Showing posts with label Solunar Rhythm. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Solunar Rhythm. Show all posts

Monday, April 1, 2024

Solunar Rhythm, Cosmic Cluster Days & Sensitive Sun Degrees | April 2024

 
 
The SoLunar Rhythm in April 2024.
 
[ oftentimes true : ]
In Bull Markets, New Moons are Bottoms, and Full Moons are Tops. 
In Bear Markets, New Moons are Tops, and Full Moons are Bottoms.
 
ooo0ooo
 
 
ooo0ooo
 
 Mar 16 (Sat)
Apr 04 (Thu)
Apr 07 (Sun)
Apr 15 (Mon)
Apr 21 (Sun)
Apr 26 (Fri)
May 15 (Wed)
 
 
 
 
 
2024 03 31 (Sun) = SUN @ 11 ARI = 11 degrees     positive
2024 04 07 (Sun) = SUN @ 18 ARI = 18 degrees     negative
2024 04 13 (Sat) = SUN @ 24 ARI = 24 degrees     negative
2024 04 26 (Fri) = SUN @ 6 TAU = 36 degrees     negative
2024 05 01 (Wed) = SUN @ 12 TAU = 42 degrees     neutral
 

Sunday, March 24, 2024

S&P 500 March-April 2024 Seasonality │ Jeff Hirsch & Wayne Whaley

After 5 months of solid gains, are markets ready for a pause? Bullish Presidential Cycle Sitting President Pattern flattens out the mid-February to late-March seasonal retreat considerably without 2020 in the average.

 'Best Six Months' ends in April.

April is the final month of the “Best Six Months” for DJIA and the S&P 500. From our Seasonal MACD Buy Signal on October 9, 2023, through (March 21, 2024), DJIA is up 18.4% and S&P 500 is up 20.9%. Fueled by interest rate cut expectations and AI speculation, these gains are approximately double the historical average already and could continue to increase before the “Best Months” come to an end.


This AI-fueled bull market has enjoyed solid gains since last October and will likely continue to push higher in the near-term, but momentum does appear to be waning with the pace of gains slowing. With April and the end of DJIA’s and S&P 500’s “Best Six Months” quickly approaching we are going to begin shifting to a more cautious stance. We maintain our bullish stance for 2024, but that does not preclude the possibility of some weakness during spring and summer.
 
 
 
THE CORRELATION MODEL SEES A NEGATIVE LAST WEEK OF MARCH FOR THE S&P. Provided a time frame of interest, my correlation model calculates the Correlation Coefficients (-1 to +1) for the past performance of 4165 different time frames over the prior 3 months vs the performance for the time frame of interest in search of the period which has demonstrated the most barometric acumen in predicting the performance of the upcoming time frame of interest. 
 
This week I ask the model for it’s prognosis for the S&P in the last week of March. It responded that the prior ten calendar days (Mar10-24) had a very uncanny track record of forecasting the last week of March with those 2 time frames having a very strong NEGATIVE correlation which doesn’t bode well for next week given that March 10-24 was up 1.63% this year.  
 
Note the 3-10, March 24-31 performance in the far right category below in those 13 prior years where March 10-24 was greater than 1.2% for an avg wkly loss of 0.74% with 1% moves 1-7 to the downside.  This contrasts dramatically to the 11-2 performance when March 10-24 was less than -0.5%.  Fingers crossed that it is wrong this year. 
 
The outlook for April is much brighter. 
 
  
Reference: 
 
[ oftentimes true: ]
 
In Bull Markets, New Moons are Bottoms, and Full Moons are Tops. 
In Bear Markets, New Moons are Tops, and Full Moons are Bottoms.
 
The SoLunar Rhythm in March 2024.
 
