Showing posts with label World Order. Show all posts
Showing posts with label World Order. Show all posts

Monday, March 9, 2026

The Fall of the USSR: History of a Prediction | André Barbault

By way of introduction, I would like to apologize for being personally at the heart of this subject. However my personal account is necessary to present this assessment. Under such circumstances, no matter the person: only the prediction holds the attention. If I am at the core of this matter more than another person, this must be regarded as the mere result of a quest for truth. 
 

I was marked at an early age by a searing failure which made me realise the extent of the power of human illusion in our land of Urania, turned too much into a utopian land. I insisted on roaming the exacting ridge of this practice, the field of tentative prognosis which calls forth the moment of truth of what occurs or does not when the configuration in question falls due. A way of relying on only one reading of astronomic ephemerides; if possible in the far distance, when nothing can be suspected, making an appointment with the history of the ages and even decades to come; the prognosis thus becoming a gigantic leap into the prediction of the future. The ultimate risk... Thus treated, the prediction regains its eminent place in the temple of Urania in triumphant celebration.

I intend to recapture this story in its chronological order. It all began in 1936: my brother Armand writes an article for the review Consolation in which he improvises an explanation of the Front Populaire in France, using the opposition of Saturn and Neptune at this time. Did the Russian Revolution of 1917 not take place under the conjunction of these planets? He reworks this idea in his journal L'avenir du Monde (
The Future of the World) of 1938-1939. The correlation gains credence: everyone comes to admit it, one after the other, at least in the French-speaking world. My brother will not take this any further; the bulk of his research began in alchemy. However, he charges me with the responsibility of furthering this historical verification to collect enough correlating elements. It is thus that the Saturn-Neptune cycle will become the primary terrain I explore.
 
Early–mid 1950s.

The twentieth issue of Cahiers Astrologiques (March-April 1949) presents, under the title "Planetary Cycles", my first interpretation of a whole pattern of cycles, including the Saturn-Neptune cycle, roughly deciphered. I awaited the new Saturn-Neptune conjunction of 1952-1953 to give my first prognosis, published in the newspaper L'Yonne Républicaine of January 1st, 1953. We will look at this text a bit further on after having discussed the conjunction of 1989. But the indication of the year 1989 arises. It is only accurate in relation to the deadline, to the historical fall of revolutionary tendencies. All the same, 34 years ahead! This is dealt with on page 189 of my Défense et Illustration de l'Astrologie (Defense and Illustration of Astrology), published by Grasset (Paris) in 1955 (out of print).
 
Revolts, Revolutionaries, Ideologies, and Revolutions
vs. the 36-Year Conjunction Cycle of Saturn and Neptune.
 
This text follows the presentation of the last six meetings or conjunctions of these two planets, Saturn and Neptune, which reoccur every 36 years, accompanied by collective uprisings or revolutionary movements. Hence the justification of this first text in question: During the conjunction of 1952-53, Stalin dies and the soviet Union is in full metamorphosis: the country begins a new cycle which will lead it to the cardinal date of 1989.

It is in Les Astres et l'Histoire (The Stars and History, Paris, Pauvert, 1967, out of print) that one will find all the historical documentation which I have patiently accumulated about our cycle in a series of accounts: the conjunctions of 1773 to 1953; the successive aspects of the cycles of 1846-1882, 1882-1917, 1917-1953, and 1953...; the conjunctions of Mars and Neptune since 1933, the oppositions of the Sun and Neptune since 1933 and the oppositions of Mars and Neptune since 1941, as well as the Revolution of 1848. It is based on this type of historical confrontations that one can claim a real correlation which authorizes the prognosis.

Thus we arrive at the second formulation of the prediction relative to 1989. This can be found on page 139 of the work published by Payot (Paris) in 1973: Le Pronostic Expérimental en Astrologie (Experimental Prediction in Astrology, out of print). So, sixteen years ahead of time! This is the text:

The second prediction relates to the conjunction of Saturn and Neptune, and was published in the newspaper L'Yonne Républicaine of January 1st, 1953: due to the fact that the Russian communist party was born under the conjunction of 1881, and that it seized power during that of 1917, one must assume that the year 1953 will be of prime importance to the Soviet Union. In fact the Soviet Regime finds itself simultaneously at the beginning and the end of the cycle. Being at the end, one can expect an inner reorganization of the State or of the Kremlin. As the cycle begins again, one must foresee a new development in the communist cause or at least in the revolutionary one of the world. The Soviet political system will find favorable responses in nations which previously had been hostile or indifferent to it...

To the surprise of the whole world, Stalin dies on March 5th, 1953: the inauguration of a new era for the USSR and communism. In addition, Moscow discovers a new revolutionary vocation by supporting the causes for decolonization and nationalism in Afro-Asian countries; it puts an end to its isolationism by engaging in political solidarity with the nascent Third World.

Due to this success, shall I be granted more credit if I seriously view the upcoming conjunction of Saturn and Neptune in 1989 as the sign of a new "grand premiere" in the destiny of the Soviet Union or world communism? My intention here had been, deliberately, to succeed in predicting two immediately successive, similar operations with the repetition of the same phenomenon. In the same work, still 16 years ahead of time, I had to inquire further into the adventures of predictions in a chapter devoted to "historical circumstances".

I had first presented two preceding stages: the fluctuating metamorphosis due to the beginning of a new world-crisis for 1975, as well as the planetary concentration at the root of the crisis of 1982-1983, the critical time of the Euromissile confrontation (the economy of the "socialist camp" of Eastern Europe likewise seriously affected by the recession of 1980-1982 which it had not pulled itself out of, and it is this collapse that was the principal cause of the weariness of the people and their defection from their regimes). It is this chart, of 1989, which I finally presented:
 
1989: Triple Conjunction of Saturn, Uranus, and Neptune in Capricorn, 
in Opposition to Jupiter in Cancer, while Pluto is in Scorpio.
 
