The Art of the $1.3 Trillion 'Screw You' Deal: EU Pays Up, US Gives Nothing

The $1.3 trillion US–EU trade agreement, reached after a tense 40-minute meeting between POTUS Trump and the President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen at Trump’s Scottish golf course on July 27, avoids a full-blown trade war. 

 

The US gave absolutely nothing, and Trump celebrates his "biggest trade deal" yet.

 

As expected, Brussels, the tribute-bound US vassal, folded under pressure, and the circus ringmaster turned European diplomacy into an intergalactic howler: The EU accepted a 15% US tariff on its exports—while the US kept zero tariffs in return. Europe agreed to invest $600 billion into the US economy, pledged to buy hundreds of billions' worth of overpriced American weapons, and committed to $750 billion in US LNG purchases—$250 billion over the next three years alone—because apparently that's better than cheap gas through Nord Stream. In exchange, the US gave... absolutely nothing.
 

Von der Leyen, "You're known as a tough negotiator and dealmaker." Trump, "But fair." 

Von der Leyen, "And fair." Trump adds, "That's less important." Room erupts in laughter.

 

Steel, aluminum, and pharmaceuticals remain excluded. This 'screw you' deal is seen as an absolute geopolitical and geoeconomic win for Trump, reinforcing his strategy of tariff threats and pressure, echoed in recent deals with Japan, Vietnam, and others.  

 

Brussels' Barbie—Trump’s total contempt: incompetent, corrupt, compromised.

 

Marine Le Pen, a veteran right-wing politician from France, calls the deal a political, economic, and moral "fiasco", and "an outright surrender for French industry and for our energy and military sovereignty"; Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov predicts "it will cause Europe’s further deindustrialization".

 

Reference:

The Duran (July 28, 2025)  - US-EU Trade Deal. Trump gets everything, Ursula gets nothing. (video) 

Lena Petrova (July 28, 2025) - $1.3 Trillion Pledge: EU Folds Under Pressure as Trump Celebrates the Biggest Trade Win Yet. (video)

 

It is difficult, indeed.

89 Seconds to Midnight on the Doomsday Clock | Jeffrey Sachs

There are nine countries known to possess nuclear weapons. Perhaps more do, but nine are confirmed. Most of these countries are in geopolitical or diplomatic conflict with at least one other nuclear power. In the case of the United States and Russia, they are in open conflict—specifically in Ukraine—which is in fact a war between the US and Russia, and an extremely dangerous one. 

The world is sick of the US, Zionism, and I$raHell.

We must understand the global scene clearly in order to avoid terrible, potentially catastrophic mistakes. The US seems unable to accept a world in which it is no longer the sole superpower. But that era is over. The future is multipolar. The sooner Washington accepts this, the safer we will all be.

 

I often refer to the Doomsday Clock created by the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists—a US publication founded in 1947 after the US atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. [...] When the clock was first introduced, it was set at 7 minutes to midnight. [...] Today, the clock stands at just 89 seconds to midnight.

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio described Gaza’s residents as "vicious animals." 

When asked whether he would call for a ceasefire, Rubio replied, "I will not do that."

21st-century Nazism or plain and simple Zionism?

 

The US sees every conflict as a zero-sum game—one side must win, and the other must lose. There is no room for compromise, coexistence, or mutual respect. But the world doesn’t work that way. In our deeply interconnected and nuclear-armed world, we must find ways to cooperate—even with rivals.

The US needs to abandon its imperial mindset and embrace a new paradigm: one based on multipolarity, mutual respect, and the rule of international law. That is the only path to peace—not just in Ukraine or the Middle East, but globally. And I believe China has an important role to play in this transformation.

 

China has consistently advocated for a multipolar world, a peaceful international order, and respect for sovereignty. These are not just slogans; they are the foundation for a workable global system in the 21st century. China’s own development since 1980 has shown that economic progress does not require military aggression. Instead, China has focused on infrastructure, education, trade, technology, and long-term planning.

The most ambitious water resource allocation plans

in world history are currently taking shape—in China. 

