|Sherman and Marian McClellan's Ratio Adjusted Summation Index for the NYSE (RASI) is a particularly useful indicator to identify |
when an uptrend is strong enough to continue past the initial up surge. The RASI rises from oversold below -500 up to well above +500, and
the higher the better. Failing to reach the +500 level is like a rocket that fails to achieve escape velocity, and then falls back to Earth.
It is a sign that an uptrend is not strong enough to continue, and that the recent price lows are likely to be revisited. Last Friday the
Ratio Adjusted Summation Index for the NYSE closed at 412 while the next two weeks still have a strong seasonal bias.
Saturday, October 31, 2015
Sunday, October 25, 2015
|The Jupiter-Saturn Cycle pointed to the short term market low on Oct 15 (Thu), and to a high on Oct 23 (Fri). |
Nov 02 (Mon) and Nov 09 (Mon) are likely to be lows.
[...] This 'solar wobble' is a result of the combined planetary gravitational forces [...] Jupiter's magnetosphere extends well beyond Saturn's orbit. If it were not for the presence of the solar field itself, Jupiter's magnetosphere would reach the center of the Solar system. Saturn also has a large magnetosphere, approximately about one-fifth of Jupiter's. There is likelihood that the solar dynamo is affected (either directly or through a reverse feedback) by Jupiter's and combined Jupiter-Saturn magnetic fields. The resultant of these two fields is a 'magnetic channel' acting as a 'conduit' for formation of the solar current sheet. In turn the solar current sheet generates its own much stronger magnetic field carried by the solar wind, while its periodic variability properties are defined by the initialization within the 'magnetic channel'.
[...] In order to assess the combined effect at the center of the Solar system the two main factors to consider are: Jupiter's variable influence over one solar orbital period (consisting of one major and one minor loop as described above and equaling two Jupiter sidereal periods) [...] The solar activity displays short-term randomness as well as a certain, however imperfect, longer-term periodicity. The solar periodic activity is described by the Hale cycle and represented by the sunspot number. Change of magnetic polarity during Hale cycle is most likely due to change in the angle of precession of the solar axis and its relationship to the 'magnetic depression', favoring one or the other solar hemisphere over period of the two loops making one solar orbital period [...] It appears that there is a resonant system in operation within the solar activity, the imperfection of which is demonstrated by the irregularity of its response. This in turn means that it should have a rich spectrum of sub-harmonics and higher harmonics.
|Sideways to down into Nov 02 (Tue) filling the gap around 2,056? DOWN Mon-Tue-Wed Oct 26-28 (Full Moon), UP Thur-Fri Oct 29-30, |
DOWN Mon-Tues Nov 2-3? Afterwards UP to higher high in the second half of November?
Saturday, October 24, 2015
Tuesday, October 20, 2015
|"Bretton Woods took place in 1944. Adding 72 years brings us to 2016. This model has been |
uncanny in predicting political change." (recent interview HERE)
|"High Treason" - Federal Republic of Germany established May 23, 1949 + 72 Years = 2021|
Martin Armstrong (Oct 17, 2015) - Each country has its own unique cycle. There was a very major turning point in France that nearly became a revolution [in May 1968]. Even Charles de Gaulle secretly left France for a few hours after fearing for his life and a revolution [...] The French socialist state is now collapsing under Hollande. Civil unrest will erupt moving into 2017 and then there is the risk of another major cultural revolution as the youth do not share the same values as the socialistic elites who are in control. We will see that risk erupt by 2020 or 51.6 years from the May 1968 cultural revolution (see also HERE)
|"We are going to be in for a very negative deflationary crisis. It doesn’t mean the stock |
market is going to collapse now. It’s going to be the end of 2017. It’s one and a half years
away. I think we could rally before the end of the year, but it will be a catastrophe in 2017.
