Saturday, June 1, 2019

S&P 500 Index vs Jupiter – Saturn Cycle | June 2019

Recent and upcoming turn-days:
May 31 (Fri), Jun 05 (Wed), Jun 11 (Tue), Jun 17 (Mon),
Jun 21 (Fri),
Jun 25 (Tue), Jun 29 (Sat), Jul 04 (Thu)
.

Previous turn-days HERE

S&P 500 Index vs Cosmic Cluster Days | June 2019

Recent and upcoming Cosmic Cluster Days into early April 2019 are:
Jun 3-5 (Mon-Wed), Jun 7 (Fri), Jun 9-10 (Sun-Mon),
Jun 20 (Thu), Jun 28 (Fri), Jul 03 (Wed), Jul 8-9 (Mon-Tue).
Previous CCDs are HERE

S&P 500 Index vs SoLunar Map | June 2019

Recent and upcoming SoLunar Turn-Days into early July 2019 are:
Jun 03 (Mon), Jun 06 (Thu), Jun 10 (Mon), Jun 13 (Thu),
Jun 17 (Mon), Jun 21 (Fri), Jun 24 (Mon), Jun 28 (Fri), Jul 02 (Sat), Jul 06 (Sat).
Previous SoLunar Maps HERE

Monday, May 13, 2019

S&P 500 Index vs Jupiter – Saturn Cycle | May 2019

Recent and upcoming turn-days:
Apr 27 (Sat), May 02 (Thu), May 07 (Tue), May 10 (Fri), May 14 (Tue),
May 21 (Tue), May 26 (Sun), May 31 (Fri), Jun 05 (Wed).

Previous turn-days HERE

S&P 500 Index vs SoLunar Map | May 2019

Cosmic Cluster Days | May 2019

Upcoming Cosmic Cluster Days into mid June 2019:
May 18 (Sat), May 30 (Thu), Jun 3-5 (Mon-Wed), Jun 7 (Fri), Jun 9-19 (Sun-Mon).
Previous CCDs are HERE

Wednesday, March 6, 2019

Eleven Fiscal Commandments for Modern Governance | Amilcare Puviani

Financial Theory of Illusion (1903) by Prof. Amilcare Puviani (1854 - 1907)

Answering to the question: “If a government were trying to squeeze as much money as possible out of a population, what would it do?", Italian economist Amilcare Puviani elaborated the following canon of eleven fiscal commandments for modern governance
  1. The use of indirect rather than direct taxes, so that the tax is hidden in the price of goods.
  2. Inflation, by which the state reduces the value of everyone else's currency.
  3. Borrowing, so as to postpone the necessary taxation. 
  4. Gift and luxury taxes, where the tax accompanies the receipt or purchase of something special, lessening the annoyance of the tax. 
  5. "Temporary” taxes, which somehow never get repealed when the emergency passes. 
  6. Taxes that exploit social conflict, by placing higher taxes on unpopular groups. 
  7. The threat of social collapse or withholding monopoly government services if taxes are reduced. 
  8. Collection of the total tax burden in relatively small increments over time, rather than in a yearly lump sum. 
  9. Taxes whose exact incidence cannot be predicted in advance, thus keeping the taxpayer unaware of just how much he is paying. 
  10. Extraordinary budget complexity to hide the budget process from public understanding. 
  11. The use of generalized expenditure categories to make it difficult for outsiders to assess the individual components of the budget.”

Monday, March 4, 2019

S&P 500 Index vs Jupiter – Saturn Cycle | March 2019

Recent and upcoming turn-days:
Feb 26 (Tue), Mar 02 (Sat), Mar 07 (Thu), Mar 10 (Sun), Mar 14 (Thu),
Mar 20 (Wed), Mar 24 (Sun), Mar 28 (Thu), Apr 02 (Tue), Apr 06 (Sat).
Previous turn-days HERE

Saturday, February 2, 2019

Cosmic Cluster Days | February - March 2019

Recent and upcoming Cosmic Cluster Days into early April 2019 are:
Jan 24 (Thu), Feb 02 (Sat), Feb 09 (Sat), Feb 14 (Thu),
Feb 17 (Sun), Feb 19 (Tue), Mar 08 (Fri), Mar 11 (Mon),
Mar 17 (Sun), Mar 29 (Fri), Mar 31 (Sun), Apr 04 (Thu).
Previous CCDs are HERE

