Showing posts with label 250 Year Empire Life Cycle. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 250 Year Empire Life Cycle. Show all posts

Tuesday, August 19, 2025

The US Will Go Bankrupt, Collapse, and Break Up | Andrew Napolitano

The greatest threats to America come not from abroad but from internal overreach: a permanent surveillance state, secret executive militarism, congressional impotence, judicial passivity, and catastrophic debt. The formal structure of the Constitution remains, but its functional authority is evaporating. This points toward systemic failure.
 
Congress has abdicated its legislative role, the judiciary selectively enforces constitutional norms, and the executive rules increasingly by decree. Meanwhile, lobbying power from defense contractors and pro-Israel groups locks Congress into perpetual military spending—now over $1 trillion annually, more than the next ten countries combined.

 
Domestically, the unchecked growth of executive power is matched by economic instability. The federal debt, nearing $40 trillion, carries annual interest exceeding $1 trillion—an unsustainable burden that threatens systemic collapse. Tariffs, imposed unilaterally and used as political weapons, drive up consumer prices while violating constitutional limits, which vest taxing authority solely in Congress. Courts may soon invalidate these executive-imposed tariffs, but political gridlock makes corrective legislation unlikely.
 
» 
Collapse—not through revolution, but insolvency. «
 
If unchecked, these dynamics will lead to the federal government's collapse—not through revolution, but insolvency. Unable to service its debt, pay salaries, or borrow, Washington could cease functioning. The likely outcome is regional fragmentation: a dozen or so independent republics forming along ideological and geographic lines—e.g., New England, Texas, and the Southeast. This breakup, though gradual and nonviolent, will mark the end of the United States as a unified federal entity.
 
 
 
» Decadence is a moral and spiritual disease. «
Lieutenant-General Sir John Bagot Glubb, 1978.

See also:

Sunday, August 17, 2025

The "Iron Law of Oligarchy" and the Delusion of Democracy | Neema Parvini

One of the primary issues with democracy is the "Iron Law of Oligarchy," as described by Robert Michels. Although democracy promises equality and freedom, an elite class inevitably holds power. Whether Professor Peabody, Sally Strawberry, or Pedro Orange is in office, an elite class persists. Even when one elite group is replaced by another, such as a shift from peas to strawberries, the system remains fundamentally unchanged. 
 
 Chuan Jianguo (特朗同志), Comrade Build the Nation, a.k.a. 
MAGA Traitor (MAGA 叛徒) and Genocide Don (种族灭绝唐). 
 
Michels' "Iron Law of Oligarchy" argues that the egalitarianism democracy promises is an illusion. Elites always emerge; even if the masses overthrow one, they soon create another. James Burnham, in "The Machiavellians," expands on this, asserting that any realistic political analysis must accept elites' inevitable dominance. This elite dominance reflects the Pareto principle, suggesting a natural 80/20 split between elites and society. 
 
Plato ("The Republic," Book VI) and Aristotle ("Politics," Book IV) warned against direct majority rule, fearing tyranny of the majority and mob rule. In his "Discourses on Livy," Niccolò Machiavelli shared this view, citing the Gracchi brothers, Tiberius and Gaius, in 2nd-century BC Rome. Their land reforms to redistribute wealth from the aristocracy to the poor led to bloodshed and civil war. Machiavelli argued that the Gracchi erred in assuming the poor were less self-interested than the wealthy. By seeking the masses' approval, they fueled hatred between plebeians and the Senate, ultimately destroying the Roman Republic.
 

 
 Gaetano Mosca and Vilfredo Pareto:
The Intractable Problem of Democracy.
 
