Western Europe could become the new Ukraine | Timofey Bordachev

The real causes of major armed conflicts such as world wars are always linked to socio-economic factors. For the naturally cautious German nation to become a bunch of cannibals, it first had to sink into the economic misery and moral oppression of the 1920s. Before that, demographic growth and the unresolved social problems of industrialization created the necessary mass of people willing to kill and die on the fields of the First World War.

 

 » Both the Minister for Economic Affairs and the Minister of Finance have come to the conclusion

that Germany is no longer sufficiently competitive. It is inconceivable that this will not lead to political changes. «
Christian Lindner, German Minister of Finance, Feb 12, 2024.

In any case, any great aggression against neighbors has required a very large number of poor and morally degenerate people. This is roughly what happened to Ukraine during the 30 years of its failed statehood. In other words, the ability of the Western Europeans to unleash armed aggression against us depends on how their own affairs are going.

This is why, from the Russian point of view, it is now of the utmost importance to observe what is happening in the Western European economies. The irrational policy of sanctions against Russia and the partial breakdown of trade and economic relations between us have already led to serious losses for their business sectors. Added to this are the accumulated domestic problems, competition from American and Chinese companies, and the general recession in the global economy.

 

» Ukraine must win this war. If Putin had his way, this would only be the beginning. « 

 Boris Pistorius, German Defence Minister, Feb 18, 2023.

 

For example, one of the Western news agencies recently published a story about how large manufacturing companies, industry leaders, are leaving Germany in search of more favorable locations and investment conditions. Other major Western European states are going through their own worrying processes. If these economic difficulties begin to erode the established model, the mood of the citizenry may change.

We do not know exactly how Western Europeans will react to the deterioration of their material situation and how long it will take. It is quite likely that the world will not see the practical consequences of this economic decline for another 20-30 years. What is more, we cannot say with certainty that the behavioral algorithms of its inhabitants will be exactly the same as in the first half of the 20th century. History does not repeat itself, which makes thinking about events by analogy a rather dead-end way of understanding what is happening.

Quoted from:
Timofey Bordachev (Feb 15, 2024) - Could Europe become the new Ukraine?

Bad Habits | Paul Tudor Jones

There are two unpleasant experiences that every trader will face in his lifetime at least once and, most likely, multiple times. First, there will come a day after a devastatingly brutal and agonizingly long stretch of losing trades and you’ll wonder if you will ever make a winning trade again. And second, there will come a point you begin to ask yourself why it is you make money, and if this is truly sustainable. The first experience tests an individual’s grit; does he have the stamina, courage, guts and smarts to get up and engage the battle again? 

 

  » I knew that I really did not know. «

The second moment of enlightenment is the one that it is actually scarier because it acknowledges a certain lack of control over anything. I think I was 38 years old when, one day, in a moment of frightening enlightenment in 1993, I knew that I really did not know exactly how and why I had made all the money that I had over the prior 17 years. That threw my confidence for a jolt. It sent me down on to a path of self-discovery that even today is a work in progress.

Many of us are blind to key psychological elements of ourselves; that’s why people go to therapists or get outside help for any number of problems. That was what happened to me in 1993. Then, a combination of people helped me discover that my trading style had incorporated some inimitable traits, completely unbeknownst to me. These bad habits were responsible for the worst year of my career, and the only one that came close to being negative for my trading accounts.

 

Paul Tudor Jones

2014

Forecaster BS │ Robert Miner

 » Learn to trade, ignore forecasters. «

 Robert Miner

 

'Forecasts' and 'signals' are useless without strategies and setups. A setup includes timing and levels for entry, exit, stop-loss, and position sizing in line with risk-management. This is what Robert Miner teaches in his books. Understand time cycles, price action, that price is always timed and measured; order flow, accumulation, manipulation and distribution (AMD/Power of 3); trend, trend reversal and trend continuation; time of day/week/month/quarter and risk/reward. Then develop 'signals' and strategies. Back-test. Learn to trade, ignore forecaster BS. 

 

Flowchart for a 

 Stacey Burke 3 Day Cycle trade setup.

