Source: First Trust Advisors L.P., Morningstar. Returns from 1926 - 3/31/17.
Monday, July 10, 2017
History of US Bear & Bull Markets │ 1926 - 2017
Labels:
DJI,
First Trust Advisors L.P.,
NDX,
SPX,
US-Stocks
Saturday, July 8, 2017
Equities Expensive and Commodities Cheap?
Incrementum AG (Jun 1, 2017) - In a historical context, the relative valuation of commodities to equities seems extremely low. In relation to the S&P500, the Goldman Sachs Commodity Index (GSCI) is currently trading at the lowest level in 50 years.
The chart outlines the valuation of the GSCI relative to the S&P500. The GSCI comprises 24 commodities from all commodity sectors and serves as a benchmark for investment in the commodity markets and as a measure of commodity performance over time. If the ratio is low (green circles), it means that commodities are cheap relative to shares. If the ratio is at a high level (red circles), like during the Gulf Crisis in 1990, the prices of raw materials are relatively expensive.
The current ratio is 0.87 while the median is at 4.1. A return to the median gives 371% potential, but in most cases a rally doesn't stop at the median. In absolute terms, the scene seems set for a new bull market for commodities. According to Ned Davis Research, commodities gained 217% on average over the period of a bull market.
The chart outlines the valuation of the GSCI relative to the S&P500. The GSCI comprises 24 commodities from all commodity sectors and serves as a benchmark for investment in the commodity markets and as a measure of commodity performance over time. If the ratio is low (green circles), it means that commodities are cheap relative to shares. If the ratio is at a high level (red circles), like during the Gulf Crisis in 1990, the prices of raw materials are relatively expensive.
The current ratio is 0.87 while the median is at 4.1. A return to the median gives 371% potential, but in most cases a rally doesn't stop at the median. In absolute terms, the scene seems set for a new bull market for commodities. According to Ned Davis Research, commodities gained 217% on average over the period of a bull market.
Labels:
Commodities,
Commodity Cycles,
Goldman Sachs Commodity Index,
GSCI,
Incrementum AG,
NDR,
Ned Davis Research,
SPX,
US-Stocks
Sunday, July 2, 2017
SPX vs Cosmic Cluster Days | July 2017
Upcoming Cosmic Cluster-Days:
Jul 07 (Fri), Jul 15 (Sat), Jul 26 (Wed), Jul 28 (Fri), Jul 29 (Sat), Jul 30 (Sun), Aug 06 (Sun).
Jul 07 (Fri), Jul 15 (Sat), Jul 26 (Wed), Jul 28 (Fri), Jul 29 (Sat), Jul 30 (Sun), Aug 06 (Sun).
Labels:
AstroFin,
Astronomy,
Cosmic Cluster Days,
declinations,
Financial Astrology,
geocentric,
heliocentric,
Planetary Composite Index,
SPX,
US-Stocks
Saturday, July 1, 2017
SPX vs Mercury and Venus Parallel of Declination | July 12 (Wed)
On
July 12 (Wed) Mercury and Venus will be parallel of declination at 19
degrees north (circled in red).
This usually entails a change in trend (+/- 1 CD).
A parallel aspect is formed between two planets with the same declination or distance north or south of the ecliptic. If the planets are both North or both South of the ecliptic, the parallel aspect is read as a conjunction. If they are the same declination but one is North and one is South, then the contra-parallel is read as a 180 degree opposition.
This usually entails a change in trend (+/- 1 CD).
A parallel aspect is formed between two planets with the same declination or distance north or south of the ecliptic. If the planets are both North or both South of the ecliptic, the parallel aspect is read as a conjunction. If they are the same declination but one is North and one is South, then the contra-parallel is read as a 180 degree opposition.
Labels:
AstroFin,
Declination,
Financial Astrology,
Mercury,
Parallel of Declination,
SPX,
US-Stocks,
Venus
SPX vs Jupiter – Saturn Cycle | July 2017
Upcoming Turn-Days:
Jul 04 (Tue), Jul 12 (Wed), Jul 21 (Fri), Jul 25 (Tue), Jul 31 (Mon), Aug 04 (Fri).
Jul 04 (Tue), Jul 12 (Wed), Jul 21 (Fri), Jul 25 (Tue), Jul 31 (Mon), Aug 04 (Fri).
