Cyclic Index of Global Tension, Conflict and War | Max Tension in March 2022

 

André Barbault’s Cyclic Index of Global Tension, Conflict, and War comprises the cumulative angular distances between all planets from Jupiter through Pluto. When the graph reaches a low point, it signifies the presence of one or more conjunctions among these five outer bodies—alignments that tend to concentrate global turbulence. Conversely, an ascending graph indicates a progression toward planetary oppositions. While these low points reflect eras of heightened international, economic, and social tension, the peaks typically forecast the opposite. Notably, the index marked its lowest point of the entire 21st century in mid-March 2022.

 

See also: 

TPR (2012) - André Barbault's Cyclic Index of Global Tension, Conflict, and War.  

TPR (2015) - André Barbault's Cyclic Index of Global Tension, Conflict, and War 1900 - 2100. 

TPR (2015) - Barbault's Cyclic Index and Ganeau's Index of Cyclic Equilibrium from 1700 to 2050. 

TPR ( 2015) - Claude Ganeau's Index of Cyclic Equilibrium from 1900 to 2100. 

Barbault's Cyclic Index and Ganeau's Index of Cyclic Equilibrium | 1700 - 2050

In André Barbault's Cyclic Index better times are at the highs, bad times at the lows. In Claude Ganeau's Index of Cyclic Equilibrium general mundane circumstances are considered to be better above the zero-line. Periods below the zero-line are generally less favorable and oftentimes coincide with major military conflicts. See also HERE + HERE

 

 

 

 

 

See also:

TPR (2015) - André Barbault's Cyclic Index of Global Tension, Conflict and War 1900 - 2100. 

TPR (2012) - André Barbault's Cyclic Index of Global Tension, Conflict, and War. 

TPR ( 2015) - Claude Ganeau's Index of Cyclic Equilibrium from 1900 to 2100. 

TPR (2022) - Cyclic Index of Global Tension, Conflict and War: Maximum Tension in March 2022.

Claude Ganeau's Index of Cyclic Equilibrium | 1900 - 2100

Inspired by André Barbault's Cyclic Index, back in the 1970s French astrologer Claude Ganeau (1912-1991) developed a method of determining periods on Earth that were positive or negative, and termed this “Index of Cyclic Equilibrium”. 

Time has always been measured by the Moon’s cycle. This begins with the New Moon, when the Sun and Moon are conjunct. The waxing phase is from the New Moon to the Full Moon, while the waning phase is from the Full Moon to the New Moon. The waxing phase is one of growth and positive vibrations, while the waning phase is one of decay and negative vibrations. 

Claude Ganeau applied this principle to the ten cycles of the outer planets, from Jupiter to Pluto, and explained:

“The stability or instability of the world is directly related to the difference in the sum of the phases of all waxing cycles of the five outer planets, and the sum of the phases of waning cycles of planets. While the resultant figure remains positive, the earth will tend to experience relative stability and a period of evolution; when the resultant figure is negative the earth enters a period of crisis and involution.”

He calculated his Index of Cyclic Equilibrium for 1900 to 1999 and found a remarkable correlation with the state of the world in terms of war and peace, prosperity and depression, and several other factors. For example, the index accurately forecasted WWI, WWII, the Korean War, and the Vietnam War. 

It also pinned the Iranian Revolution, the Russian Afghanistan War, the Irak-Iran War, the 1st and the 2nd Gulf Wars, the so called Arab Spring, Libya, Syria, and Ukraine Wars. In 2015 the Index of Cyclic Equilibrium plunges back into negative territory again, and will remain there into 2021. 

 

After 2021 the breakdown and collapse of the unipolar world order should be followed by a period of global post-war recovery, growth, prosperity and the establishment of a more beneficial multi-polar international regime anchored on Eurasian powers.

 

Claude Ganeau's original 'Indice d'Equilibre Cyclique' for the XXth century.

 

 'Indice de Concentration Planétaire' 1485-1983 of Henri-Joseph Gouchon (1898-1978),
André Barbault's and Claude Ganeau's common inspirator.

 

See also: 

TPR (2015) - Barbault's Cyclic Index and Ganeau's Index of Cyclic Equilibrium from 1700 to 2050. 

TPR ( 2015) - Claude Ganeau's Index of Cyclic Equilibrium from 1900 to 2100. 

TPR (2012) - André Barbault's Cyclic Index of Global Tension, Conflict, and War.  

André Barbault's Cyclic Index of Global Tension, Conflict and War 1900 - 2100

André Barbault’s Cyclic Index of Global Tension, Conflict, and War from 1900 to 2100.