» The heirs began to degenerate from their ancestors, and, abandoning virtuous deeds, thought that princes had nothing to do but surpass others in luxury, lasciviousness, and every other kind of pleasure. Thus, the prince, becoming hated, and fearing because of this hatred, turned to tyranny, and many of those who helped establish it became its enemies.
These, conspiring together, brought about its ruin. And so the cycle continues. «
Discourses on Livy, Book I, Chapter 2, Niccolò Machiavelli, 1531

Machiavelli described a cyclical pattern where democracy transitions to tyranny. A wise and just ruler, the "prince," leads initially, but his successor often indulges in luxury, resulting in tyranny. An aristocratic class overthrows this tyranny, establishing a new government, but these aristocrats also become corrupt, ushering in anarchy and renewed tyranny. Machiavelli proposed a mixed government—a republic—where monarchy, aristocracy, and democracy are institutionally represented. This form is more stable and enduring than pure democracies or oligarchies, as exemplified by the Spartan Republic, which lasted 800 years compared to shorter cycles elsewhere.

 

 
» This system ensures special interest groups dominate. «

Despite this mixed government, challenges persist. In the 18th century, David Hume identified factionalism as a major democratic flaw. He argued that people naturally form factions based on personal interests, often undermining the common good. Even trivial differences, as seen in ancient Greek factions or recent civil wars, can spark factionalism. Modern democracies still face factions driven by religion, politics, or personal rivalries.
 
James Madison, in his "Federalist Paper No. 10," addressed factions, proposing two solutions: removing their causes or controlling their effects. Eliminating causes requires abolishing liberty, which is impractical and undesirable. Controlling effects is more feasible. Madison argued that large republics dilute factional harm through diverse interests, making domination by one faction harder and offering voters more choices, thus reducing corrupt candidates' influence. However, Madison's vision did not anticipate political parties, now central to modern politics, nor the impact of communication tools like radio, television, and the internet, which amplify factional organization and influence.
 
» Oligarchy always rests upon force and fraud. «
George Orwell, 1946.
 
Mancur Olson, in "The Logic of Collective Action," identified another issue: large groups with shared interests struggle to organize due to high costs, while smaller, organized special interest groups effectively influence policy, even against the majority's interests. These groups often secure their goals, disregarding the public’s benefit. 
 
»
Sovereign is he who decides on the exception. «
Political Theology, Carl Schmitt, 1922.
 
For example, candidates Sunny Strawberry and Lucy Lemon, running for office, receive offers from special interest groups like the Peas, Aubergines, and Pears, seeking government funding or tax breaks. To win, Sunny might pledge favors to these groups, even if the broader population gains nothing. If she refuses, the groups may support Lucy, who offers similar deals. This system ensures special interest groups dominate policy, leaving the general population underrepresented.
 
» You great star! What would your happiness be had you not those for whom you shine! «
Thus Spoke Zarathustra, Friedrich Nietzsche, 1883.
 
The general public, lacking special interests, struggles to organize and advocate for their agenda. Consequently, their needs are often overlooked in favor of well-resourced lobbies. Madison's republic and modern democracies face significant challenges. Representatives often prioritize electoral success over the common good, and their policies may fail without consequence. These systemic issues pose serious problems for modern democracies, and while solutions are elusive, recognizing and addressing these flaws is crucial.
 
 
See also:
(Zur Soziologie des Parteiwesens in der modernen Demokratie) 

Wednesday, August 13, 2025

Buffett Indicator Hits All-Time High with Market Cap-to-GDP Ratio at 212.1%

As of August 12, 2025, the Warren Buffett Indicator has surged past 212%, marking its highest level on record.

 US market cap twice US GDP.
 
 
US debt hits $37T — surpasses entire $31T US GDP, 
matches combined GDP of China, Germany, Japan, India & UK.
 
The Buffett Indicator, or Market Cap-to-GDP ratio, rose to prominence as a long-term stock valuation metric following Warren Buffett’s 2001 'Fortune' interview, where he called it "probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment." 

The 2000 dot-com bust and the 2007 crash may seem mild by comparison.
 
The ratio compares US public market cap to GDP using the Wilshire 5000 Index, covering nearly the entire stock market.

Sunday, August 3, 2025

Gaza—An Israeli-Trump Real Estate Exposition | Helena Glass

October 2023, one week after the false flag operation at the Negev festival, Netanyahu and Trump devised a plan. The end objective was more money than any elite 1%er could ever dream of in this Money Mania World. Gaza was the plan’s trajectory—trillions in potential revenue. Paid for not by corporations and banks, but by taxpayers—meaning the wealth makers would not be obliged to put up a dime. Given Israel has no viable economy and is fundamentally based on American and Western taxpayer ‘gifts’ via aid programs and disappeared funds, the operation depended on multiple layers, devised to displace 2.3 million Palestinians—forever.

