Friday, April 5, 2024

Compassion, Love and Truth | Princess Vittoria Alliata di Villafranca

The compassion we are speaking of, this rahmah that marks the beginning of every sura of the Quran, was translated as “true charity” or “purest love” by famous Catholic prelates and French theologians of the XVIIth century. They had heard of a great woman saint discovered by the crusaders among the Saracens of Palestine and, believing her to be a Christian, they devoted monumental eulogies to none other than Rabia al-‘Adawyya, describing her as the “portrait of true compassion”. This remarkable woman, whose passionate poems are still memorized and chanted from Malaysia to Mauretania, is known in Islam as shahidat al-‘ishq al-ilahi, the true witness of God’s love.

 » In the West as in the East, the virtues of compassion, true love, witnessing
Truth and dying for it have been recognized as an essentially feminine vocation.
«

But shahid does not only mean witness in Arabic. Just as in Greek, were the word martys - meaning witness - becomes martyr in the New Testament, the word shahid in the Quran denotes someone who dies out of devotion to God. The first martyr of Islam was a woman, Sumayya. She was the sixth person to embrace the faith, right after the beginning of the Revelation to Prophet Muhammad. She was tortured for days by the polytheists of Mecca under the blazing sun and finally stabbed and impaled with a spear in front of her young son. But she remained steadfast and died as a martyr, the everlasting first witness of Islam.

In my country, Sicily, the patron saints, miraculous healers whose sacred veils protect from earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, breast cancer and rape, are all women, young virgins starved to death or blinded or burnt alive or torn apart for their fortitude and determination. Their luminous path is still very much alive in our people. It would therefore seem that through the ages and across religions, in the West as in the East, the virtues of compassion, true love, witnessing Truth and dying for it have been recognized as an essentially feminine vocation.

February 26, 2024.

And yet, when a year and a half ago Darya Dugina, a young philosopher who represented Europe at its best, with her ability to fuse Greek metaphysics and Christian tradition, was brutally murdered in a terrorist attack, no Roman prelate celebrated her as the champion of devotion, no outraged feminist called for international sanctions for the crime, no NGO nominated her for a human rights award.  
 
Why? Is it just because Darya was Russian and proud to be part of a nation which she described as “capable of compassion and empathy”? Is it because according to her, unlike the competing Western “wolf-man”, the Russian soul has a softness, a lack of rigid rationality, which it turns into strength, reconnecting the world and healing its wounds?

  » She had revealed the imperative choice that awaits all women today. «

No. It is not so. Nobody had taken the pain to listen to this extraordinary polyglot philosopher, who was also an athletic, elegant, artistic, modern woman. Darya's desire for perfection and beauty and her eagerness to contemplate the absolute essence of Truth were simply hidden behind the appearance of a young journalist. Like all her martyred predecessors, she was an ancilla abscondita, a devoted servant of God protected behind a veil of normality.

It was only when, confronting the Empire of Chaos, Darya raised her name Platonova like a flag to affirm that being a woman today means choosing between two opposite archetypes, that finally the enemy noticed her. Because she had revealed the imperative choice that awaits all women today. The deadly and compelling confrontation that should have remained concealed under gender issues and feminist grievances. Either to be allured by the triumphant role model of Dido, the Phoenician queen who invoked the forces of the underworld to curse with a satanic ritual her lover Aeneas, that she failed to distract from his divine mission. Or to follow at tremendous risk the sacred path of Dante’s Beatrice, the Perfect Being who leads her man beyond the highest levels of Paradise up to the contemplation of the Holy Throne.

Daria has shown us the way to follow if we seek to build the multipolar world from above, contemplating the stars and leaving the sewers behind. It is the duty of all us women who are here today and believe that compassion is our mission and tradition our steed, to pick up the torch of charity and devotion. That inner flame of the heart that preserved Daria’s body and kept it intact, miraculously uncorrupted by the murderous fire, will lead us and protect us. It is up to us to pick it up and carry it on, right now, lighting the path of mankind, blacked out by violence, ambition and arrogance. 
 

Wednesday, April 3, 2024

ICT Syllabus for Beginners - How to Study ICT on YouTube | Darya Filipenka

This is my personal recommendation to study the ICT YouTube channel. I truly believe that this information is enough to understand how the ICT concepts works.  
 
