Showing posts with label USA. Show all posts
Showing posts with label USA. Show all posts

Monday, March 16, 2026

"Iran Must Destroy Israel to Survive or It Will Be Nuked" | Paul Craig Roberts

The real issue in this conflict is the Zionist agenda of "Greater Israel." Nobody in the Western media mentions it, but it is the central fact that explains the war. As long as Israel maintains that agenda, there can be no peace, no mediation, and no negotiated settlement. The nuclear issue is merely the pretext. The real objective is to remove Iran as an obstacle to Greater Israel—just as Iraq, Libya, and Syria were removed before it. This war is part of the same process.
 
» There is no room for Iran, no room for Turkey, no room for Saudi Arabia.
Either Iran prevails, or Iran is destroyed. There is no middle ground. «
 
The Zionist agenda historically envisioned Israel stretching from the Nile to the Euphrates. Now the concept has been expanded even further. In such a vision there is no room for Iran, no room for Turkey, no room for Saudi Arabia. If that agenda is pursued, the continued existence of Iran as a sovereign state becomes incompatible with it. That means Iran cannot negotiate its survival. How does a country negotiate its own disappearance? If Israel maintains the Greater Israel agenda, there is only one outcome: either Iran prevails, or Iran is destroyed. There is no middle ground.
 
» Iran cannot negotiate its survival. «
March 16, 2026: Iran's 57th barrage of Khorramshahr and Zolfaghar missiles with cluster warheads strikes Israel, overwhelming
Iron Dome, Patriot, and THAAD. With about 2,500 missiles and layered tactics, Tehran could sustain attacks for months.

Yet the Iranian leadership has repeatedly made the same fatal mistake. They wait to be attacked. They waited to be attacked once. They waited to be attacked again. And now they risk waiting until nuclear weapons are used. This is not how wars are won. Every successful general in history understands that victory belongs to the side that takes the initiative. Napoleon understood it. Robert E. Lee understood it. George Patton understood it. Iran does not.

» Waiting to suffer catastrophic destruction before acting makes no sense. «
March 16, 2026: US-Israeli missiles bombing Tehran.
 
Iran waits until it is hit, until it loses men, facilities, and cities, and only then responds. That is not strategy. That is paralysis. If Iran has the capability to respond after a nuclear attack, then it certainly has the capability to respond before one. Waiting to suffer catastrophic destruction before acting makes no sense. The strategic reality is simple: Israel has nuclear weapons. Iran does not. That alone places Iran at a severe disadvantage if it continues to leave the initiative in Israeli and American hands. Therefore Iran faces a stark choice. Either it destroys the military capacity threatening it, or eventually those forces destroy Iran. There is no diplomatic solution to a war whose real purpose is the elimination of your country.

» Russia and China are useless as allies. «
March 16, 2026: Yan Xuetong, Chinese political scientist, confronts Israeli general at a conference, accusing
Israel of killing 70,000+ Palestinian children; the general denies, citing efforts to avoid civilian casualties.

At the same time, Iran finds itself essentially alone. Russia and China talk about multipolarity, they talk about cooperation, they talk about organizations like the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), and Iran is even a member of that organization. Yet when a SCO member is fighting for its survival, Russia and China stand aside. They issue statements. They talk about trade. They talk about negotiations. But when it comes to confronting the United States and Israel directly, they disappear. This demonstrates that Russia and China are useless as allies. They are governed by leaderships that appear to have no strategic vision. They behave as if trade deals are more important than geopolitical survival. They think in terms of commerce while their partners face existential threats.

»
Russia, China are not Iran's friends. Russia is an occupied

country. PUTIN is a traitor in bed with the Chabad Lubavitch. «

A few words from Moscow and Beijing—such as a mutual defense commitment—could have prevented this war from ever starting. But those words were never spoken. Instead, Iran stands alone while Russia and China pursue negotiations and trade arrangements with the very power that is trying to destroy Iran. That means Iran cannot rely on anyone else for its survival. It cannot rely on Russia. It cannot rely on China. It cannot rely on international institutions. It can only rely on itself.

» Waiting for the next attack—especially when the enemy possesses nuclear
 weapons—is not a strategy for survival. It is a strategy for extinction. « 
March 16, 2026: Israeli white phosphorus munitions exploding over Khiam in southern
Lebanon. Its use against civilians is prohibited under international humanitarian law.

