Showing posts with label ICT. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ICT. Show all posts

Monday, December 1, 2025

Engulfing Bar Strategy | JadeCap

This one pattern helped me make over $4 million in the last three years and even break the world-record payout at Apex. Let me show you exactly how it works:
 
» For a true engulfing pattern, the new candle must break the previous candle’s low and the previous candle’s high. «
 
What Is an Engulfing Bar? We’re simply looking for two candles—along with proper context—to define the pattern: Imagine we have a down candle with its open, high, low, and close. The next candle is what determines whether we have an engulfing bar. For a true engulfing pattern, the new candle must break the previous candle’s low and the previous candle’s high. It completely “engulfs” the previous range (aka Outside Bar/Candle).
 
So picture the first down candle closing. The next candle runs below that low, takes it out, reverses, pushes above the prior high, and closes somewhere near the top half of its range. That two-candle formation gives us a tremendous amount of information about where the next candle—or even the next several candles—may go.
 
Understanding the Context: Inside a higher-timeframe candle (4-Hour or daily), there are dozens of smaller candles—1-minute, 5-minute, 15-minute—that form all the micro-structure. Within that lower-timeframe structure, the engulfing pattern represents:
 
Market Maker Buy Model (for bullish engulfing)

So although it's only two candles on a higher timeframe, those two candles often reflect an entire lower-timeframe reversal model.

The key is the closure. Many beginners think a candle will close as an engulfing bar, only for it to close weakly or back inside the prior range. That invalidates the pattern. A proper engulfing bar should close with a strong, decisive body—typically in the upper 50% for bullish setups, or the lower 50% for bearish setups.

Bullish vs. Bearish ExamplesFor a bullish engulfing bar, the second candle runs below the prior low, reverses, and breaks the prior high (Outside Candle). For a bearish engulfing bar, it runs above the prior high, reverses, and breaks the prior low. Both reflect a higher-timeframe representation of a lower-timeframe Market Maker Model.
 
» Every setup has a failure rate. «
 
What Most Traders Don’t RealizeEvery setup—Engulfing Bars, Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), Market Maker Models—has a failure rate. I learned this the hard way after blowing dozens of accounts trying to trade every engulfing bar I saw. Two things matter:
  1. Every setup fails sometimes. If you backtest these candles, you'll see some of them lose. Your job is not to find the magical 100%-win-rate setup. It doesn’t exist. You may find these patterns work 60% of the time. Your winners must be managed well enough to pay for the losers.
  2. Location matters. A lot. When I was new, I took every engulfing bar. That was a huge mistake.
    If you're bullish, you want the engulfing bar to form at a swing low, ideally after taking out sell-side liquidity.
    If it forms after taking out buy-side liquidity—at a high—it's often a sign of exhaustion and more likely to fail.
    The reverse is true for bearish setups.
Avoid:
Bullish engulfing bars printed at or after taking out buy-side liquidity.
Bearish engulfing bars printed at or after taking out sell-side liquidity.
 
These filters alone drastically improve your win rate.
 
The $98,000 ExampleLet’s walk through the trade from last week. We printed a large bullish engulfing candle immediately after FOMC. The candle swept sell-side liquidity, reversed, broke the prior high, and closed strongly—exactly what we want at a swing low. We were also inside a daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), adding even more confluence.
 
Bullish Engulfing Bar Setup in the NZDUSD (4-Hour candles). 

My first target was buy-side liquidity above the highs. Since the market was near all-time highs, I was also looking for a move toward the psychological 25,000 level. As soon as the futures market reopened at 6 p.m., I entered with a 20-lot position. My stop was below the weekly open. I was looking for roughly a 1:3 risk-to-reward.
 
On the lower timeframes, the price action continued to confirm the model—bullish FVGs forming on the way up, continuation structure holding. Meanwhile, bearish engulfing candles printed at swing lows failed, exactly like we want to see.
 
I showed the live account login on the video: real balance, real fills, floating around $93,000 at one point. But the dollar amount doesn’t matter. If your account is small, making $200 or $400 using the same rules is identical—it’s just a matter of position size. Years ago, I was risking $500–$1,000. As my net worth grew, I increased my risk proportionally. Eventually, price hit my target and I closed the trade for roughly $98,000.
 
