Panic & Stock Market Crash into End of October ? | Lars von Thienen

Lars von Thienen (Oct 16, 2022) - The coming weeks from October 17 to October 30 will be fascinating. One of the critical time cycles that will come into play next week are the so-called "Dark Days" cycles of past crashes.
 

[...] The chart shows us 4 cyclic patterns now in place surrounding market panics:

1. The “Dark Days” fall on 21.-22. October next week. Compared to 1929 and even if the markets have already gone down, this has given the index another -30% correction with extremely heavy selling.
2. The leading movement is synchronized with the Jewish High Holidays: From a leading top in the market (point 1), there is a correction to Rosh Hashanah (2). Rosh Hashanah marks the beginning of the Jewish calendar. From there, a very small rally begins, ending on Yom Kippur (3). Yom Kippur is the emotional climax of the Jewish faith’s high holy days. This cyclical pattern is not well known - but has been seen in all major crashes in the past. See also the alignment in the chart in 1929.
3. The next cyclical pattern which is seen at financial panics is the so called “Puetz crash window”. According to that pattern, all US crashed had the same important 6-weeks-window signature around a solar eclipse. According to that pattern a panic begins near a full moon that occurs within 6-weeks of a solar eclipse. This year, the solar eclipse occurs on 25. October.

[...] The cyclic configuration we recognize here is unique and does not occur frequently in this bundling.

 

Quoted from:
Lars von Thienen (Oct 16, 2022) - "Dark Days" panic climax ahead for equities

 

See also:

Lars von Thienen (Oct 17, 2022) - Market Cycles Report - "Dark Days" climax ahead for equity markets

Lars von Thienen (Oct 10, 2022) - Market Cycles Report - Cycles of Financial Crisis using long term static cycle models

Lars von Thienen (Sep 19, 2022) - Special Market Cycles Report with Peter Eliades

S&P 500 Index vs Astronomical Momentum Forecast Model | March 2018

This Astronomical Momentum Forecast Model (AMFM) was inspired by the work of L.H. Weston, W.D. Gann and Chris Carolan. More than 120 years of US-stock market and detrended momentum data derived from a Williams %R oscillator were used, assuming this would reflect the overall sentiment and mass mood during the period. One fundamental concept of mundane astrology considers sentiment and mass mood to be conditioned and modulated by a complex set of nested, overlapping and repeating astronomical cycles, most important solunar cycles. These cycles are ranging from several decades to days and even minutes (Callipic Cycle, Metonic Cycle, Mythraic Cycle, Solar Cycles, Lunar Cycles, Planetary Hours, Muhūrta, etc.). They can be calculated into the past and future and hence be put into practical use. Considering the general nature, pros and cons of market momentum indicators, the AMFM is able to project market sentiment several decades into the future (see also HERE). Of course work on this model is experimental, not perfect and in progress. However, the current model presented here indicated a momentum peak in October 2017, a negative divergence at the January 27 major high, and suggests a decline from there into a major low around mid-March, followed by a rally into early May, a retest of the March-low by mid-June, another rally into early October, and a decline into end of December.

SPX vs 7th Years of Presidents Cycle - Seasonality After Thanksgiving

Jeff Hirsch (Nov 25, 2015) - Now that Thanksgiving is upon us and early December gains tend to fade mid-month,
consider closing out those short term longs into strength today, Friday and next week.

Credits: Chris Carolan