Which brings the situation back to the fundamental reality: the existence of Iran is incompatible with the Greater Israel agenda. As long as that agenda exists, Iran will remain a target. Therefore Iran has only two possibilities. Either Iran destroys the forces threatening it, or those forces destroy Iran. There is no negotiation that resolves this contradiction. There is no mediation that reconciles it.

Iran must recognize that it is fighting for its life. It cannot continue to sit back, absorb blows, and respond after the fact. That approach only invites escalation to nuclear weapons. If nuclear weapons are used, the conflict will not remain regional. Once that threshold is crossed, the danger becomes global nuclear war. That is why the initiative matters. Waiting for the next attack—especially when the enemy possesses nuclear weapons—is not a strategy for survival. It is a strategy for extinction.

Paul Craig Roberts (b. 1939) is an American economist, columnist, and former public official who served as Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Economic Policy under Ronald Reagan. A proponent of supply-side economics, he helped shape the Reagan administration’s economic program. Roberts later became a syndicated commentator and author, known for critiques of globalization, US foreign policy, and the financial system.

March 16, 2026.
 
March 16, 2026.
 
 
See also:

Monday, March 9, 2026

The Fall of the USSR: History of a Prediction | André Barbault

By way of introduction, I would like to apologize for being personally at the heart of this subject. However my personal account is necessary to present this assessment. Under such circumstances, no matter the person: only the prediction holds the attention. If I am at the core of this matter more than another person, this must be regarded as the mere result of a quest for truth. 
 

I was marked at an early age by a searing failure which made me realise the extent of the power of human illusion in our land of Urania, turned too much into a utopian land. I insisted on roaming the exacting ridge of this practice, the field of tentative prognosis which calls forth the moment of truth of what occurs or does not when the configuration in question falls due. A way of relying on only one reading of astronomic ephemerides; if possible in the far distance, when nothing can be suspected, making an appointment with the history of the ages and even decades to come; the prognosis thus becoming a gigantic leap into the prediction of the future. The ultimate risk... Thus treated, the prediction regains its eminent place in the temple of Urania in triumphant celebration.

I intend to recapture this story in its chronological order. It all began in 1936: my brother Armand writes an article for the review Consolation in which he improvises an explanation of the Front Populaire in France, using the opposition of Saturn and Neptune at this time. Did the Russian Revolution of 1917 not take place under the conjunction of these planets? He reworks this idea in his journal L'avenir du Monde (
The Future of the World) of 1938-1939. The correlation gains credence: everyone comes to admit it, one after the other, at least in the French-speaking world. My brother will not take this any further; the bulk of his research began in alchemy. However, he charges me with the responsibility of furthering this historical verification to collect enough correlating elements. It is thus that the Saturn-Neptune cycle will become the primary terrain I explore.
 
Early–mid 1950s.

The twentieth issue of Cahiers Astrologiques (March-April 1949) presents, under the title "Planetary Cycles", my first interpretation of a whole pattern of cycles, including the Saturn-Neptune cycle, roughly deciphered. I awaited the new Saturn-Neptune conjunction of 1952-1953 to give my first prognosis, published in the newspaper L'Yonne Républicaine of January 1st, 1953. We will look at this text a bit further on after having discussed the conjunction of 1989. But the indication of the year 1989 arises. It is only accurate in relation to the deadline, to the historical fall of revolutionary tendencies. All the same, 34 years ahead! This is dealt with on page 189 of my Défense et Illustration de l'Astrologie (Defense and Illustration of Astrology), published by Grasset (Paris) in 1955 (out of print).
 
Revolts, Revolutionaries, Ideologies, and Revolutions
vs. the 36-Year Conjunction Cycle of Saturn and Neptune.
 
This text follows the presentation of the last six meetings or conjunctions of these two planets, Saturn and Neptune, which reoccur every 36 years, accompanied by collective uprisings or revolutionary movements. Hence the justification of this first text in question: During the conjunction of 1952-53, Stalin dies and the soviet Union is in full metamorphosis: the country begins a new cycle which will lead it to the cardinal date of 1989.

