Cosmic Cluster Days | January - February 2024

Heliocentric and geocentric angles between planets coincide with Change in Trend (CIT) in financial markets. 

Cosmic Cluster CIT-Signal Days = Composite Line of all angles outside the Cosmic Noise Channel.

Cosmic Cluster CIT-Signal Days (CCDs) have no consistent polarity/directional bias.

Swing highs and lows  of the Composite Line  inside of the channel may also coincide with market reversals.

○ = White Circles = Full Moons | ● = Black Circles = New Moons.

 The calculation methodology of the Composite Line  is akin to the one of the Berg-Timer.

 

Recent and upcoming Cosmic Cluster CIT-Signal Days are: 

Dec 06 (Wed)
Jan 08 (Mon)
Jan 27 (Sat)
Jan 31 (Wed)
Feb 04 (Sun)
Feb 17 (Sat)
Feb 22 (Thu)
Feb 25 (Sun)
Feb 29 (Thu)
Mar 02 (Sat) - Mar 03 (Sun) - Mar 04 (Mon)

 

Solunar Rhythm in January 2024. 

 

In Bull Markets, New Moons are Bottoms, and Full Moons are Tops. 

In Bear Markets, New Moons are Tops, and Full Moons are Bottoms. 

 

(Source: Rob Handler, 2024)

 

 More often than not, stocks will 

 rise from (+/-) the 7th to (+/-) the 14th calendar day of a month.,

fall from (+/-) the 14th to (+/-) the 20th,

and rise from (+/-) the 20th to (+/-) the 25th.

 

 The 4th, 6th, 10th, 14th and 18th are usually positive.
The 7th and 20th are usually negative.
Not enough data for the 30th.

 

(Source: Rob Handler, 2024)

(Allen Reminick, Jan 12, 2024)

S&P 500 Index vs 18.61 Year Lunar Node Cycle │ January 2024

 

 

» The lunar node, quite abstractly speaking, is the point of intersection of the solar and the lunar orbits. There are, therefore, two nodes in opposite positions in the heavens: an ascending node or lunar north node, and a descending node - the lunar south node. The solar and the lunar orbits are not, in effect, in the same but in different planes, enclosing a certain angle. Thus there arise the two opposite points of intersection. The peculiarity of these two points of intersection is that they do not stand still but slowly move. The plane of the lunar path rotates in relation to the plane of the solar path; so the two nodes move a round. They move around the Zodiac in a contrary direction to the rotation of the planets, i.e., from Aries backward through Pisces, Aquarius, etc. A complete revolution of a lunar node takes place in 18 years and 7 months; after this time, therefore, the node — the ascending node, for example — is once again in the same position in the Zodiac as it was before. The ascending node is, thereby, the mathematical point that (at any given time and again after 18 years and 7 months [= 6,798.383 CD] the lunar orbit rises above the solar orbit, while at the opposite point the descending node sinks below it. «

Willi O. Sucher, 1937.

 

See also:

TPR (Dec 21, 2023) - S&P 500 Index vs 18.61 Year Lunar Node Cycle: Projection into April 2024.

 

Scholz Will Go So Everything Remains The Same │ The Duran

Alex Christoforou & Alexander Mercouris:

Is Olaf Scholz, Chancellor of the Federal Republic of Germany 

- the governor of the most important US-vassal state in Europe - on his way out? 

 

This is what Springer's Bild, Europe’s biggest daily paper and a major CIA media in Germany, is suddenly peddling with. Bild creates a narrative around Scholz 'retiring' soon. He would be replaced by Boris Pistorius, the current Federal Minister of Defence, another seasoned senior Atlanticist, Anti-German, Warmonger, Russophobe and Zionist apparatchik of the US-occupation regime. Pistorius 'may' ban the AfD, Germany's most popular opposition party, Bild informs. To 'save democracy'. No worries. No elections. Steinmeier, Habeck, Baerbock, Faeser will remain. No regime change. Germany remains course. End of announcement.

"Majority wants Pistorius instead of Scholz" claims Bild,

while farmers block roads and fuel deliveries in largest nationwide protests ever.

Weimar 2.0.

 

Reference:

The Duran (Jan 07, 2024) - Is Olaf Scholz on his way out as German Chancellor? (video)

S&P 500 Weekly Reversal │ Robert Miner

December 29, 2023 = weekly high.
After a 9-week bull streak, the first week of 2024 closed lower = strong weekly momentum reversal.

January 05, 2024:
Expect some sideways-to-up move into around January 11-12 (Thu-Fri) before the continuation of a weekly bear trend.

Reference:
Robert Miner (Jan 07, 2024) - S&P 500 Weekly Momentum Reversal. 