The Dow is going to 5,000 [...] by 2021. If you are not safe before 2017, you can lose
everything you have [...] There will be civil war in Europe.” (HERE also HERE + HERE + HERE)
Monday, October 19, 2015
|The biggest event that took place in Syria as part of Operation Hmeymim was the use by |
the Russian Navy’s Caspian Flotilla of 26 seaborne land-attack cruise missiles (LACMs)
that hit 11 Daesh and Jabhat al-Nusra military targets inside Syria, which were located
about 1,500 km. away from the missile launch site (HERE)
Vladimir Kozin (Oct 13, 2015) - The firing of cruise missiles by the Russian Navy, from the Caspian Sea, was not necessary for its military operation in Syria. However, this convincing show of force, demonstrates Russia’s technical superiority over NATO in this domain. Therefore, the so-called anti-missile shield, currently deployed by the Atlantic Alliance around Russia, is now obsolete.
|The Jupiter-Saturn Cycle pointed to the market turn last Thursday (Oct 15, 2015). The next CIT should be Oct 23 (Fri). The Solunar Map hints |
to a short-term market low on Tuesday, October 20 and another rise into the end of this week. This would be in line also with Alphee Lavoie's
and Mike Korrell's forecasts of another week sideways to up in stocks.
|Credits: BusinessInsider and Deutsche Bank|
Sunday, October 18, 2015
Saturday, October 17, 2015
|Looking e.g. at the open minded and innovative scientific findings in H.H. Clayton's excellent World Weather Records of 1923, perfectly illustrates |
the intellectual degradation of nowadays mainstream climate sciences, deluded and obsessed by the fraudulent and absurd malthusian ideology
of man-made global warming and the genocidal cult of 'climate protection' (HERE + HERE)
|If the name of a single person were to be identified with the birth of paleoclimatology, it would be Vladimir Peter Köppen (1846–1940), |
a German-Russian geographer, meteorologist, climatologist and botanist. In 1924 he and his son-in-law Alfred Wegener published a paper
called 'Die Klimate der Geologischen Vorzeit' (The Climates Of The Geological Past) providing crucial support to the astronomical
theory on ice ages of Milutin Milanković (1879-1958).
Thursday, October 15, 2015
|Vladimir Putin answering questions regarding ISIS from a US journalist |
at the Valdai International Discussion Club in late 2014 (HERE + HERE + HERE)
Perverted from a defensive organization into an offensive one, NATO is dragging us from war to war. In the Middle East and North Africa, in conjunction with its Gulf allies and jihadi extremists, NATO is the leading force in the destruction of states and nations. In Ukraine, following the coup d'etat that did away with the legitimate government, NATO is training Neonazi militia units, promotes civil war, and threatens Russia. The wars generated by NATO and its puppet terrorist organizations cause the flight and migration of entire populations. The upgrading of Western nuclear armaments and the multiplication of military bases around the world threaten a new world war.
|New US-Nuclear Weapons in Germany (HERE)|
|Previous posts HERE|
|Financial Markets and Solar Activity HERE|
[...] The current Mercury Max cycle (the third one and final complete one this year) began with Mercury’s maximum eastern elongation on September 4, continues through the September 17 to October 9 retrograde (including the September 30 inferior conjunction with the Sun), and concludes when the little Sun-grazer reaches maximum western elongation on October 15.
|Celestial Phenomena Calculator|
Wednesday, October 14, 2015
|The CBOE SKEW Index has hit an all-time high, which means the cost of protecting against a major outside event is now at a record. |
The CBOE SKEW Index is an index derived from the price of S&P 500 tail risk. Similar to VIX®, the price of S&P 500 tail risk is
calculated from the prices of S&P 500 out-of-the-money options. SKEW typically ranges from 100 to 150. A SKEW value of 100 means
that the perceived distribution of S&P 500 log-returns is normal, and the probability of outlier returns is therefore negligible.
As SKEW rises above 100, the left tail of the S&P 500 distribution acquires more weight, and the probabilities of outlier returns
become more significant.
|Credits: Simon Maierhofer|
|Credit Suisse (Oct 2015) - Just 0.7% of the world's adult population owns almost half of the world's wealth, while the bottom 71% |
have less than USD 10,000 each. That poorest two-thirds of the population own a 3% sliver of the world's wealth, and inequality is rising.
