heritage found a particularly important modern expression in the Social Doctrine of the Catholic Church, from Leo XIII's encyclical Rerum Novarum (Of new things, 1891) to the great social documents of the twentieth and twenty-first centuries. Human dignity, Natural Law, solidarity, subsidiarity, and the universal destination of goods constitute essential principles of this tradition.

These foundations acquire extraordinary relevance today, precisely because the global crisis is not merely economic, financial, political, or military. It is, ultimately, a spiritual crisis, manifested in the loss of the moral and transcendent principles that should guide the exercise of power and the organization of society. In this sense, the Social Doctrine of the Church offers remarkably relevant foundations for the construction of a truly multipolar world order.

In the encyclical Pacem in Terris (Peace on Earth, 1963), John XXIII defended the need for a worldwide public authority capable of promoting the universal Common Good, emphasizing that its legitimacy should arise from agreement among nations, never from the imposition of the great powers. The Second Vatican Council, in its pastoral constitution Gaudium et Spes (Joys and Hopes, 1965), further developed this conception, while Paul VI, in his encyclical Populorum Progressio (The development of peoples, 1967), linked the construction of a universal legal order to the integral development of every human being and every people. This is a conception radically different from any oligarchic or imperial world government. Legitimate international authority must not suppress the sovereignty of nations, but rather ensure the conditions for its fulfillment within a cooperative international community.

The Iberian Heritage and the Civilizational Identity of Ibero-America

For us, the peoples of Ibero-America, this reflection has special significance. We are heirs to a civilizational tradition which, beginning with the great Portuguese and Spanish voyages of the fifteenth and sixteenth centuries, carried Christianity beyond Europe, giving rise to new societies formed through the encounter among European, Indigenous, and African peoples.

This process cannot be reduced to the categories of mercantile colonialism, although it was accompanied by wars of conquest, exploitation, and grave injustices. Notwithstanding, the Iberian tradition also produced an extraordinary reflection on the natural rights of peoples, particularly through Francisco de Vitoria and the School of Salamanca, which established important moral limits on conquest and the exercise of power.

It is necessary to distinguish this civilizational dimension from the systems of mercantile domination associated with the rise of the Anglo-Dutch powers, especially from the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries onward, with their chartered trading companies, monopolies, privateering, piracy, and increasing concentration of financial power.

Naturally, the Iberian monarchies themselves also engaged in coercive colonial practices. The essential distinction does not lie in absolving some and condemning others, but in recognizing the difference between the universal principles of a civilization and the particular interests of the empires that claim to represent it. Ibero-America, heir to this Christian tradition and enriched by its own cultural diversity, has a unique contribution to make to the construction of a new world order.

Leo XIV in France: Christian Europe Is Still Alive

Amid the existential crisis of Europe's current political structures, Pope Leo XIV's apostolic visit to France in September 2026 offers a significant sign of the vitality of the continent's Christian roots. The massive demonstrations welcoming the Pontiff, especially the participation of young people, contrasted with the image of an Europe whose secularization had supposedly eradicated its religious identity once and for all.

Trump's feud with Pope Leo XIV over Iran war.

 

The enthusiasm expressed in France does not, by itself, demonstrate the existence of a generalized Christian revival throughout Europe. Nevertheless, it reveals that religious tradition remains capable of mobilizing significant sectors of society, including younger generations. This phenomenon acquires particular significance on a continent marked by economic crises, declining confidence in institutions, and growing dissatisfaction with government policies, especially in the fields of energy and foreign affairs.

France offers a striking example of this contradiction. While displaying considerable religious vitality, it also experiences social tensions that, under certain circumstances, erupt into violent confrontations, including the more than predictable participation of the so-called Black Blocs. More than a few observers regard them as paramilitary groups deliberately financed and trained along the lines of NATO's Operation Gladio networks of the 1970s and 1980s, specifically to infiltrate legitimate popular protests and provoke social and political tensions, with the aim of justifying severe repression by the governments of the countries concerned.

European governments should recognize the risks of a growing rupture between their institutions and the aspirations of their populations. The inability to respond to legitimate social demands may encourage processes of radicalization, violence, and repression. Spiritual renewal, in turn, can contribute to rebuilding social cohesion, solidarity, and trust, provided that it is not transformed into an instrument of political confrontation. Above all, Leo XIV's visit reminds us that Christian Europe did not disappear with the secularization of its political institutions. The European Union is not Europe, just as the so-called "Collective West" is not Western civilization.

The Great Crossroads: Global War or a Cooperative World Order

This is not, therefore, a merely academic discussion about the historical meaning of the West. The way in which the great powers understand their own civilizational identity and their relations with other peoples has direct consequences for war, peace, and the organization of the world economy. If the conception prevails that the greatness of a civilization is measured by its ability to dominate others, the emergence of a multipolar world could turn into a permanent confrontation among rival centers of power. In such a scenario, the decline of Anglo-American hegemony and the rise of Eurasian powers could lead, not to a more just international order, but to a global war with potentially devastating consequences.

The alternative lies in overcoming the very principle of hegemony as the foundation of international relations. Natural Law and the Social Doctrine of the Church offer principles for envisioning a community of fully sovereign nations, committed to the integral development of their peoples within a legitimate and cooperative international legal order.