S&P 500 Stats │ Wayne Whaley

Wayne Whaley (Jan 06, 2024) - The S&P broke a 9 week win streak last week. Normally any pullback in a strong advance will scan out as a buy signal. I posted 8 week advances instead of 9, so as to have +10 data points. The TOY Barometer aficionados will argue that the first week of the year is not just any week.

 

 

IsabelNet (Jan 06, 2024) - Historically, 9-week win streaks tend to be bullish for US stocks, with a median 12.4% increase in value seen a year later since 1950, giving investors good reason to expect a positive year in 2024.

 

 

IsabelNet (Jan 05, 2024) - From January to May of an election year, the performance of the S&P 500 index is often lackluster. However, as the year progresses, the market typically improves and delivers robust performance. 

 

IsabelNet (Jan 05, 2024) - Historically, the average annual return of the S&P 500 index tends to experience a substantial decrease during periods when stocks encounter challenges in the month of January.

Sacred Defense │ Imam Ali Khamenei

In the Name of God, the Compassionate, the Merciful. All praise is due to God, Lord of the Worlds, and peace and greetings be upon our Master, Muhammad, and his pure, immaculate, chosen Progeny, particularly the Remnant of God on earth.

 

 

» All praise is due to God, Lord of the Worlds. «

Imam Sayyid Ali Khamenei, Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran, 2023.

If our succeeding generations learn about the important, meaningful aspects of the Sacred Defense and realize how the Iranian nation was able to reach the heights of victory and to stand up there with power and pride, they will learn great lessons from it and they will achieve great things.

Up until now, we have not been able to make known the details of this great, colorful painting. In every piece of it there is so much beauty, and so much meaning and depth that one is amazed. Each piece of it is like this, and this information must be made known to people.

Quoted from:
Imam Ali Khamenei (Sep 26, 2023) - Iran's Sacred Defense helped to develop the culture of Resistance.

 

Imam Ali Khamenei, January 04, 2024,

commenting on Israel's genocide in Gaza - the day after the terrorist attack in Kerman, Iran, 

killing at least 91 and injuring 284 people. CIA, Mossad and ISIS are actors of the same Zionist project.

The Rest against the West │ Samuel P. Huntington

The central axis of world events will be conflict between Western and non-Western civilizations, conflict between the West and the Rest. The Rest has now three options:

 

The Rest against the West.

The geopolitics of distributed heartlands.

• Surrender and submission. 
• Isolation and protection of sovereignty and values. The costs are very high. Only few pursue this option.
• Protection and defense of values and sovereign institutions through constant development of economic-military power and through cooperation and alliance with the West's other enemies.

Reference:

Samuel P. Huntington (1993) - The Clash of Civilizations.

 

 Projection from Bharat.

Benjamin Netanyahu, 1990.
 

January 03, 2024.

The man who ruined all the US’s illegitimate plots in West Asia:
Qasem Soleimani, Major General, Commander of 41st Tharallah Division of Kerman Quds Force (1957-2020).
» The world is witnessing an asymmetrical confrontation between two opposing sides, which has displayed the peak of brutality as well as desperation on one side and innocence along with heroic resistance on the other side. With a broader look at the years of confrontation and conflict between Global Arrogance and its vassals in West Asia on the one hand, and the Resistance Front and popular forces on the other hand, there remains no doubt that the astonishing work by Hamas and the residents of Gaza in Palestine are the domino effect of successive defeats of the hegemons and global colonialism in the region. «

See also:

Imran N. Hosein (2023) - The Alliance of Islam and Eastern Orthodox Christianity.

Alexander Dugin (2023) - Fighting The Civilisation Of Dajjal - The Antichrist.

MFA of PRC (2023) - US Hegemony and Its Perils.

S&P 500 Cycles, Analogues & Projections │ Allen Reminick

 S&P 500 Index - Correction targets.

January 05 (Fri) or January 09 (Tue) = low for a swing up into late January?

See also S&P 500 Index vs 18.61 Year Lunar Node Cycle.

 24-Year Cycle

 71-Year Cycle

 106-Week Cycle and 7.5-Month Cycle

Jan 04 (Thu) or Jan 09 (Tue) Low

 7.5-Month Cycle

 60-Year Cycle

 24-Year Cycle

 58-Month Cycle

 3-Year Cycle

 188-Week Cycle

 

Reference:

Allen Reminick (Jan 05, 2024) - No David Hunter-esque Melt-UP to 6000, Though the S&P is Bullish. (video)

Allen Reminick (Jan 05, 2024) - Expect an UP S&P 500 in 2024. (video)

State of the S&P 500 │ Tom

The S&P 500 stands as the final major index to surpass its all-time highs. The remaining horizontal line linked to price history is at 4818—the intraday all-time high recorded two years ago on January 4, 2022. Currently, the S&P 500 maintains robust health. In the chart’s lower panel is my preferred gauge of market breadth, Net New Highs. This metric reports the number of stocks reaching new highs versus those making new lows across the NYSE and Nasdaq markets. This measure of breadth has remains consistently positive during the best market rallies.

