Showing posts with label WW3. Show all posts
Showing posts with label WW3. Show all posts

Monday, July 13, 2026

"Barbault Basket": Known World Ends, New One Begins | Mark A. Shryock

The article "The World We Have Known Ends This July—a New One Begins" by Mark A. Shryock explores the "Barbault Basket," a rare, symmetrical astrological configuration peaking between July 19–21, 2026. 
 
 » The most beautiful and beneficial configuration of the 21st century. «
Five planets—Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune, Pluto—will lock into a geometric pattern that French astrologer André Barbault spent his entire life trying to understand. He called it a "basket." It is a rare alignment in which the slow outer planets cluster in one section of the zodiac wheel while one planet sits apart, like a handle on a basket. Barbault believed this formation marks periods when civilizations reorganize themselves—when the old order breaks apart and something new attempts to take its place. 
 
This July, the basket he theorized will appear for the first time in the 21st century. Barbault rejected intuitive readings, focusing instead on tracking planetary data across centuries. He refined the Cyclic Index, a tool that sums the closest angular distances among the five outer planets, and discovered that low index values—signifying tight cosmic clustering—have historically aligned with global catastrophes such as the Black Death, the Spanish Flu, and World War II. 
 
The Barbault Basket (July 19–21, 2026): Jupiter (~6° Leo) opposing Pluto (~4.5° Aquarius, orb ~1.9°), supported by tight harmonics: Neptune (4° Aries R) sextile Pluto (~0.2°), trine Jupiter (~2.2°); Uranus (2° Gemini) trine Pluto (~2.2°) and sextile Jupiter. Saturn (~14° Aries) anchors the Aries cluster.
The Barbault Basket (July 19–21, 2026)a rare outer-planet configuration—Jupiter (~6° Leo) opposing Pluto (~4.5° Aquarius, orb ~1.9°), supported by tight harmonics: Neptune (4° Aries R) sextile Pluto (~0.2°), trine Jupiter (~2.2°); Uranus (2° Gemini) trine Pluto (~2.2°) and sextile Jupiter. Saturn (~14° Aries) anchors the Aries cluster.  A "basket/cradle" activating long cycles during the Cyclic Index ascent—signaling a pivotal civilizational shift: renewal, innovation, and collective reorganization after 2020s crises. Precise tropical longitudes confirm the symmetry—pointing to power shifts, creative breakthroughs, and spiritual-technological realignment. 
Using this system, Barbault famously published a prediction in 2011 that accurately identified a global pandemic window for 2020–2022. The upcoming July 2026 basket is distinct from the broader index, forming a precise 72-hour geometric pattern in which Pluto, Neptune, Uranus, and Jupiter converge at the 4-degree mark of their respective zodiac signs. In this configuration, Pluto, Neptune, and Uranus form a supportive “Minor Grand Trine,” while Jupiter in Leo acts as an opposing “handle” to complete the basket shape. 
 
Because this alignment simultaneously activates three major historical outer-planet macro cycles, Barbault designated it as the most beautiful and beneficial configuration of the 21st century, predicting it would trigger a "splendid re-launch of civilization" following the post-2020 global crisis. Culturally and socioeconomically, he believed this threshold would elevate the lower strata of the global population, alleviate severe poverty through international solidarity, and force humanity to choose between mechanical technological expansion and deeper spiritual evolution. This shift is further extended by a second basket configuration forming a year later, in June 2027.
 
The Sun's offset from the center of mass of the solar system
 (black dots on the left side of dates), 2025-2040.
Astronomically, Shryock notes that planetary alignments can shift the solar system’s barycenter over 800,000 km from the Sun’s center. Critics stress that any link between this asymmetry and human behavior remains unproven—likely apophenia or selection bias. Some classical astrologers add that the basket’s “soft aspects” may foster complacency and escapism as easily as constructive systemic change.
To understand how Barbault’s methodology operates, it is useful to examine both the specific zodiac signs activated in the 2026 alignment and the historical precedent of 1989. The July 2026 basket simultaneously activates four different signs at the 4-degree mark, a placement representing the most raw and emergent expression of their symbolic energies. Pluto in Aquarius drives the systemic dismantling of old collective power structures and the transformation of technological networks. Opposing this is Jupiter in Leo, acting as the basket’s handle to amplify creative expression, joy, and individual sovereignty following periods of collective trauma. 
 
