In 1950 China’s share of the world’s population was 29%, its share of world economic output (on a PPP basis) was about 5%. By contrast the US was almost the reverse, with 8% of the world’s population the US commanded 28% of its economic output. By 2008, China’s huge, centuries-long economic underperformance was well down the path of being overcome. Based on current trends China’s economy will overtake America’s in purchasing power terms within the next few years. The US is now no longer the world’s sole economic superpower and indeed its share of world output (on a PPP basis) has slipped below the 20% level which we have seen was a useful sign historically of a single dominant economic superpower. In economic terms we already live in a bipolar world. Between them the US and China today control over a third of world output (on a PPP basis). Source: Deutsche Bank (2015) - Long-Term Asset Return Study.
Wednesday, September 9, 2015
The Rise and Fall of Modern Empires
In 1950 China’s share of the world’s population was 29%, its share of world economic output (on a PPP basis) was about 5%. By contrast the US was almost the reverse, with 8% of the world’s population the US commanded 28% of its economic output. By 2008, China’s huge, centuries-long economic underperformance was well down the path of being overcome. Based on current trends China’s economy will overtake America’s in purchasing power terms within the next few years. The US is now no longer the world’s sole economic superpower and indeed its share of world output (on a PPP basis) has slipped below the 20% level which we have seen was a useful sign historically of a single dominant economic superpower. In economic terms we already live in a bipolar world. Between them the US and China today control over a third of world output (on a PPP basis). Source: Deutsche Bank (2015) - Long-Term Asset Return Study.
Labels:
China,
Deutsche Bank,
Empire,
Geopolitics,
OT,
USA
Tuesday, September 8, 2015
SPX vs MER-MAR Speed Differential
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
George Bayer,
George Bayer Rule #2,
Mars,
Mercury,
Speed,
SPX,
US-Stocks
Peak Everything: Bonds - Equity - Real Estate
Credits: Deutsche Bank |
Labels:
Bonds,
Deutsche Bank,
Equity,
Real Estate,
Stock Market
SPX vs MER-VEN Cycle
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
geocentric,
heliocentric,
Mercury,
SPX,
US-Stocks,
Venus
Thursday, September 3, 2015
The Lowest Interest Rates in 5,000 Years
Sources: Bank of England, Global Financial Data, Homer and Sylla "A History of Interest Rates". |
Tuesday, September 1, 2015
Blood Moon Ends Lunar Tetrad - SuperMoon Lunar Eclipse on September 28
Credits: NASA |
There's much talk about the Seven Year Shemitah Cycle and related stock market crashes. However, eclipses occur near the Lunar Nodes: Solar eclipses (September 13) when the passage of the Moon through a Node coincides with the New Moon, and Lunar Eclipses (September 28) when the passage coincides with the Full Moon (HERE + HERE).
Labels:
Astronomy,
Blood Moon,
Fred Espenak,
Harvest Moon,
Lunar Cycle,
Lunar Eclipse,
Lunar Node,
Lunar Node's Speed,
Lunar Tetrad,
NASA,
Richard Nolle,
Seven Year Shemitah Cycle,
Solar Eclipse,
SuperMoon
SoLunar Intraday Maps - September 2015
The charts show the hourly solunar forces over Wall Street. Intraday movements of financial markets are strongly influenced by daily and intraday solunar forces. They usually closely follow their direction - either directly or inverted. Turning points can be fine-tuned using the previously described planetary hours as well as the times of rising, culminating and setting planets. Please note: Times are EST (not EDT). Maps of previous months are HERE |
Labels:
AstroFin,
Astronomy,
Bonds,
Commodities,
Financial Astrology,
Planetary Hours,
SoLunar Forecast,
SoLunar Intraday Maps,
SoLunar Map,
Solunar Theory,
US-Stocks
Saturday, August 29, 2015
Financial Fascism - The Elimination of Physical Currency
“Fascism should more appropriately be called Corporatism because it is a merger of state and corporate power.” ― Benito Mussolini, 1932 |
“The existence of cash — a bearer instrument with a zero interest rate — limits central banks’ ability to stimulate a depressed economy. The worry is that people will change their deposits for cash if a central bank moves rates into negative territory,” states the article. Complaining that cash cannot be tracked and traced, the writer argues that its abolition would, “make life easier for a government set on squeezing the informal economy out of existence.” Abolishing cash would also give governments more power to lift taxes directly from people’s bank accounts, the author argues, noting how “Value added tax, for example, could be automatically levied — and reimbursed — in real time on transactions between liable bank accounts.”
