JPMorgan Maps and Times the Global Oil Supply Shockwave | Really?

JPMorgan commodity strategist Natasha Kaneva released a report on March 26, 2026 (no complete official  public version available) that outlines how the closure of the Strait of Hormuz has triggered a progressive, region-by-region oil supply shock. As of March 30, 2026, this analysis remains the authoritative reference: 

 

East Asia and Asia-Pacific deplete first, Africa, Europe, and the Americas follow.

Gradual Inventory Depletion Crisis (according to JPM)

The global oil supply system has shifted from an abrupt flow disruption to a gradual inventory depletion crisis, with timing emerging as the central driver of economic impact. The report’s core projections—an initial gross supply shock of approximately 16 million barrels (MMbbl) per day tapering to around 10 MMbbl per day by April—continue to align with current developments.

 

Estimated Dependency on Persian Gulf / West Asia Oil Imports (2025–2026). 

Nature and Progression of the Supply Shock (according to JPM)

Vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has stayed more than 95% below normal levels since the last regular commercial tanker departed on February 28, 2026. The shockwave propagates from east to west, governed by maritime distances from the Persian Gulf. Asia, which normally receives over 80% of the crude oil transiting the Strait, faces the earliest and most severe effects. Pre-closure shipments have been exhausted, resulting in rapid inventory depletion across the region. India experienced the initial impact, followed by Northeast Asian importers including China, Japan, and South Korea.

 

The Strait of Hormuz is not closed: On March 29, Dimitri Lascaris boarded an Iranian civilian vessel and toured the Strait of Hormuz for approximately one hour. There, he observed and recorded the presence of nearly 100 oil tankers and cargo ships. By all indications, commercial vessels continue to transit the Strait in significant numbers, but they now do so on terms dictated by the Islamic Republic. 

Southeast-Asia, Asia-Pacific, and Africa (according to JPM)

Southeast Asian oil demand is projected to contract by roughly 300,000 barrels per day in April. Losses could exceed 2 MMbbl per day in May and approach 3 MMbbl per day by June if strategic reserve releases remain limited to individual national efforts. Africa is expected to encounter visible impacts in early April, with potential oil demand losses reaching 250,000 barrels per day should inventories continue to decline.

 

The Philippines declared a national energy emergency. 

 

Asia-Pacific Emergency Measures and Rationing (according to JPM)

Several Asia-Pacific governments have implemented structured conservation and demand-management policies. The Philippines (population 117 million) declared a national energy emergency on March 24, 2026 through Executive Order No. 110 signed by President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. The Department of Energy has directed power-sector participants to adopt immediate fuel-conservation protocols, prudent load management, and generation-schedule adjustments. A four-day work week has been introduced for many government offices, accompanied by encouragement of remote work and reduced non-essential travel. Fuel imports from alternative sources, including Russian crude under temporary US sanctions waivers, have been authorized. 

 

Australia (27M) holds approximately 36 days of petrol stocks, 34 days of diesel, and 32 days of jet-fuel inventories (figures from early March, now further drawn down). Nationwide rationing has not been enacted, though the government has temporarily eased fuel-quality standards for 60 days to redirect roughly 100 million liters of export-grade fuel into the domestic market each month. Service stations in some areas have introduced voluntary purchase caps, and national contingency planning for standardized stock reporting and potential future rationing is advancing. 

Australia is one of the world’s largest energy exporters—the third-largest exporter of LNG and the leading seaborne supplier of thermal and metallurgical coal. Rumor has it their degenerate eugenicist government now aims for a COVID-style "energy lockdown"—never letting a fine crisis go to waste. Like them, the European Commission is fanatically in line with the UN self-extinction Agenda 2030, always eager and ready to strangle its people beyond imagination.

South Korea (51M) has imposed a five-month ban on naphtha exports, effective March 27, 2026, to prioritize domestic petrochemical and refining needs. China has restricted overseas shipments of refined fuels to preserve domestic inventories. Approximately 5% of ethylene production capacity in Japan, South Korea, and China has shut down due to feedstock shortages.