 
ICT Syllabus for Beginners:

Part 1: 
Part 2: 
After Month 7: 
Part 3: 
Part 4: 
Part 5: Market Maker Models

ICT NY Midnight Open and the Previous Day's High and Low | Darya Filipenka

This is how I incorporate the New York Midnight Open (NMO) level when I prepare my premarket plan. This also helps me to predict possible trend day. Previous highs and lows are important in trading as they can indicate potential market reversals or continuation of a trend. When the market has a predisposed bias or trend, you want to focus on the previous day's high or low. If the market reaches the previous day's high and you're bullish, you want to see if it creates an optimal trade entry. Many times, this formation forms throughout the week in various currencies and assets. There are instances where the market raids the previous day's highs for buy stops and previous day's lows for sell stops. Not every previous day's high or low is the same in terms of opportunity, but there's a criteria to look for when seeking liquidity resting above or below these levels. Understanding the conditions that lead to a raid on buy stops above the previous day's high or sell stops below the previous day's low can help you identify potential market reversals.
 
PDH = Previous Day's High
PDL = Previous Day's Low 
PDA = Premium and Discount Arrays as a guide to determine where to buy and sell
 
Quoted from:
 

ICT Trading on NFP and FOMC Days | Darya Filipenka

 
» We wait for that initial run. 
I don't care if it goes higher or lower. 
I do know that the first run is generally the fake move. 
It's like a Judas swing
And then they keep it where it ran to. « 
 
Michael J. Huddleston, 2023

 

ICT Redelivered Rebalanced Premium-Discount Array | Darya Filipenka

A bullish price range is a portion of price action that shows an upward movement, followed by a downward movement, and then another upward movement. This creates a balanced price range where the price action has delivered buy side, sell side, and then buy side again.
 
On the other hand, a bearish price range is a portion of price action that exhibits a downward movement, followed by an upward movement, and then another downward movement. This creates a balanced price range where the price action has delivered sell side, buy side, and then sell side again. 
 

The redelivered rebalanced PD array is depicted with candlesticks, showing the sequence of price moves: up, down, and then up again for a bullish array, and down, up, and then down again for a bearish array. This portion of price action represents a balanced price range.

Imagine the candlestick chart showing this sequence. The first candle goes up, offering buy-side, then goes all the way down to provide sell-side, closing at the bottom. Inside this candle’s wick, we see both buy-side and sell-side. The next candle opens, offering buy-side again, completing the balanced price range. This area of price action is fully balanced.

Now, here comes the interesting part. When there's a balanced price range below a fair value gap, the gap can stay open. This is what we call a breakaway gap. On the other hand, if there's a balanced price range above a gap, it becomes a bearish rebalance redelivered price area, and the gap may not need to be retested.

 
Reference: 

ICT Fair Value Gap | Darya Filipenka

A Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a price action phenomenon that is usually illustrated using three consecutive candles when the wicks of the two candles sandwiching the third candle fail to meet or overlap. A Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a range in Price Delivery where one side of the Market Liquidity is offered and typically confirmed with a Liquidity Void on the Lower Time Frame Charts in the same range of Price. Price can actually “gap” to create a literal vacuum of Trading thus posting an actual Price Gap. It occurs when price leaves a specific level where there’s less trading activity seen and only has a one-directional price movement.
 
 The key point in identifying FVGs is that the gap is only calculated by the impulse up or down candle, 
and the candles on either side of that move. Everything else does not contribute towards that gap.

A Liquidity Void is a range in price where one side of the market liquidity is shown in wide or long one-sided ranges or candles. It occurs when the market aggressively moves away from a consolidation, creating a void of buy-side liquidity. This means that very little buying took place during the price movement. The nature of a liquidity void is that, with a high probability, the price will eventually move back up and trade over the same price levels that were previously void of liquidity. The idea behind FVGs is that the market will eventually come back to these inefficiencies in the market before continuing in the same direction as the initial impulsive move. FVGs are important since traders can achieve an edge in the market. Price action traders can also use these imbalances as entry or exit points in the market.

BISI = Buyside Imbalance and Sellside Inefficiency 
SIBI = Sellside Imbalance Buyside Inefficiency. 
 
A Bullish FVG is a BISI. A FVG is made up of 3 consecutive candlesticks. In a BISI, it starts with the high of candle #1 which will be the FVG low and ends with the low of candle #3 which is the FVG High. A Bullish FVG gets created when the low of candle #3 doesn't overlap the high of candle #1. This happens when there is a displacement in price from candle #2. It is called a Buyside Imbalance Sellside Inefficiency (BISI) because during candle number 2 there is only buyside offered to the market so there's a Buyside Imbalance and because there's no sellside being offered there's a Sellside Inefficiency.

A Bearish FVG is a SIBI. A SIBI starts at the low of candle #1 which is the FVG High and ends with the high of candle #3 which is the FVG Low. A Bearish FVG is created when the high of candle #3 doesn't overlap the low of candle #1. This happens from the displacement of candle #2. It is called a Sellside Imbalance Buyside Inefficiency (SIBI) because during candle #2 there was only sellside offered to the market so there's a Sellside Imbalance and because there is no buyside being offered there's a Buyside Inefficiency.
 