Final ThoughtsEngulfing bars are easy to spot—but only powerful when combined with
 
    Proper context
    Liquidity understanding
    Market structure
    Higher-timeframe narrative
    Disciplined trade management
 
Your homework is to backtest and forward-test these exact setups: where the engulfing bar forms, where the liquidity sits, where your stop should go, and how to trail it as price moves in your favor. Scaling in, adjusting stops, and managing the trade all revolve around that one pattern.

With this engulfing bar strategy and the rules I just shared, you now have everything you need to start identifying high-probability opportunities. Remember: profitable trading isn’t about talent or luck—it’s about discipline, patience, and following your rules every single time.

Reference:
 
 
See also:

Friday, July 18, 2025

Simple ICT Day Trading Strategy That Works Every Day │ JadeCap

This trading strategy focuses on entering positions based on significant daily highs and lows, utilizing ICT's "Power of Three" framework—accumulation, manipulation, and distribution. With this approach, I earned $4.5 million and I’m here to show you how simple it can be: 
 
» Do not trade if the market has already hit the target high/low. «
 
The Key is to target historical levels beyond just the last 24 hours and to use the New York midnight open for optimal entry points. By staying committed to the market direction from the previous day and timing your trades around key sessions like New York or London (ICT Kill Zones), you can capture manipulation moves for more favorable risk-to-reward ratios. 
 
» I’m here to show you how simple it can be. « 
 
Now, I'll walk you through the three-step process I use to achieve results every day:

1.) Identify Key LevelsDetermine the previous daily high or low as the target based on bullish or bearish conviction from prior day’s close.
2.) Assess Market Context: Confirm the market is trading below the previous daily high (for bullish trades) or above the previous daily low (for bearish trades) to avoid chasing price.
3.) Apply Power of Three:
Accumulation: Identify a range (e.g., Asian or London session) where orders build up.
Manipulation: Look for a temporary move against the expected direction (e.g., bearish move in a bullish setup) to trap traders.
Distribution: Enter trades as the market moves toward the target high/low, ideally near the midnight open for better risk-to-reward.


Entry and Risk Management
:
  • Enter trades on lower time frames (e.g., hourly) using setups like fair value gaps, order blocks, or liquidity raids that align with the high time frame direction.
  • Place stop losses logically (e.g., at 50% of a Fair Value Gap or below a key level).
  • Exit trades based on time (e.g., end of a 4-hour candle) or when the target is reached, avoiding overnight holds for futures.
Avoid Common Pitfalls:
  • Do not trade if the market has already hit the target high/low.
  • Avoid setups misaligned with the high time frame direction.
  • Trade smaller or not at all if the market has expanded in your direction before entry.
Reference:
 


See
 also:

Thursday, July 17, 2025

ICT Intraday Liquidity & Volatility Trading Playbook │ JadeCap

This strategy focuses on how price reacts to liquidity and volatility during the trading day. Liquidity refers to the areas on a chart where other traders have placed stop-loss orders, usually just above recent highs or just below recent lows. The market often moves into these areas to trigger those stops, and then either reverses sharply or continues strongly in the same direction.

Trade Example - NQ Short (1-H Chart)
 
The goal of this strategy is to spot those liquidity grabs, wait for a clear reaction, and then enter with confidence—either to trade the reversal or the continuation. The method is built for traders who prefer to focus on one trading day at a time, using clear logic, session structure, and precise timing.
 
On this episode of Chart Fanatics we are joined by Kyle Ng (AKA Jadecap). Regarded as ICT's best student and recently achieved a world record payout with Apex. Kyle reveals his complete ICT playbook that allowed him to generate millions from the markets. In this episode you'll learn how to manage open exposure and lock in profits, how to predict the next daily candle and the psychology behind avoiding greed in a trade. Riz Iqbal, May 15, 2025.

Each trade begins with a daily bias: a simple outlook on whether price is likely to move up or down today. Then the trader watches for session liquidity raids (like the Asian or London session highs/lows being taken out), and enters only after confirmation appears through a fair value gap, market structure shift, or divergence between markets. This model works well for intraday trades but can also be used for swing trades when the higher time frame aligns with the setup.

