Showing posts with label China. Show all posts
Showing posts with label China. Show all posts

Saturday, April 12, 2025

The Last Tariff: China Ended the US’s Trade War With a Whisper | Gerry Nolan

It happened with no fanfare. No saber-rattling. No choreographed press conference. Just one quiet statement from Beijing’s Customs Tariff Commission: "Tariffs on US goods will rise to 125% — and this will be our final adjustment. Regardless of future US actions, China will no longer respond." In Washington, they saw a concession. In reality? Beijing walked away from the last imperial leverage DC had left.

Chinese Embassy in the US, April 12, 2025.

In Trump's chaotic circus, tariffs are sold as economic patriotism, blunt-force trauma marketed as “tough negotiation.” But tariffs are the last resort of a hollowed-out empire that no longer produces, competes, or innovates, only thinks it can still dictate.

Trump’s latest move, slapping a 125% tariff on Chinese goods, was meant to flex dominance. Beijing waited, matched it perfectly, then froze the board. "There is no possibility of market acceptance of US goods in China." Translation: “We don’t need you anymore.” No further hikes are necessary. The US is de facto cut off from the colossal Chinese market. That's not de-escalation. That's de-dollarization in practice. Geoeconomic Aikido, using the empire’s aggression to accelerate the break from it.

Chinese Embassy in the US, April 10, 2025.

Washington still believes in a world that no longer exists. It thinks it can dictate trade terms while running trillion-dollar deficits, threaten its way into solvency while its factories rust, and that China will forever tolerate economic warfare just to retain access to Walmart shelves and US Treasury bonds, bonds that are a ticking time bomb for the hollowed empire.

But that world is gone. China has reoriented trade through Belt & Road. It’s fortified currency alliances with BRICS+, hardened internal markets, and invested across the Global South. Most importantly, it has shifted away from Western export dependency.


So when Beijing says, “we will ignore further US tariff moves,” it’s not a concession. It's sovereignty. The US has already been priced out, there’s no need for more theaters. This is the reckoning of a rentier empire built on financial parasitism, not production.

The definition of narcissism.

America doesn't have the tools to win a trade war, it doesn't make the tools anymore. Wall Street eviscerated its industrial base. Labor was deskilled by decades of outsourcing. Infrastructure crumbled while $10 trillion burned in forever wars. Trump’s 125% tariff isn’t policy, it’s a symptom. An empire in late stage declined. The power of Beijing’s response isn’t the tariff, it’s the refusal to respond again. No escalation. No panic. Just a clean break from a failing system.

A message to the Global South: “We won’t be dragged into Washington’s chaos. We won’t fight over a burning house. We’ll build new ones.” It's multipolar maturity. Let the US isolate itself, tariff its own supply chains, and raise rates until its middle class fractures. Beijing will trade in yuan with the Global Majority, while America tariffs itself into irrelevance.

 » The reckoning of a rentier empire built on financial parasitism, not production. « 

Markets have lost nearly $6 trillion net since February, despite brief rebounds. Wall Street knows: this isn’t 2001. China isn’t cowering. It now holds the keys to rare earths, battery tech, and semiconductors. Trump framed the tariffs as punishment for “ripping off the USA.” 
 
But who really gutted America’s industries? China? Or Goldman Sachs? Who looted pensions, turned homes into hedge fund fodder, and spent trillions on wars that only enriched Raytheon and BlackRock? The real theft wasn’t done in Beijing. It was done in boardrooms, think tanks, and Senate halls under the banner of “free markets” and “security.”

 » The US is de facto cut off from the colossal Chinese market. «

This moment isn’t the climax of a trade war. It’s the end of illusion, that the US can sanction, tariff, and bully its way to eternal dominance. Beijing just called time. 125% is the ceiling. From here forward, they won’t play the empire’s game. They're building a new one, with bricks, not bombs. With real trade, not tribute. With allies who don’t need threats to stay loyal.

 

Monday, March 17, 2025

Ahead of Iran War, Capital Flows Flee the US and Europe | Martin Armstrong

Comment by EKL: Your computer model tracks capital flows, [...] capital is being withdrawn globally in preparation for war. We could not make decisions in our boardroom without consulting Socrates anymore. It is unbiased and that is the most valuable asset in times of such uncertainty. God bless.

