Freight rates have fallen to levels never seen before, 60% since August, and are currently 25% below the worst days of 2008. The Baltic Exchange’s main sea freight index (BDI), which gauges the cost of shipping cargoes including iron ore, cement, grain, coal and fertilizer, fell to 551 points yesterday. Historically, the Baltic Exchange Dry Index reached an all-time high of 11,612 in August 2008 and a record low of 498 in November of 2015. Unlike stock and bond markets, the BDI is totally devoid of speculative content and reflects the real economy, since people don't book freighters unless they have cargo to move. |
Wednesday, December 9, 2015
Race To The Bottom: Baltic Dry Index Collapsed To New All-Time Low
Labels:
Baltic Dry Index,
Global Depression
Monday, December 7, 2015
EUR/USD vs 4 Lunar Month Cycle
Labels:
118 Day Cyle,
4 Lunar Month Cycle,
AstroFin,
Bonds,
EUR/USD,
Financial Astrology,
Forex
US T-Bonds vs Inverted 4 Lunar Month Cycle
Sunday, December 6, 2015
DAX vs 4 Lunar Month Cycle
Labels:
118 Day Cyle,
4 Lunar Month Cycle,
AstroFin,
DAX,
Financial Astrology,
US-Stocks
SPX vs 4 Lunar Month Cycle
Labels:
118 Day Cyle,
4 Lunar Month Cycle,
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
SPX,
US-Stocks
Saturday, December 5, 2015
SPX vs Galactic Center
Calculated and charted with Timing Solution |
"The safest general characterization of the European philosophical tradition is that it consists of a series of footnotes to Plato." Alfred North Whitehead |
The Milky Way and the Sun of all Suns are the inspiration for the symbol of the Ouroboros, a serpent of light residing in the heavens, in the galactic central point of Sagittarius A*, and eating its own tail. Plato described the Ouroboros as the first living thing; a self-eating, circular being — the universe as an immortal, mythologically constructed entity. The current mathematical symbol for infinity may be derived from the Ouroboros, also known to ancient Egypt, China, Japan, India, Celts, Norse, Native American Indian tribes, Aztecs and Toltecs alike. In the iconography of Greco-Babylonian astrology, Hermeticism and Gnostic Christianity, the beginning and ending points of the sky are positioned where the ecliptic, the pathway of the Sun, crosses the galactic plane of the Milky Way (Plato's X). The galactic plane is tilted 60°to the ecliptic and is crossed by our Sun twice a year at the galactic equatorial node (the "Gate of God" ≈ 5° Sagittarius 17' ≈ 245.283 degrees ≈ Nov 28), and the anti-galactic equatorial node (the "Gate of Man" ≈ 5° Gemini 17' ≈ 65.283 degrees ≈ May 26). Universal descriptions depict the distance between these points as the Ouroboros, the “tail-devourer” (Greek oura “tail”, boros “eating”), representing cyclic renewal of life and infinity, the concepts of eternity and eternal return, the cycle of life, death and rebirth, leading to immortality. The Sun will conjunct the Galactic Center - the mouth of the Ouroborus - on Dec 19 (Sat), just before the winter solstice.