The recovery of the Christian roots of Western civilization must not mean the restoration of imperial supremacy, but rather the reaffirmation of its universal contribution to human dignity, justice, and the Common Good. The same principle must guide the Eurasian powers: no civilization has the right to unilaterally impose its interests upon humanity as a whole.

The contemporary crisis is, ultimately, spiritual, because it concerns the very moral foundations that should guide the exercise of power. Overcoming it requires recovering the lesson that Socrates set against Thrasymachus: justice cannot be reduced to the advantage of the strongest. Between confrontation that could lead to global war and an understanding capable of establishing a cooperative world order, founded upon Natural Law and the dignity of nations, lies the great crossroads of our time. And it is at this crossroads – not in the struggle for supremacy between West and East – that the true destiny of civilization is at stake.

Reference:
Lorenzo Carrasco Bazúa (November 1, 2026) - O fim do Ocidente ou o renascimento da civilização ocidental?

Lorenzo Carrasco Bazúa (b. 1950) is a Mexican journalist, author and geopolitical commentator based in Brazil. A former correspondent for Executive Intelligence Review (EIR) and founding member of the Schiller Institute, he founded the Ibero-American Solidarity Movement (MSIa) and Capax Dei Editora in Rio de Janeiro. His work focuses on economic sovereignty, Ibero-American integration, and the emergence of a multipolar world order.

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S&P 500 vs. NOAA Ap / Kp Forecasts

Live-updating widgets in the blog's right-hand column now display the daily and hourly S&P 500 (ES) against inverted NOAA Ap and Kp forecasts. In the daily chart, the historical Ap (solid blue line) and forecast Ap (dashed blue line) are shifted forward by 4 calendar days. This 4-day shift is an averaged compromise. The optimal shift continuously fluctuates between around 3 and 6 days and currently stands at 5.12 days, as shown in the SWAV chart below, which updates daily. The variation may be taken into account when monitoring the ES–Ap correlation.

 

 

Exhaustive testing of inverted Kp forward shifts ranging from 0 to 120 hours against hourly ES prices identified the 45-hour shift as producing the strongest and most stable long-term correlation, while the hourly SWAV is proprietary.

 

See also:

TPR (2026) - S&P 500 vs. Geomagnetic Ap Index and Kp Index.  

TPR (2026) - S&P 500 vs. Ap Index: +3-Day Lag and Limits of Multi-Week Forecasting.

2027 Turning Points in the Geocentric and Heliocentric Bradley Indices

The geocentric Bradley Index is Donald A. Bradley's 1948 siderograph: a daily sum of weighted planetary aspects plus the Venus–Mars declination factor, calculated according to the formula (P = X(L + D) + M. The heliocentric index uses the same calculation from the Sun's perspective and therefore contains no retrograde motion. Neither line represents price.

 

Geocentric and Heliocentric Bradley Indices 2027.

 

Expect a pause or reversal in a prevailing price swing within max ±4 calendar days of a Bradley crest or trough. Neither line indicates price direction or the magnitude of a move, and inversions are common: a Bradley high may coincide with a market low. 

 

Alfred Bradley (18) and his brother, Donald Albert Bradley (20), in 1945.

 

Bradley Siderograph Calculation. 

 

Dates shared by both lines suggest stronger timing windows, while dates identified by only one index may carry less weight. For short-term trading, treat a Bradley date as a warning, not as a trading signal. If price is trending into the date, the prevailing swing may be approaching exhaustion. Any trade requires confirmation from a break of the previous day's range.

 

Q4 2026.

 

Q1 2027.

 

Q2 2027.

 

Q3 2027.

 

Q4 2027.

 

 Two updating widgets in the blog's right-hand column plot the daily S&P 500 (ES) against

the Geocentric and Heliocentric Bradley Indices, each with a 45-day forward preview. 

 

 

Calculated for New York (12:00 PM ET), the charts display both indices across 2027, with weekly separators for easier visual orientation. For precise turning-point dates, an updating widget in the blog's right-hand column provides a complete date listing.

Dow

 

Wow!

The Epstein Wars: The West Setting the World on Fire | Alexander Dugin

What connects the Epstein scandal to the war in Ukraine, the crisis of international law, and the struggle for a multipolar world? For Alexander Dugin, these upheavals reveal a civilization at war with its own foundations and with the rest of humanity. 

 

In The Epstein Wars, the Russian philosopher examines the networks of power, money, intelligence, and technology that shape the West. Moving from Donald Trump and Zionism to Carl Schmitt, Martin Heidegger, and artificial intelligence, he argues that today's geopolitical conflicts cannot be understood through politics alone. Behind them lies a deeper battle over sovereignty, faith, human nature, and the future of civilization. As the unipolar order fractures and the prospect of world war draws closer, Dugin calls for a radically different vision: a world of sovereign civilizations, each free to determine its own destiny. Provocative and uncompromising, this book asks whether the West can escape the forces consuming it.

 

Constantin von Hoffmeister, November 3, 2026.

 

See also:
Alexander Dugin (November 4, 2026) - How Zionism Brought Trump to Ruin.
Alexander Dugin (February 7, 2026) - The Epsteino-Centric Model of the Western Power Core.