I told Tucker Carlson 'We are Fighting the same Enemy' │ Alexander Dugin

I think Russian and Western patriots have exactly the same enemy. And my recent conversation with Tucker Carlson, with whom I had the chance to speak here in Moscow during his visit, has totally convinced me about this. Because we started immediately to speak as brothers to each other, not as enemies who fight each other. Tucker Carlson is absolutely not pro-Russian. He's a liberal and an American patriot, and I am a Russian patriot. 

 

Saint George killing the dragon, the common enemy of the human race.

Obviously, we have many things in common but also disagreements concerning geopolitics, multi-polarity, Protestantism or Liberalism, for example. But in spite of all these, the main core of our world vision is the same. We are both fighting for Christianity, for the faith, for the roots, for the tradition, for the eternity, and for the human dignity. And we are fighting exactly the same enemy. So we need to take inspiration from each other. I am considered to be the main anti-Western Russian thinker. But I love Western tradition and admire Western philosophers. I am a follower of Plato, of Heidegger, of Aristotle, and of Christian thought in the West and in the East. We are totally free to have this inspiration from the classical heritage of each other because the Russian tradition has maybe the same roots as the Western one.

 

Plato, Aristotle, Greece, Rome, Byzantine Empire, Roman Empire, Mediterranean culture - all that we have in common. And we try to preserve, to conserve and to save something of it because the modern Western elite eliminates anything that has real classical roots. In that sense, we are in the same boat and on the same front line with American and Western European patriots. It is not about either West or East. It is about tradition and roots versus globalism and its artificial, anti-human and nihilist hegemony. That is our common enemy.

 

Quoted from:

Dimitri Simes Jr. (Feb 15, 2024) - Alexander Dugin and Pepe Escobar on Russia’s Fight against Globalism. (complete video)

Sora │ Creating Video from Text

Reality aborted. Prompt:

“Historical footage of California during the gold rush”.

 

The launch of Sora yesterday marked the day that we can no longer tell what's real or fake on the internet anymore. 

This is the worst AI will ever be. Now the Americans really will go to the moon.

 

» There was truth and there was untruth, and if you clung to the truth even against the whole world, you were not mad. « 

Nineteen Eighty-Four
George Orwell

 

Reference:

Open AI (Feb 15, 2024) - Sora - Creating video from text.

 

AI expert Connor Leahy is a hacker, researcher and expert on Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). He is the CEO of Conjecture, 

a company he co-founded to focus on making AGI safe. He shares the view of many leading thinkers in the industry,

including the godfather of AI Geoffrey Hinton, who fear what they have built.  

S&P 500 vs NAAIM Exposure Index │ ISABELNET

The National Association of Active Investment Managers Exposure Index represents the two-week moving average exposure to U.S. equity markets reported by NAAIM members.

 The NAAIM Exposure Index, with a reading of 95.58, indicates a strong bullish sentiment among active investment managers, reflecting their high confidence in the future trajectory of the stock market (published Feb 16, 2024).

 

 S&P 500 and NAAIM Index above 97 (published Feb 15, 2024)

Active investment managers are notorious for buying equities at tops and selling them at bottoms, highlighting the difficulties they encounter in accurately timing the market and making lucrative investment choices.

Reference:
ISABELNET (Feb 15+16, 2024) - S&P 500 and NAAIM Exposure Index above 97.

 

Still up: The 3 Day, the 9 Day and the 18 Day cycles vs the S&P 500 Index.

 

Jeffrey A. Hirsch (Feb 16, 2024) - DJIA S&P 500 & NASDAQ are all up 7 of last 12 days after the Presidents’ Day, but long-term record remains weak. Since 1990, average performance ranges from –0.56% for NASDAQ to –0.28% for DJIA. 

Sizable declines in the last 2 years have worsened the record.

Criticism of mRNA Vaccines now Punishable in France │ Thomas Oysmüller

On February 14, 2024, a law has been passed in France that criminalizes criticism of medical treatment that is appropriate according to "science". The law was pushed through the National Assembly; critics call the law 'Article Pfizer'. According to the law, anyone in France who advises against mRNA or other "medical treatments" that are "obviously suitable" for treatment according to the current state of medical knowledge can now be punished with up to three years in prison or a fine of up to 45,000 euros.

 

 » All tyrannies rule through fraud and force.

