Tuesday, June 14, 2016

SPX | VIX | CBOE Options Equity Put/Call Ratio

The VIX opened and closed above the upper Bollinger Band. Stochastics (%k) at 83.11 hint to a short term reversal of the VIX.
The 118 CD Cycle suggests a 1-2 day countertrend.
The 3 Day MA of the Put/Call Ratio at 0.79 still offers some room to the downside for the SPX.

Friday, June 10, 2016

The US Weapon of Mass Migration and the Coerced Suicide of Europe

Artificial mass migration as an imperial policy has a long history, and the current mass migration into Europe is the brainchild of US military grand strategist Thomas P.M. Barnett. He was a strategic advisor to former US Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld and currently works with the Israeli military consultancy firm Wikistrat—a close collaborator of the US Africa Command (AFRICOM) in Stuttgart, Germany.

 
Barnett’s books, "The Pentagon’s New Map" (2004) and "Blueprint for Action" (2005), have significantly influenced US and Israeli global military geostrategies, and Wikistrat is heavily involved in the development and application of "crowdsourcing" and "crowd-leveraging" technologies. Notably, most of the Twitter entries encouraging migrants in the Middle East and Africa to travel to Austria, Germany, and Sweden originate from the UK, US, and Australia (via organizations such as the Ayn Rand Institute and The Escape Institute). Barnett developed the theory of the "Five Flows of Globalization," which he argues must occur for US imperialism to prevail in the 21st century. These involve the free flow of money, security, food, energy, and people. The "Five Flows" theory necessitates breaking down nation-state structures to free up resources for exploitation by US multinational corporations and the "hyenas of high finance." 
 
The inundation of Europe with migrants is a key feature of Barnett’s geostrategic thinking, and he allegedly expressed: "1.5 million immigrants from third world countries to Europe every year. The result will be a mixed new population with an average IQ of 90—too dumb to grasp anything, but intelligent enough to work."


In her book "Weapons of Mass Migration: Forced Displacement, Coercion, and Foreign Policy" (2011), Kelly M. Greenhill argues that one reason for Europe’s rapprochement with Libyan leader Muammar al-Gaddafi was the latter’s offer to stem the tide of African emigration to Europe. It would be erroneous, therefore, to suggest that the chaos wrought by the Arab Spring, the devastation of Libya, and the killing of Gaddafi were unintentional. EU borders have long been deconstructed by the utopianism of a borderless world. This fits perfectly with Greenhill’s "hypocrisy cost" of wealthy liberal nations, which can be coerced by specifically such open-border vulnerabilities.

Hundreds of thousands of migrants are equipped with "welcome booklets" published by a George Soros foundation. Written in Arabic and packed with maps and useful information on where to go, what to do, whom to contact, and which sob stories to tell European authorities, these guides are distributed by an NGO called w2eu.info ("Welcome to the EU"). This is reminiscent of the non-violent revolution handbook by Gene Sharp, which was used to train activists in the US-Israeli fomented counter-revolutions in North Africa in 2011. Since the inception of the ensuing "refugee crisis," the multi-billion dollar business of human trafficking into Europe and the booming asylum industry has been controlled by the EU Commission, globalist "fifth columns" inside EU member states, the Erdoğan regime, ISIS, the Italian Mafia, certain oligarchs, and the CIA.



In 2015, the Merkel regime certainly had foreknowledge of the consequences when the Chancellor repeatedly issued her "welcome" calls—not only to Syrian war refugees and their families but to any "asylum-seeker" in the world. Merkel had been warned personally by her domestic intelligence services and the Joint Centre for Illegal Migration Analysis and Policy that Europe's borders would be stormed and that Germany and its neighbors would be seriously and permanently damaged and destabilized.

However, Merkel is clearly cooperating with a script originating from Western intelligence agencies that follows Greenhill’s recipes. In May 2016, facing a new wave of migrants from Libya into Italy, Merkel steadfastly refused to close the borders. By mid-2016, 1.8 million "refugees" had entered Germany. More than 1.5 million of these are young men aged 20 to 35, already outnumbering the German army by a factor of 20. While thousands of them are ISIS and Al-Nusra fighters, many are actually housed on active military bases. The total cost to support 2 million 'refugees' over the next three years was estimated at 900 billion euros—more than twice the federal government's annual budget for 2014. To quote Shakespeare: “Though this be madness, yet there is method in't.”


Stasi "IM Erika," aka Angela Merkel, reporting on services rendered.
 
