Showing posts with label WW3. Show all posts
Showing posts with label WW3. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 25, 2025

"Germany is Back!" Yes, in the 1930s | Alex Krainer

On Friday, 14 March 2025, Germany's soon-to-be Chancellor, Friedrich Merz, reached a deal with the Green Party to secure a massive infrastructure and defense spending bill. "Germany's back!" said jubilant Merz. "Germany is making its great contribution to the defense of freedom and peace in Europe." The deal will exempt defense spending from the constitutional debt brake and create a €500 billion fund to finance projects outside of the normal budgetary spending. Among other things, this will enable Germany to boost aid to Ukraine.

» ReArm Europe and hijack ten trillion euros of European savings to militarize the old continent. «
 Full disclosure: The moustache in BlackRock Merz' face is not real - it was skillfully photoshopped.

Today, the Bundestag will vote on constitutional amendments that could remove fiscal restraints and unleash a massive boost to military spending, which could ultimately reach up to €1.7 trillion. How much money is that? It's a cool €20,400 per man, woman, and child in Germany. Germany is back, indeed, but not exactly in a way anyone hoped for.

It's the 1930s all over again, and it's not just Germany. In France, Emmanuel Macron too is looking to boost the military-industrial complex, along with France's nuclear arsenal and future hypersonic missiles. Across the channel, Sir Keir is obsessing about conscriptions, scotching up "coalitions of the willing," and sending British troops to Ukraine. The EU is driving to rearm Europe and hijack ten trillion euros of European savings to militarize the old continent.

[...] The cost of this bonanza might come in the guise of early death for their children, who'll be forced to fight our future wars as, to paraphrase Herr Merz, they make their "great contribution to the defense of freedom and peace in Europe." Of course, we can trust the slogans; Merz is a BlackRock man, and all he wants is what’s best for all of us, without regard to the many billions BlackRock invested in Ukraine. It’s not about money, you see, it’s about freedom and peace.

After all, when was the blood of innocents spilled for anything less than such lofty goals like civilization, enlightenment, progress, democracy, freedom, and peace? The fact that the whole juggernaut always turns out to be so profitable for all the usual suspects must be one of those mystery virtuous cycles of civilizational progress. They mobilize capital to defend peace and freedom, and then they make out like bandits every time!
 
 
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Friday, March 21, 2025

Europe's Date with Destiny: Collapse by 2029 is Inevitable | Martin Armstrong

Comment by Hans: Mr. Armstrong, thank you for speaking the truth about the timeline of this war with Ukraine. Every news story here in Europe says the same thing. Russia was unprovoked. Never in my entire life have I ever witnessed such outright lies by the press. I do not see the Europeans rising up to overthrow these governments. We are sheep being led to the slaughter. You have forecasted that the euro will no longer exist, and they are rapidly moving to digital currencies, which will be, as you say, for capital control. We will not be able to leave or get our money out. [...] I think it is time to prepare for the future sooner than later.

» From about May 15th 2025 on, Europe is going into war, 
Europe will lose, and the Euro will become extinct. «
Martin Armstrong, March 1, 2025.

Reply by Martin Armstrong: It gives me no pleasure to live through Socrates’ forecasts [...] The euro has broken last year’s low and is still trading below it. We have a very serious Panic Cycle for Europe next year [2026], and they are pushing to cancel the currency’s move to digital as soon as possible. All they look at is capital controls, which will prevent bank runs and stop capital fleeing. They are trying to control their risk of the collapse of the EU. [...] Lagarde runs the ECB, pushing for the cancellation of the currency and moving to digital [by October 2025]. This is about taxes all over again.
 
» We are witnessing capital contracting in both the United States and Europe. «
Martin Armstrong, March 17, 2025.

[...] I have been warning that we are approaching World War III as a distraction from the collapse of sovereign debt in Japan and Europe. The total outstanding government and corporate bonds globally have now exceeded $100 trillion in 2024, as reported by the OECD. As I have also been warning, the central banks have been neutered. They can no longer fight inflation by raising interest rates because government debt just explodes. Governments have NO INTENTION of ever paying off their debt. They think there is no end to this game.