The Belt and Road Initiative, launched over a decade ago, has helped dozens of countries—especially in the Global South—gain access to much-needed infrastructure. Rather than exporting war, China is exporting railways, highways, ports, and power grids. That is a model the world needs. But unfortunately, the United States sees China’s rise not as a positive development, but as a threat.

Washington policymakers talk about “decoupling,” “containment,” and even “strategic rivalry.” They send warships through the Taiwan Strait and arms to Taipei. They push military alliances in the Pacific and increase military budgets, all in the name of “competition.” But what does that competition really mean? If it’s about innovation, education, clean energy, and development—then fine. Let’s compete to build a better world. But if it’s about military encirclement, economic warfare, and ideological confrontation—then we are heading toward disaster. 

Quoted from:
Jeffrey Sachs (July 25, 2025) - US Foreign Policy and the Global Crisis: The Doomsday Clock Is Ticking. (video) 
 

See also:
Martin Armstrong (July 21, 2025)  - 100% Chance of Nuclear War as Early as August. 

Martin Armstrong (May 2, 2024)  - The Kremlin's Last Warning: Will Russia Push the Button? 

BRICS Today (March 9, 2025) - Major Infrastructure by BRICS: Projects Reshaping Geopolitics and Global Supply Chains.

100% Chance of Nuclear War as Early as August │ Martin Armstrong

Six weeks ago, financial and geopolitical cycle analyst Martin Armstrong was signaling a major turn toward war. Now, Armstrong says, "The chances of war with a nuclear exchange are at 100%. Plan on it—this is coming."

» The chances of a war involving a nuclear exchange are at 100%. 

Plan for it—this is coming. Starting in August, this whole situation is going to escalate.  «

 
Can the world avoid nuclear war with President Trump’s 50-day deadline given to Russia to make peace in Ukraine? Armstrong says, "You do not threaten your adversary, who is at your same level, publicly. If you want to say something like that, you do it privately in a phone call. Now, what will happen is Putin cannot possibly sign a peace deal. What—are you crazy—to do this in 50 days? We have staff in Germany, and I was told by my staff that a 60-year-old friend was told to report for duty. 

 

» There is a 100% chance that NATO will trigger a total nuclear war within the next year. «
Martin Armstrong, July 23, 2025.
 

I had a friend who was at the NATO 'Summit on Peace in Ukraine' in Switzerland, and he called me when it was over and said, ‘Holy crap, this has nothing to do with peace anymore. This is all about preparing for war. Everybody should start getting ready for drafts, to start going that way.’ They want war. They are not backing off."

 » They want war. They are not backing off. «

 

Armstrong’s computer, Socrates, is signaling war as early as next month. Armstrong says, "Starting in August, this whole thing is going to be escalating up. Our computer has what we call a ‘Panic Cycle’ within our war cycles for 2026. That is not good. I don’t know what the hell Trump is smoking. My computer has been projecting war, and it is projecting war going into 2026. This is not looking good, and Europe will lose. It is as simple as that."

Reference:
Martin Armstrong (July 19, 2025)  - 100% Chance of Nuclear War. (video) 

 

See also: 

Martin Armstrong (July 25, 2025)  - NATO Plans MASSIVE Troop Surge into Ukraine. (video) 

Martin Armstrong (March 21, 2025)  - Europe's Date with Destiny: Collapse by 2029 is Inevitable.
Martin Armstrong (March 1, 2025)  - Europe Will Go to War, Lose, and Euro Will Become Extinct.

Martin Armstrong (December 23, 2024)  - Outlook for 2025: Depression, Debt, Default & Destruction. 

Martin Armstrong (August 30, 2024)  - The US Is Now Ready for Violence, Civil War & Secession.

The Collapse of the Genocidal Zionist Regime Is Underway | Zeinab Al Saffar

The crumbling of the grim, tyrannical, and genocidal Zionist regime is gaining pace. Why does it matter? The tyrannies of the medieval age took centuries to disintegrate under the weight of resistance. But the Zionist regime, sectarian and racist in spirit, has faced unprecedented blows in just the last two decades. 

  

The fall of Zionism is unraveling before our eyes.