Martin Armstrong's Socrates Daily Global Capital Flows Heat Map as of March 17, 2025.
 » From about May 15th on, Europe is going into war, Europe will lose, and the Euro will become extinct. «
Martin Armstrong, March 1, 2025.

Reply by Martin Armstrong: Yes, you are correct. We are witnessing capital contracting in both the United States and Europe. It is even leaving Canada and Mexico. 

Saturday, March 15, 2025

The US Will Now Cannibalize Its Own Allies & Vassals to Survive | Lu QiYuan

President Trump said something very honest: “If China and the US work together, we can solve all the problems in the world.” However, the establishment elites in the United States face an ideological challenge. They are fundamentally anti-China, and the Chinese ruling elites do not accept the concept of liberal democracy. The Chinese elite, myself included, are profoundly nationalistic and patriotic. To us, social harmony and unity are more important than life itself. The love the Chinese people have for our country, especially our youth, is something Americans cannot comprehend. So the idea of China and the US running the world together—the G2 concept—was rejected by Americans from the beginning. Now, even if the Americans want to pursue that path, it is too late. The train has already left the station.

» China will form an alternative economic and political system outside of the Western world,
and the only way the US can survive is by cannibalizing its own allies and vassals. 
We are witnessing the collapse of the entire Western world. « 
 Lu QiYuan, Geopolitical Economist.

The US provoked the Ukraine war in an attempt to regime-change Russia, turn it into a US proxy, and surround and contain China. China foresaw this, which is why Xi Jinping and Putin met just a few weeks before the Ukraine war and signed a “no-limits partnership” against NATO expansion. From the perspective of Chinese elites, NATO is merely an imperial tool for US power projection. The strategic rivalry between China and the US is no longer just a competition between two countries, but between two ego systems. It is no longer China trying to bargain with its unipolar master under the United States’ global hegemonic roof. Instead, it is a competition between two separate, independent powers. The competition is now between the US-dominated Western power ego system and the China-led new ego system.

Within this Western-led ego system, when the biggest player—the United States of America—can no longer absorb nutrition from its Global South economic vassels and satellites, when it can no longer consume the energy it requires to survive from the East (i.e., China), the only way it can survive is to consume energy and nutrition from its own allies and vassals. And the first set of allies and vassals to fall victim to US cannibalism will be Europe, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan. 
 
 
» The first set of allies and vassals to fall victim to US cannibalism 
will be Europe, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan. «

This trajectory has been in motion since 2012, when China partially detached its currency from the US dollar, when the Obama administration began to aggressively suppress China’s growth, and when China started its tax reform in 2014. Over the last decade, China has slowly been recreating an alternative network with the rest of the world, as the US has been pushing us out of the original structure. From now on, China will form an alternative economic and political system with the rest of the world, particularly with East Asia, outside of the Western world. By the Western world, I mean the US, Canada, Europe, and Japan—the roughly "Golden Billion" who once oppressed the Global South. Now, through China’s rise, they are forming their own ego system, separate from the original Western-centric structure.
 
The competition and rivalry between these two ego systems mark a dangerous era for the world, because we are talking about the transfer of energy from one system to another. If this is mishandled, it could lead to the destruction of both systems. The creation of this new world system is incomplete because the financial and monetary system is incomplete. And finally, we are witnessing the integration, not the disintegration, of the Western world. Not the collapse of the United States, but the collapse of the entire Western world. 
Perhaps we should credit the new president of the United States, Donald Trump, for accelerating this process. The drama in the Oval Office between Trump and Zelensky delivered the fatal blow to Western unity. Following Trump’s tariff on Europe, we will witness the collapse of the economic and political systems of the Western-led world order. What we are familiar with is the collapse of the Soviet Union. This time, it is the collapse of the West.
 
