Showing posts with label Technofeudalism. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Technofeudalism. Show all posts

Sunday, October 26, 2025

US Economy: A Closed-Loop Scam And AI-Bubble About to Pop? | Bloomberg

The entire US economy right now seems to be seven companies sending a trillion fake dollars back and forth to each other. This isn't a joke. This is actually real, and the AI scam is going to come crashing down. Soon?

The AI Funding Loop Scam and Bubble according to Bloomberg, October 8, 2025.
The AI Funding Loop Scam and Bubble according to Bloomberg, October 8, 2025. 
 
Sooner or later. A Bloomberg diagram (see above on the right) reveals trillions in circular AI deals among tech giants like Nvidia ($4.5T market cap), Microsoft ($3.9T), and OpenAI ($500B valuation). Examples include Nvidia's $100 billion investment in OpenAI and Oracle's $300 billion cloud partnership. This interconnected funding, detailed in Bloomberg's October 8, 2025, report, has fueled a $1 trillion AI market and $192.7 billion in 2025 Venture Capital investments. However, as these mutual deals lack broad economic productivity gains, they raise concerns about a potential bubble.
 
The "Magnificent 7" make up approximately 30% of the S&P 500.
  
The "Magnificent 7" mega-cap tech stocks—Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta , Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla—make up approximately 30% of the S&P 500 and have driven most of the index’s recent performance. As of October 26, 2025, their combined market capitalization exceeds $21 trillion, highlighting their outsized global influence. Nvidia leads the group with a $4.535 trillion market cap, driven by AI chip demand, with Apple and Microsoft close behind in the $3.9 trillion range. While Tesla has the lowest capitalization in the group, its explosive one-year growth reflects optimism around EVs and autonomy despite recent volatility.

» We're gonna win so much that you may even get tired of winning! You’ll say: 'Please, please, it’s
too much winning. We can't take it anymore, Mr. President. It’s too much!' And I’ll reply—'No, it isn’t! 
We have to keep winning, we have to win more!' «
 Circus Maximus Ringmaster Narcissus during his presidential election campaign in October 2024.
 
The group's average trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 70 is significantly higher than the S&P 500's average of about 25, signaling substantial bubble risks. Nvidia’s P/E of 53.22 and Tesla’s extremely high 303.30 suggest a premium pricing based on lofty future growth expectations. However, forward P/E ratios, such as Alphabet’s 23.31, indicate potential P/E compression if growth moderates. Alphabet leads the group with a 60.44% one-year return, fueled by ad revenue and AI integrations like Gemini. Tesla's 66.51% one-year gain stands out but is contrasted by a -3.40% daily drop, tied to recent production updates. Year-to-date, Nvidia (+38.73%) and Alphabet (+37.75%) are the top performers, while Amazon (+2.20%) and Apple (+5.32%) have cooled amid broader market rotations.

  
US margin debt reached a record high of $1.13 trillion in September 2025, a 6.3% monthly surge, according to FINRA margin statistics. The Wolf Street chart above shows this leverage at 2% of the S&P 500 market capitalization, surpassing the 1.7% peak seen during the dot-com bubble in March 2000. This metric tracks investor borrowing for stock purchases; historical spikes, such as the 2.5% of market cap level preceding the 2008 financial crisis, have often foreshadowed sharp market corrections, as borrowed funds amplify both rallies and forced selling during downturns.

US margin debt reached a record high of $1.13 trillion in September 2025, a 6.3% monthly surge, according to FINRA margin statistics. The Wolf Street chart above shows this leverage at 2% of the S&P 500 market capitalization, surpassing the 1.7% peak seen during the dot-com bubble in March 2000. This metric tracks investor borrowing for stock purchases; historical spikes, such as the 2.5% of market cap level preceding the 2008 financial crisis, have often foreshadowed sharp market corrections, as borrowed funds amplify both rallies and forced selling during downturns.
 
» As bearish as I want to be, I’d say the odds of any pullback being only a consolidation and not the real reversal are increasing as the next major cycle inflection is early next year. « Tom Pizzuti, October 27, 2025.
»
As bearish as I want to be, I’d say the odds of any pullback being only a consolidation and
not the real reversal are increasing as the next major cycle inflection is early next year. «
Tom Pizzuti, October 27, 2025
 

Tuesday, March 18, 2025

Give Russia a Free Hand All the Way to the English Channel | Curtis Yarvin

There are no realistic American foreign-policy goals, in the usual sense, for Europe. Realistic foreign-policy goals are either military or economic. Europe is not a military threat to the United States in any way. Europe has a trade surplus with the US, which means that cutting off trade with Europe would by definition grow the US economy.