What we are dealing with here is a well-planned strategy of chaos. Washington is the driving force of this strategy, which destroys entire states and nations, causing a chaotic chain reaction of division and conflict to be used according to the old method of "divide and rule." We are witnessing a covert war being waged by the Anglo-Zionist power elite against the nation-states and peoples of Europe. Migrants are weaponized to create social chaos and fiscal constraints to prevent Berlin’s inevitable rapprochement with Moscow.

The migrants cannot possibly integrate into society if the German economy does not integrate into Eurasia; otherwise, Germany will have insufficient access to resources and energy, and no viable markets for its exports. US strategists intend to "let Europe wither on the vine." Keeping Russia and Germany separate and in conflict has been the primordial geopolitical objective of the US in Europe since 1871.


Barnett predicts that both Western Europe and Russia will disintegrate in the 21st century, leaving only India and China to rival the United States. US strategists believe that coercive, engineered mass migration into Europe—coupled with the American occupation of Eastern Europe and the Balkans, terrorism, the destabilization of Ukraine, currency wars, trade wars, and hot wars—will prevent Eurasian integration. This secures control over Europe and the conquest of Africa, ultimately safeguarding future US global supremacy.

This plan is underway. However, it will not solve the US's major problems: its losing position in world production, finance, trade, transport, and communication. The global center is drifting toward China and other Asian countries. US financial hegemony is endangered by the collapse of the "dollar pyramid" of state obligations, and the dollar's position as the world currency is undermined by regional economic integration, namely by China and Russia.

Because the US financial and economic system cannot be maintained without growing external support, it feels forced to escalate military and political tensions, eventually leading toward a world war it cannot win. Von Clausewitz would have immediately realized this, but Barnett is a brute, a gambler, a globalist, a Zionist mercenary strategist.


On a larger timescale, we are living through a repetition of the 100-year war cycle and the conclusion of Arnold Toynbee's 500-year cycle of civilizations. We are in a period Antonio Gramsci termed an "interregnum"—morbid times of chaos in which the old is dying and the new is not yet born. The first decades of this millennium mirror the early 16th century in Europe: a time of technological innovation, population growth, migration, and capitalist expansion, but also religious secession, fanaticism, and war.

Today, the fate of the US empire depends largely on whether Russia can be sufficiently destabilized and subjected to the globalist oligarchy. Russia is the globe's "Heartland" and possesses all the necessary elements to become the cornerstone of the next world system. Whether the emerging multipolar system of civilizations can defend itself is currently being decided in, by, and through Russia.

The architects of this mass migration have unleashed a monster. Ethnic groups across Europe—French, Italian, German, Anglo-Saxon, Irish, Swedish, and Polish—face demographic extinction. The utopia of multiculturalism has failed and is being rejected; instead, Europe is headed for ethnic clashes and the breakdown of economic, social, and political regimes.


However, the globalist "Great Replacement" project itself may never reach its ultimate conclusion. It is naturally unacceptable to passively surrender and be replaced by invaders. Consequently, Pan-European nationalism is rising. Radicals are prepared to defend their lands and cultures at all costs, ready to topple regimes and engage in civil conflict. What remains uncertain is how to recover and what should be built in the aftermath. Once US hegemony diminishes, the remnants of a shattered Europe may finally be absorbed into a Sino-Russian dominated Eurasian empire.

Thursday, June 9, 2016

CHF Long Against EUR + USD | EUR/USD to Double | Cyclic Vibrations

Ahmed Ferghaly's latest cyclic analysis of currencies searches for possibilities to long against the USD in the upcoming
environment. EUR and USD are likely to perform a continued, maybe drastic devaluation towards the CHF into 2019.
Then the recovery rally of the EUR is expected to last into late 2023
(HERE + HERE)
In this 18 Year Cycle the EUR should double to the USD (HERE).

Wednesday, June 8, 2016

Who Owns What In The FTSE 100?

HERE

SPX | Extreme Greed but Room to the Top

The VIX (CBOE volatility index) revisited the Oct 28, 2015 low at 12.8 and reversed to the upside,
while the SPX formed a NR4, and a doji candle. June 8 (Wed) is 118 CD (4 Lunar Cycles) from the major low on Feb 11, 2016.
The SoLunar Map points to a high on June 9 (Thu). There is a cluster of 3 potential Jack Gillen turn days from June 6 to 8.
Since June 10 (Fri) is a Cosmic Cluster Day, the indices may keep chopping up into Thursday or even Friday.