Meanwhile, Neptune in Aries introduces a spiritualized dimension to human action, while Uranus in Gemini triggers sudden technological breakthroughs and reshapes collective communication systems. Barbault previously demonstrated the utility of tracking outer-planet configurations by successfully anticipating the geopolitical shifts of 1989. Writing decades earlier in his 1967 book Les Astres et l’Histoire, he identified that a rare triple conjunction of Saturn, Uranus, and Neptune in Capricorn during 1988–1989 would determine the geopolitical trajectory of the 21st century. He theorized that the world’s two dominant superpowers would simultaneously reach the end of their rivalry and merge into a single current. This mathematical forecast materialized in the collapse of the Soviet Union and the fall of the Berlin Wall.
 
The second basket configuration, forming in June 2027, acts as a critical continuation of the transformative threshold initiated in July 2026. According to the article, this alignment deepens the broader civilizational recovery while shifting the planetary emphasis through the introduction of different symbolic archetypes. Mathematically, the 2027 configuration involves the dwarf planet Ceres positioning itself at 6–7 degrees Leo, directly opposing Pluto at 6 degrees Aquarius. 
 
This tension forms the "handle" of the second basket, while Uranus in Gemini and Neptune in Aries create smooth, flowing aspects to Pluto at the same degree, forming the supportive base. Because Ceres represents agricultural fertility, cycles of grief, and nurturing, astrologers interpret this configuration as a pivot toward rebuilding, regeneration, and healing a fractured world. The transition suggests that while the 2026 alignment focuses on large-scale structural, political, and systemic resets, the 2027 configuration emphasizes the integration of feminine, matriarchal archetypes to ground and sustain those changes over the long term.
 

Friday, July 3, 2026

The Nihilistic Moral Collapse of the West | Alastair Crooke

We are experiencing a complete nihilistic moral collapse in the West in so many ways. We have lost sight of what it is to be human. We are undermining civilization—our civilization and all civilizations—by these sorts of completely amoral actions that take place. 
 

We have to try to find a way of recreating a civilizational structure that provides the moral foundations for how people behave and who they are. They always come, basically, from the old myths and narratives of a civilization. 
These are the moral stories that create the architecture by which ordinary people steer their lives and live. And when you lose that, you are on a path to utter destruction.
» I keep hearing that we can't kill the leaders of another country when we're negotiating with them. I'm sorry, that's not how the rules work. The rules say we can't invite them to a negotiation, seat them at a table, and then go all "Game of Thrones Red Wedding" on them. That's against the rules.


But once they have shown that they're not going to work and that they're actually an obstacle to peace, then we have every right to go ahead and turn some of those people into their component molecules and fly some missiles through their windows to make sure that the rest of the people negotiating on that side know not to mess around with President Trump. And I can guarantee that the CIA and Mossad have a list of people to whom that could happen that is long and distinguished. That could be a good next step. « 

Jim Hanson, President, Security Studies Group (US national security think tank), July 2, 2026.
Jim Hanson is an example of someone on the path to having no moral standing at all, to suggest that it's fine to kill leaders of other countries. It's really very distressing to hear that, and it should be condemned clearly.

 
» They are all there! One shot and we take them all out. « 
Orange ape calls Ayatollah Khamenei's funeral a military opportunity.