This astrological chart was accompanied by the following comment (p. 222):

Within a brief time we shall discover an exceptional planetary trio: Saturn, Uranus and Neptune will meet at the beginning of Capricorn during the years 1988 and 1989, the more significant being the year 1989 with its triple Jupiterian opposition to this conjunction. It is here that the fate of humanity for the entire 21st century could be fixed. We have seen our modern capitalist society evolve throughout the large Uranus-Neptune cycle since the beginning of last century. We have also seen the start of the last Saturn-Uranus conjunction in 1942, as well as the last Saturn-Neptune conjunction in 1953, the USA. on one side and the USSR on the other having launched a competition for world supremacy or to formulate a universal society. However, these two participants arrive here at the end of the race at the same point and at the same time, as though to melt into one single current. This final joint destination of 1989 is the date the world may tend to give birth to a new society. Therefore, the great rendez-vous of our history tends to show itself, after the profound upheaval of 1982-1983, at the time of this triple astral intersection...

This is a conclusion I had already drawn 21 years beforehand when I mentioned in Les Astres et l'Histoire, Paris, Pauvert, 1967, p.297:

...This triple planetary encounter, the most important astral reunion of the entire twentieth century... two historical uprisings... the American and the Russian, under the principles of capitalism and communism... these two participants are both at the end of the race for the final destination of 1988-89, at which time the world will renew itself to give birth to a new society. Undoubtedly, this great meeting in our history thus tends to presenting itself at this triple linear intersection from 1988 to 1992.
 
» Knowing that the present Uranus-Neptune cycle evolves parallel to the fortunes and misfortunes of our capitalist society, and likewise that the Saturn-Uranus cycles emphasize the characteristic of the "right" of this society: imperialist, totalitarian, fascist, like the Saturn-Neptune cycles, phases specific to the "left": unionist, socialist, communist, one can conceive that the fusion at the same time and at the same place of these three cycles may represent a time of prime importance for the renewal of today's world. «
And in the same book, page 299:

...the great metamorphosis of society occurs thanks to a fusion, a synthesis where Neptune assimilates Uranus, which is to say where the new society takes from the old and is much less the antagonist than the successor; and this is the very image of the linear trace of currents which converge at the same time and in the same place, as two contributaries would join into a river.

 When one knows that under the leadership or the near-benediction of the USSR, itself subjected to an essential mutation of society, all the countries of the East European bloc have, so to speak, converted themselves, have packed up and are going over to the Western virtues of democracy the "iron curtain" having disappeared the image of the fusion of historical currents into one river becomes quite relevant one is already talking about a project for a confederation of a Europe spanning the area from the Atlantic to the Urals: whatever the new tendency of the world society may be, it remains polarized between its aspirations to the right and to the left.

 A new version a few years later. We are in 1980, still nine years ahead of history. In a work that appears in a book-club edition, Nostradamus, I am induced to write a chapter entitled "The Destiny of the Soviet Union". Calling on the help of astrology from around the world and evoking my experimentation in predicting the cycle (the last to date in issue no. 48 of L'Astrologue (The Astrologer) with the announcement of a new tension in the Saturn-Neptune square, coinciding with the Polish crisis and the Russian intervention in Afghanistan), I came to the following conclusion:

The one who experiences such an adventure ends up acquiring a certain serenity of thought. One can believe in it or not: that changes nothing.

There is absolutely no doubt about the fact that the Soviet Union will have to experience a decisive turning point in its history as the Saturn-Neptune cycle renews itself with the conjunction of 1989. In addition, circumstances will be such that this large conjunction will take place at the same time and at the same place as two other do, preceded by a Saturn-Uranus conjunction (in a cycle of 45 years) in 188 and followed by a Uranus-Neptune conjunction (a cycle of 171 years) in 1992. Which is to say that this triple astral reunion announces a great planetary upheaval and a change in society for the years 1988-1992, spreading throughout the whole world and concerning Russia in particular. The astronomical phenomenon relative to this country is centered between December 1989 and March 1990.

Moreover, this is the same opinion I have always espoused throughout various international conferences. In October 1983 in Capri, I gave a talk on "The ultimate turning point of 1990" by reproducing the planetary alignment of fall 1939. Here is the interpretation I gave:

Such a configuration calls into question the various pieces of the planetary cycles regarding, each one of them, a particular historical movement: Europe with the Jupiter-Saturn cycle, the USA. with the Saturn-Uranus cycle, the USSR. with the Saturn-Neptune cycle, the entire modern capitalist society with the Uranus-Neptune cycle... Synthetically, it represents a large historical cross-roads where all these forces are gathered together to live out a unique history with various facets and numerous manifestations.

This is the same figure I represented again in November 1985 in Rio de Janeiro by specifying that these six planetary cycles were "reunited in a common existential moment resembling a historical upheaval which ends in a profound general revival of world society". In a previous conference given in 1983 in Stuttgart on "The Destiny of Europe" I was already able to pinpoint the interplanetary node:

... It is easy to understand that the opposition of Jupiter and Saturn in the midst of this unity announces the risk Europe is running of being the stage of a general societal upheaval.