 » We are approaching World War III as a distraction from the collapse of sovereign debt in Japan and Europe.
Germany is heading into a very serious debt crisis for 2026. PANIC Cycles in 2026 around the globe. 
Major recession globally into 2028. EU prepares for war as a distraction from their inevitable collapse by 2029. «

[...] While central banks are cutting interest rates, borrowing costs remain much higher than before 2022’s rate hikes because the ECM, in particular, went to negative interest rates in 2014, which only encouraged governments to issue more debt. This all comes at a time when the EU wants to fund an army and prepare for war as a distraction from their inevitable collapse by 2029.

» Macron and Starmer are insane. Putin can detonate a 100-megaton nuke and the tidal wave
will wipe out Britain entirely. The Computer Has NEVER been Wrong. Europe Will Lose!!! «
Martin Armstrong, March 21, 2025.
 
[...] Germany is heading into a very serious debt crisis for 2026, and this does not bode well for Europe or the Euro. Nearly HALF of ALL outstanding government debt among OECD countries and emerging markets and around ONE THIRD of corporate debt will mature by 2027. Our computer is showing PANIC Cycles in 2026 around the globe. The defaults come when you cannot sell the NEW debt to pay off the old. [...] Everything is coming to the point of a major Sovereign Debt default that the government will not survive. [...] Add the trade wars and what our model shows a major recession globally into 2028; it is hard to see how many countries can even make it to 2029.

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Tuesday, March 18, 2025

Give Russia a Free Hand All the Way to the English Channel | Curtis Yarvin

There are no realistic American foreign-policy goals, in the usual sense, for Europe. Realistic foreign-policy goals are either military or economic. Europe is not a military threat to the United States in any way. Europe has a trade surplus with the US, which means that cutting off trade with Europe would by definition grow the US economy.

» Now it is Russia’s fate to again restore order in Europe. «
Curtis Yarvin, a friend of Peter Thiel, Elon Musk, and JD Vance, is a forethinker of American absolute monarchy and CEO-technofeudalism, aimed at replacing the current ossified and dysfunctional American oligarchical regime. A software engineer, Yarvin began as a tech entrepreneur before evolving into a liberal heretic blogger with the pen name 'Mencius Moldbug', and eventually a talkative public intellectual, hailed by both parts of the US tech oligarchy and conservative circles.
 
Rather, under a Trump administration, the goal of US foreign policy in Europe is to impact domestic power in America. [...] The liquidation of “Ukraine,” comedian-Presidents, petrochemical magnates and all—will be an enormous blow to both State and Defense. It will suggest to all other client states that Washington can no longer guarantee their “sovereignty,” whether by diplomacy or by force. But thinking only in terms of [Ukraine being] “the Texas of Russia” is thinking way too small. Rather, Trump should give Russia a free hand not just in Russian-speaking territories—but all the way to the English Channel.

» There is only one way: withdraw from Europe. «
Isolationist Curtis Yarvin talking with Pete Quiñones about Trump 2.0 in 2024: Ruling by executive orders, 
the end of globalism and democracy, the withdrawal of all US forces from Europe, and leaving it to 
Russia to deal with Ukraine and the rest of the Continent, January 21, 2022.
 
The goal of a Trumpist foreign policy in Europe is to withdraw American influence from Europe. This will guarantee the defeat of liberalism on the Continent. Here in America, this will show liberals and conservatives alike that liberalism is mortal—with gargantuan effects on the morale of both. And as Clausewitz said, all conflicts are mainly about morale.

Liberal ideas are not indigenous to the region. They are Anglo-American ideas. They washed in on a tide of money, fashion, and bombs. And what nation has done more and better work, in the last two centuries, at defeating liberalism in Europe? While the Germans in the 20th century may have tried—the Russians in the 19th succeeded. [...] Now it is Russia’s fate to again restore order in Europe. Since America is stronger than Russia, Trump needs to let Putin really know it’s okay to do it. There is only one way to send this message unequivocally: withdraw from Europe.

Money Can Buy Is Trying To Grab Nord Stream Before Leaving For Good. Versailles 3.0. Make These Goys Pay Again.  
Greenland-Canada Calling. Four-Thumbs-Up.