 

Global opinion polls show rising hostility towards Israel, even as it retains strong support from conservative governments such as those of the US, India, and Germany. Global public opinion, especially among the youth, has turned sharply against it. This could impact future diplomatic relations, arms sales, and UN votes.

"Trump is one of the lowest, most despicable beings on the planet.
He doesn't even have morals with his own people". 
Seyyed Parviz Fattah, June 28, 2025.

 

In West Asia, Israel’s favorability has long been low, and recent opinion polls show even stronger opposition, with over 90% viewing Israel negatively. So, hatred toward this apartheid and oppressive occupying regime is no longer a whisper — it’s a roar. And that roar is the drumbeat of history, pounding toward the inevitable fall of a crumbling system. Bottom line: the fall of Zionism won’t take centuries. It has already begun. It’s unraveling before our eyes. It’s good to know.
 

Zeinab Al Saffar 

June 28, 2025

 

See also:
Resistance News Unfiltered (June 29, 2025)  - Ex-IRGC Chief Maps Out Iran’s War Strategy and Vision for a New Middle East.

Is Trump Being Blackmailed Over Epstein Island? | Alexander Dugin

MAGA turns on Israel—and Trump: Is Trump being blackmailed over Epstein Island? Trump has declared war on Iran at the cost of losing his core voters. Furthermore, an unprecedented wave of anti-Israel sentiment has emerged within the MAGA base. Trump has lost the majority of his previous supporters. Many Americans are now ready to go against Trump, because what Trump is doing now is in total opposition to what he has promised. The neocons who now manipulate Trump were initially against Trump. They belong to the Never Trump faction of the Republicans, but now became supporters of Trump more in order to manipulate him.

 

Donald Trump and his then-girlfriend Melania Knauss stand with financier Jeffrey Epstein and 
British socialite Ghislaine Maxwell at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Florida, on February 12, 2000.

 

On the other hand,  Marjorie Taylor Greene, Matt Gaetz, Charlie Kirk, the main figures in MAGA—all feel betrayed by Trump. Elon Musk has abandoned Trump or is hinting, making allusions that Trump was involved with Epstein. At least, he participated in some pedophilia-related actions. That is a huge accusation. Musk has abandoned Trump’s camp before, on the eve before this Israel-Iranian war, and now the American-Iranian war has started. Another faction of MAGA—Rand Paul and Steve Bannon—recently met with Trump at the White House, urging him not to get involved in the Iranian war.

From POTUS to IsraHell's waiter: Genocide Don pulls the chair for Genocide Bibi,

February 5, 2025.

I think that now MAGA is not just split—it is totally lost. So Trump is, more than in the first term, kidnapped, taken as hostage by globalists, by deep state, by neocons, by all of those against whom he fought during his electoral campaign. He has destroyed his political base.

Musk suggested creating his new party, possibly dubbing “the America Party, ” earlier on. The left wing of the Democratic Party, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Bernie Sanders, are already against Trump, together with people like Tucker Carlson, Steve Bannon, Alex Jones, Charlie Kirk, Matt Gaetz, and many others. So there is doubling in new politics—Trump has lost Trump. Trump is now outside of Trump once more.

At the same time, I don’t see the importance and the power of Democrats has grown—not at all. So Democrats still have a very low profile, a very low level of support. And Trump has lost his own support incredibly fast. So there is a huge amount of people in the United States who are against the war, but who have zero political representation. Before, they were distributed between Democrats and Republicans, and now they are totally abandoned. Immediately, we have a third pole. There are globalist left liberals, globalists; there is this MAGA core—that is the millions and millions and millions. That’s a third party or a third pole or a third power whose representation is now very badly needed in the United States, because the mass of the population that is not satisfied, neither with globalists or deep state nor with Trump now, is huge.

Elon Musk has once asked his 220 million followers if they think it’s “time to create a new political party in America that actually represents the 80% in the middle,”on his social media account with 200 million people, 60 million have participated in this poll and 80% have said yes. Musk and MAGA, if they would start a new party, I think it would win in all the ongoing elections.