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
Jupiter,
Jupiter - Saturn Cycle,
Saturn,
SPX,
US-Stocks
Wednesday, June 28, 2017
SPX vs Inverted 4 Lunar Month Cycle | July 5 (Wed) High
The Low on June 27 (Tue) corresponds to the High on March 1 (Wed).
If the inverted polarity in the current 118 Day Cycle remains active, the SPX should move sideways-to-up into
July 5 (Wed), down into July 11 (Tue), and up again into July 23 (Sun).
If the inverted polarity in the current 118 Day Cycle remains active, the SPX should move sideways-to-up into
July 5 (Wed), down into July 11 (Tue), and up again into July 23 (Sun).
Labels:
4 Lunar Month Cycle,
AstroFin,
Delta,
Financial Astrology,
Moon,
SPX,
US-Stocks
Saturday, June 17, 2017
SPX vs Mercury Speed @ MAX | June 20-21 (Tue-Wed)
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
geocentric,
heliocentric,
Mercury,
Speed,
SPX,
US-Stocks
Friday, June 16, 2017
SPX vs Sun - Mercury Speed Differential @ MIN | June 21 (Wed)
Jun 20 (Tue) Summer Solstice
Bradley CIT [geo]
SoLunar Turn Day
MER 120° VEN [helio]
MER 120° JUP [helio]
MER 180° SAT [helio]
MER 060° URA [helio]
VEN 120° JUP [helio]
Jun 21 (Wed) SUN - MER Speed Dif @ MIN
SUN 000° MER [geo] = MER 180° EAR [helio]
MER @ 088° [helio]
VEN 060° SAT [helio]
MAR 180° PLU [helio]
JUP - SAT Cycle Low
Jun 22 (Thu) Bradley CIT [helio]
Jun 23 (Fri) VEN Lat Cycle @ MIN
Bradley CIT [geo]
SoLunar Turn Day
MER 120° VEN [helio]
MER 120° JUP [helio]
MER 180° SAT [helio]
MER 060° URA [helio]
VEN 120° JUP [helio]
Jun 21 (Wed) SUN - MER Speed Dif @ MIN
SUN 000° MER [geo] = MER 180° EAR [helio]
MER @ 088° [helio]
VEN 060° SAT [helio]
MAR 180° PLU [helio]
JUP - SAT Cycle Low
Jun 22 (Thu) Bradley CIT [helio]
Jun 23 (Fri) VEN Lat Cycle @ MIN
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
geocentric,
heliocentric,
SPX,
Sun - Mercury Speed Differential,
US-Stocks
Sunday, June 11, 2017
Taxation of Average Income in OECD-Countries │ 2016
Data: OECD - Taxing Wages 2017 Database (SSC = Social Security Contribution). |
The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) analyzes how 35 countries tax wage-earners, making it possible to compare tax burdens across the world’s biggest economies. Each year, the OECD measures what it calls the tax wedge, the gap between what a worker gets paid and what they actually spend or save. Included are income taxes, payroll taxes, and any tax credits or rebates that supplement worker income. Excluded are the countless other ways that governments levy taxes, such as sales and value-added taxes, property taxes, and taxes on investment income and gains.
The highest average tax wedges for childless single workers earning the average national wage were in Belgium (54.0%), Germany (49.4%) and Hungary (48.2%). The lowest were in Chile (7%), New Zealand (17.9%) and Mexico (20.1%). The United States are in the bottom third (31.7%) - considerably below the OECD-average (36.0%). A single worker earning an average wage in Belgium ends up paying a tax rate almost eight times higher than the average single worker in Chile.
The tax wedge for families with children is lower than that for single individuals without children in all OECD countries except in Chile and Mexico, where both family types face the same tax levels. No Personal Income Tax is payable at the average wage level in Chile and no tax provisions for families with children exist in Mexico. The differences are particularly large in Canada, the Czech Republic, Germany, Ireland, Luxembourg and Slovenia.
Major Power's Military Expenditure │ 1830 - 2007
Source: OurWorldinData. |
Max Roser and Mohamed Nagdy (2016) - There are two ways in which we might want to measure military spending; the first way is spending in real terms and the second is as a percentage of GDP. Military expenditure in real terms is important since the absolute level of expenditure matters for the outcome of war. The US spending 10% of its GDP fighting a war is likely to defeat a low or middle income country spending 50% or more of its GDP. Yet, military expenditure as a percentage of GDP allows us to get a handle on the priorities and ambitions of a country. The military expenditure of a country is largely determined by the whether it is at war or not. Outside of wartime, countries continue to spend substantial sums on maintaining their military capability. [Above] are two time series plots of military expenditure in real terms; the first is in thousands of 1900 UK pounds for the period 1830-1913, the second is in thousands of 2000 US dollars for the period 1914-2007.