Please note: The NYSE McClellan Oscillator and the the McClellan Ratio Adjusted NYSE Summation Index are still rising
(
HERE + HERE)
Credits: CNN Fear & Greed Index

Monday, June 6, 2016

Spotless Sun | Solar Cycle # 24 weakest in more than a Century

Not a single sunspot since June 3rd. However, solar activity of course continues modulating geomagnetism,
 and in some two or three days sunspots
should reappear from region #12,546, currently still on the sun's farside.
The current Solar Cycle # 24 is the weakest solar cycle in more than a century with the fewest sunspots since
Solar Cycle # 14 peaked in February 1906.
The Sun rotates counterclockwise, but not as a rigid sphere:
The equator rotates faster than the poles (differential rotation).

Saturday, June 4, 2016

One Pint of Kindness. One Quart of Laughter. One Pinch of Concern.

"I’d like them to say he took a few cups of love. He took one table spoon of patience. One tea-spoon of generosity. One pint of kindness. He took one quart of laughter. One pinch of concern. And then he mixed willingness with happiness. He added lots of faith. And he stirred it up well. Then he spread it over a span of a lifetime. And he served it to each and every deserving person he met." 

Muhammad Ali (January 17, 1942 – June 3, 2016) on "How I’d like to be remembered" (1974).

Friday, June 3, 2016

Global Oil and Gas Exploration and Development | US + CAN in Free Fall

Enlarge
The Baker Hughes International Rotary Rig Count is a monthly census of active drilling rigs exploring for or developing oil or natural gas outside North America (U.S. and Canada). The count does not include rigs drilling in Russia, the Caspian region, Iran, Sudan, Cuba, North Korea or onshore China. Iraq was excluded from the International Rotary Rig Count for the period September 1990 to May 2012. Syria is currently excluded from the International Rotary Rig Count as of February 2012 due to difficulty obtaining data as a result of continued civil unrest.

The international rig count for April 2016 was 946, down 39 from the 985 counted in March 2016 , and down 256 from the 1,202 counted in April 2015 . The international offshore rig count for April 2016 was 220, up 9 from the 211 counted in March 2016 , and down 80 from the 300 counted in April 2015 .

The average U.S. rig count for April 2016 was 437, down 41 from the 478 counted in March 2016 , and down 539 from the 976 counted in April 2015. In late May
only 404 rigs were left in operation in the U.S.. The average Canadian rig count for April 2016 was 41, down 47 from the 88 counted in March 2016 , and down 49 from the 90 counted in April 2015 . The worldwide rig count for April 2016 was 1,424, down 127 from the 1,551 counted in March 2016 , and down 844 from the 2,268 counted in April 2015 .

SPX vs Venus Latitude Cycle @ MIN @ MAX @ 0°


Calculated and charted with Timing Solution.

Thursday, June 2, 2016

SPX vs Solar Activity

Blowing in the Wind | Germany's Renewable Energy Devolution

After two decades of Green Craze, Global Warming Doom, and hundreds of billions of Euros of subsidies,
how much of Germany's energy consumption is actually supplied by its solar and wind parks?
Less than 3 percent (HERE + HERE)

SPX vs CBOE Options Equity Put/Call Ratio

CBOE Equity Put/Call Ratio is at a current level of 0.55, down from 0.58 the previous market day and up from 0.54
one year ago. This is a change of -5.17% from the previous market day and 1.85% from one year ago.

Tuesday, May 31, 2016

The Limits of Oil’s Rebound

Anatole Kaletsky (May 30, 2016) - [...] "From now on, the costs faced by these marginal producers will set the top and bottom of oil’s trading range. Low-cost producers in Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Iran, and Russia will continue to pump as much as their physical infrastructure can transport as long as the price is higher than $25 or so. The price needed to elicit enough production from US shale and Canadian tar sands to meet strong demand may be $50, $55, or even $60, but it is unlikely to be much higher than that.

Unpredictable shifts in supply and demand will, of course, cause fluctuations within this trading range, which past experience suggests could be quite large. In the 20-year period of competitive pricing from 1985 to 2004, the oil price frequently doubled or halved in the course of a few months. So the near-doubling of oil prices since mid-January’s $28 low is not surprising. But now that the $50 ceiling is being tested, we can expect the next major move in the trading range to be downward." 


Crude oil increased 0.62 USD/BBL or 1.26% to 49.98 on Tuesday May 31 from 49.36 in the previous trading session.
Crude oil lost 10.26 USD/BBL or 17.03 % during the last 12 months from 60.24 USD/BBL in May of 2015.
Historically, Crude oil reached an all time high of 145.31 in July of 2008 and a record low of 1.17 in February of 1946.
Bull Markets in Oil tend to be short, whereas Bear Markets last 11 to 28 Years. So far we are in the 8th year
(HERE).