But once the fraud is exposed they must rely exclusively on force. «
Nineteen Eighty-Four
George Orwell

The law creates a new criminal offense that makes "incitement to discontinue or refrain from therapeutic or prophylactic medical treatment" and "incitement to use practices that are presented as therapeutic or prophylactic" punishable. This means that any opposition to mRNA treatment and other methods propagated by the pharmaceutical lobby can also be criminalized and punished.

Reference:

Thomas Oysmüller (Feb 15, 2024) - France: Criticism of mRNA will be punishable in the future.

 

One accused and the other one lauded for milking and culling the goyim:

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen sued in Belgium for €35 billion corruption

due to her shady COVID-19 BioNTech/Pfizer mRNA vaccine contracts with Pfizer CEO Albert Bourla.

 

Klaus Schwab's darling, former New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern had allegedly exempted thousands 

of 'high-ranking officials' or 'elites' from the COVID-19 mRNA vaccination, that she rigidly imposed on the ordinary Kiwi.

S&P 500 Seasonality Weak from Mid-February to Mid-March │ Jeff Hirsch

The big round number 5,000 is proving to be resistant. It will likely take a few attempts to break through. February’s notorious seasonal weakness is bound to relieve the market’s obviously overbought condition. This is not out of the ordinary for February even into March.

 

This usually mild retreat (around 4% on average) from mid-February to mid-March in election years with a sitting president running for reelection could be a good opportunity to establish new or add to existing positions. Election year seasonal patterns suggest respectable full-year gains. 

 

Reference:
Jeffrey A. Hirsch (Feb 13, 2024) @ Twitter/X 

Jeffrey A. Hirsch (Jan 24, 2024) @ Twitter/X

mRNA Vaccinated Dying of Cancer at ‘Explosive’ Rates │ Edward Dowd

An analysis of U.K. government data shows an unprecedented increase in cancer deaths among 15- to 44-year-olds following the rollout of COVID-19 vaccines, according to a new report by data analyst Edward Dowd. The report has prompted renewed calls for further investigation. Teenagers and young people in their 20s, 30s and 40s in the U.K. are dying from rapidly metastasizing and terminal cancers at an unprecedented rate since mass COVID-19 vaccination began, according to a new analysis by Edward Dowd.

 

The 45-page report by Dowd, a former Wall Street hedge fund manager and author of ‘Cause Unknown’: The Epidemic of Sudden Deaths in 2021 and 2022,” alarmed some oncologists who characterized it as a sharp reversal of decades of mortality data. Dowd based his analysis on readily available government statistics from the U.K.’s Office for National Statistics.

 

Reference:
Mike Capuzzo (Nov 21, 2023) - New Report: Young People Dying of Cancer at ‘Explosive’ Rates, UK Government Data Show.

 

The desire of Western globalists, eugenicists and transhumanists to exterminate humans like pests:

» The world today has 6.8 billion people. That's headed up to about nine billion. Now, if we do a really great job on new vaccines [= mRNA vaccines], health care, reproductive health services [= contraception injection, abortion, sterilization], 

we could lower that by, perhaps, 10 or 15 percent. «
Bill Gates, 2010.

 

Excess mortality in the EU in December 2022 soared to +19% of the average number of deaths for the same period in 2016-2019. The COVID-19 plandemic is one of the biggest and best documented crimes against humankind, orchestrated by a certain royal and certain oligarchs, the World Health Organization, the EU Commission, EU member state regimes, an army of demagogues, 'experts' and 'doctors', BioNTech-Pfizer, ModeRNA, AstraZeneca and Johnson & Johnson. Time for a Nuremberg 2.0 tribunal.

Inside European Finance’s Most Secretive Society │ Owen Walker

In late October 2023 more than 40 of Europe’s most powerful bankers convened at the palatial Dolder Grand hotel overlooking Zurich for three days of discussions about the state of their industry. Attendees were given the chance to quiz Switzerland’s finance minister Karin Keller-Sutter and central bank governor Thomas Jordan, just over six months after the pair played key roles in the rescue of Credit Suisse by its rival UBS. The talks, which were not publicly disclosed, were arranged by a highly influential organisation whose existence is barely known outside its rarefied membership.