 

André Barbault’s Cyclic Index of Global Tension, Conflict, and War represents a composite of the angular distances among the five outer planets. Within the framework of mundane astrology, Pluto, Neptune, and Uranus are identified as "collective planets," as their slow-moving cycles correspond to broad cultural and historical epochs. In contrast, Saturn and Jupiter are categorized as "social planets," which relate more directly to sociopolitical and economic developments. 

 

André Barbault's original Cyclic Index (Indice de concentration planetaire) for the 20th century.

 

See also: 

TPR (2015) - Barbault's Cyclic Index and Ganeau's Index of Cyclic Equilibrium from 1700 to 2050. 

TPR ( 2015) - Claude Ganeau's Index of Cyclic Equilibrium from 1900 to 2100. 

TPR (2022) - Cyclic Index of Global Tension, Conflict, and War: Maximum Tension in March 2022.

André Barbault's Cyclic Index of Global Tension, Conflict, and War

André Barbault’s Cyclic Index represents one of the most rigorous attempts to quantify the relationship between planetary movements and the macro-scale tides of human history, particularly regarding the universal concern for war and peace. While the technique was originally designed by the French astrologer Henri-Joseph Gouchon as a way of plotting planetary activity to reflect periods of stability or turbulence, it was Barbault who publicized, refined, and became the recognized leader in the field. 

 

André Barbault's Cyclic Index of Global Tension, Conflict and War, 1980 to 2025.

 

This concept is rooted in mundane astrology, yet its construction is purely mathematical, focusing on the five outer planets from Jupiter to Pluto. Barbault sought to move away from the interpretation of individual aspects toward a holistic, quantitative measurement of what he termed planetary concentration or dispersal. He laid out the technical framework for this model in his 1967 foundational work Les Astres et l'Histoire, published by Pauvert, and expanded it in his 1979 definitive textbook L’Astrologie Mondiale.

The calculation of the index is straightforward and reveals a profound geometric pattern. It is the sum of the angular degree distances between all ten possible pairs of the five outer planets: Jupiter to Saturn, Jupiter to Uranus, Jupiter to Neptune, Jupiter to Pluto, Saturn to Uranus, Saturn to Neptune, Saturn to Pluto, Uranus to Neptune, Uranus to Pluto, and Neptune to Pluto. To track this over time, all degree distances are measured and totaled for every year involved. Barbault emphasized that one should use a consistent date for every measurement, such as January 1st, to ensure technical accuracy. Barbault refined Gouchon’s original work—which only applied the method to the "big four" planets—by incorporating Pluto to increase the model's resolution.

Barbault’s core hypothesis posits that when the outer planets cluster together in the same region of the sky—a phenomenon driven by multiple concurrent conjunctions—the sum drops significantly, creating a deep trough. These low points reflect conditions of turbulence, intense global tension, and major wars. As the graph ascends, it indicates the planets are moving toward oppositions, leading to peaks. These peaks typically coincide with periods of international stability, economic expansion, and general optimism. The logic is that the concentration of these heavy planetary energies focuses collective human experience into a narrow, pressurized window, leading to the collapse of old orders. However, the index does not make exact predictions; rather, it shows the overall climate of world events and the economy. A recognized weakness in the graph is that it contains no representation for square aspects, which can occasionally trigger outbreaks of conflict even when the index is not at a trough.

Les Astres et l'Histoire, 1967.

Historically, the correlation of the index is striking. It showed massive collapses leading into 1914 and 1939, aligning with the outbreaks of both World Wars. A particularly deep trough occurred in the early 1980s during a period of heightened Cold War tension and economic restructuring. Barbault famously used this model to forecast the 1989-1991 collapse of the Soviet Union, identifying a major convergence of outer planet cycles during that window. Barbault often emphasized that the specific planets driving a trough dictate its quality; for instance, a trough dominated by Saturn and Pluto tends to be more restrictive and grim, whereas one involving Jupiter and Uranus might involve more explosive, sudden revolutions.

L'Astrologie Mondiale, 1979.

Barbault’s career was marked by significant professional influence. Between 1953 and 1967, he served as the vice-chairman of the Centre International d'Astrologie (CIA). In 1967, he undertook the first-ever application of computer technology to astrology through Ordinastral Astroflash, an international business that placed his work within the electronic orbit. Since that same year, Barbault also served as the chief editor of the magazine L'Astrologue, published by Éditions Traditionnelles. 

 

See also:

TPR (2015) - Barbault's Cyclic Index and Ganeau's Index of Cyclic Equilibrium from 1700 to 2050. 

TPR ( 2015) - Claude Ganeau's Index of Cyclic Equilibrium from 1900 to 2100. 

TPR (2022) - Cyclic Index of Global Tension, Conflict and War: Maximum Tension in March 2022.

Robert D. Doolaard (2006) - Waves of Wars 1700–2000.

 André Barbault (1993) - L'avenir du monde selon l'astrologie.

André Barbault (1990) - History of a Prediction.