Trump will order the withdrawal of all US forces and diplomats, all bases, embassies and consulates, from the continent of Europe. Any diplomatic conversations, if any are still necessary, can be handled by email or zoom. [...] If these facilities did not exist, no one would invent them. In their nominal purpose—peer-to-peer communication between sovereign governments—they are anachronous. In their actual purpose—client-server supervision of satellite governments—they are obnoxious. By withdrawing all American personnel stationed in Europe, Trump is not abandoning Europe—he is setting it free. Much as Gorbachev freed the Warsaw Pact.
 
 
Tucker Carlson talking with Curtis Yarvin about 
the Perils of American Oligarchy, September 9, 2021.
 
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Yemen Is Where Empires Go to Die | Gerry Nolan

The Pentagon’s latest saber-rattling against Yemen’s Ansar Allah (Houthis) reeks of desperation. Chief Pentagon spokesman Sean Parnell has vowed a “relentless” bombing campaign until the Yemeni resistance stops targeting US and Israeli-linked ships in the Red Sea. “There is a very clear end-state to this operation, and that begins the moment that the Houthis pledge to stop attacking our ships and putting American lives at risk,” Parnell declared. Translation? Washington thought a few airstrikes would be enough to scare the Houthis into submission. Instead, Yemen’s resistance is stronger than ever.

Post-Afghanistan Persistent US Delusions Syndrome (PAPUDS): “Overwhelming Force” against the Houthis?
Washington picked another fight with warriors who never bend their knee. BlackRock loves sustainability.

The Pentagon has been bombing Yemen for over a decade, and yet the Houthis control most of the country and are growing in strength. Trump’s latest airstrikes killed 53 people, but instead of deterring the Houthis, they fired 18 ballistic missiles and drones at the USS Harry Truman and its carrier group. Despite Washington and London’s constant bombardment, the Houthis have only intensified their campaign against Israeli-linked vessels. And now? Trump is trying to drag Iran into the fight, claiming, “Iran will be held responsible, and suffer the consequences, and those consequences will be dire.” Really? The US couldn’t even handle the Taliban. Now it’s threatening Iran?

Who’s really the aggressor? Washington’s “defensive” war narrative is laughable. The Houthis are not attacking US waters; the US is bombing Yemen. This war is not about “freedom of navigation,” it’s about defending Israel’s blockade on Gaza. Houthis have made it clear: their attacks will continue until humanitarian aid reaches Gaza. If the US truly wanted peace, it would end its blank check to Tel Aviv’s genocide. Instead, Trump is doubling down on “MIGA” foreign policy, Make Israel Great Again.

 » Trump is surrounded by Zionist fanatics who believe they’re entitled to a return on their deposit. «
Satanyahu and Ko$her Genocide-MIGA Don keep working hard on the Gaza-Riviera Project:
I$raHell closes Gaza’s last lifeline; Rafah border sealed in a latest act of genocidal siege, March 17, 2025.

And let’s not forget: the same Washington war machine that bombed Yemen for years is now shocked that Yemen fights back. This isn’t 2015 when the US-backed Saudi coalition bombed Yemen into ruins. The Houthis have evolved into a serious military force. They’ve taken down US Reaper drones, fired ballistic missiles deep into Israel, and forced global shipping routes to reroute. They have real combat experience, unlike the Pentagon bureaucrats ordering drone strikes from an office. And they are willing to die for their cause. Can the same be said for US warships patrolling foreign waters for Israel’s interests?

 
Yemen has always been where empires go to die. The Ottomans failed. The British failed. The Saudis failed. Now, the Americans are failing. Trump and the Pentagon can talk about “overwhelming force” all they want. The reality? The more they bomb, the more resistance they create. Washington picked a fight with warriors who have nothing to lose. And history is not on its side.

Quoted from:
 
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Monday, March 17, 2025

Ahead of Iran War, Capital Flows Flee the US and Europe | Martin Armstrong

Comment by EKL: Your computer model tracks capital flows, [...] capital is being withdrawn globally in preparation for war. We could not make decisions in our boardroom without consulting Socrates anymore. It is unbiased and that is the most valuable asset in times of such uncertainty. God bless.