Sunday, June 28, 2026

Oil Outlook 2026: Navigating the Upcoming 40-Week Cycle Low | Namzes

18-Month Cycle & Major Lows: The 18-month cycle low that I was anticipating for mid-December 2025 arrived right on schedule (see middle panel). We likely also have a major 4-to-5-year cycle low in place, meaning we are in the very early stages of a new macro up-cycle.


Impending 40-Week Cycle Low: We are currently due for a 40-week cycle low, which historically carries a wide range but averages around 228 days. Over the next few weeks, we could see the market retest or slightly undercut recent lows, potentially filling the $67.83 gap on WTI futures (note that the Brent gap has already been filled).
 
 
 
Next Leg Higher: Once this low is firmly established, I expect the next leg higher to carry into the fall, aligning with typical seasonal strength through roughly October.
 

Short-Term vs. Long-Term Technicals: Price is currently trading within the 20-week projection range—the half-cycle offset is illustrated in blue and purple (h/t Peter Eliades for bringing his excellent service to TradingView). To trigger the upside projections, price needs to reclaim its 200-day moving average (DMA), represented by the white line. Reclaiming this level is crucial to repairing the otherwise weak short-term technical picture.


Path to $150+: While the long-term structure looks like a textbook bullish breakout and retest, short-term momentum remains firmly to the downside. We need to see price recapture the 200 DMA and ultimately break above the diagonal resistance levels in the $80s, establishing a constructive structure of higher lows and higher highs on both the daily and weekly charts. The $120 level remains a massive overhead resistance; however, a clean close above it unlocks a move toward $150–$160, which remains our primary target for the coming months.


Speculator Capitulation: Speculative positioning has dropped significantly across both Brent and WTI (green line in bottom panel). This washout in positioning strongly supports the idea that a bottoming process is underway. There is a massive amount of dry powder in terms of financial barrels that can be aggressively added back the momentum shifts to the upside.
 

 
 
China Import Anomaly: The most critical variable to watch—and the primary reason oil prices haven't surged higher—is Chinese oil imports. China has essentially cut its imports in half, a reduction that effectively neutralized about 50% of the lost production and supply disruptions in the Gulf. They achieved this either by cutting refinery runs or aggressively drawing down their underground inventories (though without full data visibility, the exact mix remains speculative).

Macro Inventory Gamble: How long can China sustain a drawdown of 5 to 6 million barrels per day (MBD)? That is above my pay grade, but the global market is clearly continuing to deplete its inventories. The market is essentially betting on a normalization of the Strait of Hormuz and a return to regular production levels, which would theoretically allow countries to refill their Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) at lower prices.
 
 
Trump-Xi Geopolitical Quid Pro Quo? This massive inventory drawdown directly coincided with the recent Trump-Xi summit. It raises an interesting geopolitical question: Did the Trump administration quietly trade a policy of non-intervention regarding a China-Taiwan reunification in exchange for Beijing drawing down its inventories to suppress oil prices during this crisis? Given that China appears poised to move on Taiwan in the next few years anyway, Washington may have decided to extract a major economic concession while they still could.
 
The most important thing to watch, and the reason oil prices never went higher, is China's oil imports. They essentially cut imports in half, neutralizing about half of all lost Gulf production and supply. They did this either by reducing refinery runs or drawing down underground inventories (which remains speculation due to a lack of visibility).

How long can they continue drawing 5–6 MBD? That is beyond my pay grade, but the world is clearly depleting inventories—effectively betting on Hormuz normalization and a return to normal production levels that would allow SPR refills at lower prices.

This also coincided with the Trump-Xi summit. Did Trump trade non-intervention in a China-Taiwan reunification for China drawing down inventories during this crisis to keep oil prices lower? China will take Taiwan in the next few years anyway, so they might as well get something out of China in exchange.
 
With the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) running at maximum levels in June and China cutting its imports in half, trapped tankers are now trying to exit the Strait of Hormuz simultaneously, putting heavy downward pressure on the spot market. However, looking a few months out, the picture becomes far less rosy.
 