It is in Les Astres et l'Histoire (The Stars and History, Paris, Pauvert, 1967, out of print) that one will find all the historical documentation which I have patiently accumulated about our cycle in a series of accounts: the conjunctions of 1773 to 1953; the successive aspects of the cycles of 1846-1882, 1882-1917, 1917-1953, and 1953...; the conjunctions of Mars and Neptune since 1933, the oppositions of the Sun and Neptune since 1933 and the oppositions of Mars and Neptune since 1941, as well as the Revolution of 1848. It is based on this type of historical confrontations that one can claim a real correlation which authorizes the prognosis.

Thus we arrive at the second formulation of the prediction relative to 1989. This can be found on page 139 of the work published by Payot (Paris) in 1973: Le Pronostic Expérimental en Astrologie (Experimental Prediction in Astrology, out of print). So, sixteen years ahead of time! This is the text:

The second prediction relates to the conjunction of Saturn and Neptune, and was published in the newspaper L'Yonne Républicaine of January 1st, 1953: due to the fact that the Russian communist party was born under the conjunction of 1881, and that it seized power during that of 1917, one must assume that the year 1953 will be of prime importance to the Soviet Union. In fact the Soviet Regime finds itself simultaneously at the beginning and the end of the cycle. Being at the end, one can expect an inner reorganization of the State or of the Kremlin. As the cycle begins again, one must foresee a new development in the communist cause or at least in the revolutionary one of the world. The Soviet political system will find favorable responses in nations which previously had been hostile or indifferent to it...

To the surprise of the whole world, Stalin dies on March 5th, 1953: the inauguration of a new era for the USSR and communism. In addition, Moscow discovers a new revolutionary vocation by supporting the causes for decolonization and nationalism in Afro-Asian countries; it puts an end to its isolationism by engaging in political solidarity with the nascent Third World.

Due to this success, shall I be granted more credit if I seriously view the upcoming conjunction of Saturn and Neptune in 1989 as the sign of a new "grand premiere" in the destiny of the Soviet Union or world communism? My intention here had been, deliberately, to succeed in predicting two immediately successive, similar operations with the repetition of the same phenomenon. In the same work, still 16 years ahead of time, I had to inquire further into the adventures of predictions in a chapter devoted to "historical circumstances".

I had first presented two preceding stages: the fluctuating metamorphosis due to the beginning of a new world-crisis for 1975, as well as the planetary concentration at the root of the crisis of 1982-1983, the critical time of the Euromissile confrontation (the economy of the "socialist camp" of Eastern Europe likewise seriously affected by the recession of 1980-1982 which it had not pulled itself out of, and it is this collapse that was the principal cause of the weariness of the people and their defection from their regimes). It is this chart, of 1989, which I finally presented:
 
1989: Triple Conjunction of Saturn, Uranus, and Neptune in Capricorn, 
in Opposition to Jupiter in Cancer, while Pluto is in Scorpio.
 
This astrological chart was accompanied by the following comment (p. 222):

Within a brief time we shall discover an exceptional planetary trio: Saturn, Uranus and Neptune will meet at the beginning of Capricorn during the years 1988 and 1989, the more significant being the year 1989 with its triple Jupiterian opposition to this conjunction. It is here that the fate of humanity for the entire 21st century could be fixed. We have seen our modern capitalist society evolve throughout the large Uranus-Neptune cycle since the beginning of last century. We have also seen the start of the last Saturn-Uranus conjunction in 1942, as well as the last Saturn-Neptune conjunction in 1953, the USA. on one side and the USSR on the other having launched a competition for world supremacy or to formulate a universal society. However, these two participants arrive here at the end of the race at the same point and at the same time, as though to melt into one single current. This final joint destination of 1989 is the date the world may tend to give birth to a new society. Therefore, the great rendez-vous of our history tends to show itself, after the profound upheaval of 1982-1983, at the time of this triple astral intersection...

This is a conclusion I had already drawn 21 years beforehand when I mentioned in Les Astres et l'Histoire, Paris, Pauvert, 1967, p.297:

...This triple planetary encounter, the most important astral reunion of the entire twentieth century... two historical uprisings... the American and the Russian, under the principles of capitalism and communism... these two participants are both at the end of the race for the final destination of 1988-89, at which time the world will renew itself to give birth to a new society. Undoubtedly, this great meeting in our history thus tends to presenting itself at this triple linear intersection from 1988 to 1992.
 