Martin Armstrong's Socrates Daily Global Capital Flows Heat Map as of March 17, 2025.
 » From about May 15th on, Europe is going into war, Europe will lose, and the Euro will become extinct. «
Martin Armstrong, March 1, 2025.

Reply by Martin Armstrong: Yes, you are correct. We are witnessing capital contracting in both the United States and Europe. It is even leaving Canada and Mexico. 

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Sunday, March 16, 2025

Back Door World War III - A Netanyahu-Trump Collaboration | Helena Glass

Two Trump administration picks have now been blocked by Trump for one reason: their less-than-required adherence to Jewish ideology. Dave Weldon was chosen by Kennedy to head the CDC, and Daniel Davis, a Tulsi Gabbard pick for a top intel post, was just blocked by Trump. While both are highly qualified, their personal beliefs regarding Israel were cited as not being on board with the Israeli agenda. Anti-Semitic? Discrimination? Yes. In essence, DEI (Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion) has simply been replaced with IEI – Israel, Equity, and Inclusion.

» He is a hedonist, not a war chief. They have grabbed him by the pu**y. He must do their bidding. «
From Lolita Island to Mar-a-Lago, needing one another so badly: I$raHell's Satanyahu and GOAT ZioCon Genocide-MIGA Don.
And the MIGA-MAGA gaga-crowds? Just gaga-thrilled. — March 15, 2025. 

I find it interesting that these Goyims within the government don’t seem to understand where they stand in the doctrine of the Kabbalah. Who did the Israeli-inserted al-Jolani choose to genocide in Syria? The Goyims. The Christian population. And now, our President of Peace and America First is bombing Yemen indiscriminately.

Good-ole friends meet again: Al-Qaeda-ISIS-Zionist-Wahhabi Head-Chopper al-Jolani and US DOS delegates in Damascus, 2025.
 
Problem: The Yemen Houthis are aligned with Iran. Iran and Russia have an alliance to protect each other. Is Trump actually inciting an Iranian retaliation in order to give Israel and the US a carte blanche justification to attack Iran? Thus, causing Russia to come to the defense of its friend and ally? A backdoor World War III, as inspired by Israel with Trump’s approval.
 
 


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Saturday, March 15, 2025

The US Will Now Cannibalize Its Own Allies & Vassals to Survive | Lu QiYuan

President Trump said something very honest: “If China and the US work together, we can solve all the problems in the world.” However, the establishment elites in the United States face an ideological challenge. They are fundamentally anti-China, and the Chinese ruling elites do not accept the concept of liberal democracy. The Chinese elite, myself included, are profoundly nationalistic and patriotic. To us, social harmony and unity are more important than life itself. The love the Chinese people have for our country, especially our youth, is something Americans cannot comprehend. So the idea of China and the US running the world together—the G2 concept—was rejected by Americans from the beginning. Now, even if the Americans want to pursue that path, it is too late. The train has already left the station.

» China will form an alternative economic and political system outside of the Western world,
and the only way the US can survive is by cannibalizing its own allies and vassals. 
We are witnessing the collapse of the entire Western world. « 
 Lu QiYuan, Geopolitical Economist.

The US provoked the Ukraine war in an attempt to regime-change Russia, turn it into a US proxy, and surround and contain China. China foresaw this, which is why Xi Jinping and Putin met just a few weeks before the Ukraine war and signed a “no-limits partnership” against NATO expansion. From the perspective of Chinese elites, NATO is merely an imperial tool for US power projection. The strategic rivalry between China and the US is no longer just a competition between two countries, but between two ego systems. It is no longer China trying to bargain with its unipolar master under the United States’ global hegemonic roof. Instead, it is a competition between two separate, independent powers. The competition is now between the US-dominated Western power ego system and the China-led new ego system.

Within this Western-led ego system, when the biggest player—the United States of America—can no longer absorb nutrition from its Global South economic vassels and satellites, when it can no longer consume the energy it requires to survive from the East (i.e., China), the only way it can survive is to consume energy and nutrition from its own allies and vassals. And the first set of allies and vassals to fall victim to US cannibalism will be Europe, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan. 
 