And when, in May 1987 in Zurich, I gave a talk on "The Saturn-Uranus-Neptune Encounter", I was careful to specify:

And now we are facing a second Saturn-Neptune conjunction. No doubt that it forecasts a new critical stage for the Soviet Union. Likewise it may also signify diverse revolutionary movements in the world. For the Soviet Union, must one take the policy of democratization begun by the new chief of the Kremlin Mikhail Gorbachev seriously? Perhaps it is this change, fundamentally, which is appearing on the horizon. Gorbachev could do what Khrushchev was unable to do because he has arrived at the time of this conjunction.

And likewise, in September 1988 in Vienna, taking up a text from L'Astrologue (no.80, 4th quarter, 1987):

Does the present Saturn-Neptune conjunction not announce the success of Gorbachev's perestroika? Who knows if these changes will not erase the world division inherited from World War II and from the Yalta treaty? For instance, in respect to a future integration of the economy of the Soviet Bloc (Comecon) into the world market, the Soviet Union changes from the enemy of yesterday to a "partnership" rôle, as the great powers of the free world are to each other.

Must one believe that I was delivering banalities there? In fact the whole world was surprised, astonished by the avalanche of events which occurred between September and December 1989. As for us astrologers, however, were we surprised? It is time to evoke that as the deadline of the events approached, I insisted upon the possibility that we would experience a particular kind of revolutionary climate. In the "Saturn-Uranus-Neptune Meeting" in L'Astrologue no. 80, 4th quarter, 1987, I already attribute a double manifestation to the conjunction of Saturn and Neptune:

There is no doubt that this announces a new crucial step for the Soviet Union, a wave of renewal. In the same way, this can also signify a surge of revolutionary movements throughout the world.

But I was to reach a conclusion permitting me to entitle my article in issue no. 85 of L'Astrologue (1st quarter, 1989) "The Turmoils of 1989-1990", which announced the following:

So the only Jupiter-Saturn opposition in itself (September 1989 to July 1990) informs us of a critical turning point for the European Community, directly linked to the new crisis and condemned to undergo a major trial before presenting itself at its historical deadline in 1992.

Above all, it must be remembered that Jupiter will pass opposite the Saturn-Neptune conjunction at the same period, from September 1989 to July 1990. (...) This could mean a period of revolutionary currents leading up to an explosion, with possible mass demonstrations in the streets, with the risk of the powers being overthrown. One thinks of the possibility of such feats in countries which are being stifled like Romania, the countries of Eastern Europe being maintained under the iron collar, such as Czechoslovakia.

Just as the Byzantium of 1453, this is the real collapse of an empire which the world will be facing throughout this memorable year of 1989. And it will be the end of an entire age... the post-war era finished. The historical breach began in October, but the change had started in the USSR. itself the head of the procession in the Spring of 1989. After the novelty of legislative elections throughout the whole country, Moscow establishes a parliament where an active opposition makes itself heard. It was followed by Poland where, after the triumphant Solidarity elections, the country endows itself on August 19th with a non-communist prime minister at the head of a government encompassing all tendencies.
 
 
Mid 1990s.
 
However, the pace quickens with a sudden surge in the exodus of East Germans to the West in September and October. Those who do not leave decide to take to the streets and make themselves heard through protest marches. On October 9th, they already number 70,000 in Leipzig. From that time on, the GDR is at the core of events. Every Monday they march by the half-millions in Leipzig, Dresden and East Berlin. The storm on the Communists has begun. Everyone is in the streets (one million on November 4th in East Berlin) and they are formidable; the regime cracks. 
 
On November 9th the Berlin Wall is forced to open after the resignation of the Communist Party. Venus traverses the Uranus-Saturn-Neptune conjunction at the same time as the Sun and Mercury are in alignment with Pluto. Such a breach in this wall is the vertiginous historical torrent which removes the barriers of the post-war world. Hence these comments by the press: "the days that are shaking the world"; "the communist world is coming apart before our eyes"; "history is catching the whole world unawares with the collapse of the communist system"; "the disintegration of the East Bloc is occurring at a breathtaking rate"...

All of Eastern Europe is shaken by this upheaval. Having already joined the fun with a jubilant population, Hungary opens its borders and endows itself with a new governing power on October 23rd. The Berlin Wall crossed on November 17th, people take to the streets massively in Bulgaria, which in turn shakes the Stalinist foundations. On the same day 40,000 students march in Prague. On the 24th, under breathtaking popular pressure from a rebellious Prague, the entire head of the Czechoslovakia Communist Party resigns. However, it took seven large gatherings, a general strike on the 27th and new threats (they are demonstrating in snow flurries) to overthrow the regime. 
 
Marxism is in agony: the communist parties are dissolving; Honecker, Kádár, Husák and Zhivkov, who had been in power for many decades, are swept away by this same storm. All the countries abolish the leading role of the communist party, install new heads from all political horizons and fix their calendars for free elections. The climax was to occur with the passage of Mercury and the Sun in alignment with the Uranus-Saturn-Neptune trio. In its turn, Romania begins reacting on December 16th: within six days its dreadful dictatorship collapses. A summoning of the Bucharest population to acclaim the Ceaușescu couple on the large square of the capital turns into a general booing. The challenge has begun with a general insurrection (they will demonstrate by -20°C), leading to the arrest of the Ceaușescus on the 22nd and their execution on the 25th.

Under the same solar transit in January, in addition to the movements in Albania and Yugoslavia, which has joined the system of parties and the continuing demonstrations in the free countries, the rebellion filters into the USSR. itself simultaneously agreeing to a military retreat from Hungary and being affronted by the same demand from Czechoslovakia with the secession of the Lithuanian Communist Party, demonstrations of secession in Mongolia and a civil war in Azerbaijan: these are the remnants of the "broken empire" which looms on the horizon...