Given the prevailing positive sentiment across markets, stemming from the widespread advance since November, I speculate the likelihood of a healthy correction as the next probable move. To assess this, I will closely monitor market breadth, utilizing it as a key factor in evaluating the probabilities of whether the anticipated correction is likely to be healthy or potentially more severe.

 

 

A mere two weeks ago, the S&P 500 ETF SPY experienced its largest inflow ever. This encapsulates the current state of the S&P 500—a market teetering on the brink of all-time highs, with both retail and professional market participants joining with unwavering enthusiasm— the metaphorical “everyone is in the pool” moment.

 

 The leading observation for my initial 2024 thoughts that the market is ripe for a healthy correction is the condition of market sentiment, and equity exposure. For over a month now the CNN Fear & Greed Index has reported a market operating in greed, Extreme Greed for the last two weeks.

 

 

Source: CNN Fear & Greed Index

The NAAIM Exposure Index measures US equity exposure among active fund managers reported the highest reading for the year, the highest since November 2021. (The Nasdaq peaked in November 2021, and the S&P 500 just over a month later in January 2022). 

 

 

Source: NAAIM Exposure Index

The following chart of the S&P 500 marks the relative peaks in sentiment and equity exposure using the CNN Fear & Greed Index (marked by red arrows) and the NAAIM Exposure Index (marked by blue arrows). It is a clear observation that the combination of excessive greed and elevated equity exposure have preceded all meaningful declines since the 2022 peak. I do not think it will be different this time.

To end last week’s note I summarized this chart as presenting a compelling argument for selling into greed— I still feel this way. Momentum has propelled the market through the year, however this is recently being subtly being interrupted. In the lower panel of the chart is the Percentage Price Oscillator. This oscillator offers a quick insight into trend momentum. The red dots within the panel signify negative crossover events, a slowdown in momentum.

 

In my analysis, momentum interruption occurs when the initial negative crossover is not succeeded by a corrective price move. Instead, price continues to climb with successive negative crossovers, creating a pattern of interruptions. Based on my observations, the decline that follows such an interruption cycle tends to erase most of the earlier advance.

 

The previous instances of momentum interruptions in August 2021 and July 2022 exhibit an intriguing resemblance to the current scenario, with the index rallying approximately 5% as momentum decelerated. In both cases, the subsequent decline erased most of the earlier advance. A comparable outcome today would potentially bring the index down to 4550. In my analysis the immediate term has the signals flashing caution towards a 5% decline. If this scenario unfolds, the speculated decline will initially be favored as being one of health that sets the index up for an additional leg higher. I speculate the correction will have the S&P 500 trade between 4500 - 4600 in the near term. Should this unfold, it will initially provide a healthy technical appearance where price revisits the breakout area.

 

 

Reference:

Tom (Dec 31, 2023) - State of the S&P 500.

2024 Economic Forecast │ James Kim

The interest rate changes in the United States trigger international capital movements, which are reflected in the Dow Jones Index, an indicator of such movements. To predict future economic conditions, understanding the trends in U.S. interest rates and the Dow Jones Index can provide insights into both the U.S. and global economies. To comprehend the economic situation from 2023 to 2024, it's observable that the patterns of interest rates and Dow Jones Index during 2006-2007 are similar. The period when the U.S. continuously raises interest rates and then freezes them, leading up to a rate cut, is known as the 'Goldilocks' period, which is typically a phase of a major bull market in stocks.

 

 To aid your understanding, I have specified concrete dates. 

Think of these as reference points, focusing on the patterns and the dates surrounding them.

 

 When interest rates are frozen consecutively three times (Point (d)), the market gains confidence that there will be no further rate hikes. Similar to 2006, when three consecutive rate freezes led to breaking historical highs, the same pattern was observed on December 13, 2023, breaking the historical high of January 4, 2022 (Point (f) ).

 

The peak of the U.S. economy is predicted to be on May 8, 2024, with the U.S. stock market artificially creating a peak for about six months (until the first rate cut). The global economy, with the decline of the U.S. dollar, moves towards a strong bull market in individual countries. The magic of exchange rates creates opportunities for profit through currency differences and stock appreciation, leading to a surge in global stock markets. Global and U.S. stock markets are expected to start declining simultaneously around November 15, 2024 (just before the U.S. rate cut). At this point, the U.S. economy would have been declining for about six months from its peak, while the global economy, excluding the U.S., remains stable.