SoLunar Map | February - March 2019

Recent and upcoming SoLunar Turn-Days into early April 2019 are:
Feb 01 (Fri), Feb 04 (Mon), Feb 08 (Fri), Feb 12 (Tue),
Feb 15 (Fri), Feb 19 (Tue), Feb 23 (Sat), Feb 27 (Wed),
Mar 02 (Sat), Mar 05-06 (Tue-Wed), Mar 09 (Sat), Mar 13-14 (Wed-Thu),
Mar 17 (Sun), Mar 20 (Wed), Mar 24 (Sun), Mar 28 (Thu), Apr 01 (Mon).
Previous SoLunar Maps HERE
Review of S&P500 vs SoLunar Map | Preview for February 2019

Sunday, January 27, 2019

S&P 500 Index vs Jupiter – Saturn Cycle | February 2019

Recent and upcoming turn-days:
Jan 27 (Sun), Feb 01 (Fri), Feb 06 (Wed), Feb 12 (Tue), Feb 18 (Mon),
Feb 22 (Fri), Feb 26 (Tue), Mar 02 (Sat), Mar 07 (Thu).
Previous turn-days HERE

Friday, January 4, 2019

S&P 500 Index vs Jupiter – Saturn Cycle | January 2019

Recent and upcoming turn-days:
Jan 03 (Thu), Jan 08 (Tue), Jan 11 (Fri), Jan 15 (Tue),
Jan 22 (Tue), Jan 27 (Sun), Feb 01 (Fri).
Jan 03 (Thu) was a short term low in stocks; Jan 08 (Tue) should be a high, etc.
Previous turn-days HERE

S&P 500 Index vs Division of Solar Year starting from Earth’s Perihelion

32nd Harmonic of Solar Year 2019 | W.D. Gann's Natural Trading Days:
[ 1 Solar Year = 360 Degrees of the Sun's Geocentric Longitude / 32 = 11.25 Decimal Degrees ]
2019 Jan 03 (Thu) 12:19 [EST] = Earth's Perihelion
2019 Jan 14 (Mon) 17:41 = 11.25
2019 Jan 25 (Fri) 19:33 = 22.50
2019 Feb 06 (Wed) 01:22 = 33.75
2019 Feb 16 (Sat) 16:22 = 45.00
2019 Feb 28 (Thu) 00:30 = 56.25
2019 Mar 11 (Mon) 10:57 = 67.50
2019 Mar 22 (Fri) 22:14 = 78.75
2019 Apr 02 (Tue) 19:01 = 90.00
2019 Apr 14 (Sun) 09:42 = 101.25
2019 Apr 26 (Fri) 02:21 = 112.50
2019 May 07 (Tue) 20:36 = 123.75
2019 May 18 (Sat) 23:54 = 135.00
2019 May 30 (Thu) 21:04 = 146.25
2019 Jun 11 (Tue) 19:14 = 157.50
2019 Jun 23 (Sun) 18:17 = 168.75
2019 Jul 04 (Thu) 18:10 = 180.00 = Earth's Aphelion
2019 Jul 17 (Wed) 00:09 = 191.25
2019 Jul 28 (Sun) 23:09 = 202.50
2019 Aug 09 (Fri) 21:20 = 213.75
2019 Aug 21 (Wed) 01:59 = 225.00
2019 Sep 01 (Sun) 21:49 = 236.25
2019 Sep 13 (Fri) 16:10 = 247.50
2019 Sep 25 (Wed) 08:48 = 258.75
2019 Oct 06 (Sun) 07:16 = 270.00
2019 Oct 17 (Thu) 20:22 = 281.25
2019 Oct 29 (Tue) 07:33 = 292.50
2019 Nov 09 (Sat) 16:05 = 303.75
2019 Nov 20 (Wed) 08:20 = 315.00
2019 Dec 01 (Sun) 15:07 = 326.25
2019 Dec 12 (Thu) 21:02 = 337.50
2019 Dec 24 (Tue) 02:14 = 348.75