This is the principle of capitalism, like the law of physics. The United States does not love or hate Ukraine. The goal has always been to drain Europe’s resources. This is why so many so-called intellectuals and political experts in Europe, Canada, and Taiwan are shocked by the current events, like naive kindergarten children, saying things like, "Our Papa, the United States, is abandoning us." But let me tell you this: do not be shocked, because this is only the beginning. Soon, they will be horrified by what is to come: "Our Papa is going to devour us."

 
» Now, the most important thing: What to do with the West? «
Civilization States and the Multipolar World Order.
Alexander Dugin, 2023.
 
See also:

Wednesday, March 12, 2025

Trump Managing the Collapse of the American Empire | Thierry Meyssan

On January 21 and 22, Donald Trump had gathered the central bankers and finance ministers of the G7 in his Mar-a-Lago residence. He is said to have welcomed them by telling: "No one will leave this room until we have found an agreement on the dollar." The agreement in question would therefore have been approved by the allies. The main idea would be for the US Treasury to issue government bonds that do not pay interest (what are called "zero coupons") and that would not mature for a century (that is, could not be exchanged for cash for 100 years). Washington would therefore have to force its allies to convert their debts into "zero coupons". 
 
 » No one will leave this room until we have found an agreement on the dollar. «
 
[...] The US public debt has now reached the astronomical sum of 34,000 billion dollars, of which only a third is held by foreign investors, according to Forbes. If some of the US creditors, mainly China and Saudi Arabia, were to ask for repayment, a gigantic economic crisis would occur as in 1929. Many economists regularly warn of this prospect. According to Jon Hartley of the Hoover Institution, central banks have not reduced the share of the dollar in their foreign exchange reserves since the war in Ukraine. However, on February 20, a videoconference by analyst Jim Bianco, taken up by the Bloomberg agency, rekindled concerns. According to this analyst, the Trump administration is following a plan, the "Mar-a-Lago Accord". It intends to radically restructure the US debt burden by reorganizing world trade through tariffs, devaluing the dollar and, ultimately, reducing the cost of borrowing, all with the aim of putting US industry on an equal footing with its competitors in the rest of the world. [...] De-dollarization, that is, using the dollar only at the national level of the United States and no longer in international trade, is the sea serpent of finance.

[...] If we accept this analysis, we must reinterpret various actions of President Trump, in terms of customs duties or the creation of a sovereign wealth fund. They no longer seem as erratic as the international press describes them, but on the contrary very logical. We must therefore consider that Donald Trump is trying to manage the possible economic collapse of Joe Biden’s "American empire" as Yuri Andropov, Konstantin Chernenko and Mikhail Gorbachev tried to manage that of Leonid Brezhnev’s "Soviet empire". I am all the more attentive to this hypothesis because, in my opinion, the coup of September 11, 2001 had no other goal than to postpone the foreseeable collapse of the “American empire”. The last two decades have been only a reprieve that, far from solving the problem, have only made it much more complex. 
 
[...] This time, cautiously, President Trump is lulling his public opinion to sleep by evoking the annexation of the entire North American continental shelf, from Greenland to the Panama Canal, while liquidating the war in Ukraine and the European Union. If my hypothesis is correct, we must not believe a word of the threats of annexation of new territories, such as Canada, and not imagine that the United States is withdrawing militarily from Europe to confront China, but admit that it is militarily abandoning its European allies. We see that it is abandoning Germany and relying on Poland to organize Central Europe, even if it means letting Warsaw annex Eastern Galicia (currently Ukrainian). Similarly, we must prepare to see the United States abandon its Middle Eastern allies, with the exception of Israel. Indeed, it has just resumed arms deliveries to Tel Aviv and begun secret talks with Iran via Moscow. They let Saudi Arabia and Turkey divide up the Arab world.

 » Russia needs the United States to avoid finding itself face to face with China. «

The competition between Paris and London to take the lead in European defense should therefore not be understood as opposition to peace in Ukraine. Neither the French nor the British armies have the possibility of replacing Washington’s military support. It is rather a question of determining the role that the two capitals will subsequently play on the continent. Emmanuel Macron, the French president, hopes to develop his defense concept around the French strike force, while Keir Starmer, the British prime minister, intends to take advantage of the situation. The former is aware that the European Union, around Germany, is disintegrating and that President Trump prefers the "Three Seas Initiative", around Poland. He could therefore reawaken the Weimar Triangle (Germany/France/Poland) to maintain some room for maneuver. While, from the same analysis and taking into account the disappearance of NATO, the second will ensure that Germany is kept as far away from Russia as possible, thus continuing his country’s foreign policy for a century and a half. 
 
