S&P 500 Index vs Inverted 4 Lunar Month Cycle │ June 7 High + June 25 Low

As expected the polarity in the 4 Lunar Month Cycle inverted with the low of the week on the Full
Moon on May 29 (Tue)(HERE). Expect the S&P 500 on June 4 (Mon) to advance higher to around 2,760
before retracing into June 5 (Tue). June 6 (Wed) should be straight up into the close. June 7 (Thu)
(MOO 000 NEP + MOO @ 24 PIS - HERE) should advance further to a major high around 2,790 before a
throw-over and swing down first into the Super New Moon around June 13-14 (Wed-Thu - MOO @ 14 CAN
on Jun 15 HERE) and then into major lows on June 25 (Mon) and July 9 (Mon).

Russel 2000 Index and DAX vs 4 Lunar Month Cycle

Given the polarity of this correlation persists beyond the Full Moon on May 29 (Tue = SoLunar Turn-Day),
the bias for next week is negative. If the polarity flips, the low of the week should be Tuesday.

DAX vs SUN 000 MER + MER @ Max Elongation E/W + New and Full Moon

Always worth a look:

The Conjunction of Mercury and the Sun, Mercury's greatest Eastern and Western Elongation, as well as the Full Moon and the New Moon:

       
2018 Jan 02 (Tue) 01:48 = MER max Elong W
2018 Jan 02 (Tue) 03:24 = SUN 180 MOO
 2018 Jan 17 (Wed) 03:15 = SUN 000 MOO
 2018 Jan 31 (Wed) 14:25 = SUN 180 MOO = Total Lunar Eclipse 
2018 Feb 15 (Thu) 22:03 = SUN 000 MOO = Partial Solar Eclipse
2018 Feb 17 (Sat) 13:07 = SUN 000 MER
2018 Mar 02 (Fri) 01:54 = SUN 180 MOO
2018 Mar 15 (Thu) 11:08 = MER max Elong E
2018 Mar 17 (Sat) 14:07 = SUN 000 MOO
2018 Mar 31 (Sat) 14:37 = SUN 180 MOO
2018 Apr 01 (Sun) 19:43 = SUN 000 MER
2018 Apr 16 (Mon) 03:53 = SUN 000 MOO
2018 Apr 29 (Sun) 17:15 = MER max Elong W
2018 Apr 30 (Mon) 03:01 = SUN 180 MOO
2018 May 15 (Tue) 13:43 = SUN 000 MOO
2018 May 29 (Tue) 16:20 = SUN 180 MOO
2018 Jun 06 (Wed) 03:48 = SUN 000 MER
2018 Jun 13 (Wed) 21:40 = SUN 000 MOO
2018 Jun 28 (Thu) 06:54 = SUN 180 MOO
2018 Jul 12 (Thu) 05:51 = MER max Elong E
2018 Jul 13 (Fri) 04:48 = SUN 000 MOO
2018 Jul 27 (Fri) 22:18 = SUN 180 MOO
2018 Aug 09 (Thu) 03:59 = SUN 000 MER
2018 Aug 11 (Sat) 11:58 = SUN 000 MOO
2018 Aug 26 (Sun) 13:53 = SUN 180 MOO
2018 Aug 26 (Sun) 23:57 = MER max Elong W
2018 Sep 09 (Sun) 20:02 = SUN 000 MOO
2018 Sep 21 (Fri) 03:34 = SUN 000 MER
2018 Sep 25 (Tue) 04:53 = SUN 180 MOO
2018 Oct 09 (Tue) 05:47 = SUN 000 MOO
2018 Oct 24 (Wed) 18:40 = SUN 180 MOO
2018 Nov 06 (Tue) 15:45 = MER max Elong E
2018 Nov 07 (Wed) 17:05 = SUN 000 MOO
2018 Nov 23 (Fri) 06:40 = SUN 180 MOO
2018 Nov 27 (Tue) 10:08 = SUN 000 MER
2018 Dec 07 (Fri) 08:21 = SUN 000 MOO
2018 Dec 15 (Sat) 16:35 = MER max Elong W
2018 Dec 22 (Sat) 18:45 = SUN 180 MOO