Impacts on Europe and North America (according to JPM)

Europe (450M) is projected to face pressure by mid-April, primarily through elevated costs and intensified competition for non-Gulf supplies rather than outright physical shortages. Natural-gas prices on the continent have risen to 55–58 euros per megawatt-hour, while airlines confront severe pressure from surging jet-fuel expenses. Slovenia has become the first European Union member to impose explicit fuel rationing, limiting private motorists to 50 liters per day.

 

A dull face, yet impeccably groomed—vain, deeply self-important, and convinced he has control over everyone and 
everything: European Commissioner Dan Jørgensen, the quintessential apparatchik, an unshakable pillar of the regime.

Dozens of loaded oil tankers have been idling off the coasts of Belgium and the Netherlands for weeks. Port workers and tanker crews report that the EU Commission is preventing them from entering ports to unload their cargo. An EU oil shortage is being created to justify and bring about an "energy lockdown." These are the very same ilk who implemented the COVID‑19 plandemic script, who seize farmers' lands for "climate protection," who feed the meat grinder in Ukraine, who keep their mouths shut and bow down after the US blows up Europe's main pipelines with Russia, who wail over Greenland, and who cheer the US takeover of Venezuela — the very same Zionist perverts who have financed and participated in U$raHell's genocides and wars ever since — including the ongoing one against Iran.

North America appears latest in the timeline, with most Gulf shipments expected to cease arriving around April 15, 2026. The US (342M) is unlikely to experience direct physical shortages owing to its robust domestic production. The impact will manifest mainly through rising fuel prices and refined-product market dislocations. West Texas Intermediate crude has increased more than 40% in March and continues to trade approximately 10 dollars below Brent.
 

Mitigation Efforts and Global Responses (according to JPM)

Gulf producers are expanding alternative export routes to mitigate the disruption. Saudi Arabia has increased flows through its East-West pipeline to the Red Sea port of Yanbu from 0.8 to 3.3 MMbbl per day, with potential to reach 4.7 MMbbl per day by April. The United Arab Emirates has raised throughput on its Fujairah bypass pipeline from 1.1 to 1.6 MMbbl per day. These workarounds replace only a fraction of the lost capacity.

 

A Russian tanker with 650,000 barrels of Urals crude arrived in Cuba (11M) today despite

the US genocidal blockade of the island, providing limited relief for roughly 9–10 days.

 

The International Energy Agency (IEA) has coordinated the release of 400 MMbbl from strategic reserves across its 32 member nations—the largest such operation in the agency’s history—with the US contributing nearly half from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve. IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol has described the current disruption as the greatest threat to global energy security on record.

 

Geopolitical and Market Outlook

In Asia the energy supply crisis has strained aviation, agriculture, construction, and heavy transport sectors, prompting emergency measures. Geopolitically, the disruption has enhanced the attractiveness of Russian overland export corridors and reinforced the strategic position of US LNG supplies in both Asian and European markets.

Russian Chechen combat units officially declare they will deploy to Iran to fight alongside Iranian forces if the US launches a ground invasion. They are framing it as a sacred Jihad against US power. The conflict is expanding globally.

As of March 30, 2026, Iran maintains a selective policy on the Strait of Hormuz, which remains effectively closed to vessels linked to U$raHell and their active allies. Tehran has explicitly permitted safe passage for ships from countries it considers "friendly" or non-hostile — China, Russia, India, Pakistan, Iraq, and Bangladesh. Malaysia and Thailand have benefited on a case-by-case basis, sometimes involving prior diplomatic contact or a transit fee.

 

► Japan has declined to commit naval or military forces to US–Israeli operations, and is offered safe passage through the Strait.

► India has successfully negotiated transit for Indian-flagged LPG carriers and other vessels, occasionally escorted by the Indian Navy in the Gulf of Oman. 

► Pakistan has secured passage for specific tankers, and Iran has agreed to allow up to 20 additional Pakistani-flagged ships, with two vessels crossing daily.

► China has engaged in talks for safe passage of crude and LNG vessels, though some Chinese-linked ships have turned back due to practical risks despite assurances. 

► Bangladesh has been included in Iran’s list of friendly countries.
► Taiwan is a nation hostile to Iran, and has mitigated the crisis with oil reserves and secured LNG supplies through April. Short-term actions include accelerated procurement of alternative LNG from the US and Australia. Contingency plans involve emergency spot-market purchases and mutual assistance discussions with partners such as Japan and South Korea. 