To take a trade using this model, the following must be true:

Clear Daily Bias: Decide if you’re bullish or bearish for the day using the daily chart.
Consider recent highs, lows, inefficiencies, and where the price is likely to go next.
Session Liquidity Zones Marked: These are common stop zones and entry traps:
Previous Day’s High and Low
Asian Session High/Low
London Session High/Low
Wait for a Liquidity Raid: A key session level must be taken out during the New York session — this is your signal
that stop orders have been hit and a potential move is beginning.
Confirmation on Lower Time Frame (15m / 5m). After the liquidity raid, wait for one of these confirmations:
Fair Value Gap (FVG)
Market Structure Shift (MSS)
Turtle Soup (false breakout and reversal)
Breaker Block
Ideal Time Window
Trade setups should form between 9:30 and 11:30 AM EST/EDT.
 
Key Differences Between Internal and External Liquidity.

Target & ExitYour target depends on the setup type. Intraday Targets: Opposite session liquidity, fair value gaps, or  equal highs/
lows. If the trade slows near midday, consider exiting  even before the full target is reached.
Swing Targets: Use higher time frame liquidity zones (daily/weekly highs or lows), imbalances, or major structure. 
Swing trades can be held for multiple days as long as the bias and structure support it. Use time-of-day awareness, price behavior, and your risk profile to decide whether to hold or exit early.

Pros & Cons of the Strategy
This model is designed to deliver high quality, repeatable setups — but like any trading method, there are key things to understand before using it. Note: The cons listed here aren’t disadvantages. They are things to be aware of — important characteristics that require patience, discipline, and proper management to make the model work effectively.
 

Trade Example - NQ Short (15-Min Chart)

Reference:
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If markets continually trend higher, any run on short-term highs should only be seen as short term liquidity being taken. Any retracement lower should be framed as a return to internal range liquidity prior to continuation.This keeps you on the RIGHT side of the market and you stop anticipating major reversals. Never try to pick tops and bottoms. Leave that to the big boys. We only want to ride their coattails. JadeCap's Trading Room, July 16, 2025.
 
Looking for Tuesdays highs on ES. JadeCap's Trading Room, July 17, 2025, 9:03.
 
I stopped adding new concepts and tools and just focused on properly executing what I've already learned. A few lines, context, and ironclad risk management. Stop focusing on the P&L and the size of your trades. If you can trade 1 micro you can trade 10 minis. But you can't do that at scale without a solid PROCESS. JadeCap's Trading Room, July 17, 2025, 14:47

Saturday, March 1, 2025

Market Logic Based on Liquidity, Volume, and Inefficiency | orderbloque

There are three main tools for market analysis that you will need once and for all. No more patterns and unnecessary clutter that only hinder and bring failures. The logic of the market is very simple and based on just three main elements: Liquidity, Volume, and Inefficiency. All price action can be described using just these three concepts. 
 
 » The logic of the market is based on liquidity, volume, and inefficiency. «

Liquidity: At the top of this chain is liquidity, the primary driver of the market. Without liquidity—without buy or sell orders—the market would come to a standstill. It's crucial to understand that while any element on the chart can provide liquidity, the key factor is the quantity: volume.
Volume: The second most important element is volumethe foundation of all our market logic and strategy. Volume directly reflects the amount of liquidity, or money, that has entered the market.
Inefficency: The third element is inefficiency, which arises from the influence of volume on price. Inefficiencies are graphical representations of volume at a specific moment in time, varying by time frame, and serve as tools for analyzing the chart.
 
Price always moves from liquidity to inefficiency and vice versa, or from internal liquidity to external liquidity and vice versa. Hence, when looking at any chart, the Points of Interest (POIs) are always price levels or zones where liquidity rests in the form of stop orders, unfilled, and partially filled orders, namely Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), Order Blocks, Rejection Blocks, Support & Resistance at previous highs and lows, or Fractal Points. 
Use imbalances from the lower timeframes for precision entries into a higher timeframe draw on liquidity:
For a monthly draw, use weekly or daily imbalances for entry and re-entry.
For a weekly draw, use daily or 4-hour imbalances for entry and re-entry.
For a daily draw, use 4-hour or 60-minute imbalances for entry and re-entry.
For a 4-hour/60-minute draw, use 30-minute or 15-minute imbalances for entry and re-entry.
All these concepts and terms are briefly defined and outlined below, and explained in detail with context and chart examples in the following video.

How Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), Order Blocks (OB), and Rejection Blocks (RB) operate.
 
Balanced and Unbalanced State of the Market
To understand the deeper logic of inefficiencies and market movements, we need to consider two main factors. The first factor is the state of the market at a certain point in time: balanced or unbalanced. What does this mean? 
 
 
When the market is in a balanced state, the volume of buys and sells is equivalent, and price hardly moves, with neither buyers nor sellers dominating the market. This is very rare and usually occurs on days with very low volatility. The second type is the unbalanced state, which is more typical of any market. This occurs when buy volume exceeds sell volume, causing price to rise, or when sell volume exceeds buy volume, causing price to fall.
 
Efficient and Inefficient Price Delivery
The second factor is the efficiency of price delivery, which also comes in two types. The first type is efficient delivery, where, in the context of a certain market movement, both buyers and sellers are present, allowing for a more even exchange of assets. 

 Efficient Price Delivery and Inefficient Price Delivery.

It is important to note that price delivery is always an unbalanced process in which one side—either buyers or sellers—dominates. 
 
The second type is inefficient price delivery, which occurs when the exchange of assets is uneven in certain price ranges between buyers and sellers. This means that there are areas in the market where orders remain unexecuted or are only partially filled, which is a key sign of inefficient pricing. Inefficient price delivery causes a Fair Value Gap (FVG). 
 
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a formation consisting of three candles where the shadows or wicks of the first and third candles do not overlap each other in both bullish and bearish variants, indicating an imbalance in buying or selling pressure.
 
 A Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a 3 candle pattern where the shadows 
of the first and third candles do not overlap, indicating an imbalance.
 
 A FVG has three levels: the upper and lower boundaries, and the 0.5 level, 
where, ideally, price action should revisit and bounce off, making it a potential entry point for a position.

Regarding the validity of the FVG when it is tested, it’s quite complex because much depends on timing. However, the key point is that price should not close below the lower boundary when the FVG is bullish and should not close above the upper boundary when the FVG is bearish. A close above the upper boundary in a bearish FVG or below the lower boundary in a bullish FVG would be considered an inverted fair value gap, which may signal a continuation of the movement. Everything else is permissible, but much depends on the context. 
 
 Examples of bearish and bullish FVGs.
 
Support and Resistance (SnR)
Support occurs when two candles form on the chart. The level where the bearish candle closes and the bullish candle opens is called Support. This is where buyers show activity and prevent the price from falling lower (Sell and Buy Candles).


Resistance occurs when two candles form on the chart. The level where the bullish candle closes and the bearish candle opens is called Resistance. This is where sellers show activity and prevent the price from rising higher (Buy and Sell Candles).

Order Block (OB)
A Bullish Order Block is a price movement where the Resistance level was broken with subsequent confirmation by the candle body closing above it.
 

A Bearish Order Block is a price movement where the Support level was broken with subsequent confirmation by the candle body closing below it.
 
Rejection Block (RB)
A Rejection Block is a two-candle formation where the range of shadows forms a zone of interest, and it doesn't matter which one is longer or shorter. 
 

In the bullish variant, it begins at the Support level. In the bearish variant, it begins at the Resistance level. 

Fractal Point (FP)
A Fractal Low (FL) is a three-candle formation where the minimum of the middle candle is lower than the minimums of the first and third candles. Five-candle fractals are considered potentially stronger.


A Fractal High (FH) is the opposite three-candle formation, where the middle candle has the highest maximum compared to the adjacent candles.
 
Dealing Range (DR)
The Dealing Range is a price movement that can be identified using two opposing fractal points (High and Low), regardless of direction. This formation displays the balance between buyers and sellers during a specific time period and helps to more clearly define potential zones of interest.


The Dealing Range is divided into two main zones - Premium and Discount with an Equilibrium level in the middle.
 
High Resistance Logic
High Resistance is considered a movement that has interacted with liquidity (Fractal Raid) or inefficiency (FVG rebalance) usually on the same timeframe, resulting in the formation of (OB, RB, FVG), plus a fractal point has formed as a level confirming the extreme.