» Knowing that the present Uranus-Neptune cycle evolves parallel to the fortunes and misfortunes of our capitalist society, and likewise that the Saturn-Uranus cycles emphasize the characteristic of the "right" of this society: imperialist, totalitarian, fascist, like the Saturn-Neptune cycles, phases specific to the "left": unionist, socialist, communist, one can conceive that the fusion at the same time and at the same place of these three cycles may represent a time of prime importance for the renewal of today's world. «
And in the same book, page 299:

...the great metamorphosis of society occurs thanks to a fusion, a synthesis where Neptune assimilates Uranus, which is to say where the new society takes from the old and is much less the antagonist than the successor; and this is the very image of the linear trace of currents which converge at the same time and in the same place, as two contributaries would join into a river.

 When one knows that under the leadership or the near-benediction of the USSR, itself subjected to an essential mutation of society, all the countries of the East European bloc have, so to speak, converted themselves, have packed up and are going over to the Western virtues of democracy the "iron curtain" having disappeared the image of the fusion of historical currents into one river becomes quite relevant one is already talking about a project for a confederation of a Europe spanning the area from the Atlantic to the Urals: whatever the new tendency of the world society may be, it remains polarized between its aspirations to the right and to the left.

 A new version a few years later. We are in 1980, still nine years ahead of history. In a work that appears in a book-club edition, Nostradamus, I am induced to write a chapter entitled "The Destiny of the Soviet Union". Calling on the help of astrology from around the world and evoking my experimentation in predicting the cycle (the last to date in issue no. 48 of L'Astrologue (The Astrologer) with the announcement of a new tension in the Saturn-Neptune square, coinciding with the Polish crisis and the Russian intervention in Afghanistan), I came to the following conclusion:

The one who experiences such an adventure ends up acquiring a certain serenity of thought. One can believe in it or not: that changes nothing.

There is absolutely no doubt about the fact that the Soviet Union will have to experience a decisive turning point in its history as the Saturn-Neptune cycle renews itself with the conjunction of 1989. In addition, circumstances will be such that this large conjunction will take place at the same time and at the same place as two other do, preceded by a Saturn-Uranus conjunction (in a cycle of 45 years) in 188 and followed by a Uranus-Neptune conjunction (a cycle of 171 years) in 1992. Which is to say that this triple astral reunion announces a great planetary upheaval and a change in society for the years 1988-1992, spreading throughout the whole world and concerning Russia in particular. The astronomical phenomenon relative to this country is centered between December 1989 and March 1990.

Moreover, this is the same opinion I have always espoused throughout various international conferences. In October 1983 in Capri, I gave a talk on "The ultimate turning point of 1990" by reproducing the planetary alignment of fall 1939. Here is the interpretation I gave:

Such a configuration calls into question the various pieces of the planetary cycles regarding, each one of them, a particular historical movement: Europe with the Jupiter-Saturn cycle, the USA. with the Saturn-Uranus cycle, the USSR. with the Saturn-Neptune cycle, the entire modern capitalist society with the Uranus-Neptune cycle... Synthetically, it represents a large historical cross-roads where all these forces are gathered together to live out a unique history with various facets and numerous manifestations.

This is the same figure I represented again in November 1985 in Rio de Janeiro by specifying that these six planetary cycles were "reunited in a common existential moment resembling a historical upheaval which ends in a profound general revival of world society". In a previous conference given in 1983 in Stuttgart on "The Destiny of Europe" I was already able to pinpoint the interplanetary node:

... It is easy to understand that the opposition of Jupiter and Saturn in the midst of this unity announces the risk Europe is running of being the stage of a general societal upheaval.

And when, in May 1987 in Zurich, I gave a talk on "The Saturn-Uranus-Neptune Encounter", I was careful to specify:

And now we are facing a second Saturn-Neptune conjunction. No doubt that it forecasts a new critical stage for the Soviet Union. Likewise it may also signify diverse revolutionary movements in the world. For the Soviet Union, must one take the policy of democratization begun by the new chief of the Kremlin Mikhail Gorbachev seriously? Perhaps it is this change, fundamentally, which is appearing on the horizon. Gorbachev could do what Khrushchev was unable to do because he has arrived at the time of this conjunction.

And likewise, in September 1988 in Vienna, taking up a text from L'Astrologue (no.80, 4th quarter, 1987):

Does the present Saturn-Neptune conjunction not announce the success of Gorbachev's perestroika? Who knows if these changes will not erase the world division inherited from World War II and from the Yalta treaty? For instance, in respect to a future integration of the economy of the Soviet Bloc (Comecon) into the world market, the Soviet Union changes from the enemy of yesterday to a "partnership" rôle, as the great powers of the free world are to each other.