► South Korea and Vietnam have conducted diplomatic outreach to Iran for safe passage, receiving positive indications from Tehran, though broad arrangements remain limited or pending. 

► The Philippines, not hostile to Iran, but one of the most vulnerable nations, has focused primarily on declaring a national energy emergency, implementing conservation measures, and sourcing Russian crude under temporary US sanctions waivers rather than pursuing high-profile direct diplomacy with Iran, although domestic calls for such talks have emerged. 

 

Continuously Updated Supply Chain Disruptions Map.

 

On March 26, 2026, Epstein's boyfriend announced a 10-day extension of the pause on strikes against Iranian energy infrastructure, extending the deadline to April 6. He cited an Iranian request for negotiations, noting that Iran had permitted "10 tankers to pass through the Strait as a goodwill gesture;" Iranian officials, however, denied that any talks were under way.

 

Iran continues to mock Epstein’s boyfriend...

 

...White House bimbo Karoline Leavitt insists 'negotiations'

are ongoing and Iran is lying by stating otherwise... 

...and as Iran and Asia bear the brunt of both immediate and long-term harm, the U$raHell

war machine puppeteers once again emerge as the leading and most immediate profiteers.

It’s about time to sink some aircraft carriers... 

   

Brent crude, which closed at $108.01 per barrel on March 27, now trades in the $111–115 range as of March 30, 2026. Macquarie Group has assigned a 40% probability to the conflict extending through June, a scenario that could drive Brent above $200 per barrel and US retail gasoline prices to approximately $7 per gallon. Wood Mackenzie has warned that a sustained Brent average of $125 per barrel throughout 2026 would be sufficient to trigger a global recession. 

 

Iran’s "reverse indicator" trading advice continues to play out in real-time:

At 4:12 PM ET on Sunday, March 29, Iran's Speaker of the Parliament said US pre-market news is

a "reverse indicator";  if they "dump" the market, then "go long," and if they "pump it, short it."

  

See also:

 SupplyStatus (March 28, 2026) - JPMorgan Maps Global Oil Shockwave from Hormuz Closure - Global Supply Crisis Timeline.

Stanislav Krapivnik (March 27, 2026) - No Energy, No Food: Global System Breakdown Begins.

TPR (March 23, 2026) - Crude Oil Long-Term Cycles Signal 2026 and 2028 Peaks Near $225–235.

No Energy, No Food: Global System Breakdown Begins | Stanislav Krapivnik

What is developing is not an "energy crisis" in the conventional sense. It is a loss of physical supply on a scale that the system is not built to absorb. A large share of global oil and LNG capacity is now either offline or severely impaired, and that supply cannot be replaced quickly because the infrastructure behind it is slow, complex, and highly specialized. We are not dealing with something that can be fixed by price signals or short-term policy adjustments. If the energy is not there, it is not there.

 

» And I heard a voice in the midst of the four beasts say, A measure of wheat for a penny, 

and three measures of barley for a penny; and see thou hurt not the oil and the wine. « 

Book of Revelation 6:6.

Infrastructure Cannot Be Rebuilt Quickly

Energy systems run on heavy, custom-built equipment—pressure vessels, pipelines, processing units—that take months to manufacture and even longer to install. If those systems are damaged, they cannot be repaired overnight. In many cases they need to be scrapped and rebuild. If upstream production is affected—wells, wellheads, reservoirs—the timeline stretches further. Redrilling alone can take months per site, and that assumes stable conditions, available crews, and functioning logistics. None of that is guaranteed in a disrupted environment. Even under ideal circumstances, restoring lost capacity is measured in years. 

» You can tighten your own belt, but when you see your children wailing and crying from hunger and there’s nothing you can do, that’s different. People pick up pitchforks, light torches, go to the city halls, and start burning things. We are going to see a lot of that. « 

The System Is Trapped in a Feedback Loop

The bottleneck does not stop at the damaged infrastructure. The global ability to produce replacement equipment is limited and concentrated in a handful of countries, all of which have their own demand. Manufacturing itself depends on energy, especially natural gas. That creates a closed loop: you need energy to rebuild energy systems, but the energy is what you are short of. So the recovery process is constrained by the same shortage that caused the problem.