 
 
 
 

Friday, March 1, 2024

Cosmic Cluster Days | March - April 2024

 Cosmic Cluster Day  |   Composite Line Cosmic Noise Channel
= Full Moon | = New Moon
 
The basic assumption of financial astrology is that the infinite multitude of movements, angles and forces between celestial bodies - suns, planets, moons and nodes - have something to do with us and with trends and reversals in financial markets. As above so below. The calculation of the blue summation or composite line in the above chart is derived from heliocentric planetary longitudes only. Of 36 heliocentric planetary cycles, more precisely. As amazing as the correlation between this composite line and e.g. US stock markets at times may look like, this is of course still but a reductionist model and astrological exercise. Nonetheless, it certainly ranks among the best forecast models developed by financial astrologers so far.  
 
The ingredients and the methodology were developed and disclosed by an extraordinary man named Larry Berg ("I discovered the Astro Method on November 19, 1980. At 1:45 p.m., to be exact."). The calculation of the composite line can be done of course manually and graphically with a Nautical Almanac and less complicated, much faster and more exact with software like e.g. an Excel Ephemeris, Alcyone Ephemeris or Timing Solution. Time and date in the chart refer to New York City (EST/EDT).  
 
'Cluster days' have no consistent polarity nor directional bias. Nonetheless swing highs and lows also inside of the 'noise channel' - a more or less arbitrarily and empirically defined bandwidth of values, a filter - may sometimes correlate with market directions and reversals. The mid-March values are the highest in 2024. Upcoming 'cluster days' are: 
 
Feb 25 (Sun)
Feb 29 (Thu)

Mar 02 (Sat) - Mar 03 (Sun) - Mar 04 (Mon)
Mar 07 (Thu)
Mar 09 (Sat) - Mar 10 (Sun) - Mar 11 (Mon) - Mar 12 (Tue) = peak - Mar 13 (Wed) - Mar 14 (Thu) - Mar 15 (Fri) - Mar 16 (Sat)
Mar 19 (Tue) = Spring Equinox
Apr 04 (Thu)
Apr 07 (Sun)
Apr 15 (Mon)
Apr 21 (Sun)
Apr 26 (Fri)
May 15 (Wed)

 The SoLunar Rhythm in March 2024.
 
[ oftentimes true ]
In Bull Markets, New Moons are Bottoms, and Full Moons are Tops. 
In Bear Markets, New Moons are Tops, and Full Moons are Bottoms.

Thursday, January 11, 2024

Cosmic Cluster Days | January - February 2024


Heliocentric and geocentric angles between planets coincide with Change in Trend (CIT) in financial markets. 
Cosmic Cluster CIT-Signal Days = Composite Line of all angles outside the Cosmic Noise Channel.
Cosmic Cluster CIT-Signal Days (CCDs) have no consistent polarity/directional bias.
Swing highs and lows  of the Composite Line  inside of the channel may also coincide with market reversals.
= White Circles = Full Moons | = Black Circles = New Moons.
 The calculation methodology of the Composite Line  is akin to the one of the Berg-Timer.
 
Recent and upcoming Cosmic Cluster CIT-Signal Days are: 

Dec 06 (Wed)
Jan 08 (Mon)
Jan 27 (Sat)
Jan 31 (Wed)
Feb 04 (Sun)
Feb 17 (Sat)
Feb 22 (Thu)
Feb 25 (Sun)
Feb 29 (Thu)
Mar 02 (Sat) - Mar 03 (Sun) - Mar 04 (Mon)
 
Solunar Rhythm in January 2024. 
 
In Bull Markets, New Moons are Bottoms, and Full Moons are Tops. 
In Bear Markets, New Moons are Tops, and Full Moons are Bottoms. 
 
(Source: Rob Handler, 2024)
 
 More often than not, stocks will 
 rise from (+/-) the 7th to (+/-) the 14th calendar day of a month.,
fall from (+/-) the 14th to (+/-) the 20th,
and rise from (+/-) the 20th to (+/-) the 25th.
 
 The 4th, 6th, 10th, 14th and 18th are usually positive.
The 7th and 20th are usually negative.
Not enough data for the 30th.

 
(Source: Rob Handler, 2024)

(Allen Reminick, Jan 12, 2024)