 Elon Musk, June 5, 2025: "Time to drop the really big bomb: Trump is in the Epstein files."

The photo authentically depicts Donald Trump and financier Jeffrey Epstein together in 1997. 

We need to follow this moment, because it is not just hesitation from parts of people supporting Trump—Trump has lost his core voters, and they have no representation after the moment of glory, after the moment of victory when they won with Trump and through Trump. They once felt that victory was so close, and now, with this new war, they have lost all hope in Trump.

So I believe the Third World War, involving the United States, could unfold in parallel with a civil war within the country—not only between two factions of the population, but a three-pole civil war. Not just one against the other, but there are liberal democrats, there is the hardcore MAGA, and there are Trumpists and neocons loyal to Trump.

And now, in MAGA in general, there is unprecedented amount of anti-Israel feeling inside the United States. Most people—mostly American nationalists and patriots—they were more or less pro-Israel. And now, it is millions and millions of people hate Israel who they believed are trying to control the American government, which is against US sovereignty. They have nothing against Jews or Israel initially, but when Israeli politicians are believed to be manipulating the American government, that is different. That is a loss of sovereignty.

 

I have never seen in my life such a huge wave of anti-Israel feelings in American society. It is not anti-Semitic, not at all—it is anti-Israel. I think that the blow against Trump is much greater than he could have suspected. So there is something much more tectonic in these changes. That was a trap for him. That was his mistake, a big error—the biggest error he has committed, maybe in all his life—with this bombing of Iran. He didn’t reach any goal. Now, the United States is at war officially against Iran. He didn’t hit the goal, and he has lost everything, more than he could permit himself to lose.

I think that maybe he was really blackmailed. Many American patriots, they say Trump was blackmailed by Mossad, because he participated in the orgies or illicit actions on Epstein Island. They blackmailed him through those networks, and that would end his presidency immediately. Because Epstein’s case is something so awful that all American people are in a state of rage against that. And if Trump is now, it seems, implicated in or participated in that—so that would end his career. But many consider that the war against Iran is confirmation of the fact that he was on the Epstein list.

Reference:
Alexander Dugin (June 25, 2025)  - MAGA Turns on Israel—and Trump: Is Trump Being Blackmailed Over Epstein Island? 

 

See also:
David Pyne (June 25, 2025)  - Israel Lobby Fractures MAGA, Trump Support Falling, War Powers Expanded. (video)

We Have Completed Our Very Successful Attack | Donald J. Trump

 @realDonaldTrump

June 22, 2025 01:53 AM 

 

@realOsama

September 11, 2001 12:00 PM 

 

@RealHirohito

December 7, 1941 12:00 PM 

 

Thank you for your attention to this matter.

Already In the Thick of World War III | Alexander Dugin

Some people probably think that World War III might pass us by. That’s the "Patrick Syndrome": everything happening around us supposedly doesn’t concern us. Don’t fool yourselves. We are already in the thick of World War III. The United States has carried out a bombing strike on our ally, Iran. And nothing stopped them. Now, there’s nothing stopping them—or anyone else—from striking us next. At some point, they’ll decide that not only Iran, but Russia too should not have nuclear weapons. Or they’ll come to some other conclusion.

 

As useful as a band-aid on a corpse.

We’re already at war. They might strike if we advance. They might strike if we retreat. They can strike whenever and wherever they want. Ukraine, of course, is not Israel for the West—but it plays a similar role. Not long ago, Israel didn’t exist either. But it emerged and became a proxy for the collective West (although many Israelis would argue the opposite—that the West is actually a proxy for Israel).

Ukraine is in the same position. And it’s no surprise that Zelensky isn’t just asking, but demanding full support from the West—including nuclear weapons. The role model is obvious: the West is "Ukraine’s proxy." And by the way, the Kiev regime bombed Donbas in much the same way Israel bombs Gaza—only with fewer resources, and with Russia responding more decisively to protect its own people than the Islamic countries did.

 As more players join the war, the situation will evolve rapidly.