Europe Is Structurally Exposed

Europe is in the most exposed position because it depends on imported energy while maintaining a large industrial base that cannot function without it. When supply falls short, the system does not adjust smoothly. It is forced into rationing. Governments prioritize households and critical services, and industry is cut first. That leads to forced shutdowns—chemicals, steel, fertilizer, glass—sectors that do not operate intermittently. When they stop, they stop completely. Some will not restart, because the economics no longer work or the supply chains around them have already broken down. This is how industrial capacity is lost, not gradually but abruptly.

 

» The first major trend is deindustrialization, depopulation of cities, and return to farms. The second is remilitarization, and the third mercantilism. In the future there will be regional trade blocs that are controlled by a local hegemon. We are witnessing the shattering of the old global order, and the emergence of a much more splintered multipolar system. « — Jiang Xueqin, March 10, 2026.

Fertilizer Is the Critical Link

Fertilizer sits at the center of the next phase. It is produced from natural gas, and without sufficient gas, production drops. When fertilizer becomes scarce or too expensive, farmers reduce usage. That directly lowers yields. Modern agriculture is not resilient to this; it is built on chemical inputs. At the same time, fuel costs affect every stage of farming—planting, harvesting, transport. So both key inputs are constrained simultaneously. The result is straightforward: less food is produced.

Food Systems Tighten, Then Strain

Food systems do not break instantly, but they tighten. Prices rise first. Then availability becomes uneven. Some goods become scarce, others disappear temporarily. Europe can buffer this for a time through imports, but it is still drawing from a global pool that is under the same pressure. If multiple harvest cycles are affected, the shortages become more visible and harder to manage.

 

 "They've been beaten to shit!" Epstein's boyfriend keeps

babbling about Iran wanting a 'deal.' — March 26, 2026.

 

"All the goals of the war with Iran have been achieved." 

US VP tries his hand at market manipulation. — March 26, 2026.

» The Pentagon is developing bold military options that could deliver a so-called "final blow" to Iran—ranging from seizing strategic islands in the Strait of Hormuz to launching ground operations against nuclear facilities. With oil above $100 a barrel, thousands of additional US troops deploying to the region, and diplomatic talks hanging by a thread, the most dangerous escalation scenarios are now firmly on the table. « — David Oualaalou, March 27, 2026.

Economic Contraction Is Inevitable

As energy and food costs rise, the economy contracts. Industry shuts down, jobs are lost, and consumption falls because people can no longer afford what they used to. This is demand destruction in its simplest form. It is not a choice—it is forced by cost. That contraction feeds on itself: lower output, lower income, lower demand. Under sustained pressure, this moves beyond a standard recession into a deeper, longer-lasting downturn.

Social Stability Comes Under Pressure

The social effects follow directly. Energy and food are not optional. When access becomes strained, people react. Lower-income groups are hit first, but the pressure spreads. We begin to see unrest, political instability, and governments imposing stricter controls—rationing, restrictions, prioritization of supply. Those measures can manage the shortage, but they do not remove it.

This Is a Multi-Year Problem

The timeline is the critical constraint. Even if conditions stabilize, rebuilding lost energy capacity takes years. That means the sequence does not resolve quickly. Energy shortages persist, industrial capacity remains impaired, agricultural output declines, and economic pressure builds over multiple cycles.

The Sequence Is Direct

The progression is linear and difficult to avoid once the supply gap is large enough: insufficient energy leads to rationing; rationing leads to industrial shutdown; industrial shutdown removes fertilizer production; reduced fertilizer lowers food output; lower food output raises prices and creates shortages; rising costs force economic contraction; and sustained pressure produces social instability. This is not a theoretical chain of events. It is the direct consequence of a system losing access to the inputs it requires to function.

 

Reference:
The Duran (March 27, 2026) - Energy collapse, supply chains WRECKED w/ Stanislav Krapivnik. (video) 

Stanislav Krapivnik is a Russian born former US army officer, energy and industrial supply chain specialist with direct experience in oil and gas infrastructure. He held senior supply chain positions at Cameron and Halliburton, managing sourcing and logistics for critical field equipment across Eurasia. He later worked in EPC project execution with Tecnimont, supporting large-scale refinery and LNG developments. His background centers on the manufacturing timelines, logistics, and operational realities behind global energy systems.