At the end of this experience, who can deny that the mere observation of the planetary positions enables one to establish a chronology of the future in advance? We will have achieved our goal: to demonstrate the credibility of astrology in relation to today's history and, at the same time, to have experimental prediction become the most efficient means of persuasion, as well as the highest and purest intellectual adventure of astrology. 

Quoted from:
André Barbault (1990) - History of a Prediction.
[Histoire d’une prévision, 
first published in L’Astrologue, no. 89, 1er trimestre, Paris, 1990.]
 
See also:
 
oooo0O0oooo
The above geopolitical cycle model developed by André Barbault correlates major transformations with long planetary cycles, especially the geocentric 36-year conjunction cycle of Saturn and Neptune, historically associated with ideological restructuring of states and political systems. However, it is important to recognize that in both geocentric and heliocentric mundane astrology, outer-planet cycles—such as the conjunction of Saturn and Neptune—describe broad rhythms of global historical development rather than events confined to the USSR, Russia, or any other single empire, state, nation, or civilization (as is the case in natal astrology applied to states, nations, etc.).
Saturn-Neptune 
conjunction on February 20, 2026.
The latest Saturn-Neptune conjunction occurred on February 20, 2026 at 0° Aries, the Aries Point traditionally linked with events of global manifestation. This alignment inaugurated a new Saturn–Neptune cycle extending roughly from 2026 to 2062 and therefore marks a probable phase of systemic ideological and institutional reorganization comparable in structural significance to earlier conjunction periods such as 1917 and 1989.

The broader planetary configuration intensifies the importance of this reset (see table below). Pluto entered Aquarius in 2024, a transit associated with technological transformation, mass mobilization, and redistribution of political power that lasts into the 2040s. Neptune is moving into Aries in 2025–2026, symbolizing ideological mobilization and the emergence of new collective narratives, while Saturn also enters Aries in 2026, imposing institutional pressure and forcing structural redefinition of political authority. At the same time Uranus enters Gemini in 2026, historically correlated with communication revolutions and geopolitical confrontation; previous passages coincided with the American Revolutionary era and the Second World War. The simultaneous ingress of several outer planets during the mid-2020s therefore indicates a rare generational transition affecting technological systems, ideological structures, and geopolitical balances.
 The February 2026 Saturn–Neptune conjunction marks the opening of a new ideological cycle. The most volatile
interval will be approximately 2025–2030, when structural tensions manifest through wars, crises and systemic
reorganization, followed by institutional consolidation and a new world order between roughly 2032 and 2035. 
Within this configuration the latest Saturn–Neptune conjunction functions as the cycle’s ignition point. Conjunction phases historically coincide with dissolution of prevailing ideological frameworks and the emergence of new political narratives. When combined with Pluto in Aquarius and Uranus in Gemini, the interval from roughly 2025 to 2027 appears as the principal systemic shock phase. Short-term activations occur when faster bodies cross the conjunction degree: transits of Mars and the Sun in February–March 2026 and again during mid-2026, when Mars forms tense aspects with Uranus, represent a trigger windows during which underlying structural tensions manifest through political crises, financial disruptions, and abrupt internal, regional, and global geopolitical confrontations. 
After the conjunction the cycle normally enters a formative phase lasting several years. Between approximately 2028 and 2031 the developing Saturn–Neptune dynamic may manifest as ideological polarization and attempts to construct new institutional frameworks. Uranus advancing through Gemini emphasizes technological rivalry, cyber conflict, and strategic competition in communications and artificial intelligence, while Pluto in Aquarius intensifies collective movements and challenges entrenched hierarchies of power. The interaction of these cycles suggests a period in which nations, states, and civilizations experience pronounced internal political tension while simultaneously confronting structural competition within an evolving multipolar and eurasiacentric international system.
By the early 2030s this cycle tends toward consolidation. From roughly 2032 to 2035 the ideological and institutional structures that emerge from the earlier crisis phase are likely to stabilize, producing revised political doctrines, new geopolitical alignments, or reconfigured economic frameworks. Historical precedents indicate that such consolidation does not necessarily imply decline; states, nations, and civilizations often emerge from these cycles transformed but institutionally durable. 
Nevertheless, the concentration of outer-planet transitions in the mid-2020s implies that the interval from about 2025 to 2030 represents the most volatile portion of the Saturn–Neptune cycle. In strict cyclical terms, this period constitutes the window in which all states, nations, and civilizations in the international system most likely encounter a decisive ideological and structural turning point shaping the political order of the subsequent decades.
See also:

Sunday, February 1, 2026

Global Public Sentiment Shift toward China | Pew Research Center

The 2025 global public opinion landscape is no longer a static map of American dominance. While the US maintains a median favorability of 49% compared to China’s 37%, the Pew Research Center’s Spring 2025 survey reveals a significant "closing of the gap." Over the past year, views of the US turned negative in 15 of 24 surveyed countries, while sentiment toward China improved in 15 of 24. This shift is most visible in the "favorability freefall" occurring in North America (Canada, Mexico) and Europe (Poland), contrasted with China’s steady gains in the Global South.
 
Scatter plot showing 24 countries mapped by US vs. China favorability, highlighting the 
dominant "Top-Left" pro-US cluster and the emerging "Bottom-Right" pro-China cluster.
Source: Spring 2025 Global Attitudes Survey, Pew Research Center. 
 
The primary driver of this shift is a historic change in economic perception. For the first time in the tracking series, more people globally now identify China as the world’s leading economic power (41%) than the United States (39%). This is a major departure from 2023, when the US held a comfortable lead in this category.
 