Must one believe that I was delivering banalities there? In fact the whole world was surprised, astonished by the avalanche of events which occurred between September and December 1989. As for us astrologers, however, were we surprised? It is time to evoke that as the deadline of the events approached, I insisted upon the possibility that we would experience a particular kind of revolutionary climate. In the "Saturn-Uranus-Neptune Meeting" in L'Astrologue no. 80, 4th quarter, 1987, I already attribute a double manifestation to the conjunction of Saturn and Neptune:

There is no doubt that this announces a new crucial step for the Soviet Union, a wave of renewal. In the same way, this can also signify a surge of revolutionary movements throughout the world.

But I was to reach a conclusion permitting me to entitle my article in issue no. 85 of L'Astrologue (1st quarter, 1989) "The Turmoils of 1989-1990", which announced the following:

So the only Jupiter-Saturn opposition in itself (September 1989 to July 1990) informs us of a critical turning point for the European Community, directly linked to the new crisis and condemned to undergo a major trial before presenting itself at its historical deadline in 1992.

Above all, it must be remembered that Jupiter will pass opposite the Saturn-Neptune conjunction at the same period, from September 1989 to July 1990. (...) This could mean a period of revolutionary currents leading up to an explosion, with possible mass demonstrations in the streets, with the risk of the powers being overthrown. One thinks of the possibility of such feats in countries which are being stifled like Romania, the countries of Eastern Europe being maintained under the iron collar, such as Czechoslovakia.

Just as the Byzantium of 1453, this is the real collapse of an empire which the world will be facing throughout this memorable year of 1989. And it will be the end of an entire age... the post-war era finished. The historical breach began in October, but the change had started in the USSR. itself the head of the procession in the Spring of 1989. After the novelty of legislative elections throughout the whole country, Moscow establishes a parliament where an active opposition makes itself heard. It was followed by Poland where, after the triumphant Solidarity elections, the country endows itself on August 19th with a non-communist prime minister at the head of a government encompassing all tendencies.
 
 
Mid 1990s.
 
However, the pace quickens with a sudden surge in the exodus of East Germans to the West in September and October. Those who do not leave decide to take to the streets and make themselves heard through protest marches. On October 9th, they already number 70,000 in Leipzig. From that time on, the GDR is at the core of events. Every Monday they march by the half-millions in Leipzig, Dresden and East Berlin. The storm on the Communists has begun. Everyone is in the streets (one million on November 4th in East Berlin) and they are formidable; the regime cracks. 
 
On November 9th the Berlin Wall is forced to open after the resignation of the Communist Party. Venus traverses the Uranus-Saturn-Neptune conjunction at the same time as the Sun and Mercury are in alignment with Pluto. Such a breach in this wall is the vertiginous historical torrent which removes the barriers of the post-war world. Hence these comments by the press: "the days that are shaking the world"; "the communist world is coming apart before our eyes"; "history is catching the whole world unawares with the collapse of the communist system"; "the disintegration of the East Bloc is occurring at a breathtaking rate"...

All of Eastern Europe is shaken by this upheaval. Having already joined the fun with a jubilant population, Hungary opens its borders and endows itself with a new governing power on October 23rd. The Berlin Wall crossed on November 17th, people take to the streets massively in Bulgaria, which in turn shakes the Stalinist foundations. On the same day 40,000 students march in Prague. On the 24th, under breathtaking popular pressure from a rebellious Prague, the entire head of the Czechoslovakia Communist Party resigns. However, it took seven large gatherings, a general strike on the 27th and new threats (they are demonstrating in snow flurries) to overthrow the regime. 
 
Marxism is in agony: the communist parties are dissolving; Honecker, Kádár, Husák and Zhivkov, who had been in power for many decades, are swept away by this same storm. All the countries abolish the leading role of the communist party, install new heads from all political horizons and fix their calendars for free elections. The climax was to occur with the passage of Mercury and the Sun in alignment with the Uranus-Saturn-Neptune trio. In its turn, Romania begins reacting on December 16th: within six days its dreadful dictatorship collapses. A summoning of the Bucharest population to acclaim the Ceaușescu couple on the large square of the capital turns into a general booing. The challenge has begun with a general insurrection (they will demonstrate by -20°C), leading to the arrest of the Ceaușescus on the 22nd and their execution on the 25th.