 

See also:

Alex Krainer (March 27, 2026) - The Hormuz Crisis Will Trigger the Worst Economic Collapse in 100 Years. (video) 

Jiang Xueqin (March 10, 2026) - New World Order: Iran War Ends US Empire. (video) 

Alexander L. Chizhevsky (2025) - Mass Excitability during Solar Cycle 25 (2019–2030).

How America Became a Financialized Rentier Economy | Jiang Xueqin

From 1950 to 1980, America’s economy was mainly focused on manufacturing. Manufacturing made up 40% of GDP, generated 40% of profits, and employed 30% of the workforce. If you were a factory worker between 1950 and 1980, life was good. You worked 40 hours a week, had health insurance, could buy a home, and your wife didn’t have to work. Families raised three to four kids, owned two cars, took vacations every year, dined out weekly, and retired with solid pensions. 

» The US economy has shifted from production to speculation. «

 

After 1980 came the Reagan Revolution and the rise of neoliberalism, an economic philosophy centered on free markets and deregulation. Since then, the US economy has been financialized. Today, financial services account for 22% of GDP, while manufacturing has fallen from 40% to just 10%. Financial services now generate 40% of all corporate profits but employ only 5% of the workforce.

These numbers reflect a radical transformation of American society. From 1950 to 1980, workers had political power. As a confident middle class, they joined unions and participated in politics. Today, most of that power has shifted to Wall Street and to the professional-managerial elite—highly educated, coastal, Ivy-League graduates clustered in New York, Washington, Boston, and San Francisco. This elite, multicultural and financially dominant, has become the most powerful political bloc in America. As a result, government policy increasingly favors them at the expense of workers. That’s the first major shift: political influence moving from labor to finance.

Education reflects this change. In the 1950s and 1960s, graduates of top schools often aspired to be professors, scientists, entrepreneurs, or corporate executives. Today, nearly all want to go to one place: Wall Street. Why? Because that’s where the money is. The brightest PhDs in statistics and artificial intelligence—who might otherwise be developing breakthrough technologies at IBM—are instead running hedge-fund algorithms, speculating with other people’s money.

The US economy has shifted from production to speculation. Financial services don’t create goods; they move money around to make more money. It’s not productive—it’s speculative. And America’s smartest minds are devoted to it. This shift has made the economy far more unstable. In 2001 came the dot-com crash. In 2008, the subprime mortgage crisis. More recently, multiple banks collapsed in a single week.

Why? Bubbles. Housing, stocks, and other assets are all overpriced. People gamble on the assumption prices will always rise. When bubbles burst, the result is volatility, instability, and uncertainty. That’s bad for the economy. Inequality has also surged. The top 1% now capture a vastly greater share of wealth, and the gap keeps widening.

In short, financialization has been destructive. It has made politics more divisive, the economy more volatile, and redirected the nation’s best talent into speculation rather than innovation. Young people today struggle to own homes. Many rent indefinitely, with little hope of upward mobility. This is the rentier economy: when ownership is out of reach, people are locked out of building wealth. Instead of producing, many speculate—buying Bitcoin or chasing bubbles.

Reference:

Jiang Xueqin (September 24, 2025) - Why Young Americans Can’t Buy Homes Anymore. (video)

The Art of the $1.3 Trillion 'Screw You' Deal: EU Pays Up, US Gives Nothing

The $1.3 trillion US–EU trade agreement, reached after a tense 40-minute meeting held between US President Trump and President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen at Trump’s Scottish golf course on July 27, avoids a full-blown trade war. 

 

Trump celebrates his "biggest trade deal" yet.

 

As expected, Brussels, the tribute-bound US vassal, folded under pressure, and the circus ringmaster turned European diplomacy into an intergalactic howler: The EU accepted a 15% US tariff on its exports—while the US kept zero tariffs in return. Europe agreed to invest $600 billion into the US economy, pledged to buy hundreds of billions' worth of overpriced American weapons, and committed to $750 billion in US LNG purchases—$250 billion over the next three years alone—because apparently that's better than cheap gas through Nord Stream. In exchange, the US gave... absolutely nothing.
 