Our appeals to the UN and our peacekeeping efforts are now as useful as a band-aid on a corpse. If Iran falls, we’re next. Trump is entirely under the control of the neocons, just as he was in his first term. The MAGA project is over. There will be no “Great America”—only regular globalism.

Musk had already explained everything: Trump was involved in unsavory activities on Epstein’s island, and the footage is in Mossad’s hands. Musk distanced himself in time. Trump has lost his agency. He thinks he can just launch one strike—like he did with Soleimani—and then pull back. But pulling back isn’t an option. He has simply started World War III—and he’s not capable of ending it.

The MAGA project is over.

 

Now much depends on Iran. If Iran regroups and keeps fighting, it still has a chance to win. The Strait of Hormuz is closed. The Houthis have blocked shipping in the Red Sea. As more players join the war, the situation will evolve rapidly. China will try to stay out—until it gets hit too.

 

If Iran surrenders, it will lose itself and betray everyone else. That goes for the rest of us as well. Russia is facing a deadly choice. The question is no longer whether to fight or not—Russia is already at war. Everyone knows this, except the Patricks. The question is: the way we’ve been fighting is no longer enough. That resource has been exhausted. So now we must fight differently. In a new way.

 

Alexander Dugin 

June 22, 2025

China is Ready for Any Type of Conflict and Economic Decoupling | Victor Gao

China will fight to the end, as the government has declared, and it has now imposed a retaliatory tariff of up to 125 percent on all US exports to China. If things are not handled properly, this could mean a complete halt to China-US trade—both ways. No goods will be exported from the United States to China, and everything made in China will cease to be sent to the United States. This is decoupling. 

» In essence, China is now declaring that it is prepared to fight to the end

—whether in a trade war, tariff war, technology war, or even a real war. «

Victor Zhikai Gao, April 16, 2025.

If the United States truly welcomes this, China will reciprocate, leading to the breakup of China-US relations. Whether this situation evolves from peace to war remains to be seen, but we must all be prepared. In essence, China is now declaring that it is prepared to fight to the end—whether in a trade war, tariff war, technology war, or even a real war. So, the ball is in Trump's court. He decides, and China will reciprocate. China will never succumb to US pressure.

This is the moment of truth. China wants to defend free trade; the United States wants to destroy it. The rest of the world is watching, and a choice will be made by the end of the day. However, China will not accept being held at gunpoint, forced to swallow impossible demands. China is a country that values dignity and decency above economic gains or losses. So, if you want to hold a gun to China’s head, China will hold a gun to yours. If you want to strike China on the cheek, China will strike back. That is the decision and determination of the Chinese nation.

Reference:

Al Arabiya News (April 16, 2025) - China Says It's Ready For War With America. (video)

See also:

Gerry Nolan (April 13, 2025) - Rare Earth Retaliation: China Chokes America’s War Machine.

Gerry Nolan (April 12, 2025) - The Last Tariff: China Ended the US’s Trade War With a Whisper.

Ray Dalio (April 7, 2025) - Don't Make the Mistake of Thinking That What's Now Happening is Mostly About Tariffs.
Ganesh Valiachi and Soundarya Murugan (March 29, 2025) - The End of the Dollar Era? China’s Digital Yuan Is Reshaping Global Trade.

 Lu QiYuan (March 15, 2025) - The US Will Now Cannibalize Its Own Allies and Vassals to Survive.

» Americans, you don't need a tariff. You need a revolution. «

Anonymous Chinese TikToker, April 13, 2025.

They rob you blind, and you thank them for it. That's a tragedy. That's a scam. That's why I'm saying this right now: Americans, you don't need a tariff. You need a revolution. For decades, your government and oligarchs shipped your jobs to China—not for diplomacy, not for peace, but to exploit cheap labor. And in the process, they hollowed out your middle class, crushed your working class, and told you to be proud while they sold your future for profit. 

Yes, China made money. But we used it to build roads and lift millions out of poverty. From healthcare to raising living standards, we reinvested in our people. My family benefited from it too. What did your oligarchs do? They bought yachts, private jets, and mansions with golf course driveways. They manipulated markets, dodged taxes, and poured billions into endless wars. And you? You got stagnant wages, crippling healthcare costs, cheap dopamine, debt, and poverty wrapped in a flag—made in China—while they picked your pocket. 