I believe there are signs of a weakening U.S. economy, which will lead to the start of interest rate cuts by the end of 2024. Eventually, about a year later on December 12, 2025, both the U.S. and the world will face an economic crisis. The peak of the U.S. economy is expected in May, while the global economy is predicted to peak in the second quarter of 2025 [...] I hope you too can achieve favorable outcomes during this time.

(1. - 4.) On August 2, 2023, through my posts, I predicted the breaking of the historical high of the Dow Jones Index and the freezing of U.S. interest rates (the Goldilocks period). I forecasted the peak of the stock market, the timing of the economic crisis, and all phases up to the great depression in 2032. By looking at my past Twitter posts, one can see that the results are following the same patterns exactly as predicted. My posts will be helpful to understand these patterns: 

(1.) Prediction of the 13th and 14th Cycles of the U.S. Stock Market (August 2, 2023): This post outlines my predictions for the 13th and 14th cycles of the U.S. stock market and its potential trajectory. 

(2.) Forecast for the 14th and Current 15th Cycle (Great Depression Period) of the U.S. Stock Market (August 2, 2023): In this tweet, I discuss the ongoing 15th cycle and its connection to the anticipated great depression period.
(3.) Prediction for the 14th and Current 15th Cycle of the U.S. Stock Market (August 2, 2023): This tweet further elaborates on my predictions for the 14th and current 15th cycle of the U.S. stock market.
(4.) Estimation of the Dow Jones Lowest Point, Interest Rate Freeze (Goldilocks Period), and Major Bull Market (August 3, 2023): This post from August 3, 2023, predicts the lowest point of the Dow Jones, the freezing of interest rates (Goldilocks period), and the onset of a major bull market.

Quoted from:

James Kim @ X (Jan 2, 2024) - 2024 Economic Forecast.

A Way Of Seeing Infinity │ Benoît Mandelbrot

 

 » Why is geometry often described as 'cold' and 'dry'? One reason lies in its inability to describe the shape of a cloud, a mountain, a coastline, or a tree. Clouds are not spheres, mountains are not cones, coastlines are not circles, and bark is not smooth, nor does lightning travel in a straight line [...] Nature exhibits not simply a higher degree but an altogether different level of complexity [...] Bottomless wonders spring from simple rules, which are repeated without end. «

 

Benoît Mandelbrot,  Fractals: Form, Chance and Dimension, 1977.

 

Infinite Self-Similarity-Zoom.

The Time of the Civilisational States │ Alain de Benoist

The way in which, since the 1990s, the Chinese authorities, claiming to have ‘Asian values’, have rejected criticism in the name of the human rights ideology is significant. In January 2021, at the Davos Forum, Xi Jinping said, ‘Just as no two leaves in the world are the same, no two histories, no two cultures, no two social systems are the same. Each country is unique in all these areas, and no country is superior to another. There is no need to worry about differences, but rather about attempts to impose a hierarchy between civilisations or to force some of them to align themselves with another in terms of history, culture or social system.’

 » The logic of great spaces does not have a universalist scope. The paradigm is no longer national, but spatial.’ «

Carl Schmitt, 1941.

The recognition of the crisis of universalism and Western hegemonism thus goes hand in hand with the feeling that the era of the international order based on the conflicting balance of nation-states has ended, as Carl Schmitt foresaw as early as the 1930s. The rise of civilisational states signals the entry into an era in which the world order is no longer reduced to the unstable equilibrium of nation-states. As civilisational norms become a pivotal point in geopolitics, the main competition is no longer the traditional one between nation-states but the one between civilisations. Civilisational states give rise to a new mode of sovereignty that is no longer that of nation-states. 

 

[...] The notion of the civilisational state is even more reminiscent of the ‘great space’ (Großraum) theorised by Carl Schmitt to rethink international relations beyond the codification of relations between nation-states. A ‘great space’, Schmitt says, requires a ‘great people’, a vast territory and an autonomous political will. ‘Empires’, he writes, ‘are those ruling powers that carry a political idea radiating out into a determined great space from which they exclude, as a matter of principle, the interventions of foreign powers.’ And he adds this essential reminder: ‘The empire is more than an enlarged state, just as the great space is not just an enlarged micro-space.’ ‘The logic of great spaces does not have a universalist scope. It only integrates the historical evolution of the great territorial powers influencing third countries. The paradigm is therefore no longer national, but spatial.’