"Gaza could be a valuable waterfront property." — Jared Kushner, February 15, 2024.
 
Trump and Netanyahu have always held a close relationship, so the partnership was driven by shared needs. Trump’s role was to garner the people en masse, to give rise to a cult so devoted he could do virtually anything and still be adored. Netanyahu, as Israel, held the proximity and the victimhood ideology so encased in the Jewish identity. And together, they initiated a written plan to assert America’s greatest deception. The grand master of illusion. The circus must go on!

Trump would be elected president with the assistance of Israel, as long as he inserted the required Jewish candidates chosen by Netanyahu. Once elected, Trump would divert attention by making gains on immigration, as promised. His ‘peace plan’ would effectively embrace the Israeli neocon hawks to eliminate Netanyahu’s enemies: Iran, Yemen, and Lebanon. Once effectively demilitarized, Trump was told to focus on eliminating the competition—Russia and China. Putin was backstabbed—but China had a leverage Trump and Netanyahu didn’t anticipate: rare earth minerals.

POTUS catering to I$raHellGenocide Don and Genocide Bibi, February 5, 2025.
 
Egypt was a necessity, given they would accept the mass refugees—for a price. Saudi Arabia and Qatar would contribute to the ‘grease’ and pay off Egypt, and percentages of profit were effectively allocated. The Saudi Crown Prince was already over his head in cost overruns of NEOM, and Qatar would act the part of a Shakespearian negotiator.

 Steve Bannon slams Trump, calling him 'Israel First'.

But as all good plans go—and as Trump warned—Netanyahu failed miserably in the first week. The PR victimhood campaign was poorly designed. Witnesses told the stories of the aggressors being the IDF, blowing up houses—and people—under the Hannibal Directive. PR went immediately toward the Palestinians, and once opened, Pandora’s box could never be closed.

 "The Genocide—the Starvation—were pre-planned strategies to eradicate the 
undesirables in order to build a Real Estate Haven for the Wealthy and 1%ers."
 
Trump attempted to garner and censor the media on Netanyahu’s behalf. The Middle East turned to stone, afraid of their implication on the world stage. Israel and the CIA began a campaign of fake videos and photographs that were easily dissected, further turning Israel into a pariah state of lies, murder, and deception. US politicians called for nuking Palestine—an impossibility, given the land would thus be untenable.

Enter—The Epstein Files: Netanyahu demanded the files not be released, given they were the source of a good deal of annual blackmail funds. In attempting to bury the files, Trump lost the PR stunt—trying to claim it was all a hoax: stupid people believe it, it never happened… In other words, both Trump and Netanyahu failed so miserably in this operation because of PR. The media. Deception. Betrayal. And a document that was released

"Time to drop the really big bomb: Trump is in the Epstein files."
Elon Musk, June 5, 2025.
  
Gaza isn’t simply about real estate; it is about the Ben Gurion Canal, eliminating the Suez Canal using dammed water from Ethiopia. It is about oil and gas reserves that could be redistributed to Israel. It is about making Israel a dominant world power instead of a puny statehood—always using those missing taxpayer funds, estimated in the trillions, to achieve the ultimate goal. The brilliance Soros perfected via the IRS fraud—NGOs. Trump established the NGO, Gaza Humanitarian Foundation (GHF), with a monthly budget of $140 million, siphoned back to Israel…

The plan, as enumerated by Michel Chossudovsky of Global Research, was an analytical proposal submitted October 13, 2023, as an initiative of Gila Gamliel-Demri, who was Israel’s Minister of Intelligence in 2023–2024. She has been a tremendous advocate for regime change in Iran, having met numerous times with Reza Pahlavi to secure this coup.