 
First, the current SPR release will stop shortly, and those borrowed barrels must be returned with interest. Second, while Gulf production needs to ramp up, Iran is actively trying to control and slow down traffic; recognizing that the Strait of Hormuz is their primary leverage, they are attempting to restrict shipping lanes to their side of the strait, as shown in the chart above. Third, China will eventually have to normalize its imports, which will reintroduce 5 to 6 MBD of incremental demand to the market. Finally, the world has drawn down over 1 billion barrels of inventory that must be replenished, leaving nations with very little cushion for further emergency SPR releases in the event of any future escalation.
 
Is the grand TACO real? Iran won the war and Trump capitulated, giving Iran everything they asked for. Knowing Trump, it is very possible he signed an MOU just to open the strait and lower oil prices, without any intent to keep his side of the agreement.

Iran will try to keep Hormuz traffic constrained to avoid giving up their oil card, so expect periodic escalations. Furthermore, Israel doesn’t want this deal to be signed, so they will continue escalations in Lebanon; since Lebanon was included in the agreement, this undermines any long-term peace deal. If escalations continue, Iran would be inclined to seek nuclear weapons as the only long-term deterrent against the US and Israel. Ultimately, we should expect more back-and-forth escalations rather than one grand deal or reopening.

 
Bottom line: There is no easy solution and no fast path to normalization. Iran holds the cards and won’t give them up at this stage. Oil trading sub-70 is a function of short-term flows of trapped barrels out of Hormuz, SPR releases, the China import boycott, and a speculator positioning unwind. Looking a couple of months out, the risk-reward is heavily skewed to the upside.

 

Tuesday, June 9, 2026

"Hell Will Start in the Middle East" | Krzysztof Jackowski

Today is June 7th. The first feeling is that hell will start in the Middle East. There will be an attack on Israel. Forces will ally against Israel. Israel will provoke events in order to be attacked. It is highly probable that such an attack on Israel will occur so that America becomes more active.

 
Trump is clearly backing away from continuing the war with Iran. At this time, Israel will want to increase war activity. This may be done to provoke an attack on Israel between the 11th and the 16th of June. The situation may significantly escalate.

 
Krzysztof Jackowski (born 1963) is a self-described clairvoyant and psychic investigator from Człuchów, Poland. Of modest background and without documented formal higher education or training in investigative or scientific fields, he worked in manual trades before gaining national attention in the 1990s for assisting in missing-person cases, reportedly using extrasensory perception to locate bodies and provide investigative leads. Since then, he has frequently appeared in Polish media sharing predictions about political, economic, and global events, and has more recently built a large online following, especially on YouTube. Skeptics, however, dismiss Poland's most famous psychic as a charlatan, arguing that his "shotgun technique"—issuing hundreds of vague, wide-ranging predictions—guarantees that a small fraction will, by sheer probability, coincide with real-world events by chance.
June 9, 2026: Iran continues to humiliate the orange ape. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas
Araghchi explains to the simpleton that the Strait of Hormuz belongs to Iran and Oman.
 
June 7, 2026: 
Khaybar Shekan, another Iranian ballistic 
missile with cluster munitions, slams into I$raHell.
 
See also:

Saturday, May 23, 2026

2026 Saturn-Neptune Conjunction: Global Ideological and Institutional Reset

 
The above geopolitical cycle model developed by André Barbault correlates major transformations with long planetary cycles, especially the geocentric 36-year conjunction cycle of Saturn and Neptune, historically associated with ideological restructuring of states and political systems
Saturn-Neptune 
conjunction in Aries on February 20, 2026.
It is important to recognize that in both geocentric and heliocentric mundane astrology, outer-planet cycles—such as the conjunction of Saturn and Neptune—describe broad rhythms of global historical development rather than events confined to the USSR, Russia, or any other single empire, state, nation, or civilization (as is the case in natal astrology applied to states, nations, etc.). 
 