»
Fuhrer Ursula is mobilizing everybody to re-militarize Europe. «
 
Note that if the European allies, the Chinese and the Saudis should consider it a scam to exchange their debts for “zero coupons”, Russia should on the contrary support the United States in this maneuver. Indeed, during the dismantling of the Soviet Union, Russia went through a decade of recession and unrest, but today it needs the United States to avoid finding itself face to face with China.

 
ooooOO0OOoooo
 
Trump’s Special Envoy, Steve Witkoff, is making his way to Moscow this week to “urge” Russia to agree to a ceasefire in Ukraine, or else, the White House announced today. It remains unclear whether President Vladimir Putin will even meet with him. Putin has already made Russia’s position clear: No “temporary” ceasefires. A whole new multipolar security order. Yalta 2.0. Long-term peace or nothing.

 » I hope it's not going to be necessary. «
GOAT One-Trick ZioCon MIGA-MAGA Don, March 12, 2025.

After the complete trainwreck in Saudi Arabia, where Washington bent over backwards to appease Ukraine’s fascist regime, agreeing to rearm the Nazi terrorists and give them a 30-day breather, it’s hard to see what’s even on the table. Russia doesn’t do ceasefires for Western rearmament. Russia dictates battlefield reality, not White House wishful thinking. Putin won’t waste more time on US theatrics unless there’s something real to discuss.

 Efforts to reasonably deal with the Trump administration failed, and on March 12,
Putin appears in military uniform for the first time since the start of the war.
 
If the US wants a real negotiation, it should finally realize where to start: First, stop this hollow and ridiculous propaganda charade of 'Trump aiming to broker a ceasefire and peace deal between Russia and Ukraine,' and acknowledge that Russia has defeated the US and all of NATO in Ukraine. The US has lost, is exhausted, humiliated, and bankrupt, and Russia has offered the new US administration a chance to at least save face and improve relations, instead of escalating into nuclear Armageddon. Second, stop financing and rearming the Zelensky regime, and cut its access to Starlink.

 
The GOAT fiscal MIGA-MAGA Ponzi scheme beyond repair.

If it's just about another silly PR stunt to please BlackRock and the 
deluded MIGA-MAGA gaga-crowds, you’d better DOGE the airfare, Witkoff.

Friday, March 7, 2025

Make Chimerica Great Again | Mitchell Presnick

Forget about the G7 and G20. The truly important focus is the US and China, and what we do together. First of all, we are moving into a multipolar world. This means that the US and China will be peer competitors, but there will also be other important countries rising and becoming more influential over time, such as India, Brazil, Indonesia, and Russia. 
 
»
Donald Trump is probably the most pro-China President in US History. 
President Trump said that the US and China could solve all the world’s problems, and he is right. «
Mitchell Presnick.
 
We have this multipolar world, and within this context, we are going to see the formation of the G2. Forget about the G7 and G20. The real focus is the US and China and what we do together. President Trump said that “the US and China could solve all the world’s problems, and he is right. He specifically said the US and China; not the US, China, BRICS, and the developing world. If China and the US are working together, everyone else—over 200 countries—will be aligned with one or the other, or both in some cases.

This, I believe, is the world order that is coming. I think it is going to be net positive for the world because it will provide more opportunities for countries that have been ignored. Africa did not get much attention until China entered and began developing business and resource opportunities there. Now, Africa is receiving a lot more attention from everyone. The same is true for Latin America. The US has been dominant in this hemisphere since the early 1800s, and yet Latin America and South America have struggled to develop. Objectively, it is clearly in the interest of South America for China to get more involved and help develop infrastructure there.