 
» The first set of allies and vassals to fall victim to US cannibalism 
will be Europe, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan. «

This trajectory has been in motion since 2012, when China partially detached its currency from the US dollar, when the Obama administration began to aggressively suppress China’s growth, and when China started its tax reform in 2014. Over the last decade, China has slowly been recreating an alternative network with the rest of the world, as the US has been pushing us out of the original structure. From now on, China will form an alternative economic and political system with the rest of the world, particularly with East Asia, outside of the Western world. By the Western world, I mean the US, Canada, Europe, and Japan—the roughly "Golden Billion" who once oppressed the Global South. Now, through China’s rise, they are forming their own ego system, separate from the original Western-centric structure.
 
The competition and rivalry between these two ego systems mark a dangerous era for the world, because we are talking about the transfer of energy from one system to another. If this is mishandled, it could lead to the destruction of both systems. The creation of this new world system is incomplete because the financial and monetary system is incomplete. And finally, we are witnessing the integration, not the disintegration, of the Western world. Not the collapse of the United States, but the collapse of the entire Western world. 
Perhaps we should credit the new president of the United States, Donald Trump, for accelerating this process. The drama in the Oval Office between Trump and Zelensky delivered the fatal blow to Western unity. Following Trump’s tariff on Europe, we will witness the collapse of the economic and political systems of the Western-led world order. What we are familiar with is the collapse of the Soviet Union. This time, it is the collapse of the West.
 
This is the principle of capitalism, like the law of physics. The United States does not love or hate Ukraine. The goal has always been to drain Europe’s resources. This is why so many so-called intellectuals and political experts in Europe, Canada, and Taiwan are shocked by the current events, like naive kindergarten children, saying things like, "Our Papa, the United States, is abandoning us." But let me tell you this: do not be shocked, because this is only the beginning. Soon, they will be horrified by what is to come: "Our Papa is going to devour us."

 
» Now, the most important thing: What to do with the West? «
Civilization States and the Multipolar World Order.
Alexander Dugin, 2023.
 
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Wednesday, March 12, 2025

Trump Managing the Collapse of the American Empire | Thierry Meyssan

On January 21 and 22, Donald Trump had gathered the central bankers and finance ministers of the G7 in his Mar-a-Lago residence. He is said to have welcomed them by telling: "No one will leave this room until we have found an agreement on the dollar." The agreement in question would therefore have been approved by the allies. The main idea would be for the US Treasury to issue government bonds that do not pay interest (what are called "zero coupons") and that would not mature for a century (that is, could not be exchanged for cash for 100 years). Washington would therefore have to force its allies to convert their debts into "zero coupons". 
 
 » No one will leave this room until we have found an agreement on the dollar. «
 
[...] The US public debt has now reached the astronomical sum of 34,000 billion dollars, of which only a third is held by foreign investors, according to Forbes. If some of the US creditors, mainly China and Saudi Arabia, were to ask for repayment, a gigantic economic crisis would occur as in 1929. Many economists regularly warn of this prospect. According to Jon Hartley of the Hoover Institution, central banks have not reduced the share of the dollar in their foreign exchange reserves since the war in Ukraine. However, on February 20, a videoconference by analyst Jim Bianco, taken up by the Bloomberg agency, rekindled concerns. According to this analyst, the Trump administration is following a plan, the "Mar-a-Lago Accord". It intends to radically restructure the US debt burden by reorganizing world trade through tariffs, devaluing the dollar and, ultimately, reducing the cost of borrowing, all with the aim of putting US industry on an equal footing with its competitors in the rest of the world. [...] De-dollarization, that is, using the dollar only at the national level of the United States and no longer in international trade, is the sea serpent of finance.

[...] If we accept this analysis, we must reinterpret various actions of President Trump, in terms of customs duties or the creation of a sovereign wealth fund. They no longer seem as erratic as the international press describes them, but on the contrary very logical. We must therefore consider that Donald Trump is trying to manage the possible economic collapse of Joe Biden’s "American empire" as Yuri Andropov, Konstantin Chernenko and Mikhail Gorbachev tried to manage that of Leonid Brezhnev’s "Soviet empire". I am all the more attentive to this hypothesis because, in my opinion, the coup of September 11, 2001 had no other goal than to postpone the foreseeable collapse of the “American empire”. The last two decades have been only a reprieve that, far from solving the problem, have only made it much more complex. 
 