As part of the growing 'Trade War' TikTok trend, a Chinese factory has gone viral after 

revealing that the true cost of producing a $38,000 Hermès Birkin bag is just $1,400 

— and now, high tariffs are ringing the death knell for Western luxury brands.

For 40 years, both China and the United States benefited from trade and manufacturing, but only one of us used that wealth to build. This isn’t China’s fault. This is yours. You let this happen. You let the oligarchs feed you lies—while they made you fat, poor, and addicted. Now they blame China for the mess they created. You don’t need another tariff. You need to wake up. You need to take your country back. I think you need a revolution.

NATO Is Now A Zombie Alliance Without Legitimacy | Admiral Cem Gürdeniz

We are witnessing the second great breakdown of a global security order since World War II. The first came after 1990, when the Soviet Union voluntarily dissolved, and Washington rapidly expanded its influence across Eastern Europe. But today, 80 years after the end of that war, the US is beginning its own retreat – shifting its strategic center of gravity from Europe to the Asia-Pacific.

» Israel’s genocide in Gaza, supported openly by Washington, 

shattered any remaining legitimacy. «

[...] Its strategy is no longer about global control but about retrenchment and preparing for great power rivalry in the Pacific, particularly with China. This isn’t a tactical adjustment – it’s a systemic collapse. NATO’s defeat in Ukraine was not just a battlefield loss – it was the end of an illusion.

The post-1990 order was built on the illusion of unipolarity. The US declared liberal capitalist democracy as the universal model. In this system, the West controlled finance, China was tasked with manufacturing, and resource-rich states were expected to supply energy and raw materials. But this model encountered fatal contradictions. US military power failed in Iraq, Libya, and Afghanistan. Instead of stability, it brought destruction. Russia reasserted itself militarily after 2008. China rose economically and technologically, challenging Western hegemony.

» Turkey’s Blue Homeland Doctrine, [...] is ultimately a testimony to the 

clout of anti-Western ultra-nationalism in the Turkish military and state. «

And together, they built a Eurasian counterbalance. Most crucially, the Global South saw through the facade. Israel’s genocide in Gaza, supported openly by Washington, shattered any remaining legitimacy. The Western system now lies exposed – economically overleveraged, diplomatically isolated, and militarily vulnerable.

Trump is not the architect of this collapse – he is the product of it. […] He knows NATO is a burden, not an asset. His challenge is not ideological – it’s existential. He wants to keep the American empire alive by cutting it down to a sustainable size. NATO is now a zombie alliance. It exists more as a myth than a functional military bloc. Its expansion has been reckless. Its operations – from the Balkans to Libya to Ukraine – have destabilized entire regions, and its credibility is collapsing.

» The way forward is to secure our geopolitical destiny in Eurasia – on our terms. «

[…] BRICS is growing. The Shanghai Cooperation Organization is expanding. Trade is moving away from the dollar. Regional powers like Iran, India, Brazil, and Türkiye are asserting themselves. This is not a return to Cold War blocs. It’s a rebalancing – a world where no single center dominates.

[...][Türkiye] must abandon the illusion that foreign direct investment and EU integration will save us. That model has failed. It brought debt, privatization, and dependency. Our economy must be built on production, not speculation. This means reindustrialization, food and energy sovereignty, and regional trade in local currencies. We must protect strategic sectors from foreign ownership. Our Central Bank must be independent not just from the government, but from foreign influence. […] The way forward is not to chase illusions in Brussels. It is to return to Kemalist principles, integrate with the rising Asian century, and secure our geopolitical destiny in Eurasia – on our terms, not theirs.

Quoted from:
Ceyda Karan (April 11, 2025) - ‘Blue Homeland’ architect Admiral Cem Gürdeniz warns: 

NATO has failed, and the EU wants Türkiye on its knees.

See also:

Cem Gürdeniz (2020) - Turkey in the Century of the Sea and Asia.
Ray Dalio (April 7, 2025) - Don't Make the Mistake of Thinking That What's Now Happening is Mostly About Tariffs.