The UK’s military spending as a percentage of GDP in peacetime fluctuates around 2.5%, in times of war however, military spending rises dramatically. At the height of the Second World War, the UK was spending around 53% of its GDP on its military. Such a dramatic rise is consistent with the existential danger faced by the UK during the Second World War.
Labels:
China,
Cycles of War,
France,
Germany,
Italy,
Japan,
Max Roser,
Mohamed Nagdy,
OurWorldinData,
Russia,
UK,
USA
Sunspot Cycle Length vs Temperature Anomaly │ Jasper Kirkby
Jasper Kirkby (1998) - The sunspot cycle length averages 11 years but has varied from 7 to 17 years, with shorter cycle lengths corresponding to a more magnetically-active Sun. A remarkably close agreement was found between the sunspot cycle length and the change in land temperature of the Northern Hemisphere in the period between 1861 and 1989 [update HERE]. The land temperature of the Northern Hemisphere was used to avoid the lag by several years of air temperatures over the oceans, due to their large heat capacity. This figure covers the period during which greenhouse gas emissions are presumed to have caused a global warming of about 0.6°C. Two features are of particular note: firstly the dip between 1945 and 1970, which cannot be explained by the steadily rising greenhouse gas emissions but seems well-matched to a decrease in the Sun's activity, and secondly the close correspondence between the two curves over this entire period, which would seem to leave little room for an additional greenhouse gas effect.
[...] The observation that warm weather seems to coincide with high sunspot counts and cool weather with low sunspot counts was made as long ago as two hundred years by the astronomer William Herschel who noticed that the price of wheat in England was lower when there were many sunspots, and higher when there were few. See also HERE
Data: SILSO Royal Observatory of Belgium. |
Labels:
Climate Change,
Climatology,
Jasper Kirkby,
Man Made Global Warming,
OT,
SILSO Royal Observatory of Belgium,
Solar Cycle,
Sunspot Cycle,
Wheat,
William Herschel
Thursday, June 1, 2017
SPX vs Venus Latitude Cycle @ MIN | June 23 (Fri)
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
geocentric,
Latitude,
SPX,
US-Stocks,
Venus,
Venus Latitude Cycle
SPX vs Jupiter – Saturn Cycle | June 2017
Upcoming Turn-Days:
May 31 (Wed), Jun 08 (Thu), Jun 17 (Sat), Jun 19 (Mon), Jun 21 (Wed), Jun 29 (Thu), Jul 04 (Tue).
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
Jupiter,
Jupiter - Saturn Cycle,
Saturn,
SPX,
US-Stocks
Cosmic Cluster Days | June — July 2017
Upcoming Cosmic Cluster Days are:
Jun 01 (Thu), Jun 10 (Sat), Jun 14 (Wed), Jun 15 (Thu), Jun 27
(Tue), Jul 01 (Sat),
Jul 07 (Fri), Jul 15 (Sat), Jul 26 (Wed), Jul 28 (Fri), Jul 29
(Sat), Jul 30 (Sun), Aug 06 (Sun).
Previous CCDs are HERE
The basic assumption
here is that heliocentric and geocentric angles between planets are related to
financial market movements. A signal is triggered when the composite line of all aspects breaks above or below the Average Cosmic Noise Channel.
Review: SPX vs Cosmic Cluster Days April - May 2017 | Preview: June 2017. |
Labels:
AstroFin,
Astronomy,
Cosmic Cluster Days,
declinations,
Financial Astrology,
geocentric,
heliocentric,
Planetary Composite Index,
SPX,
US-Stocks
SoLunar Map | June — July 2017
Upcoming SoLunar Turn-Days are:
May 29 (Mon), Jun 01 (Thu), Jun 05 (Mon), Jun 09 (Fri) = Full Moon, Jun 13 (Tue), Jun 16 (Fri), Jun 20 (Tue), Jun 24 (Sat), Jun 27-28 (Tue-Wed), Jul 01 (Sat), Jul 05 (Wed), Jul 08 (Sat), Jul 12 (Wed), Jul 15 (Sat), Jul 19 (Wed), Jul 23 (Sun) = New Moon, Jul 27 (Thu), Jul 31 (Mon), Aug 03 (Thu).
We are currently in the alternated mode (second chart above).