36-Year Saturn-Neptune Conjunction Cycle (1600 to 2200 | EST/EDT).
 
 
Saturn represents structure, boundaries, authority, governments, discipline, death, and the weight of material reality, as well as time. Neptune signifies dreams, illusions, disillusionment, ideology, deception, oil, religion, and the transcendent—along with spirituality. When these two planets conjoin, a collision occurs between the real and the ideal: old structures dissolve, new visions emerge, and the line between liberation and tyranny becomes increasingly blurred.

The latest Saturn-Neptune conjunction occurred on February 20, 2026 at 0° Aries, the Aries Point traditionally linked with events of global manifestation. This alignment inaugurated a new Saturn–Neptune cycle extending roughly from 2026 to 2062 and therefore marks a probable phase of systemic ideological and institutional reorganization comparable in structural significance to earlier conjunction periods such as 1917 and 1989. The broader planetary configuration intensifies the importance of this reset (see table below). Pluto entered Aquarius in 2024, a transit associated with technological transformation, mass mobilization, and redistribution of political power that lasts into the 2040s. 

Neptune is moving into Aries in 2025–2026, symbolizing ideological mobilization and the emergence of new collective narratives, while Saturn also enters Aries in 2026, imposing institutional pressure and forcing structural redefinition of political authority. At the same time Uranus enters Gemini in 2026, historically correlated with communication revolutions and geopolitical confrontation; previous passages coincided with the American Revolutionary era and the Second World War. 

The simultaneous ingress of several outer planets during the mid-2020s therefore indicates a rare generational transition affecting technological systems, ideological structures, and geopolitical balances.
 
The February 2026 Saturn–Neptune conjunction marks the opening of a new ideological cycle. The most volatile interval will be approximately 2025–2030, when structural tensions manifest through wars, crises and systemic reorganization, followed by institutional consolidation and a new world order between roughly 2032 and 2035. 
Within this configuration the latest Saturn–Neptune conjunction functions as the cycle’s ignition point. Conjunction phases historically coincide with dissolution of prevailing ideological frameworks and the emergence of new political narratives. When combined with Pluto in Aquarius and Uranus in Gemini, the interval from roughly 2025 to 2027 appears as the principal systemic shock phase. 

Short-term activations occur when faster bodies cross the conjunction degree: transits of Mars and the Sun in February–March 2026 and again during mid-2026, when Mars forms tense aspects with Uranus, represent a trigger windows during which underlying structural tensions manifest through political crises, financial disruptions, and abrupt internal, regional, and global geopolitical confrontations.
 
 
After the conjunction the cycle normally enters a formative phase lasting several years. Between approximately 2028 and 2031 the developing Saturn–Neptune dynamic may manifest as ideological polarization and attempts to construct new institutional frameworks. 

» 
The old world is dying, and the new world struggles to be born: now is the time of monsters. «
Antonio Gramsci, Prison Notebook #3, 1930.

Uranus advancing through Gemini emphasizes technological rivalry, cyber conflict, and strategic competition in communications and artificial intelligence, while Pluto in Aquarius intensifies collective movements and challenges entrenched hierarchies of power. The interaction of these cycles suggests a period in which nations, states, and civilizations experience pronounced internal political tension while simultaneously confronting structural competition within an evolving multipolar and eurasiacentric international system.
 
By the early 2030s this cycle tends toward consolidation. From roughly 2032 to 2035 the ideological and institutional structures that emerge from the earlier crisis phase are likely to stabilize, producing revised political doctrines, new geopolitical alignments, or reconfigured economic frameworks. Historical precedents indicate that such consolidation does not necessarily imply decline; states, nations, and civilizations often emerge from these cycles transformed but institutionally durable. 
 
Nevertheless, the concentration of outer-planet transitions in the mid-2020s implies that the interval from about 2025 to 2030 represents the most volatile portion of the Saturn–Neptune cycle. In strict cyclical terms, this period constitutes the window in which all states, nations, and civilizations in the international system most likely encounter a decisive ideological and structural turning point shaping the political order of the subsequent decades.
 