Under the same solar transit in January, in addition to the movements in Albania and Yugoslavia, which has joined the system of parties and the continuing demonstrations in the free countries, the rebellion filters into the USSR. itself simultaneously agreeing to a military retreat from Hungary and being affronted by the same demand from Czechoslovakia with the secession of the Lithuanian Communist Party, demonstrations of secession in Mongolia and a civil war in Azerbaijan: these are the remnants of the "broken empire" which looms on the horizon...

At the end of this experience, who can deny that the mere observation of the planetary positions enables one to establish a chronology of the future in advance? We will have achieved our goal: to demonstrate the credibility of astrology in relation to today's history and, at the same time, to have experimental prediction become the most efficient means of persuasion, as well as the highest and purest intellectual adventure of astrology. 

Quoted from:
André Barbault (1990) - History of a Prediction.
[Histoire d’une prévision, 
first published in L’Astrologue, no. 89, 1er trimestre, Paris, 1990.]
 
See also:
 
oooo0O0oooo
The above geopolitical cycle model developed by André Barbault correlates major transformations with long planetary cycles, especially the geocentric 36-year conjunction cycle of Saturn and Neptune, historically associated with ideological restructuring of states and political systems. However, it is important to recognize that in both geocentric and heliocentric mundane astrology, outer-planet cycles—such as the conjunction of Saturn and Neptune—describe broad rhythms of global historical development rather than events confined to the USSR, Russia, or any other single empire, state, nation, or civilization (as is the case in natal astrology applied to states, nations, etc.).
Saturn-Neptune 
conjunction on February 20, 2026.
The latest Saturn-Neptune conjunction occurred on February 20, 2026 at 0° Aries, the Aries Point traditionally linked with events of global manifestation. This alignment inaugurated a new Saturn–Neptune cycle extending roughly from 2026 to 2062 and therefore marks a probable phase of systemic ideological and institutional reorganization comparable in structural significance to earlier conjunction periods such as 1917 and 1989.

The broader planetary configuration intensifies the importance of this reset (see table below). Pluto entered Aquarius in 2024, a transit associated with technological transformation, mass mobilization, and redistribution of political power that lasts into the 2040s. Neptune is moving into Aries in 2025–2026, symbolizing ideological mobilization and the emergence of new collective narratives, while Saturn also enters Aries in 2026, imposing institutional pressure and forcing structural redefinition of political authority. At the same time Uranus enters Gemini in 2026, historically correlated with communication revolutions and geopolitical confrontation; previous passages coincided with the American Revolutionary era and the Second World War. The simultaneous ingress of several outer planets during the mid-2020s therefore indicates a rare generational transition affecting technological systems, ideological structures, and geopolitical balances.
 The February 2026 Saturn–Neptune conjunction marks the opening of a new ideological cycle. The most volatile
interval will be approximately 2025–2030, when structural tensions manifest through wars, crises and systemic
reorganization, followed by institutional consolidation and a new world order between roughly 2032 and 2035. 
Within this configuration the latest Saturn–Neptune conjunction functions as the cycle’s ignition point. Conjunction phases historically coincide with dissolution of prevailing ideological frameworks and the emergence of new political narratives. When combined with Pluto in Aquarius and Uranus in Gemini, the interval from roughly 2025 to 2027 appears as the principal systemic shock phase. Short-term activations occur when faster bodies cross the conjunction degree: transits of Mars and the Sun in February–March 2026 and again during mid-2026, when Mars forms tense aspects with Uranus, represent a trigger windows during which underlying structural tensions manifest through political crises, financial disruptions, and abrupt internal, regional, and global geopolitical confrontations. 
After the conjunction the cycle normally enters a formative phase lasting several years. Between approximately 2028 and 2031 the developing Saturn–Neptune dynamic may manifest as ideological polarization and attempts to construct new institutional frameworks. Uranus advancing through Gemini emphasizes technological rivalry, cyber conflict, and strategic competition in communications and artificial intelligence, while Pluto in Aquarius intensifies collective movements and challenges entrenched hierarchies of power. The interaction of these cycles suggests a period in which nations, states, and civilizations experience pronounced internal political tension while simultaneously confronting structural competition within an evolving multipolar and eurasiacentric international system.
By the early 2030s this cycle tends toward consolidation. From roughly 2032 to 2035 the ideological and institutional structures that emerge from the earlier crisis phase are likely to stabilize, producing revised political doctrines, new geopolitical alignments, or reconfigured economic frameworks. Historical precedents indicate that such consolidation does not necessarily imply decline; states, nations, and civilizations often emerge from these cycles transformed but institutionally durable. 
Nevertheless, the concentration of outer-planet transitions in the mid-2020s implies that the interval from about 2025 to 2030 represents the most volatile portion of the Saturn–Neptune cycle. In strict cyclical terms, this period constitutes the window in which all states, nations, and civilizations in the international system most likely encounter a decisive ideological and structural turning point shaping the political order of the subsequent decades.
See also:

Thursday, February 19, 2026

"Prepare for US War on Iran within 72–96 Hours" | US Col. Douglas Macgregor

The US is on the verge of launching an air and missile war against Iran. It appears likely to begin within the next 72 to 96 hours. The goal of this operation is to inflict such horrific destruction on Iranian infrastructure and society that the leadership is forced to submit. A key factor in this timing is the Ford Carrier Strike Group. Having recently passed through the Strait of Gibraltar, it is expected to reach its position in the Eastern Mediterranean by Sunday. This group provides essential reinforcement for air and missile defense in Israel. Once this defensive shield is in place, the trigger could be pulled as early as Monday, February 23.
 
Surpassing post-Iraq benchmarks, a massive US mobilization—anchored by 50 stealth fighters,
150 transports, 35 warships, and 50,000 personnel—converges with peak IDF combat and rescue
readiness to signal a 90% strike certainty within a Trump-projected weekend window.

The political objective is not necessarily regime change, but rather forcing Iran to comply with a specific list of demands originally outlined by Prime Minister Netanyahu and adopted by the Trump administration (total nuclear cessation, ballistic missile dismantlement, abandonment of the Axis of Resistance including Hezbollah and various Shiite populations in the Emirates, Yemen, and the Gulf).

It is unlikely that Iran will submit. Unlike the 12-day conflict seen last June, this would be a "fight to the finish." Iran has built immense redundancy into its command-and-control structures. If the leadership is neutralized, local commanders have standing orders to continue missile launches automatically. With an arsenal of thousands of missiles, Iran could potentially sustain launches 24 hours a day for weeks. Furthermore, their air defenses—potentially bolstered by untested but advanced Chinese technology—could prove far more capable than anticipated. They claim the ability to identify targets at ranges of 700 kilometers, reaching deep into Iraq, Syria, and the Caucasus.

Tehran’s blockade of the Hormuz choke point—the artery for 20% of global petroleum
—leveraged alongside Sino-Russian naval maneuvers, would catalyze a systemic global
meltdown of vertical oil prices and runaway inflation.
 
This conflict will not be a "cakewalk." We must anticipate significant casualties—potentially hundreds, if not a thousand, if things go poorly. Beyond the immediate battlefield, the geopolitical consequences are vast. We should expect Iran to activate proxies throughout the region and perhaps even in the Western Hemisphere via cooperation with drug cartels. Turkey is increasingly hostile toward Israel and the US meddling in what they consider their "backyard." A war would create a massive refugee crisis that Turkey desperately wants to avoid, potentially pushing them to provide direct or indirect support to Tehran. Russia and China have invested billions in Iran. While they may not intervene directly, they will likely provide the Iranians with every possible resource to ensure they survive the onslaught.

This war is tied to a larger struggle over the future of the global financial system. We are seeing the rise of BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, and others), which represents an alternative to Western institutions like the IMF and the World Bank. If the US appears militarily weak or unable to achieve its objectives in Iran, it could accelerate the collapse of the US bond market. Experts have long warned that if the 10-year Treasury yield hits the 5% mark, it could signal "game over" for the current global financial order.

Wars are easy to start but notoriously difficult to end. If we maintain the position that we will not negotiate—labeling every opponent as a "Stalin" or "Hitler"—we leave ourselves no path to peace other than unconditional surrender, which is rarely achieved through airpower alone. We risk entering a conflict that we cannot stop, resulting in a strategic defeat similar to Vietnam.

 
 
Munich Security Conference, February 14, 2026.
 