However, the direct implication of President Trump in this genocide of children and women is the most egregious betrayal, as he pretends to have compassion for trafficked children while directly supporting the torture, bombing, and starvation of THOUSANDS of children. The goal, as envisioned, is a beach destination with a Trump Tower, high-end condos, five-star hotels, restaurants, boutiques, diamonds, and the extension of Epstein Island—with a tithe attached.

"America is a Golden Calf, and we will suck it dry, chop it up, and sell it off, piece by piece."    
Benjamin Netanyahu, 1990.
  
The implication of this information is vast. It completely redefines Trump and his family. It redirects America. And it realizes the truth behind the lost trillions within the State Department and DoD, in collusion. It perfects the ‘conspiracy’ that Trump, like all previous presidents, are simpletons of the Deep State Cartel—and puts him on par with Clinton, Obama, Biden, Reagan, and Carter. It gives RFK Jr. the necessary closing of the truth behind his father and uncle, who sacrificed their lives at the hands of this Cartel in order to preserve the Zionist control of the American government—those who betrayed his father, and those he once called ‘friends’.

Global Research, Michel Chossudovsky provides the Documented Truth: see below, or click here to access the complete document (10 pages). The Genocide—the Starvation—were pre-planned strategies to eradicate the undesirables in order to build a Real Estate Haven for the Wealthy and 1%ers.

Trump has been using taxpayer funds to siphon to Israel for this Great Big Beautiful Development, for which all profits will revert to the corporations and the billionaires inserted into the White House for their Zionist protocols. The distraction is Russiagate. Who will they scapegoat to keep MAGA happy, as MAGA is calling for blood?

"The rail lines to Auschwitz need to be bombed, we’re witnessing a Holocaust in Gaza."
Max Blumenthal, August 3, 2025.

Within this attempt to realize an IsrAmerican Empire, the BRICS present a problem of loyalty. Russia and China are central to the BRICS—if they can be destroyed, the BRICS will crumble. Gaza would bring the Middle East central to the empire. But they have no intention of sharing the bounty with the undesirables: Palestine, Syria, Yemen, Turkey, Egypt, Jordan, Iran, and Lebanon. These countries need to remain ‘destabilized.’
 
'What's the BIG SECRET fellas?' —  Alabama activists target Trump.
 
The link above to the document that sets the Stage, reveals the Acts, and notes the participants are straight from Israel. Betrayal is one of the worst conditions of a man’s soul.

Saturday, August 2, 2025

War in Europe is Coming—The Living Shall Envy the Dead | George Galloway

The specter of NATO's war against Russia, expanding from Ukraine into the European Union, looms large, and the warnings couldn’t be more dire. While escalating tensions, particularly around Kaliningrad and in the Baltics, signal that a direct military confrontation outside of Ukraine is increasingly inevitable, Western leaders still believe they can defeat Russia. 
 
» 100% Chance of Nuclear War.«
 
French President Emmanuel Macron continues to advocate deploying troops to Ukraine, seemingly under the illusion that NATO could swiftly overpower Russia and seize its estimated $75 trillion in natural resources—oil, gas, gold, diamonds, uranium, metals, rare earths, fertilizers, and timber—everything this globalist branch manager recently wrote off in Africa. Former Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas, now High Representative of the European Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy and Vice-President of the European Commission, has even suggested breaking up Russia because it’s "too big." These ideas are not just impractical; they are insane.
 
US President Trump ordered nuclear submarines with Trident missiles to target Russia.
 
»
 The US is a rogue state that can't be trusted. «
 
Most chillingly, the shadow of nuclear war hangs over this crisis—a scenario so catastrophic that, as George Galloway unmistakably put it, the living shall envy the dead: "The war in Europe is coming. And we have no plan B and nowhere to go. In any case—in a nuclear war, which is how it would end—the living would envy the dead. Far better to perish in the first flash of the blast than to crawl through the ruins, dying slowly, in agony, a zombie in the aftermath. We have nowhere to go."

Friday, July 25, 2025

89 Seconds to Midnight on the Doomsday Clock | Jeffrey Sachs

There are nine countries known to possess nuclear weapons. Perhaps more do, but nine are confirmed. Most of these countries are in geopolitical or diplomatic conflict with at least one other nuclear power. In the case of the United States and Russia, they are in open conflict—specifically in Ukraine—which is in fact a war between the US and Russia, and an extremely dangerous one. 