We are currently in the alternated mode (second chart above).
Previous SoLunar
Maps HERE
These charts depict the SoLunar bias for short-term movements of stock indices two months ahead. The markets are certainly influenced also by other planetary forces - especially longer-term - but a 3-5 day short-term rhythm and pattern is governed by the SoLunar forces (= 4 highs and 4 lows per lunar month).
The SoLunar forces are a composite of Sun-Moon angles, orbital eccentricities, declinations and some long-term cycles. A Low in the SoLunar Map frequently is a High in the stock market and vice versa. Inversions occur, and if so, they should occur only once every 4 lunar months around a New Moon (max +/- 7 days).
The SoLunar Rhythm is frequently disturbed by (1.) the FED, and (2.) by sudden solar activity, altering the geomagnetic field, and hence the mass mood. This can result in the skip and/or inversion of pivots in the SoLunar Map. An increasing number of sunspots and flares have usually a negative influence on the stock market some 48 hours later, and vice versa (Ap values > 10 are usually short-term negative). A rising blue line in the SoLunar Map means the bias for the market is side-ways-to-up, and vice versa. Highs and lows in the SoLunar Map also may coincide with the start and termination of complex, side-ways correction patterns like zig-zags, triangles or flags.
SPX vs SoLunar Map | June 2017 | Review & Preview |
Labels:
19 Year Cycle,
4 Lunar Month Cycle,
4 Lunar Year Cycle,
Apogee,
AstroFin,
Declination,
Delta,
Financial Astrology,
Lunar Cycle,
Lunar Year Cycle,
Perigee,
SoLunar Map,
Sun,
Tides,
US-Stocks
Wednesday, May 31, 2017
SPX vs AstroComposite Projection | June 2017
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
geocentric,
heliocentric,
SPX,
US-Stocks
Tuesday, May 30, 2017
SPX vs Jupiter Stationary Direct │ June 09 (Fri)
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
geocentric,
heliocentric,
Jupiter,
Retrograde Cycle,
SPX,
US-Stocks
SPX vs Saturn's Geocentric = Heliocentric Longitude │ June 14 (Wed)
On June 14 (Wed) Saturn's geocentric Longitude (264.52 degrees) will equal
the heliocentric Longitude (264.49 degrees).
the heliocentric Longitude (264.49 degrees).
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
geocentric,
heliocentric,
Retrograde Cycle,
Saturn,
SPX,
US-Stocks
Friday, May 26, 2017
Bitcoin Bubble │ Re-Emerging Asian Fever
Source: CryptoCompare BTC/USD Index |
Bitcoin has risen 170% over the last three months to reach a capitalisation of USD 40 billion according to the CryptoCompare BTC/USD Index, Ethereum too has seen its market capitalisation jump 330% in the past three months to reach USD 20bn according to the CryptoCompare BTC/ETH Index. It is Japan, Korea and Asian interest that is causing the price to rise and dragging up Western prices on the back of regulatory moves as well as scaling. This is the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies:
Source: CryptoCurrency Market Capitalizations |
To
date that has mostly meant Bitcoin, but over the last two months
Bitcoin’s share of cryptocurrency capitalization has actually plummeted
to less than 50%, thanks to the sharp rise of Ethereum and Ripple in
particular:
Source: CryptoCurrency Market Capitalizations |
This news is the latest bit of good news for the Bitcoin:
- At the beginning of April, Japan announced Bitcoin had become a legal payment method in the country.
- Additionally, Ulmart, Russia's largest online retailer, said it would begin accepting Bitcoin even though Russia had said it wouldn't explore the cryptocurrency until 2018.
- The gains also seem to be boosted by speculation the US Securities and Exchange Commission could overturn its ruling on the Winklevoss twins' Bitcoin exchange-traded fund.
- And most recently, Fidelity's CEO Abigail Johnson lending some credibility to the crypto-currency, explaning how her firm was mining Bitcoin, and accepting payments in the virtual currency.
- And finally, as a reminder, it appears Bitcoin is one of the only (un-rigged) assets in the world that is reflective of global policy and geopolitical uncertainty.
Tuesday, May 23, 2017
Revenue Streams of the Five Largest Tech Companies
Source: Visual Capitalist. |
History of US Unemployment Rate
Source: Joseph Lavorgna, Deutsche Bank. |
Labels:
Deutsche Bank,
Joseph Lavorgna,
Unemployment Rate,
USA
Geometry of Infinite Mind | Ernest Emery Richards
Ernest Emery Richards (1990) - All life on Earth has developed under the influence of this geomagnetic field which varies in structure and dynamic properties via geomagnetic pulsations. These pulsations are due to the interaction of the plasma waves coming from throughout the Solar System and Cosmos and interacting with the Earth's magnetosphere.