 

Italian President Francesco Cossiga at the 77th session of the IIEB on October 20, 1989.

 » This is not like Davos, where anyone can buy their way in. This really is exclusive. «

 

[...] The Institut International d’Etudes Bancaires (IIEB, International Banking Study Institute) is the most exclusive and secretive networking club in European finance, where bank bosses rub shoulders with guests from presidents and prime ministers to royalty and central bankers. “This is not like Davos, where anyone can buy their way in,” one longtime member told the Financial Times. “This really is exclusive.” For 73 years the IIEB has brought together the heads of Europe’s biggest banks twice a year at luxury hotels and royal palaces across the continent to discuss sensitive subjects such as M&A deals and global policymaking. The group has no website and its membership, meeting agendas and minutes are not made public. Members are discouraged from sharing details of the discussions. 

 

[...] The IIEB was founded in Paris in 1950 by the heads of four lenders from across the continent — Crédit Industriel et Commercial, Union Bank of Switzerland, Société Générale de Belgique and Amsterdamsche Bank — with the aim of holding regular top-level discussions on developments in the banking sector, as well as the economy and monetary system. It was part of a raft of cross-border institutions set up during that period to encourage closer ties between organisations from countries that had recently been at war with one another. [...] High-profile guests are a staple of IIEB gatherings. In 2000 and again in 2009, the group was hosted by Prince Andrew, first at St James’s Palace and then Buckingham Palace. At the IIEB’s first meeting in Russia, in St Petersburg in 2013, it received a speech from former president Dmitry Medvedev, while the club welcomed Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, now Turkey’s president, at a gathering in Istanbul when he was still the country’s prime minister.

 

[...] In one of the few publicly disclosed speeches given to the IIEB, European Central Bank vice-president Lucas Papademos began addressing the October 2006 IIEB meeting in Athens by quoting Adam Smith’s warning against collusion from 'The Wealth of Nations': “People of the same trade seldom meet together even for merriment and diversion, but on those occasions when they meet the conversation ends in a conspiracy against the public or some contrivance to raise prices. If Adam Smith could have seen this gathering of top bankers from across Europe, would he have expressed such an opinion, which would also be a cause of alarm for a central banker because of the potential ‘contrivance to raise prices’? I very much doubt it.”

Reference:
Owen Walker (Feb 10, 2024) - Inside European finance’s most secretive society.

 

See also:
Carroll Quigley (Oct 23, 2023) - The Bank for International Settlements: The Apex of the System.

Tucker, Putin, and the Apocalypse │ Alexander Dugin

Why is Tucker Carlson’s interview considered pivotal for both the West and Russia?

 Tucker Carlson (Feb 8, 2024) - The Vladimir Putin Interview. (video)

 

Let us start with the simpler part: Russia. Here, Tucker Carlson has become a focal point for two polar opposites within Russian society: ideological patriots and elite Westernisers who nonetheless remain loyal to Putin and the Special Military Operation. For patriots, Tucker Carlson is simply ‘one of us’. He is a traditionalist, a right-wing conservative, and a staunch opponent of liberalism. This is what twenty-first-century emissaries to the Russian tsar look like.

Putin does not often interact with prominent representatives of the fundamentally conservative camp. The attention the Kremlin pays him ignites the patriot’s heart, inspiring the continuation of a conservative-traditionalist course in Russia itself. Now it is possible and necessary: Russian power has defined its ideology. We have embarked on this path and will not deviate from it. Yet, patriots are always afraid we will. No.

On the other hand, the Westernisers sighed with relief: see, not everything in the West is bad, and there are good and objective people, we told you! Let us be friends with such a West, think the Westernisers, even if the rest of the globalist liberal West does not want to be friends but only bombards us with sanctions, and with missiles and cluster bombs, killing our women, children, and the elderly. We are at war with the liberal West, so let there at least be friendship with the conservative West. Thus, Russian patriots and Russian Westernisers (increasingly more Russian and less Western) come to a consensus in the figure of Tucker Carlson.

Tucker going through the roof (as of Feb 11, 2024).