Totalitarianism of the European Financial Oligarchy - Votes change nothing! |
Labels:
Benito Mussolini,
Bilderberg Group,
Corporatism,
ECB,
Elimination of Physical Currency,
Fascism,
FED,
Financial Oligarchy,
Kenneth Rogoff,
Martin A. Armstrong,
Paul Joseph Watson,
Thomas Jefferson
Friday, August 28, 2015
VIX vs 4 Lunar Year Cycle
Labels:
4 Lunar Year Cycle,
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
Lunar Eclipse,
Moon,
Solar Eclipse,
US-Stocks,
VIX
Upcoming Astro Phenomena - September 2015
Sep 05 (Sat) = SUN 120° PLU
Sep 06 (Sun) = VEN (D)
Sep 13 (Sun) = New Moon = Solar Eclipse
Sep 17 (Thu) = JUP 180° NEP
Sep 19 (Sat) = VEN 0° URA [helio]
Sep 20 (Sun) = SUN 90° Galactic Center
Sep 22 (Tue) = VEN 120° URA
Sep 24 (Thu) = PLU (D)
Sep 25 (Fri) = MAR 90° SAT
Sep 28 (Mon) = Super Full Moon + Lunar Eclipse
SoLunar CITs (HERE)
Sep 02 (Wed), Sep 06 (Sun), Sep 10 (Thu), Sep 13 (Sun), Sep 17 (Thu), Sep 21 (Mon), Sep 24 (Thu), Sep 28 (Mon)
Cosmic Cluster Days (HERE)
Sep 01 (Tue), Sep 03 (Thu), Sep 07 (Mon), Sep 08 (Tue), Sep 15 (Tue), Sep 19 (Sat), Sep 30 (Wed)
Bradley Siderograph CITs (HERE)
Sep 03 (Thu), Sep 05 (Sat), Sep 24 (Thu), Sep 29 (Tue)
Planets vs Galactic Center (HERE)
Sep 20 (Sun) = SUN 90° GC
SUN and Planets @ 14°Cancer (HERE)
Sep 20 (Sun)
Natural Trading Days (HERE)
Fall Equinox = Sep 23 (Wed)
Radio Flux 10.7 cm Forecast CITs (HERE)
Sep 1 (Tue), Sep 4 (Fri), Sep 11 (Fri), Sep 20 (Sun), Sep 30 (Wed)
Sensitive Degrees of the SUN (HERE)
Sep 02 (Wed) 15:04 = SUN @ 10° VIR -
Sep 04 (Fri) 16:38 = SUN @ 12° VIR +
Sep 05 (Sat) 17:23 = SUN @ 13° VIR -
Sep 21 (Mon) 03:08 = SUN @ 28° VIR +
Sep 25 (Fri) 05:15 = SUN @ 02° LIB -
10.7 cm Flux is considered a sunspot-proxy. Source: NOAA |
Labels:
10.7 cm Radio Flux,
AstroFin,
Astronomy,
Bradley Index,
Bradley Siderograph,
Cosmic Cluster Days,
Declination,
Latitude,
Market and Solar Activity,
Planets @ 14°Cancer,
SoLunar Map
Thursday, August 27, 2015
SPX vs Sunspots
Labels:
10.7cm Flux,
AP,
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
Market and Solar Activity,
NOAA,
SPX,
Sunspots,
US-Stocks
Wednesday, August 26, 2015
SPX vs SUN-JUP Cycle
The SoLunar Map signals a turn down today. Well, the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SSEC) did tank again. |
Calculated and charted with Timing Solution. |
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
Jupiter,
SPX,
Sun,
Timing Solution,
US-Stocks
Expected Future S&P 500 Earnings
Source: Political Calculations |
Labels:
Political Calculations,
Quarter Earnings,
SPX,
US-Stocks
China bigger Risk than Lehman, Greece, US Fiscal Problems?