This might even encourage the US to do the same, which would be a net positive for South America. It would also create business opportunities, because one thing people don’t understand about the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is that every time China builds a railway, road, port, or airport in a developing country, it is also creating the foundation for a middle class who will later buy other goods from China. In other words, it's like brand building for Chinese industry. China, as a brand, is being built in these countries. People there will become familiar with Chinese cars, well-built roads, and high-quality products. As these consumers develop, they will naturally be more inclined to buy Chinese goods, which are well-priced and of good quality. This is something I think the US also needs to be doing.

Thursday, March 6, 2025

The Panama Canal & The Best MIGA-MAGA-ShowBizMan Money Can Buy

BlackRock, in collaboration with Goldman Sachs, has agreed to acquire a majority stake in the Balboa and Cristobal ports at either end of the Panama Canal from Hong Kong's CK Hutchison Holdings for approximately $19 billion. This acquisition aligns with strategic US efforts to counter China's influence over the canal and the region, as extensively outlined by US President Donald Trump in recent months.
 
On March 4, 2025, Trump praised this as his latest tremendous, beautiful, and incredible deal to the US Congress, referring to it as the US "reclaiming" the Panama Canal. BlackRock's CEO, Larry Fink, a devoted globalist of the Davos cult, has been involved in various Trump initiatives, and his latest acquisition seamlessly intertwines BlackRock's interests with US geopolitical objectives. Nothing could possibly go wrong: everything within BlackRock, nothing outside BlackRock, nothing against BlackRock. Not even two months in office, and already incredible. Perfect deal.

» One way or the other, we’re going to get it. «
The Art of the Deal.
 
Great job, Donnie; Waltz, Witkoff, Rubio, brilliant. Without a single shot and only a little taxpayer money. Exemplary. Checkbook diplomacy, corporatism, and plutocracy at their finest. Very clever. And a deal with the Greenlanders may finally compensate BlackRock for its misinvestment in Biden's Project Ukraine. Let's see how the UKR rare earths, Nord Stream 2, and this Canada thing play out. Now, if only these issues with the Gaza Casino Beach Resort could be resolved, Jared and Ms. Adelson would be really delighted. And you might very well end up with the Nobel Peace Prize, going down in history as Trump, The Peace President. Never mind, whatever is good for the Goldmans, the Musks, and the BlackRocks is sure good enough for your MAGA crowds.
 
 » I reject in the name of Panama and all Panamanians this new affront 
to the truth and our dignity as a nation. Trump is lying again. «
 José Raúl Mulino, President of Panama, on Trump's MIGA-MAGA show to the Congress.
 
However, on March 5, Panama's President José Raúl Mulino accused President Trump of lying in his congressional address when he declared his administration was "reclaiming" the Panama Canal. 
 
 » Truth is reality. The canal is and will always be Panamanian. «
José Raúl Mulino, President of Panama, March 6, 2025.
 
Panama asserts full control over the canal, arguing that the Chinese group's port operations do not equate to Chinese control over the waterway. The government called the sale a private transaction and dismissed any notion of US "reclaiming" the canal. Mulino rejected claims that the deal was due to US pressure, posting a message on X: "I reject in the name of Panama and all Panamanians this affront to the truth and our dignity as a nation," and accused Trump of "lying again". C'mon, Stalin Mulino, life is a business, and I pleased my MIGA-MAGA crowds. Truth is reality.
 
 » Too Pig to Fail. «
 
 

Thursday, February 20, 2025

Europe in Angst! Intelligence Agencies Fear Withdrawal of US Troops | BILD

In Case of a Deal Between Trump and Putin:
Europe in Angst! Intelligence Agencies Fear the Withdrawal of US Troops.



► In many parts of Europe, there is great concern about the American-Russian negotiations. US President Donald Trump (78) has ruled out a complete withdrawal of US troops from Europe. However, according to information from BILD, Western intelligence services and politicians fear that the negotiations, which began today in Riyadh, could lead to the end of the presence of US troops in large parts of Europe.
► A capitulation of the US to Russia – if it really comes to that. An Eastern European security official told BILD: "According to our information, this is about Putin's 2021 demands, namely the withdrawal of US troops from all NATO countries that joined the alliance after 1990.
 