 

In the West, everything is even more fundamental. Tucker Carlson is a symbolic figure. He is now the main symbol of the America that hates Biden, liberals, and globalists and is preparing to vote for Trump. Trump, Carlson, and Musk, plus Texas Governor Abbott, are the faces of the looming American Revolution, this time a Conservative Revolution. To this already powerful resource, Russia connects. No, it is not about Putin supporting Trump, which could easily be dismissed in the context of war with the United States. Carlson’s visit is about something else. Biden and his maniacs have effectively attacked a great nuclear power through the hands of Kiev’s unleashed terrorists, and humanity is on the verge of destruction. Nothing more, nothing less.

The globalist media continue to spin a Marvel series for infants, where Spider-Man Zelensky magically wins with superpowers and magical pigs against the Kremlin’s ‘Dr. Evil’. However, this is just a cheap, silly series. In reality, everything is heading towards the use of nuclear weapons and possibly the destruction of humanity. Tucker Carlson conducts a reality check: does the West understand what it is doing, pushing the world towards the apocalypse? There is a real Putin and a real Russia, not these staged characters and settings from Marvel. Look what the globalists have done and how close we are to it!

 

 'Ukraine' in the 1911 edition of Russia's eternal enemy's Encyclopædia Britannica.

It is not about the content of the interview with Putin. It is the fact that a person like Tucker Carlson is visiting a country like Russia to meet a political figure like Putin at such a critical time. Tucker Carlson’s trip to Moscow might be the last chance to stop the disappearance of humanity. The gigantic billion-strong attention to this pivotal interview from humanity itself, as well as the frenzied, inhuman rage of Biden, the globalists, and the world’s citizens intoxicated with decay, testify to humanity’s awareness of the seriousness of the situation.

The world can only be saved by stopping now. For that, America must choose Trump. And Tucker Carlson. And Elon Musk. And Abbott. Then we get a chance to pause on the brink of the abyss. Compared to this, everything else is secondary. Liberalism and its agenda have led humanity to a dead end. Now the choice is this: either liberals or humanity. Tucker Carlson chooses humanity, which is why he came to Moscow to meet Putin. The whole world understood why he came and how important it is.

Quoted from:
Alexander Dugin (Feb 8, 2024) - Tucker, Putin, and the Apocalypse.

 

» Do the United States need this? « (video clip)

There Is A Tide In The Affairs Of Men │ William Shakespeare

Futile defense against a tide : Iceland, February 11, 2024.

» There is a tide in the affairs of men
Which, taken at the flood, leads on to fortune;
Omitted, all the voyage of their life
Is bound in shallows and in miseries.
On such a full sea are we now afloat;
And we must take the current when it serves,
Or lose our ventures. «

 

The Tragedy of Julius Caesar.

William Shakespeare

 1599

 

S&P 500 Near Term High on February 9th or 12th | Allen Reminick

We've been expecting a near term high early February in the S&P 500 and we still are expecting that. Also, at the same time, the short term cycles are still bullish for a few more days until Friday or Monday the 9th or the 12th of February where we could make an even higher high before the market corrects. After Monday the 12th of next week, we're expecting the market to come down into the late part of February. That should be a noticeable correction.

However, even though the market is likely to correct, we're cautioning people: It is very dangerous to short this market. The corrections may not last very long, they may not be particularly deep and once they finish they're going to shoot back up. We expect new highs in March, and probably higher highs late April before any significant longer term correction occurs between May, June, and July.

Quoted from:
Allen Reminick (Feb 07, 2024) - Trade with Confidence: Astrology's Near-Term Market High Forecast. (video)

Implementing Economic Calendar Events | Darya Filipenka

 

One of the primary reasons for studying the economic calendar is to anticipate and manage potential volatility in the markets. Economic events can have a profound impact on market sentiment and can cause significant price fluctuations. For example, an unexpected interest rate hike by the Central Bank can lead to a sharp sell-off in the stock market, while positive economic data can boost investor confidence and drive prices higher. The focus should be on High Impact and Medium Impact News Events.

Reference:

 Darya Filipenka (2023) - Unlocking Success in ICT 2022 Mentorship: The Smart Money Guide to The Full ICT Day Trading Model. 

Darya Filipenka @ Twitter/X.

Michael J. Huddleston (2022) - The ICT 2022 Mentorship Trading Strategy.