  

Inverted FVG - When price use SIBI (Bearish FVG) as support and when price uses BISI (Bullish FVG) as resistance. In other words word, inverted FVGs are failed Fair Value Gaps that get retraced into later in price. We consider Inverted FVG only when:

1. Bullish FVG formed inside Premium Zone (above Equilibrium).
2. Bearish FVG formed inside Discount Zine (below Equilibrium).
 
Most of the time Bullish FVG that was formed inside Premium Zone will fail to give us reaction when price comes back to that FVG. We want to see price goes lower and bounce back right to this FVG to continue sell off. In this case that Bullish FVG becomes Resistance and I would say Strong Resistance. Exactly the same for the Bearish FVG that was formed inside Discount Zone — we want to see price is trading higher to break this FVG and makes it invalid then retest of this zone again and continue move up. This FVG becomes Support Zone.

Implied Fair Value Gap - it utilizes two wicks and their respective Consequent Encroachment. An Implied Fair Value Gap (IFVG) is an imbalance formation consisting of three candles, as conceptualized by ICT. It involves identifying a larger candle body and measuring the average between the two adjacent candle shadows.

Criteria:
1. Big range candle.
2. Does NOT have a FVG.
3. Candles on either side have long wicks that overlap “Implied FVG”.
Steps:
1. Find Consequent Encroachment of left candles lower wick.
2. Find Consequent Encroachment of right candles upper wick.
3. Space between C.E. wicks is “Implied FVG”.

Balanced Price Range — is the common area between 2 opposite Fair Value Gaps when they overlap each other. This overlapping of the FVGs called double FVG. BPR is the result of an aggressive move up that’s immediately followed by an aggressive move down or an aggressive move down that’s immediately followed by an aggressive move up. What's left after either of these instances is essentially a double Fair Value Gap which can act as a magnet to the price before a continuation move higher or lower. You have to have HTF Point of Interest. Don’t enter blindly into the trade which is have BPR if you don’t know bias for the day. ICT states that in order for price to become a balanced price range it must trade through both directions of the price window. As you can see price traded through the overlapping gaps, rebalancing and redelivering creating a balanced price range. Once we redeliver, expect price to move away aggressively from the gap. 
 
Reference: 

Monday, April 1, 2024

Solunar Rhythm, Cosmic Cluster Days & Sensitive Sun Degrees | April 2024

 
 
The SoLunar Rhythm in April 2024.
 
[ oftentimes true : ]
In Bull Markets, New Moons are Bottoms, and Full Moons are Tops. 
In Bear Markets, New Moons are Tops, and Full Moons are Bottoms.
 
ooo0ooo
 
 
ooo0ooo
 
 Mar 16 (Sat)
Apr 04 (Thu)
Apr 07 (Sun)
Apr 15 (Mon)
Apr 21 (Sun)
Apr 26 (Fri)
May 15 (Wed)
 
 
 
 
 
2024 03 31 (Sun) = SUN @ 11 ARI = 11 degrees     positive
2024 04 07 (Sun) = SUN @ 18 ARI = 18 degrees     negative
2024 04 13 (Sat) = SUN @ 24 ARI = 24 degrees     negative
2024 04 26 (Fri) = SUN @ 6 TAU = 36 degrees     negative
2024 05 01 (Wed) = SUN @ 12 TAU = 42 degrees     neutral
 

The Path of the Moon's Shadow during the April 8 Total Solar Eclipse


During the Great North American Total Solar Eclipse on April 8 (a Monday) 2024 the path of totality of the Moon's shadow runs northeast across the Pacific Ocean, Sinaloa, Texas, Upstate New York, Newfoundland, the Labrador Sea, and the North Atlantic Ocean. For some moment Nazas in Durango will be the darkest place on Earth. And the invisible true lunar nodes are performing their particular choreography again.

Friday, March 29, 2024

The Baltimore Bridge Moment


Priceless. A gem for historians.

Crude Oil's 10-Year Leading Indication for US Stock Market | Tom McClellan

One of the big picture forecasting tools is crude oil prices as a leading indication for the overall stock market. The first chart shows crude oil prices back to 1890 compared to the Dow Jones Industrial Average plotted on logarithmic scales. The price of crude oil is shifted forward by 10 years. The correlation isn't always perfect, but generally speaking, when there is a rise in crude oil prices, 10 years later, there is a rise in the stock market. When crude oil prices go flat, the stock market goes flat. 