SPX | Narrowest 2 Year Percent Range of Monthly Closes

Credits: Nautilus Research

Tom McClellan: "Such low volume episodes are typically followed by uptrends. Exceptions noted."
Credits:
Tom McClellan

Gold vs MER in SAG + GEM | MER @ MIN + MAX SUN | MOO 000° MAR

Calculated and charted with Timing Solution.

Monday, May 30, 2016

Gold vs Pluto Retrograde | Sun 000° + 180° Pluto

Martin Armstrong (May 31, 2016): "All the big manipulations have ALWAYS been to the UPSIDE, not to the downside. It is absurd to
pretend that gold is suppressed perpetually so they can make money in some strange way."
Calculated
and charted with
Timing Solution
.

Friday, May 27, 2016

SPX vs True Node Speed = Mean Node Speed + Extremes | June 2016


SPX vs Jupiter – Saturn Cycle | June 2016


SPX vs Mercury – Venus Cycle | June 2016


SPX vs Mercury Speed | June 2016


SPX vs Lunar Declination Acceleration Cycle | June 2016


SPX vs Lunar Orbital Speed | June 2016


SoLunar Map | June - July 2016

Upcoming turn-days are: May 28 (Sat), Jun 01 (Wed), Jun 05 (Sun), Jun 09 (Thu), Jun 12 (Sun), Jun 16 (Thu), Jun 20 (Mon),
Jun 23 (Thu), Jun 27 (Mon), Jun 30 (Thu), Jul 04 (Mon), Jul 08 (Fri), Jul 12 (Tue), Jul 15 (Fri), Jul 19 (Tue), Jul 23 (Sat),
Jul 27 (Wed), Jul 30 (Sat), Aug 03 (Wed).
Previous SoLunar Maps HERE

Cosmic Cluster Days | June - July 2016

The basic assumption here is that heliocentric and geocentric angles between planets are related to financial market movements.
A signal is triggered when the composite line of all aspects breaks above or below the Average Cosmic Noise Channel.
Upcoming Cosmic Cluster Days (CCDs) are: May 29 (Sun), Jun 10 (Fri), Jun 13 (Mon), Jun 14 (Tue), Jun 24 (Fri), Jun 26 (Sun), Jul 06 (Wed),
Jul 09 (Sat), Jul 11 (Mon), Jul 14 (Thu), Jul 22 (Fri), Jul 23 (Sat), Jul 26 (Tue), Jul 27 (Wed), Jul 29 (Fri), Aug 01 (Mon).

Monday, May 23, 2016

The 162-Year Cycle in Stocks and Commodities Since 1509 | Ahmed Farghaly

The chart below begins at the millennial low of 1555, followed by a remarkable sequence. I first discovered the 162-year cycle by drawing a trendline between two consecutive lows of the 54-year cycle—specifically, the lows of 1842 and 1896. A break in such a trendline suggests that a larger cycle has turned, and indeed, the trendline was broken during the 1929–1932 crash. 
  
Stock Prices from 1509 to 2013, and 162-Year cycles into 2094.
 
This provided an early indication of the 162-year cycle’s presence. I identified it as a 162-year cycle because the first 54-year cycle used to draw the trendline marked a rally following a bear market that lasted 64 years, making it an ideal starting point. I then confirmed this hypothesis by examining wheat prices and, later, commodity prices, which led me to conclude that the existence of the 162-year cycle is no longer a hypothesis but a fact.
 
 The combined chart offers further evidence of this cycle’s presence. Notice how neatly the first 324-year cycle subdivides into two 162-year cycles, with the trough of the 162-year cycle occurring precisely in the middle of the 324-year cycle. 
 
Upon closer inspection, both 162-year cycles subdivide into three 54-year cycles, reinforcing the conclusion that the Kondratieff wave is the third harmonic of the 162-year cycle. After the trough in 1784, three 54-year cycles followed, ending with the crash of the late 1920s, which marked the trough of the 162-year cycle. 
 
What followed was the greatest bull market in modern history—and it is unfortunate that we are nearing its end. The peak of the last 324-year cycle occurred in the third 18-year cycle of the second 54-year cycle of the second 162-year cycle, which is where we find ourselves today. The likelihood of further translation beyond the previous 324-year cycle is slim, given that the influence of the 972-year cycle has leveled out since the 1930s.

The Elliott Wave structure is also quite interesting. What stands out on the chart is the fact that the entire advance since 1784 featured a fifth-wave extension. Even more intriguing is that the move from 1932 also included a fifth-wave extension. According to wave theory, fifth-wave extensions are typically followed by crashes. Commodities offer excellent examples of this phenomenon, as their dramatic declines often result from a fifth-wave extension.