Source: Torsten Sløk, Deutsche Bank Securities - found @ Barry Ritholtz |
Labels:
Barry Ritholtz,
China,
Debt Crisis,
Deutsche Bank,
Greece,
Torsten Sløk,
VIX,
VVIX
SPX vs Planetary Hours + SoLunar Intraday Map (Aug 25-26)
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
Intraday,
Planetary Hours,
SoLunar Intraday Maps,
SoLunar Map,
SPX
Monday, August 24, 2015
The Chart Whisperer Exlaining the Nature of this Crash
Labels:
4 Lunar Year Cycle,
Astrometric Indicator,
Dodd–Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act,
FED,
Financial Astrology,
Liquiity,
Lunar Node's Speed,
Oscar Carboni,
QE,
W.D. Gann's Financial Table
Shipping Indices Reflecting Real Economy
Baltic Dry Index (HERE) |
The BDI is the main sea freight index at the Baltic Exchange for ships carrying dry bulk commodities. The BDI peaked out at 1,222 in early August and continued to drop to 994 points last Friday, mainly due to weak panamax rates. The overall index factors in average daily earnings of capesize, panamax, supramax and handysize dry bulk transport vessels.
Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (HERE) |
U.S. Energy Consumption since 1776
Credits: EIA |
Labels:
Coal,
Crude Oil,
Energy,
Historical Charts,
Hydro Power,
Natural Gas,
Nuclear Power,
Renewables,
USA
Saturday, August 22, 2015
SPX vs AstroMetric Indicator
Labels:
AstroFin,
Astrometric Indicator,
Financial Astrology,
SPX,
US-Stocks
Eurodollar COT Signals Big Drop in Stocks Still Ahead | Tom McClellan
DJIA 2015 vs DJIA 2008
Calculated and charted with Timing Solution. For the methodology see HERE |
Labels:
DJIA,
DJIA 2015 vs 2008,
Sergey Tarassov,
Timing Solution,
US-Stocks
Thursday, August 20, 2015
Planetary Hours + Times of Rising, Culminating and Setting Planets
Times to watch Thursday, August 20, 2015 (EDT). Online calculators can be found HERE + HERE + HERE + HERE |
Labels:
AstroFin,
Astronomy,
Financial Astrology,
Planetary Hours
Wednesday, August 19, 2015
SoLunar Intraday Maps - August 2015
The charts show the hourly solunar forces over Wall Street. Intraday movements of financial markets are strongly influenced by daily and intraday solunar forces. They usually closely follow their direction - either directly or inverted. Turning points can be fine-tuned using the previously described planetary hours as well as the times of rising, culminating and setting planets. Please note: The times calculated refer to EST (not EDT). |
HERE |
Labels:
AstroFin,
Astronomy,
Bonds,
Commodities,
Financial Astrology,
Planetary Hours,
SoLunar Forecast,
SoLunar Intraday Maps,
SoLunar Map,
Solunar Theory,
US-Stocks
Saturday, August 15, 2015
The Demographic Crash of Civilizations
The current world population of 7.3 billion is expected to reach 8.5 billion by 2030, 9.7 billion in 2050 and 11.2 billion in 2100, according to the latest UN-World Population Report. However, the most important development of the twenty-first century is likely to be the great extinction of peoples, nations, cultures and civilizations. The so called ‘developed world’ is failing to attend to the most elementary task of any successful civilization: raising children. Civilization, culture, social harmony and economic prosperity
rest upon the indispensable pre-condition of simple physical
existence. The failure to reproduce renders all other achievements
irrelevant.