We are not yet quite at that 10 year echo point in stocks, which would equate to June of 2024, 10 years after crude oil peaked. That means the next few years are not going to be so great, especially between now and early 2026. Early 2026 will be a great time for investors to ride the stock market long all the way to 2028. 
 

 

Wednesday, March 27, 2024

ICT Silver Bullet Strategy | Darya Filipenka

The ICT Silver Bullet Strategy is a time-based algorithmic trading model for all assets. For the 10 AM Silver Bullet strategy, focus on 10-11 AM, using fair value gaps and Fibonacci levels for entry/stop adjustments, aiming for a minimum 3R risk-reward, and exit by 11 AM to maximize profits and minimize risks. 
 

3:00 AM - 4:00 AM New York Time
  1. A Silver Bullet trade begins with a directional move either up or down.
  2. Fair Value Gap (FVG): After the directional move, a Fair Value Gap is left behind. This gap is an important indicator for the Silver Bullet trade.
  3. Market Structure Shift (MSS) after taking liquidity. A Market Structure Shift is a shift in direction of price delivery. When price is going in a direction and shifts to the exactly opposite. It occurs when price takes out previous short-term lows or highs within a trend. Identifying these shifts allows for an understanding on which side of the market to be trading with. A Market Structure Shift must be energetic and leave behind displacement to ensure that market is looking to reverse.
  4. Displacement is a location in price where someone with a lot of money comes into the marketplace with a strong conviction to move price higher or lower very quickly. Displacement is characterized by strong and quick price movement that leave behind Fair Value Gaps.
  5. Entering the Fair Value Gap: Once the Fair Value Gap is identified, we enter inside it. This means we take a position in the market.
  6. Target and Exit: I aim for Asian Session Liquidity Level or Higher Time Frame Premium/Discount levels.
10:00 AM - 11:00 AM New York Time
The first thing we think about is the previous New York PM session. If, within the first 30 minutes after the market opens, we're not close to the PM range, we focus on the London Session Raid. This refers to the time between 2:00 AM and 5:00 AM, which is shown on the ETH chart. During the first 30 minutes after the market opens at 9:30 AM, we check where we stand compared to the previous PM session or London session. The market might go up or down, or it might stay stable. Then we wait for the Displacement between 10:00 AM and 11:00 AM, which sets the stage for the Silver Bullet setup.
  1. Every day between 10 AM and 11 AM EST, identify an obvious pool of liquidity that has not been tapped into or engaged.
  2. Wait for displacement (use 1-3-5 minute charts) towards liquidity pool between that time. Find a Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the opposite of the targeted liquidity pool.
  3. Wait for price to trade back into the Fair Value Gap and then reprice out of the FVG towards the targeted pool of liquidity.
After identifying the Market Structure Shift (MSS), I recommend drawing an Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) retracement from the Swing Low (High) to the Swing High (Low). The optimal entry point for trades is typically at the 62% retracement level of that range. Once the trade is entered, the first target is typically set at the -27% extension level, and the second target is set at the -62% extension level.

2:00 PM - 3:00 PM New York Time
The first thing we focus on is the morning and lunch time trading sessions. Our goal is to identify the AM Session Buy Side and Sell Side Liquidity (BSL/SSL) or Lunch BSL/SSL once the PM Session starts (from 1:30 PM to 4:00 PM). This will serve as our reversal point during the afternoon Silver Bullet, where our target will be the opposite liquidity of the lunch/AM session. If it's Friday, our target can be 20-30% of the weekly range. This is known as the T.G.I.F. setup according to ICT.
  1. We wait for the Displacement between 2 PM and 3 PM EST, which sets the stage for the Silver Bullet setup.
  2. We look for a clear pool of untapped liquidity. It's recommended to pay attention to the liquidity levels during the AM and Lunch sessions.
  3. Find a Fair Value Gap.
  4. Wait for the price to trade back into the FVG and then move out of the FVG towards the targeted pool of liquidity.
Once again, we usually consider the AM Session BSL/SSL or NY Lunch BSL/SSL as our clear liquidity pool that has been taken. Then we wait for Market Structure Shift (MSS) and displacement.
 
Consider the 6 hour, the 90 minute, and the 22.5 minute cycles.
Expect highs and lows on the 1 minute chart around Micro-Quarter turns.

Reference: 

Tom Cotton │ Xi Jinping


»
Don’t take it the wrong way.
You guys seem smart, but you keep funding utterly dumb and clownish politicians in your country. 
What’s up with that? In China, Tom Cotton wouldn’t even be a village chief. «
 
President Xi Jinping, while meeting with US corporate leaders in Beijing. - March 2024