Von der Leyen, "You're known as a tough negotiator and dealmaker." Trump, "But fair." 

Von der Leyen, "And fair." Trump adds, "That's less important." Room erupts in laughter.

 

This 'screw you' deal and EU bailout for the US is seen as an absolute geopolitical and geoeconomic win for Trump, reinforcing his strategy of tariff threats and pressure, echoed in recent deals with Japan, Vietnam, and others.  

 

Brussels' Barbie—Trump’s total contempt: incompetent, corrupt, compromised.

 

Marine Le Pen, a veteran right-wing politician from France, calls the deal a political, economic, and moral "fiasco", and "an outright surrender for French industry and for our energy and military sovereignty"; Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov predicts "it will accelerate Europe’s deindustrialization".

 

Reference:

The Duran (July 28, 2025)  - US-EU Trade Deal. Trump gets everything, Ursula gets nothing. (video) 

Lena Petrova (July 28, 2025) - $1.3 Trillion Pledge: EU Folds Under Pressure as Trump Celebrates the Biggest Trade Win Yet. (video)

 

It is difficult, indeed.

 

了解你的敌人
Know your Enemies. 

Germany’s Final Descent into Deindustrialization | Gerry Nolan

They blew it up. Literally. As if watching the Nord Stream pipelines get surgically terrorized by US led NATO operatives wasn’t humiliation enough, Berlin just greenlit the demolition of its own functioning coal-fired power plant in Ibbenbüren, Westphalia, in the middle of an energy crisis. No enemy army invaded. No external power sabotaged it. The German government did it to itself.

This isn’t an 'energy transition'. This is energy seppuku.

 

The very plant they blew up could’ve kept homes warm and industry humming. But instead, Germany’s ruling class, wagging their tail for Ursula von der Leyen’s green fantasies and Washington’s LNG extortion racket, chose deindustrialization. They’ve become the first major economy to voluntarily plunge into managed decline, while gas prices soar and steel furnaces go cold.

 

Demolition of  the Ibbenbüren Power Plant on April 6, 2025. The fully operational 838-megawatt coal

power plant was shut down in 2021 as part of Germany’s 'green' Energiewende (energy transition).

Let’s be clear: this is not about the environment. If it were, they wouldn’t be buying dirty coal and gas from abroad while gutting their own infrastructure. This is political obedience disguised as climate policy. The message? Fall in line with Atlanticist diktats, or watch your economy get dismantled, one pipeline, one smokestack at a time.

 

When ruthlessness, vassalage, and madness have a joyful rendezvous: Germany's final descent into deindustrialization and

US energy colony status is rejoiced by the CIA-directed German government's propaganda broadcaster Deutschlandfunk: 

"Former Coal Power Plant: Demolition in Ibbenbüren a Success."

 

The demolition of Ibbenbüren is more than symbolic. It’s the self-immolation of a once-proud industrial giant, now reduced to an energy vassal state begging for overpriced American LNG, locked into permanent austerity to subsidize a war they cannot win in Ukraine.

There is no love for Germans in this arrangement. Only contempt. And still, not a whisper about the real sabotage, the Nord Stream bombing, the economic war, the slow squeeze of sovereignty. Instead, Berlin celebrates its own collapse with photo ops and press releases. If this is “progress,” it’s the kind that ends in darkness, ration cards, and a long winter of regret.

Quoted from:
Gerry Nolan (April 6, 2025) - Germany’s Final Descent: From Industrial Powerhouse to Energy Colony.

 

In a conversation with Tucker Carlson on April 4, 2025, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent brought up the Nord Stream 2 pipeline. He recalled how US President Donald Trump had called the Europeans 'insane' for already sourcing most of their energy from Russia. 'Do they want to double that?' Bessent quoted Trump. 'And they did. And look what happened,' Bessent said. Carlson interjected, 'We blew it up.' Laughter erupted, and Bessent quipped, 'Somebody did. Probably Putin. Some Norwegian fisherman bumped into it, is what I read.'

 

 » Washington’s LNG extortion racket. «

Trump declared that the European Union must purchase $350 billion in US energy, primarily LNG and oil, to secure relief from his proposed tariffs. [...] Meeting Trump’s $350 billion goal would demand a fivefold increase, straining production, shipping, and EU willingness to pivot from suppliers like Norway and Qatar.