» The US is increasingly cited as a top security threat. «
 
This pivot is most extreme in Mexico, where the sentiment shift has been near-total. Favorability toward the US crashed from 61% in 2024 to just 29% in 2025. Simultaneously, 45% of Mexicans now prioritize economic ties with China over the US, a massive jump from just 15% a decade ago. In nations like Indonesia and South Africa, China is now named as the most important ally, while the US is increasingly cited as a top security threat. 
 
Public sentiment has also been heavily influenced by a lack of international confidence in US President Donald Trump compared to Chinese President Xi Jinping.
  • The Trump Deficit: In 19 of 24 countries, confidence in the US president is low. In Mexico, confidence in Trump stands at a staggering 8%, while in major European 'allies' like Germany and France, it hovers at 25% or lower.
  • The Xi Rise: While Xi's overall confidence remains low (25% median), it has actually increased in 16 countries over the last year. In Mexico, people are now four times more likely to trust Xi (36%) than Trump.
     
» We are ruled by satanic pedophiles who work for Israel. «
Candace Owens, February 1, 2026.
 
Perhaps the most telling sign of a long-term shift is the demographic divide. In nearly every nation, adults under 35 are significantly more favorable toward China than those over 50. Even in the US, younger Americans are 20 points less likely to view China with "very unfavorable" eyes than the oldest generation.
 
»
One big dirty club: We are talking about male rape, 
female rape, child rape, ritual killings, cannibalism. «
George Galloway, February 1, 2026.
 
While "fortresses" of pro-American sentiment remain—specifically in Israel (83% favorability) and South Korea (61%), the 2025 data suggests that the world is transitioning from a US-led consensus to a more fragmented reality where China’s economic influence is increasingly welcomed.
 
Well, that was in spring of 2025... now, just imagine the Pew Research Center's Spring 2026 survey results...
 
Reference:

Tuesday, January 27, 2026

China, Russia Must Manage 'Orderly' US Decline | Huang J. and S. Karaganov

The year 2026 opened with a series of maneuvers by the United States that continue to unsettle the global landscape. Beneath the surface of international diplomacy, powerful undercurrents are surging. Even as the aftershocks of the military strike on Venezuela linger, Donald Trump has turned his sights toward Greenland, alternating between economic buyouts and martial threats.

» The Americans are withdrawing to the Western Hemisphere.  They are transitioning into a "normal" regional power. «               1941 political cartoon by Theodor Seuss Geisel (Dr. Seuss) satirizing "America First" isolationism. An elderly woman in an "America First" sweater reads "Adolf the Wolf" to two horrified children, remarking: "...and the Wolf chewed up the children and spit out their bones... but those were foreign children, and it didn't really matter."
 » The Americans are withdrawing to the Western Hemisphere. 
They are transitioning into a "normal" regional power. « 
1941 political cartoon by Theodor Seuss Geisel (Dr. Seuss) satirizing "America First" isolationism. An elderly woman in an "America First" sweater reads "Adolf the Wolf" to two horrified children, remarking: "...and the Wolf chewed up the children and spit out their bones... but those were foreign children, and it didn't really matter."
This predatory posture—where even allies are not spared—raises a fundamental question: Is this the brute assertion of a military hegemon, or the final, desperate thrashings of a superpower in decline? As the rift between the US and Europe widens over the Greenland dispute, and the very foundations of the NATO alliance tremble, what kind of shockwaves will the global order sustain?

Huang Jing: Regarding the abduction of Venezuelan President Maduro and the First Lady—an act of blatant violent aggression—how do you foresee its impact?

Sergey Karaganov: To be clear, we are still operating without full transparency regarding the facts; the abduction is peculiar, appearing almost like a choreographed performance. While clearly the work of US security apparatuses, their local facilitators remain in the shadowsHowever, the trend is undeniable: Trump and the US are attempting to pivot back to the Western Hemisphere as they retreat from global leadership. This process began 15 to 17 years ago, though it went largely unremarked by the masses. 

Huang: We only truly grasped it about 15 years ago.

Karaganov: Exactly. Circa 2006 or 2007. It was an internal discussion then, but the trajectory was visible. Notably, when Obama took office, his instinct was an "America First" strategy, but he was constrained by the globalist factions surrounding him. 
The kidnapping of Maduro and the "piracy" of seizing oil tankers are criminal acts. Yet, there is a "silver lining": the Americans are withdrawing to the Western Hemisphere. They are transitioning into a "normal" regional power rather than a global hegemon, shedding the pretense of world leadership. It is a double-edged sword. While we must condemn the incredible crime of abducting an elected leader, we are seeing a strategic retreat. For years, I have argued that we must create the conditions to help the US exit its global role—without triggering a world war.
 
» US decline isn't the problem; the "disorder" of that decline is the catastrophe. « Aggression as a symptom of decay: POTUS claiming US used classified "Disruptor"  weapon to paralyze Venezuelan defense systems in order to hijack Nicolás Maduro.
» US decline isn't the problem; the "disorder" of that decline is the catastrophe. «
Aggression as a symptom of decay: POTUS claiming US used classified "Disruptor" 
weapon to paralyze Venezuelan defense systems in order to hijack Nicolás Maduro.
 
Huang: Agreed. I recall your work on "Disorder," suggesting that a chaotic US decline is a threat to us all. This hegemonic fatigue began because the US simply could not sustain the post-1991 international system. You cite 2006; I would argue the definitive cracks appeared by 2008.