When our brain and body rhythms are measured electromagnetically, they are found to occur prominently within what is termed the ELF (extremely low frequency) spectrum and lower. This brainwave spectrum is also divided into band segments, called the alpha (greatest amplitude)(8 to 16 Hz.), beta (16 to 32 Hz.), theta (4 to 8 Hz.), delta (2 to 4 Hz.), and zeta (1 to 2 Hz.), ranging from 32 cycles per second (Hertz) and down below 1 cps (Hz.).
The measurable presence of these different frequencies seems to indicate changes in individual consciousness. An example might be that a relaxed, attentive state develops strong alpha wave rhythms; these are also the prominent Earth resonant frequency ranges. The theta rhythms are found to occur during the dream period, and also while experiencing a spontaneous creative, intuitive state. The theta frequencies are seen to have strong lunar rhythm harmonics. The Moon has long been associated with our intuitive, creative capacity.
When calculations are performed related to the solar system and the planets, it is found that all of the planets and most of their moons have frequency aspects which fall within our brainwave spectrum. All of the planetary systems have electromagnetic field structures and prominent magnetospheric frequencies. Our home solar system forms a complex, harmonically interrelating, multi-octave musical instrument composed of over forty octaves of vibrational interplay. Your brain/body structure resonates to those continually fluctuating field patterns as they beat against the Earth's, Moon's, and Sun's natural rhythms.
[...] The Earth sets up a pattern of electromagnetic vibrations between its circumference frequency, around 7.5 Hertz (cycles per second) and its radius frequency of 47 Hertz (Hz.). The atmospheric cavity Schumann Resonance spectrum has been measured via electronic detection instruments. This Schumann Resonance, which occurs within the Earth and its surrounding energy field, has immediate impact upon planetary life-forms. When we measure our own brainwave electromagnetic signals, we see displayed these very same Earth vibrations. Since the Earth is very much alive vibrationally, these electromagnetic signals are continually changing and interacting.
Solar System and Brainwave Frequencies. |
When our brain and body rhythms are measured electromagnetically, they are found to occur prominently within what is termed the ELF (extremely low frequency) spectrum and lower. This brainwave spectrum is also divided into band segments, called the alpha (greatest amplitude)(8 to 16 Hz.), beta (16 to 32 Hz.), theta (4 to 8 Hz.), delta (2 to 4 Hz.), and zeta (1 to 2 Hz.), ranging from 32 cycles per second (Hertz) and down below 1 cps (Hz.).
Earth Frequencies. |
When calculations are performed related to the solar system and the planets, it is found that all of the planets and most of their moons have frequency aspects which fall within our brainwave spectrum. All of the planetary systems have electromagnetic field structures and prominent magnetospheric frequencies. Our home solar system forms a complex, harmonically interrelating, multi-octave musical instrument composed of over forty octaves of vibrational interplay. Your brain/body structure resonates to those continually fluctuating field patterns as they beat against the Earth's, Moon's, and Sun's natural rhythms.
[...] The Earth sets up a pattern of electromagnetic vibrations between its circumference frequency, around 7.5 Hertz (cycles per second) and its radius frequency of 47 Hertz (Hz.). The atmospheric cavity Schumann Resonance spectrum has been measured via electronic detection instruments. This Schumann Resonance, which occurs within the Earth and its surrounding energy field, has immediate impact upon planetary life-forms. When we measure our own brainwave electromagnetic signals, we see displayed these very same Earth vibrations. Since the Earth is very much alive vibrationally, these electromagnetic signals are continually changing and interacting.
Labels:
Astrology,
Astronomy,
Electromagnetic Spectrum,
ELF,
Ernest Emery Richards,
Geomagnetism,
Market and Solar Activity,
Neuroscience,
Nick Fiorenza,
OT,
Schumann Resonance,
Space Weather
Sunday, May 21, 2017
Telepathy on a Global Scale │ Michael Persinger
“No more secrets.” (HERE) |
Labels:
Electromagnetic Theories of Consciousness,
Geomagnetism,
Market and Solar Activity,
Michael Persinger,
Mind Control,
MKUltra,
Neuroscience,
OT,
Space Weather
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