See also:

Thursday, May 21, 2026

Three Major War Cycles Converging 2027–2032 | Richard Smith

Richard Smith, CEO, Chairman of the Board, and Executive Director of the Foundation for the Study of Cycles, presented research on long-term cycles in war and human conflict. His analysis reveals deep interconnections between warfare, economic activity, food production, and solar phenomena, potentially mediated by solar radiation and Earth’s geomagnetic influences on biological and social systems.

» All three cycle families show rising phase conditions in the current window. A convergence appears around 2027-2032. «
16-year Dewey cycle (brown) | 26-year Mogey cycle (red) | 63-year long-wave (blue)
 
Building on the Foundation's archives and the work of Edward R. Dewey (1895–1978) and Raymond H. Wheeler (1892–1961), Smith's analysis revives and extends early 20th-century cycles research using modern tools, including AI-assisted digitization and the Foundation's Cycle Analyzer. Wheeler's landmark dataset spans roughly 2,600 years (from 600 BC onward), meticulously documenting and ranking battles by severity. Dewey, motivated by his experiences in World War I and II, identified recurring rhythms across diverse phenomena to better understand and potentially mitigate societal calamities.

Dewey observed a prominent 54-year cycle manifesting across multiple domains—including international battles, wheat prices, sunspots, tree rings, and financial instruments—with major peaks in 1917, 1971, and a projected crest in 2025. He also highlighted a 17.7-year cycle in warfare data derived from Wheeler's records through 1957. Projections of this cycle similarly converge on 2025. Unlike much of today's single-series technical analysis, Dewey's approach emphasized cycles that appeared independently across unrelated phenomena. The consistent recurrence of the same wavelengths across disparate datasets served as strong evidence of meaningful underlying rhythms.
 
» The entire vast area of human madness. «
Alexander L. Chizhevsky, 1922.

Smith has validated and extended this historical research with contemporary conflict datasets, including the Correlates of War (COW) Project, battle-related deaths statistics, and the UCDP Conflict Data Project. He also incorporated long-term economic and solar series such as wheat prices (from 1259), commodities, gold, silver, and sunspot records. Statistical analysis confirms several robust cycle families appearing consistently across war, economic, agricultural, and solar data:
 
16–20 year cycle (≈18 years, the Dewey cycle)
28–30 year cycle (Mogey cycle)
39–40 year cycle
56–60 year cycle
85–100 year cycle 

These cycles frequently achieve high statistical significance (often 90%+ on Bartels tests) across independent datasets. Smith's chart above titled "Three Cycles Rising — Where Are We Now?" illustrates the combined phasing of the three most prominent cycles from 1975 to 2035:

16-year Dewey cycle (brown)
26-year Mogey cycle (red)
63-year long-wave (blue)
 
Smith's analysis indicates that the three major war cycles will converge in a synchronized uptrend between 2027 and 2032, suggesting elevated risks of conflict, instability, and related phenomena into the early 2030s, with broader peaks potentially extending toward 2040.
 
 
  
» The tallest peak, and hence the strongest average cycle, is at the 4th fraction of 214 years (top scale), or 53.5 years (bottom scale). [...] Could this cycle be the well-established 54-year cycle? «
Edward Dewey, 1967.
"Cycles in War and Peace" by Richard Mogey (Cycles, Vol. 41, No. 1, 1990).
 
CIA. 9 October 1953. CONFIDENTIAL. 
MEMORANDUM FOR THE DEPUTY DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE.
SUBJECT: Mr. Edward R. Dewey - Cycles Analysis.
 
See also:
  
Published during World War II in 1943, this info chart "Business Booms and Depressions Since 1775" reflects an era when
US corporations and financial institutions were striving to forecast, adapt to, and navigate the looming postwar economy.