» Betrayed. First Zelensky, then us? The US's radical withdrawal from its allies. «
Der Spiegel (MI6, USAID, and Bill Gates), Hamburg, Germany — February 22, 2025.

Accurate Translation:
 
Is NATO Dead?
Howling, Chattering Teeth, and Panic Among the Deranged, Failed, Defeated, and now Marginalized 
Zionist, Globalist, Russophobic, Neo-Nazi, and War-Hungry US-Lackey Elites Across Europe.
  
  » NATO's purpose is to keep the Russians out, the Americans in, and the Germans down. «
Lord General Hastings Lionel Ismay, 1st Baron Ismay (KG GCB CH DSO PC DL), NATO's first Secretary General, 1952.
 
The US created NATO in 1949 to contain the Soviet Union (official mantra).
NATO lost the war against Russia in Ukraine. 
NATO no longer serves any purpose for the US. America First.
The moment the US withdraws from post-1990 NATO states (Sweden, Finland, Baltic Chihuahuas, Poland, Czechia, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Slovenia, Croatia, Montenegro, Albania, North Macedonia, Bulgaria, Serbia's Kosovo), NATO will be dead, and the EU will be dead.
And then, what will happen to the US-lakey elites in Europe? They are already walking dead.

The Gringo Perestroika:
Beginning of the End of NATO and EU, and Eurasian Prospects.
The US empire is on the brink of bankruptcy, with the US no longer a unified entity, but rather a battleground itself, where competing forces are striving to impose alternative systems of governance to reduce running costs, including in Europe. Now that US/NATO has lost the war against Russia in Ukraine, Trump’s officials are distancing themselves from Zelensky and are set to push for elections and regime change in Kyiv. They also seem open to Russia’s 2021 demand that NATO revert to its pre-1990 configuration, which could lead to the withdrawal of US troops from all 16 countries that joined the alliance since that time. Cordon sanitaire 3.0.
 

The US has been occupying Italy and Germany since 1945; factually, they are not sovereign states. To this day, Article 53 and 107 of the UN Charter classify both as enemy states, meaning enemies of the UN world order at the time of its founding (the same is true for Japan). This, however, is still reason enough for the US to continue to treat them as cash cow vassal states, and to abuse them as nuclear missile launchpads, military bases, continental aircraft carriers, and command centers to control Europe, Africa, and West Asia (EUCOM, AFRICOM, CENTCOM). All paid by the occupied, of course. Protection money. Reunified Germany does not even have a democratically approved constitution, but is instead still governed by the 1948 Basic Law, designed to administer the US-British-French occupation zones. Why? Eternal US-Zionist-vassalage be their destiny because their great-grand parents were all fascists and Nazis.
That said, from US-occupied Italy and Germany, the European Union and NATO have expanded in lockstep up to Russia's borders, and a US/NATO withdrawal from any EU member state will immediately destabilize current regimes and finally erase the entire Brussels Eurocracy and NATO scheme. It will provoke regime changes, secession, the formation of new alliances, new conflicts, and potentially even military ones. 
 
 » The Lie of European Democracy: Europe today is a dictatorship, a tyranny.  « 

One potential immediate flashpoint is the Balkans: As soon as US forces pull out of Kosovo and vacate their massive key logistical and operational hub Camp Bondsteel (missile offense and defense systems, air bases, hundreds of aircraft, thousands of troops, and a central hub for human, organ, and drug trafficking in Europe, etc.), Serbia will reclaim its province, and, through Montenegro, Eurasia's New Silk Road would gain access to the Adriatic Sea
, unlocking all prospects for cooperation, trade and development across the vast space spanning from the Port of Bar, Rotterdam and Duisburg to Saint Petersburg, Novorossiyk, Bandar Abbas, Vladivostok, Busan, Shanghai, Taipei, and Yokohama. Another powder keg is the Baltic States and Finland, and anyone with common sense can imagine their fate in just five minutes with a little imagination. The shifting power dynamics across Europe have already triggered changes in countries such as Romania, Bulgaria, Germany, and France, and may now spread rapidly to other nations. The overall direction seems clear: rejection of US/NATO/EU governance, reclaiming national sovereignty, stopping uncontrolled, illegal mass immigration, remigration, and the formation of new alliances, primarily between Germany, Russia, and China. Despite the craze and howling from deranged US-lackeys and EU’s unelected officials, this seems now irreversible. 
 