Germany at the Crossroads: It’s the System, Stupid │ Gerry Nolan

Germany, once Europe’s industrial juggernaut, now stumbles in a state of managed decline. With elections looming, the theatre is set. But let’s be clear: this isn’t about who wins, but whether Germans can reject the system that’s strangling their sovereignty. Because unless they do, these elections are nothing more than a distraction, a masterclass in divide-and-conquer.

 

» Know your enemy. «

  Sun Tzu.

 

Scenario 1: Banning AfD, A Gamble with Fire

Banning AfD wouldn’t be a show of strength but a desperate move to silence over a quarter of the electorate, especially in the former DDR where resentment still burns over decades of economic neglect. Friedrich Merz, obedient globalist and former BlackRock operative, would become Chancellor. The result? More war, deindustrialization, and blind subservience to the US. But silencing AfD won’t kill populism, it’ll fuel it. BSW would emerge as the strongest opposition, carrying the banner for those abandoned by the establishment.

  » Election isn’t about who governs. «

Scenario 2: AfD Grows, But the System Holds

AfD and CDU dominate the elections, but the anti-AfD cordon sanitaire holds. Merz scrambles to cobble together a coalition with Greens and SPD, a circus of contradictions. Meanwhile, AfD becomes the largest opposition party, and with BSW rising in tandem, Germany’s parliament turns into a warzone of populist resistance.

 
But the cracks widen as Germany faces three brutal realities: NATO’s inevitable defeat in Ukraine, an economic crisis fueled by sanctions and energy dependency, and mounting unrest from a population tired of being sacrificed on the altar of vassalage. 

 

Scenario 3: AfD Triumphs – The System Strikes Back

An AfD victory would trigger nothing short of institutional war. Mockingbird media, and globalist puppeteers would unleash chaos: mass protests, endless scandals, “mystery” corruption charges, and lawfare targeting AfD leaders. Color revolution tactics, international condemnation, and Soros-funded street movements would all be in play.

 

» It’s the System, Stupid. «

 

These scenarios expose a single rigged system. This election isn’t about who governs, it’s about maintaining control while gaslighting the public into thinking change is possible. Divide and conquer, with AfD voters demonized as extremists and BSW supporters dismissed as utopian dreamers, all while the establishment engineers the decline.

Here’s the uncomfortable reality: Germany’s democracy is theatre, scripted to ensure one outcome, continued vassalage to Washington. The Nord Stream sabotage was a declaration of US dominance over Europe. Germany’s leaders didn’t even flinch. Their silence was an endorsement of their own country’s humiliation.

If Germans want real change, it’s not about winning elections within a rigged system, it’s about rejecting the system itself. Imagine a post-SMO world where Germany reclaims sovereignty, realigns with Russia and China, and embraces BRICS. Imagine restoring its industrial base, securing cheap energy, and forging a just peace in Europe. This isn’t a fantasy, it’s a choice. But to make it, Germans must first wake up to the fact that their political elite serves Washington, not Berlin.

» Yankee, Go Home « – German cry for sovereignty.

 

The 80’s saw mass protests demanding the removal of US missiles and troops. It’s time for Germans to rediscover that spirit, to say "Yankee, go home" and reclaim their sovereignty. NATO has turned Europe into an American buffer, draining its resources, compromising its security, and hijacking its future.

A sovereign Germany could help lead Europe in a multipolar world, standing with the Global Majority rather than kneeling before the US. The alternative? Continued decline, economic ruin, and an electorate manipulated into fighting itself while the true oppressors profit from the chaos. The real question isn’t about CDU, AfD, or BSW, but whether Germans can see through the charade. The rigged script won’t save them; only rejecting NATO servitude and imagining a future aligned with the Global Majority can.

Quoted from:
Gerry Nolan (November 20, 2024) - Germany at the Crossroads: It’s the System, Stupid. 

See also:

RT (November 20, 2024) - Germany knew in advance about Nord Stream attack.
Gerry Nolan (November 20, 2024) - Nord Stream: Germany’s Quiet Admission of Vassalage.
Cyrus Janssen (May 8, 2024) - How the US Destroyed the German Economy.