Rare Earth Retaliation: China Chokes America’s War Machine | Gerry Nolan

China just halted exports of key rare earths to the US, slapping export controls on seven categories of critical metals and magnets used in everything from EVs and smartphones to fighter jets, missiles, and drones, delivering a surgical strike to the spinal cord of America’s supply chain. Welcome to the new trade war: geoeconomic strangulation, without firing a shot.

China halts export of key rare earth minerals and develops a ‘regulatory system’ 

to completely block certain minerals from reaching specific US companies.

 

[...] You want to slap 145% tariffs on our goods? Fine. But good luck assembling a single Javelin, F-35, or iPhone without our dysprosium, terbium, and neodymium. China controls over 90% of global rare earth production. Washington just remembered that the hard way. This isn’t just a tit-for-tat move. It’s strategic economic warfare, targeting the soft underbelly of US dominance: the illusion that it can wage hybrid war without being vulnerable itself.

» Dumber than a sack of bricks. «

And now? The US is scrambling: Talking about deep-sea mining, rushing to build stockpiles, and begging Australia and Canada to step up. Canada, eh? Too little, too late. You spent three decades offshoring everything, and now your empire can’t build a toaster, let alone a missile guidance system, without Beijing’s blessing. Ok, maybe you can build a toaster, to be fair. [...] Every chip, every drone, every smart weapon in the Pentagon’s closet runs on components China can choke off in 48 hours. Trump called it “Liberation Day.” 

 

Quoted from:

Gerry Nolan (April 13, 2025) - Rare Earth Retaliation: China Chokes America’s War Machine.

S&P 500 1969 vs 2025 | Yuriy Matso

 S&P 500 1969 vs 2025.

S&P 500 1969 vs 2025.

 

In J.M. Funk's chart of the "56-Year Cycle of Prosperity and Depression," the year 2025 belongs to the sequence of 1801-1857-1913-1969. This sequence is [...] labeled "Panic. Dumping."

 

S&P 500 2025 vs 1969 = J.M. Funk’s 56-Year Cycle.

 Not always exactly to the day, but often close. Directions are more important than levels.

 

Note: Hurst cycles point to a mid-April low and a major mid-May low.

Reference:

2025 in J.M. Funk’s '56-Year Cycle of Prosperity and Depression'.

» We are currently in a bearish 80-day cycle, with a downside target set at 4,660. «

Please, It’s Too Much Winning. We Can't Take It Anymore, Mr. President!

 » We're gonna win so much that you may even get tired of winning! You’ll say:

"Please, please, it’s too much winning. We can't take it anymore, Mr. President. It’s too much!" 

And I’ll reply: "No, it isn’t! We have to keep winning, we have to win more! «

 

 

POTUS 45 | 47 

 

» The US is playing a zero-sum game. China is committed to opening ever wider to the world. « 

  

» May he continue to work hard for the ultimate mission entrusted to him by the Party. « 

 

 » Thursday and Friday were 2 consecutive days in the S&P of more than -4.5% declines,

and the NASDAQ fell more than -5%. This only happened during huge crashes. What's next? «

 

» There’s a fantastic research paper called “Buffett’s Alpha”, which analyzes the “factors” that Buffett tilts towards. Buffett is exposed to the Betting-Against-Beta and Quality-Minus-Junk factors, with 1.7x leverage. I highly recommend you read this. «

 

  SubuTrade: Markets Report. Bear Markets & Trade Wars, April 05, 2025.

 

» Hurst Cycles: Short term cycles - 2-3 days higher for wave 4 and 20d high then another 2-3 days lower for wave 5

and 20d low will fit perfect. I think we had a 20w high late March and are now heading lower into the 20w low. «
Krasi: Weekly Preview, April 5, 2025.

 

Philip Hopf (April 3, 2025) - Is Trump crashing the world economy now? (video)

 

See also:
TPR (April 4, 2025) - 10-Day Cycle Expected to Bottom on Tuesday, April 8, Around 8:30 a.m.