Take Germany for an example: The total population counts some 82 million, the current fertility rate is 1.43 and keeps declining. Out of the 82 million, some 17 million have a recent ‘immigrant background’, some 22 million are pensioners. Germany's impressive ‘work force’ still counts some 40 million, while the neoliberal gulag of the Schroeder-Merkel regime produced an impoverished human junk heap of 11 to 18 million people. Eight million adults between 18 and 65 of age are unable to sustain themselves, are either jobless or working-poor, trapped in exploitive lease labor contracts, One-Euro-Jobs, part-times jobs, mini-jobs, and other odd Hartz-schemes. Half a million Germans are homeless, many of them children. Organized slavery entertained by the remaining tax payers. The average income laborer tributes two thirds of his gross income to a ruthless government that dished out 400 billion Euro to zombie-banks, and rips-off 100 million Euro every day to pay interest for the ‘public debt’. In this environment around 650,000 children are born each year (one third with 'immigrant background'), as compared to 840,000 yearly deaths, giving an annual shortfall of about 200,000. In other words, while over-aging and impoverishing dramatically, Germany loses the equivalent of a mid-sized city each and every year. In fact official German projections indicate that the total population will shrink to between 65 and 74 million by 2060, depending on annual net migration of 100,000 to 400,000. Obviously, the derailed reproduction of the natives (one out of three women never bears children; some 200,000 abortions every year; several hundred thousand homosexuals; etc.), along with genocidal immigration policies, population reduction and population replacement will essentially extinguish the historic German nation within this century. This general trend and time frame equally apply to almost all other European nations.
Today the global average fertility rate is 2.3, and 80% of the world population lives in countries where women have on average fewer than 3 children. This means the global fertility rate is barely higher than the replacement fertility, and the increase of the world population is primarily due to the increasing length of life. In 1960 China’s fertility rate was 6.1. Now it has dropped to 1.6. In Iran, the fertility rate in 1985 was 6.3; now it is down to 1.9. In Thailand, the fertility rate was 6.14 in 1955, 3.92 in 1985, and is 1.49 today. The problem with the ‘developed world’ is not only that it is broke but that it is old and barren. Fertility rates are mostly way below replacement levels, many nations are over-aged and have reached the demographic point of no return. Globally the lowest fertility rates occur in the most modernized areas of Asia: China (1.55), Japan (1.40), South Korea (1.25), Taiwan (1.11), Hong Kong (1.04), Macau (0.91), and Singapore (0.80). Extinction level rates are also prevalent among Southern European countries and former Soviet states: Portugal (1.52), Spain (1.48), Italy (1.42), Greece (1.41), Poland (1.33), Ukraine (1.30), etc.
In Africa, children under age 15 account for 41% of the population in 2015 and young persons aged 15 to 24 for a further 19%. Latin America and the Caribbean and Asia, which have seen greater declines in fertility, have smaller percentages of children (26 and 24 %) and similar percentages of youth (17 and 16%). In total, these three regions are home to 1.7 billion children and 1.1 billion young persons in 2015.
Prosperity, war, birth control, decadence, exploitation, austerity, abortion and degradation reflected in the age structure of the German population 1910, 1970, 2009 and 2060 (HERE) |
The all season disaster recipe from the Pentagon's cookbook: NATO-engineered regime changes and civil wars, stimulated mass migration and ensuing colonization of global venture lumpen-proletariat and refugees amongst 30 million jobless and 120 million poor native Europeans (HERE + HERE + HERE) |
In Africa, children under age 15 account for 41% of the population in 2015 and young persons aged 15 to 24 for a further 19%. Latin America and the Caribbean and Asia, which have seen greater declines in fertility, have smaller percentages of children (26 and 24 %) and similar percentages of youth (17 and 16%). In total, these three regions are home to 1.7 billion children and 1.1 billion young persons in 2015.
Source: UN DESA |
Source: CIA World Factbook |
Source: CIA World Factbook |
Labels:
Chaos Management,
CIA,
Crash of Civilization,
Demographics,
Destabilisation,
European Union,
Fertility Rate,
Germany,
Immigration,
Migration,
Oligarchy,
Refugee Crisis,
UN DESA,
UNEP
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