The world is sick of the US, Zionism, and I$raHell.


We must understand the global scene clearly in order to avoid terrible, potentially catastrophic mistakes. The US seems unable to accept a world in which it is no longer the sole superpower. But that era is over. The future is multipolar. The sooner Washington accepts this, the safer we will all be.
 
I often refer to the Doomsday Clock created by the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists—a US publication founded in 1947 after the US atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. [...] When the clock was first introduced, it was set at 7 minutes to midnight. [...] Today, the clock stands at just 89 seconds to midnight.

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio described Gaza’s residents as "vicious animals." 
When asked whether he would call for a ceasefire, Rubio replied, "I will not do that."
21st-century Nazism or plain and simple Zionism?
 
The US sees every conflict as a zero-sum game—one side must win, and the other must lose. There is no room for compromise, coexistence, or mutual respect. But the world doesn’t work that way. In our deeply interconnected and nuclear-armed world, we must find ways to cooperate—even with rivals.

The US needs to abandon its imperial mindset and embrace a new paradigm: one based on multipolarity, mutual respect, and the rule of international law. That is the only path to peace—not just in Ukraine or the Middle East, but globally. And I believe China has an important role to play in this transformation.
 
China has consistently advocated for a multipolar world, a peaceful international order, and respect for sovereignty. These are not just slogans; they are the foundation for a workable global system in the 21st century. China’s own development since 1980 has shown that economic progress does not require military aggression. Instead, China has focused on infrastructure, education, trade, technology, and long-term planning.


The Belt and Road Initiative, launched over a decade ago, has helped dozens of countries—especially in the Global South—gain access to much-needed infrastructure. Rather than exporting war, China is exporting railways, highways, ports, and power grids. That is a model the world needs. But unfortunately, the United States sees China’s rise not as a positive development, but as a threat.

Washington policymakers talk about “decoupling,” “containment,” and even “strategic rivalry.” They send warships through the Taiwan Strait and arms to Taipei. They push military alliances in the Pacific and increase military budgets, all in the name of “competition.” But what does that competition really mean? If it’s about innovation, education, clean energy, and development—then fine. Let’s compete to build a better world. But if it’s about military encirclement, economic warfare, and ideological confrontation—then we are heading toward disaster. 

Monday, July 21, 2025

100% Chance of Nuclear War as Early as August │ Martin Armstrong

Six weeks ago, financial and geopolitical cycle analyst Martin Armstrong was signaling a major turn toward war. Now, Armstrong says, "The chances of war with a nuclear exchange are at 100%. Plan on it—this is coming."

» The chances of a war involving a nuclear exchange are at 100%. 
Plan for it—this is coming. Starting in August, this whole situation is going to escalate.  «
 
Can the world avoid nuclear war with President Trump’s 50-day deadline given to Russia to make peace in Ukraine? Armstrong says, "You do not threaten your adversary, who is at your same level, publicly. If you want to say something like that, you do it privately in a phone call. Now, what will happen is Putin cannot possibly sign a peace deal. What—are you crazy—to do this in 50 days? We have staff in Germany, and I was told by my staff that a 60-year-old friend was told to report for duty. 
 
»
There is a 100% chance that NATO will trigger a total nuclear war within the next year. «
Martin Armstrong, July 23, 2025.
 
I had a friend who was at the NATO 'Summit on Peace in Ukraine' in Switzerland, and he called me when it was over and said, ‘Holy crap, this has nothing to do with peace anymore. This is all about preparing for war. Everybody should start getting ready for drafts, to start going that way.’ They want war. They are not backing off."

 » They want war. They are not backing off. «
 
Armstrong’s computer, Socrates, is signaling war as early as next month. Armstrong says, "Starting in August, this whole thing is going to be escalating up. Our computer has what we call a ‘Panic Cycle’ within our war cycles for 2026. That is not good. I don’t know what the hell Trump is smoking. My computer has been projecting war, and it is projecting war going into 2026. This is not looking good, and Europe will lose. It is as simple as that."