[ all times calculated for Frankfurt a.M., Germany = CET / CEST ]
[ times in the chart above however are EST / EDT ]

DAX vs 4 Lunar Month Cycle | December 2017 - January 2018

On October 29 a major high in the DAX was projected to November 7 (15 - 8 - 1). This proved to be true (HERE). Currently the cycle of four lunar phases has a period of 119 days (= 1,440 degrees longitude from August 1 to November 28), and is pointing to an medium term low around December 26 (9 - 6). After a brief recovery (10 - 7), the next major low (16 - 11) is scheduled for late January to early February 2018.

DAX vs 4 Lunar Month Cycle

Dax vs Lunar Inclination and SoLunar Map │ August 15 High

DAX Cyclical Analysis │ Cyclic Vibrations

Source: Cyclic Vibrations (Feb 25, 2017)

Seasonality | DJIA | NDX | FTSE | DAX | HSI | NI225

Credits: Seasonal Charts

DAX vs Iris Treppner's Astro Forecast 2012 - 2021 | Review 2016

Iris Treppner (May 2012) - Astro Trading
(an updated and fine-tuned 2016 DAX-forecast HERE)

German DAX: Gloom, Boom and Doom | Cyclic Vibrations

Ahmed Farghaly (Oct 02, 2016) - There is no question in most commentator's minds that the growth in Germany has certainly slowed relative to what this great country has enjoyed in the 20th century […] The reason for my post about Germany is because the first domino to fall in the upcoming financial calamity seems to be Deutsche Bank […] The upcoming calamity is not going to be like 2008 which was merely a correction of the 18 year cycle. The decline is likely […] of the 324 year cycle and will make 2008 seem like a tiny little hick up within the unraveling of a much larger cycle correction.

[…] The German DAX is likely to not only decline but have an outright collapse of a magnitude not witnessed in our lives. The S&P/DAX ratio is in favor of the S&P which suggests that we are likely to see a larger decline in Germany. 

German Stocks In Trend Limbo
Source: Dana Lyons' Tumblr.

DJIA: Bullish Into Q1-2 Next Year | Cyclic Vibrations

Ahmed Farghaly (Aug 19, 2016) - I am expecting a peak [in the DJIA] in the first-second quarter of next year [2017] and I believe it will be the peak of this century [...] Volatility will likely make a new historic high once the peak is realized as will be presented shortly. Let us first look at the DJIA from an Elliott wave perspective: 

Enlarge

I believe that we are terminating an impulsive advance from an Elliott wave perspective, this impulsive advance is the fifth wave of grandsupercycle degree [...] Another scary aspect of the chart above is the extended fifth wave that occurred from the lows in 1974 to where we stand today. R.N. Elliott warned about what usually occurs after a fifth wave extension since it is usually followed by a crash. Once we look at the projection lines we will notice such an outcome is highly likely based on our volatility forecast. The target for the correction after a fifth wave extension is the range of the second wave which brings us to the 1000-770 price range. Such a forecast for the Dow is certainly scary and I am not brave enough to make such a cataclysmic call which is why I will wait for the patterns to unfold to obtain more accurate price targets. It is important to know that the US stock market is likely to be the out-performer as indicated in one of my previous posts (The American S&P and German Dax ratio) in which I analyzed a ratio of the DJIA with the German DAX. If such a target is expected in terms of the DJIA one can only imagine what will occur to the European indices. I still prefer a German DAX short once the peak is in since one will make money from a higher EURO and a larger percentage drop. Let us now take a look at the shorter term wave count.

The shorter term wave count suggests that the DJIA is in its fifth wave of intermediate degree to terminate the primary degree rally from 2009 which will in itself terminate a cycle degree advance that started in 1974 which will itself terminate a supercycle degree advance that started in 1932 which will itself terminate a grand supercycle degree move that started in 1784. The cycles mentioned on many previous posts on this blog support that fact. I believe that such a large and historic top will end in weakness rather than strength. This is why I am preferring an ending diagonal scenario for the fifth wave of intermediate degree. I am certain that the correction that is about to unfold will be the largest correction in US history. This is a time to be cautious from equities and to try our best to avoid the calamity.