了解你的敌人
Know your Enemies.

Tuesday, February 18, 2025

The Sidonius Apollinaris Syndrome | Markku Siira

If people don't want to witness the growth of certain crisis phenomena, the 21st century is relentlessly sweeping over them. Russian historian Andrei Fursov has coined the term "Sidonius Apollinaris Syndrome" to describe this. He draws inspiration from Sidonius Apollinaris, a Christian bishop, writer, and poet in ancient Rome. A significant collection of letters he wrote to friends and family has survived, offering an essential look at 4th-century history. In one of these letters, Sidonius describes the world as a peaceful and tranquil place. He writes: ”We are living in magnificent times, peace and tranquility reign everywhere; I sit by the pool at my villa, a dragonfly hovers over the water, the world is beautiful”. However, not long after, the Roman Empire collapsed. Fursov points to this historical blindness, noting that it is "partly due to ignorance and partly simply a reluctance to see and understand."

 » We are living in magnificent times, peace and tranquility reign everywhere; 
I sit by the pool at my villa, a dragonfly hovers over the water, the world is beautiful. «
Gaius Sollius Modestus Sidonius Apollinaris: Aristocrat, Poet, Diplomat, Senator, Prefect of Rome, Consul,
Bishop of Clermont, Torchbearer of Faith, Father of the Church, Saint of the Roman Universal Church; 450 AD.

Today, we live in an era of political and economic stagnation, marked by an increasing number of global conflicts. The situation seems to worsen with every passing day. Fursov argues that we are witnessing the "quantitative accumulation of negative trends," and at some point, "quantity turns into quality." In other words, these trends may reach a tipping point, leading to a dramatic change. Historical events can unfold quickly and unexpectedly. Fursov recalls a friend's grandmother commenting on the collapse of the Soviet Union, saying, "You can’t imagine how fast it happened. Before lunch, all the shops were still open, but by lunchtime, everything had already shut down." This sudden shift demonstrates how societal structures can unravel at a startling pace.

Fursov believes that old structures and institutions are beginning to falter in the modern world. He underscores that such periods of transformation often lead to the renewal or collapse of social and political systems. The European Union, for example, could face collapse due to internal contradictions and external pressures. Could we be witnessing the disintegration of a new "Eurostate" that would dramatically reshape Europe’s political landscape?

 In 451 AD, Attila the Hun, leader of the Huns, invaded the Western Roman Empire, specifically Gaul
(modern-day France), marking a significant military campaign against the weakened Roman state.

Similarly, the political polarization within the United States, Trump’s foreign policy stance, and the rise of Russia and China may weaken NATO’s influence in the West. This could result in a series of power-political upheavals, where traditional alliances fall apart, leading to new global power structures.
 
»
Characteristic of dark times in history. «

Fursov advises that in order to survive under harsh conditions, it’s crucial to analyze and understand current trends. But it’s equally important to be physically prepared for scarcity. "The entire 21st century will be filled with battles on all levels," he warns—within the elite, between the elite and the middle class, and between the lower classes and the elite. This kind of turmoil is characteristic of dark times in history. Additionally, the massive influx of migrants contributes to the chaos, creating a situation resembling the Brownian movement. In this environment, Fursov argues, one must be ready to seize opportunities as they arise. Over the next 20-30 years, he believes, people will be united by a common desire to preserve their place in history as bearers of a particular civilization and cultural code. However, this tradition, which is over a thousand years old, is now under threat.

Unfortunately, the current trajectory offers little reason for optimism. Globalization, technological revolution, and the erosion of cultural identity seem to be intensifying. If we fail to stop and assess where we are headed, we risk ending up in a world where the past is forgotten, and the future is severed from its roots.

 
了解你的敌人
Know your Enemies.