Karaganov: The decline of Western hegemony actually dates back to the 1960s. The signs were there, but ignored. When the USSR achieved nuclear parity, the foundation of a 500-year-old Western dominance began to crumble. After the Soviet collapse, the West—and the US specifically—fell into a state of "euphoria," believing they had reversed the tide of history. This lasted barely 15 years before Russia began to reconstitute its position and China emerged as a titan. Blinded by their "victory," the American elite made massive strategic blunders. They essentially subsidized China's rise, naively believing that capitalism would inevitably lead to a "democracy" that would act as a US satellite. When reality failed to meet their visions, they doubled down on failed invasions—Afghanistan, Iraq. By 2008, the internal decision to begin a long-term withdrawal had already taken root.
 
» Russia and China should work together to facilitate an orderly decline for the United States. This is in everyone's interest, including Washington's. «   August 2021, managing 'disordered' collapse: US troops at Kabul Airport use rifles to deter Afghan civilians attempting to flee during the withdrawal.
» Russia and China should work together to facilitate an orderly decline for
the United States. This is in everyone's interest, including Washington's. « 
 August 2021, managing 'disordered' collapse: US troops at Kabul Airport use
rifles to deter Afghan civilians attempting to flee during the withdrawal.
 
Huang: I agree, though I’d add a nuance: China’s rise wasn't merely a gift from the US. It was the result of correct internal policies and a desire to integrate into the global system to reform it from within. The US "vision" of a peaceful evolution into a Western-style state was indeed a profound miscalculation.

Karaganov: I don't disagree, but consider this: China’s development was facilitated by the Soviet/Russian security umbrella. Even when China was militarily weaker, the US never dared a direct strike. Furthermore, the US committed the ultimate strategic error. Through their actions, they pushed Russia and China—natural neighbors—into an unbreakable de facto alliance. Over the last 15 years, this "quasi-alliance" has effectively doubled the strategic weight of both nations. It is an monumental failure by Western competitors.
 
» The US will never come to the rescue of Europe. « 
 
Huang: From a historical perspective, we remember how the USSR helped build China’s industrial base. Yet the USSR also suffered from overexpansion—Afghanistan being the fatal error—which led to the fragile US-China cooperation of the 1980s to contain Moscow.

Karaganov: Indeed. But it wasn't just overexpansion; it was arrogance. Khrushchev’s arrogance toward Mao in the 50s and the refusal to aid China’s nuclear program were grave miscalculations.

Huang: Yet China succeeded regardless.

Karaganov: Yes, and that autonomous development secured China’s strategic autonomy for decades. Had we helped then, the rapprochement with Nixon might never have been necessary. History would be unrecognizable. But today, the US is committing the greatest error of the modern era. Post-1991, they mistook their moment for permanent "Globalist" dominion. They tried to export "universal values" through Color Revolutions and the Arab Spring—all of which failed. Now, they are retreating into the Western Hemisphere because they must, not because they want to. 
  
Huang: As you famously said: US decline isn't the problem; the "disorder" of that decline is the catastrophe. Does the invasion of Venezuela reflect a managed exit or a chaotic one?

Karaganov: Let’s put it this way: Russia and China should work together to facilitate an orderly decline for the United States. This is in everyone's interest, including Washington's. The US was an "accidental" global hegemon. Before WWII, they were an economic powerhouse but a geopolitical non-factor. They became the world leader with very little capital investment because Europe collapsed and the USSR was exhausted.

Now, as the "Global South" and China rise, the West realizes it can no longer control the very system of free trade and international law it created. So, they have begun to sabotage their own system—using sanctions and breaking trade rules—because they can no longer win by the old rules. In Ukraine, the Biden administration initially thought they could isolate Russia from Europe. They succeeded in creating a rift, but now that they see Russia is willing to escalate—even to the nuclear level—they are looking for the exit. Trump is vocal about withdrawal, but Biden started the process. I saw it myself: Biden's 2022 New York Times piece, where he set "red lines" for the US (no direct entry, no regime change), was the first signal of the American retreat.
 
» The source of all ills and evil in the history of humanity. «  Zelensky, Starmer, Macron, and Merz, December 8, 2025.
 » The source of all ills and evil in the history of humanity. «

 Zelensky, Starmer, Macron, and Merz, December 8, 2025.

Huang: You warned the Americans in 2012: "You are pushing us into a corner, and you will end up in one yourselves." In 2020, you argued that the goal wasn't just defeating Ukraine, but dismantling the Western international system itself—a system used as a tool for hypocritical hegemony. Do you still stand by that?

Karaganov: Absolutely. And we are succeeding. By raising the stakes, we have essentially pushed the US out of the war. We made them realize that Russia would risk nuclear conflict over Europe. Biden never explicitly promised to fight for Europe if it were attacked; he only spoke of "support." Now, Russia’s objective is to break the will of the European elites. Europe has historically been the source of the world's greatest troubles—colonialism, racism, world wars. They are currently drifting toward a Third World War. Our strategic long-term goal should be to push Europe to the periphery of the global stage, creating systemic conditions where their current "sinister" elites are rendered obsolete.

Huang: On that point, you and Trump seem to be in total agreement.

Karaganov: (Laughs) I said it first.
 
[Continue from 27:00 in the video above—highly insightful and well worth the watch.] 
 
[中俄应该携手合作,帮助美国实现“有序衰落.”]
 
"How can you discuss anything with Kaja Kallas? Neither we will ever discuss anything with her,  nor will the Americans, and this is obvious. We can only wait until she leaves," Peskov said.
"How can you discuss anything with Kaja Kallas? Neither we will ever discuss anything with her, 
nor will the Americans, and this is obvious. We can only wait until she leaves," Peskov said.