[...] This time, cautiously, President Trump is lulling his public opinion to sleep by evoking the annexation of the entire North American continental shelf, from Greenland to the Panama Canal, while liquidating the war in Ukraine and the European Union. If my hypothesis is correct, we must not believe a word of the threats of annexation of new territories, such as Canada, and not imagine that the United States is withdrawing militarily from Europe to confront China, but admit that it is militarily abandoning its European allies. We see that it is abandoning Germany and relying on Poland to organize Central Europe, even if it means letting Warsaw annex Eastern Galicia (currently Ukrainian). Similarly, we must prepare to see the United States abandon its Middle Eastern allies, with the exception of Israel. Indeed, it has just resumed arms deliveries to Tel Aviv and begun secret talks with Iran via Moscow. They let Saudi Arabia and Turkey divide up the Arab world.

 » Russia needs the United States to avoid finding itself face to face with China. «

The competition between Paris and London to take the lead in European defense should therefore not be understood as opposition to peace in Ukraine. Neither the French nor the British armies have the possibility of replacing Washington’s military support. It is rather a question of determining the role that the two capitals will subsequently play on the continent. Emmanuel Macron, the French president, hopes to develop his defense concept around the French strike force, while Keir Starmer, the British prime minister, intends to take advantage of the situation. The former is aware that the European Union, around Germany, is disintegrating and that President Trump prefers the "Three Seas Initiative", around Poland. He could therefore reawaken the Weimar Triangle (Germany/France/Poland) to maintain some room for maneuver. While, from the same analysis and taking into account the disappearance of NATO, the second will ensure that Germany is kept as far away from Russia as possible, thus continuing his country’s foreign policy for a century and a half. 
 
» Fuhrer Ursula is mobilizing everybody to re-militarize Europe. «
 
Note that if the European allies, the Chinese and the Saudis should consider it a scam to exchange their debts for “zero coupons”, Russia should on the contrary support the United States in this maneuver. Indeed, during the dismantling of the Soviet Union, Russia went through a decade of recession and unrest, but today it needs the United States to avoid finding itself face to face with China.

 
ooooOO0OOoooo
 
Trump’s Special Envoy, Steve Witkoff, is making his way to Moscow this week to “urge” Russia to agree to a ceasefire in Ukraine, or else, the White House announced today. It remains unclear whether President Vladimir Putin will even meet with him. Putin has already made Russia’s position clear: No “temporary” ceasefires. A whole new multipolar security order. Yalta 2.0. Long-term peace or nothing.

 » I hope it's not going to be necessary. «
GOAT One-Trick ZioCon MIGA-MAGA Don, March 12, 2025.

After the complete trainwreck in Saudi Arabia, where Washington bent over backwards to appease Ukraine’s fascist regime, agreeing to rearm the Nazi terrorists and give them a 30-day breather, it’s hard to see what’s even on the table. Russia doesn’t do ceasefires for Western rearmament. Russia dictates battlefield reality, not White House wishful thinking. Putin won’t waste more time on US theatrics unless there’s something real to discuss.

 Efforts to reasonably deal with the Trump administration failed, and on March 12,
Putin appears in military uniform for the first time since the start of the war.
 
If the US wants a real negotiation, it should finally realize where to start: First, stop this hollow and ridiculous propaganda charade of 'Trump aiming to broker a ceasefire and peace deal between Russia and Ukraine,' and acknowledge that Russia has defeated the US and all of NATO in Ukraine. The US has lost, is exhausted, humiliated, and bankrupt, and Russia has offered the new US administration a chance to at least save face and improve relations, instead of escalating into nuclear Armageddon. Second, stop financing and rearming the Zelensky regime, and cut its access to Starlink.

 
The GOAT fiscal MIGA-MAGA Ponzi scheme beyond repair.

If it's just about another silly PR stunt to please BlackRock and the 
deluded MIGA-MAGA gaga-crowds, you’d better DOGE the airfare, Witkoff.
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