Labels:
Anima Mundi,
AstroFin,
Astronomy,
Chi-Rho,
Christianity,
Cosmic Soul,
Cosmology,
Ecliptic,
Financial Astrology,
Galactic Center,
Galactic Plane,
Ouroboros,
Plato,
SPX,
Timaeus,
Timing Solution,
US-Stocks
Friday, December 4, 2015
SPX vs 4 Lunar Month Cycle
Labels:
118 Day Cyle,
4 Lunar Month Cycle,
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
SPX,
US-Stocks
Thursday, December 3, 2015
Jack Gillen's Sensitive Degrees of the SUN 2016
"The Sun's position by itself in relation to the stock market can show you
trends that are more or less active for each.year, as the sun degrees are generally fixed. They fall on about the same date every year. So this is why some periods of the year would be more of a pattern." Jack Gillen (1979): The Key to Speculation on the New York Stock Exchange. |
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
Jack Gillen,
NYSE Natal Chart,
Sun,
US-Stocks
VIX vs 4 Lunar Month Cycle - Reversal Back To Normal Correlation
US-Stocks should reverse today, and turn up into Dec 6 (Sun)(see also expected direction in December SoLunar Map) |
Labels:
118 Day Cyle,
4 Lunar Month Cycle,
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
Inver,
US-Stocks,
VIX
Wednesday, December 2, 2015
China's Supergrowth Likely To Run Five More Years
Credits: World Bank ׀ Enlarge |
But that requires that people outside your country buy your low-priced manufactures. And the world has reached a point at which demand for manufactured goods is no longer highly elastic [...] After the 2015 stock market crash, China is likely to have another five, maybe ten, years of very healthy growth. The party can redistribute income from the rich to the middle and the poor and from the coasts to the interior. Mammoth demand from an enriched urban middle class and peasantry can provide business for all of China's factories that otherwise would be selling into an export market with lower-than-expected demand elasticity. The interior can be brought up to the manufacturing productivity standards of the coast (see also HERE)
Demographics as Destiny
Business Insider (Nov 30, 2015) - What the size of the world's workforce will be like in a decade is well predictable, since the future workers have already been born. Demographics have long been a key determinant of potential growth rates, but the change in the global population over the next few years is unprecedented. Japan's population started to shrink in the mid-1990s and Germany's started shrinking around the year 2000, but the world's most populous country, China, is now seeing its working-age population shrink for the first time. Though the overall global population will continue to grow for some time yet, the growth of the working-age population is slowing down pretty much everywhere. That's relevant for a bundle of reasons. Around the world there will be fewer workers to support a growing number of retirees. But it also has some economists expecting significant pressure on wages.
If
employers have to fight for a group of workers that is growing more
slowly, or even declining, they will need to encourage people to move,
and their labour will be more valuable. Some
countries, like Japan, Russia, and parts of Europe, have already
entered the stage that the rest of the world is going into — and they've
struggled with it. In Japan, slowing economic growth has made the
county's ever-expanding pile of public debt more and more difficult to
deal with, and the working-age population has already declined by 11.1%
in the past 20 years. Smaller populations mean less demand and less
potential output. More retirees relative to the number of working-age
people means more fiscal pressure: greater expenditure on healthcare and
less tax income. Globally, although working-age populations are still
growing, HSBC expects global potential growth to be 0.6ppt lower per
year over the next decade compared with the past decade given these
demographic changes. Not great news for heavily indebted economies (see also HERE).
The sea of red and pink across the advanced world means contraction, no growth, or slow growth. Only in a belt of the developing world (in Africa particularly) is there any substantial expansion coming by 2020. Credits: HSBC (Nov 2015) Enlarge |
Labels:
China,
Demographics,
Economic Growth,
Fertility Rate,
Germany,
Global Depression,
HSBC,
Japan
Sunday, November 29, 2015
SPX vs Jupiter-Saturn Cycle
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
Jupiter-Saturn Cycle
Friday, November 27, 2015
Soybeans - Time and Price Near Major Low
Thursday, November 26, 2015
NATO Opens Another Front Against Russia in Crimea
SouthFront.org (Nov 26, 2015) - [NATO, Turkey and Ukraine] have made a strike at another front. As result of a terrorism act near the border with Russia, the four main transmission lines between Ukraine and Crimea were blown up. About 1,7 million people in Crimea are cut from the power supplies. Some experts believe that the terrorism act was conducted by Turkish intelligence services in concurrence with the US. Formally, the terrorism act was made by Crimea Tatar extremists and the “Right Sector” terrorist group. The Crimea’s blackout could be described as a clear war provocation against Russia. At the moment, we could observe an escalation in a diplomatic sphere and military build up of the all sides involved in the Syrian crisis. If the US and its allies continue their provocative and shallow policy, there is a serious threat of an open military escalation in the region (see also HERE).
Labels:
Crimea,
Cycles of War,
ISIS,
NATO,
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan,
Russia,
Turkey,
Ukraine,
WWIII
SPX vs 7th Years of Presidents Cycle - Seasonality After Thanksgiving
Jeff Hirsch (Nov 25, 2015) - Now that Thanksgiving is upon us and early December gains tend to fade mid-month, consider closing out those short term longs into strength today, Friday and next week. |
Credits: Chris Carolan |
Labels:
Chris Carolan,
DJIA,
Jeffrey A. Hirsch,
Presidential Cycle,
Seasonality,
SPX,
US-Stocks
SPX vs Consumer Confidence - Long Term Sell Signal
Credits: Nautilus Research |
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