Huang Jing is a Distinguished Professor at Shanghai International Studies University and a globally recognized authority on Chinese politics and US-Asia relations. Formerly a Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institution and Director at the National University of Singapore, he specializes in the US-China-Russia strategic triangle. He is a prolific author and advisor known for his realist analysis of great power competition and global governance.
Sergey Karaganov is the Honorary Chairman of the Russian Council on Foreign and Defense Policy and a presidential advisor to both Boris Yeltsin and Vladimir Putin. He currently serves as the Academic Supervisor of the Faculty of World Economy and International Affairs at Moscow’s Higher School of Economics. A primary architect of the "Greater Eurasia" concept, he is a leading realist thinker on Russian grand strategy and the transformation of the global order.

Monday, January 26, 2026

The Return of Great Spaces | Pierre-Antoine Plaquevent

One century ago, the continentalist school of geopolitics proposed a world-system organized into pan-regions (Haushofer): an international order divided into large, autonomous continental spaces (Carl Schmitt), each polarized around a core power. This third way—between the nation-state nationalism rendered obsolete after the First World War and the globalism of the League of Nations—is once again presenting itself today as an updated alternative to a declining globalism.

One's utopia is the other's dystopia: A world divided among five superstates.
Austro-Japanese aristocrat Richard von Coudenhove-Kalergi's 1923 world map.
 
Regional imperialisms that restrain one another, rather than a hypocritical, monopolar planetary imperialism. Logically, if the United States were truly to accept a division of the world into autonomous great spaces, it would have to leave eastern Ukraine to Russia and Taiwan to China, in exchange for the abandonment of Sino-Russian influence in Latin America. Above all, it would have to restrain Israel in its posture towards Iran.

China, Russia, and Iran are the strategic powers that dominate the Eurasian heartland. A stabilized world order is possible only if the United States recognizes the respective spheres of influence of the Eurasian powers. This is the logical corollary of the updated Monroe Doctrine to which the Trump administration refers. Yet the history of the previous century shows that a thalassocracy of inherently globalist character does not accept a US retreat to the Western Hemisphere alone. The near future will tell us whether what is currently unfolding in Latin America marks a genuine US acceptance of a new post-globalist division of the world or the prologue to a broader conflagration.

» "Great North"—Russia, the United States, and Europe, forming a common sociocultural space. «
Vladislav Surkov, 2023.
 
The realistic scenario would thus be a division of the world into longitudinal corridors of influence among the powers of the “Global North” (Surkov), coupled with the construction of a multipolar world order of great powers that would definitively replace the faltering project of global governance. The pessimistic scenario, by contrast, would be that the move against Venezuela foreshadows an attack on Iran, after having seized control of the principal ally of political Eurasia in the southern part of the Western Hemisphere.

 
» The logic of great spaces does not have a universalist scope. The paradigm is no longer national, but spatial.  « Carl Schmitt, 1941.
 
See also:
Pierre-Antoine Plaquevent (born 1976) is a French geopolitical analyst, specializing on the intersection of infowarfare and the evolution of political philosophy. He is the founder of Strategika, a think tank and editorial platform that provides prospective analysis on international security and metapolitics.

Wednesday, January 21, 2026

Strategic and Esoteric Battles for Greenland and the Arctic | Daniel Estulin

The Greenland issue consists of both a public political element and a hidden esoteric element. I am going to explain both. The Arctic dispute is an "all-or-nothing" fight for the distribution of the North. Russia consistently maintains the position that the Gakkel Ridge is a continuation of the Eurasian continental massif. Meanwhile, the Kingdom of Denmark, by way of Greenland, proposes an alternative interpretation, linking the territory to the Mid-Atlantic Ridge.
 
» Shifting the balance of power through alliances and the control of key territories. « 
United States Pituffik Space Base, formerly Thule Air Base, on the
northwest coast of Greenland in the Kingdom of Denmark.
 
Behind this controversy, a third actor is becoming increasingly visible: the United States. They prefer to act indirectly, shifting the balance of power through alliances and the control of key territories. In their vision of global economic regionalization, this territory would encompass Greenland, Canada, the United States, and Mexico, reaching all the way down to Venezuela and Colombia. Greenland is fundamental to this configuration. Trump’s "chatter" about purchasing the island is not the eccentricity many claim it to be; rather, it is the covert activation of a process of strategic redistribution. Controlling Greenland would grant Washington more than just a military advantage by placing them closer to Russia; it would provide direct access to the core of very important Arctic resources. We are talking about colossal volumes of mineral resources. This factor, more than any other, explains the growing American interest—an interest that curiously only became public under Trump.
 
» We are talking about colossal volumes of mineral resources. «
The mythical Arctic continent oHyperborea on Gerardus Mercator’s 1595 map, split 
into the islands of Thule and Ultima Thule, often identified with Iceland and Greenland.
 
If the US establishes de facto control over Greenland, Washington will inevitably begin pushing the theory that the Gakkel Ridge is an extension of the Mid-Atlantic Ridge stretching from Greenland toward Siberia. This interpretation is dangerous because it provides the legal and political justification for US claims over the Central Arctic, where almost all the natural resources are located. This maneuver would put the US on a war footing with Russia, from whom it had wrested influence in Venezuela. In mere hours, the influence that Russia had painstakingly built over 25 years was dismantled. Now, the US is going to take northern territory. The logic is evident: Greenland allows the United States to close the Arctic arc from the North Atlantic and gain levers of influence, especially over the Northern Sea Route—Russia’s primary maritime route—which will become the main stage for resource competition over the next decade.