Saturday, October 10, 2015
|"Better light a candle |
than curse the dark."
The main political issue was the incessant private warfare of the Zhou dynasty military nobility, which served no useful purpose, but kept the country weak and divided, with no effective central government. According to Confucius, bad government derived from the fact that rulers and high officials lacked the character and qualifications to serve the common good.
|Sun Yat-Sen, Provisional President, |
Republic of China (1912), the first
Republic in Asia: "Of the people, by
the people, for the people."
“It is difficult to expect anything from men who stuff themselves with food the whole day, while never using their minds in any way at all. Even gamblers do something, and to that degree are better than these idlers.”
Like Plato he argued that government needs to be in the hands of the most capable and competent. Ability has nothing to do with birth, nobility, or wealth, but depends on character and knowledge alone, which in turn are the results of education. Confucius called for careers open to talent, in which appointment and advancement would be based on ability, not on property, hereditary rank and title. Contrary to this, oligarchy represents an irrational principle based on domination and repression, justified neither by merit and ability, nor by the results achieved.
Thursday, October 8, 2015
|Credits: Larry Edelson|
|Credits: UBS (2012)|
|Credits: The visual Capitalist|
The Asia-Pacific region, which currently makes up only 4.8% of the world’s middle-class spending, will balloon to the biggest spender by far in 2030 at 32.6%. For comparison, North America will jump from 5.5% to 5.8% in that same time period.
There is plenty of money to be made as well. Ultra high net worth individuals, defined as people with over $30 million in assets, will soar in these countries in the coming years. For example, in Africa as a whole, the amount of these individuals will grow 59% over the next decade, compared to the average global rate of 34% growth.
Wednesday, October 7, 2015
|In André Barbault's Cyclic Index better times are at the highs, bad times at the lows. In Claude Ganeau's Index of Cyclic Equilibrium |
general mundane circumstances are considered to be better above the zero-line. Periods below the zero-line are generally less favorable
and oftentimes coincide with major military conflicts. See also HERE + HERE
Tuesday, October 6, 2015
Monday, October 5, 2015
|Calculated with Timing Solution|
Inspired by André Barbault's Cyclic Index, back in the 1970s French astrologer Claude Ganeau (1912-1991) developed a method of determining periods on Earth that were positive or negative, and termed this “Index of Cyclic Equilibrium”. Time has always been measured by the Moon’s cycle. This begins with the New Moon, when the Sun and Moon are conjunct. The waxing phase is from the New Moon to the Full Moon, while the waning phase is from the Full Moon to the New Moon. The waxing phase is one of growth and positive vibrations, while the waning phase is one of decay and negative vibrations. Claude Ganeau applied this principle to the ten cycles of the outer planets, from Jupiter to Pluto, and explained:
“The stability or instability of the world is directly related to the difference in the sum of the phases of all waxing cycles of the five outer planets, and the sum of the phases of waning cycles of planets. While the resultant figure remains positive, the earth will tend to experience relative stability and a period of evolution; when the resultant figure is negative the earth enters a period of crisis and involution.”He calculated his Index of Cyclic Equilibrium for 1900 to 1999 and found a remarkable correlation with the state of the world in terms of war and peace, prosperity and depression, and several other factors. For example, the index accurately forecasted WWI, WWII, the Korean War, and the Vietnam War. It also pinned the Iranian Revolution, the Russian Afghanistan War, the Irak-Iran War, the 1st and the 2nd Gulf Wars, the so called Arab Spring, Libya, Syria, and Ukraine Wars. In 2015 the Index of Cyclic Equilibrium plunges back into negative territory again, and will remain there into 2021. After 2021 the breakdown and collapse of the unipolar world order should be followed by a period of global post-war recovery, growth, prosperity and the establishment of a more beneficial multi-polar international regime anchored on Eurasian powers.
|Claude Ganeau's original 'Indice d'Equilibre Cyclique' for the XXth century.|
|'Indice de Concentration Planétaire' 1485-1983 of Henri-Joseph Gouchon (1898-1978), André Barbault's and Claude Ganeau's common inspirator.|