David Hickson (Feb 05, 2024) - News Events & Financial Markets. 

 

Best Economic News Calendar. 

Don't Mess with Iran | Seyed Mohammad Marandi

Let's assume that the United States strikes Iran. The United States has bases all across the Persian Gulf. The Iranians will hit out at those bases. And then they will punish those countries that host those bases. What will happen? The price of oil and gas would go through the roof. If they do actually carry out an attack, Iran will respond immediately. Iran has a very powerful missile defense and extremely effective drone capability, and US bases across the region are vulnerable. 

 

The attacks that are taking place in Syria and Iraq show this. But the real reason right now, why the Americans are occupying Iraq and Syria? They say it's to contain Iran and to limit Iran's influence. But in reality, it's about taking away the sovereignty of countries and to strengthen the Israeli regime.

 »If the United States attacks Iran, we will see the demise of the American empire

take place much more rapidly than we're seeing right now.«

Therefore, their critical infrastructure, especially their oil and gas facilities, would be fair game. And that would lead to a global crisis. So that is why I don't think the Americans will actually move in that direction. But if they do, the consequences will be very severe. And the United States will definitely not win in such a conflict. It's more likely that the Americans will strike Iraq and Syria again, and they will claim some sort of victory over terrorists and that sort of nonsense, which they usually say. But it will be like in Yemen. They will have very little impact because the resistance to the US occupation, the illegal occupation in Iraq and Syria, is very well hidden. Their assets are underground. 

 

The Americans escalated in Yemen when the Yemeni armed forces and Saudi Arabia blockaded Israeli ports because of the ongoing genocide. Instead of pushing the Israeli regime to end the genocide, the Americans tried to facilitate the genocide by escalating with Yemen. They launched many missiles, wasted a lot of money, but they were incapable of changing the balance of power. Yemen continues to easily strike ships, and the Americans failed again. They made Ansar Allah or what the West likes to call the Houthis very popular across the region and across the world. And they'll only do the same in Iraq and Syria. 

 

The United States, by pursuing a policy of violence, a policy of hegemony, of imposing its hegemony and occupation, is only making things more difficult for itself. The Iraqi parliament passed a law saying that the Americans must leave, but they won't leave. What do they do instead? They keep the oil money in US bank accounts. And whenever the Iraqi government insists that the US must leave, they start putting pressure on Iraq through withholding their own money. And whenever anyone carries out resistance, they go and bomb Iraqi military bases. That is the arrogance that the United States shows towards the Iraqi people, and that is exactly why the people of Iraq and the people of the region are so hostile towards the United States. 

 

 » Since when has the United States won a war? Has the United States won in Iraq? Has it won in Afghanistan? 

Did it win in Libya or in Syria?  Did it win in the genocide that it supported in Yemen? Did it win in Ukraine? 

The United States is only capable of ruining lives and murdering millions. And they don't care. «

The United States has many bases across Syria. The resistance can kill lots of Americans, but at the moment they don't want to escalate. What they're doing is putting pressure on Americans so that they would end the genocide in Gaza. And they want the Americans to leave their country. The United States occupied one third of Syria, they're selling its oil, and they're stealing Syrian grain. They've sanctioned the Syrian people and they're stealing their oil and grain because they want to make the Syrian people suffer as much as possible in the hope that they will rise up and that the Syrian government would collapse. The brutality of the regimes in Washington and Europe, their terrorists and their military is unbelievable. In Gaza we're seeing their genocide right in front of our eyes. Watching people in Syria suffer because of the Americans stealing their oil and wheat is not so easy to put in a picture or in a small video clip. But it's just as destructive, as inhumane and barbaric. 

 

 38 million people have been displaced by the United States' post-9/11 wars

in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iraq, Syria, Libya, Yemen, Somalia and the Philippines; 4.5 - 4.7 million have been killed.

All of US calculations across West Asia and North Africa are based upon the interests of the Israeli regime. The people across West Asia, North Africa, and now across the whole world, are disgusted about what they see in Gaza. The Americans and the Europeans destroyed their reputation through their unconditional support for the Israeli regime. 

 

Reference:
Seyed Mohammad Marandi (Feb 02, 2024) - US-Iran Showdown. (video)