» This is not symbolical nor ceremonial, this is real power. «
The Prince and Grand Master of the Sovereign Military Hospitaller Order of St John of Jerusalem of 
Rhodes and of Malta, Fra’ John Dunlap, awarded King Charles III Coronation Medal, March 26, 2025.
 
That is the political side. On the other hand, there is the esoteric part. While political scientists and analysts focus on policy, geopolitics, and geoeconomics, I am going to tell you about the power in the shadows. One of the heraldic symbols of the British secret societies is the Royal Badge of Wales. Between 1953 and 2008, it featured the Red Dragon with the motto "Y ddraig goch ddyry cychwyn" ("The Red Dragon inspires action"). Though it was officially updated in 2008 to include a crown, four cheetahs, and the motto "Pleidiol Wyf i'm Gwlad" ("I am true to my country"), the claim is that the change is a cover story. The true symbol was and remains the Red Dragon—a symbol rooted in Arthurian legend and adopted by the Tudors—representing an image of unimaginable force. 
 
»
Hidden knowledge and the number 7, the force of the underworld. «
Solidly in the grips of dark forces since long before the days of Dr. Dee.
 
Furthermore, there exists an occult Order of the Green Dragon. Often described in esoteric literature as a murky mystical society linked to Tibetan or Japanese traditions, it is said to influence major historical figures through the mastery of etheric bodies. In occultism, colors, numbers, dates, and images provide a 'cover language' for the invisible world that connects mysticism to power politics. Drawing from Chinese mysticism and Masonic traditions, the Green Dragon represents hidden knowledge and the number 7, the force of the underworld, while the Red Dragon represents the number 9, symbolizing the forces that triumph on the Earth's surface and the rank of guardian angels.

» Forces that triumph on the Earth's surface and the rank of guardian angels. «
Y ddraig goch, the Welsh Red Dragon. 
 
In the 16th century, these ideas were developed by John Dee, Queen Elizabeth I’s advisor and a Welsh order Kabbalist magician. Dee was the first great intelligence agent—the original James Bond—who signed his secret documents "007." The symbol of Wales on its flag—a Red Dragon on a white and green background—reflects this. Dee’s primary work involved Enochian magic, which later influenced the Hermetic Order of the Golden Dawn in the 19th and 20th centuries. Behind this order were the 'Sons of the Sun,' a bohemian group of British nobility that included the Prince of Wales, later to become King Edward VII, the 'Peace Maker' and master spin doctor of WWI, who 'befriended' France and Russia, and built a "ring of fire" around Germany to destroy Britain's greatest rival. And it was John Dee who created the concept of "Green Land" (Greenland), proposing that Britannia create a new empire devoid of biblical elements, uniting North America and Eurasia around the Arctic. He drew from Arthurian myths to justify claims over these lands, leading to the symbolic centering of the world at the Greenwich Meridian. In today's politics, this is the project of the New Jerusalem Kabbalists based in London. 
 
» A new empire, uniting North America and Eurasia. «
A map of the Arctic, created by the US Department of State.
 
Originally, Dee's circumpolar arctic "Green Land" empire was to be realized via the dynastic lines of Elizabeth I and Ivan the Terrible (Ivan Rurik). The Rurik dynasty, founded in 862, ruled Russia for 21 generations, and they are seen as the only ones with the historical right to sit at the metaphorical round table of world power—ranking above the Rothschilds and the Rockefellers. Genghis Khan and Ivan Rurik shared a concept of monarchy as a mystical union, while the Romanovs (of German origin) became a buffer for the Holy Roman Empire against the Golden Horde of Genghis Khan from the East.

"Европейское содружество и США." — "European Commonwealth and the US."
1952 Soviet political caricature, which aged as a fine wine.
 
Now, how does this relate to current reality? Public education and the media completely dismiss the actual power of European royals, aristocratic bloodlines, the Vatican, and secret societies. But as a matter of fact, the British Crown remains the head of state not only of the UK, but also of Canada and many other countries and territories. This is not symbolical nor ceremonial, this is real power. 'Green' eugenicist globalist King Charles III is the King of Canada, and Mark Carney is the Prime Minister he approved. And a change of power is occurring in the House of Windsor—not in favor of the old King, but in favor of his eldest son William, the son of Diana Spencer (a direct blood descendant of the Stuart monarchs and a distant Tudor), married to Kate Middleton, whose mother, Carole Elizabeth Middleton, comes from the famous Jewish billionaire Goldsmith family. To be clear: sooner than later power is moving from Elizabeth II via Charles III to William, the Prince of Wales. The struggle of the Spencers against the Windsors (the German Saxe-Coburg and Gothas, the Glücksburgs, and the Battenbergs) is a war between old and new princes, about how Britain will carry out its 'biblical alliances' during the current change of eras. 
  
Reference:
 
  
» History in the making! «
Born in 1966, Daniel Estulin is a Soviet-Lithuanian-born Russian expatriate, PhD in Political and Social Economy (UAM, Spain), and self-identified former KGB agent. He has published 14 books, including "Los secretos del club Bilderberg" (2006) and "The True Story of the Bilderberg Group" (2009), with sales exceeding 7 million copies in 68 countries. In 2010, after Fidel Castro praised and quoted his work in public, the two met in Havana for high-profile meetings. On Castro's recommendation, Estulin served for years as an intelligence and military consultant to the Venezuelan Chavista elite, advising figures like Rafael Ramírez and Delcy Rodríguez. Now based in Cancún, he analyzes global affairs via estulin.media and his YouTube and Telegram channels.