See also:

Thursday, February 12, 2026

Heliocentric Uranus Cycle and American War (2026-2033) | Bradley F. Cowan

Beyond its well-documented influence on financial markets, the heliocentric cycle of Uranus correlates with the periodicity of American wars. To demonstrate this, Bradley F. Cowan’s analysis utilizes the planet’s 84-year orbit—divided into 21-year quarters—anchoring it specifically to the heliocentric United States Natal Chart of July 4, 1776.

Heliocentric Uranus Squares and American War (1776–1962)

While every 21-year quarter-cycle (90°) exerts pressure, it is the full 84-year return that manifests with particular violence. This periodicity suggests a generational rhythm: it appears to require four generations for the collective memory of war’s horrors to fade, thereby clearing the stage for a recurrence of major conflict.
 
The Gemini Conjunction: The US Natal Return
Gemini is the ruling sign of the United States, as defined by the planetary locations at the nation's birth. Historical analysis reveals that the most existential threats to the nation—those redefining its government and claiming the most lives—occur when Uranus returns to its natal position in Gemini. The sensitive sector for these events lies between 10° and 12° Gemini (70° to 72° from the heliocentric starting point of Aries)
 
Revolutionary War (The Natal Anchor): The cycle is anchored by the Declaration of Independence in 1776. At this founding moment, Uranus was positioned at 10° Gemini.
 Civil War (First Return): One complete 84-year heliocentric cycle later, the firing on Fort Sumter in April 1861 marked the start of the Civil War. Uranus had returned to 13° Gemini. The conflict concluded in 1865 as Uranus exited the sign.
 World War II (Second Return): The second return (168 years after 1776) coincided with World War II. The war in Europe ended in 1945 precisely as Uranus reached 14° Gemini.
 Pre-National History: Projecting the cycle backward, we see the pattern in the colonial era. The arrival of settlers in Jamestown in 1607 occurred with Uranus at 6° Gemini; the colony faced near-extinction in 1610 as Uranus hit 18°. One cycle later, King William's War (1689–1697) concluded as Uranus left Gemini.


The Quarters: Squares and Oppositions
While the conjunctions in Gemini mark existential crises, the quarter-cycles (squares and oppositions relative to the US chart) correlate with other forms of warfare.

 The Sagittarius Opposition (180°): The sign of Sagittarius lies directly opposite the US natal Uranus. Transits here have coincided with "minor" wars. The War of 1812 ended when Uranus was at 6° Sagittarius, and the Spanish-American War concluded in 1898 with the planet at 5° Sagittarius.
 The Squares (90°): Conflicts such as World War I and the Vietnam War occurred when Uranus formed a 90° square to the Gemini/Sagittarius axis. Notably, the 2003 invasion of Iraq occurred when Uranus returned to a similar heliocentric location (within approximately 1.33°) it occupied at the end of World War I—a point also approximately 166° opposite the Vietnam War era.

  
Uranus in Gemini: 2026–2033
The United States has just entered the sixth arrival of Uranus in Gemini since the Jamestown settlement, marking the third return since the nation's birth. Uranus commenced its transit through the sign of Gemini on February 10, 2026 (14:54 EST), and will conclude on March 2, 2033 (19:14 EST), attaining the critical 12° sensitive point on December 20, 2028 (20:47 EST).
 
Heliocentric Uranus Cycle and American War (1607–2033):
A Chronology of Gemini Transits.
 
As the US enters this window, it faces extreme internal polarization reminiscent of the 1860s, with citizens and elites increasingly divided and unwilling to entertain opposing views. Whether this 2026-to-2033 period manifests as permanent international war, renewed civil war, or both remains to be seen. 
Bradley Frank Cowan is a reclusive American financial theorist and professional trader who redefined market forecasting through multidimensional geometry. A former electrical engineer, Cowan achieved recognition in the 1990s for synthesizing Newtonian physics and heliocentric planetary mechanics into his proprietary Price-Time Vector (PTV™) framework. His seminal 1993 work, Four-Dimensional Stock Market Structures and Cycles, advanced the esoteric theories of W.D. Gann by mapping price action across non-linear spatial dimensions. Based in San Diego, California, Cowan operates Cycle-Trader, where he provides specialized curricula—including the Market Science series—to institutional and professional practitioners. By anchoring economic "Natural Law" to planetary periodicity, such as the 84-year Uranus return, he remains a foundational figure in high-level technical analysis, known for projecting global historical and financial turning points with mathematical precision.