The first chart below presents an overlay of the 1920s bull market with the one seen since late 2011. Both bull markets occurred under a similar cyclical circumstance hence their high correlation (9 year cycle). The correlation is almost 80%! This projection line suggests that a peak is likely in the first quarter of next year. This conclusion is supported by a projection line of the 18 month cycle that started in 1971 which is presented below.

Enlarge

The correlation of the 18 month cycle of the early 70's bull market while gold was selling off is very high and similar to the bull market that started early this year (middle chart above). They both occurred under a similar cyclical circumstance and hence their 80%+ correlation. Both indicators are bullish going into the new year and suggests that the current 'worst' part of the year is likely to disappoint those that strictly follow the annual cycle as it has proven to do so already.
 
The third chart above shows my volatility projection as well as the projection line of the late 20's. The volatility indicator was obtained from two 9 year cycles of a similar cyclical circumstance to where we stand today. The volatility projection suggests that the crash is likely to be drastic going into the low that is expected in 2020 which is when peak volatility is expected.

Artificial Intelligence Long Range Forecasts | Stock Indices | Crude Oil | Gold

FFC Long Range Forecasts rely exclusively on Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning to analyze and model.
Source: Financial Forecast Center, LLC.

Red dots represent monthly mean prices. First dot after the dashed vertical is June 2016, last one November 2016.

 

 

 

MarketVector Financial Forecasts produces long range forecasts using Multichannel Singular Spectrum Analysis (MSSA).
MSSA to decompose the time series into a trend component and many cyclical components. The decomposed
components of the time series are then projected forward in time.

Chartsedge  provides stock market forecasts are based on cycle
data which has been analyzed by a Pattern Recognition Program.

McVerry Report generates 5-Day U.S. Market
Forecasts based on Artificial Intelligence.

German DAX vs Delta Cycles | April - June 2016

Apr 25 (Mon) could be a major high in the DAX as well as in US-indices.

German DAX vs Lunar Year Cycle + 4 Lunar Month Cycle + Fib Ratios

In the US-Stock Indices the following High-Low-sequence is likely:
Apr 07-10 (Fri-Mon) LOW, Apr 12 (Tue) HIGH, Apr 14 (Thu) LOW, Apr 22-25 (Fri-Mon) HIGH

German DAX vs Intermediate Delta Cycle

Iris Treppner's DAX Forecast 2012-2021 - Update

HERE

Glenn Neely’s "5th Extension Terminal Impulse"

Just picked that up somewhere - good ol' Neely - always good toremember everything is possible under NEo-Wave Rules :-)

Credits: Doug Short

Insiders are still buying this market. Credits: Barron's

DAX vs 4 Lunar Month Cycle

DAX vs Inverted 4 Lunar Month Cycle

German DAX vs Inverted 4 Lunar Month Cycle

However, the Nasdaq dropped only by -0.1% or -2.65 points on Nov 4 (Wed) while the RASI was still rising, and Thomas Bulkowski
remarks: Since 02/05/1971 the Nasdaq made 541 similar moves on a percentage basis. After those moves, the next day's: Average
gain was 0.7% on 295 occasions. Average loss was -0.9% on 246 occasions. Expect the index to close higher 54.5% [on Nov 5].

Tekkie Suresh: "Rahu getting involved with Venus and Mars, points to a trough around November mid month, Should see  a recovery thereafter."

Jeff Hirsch (Nov 3, 2015) - In the most recent 21-year period spanning 1994 to 2014, November opens strong, peaks around the fourth
trading day, trades lower till the eighth trading day, bounces mid-month, moves sideway to down during the week before Thanksgiving
then higher to close out the month with gains ranging from just under 1.5% for Russell 2000 to over 2% for DJIA.