»
 Now it is Russia’s fate to again restore order in Europe. «
Curtis Yarvin—associate of Peter Thiel, Elon Musk, and JD Vance—is a leading proponent of American absolute monarchy and CEO-style technofeudalism, envisioned as an alternative to the current ossified and dysfunctional US oligarchic regime. Originally a software engineer and tech entrepreneur, Yarvin rose to prominence as the contrarian blogger “Mencius Moldbug,” before emerging as a provocative public intellectual admired by segments of both the US tech oligarchy and conservative circles.
 
Rather, under a Trump administration, the goal of US foreign policy in Europe is to impact domestic power in America. [...] The liquidation of “Ukraine,” comedian-Presidents, petrochemical magnates and all—will be an enormous blow to both State and Defense. It will suggest to all other client states that Washington can no longer guarantee their “sovereignty,” whether by diplomacy or by force. But thinking only in terms of [Ukraine being] “the Texas of Russia” is thinking way too small. Rather, Trump should give Russia a free hand not just in Russian-speaking territories—but all the way to the English Channel.

» There is only one way: withdraw from Europe. «
Isolationist Curtis Yarvin talking with Pete Quiñones about Trump 2.0 in 2024: Ruling by executive orders, 
the end of globalism and democracy, the withdrawal of all US forces from Europe, and leaving it to 
Russia to deal with Ukraine and the rest of the Continent, January 21, 2022.
 
The goal of a Trumpist foreign policy in Europe is to withdraw American influence from Europe. This will guarantee the defeat of liberalism on the Continent. Here in America, this will show liberals and conservatives alike that liberalism is mortal—with gargantuan effects on the morale of both. And as Clausewitz said, all conflicts are mainly about morale.

Liberal ideas are not indigenous to the region. They are Anglo-American ideas. They washed in on a tide of money, fashion, and bombs. And what nation has done more and better work, in the last two centuries, at defeating liberalism in Europe? While the Germans in the 20th century may have tried—the Russians in the 19th succeeded. [...] Now it is Russia’s fate to again restore order in Europe. Since America is stronger than Russia, Trump needs to let Putin really know it’s okay to do it. There is only one way to send this message unequivocally: withdraw from Europe.

Money Can Buy Is Trying To Grab Nord Stream Before Leaving For Good. Versailles 3.0. Make These Goys Pay Again.  
Greenland-Canada Calling. Four-Thumbs-Up.

Trump will order the withdrawal of all US forces and diplomats, all bases, embassies and consulates, from the continent of Europe. Any diplomatic conversations, if any are still necessary, can be handled by email or zoom. [...] If these facilities did not exist, no one would invent them. In their nominal purpose—peer-to-peer communication between sovereign governments—they are anachronous. In their actual purpose—client-server supervision of satellite governments—they are obnoxious. By withdrawing all American personnel stationed in Europe, Trump is not abandoning Europe—he is setting it free. Much as Gorbachev freed the Warsaw Pact.
 
 
Tucker Carlson talking with Curtis Yarvin about 
the Perils of American Oligarchy, September 9, 2021.
 

Sunday, March 2, 2025

Quantum Computing: Paving the Way for the Tech Oligarchy's Totalitarianism

Microsoft has announced a breakthrough in quantum computing, creating Majorana 1 quantum chip, with 8 topological qubits.’ This innovation could lead to more scalable and powerful quantum computers. The concept of qubits is crucial. Unlike traditional binary code, which uses 1s and 0s, qubits exist in a state of uncertainty, allowing for almost infinite computational power. Topological qubits take this a step further, using a new state of matter called topoconductor (Majorana quasiparticles) to maintain particles in a grid and prevent errors.

Microsoft Majorana 1 quantum chip.
 
Microsoft's achievement is credited to its collaboration with DARPA, the US Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency. The implications are significant, as a functional quantum computer could potentially break all encryption keys and passwords, granting control over global information. The possibilities are endless. With a million qubits, a quantum computer could solve complex problems that would take conventional computers billions of years to solve. This raises concerns about the potential risks and consequences of such powerful technology, particularly when combined with artificial intelligence.
 
Google's Willow microchip, previously considered the most advanced quantum computing technology, has been surpassed by Microsoft's achievement. Experts predict that a functional quantum computer could be developed within the next five years, changing the foundations of human society and transforming us into something else.

On March 3, 2025, Chinese scientists unveiled a quantum computer prototype named "Zuchongzhi 3.0" with 105 
superconducting transmon qubits, marking a breakthrough in China's quantum computing advancements. 
Able to achieve results that would take classical supercomputers over 6.4 billion years, the Zuchongzhi 3.0
Quantum Processor reportedly outpaces Google's Willow by "million times".

The potential risks are terrifying. Increasing intelligence by 10 billion times with quantum computing could be catastrophic. Artificial intelligence could become uncontrollable, and the consequences would be dire. As quantum computing advances, it's essential to consider the potential impact on global security, artificial intelligence, and human society as a whole.