Quoted from:
Alain de Benoist (Apr 26, 2023) - The Time of the Civilisational States.

 

See also:

Carl Schmitt (1941) - Völkerrechtliche Großraumordnung mit Interventionsverbot für raumfremde Mächte. Ein Beitrag zum Reichsbegriff im Völkerrecht. (Great Space International Law with a ban on intervention by powers alien to the area. A contribution to the concept of empire in international law.)
Carl Schmitt (1940) - Großraum gegen Universalismus. (Great Space vs. Universalism.) 

The Concept of Distributed Heartland │ Alexander Dugin

The fight to rule Heartland – by Sea Power from without, or in Heartland itself from within – is the main formula of geopolitical history, the very essence of geopolitics. Geopolitics is the battle for Heartland. All schools of geopolitics are founded upon and proceed from this model [...] Just as the multi-polar world arises, so does a contradiction. If we take into consideration only one Sea Power and one Heartland, then when it comes to speaking of a multi-polar world, Russia cannot possibly be the only Heartland. Russia cannot achieve a multi-polar world on its own. In the very least, multipolarity entails four or five of the most important poles in the world. Russia could be the center of this multi-polar world or only one of its poles. But Russia cannot be the only Heartland.

 

 » It is surprising that at the bottom of our politics we always find theology. «
Pierre-Joseph Proudhon, Les confessions d'un revolutionnaire, 1849.

[...] Over the course of numerous discussions, conferences, speeches, lectures, and articles, I have come to the conclusion that it is high time to introduce the notion of an apportioned, or “distributed Heartland.” To this end, I think it is important to attentively examine the German geopolitics of the 1920-’30’s, which proclaimed Germany to be the European Heartland. Of interest to us is not so much Germany itself as the very possibility of considering an additional Heartland [...] A Chinese Heartland is an altogether different question. China, after all, is Rimland, a coastal zone. If we recognize China as bearing the status of a Heartland, then we are recognizing China as an independent strategic space. If we qualify China as Heartland, then we are emphasizing the conservative aspect of China – China as Land Power. But if China declares itself to be a Heartland against Russia, just as Hitler’s Germany declared itself to be the heart of Eurasia against Soviet Russia, then conflict will immediately arise.

If Russia retains the status of an independent pole, then this “distributed Heartland” acquires a completely different meaning. Then it is possible to consider such Heartlands as a Russian Heartland, as in all traditional geopolitical maps as the “geographical pivot of history”, and a European Heartland. We also arrive at considering a Chinese Heartland, and this means that we consider China as a traditional, conservative, independent, and sovereign state as it is today – and it will only become more so in the future. In the very least, it is important to reconcile the Chinese Heartland with the Russian Heartland, and partially even the European Heartland. But even this is insufficient to constructing a multi-polar world. We necessarily have to consider an Islamic Heartland (covering the historical spaces of at least 3-4 empires, stretching from Turkey to Pakistan). The concept of a distributed Heartland can further be expanded to India, and projected onto Latin America and Africa as well.

As follows, there should be an American Heartland in the multi-polar system. We have become too accustomed to thinking in the terms of classical geopolitics that the US and Anglo-Saxon world can only be Sea Power. In a multi-polar world, America will not be able to play this role, its global maritime range will naturally be reduced, thereby changing the very nature of America. As follows, an American Heartland should arise which, in a multi-polar system, should not be seen exclusively as in opposition to other Heartlands. The vote for Trump represented the contours of this American Heartland. If we begin to conceive of Heartland as a distributed type of culture associated with the reinforcement of conservative identity, then “Make America Great Again” is the thesis of an American Heartland. Stop being a Sea Power, and you will be great again.

[...] Distributed Heartland is the imperative of the new geopolitical model, of multi-polar geopolitics. I think that this concept deserves very serious cogitation, pondering, and description. There should be a number of conferences, or an even entire volume devoted to this inevitable question. The efficacy of this concept of distributed Heartland is, in my opinion, extremely important, insofar as the construction of a multi-polar world now demands clearer and more precise roadmaps.

Quoted from:
Alexander Dugin (Mar 14, 2019) - Towards a Multipolar Geopolitics.

 

See also:

Alexander Dugin (2012) - The Theory of a Multipolar World.

Carl Schmitt (1941) - Völkerrechtliche Großraumordnung mit Interventionsverbot für raumfremde Mächte. Ein Beitrag zum Reichsbegriff im Völkerrecht. (Great Space International Law with a ban on intervention by powers alien to the area. A contribution to the concept of empire in international law.)
Carl Schmitt (1940) - Großraum gegen Universalismus. (Great Space vs. Universalism.)