2020 Jan 05 (Sun) 02:21 = 360 = Earth's Perihelion

Sunday, December 30, 2018

S&P 500 Index vs Average Annual Cycle | Turning Points 2019

The above chart shows the Average Annual Cycle based on S&P 500 Index close values from 1950 to 2018.
Upcoming important turning points in this cycle during 2019 are:
Jan 07 (Mon) High
Jan 14 (Mon) Low
Jan 25 (Fri) High
Feb 09 (Sat) Low
Mar 12 (Tue) High
Mar 29 (Thu) Low
Jun 08 (Sat) High
Jul 01 (Mon) Low
Aug 29 (Thu) High
Oct 28 (Mon) Low
Nov 08 (Fri) High
Dec 23 (Mon) Low

W.D. Gann's Mass Pressure Chart for 2019 | Review 2018

The concept of W.D. Gann's Mass Pressure Chart for stock indices HERE
Mass Pressure Charts vs US-stocks during previous years HERE
Mass Pressure Chart for US-stocks | 1st Quarter 2019
W.D. Gann's Mass Pressure Chart for 2018 vs S&P 500 Index | Review

Saturday, December 29, 2018

S&P 500 Index vs Equity Put / Call Ratio | Overbought

Up-Turn on Dec 26 (Wed) on decreasing volume
+ (P/C Ratio + RSI2 @ Extremes + NR4/NR7 + Negative Close above 3DMA)
= High + Sideways to Down on Dec 31 (Mon) into Jan 03 (Thu) = Perihelion |
Jan 5 (Sat) = New Moon + Solar Eclipse

S&P 500 vs 18.61 Year Cycle | Sideways to Down into Jan 03 - 09 (Thu-Wed)

The more precise 18.6 year projection HERE is suggesting a Dec 28 (Fri) High and a Jan 05 (Sat) Low.

Saturday, December 22, 2018

S&P 500 vs Planets under Fire | The Concept of Combustion

Indian astrology cultivates the idea that a planet in geocentric conjunction with the Sun is burned by
the massive heat and fire, hence it combusts, is losing its luster and shine, and becomes powerless.
The event is called combustion, and the affected planet becomes a combust planet. The Sanskrit word for
combustion is kopa, meaning angry. However, the chart above extends this concept of combustion by
the parallel of declination of planets and the Sun. A parallel aspect is formed between two planets
with the same declination or distance north or south of the ecliptic. If the planets are both North
or both South of the ecliptic, the parallel aspect is read as a conjunction. If they are the same
declination but one is North and one is South, then the contra-parallel is read as a 180 degree
opposition. These aspects are strongest when the orb is kept to 1 degree. They can also magnify the
intensity of any other aspect between the two planets or points. Planets in geocentric conjunctions
of longitude [000] and declination [#] with the Sun are:

2018 Oct 26 (Fri) 10:16 = SUN # VEN + SUN 000 VEN
2018 Nov 03 (Sat) 10:49 = SUN # VEN
2018 Nov 05 (Mon) 00:05 = SUN # MAR
2018 Nov 21 (Wed) 23:55 = SUN # JUP
2018 Nov 25 (Sun) 23:42 = SUN # MER
2018 Nov 26 (Mon) 01:33 = SUN # JUP + SUN 000 JUP
2018 Nov 27 (Tue) 04:14 = SUN # MER + SUN 000 MER

2018 Dec 02 (Sun) 18:33 = SUN # PLU
2018 Dec 07 (Fri) 11:00 = SUN # SAT

2018 Dec 31 (Mon) 07:37 = SUN # MER
2019 Jan 02 (Wed) 00:49 = SUN # SAT + SUN 000 SAT
2019 Jan 06 (Sun) 22:58 = SUN # SAT
2019 Jan 10 (Thu) 11:35 = SUN # PLU
2019 Jan 11 (Fri) 00:37 = SUN # JUP
2019 Jan 11 (Fri) 06:38 = SUN # PLU + SUN 000 PLU
2019 Jan 22 (Tue) 06:04 = SUN # VEN
2019 Jan 29 (Tue) 21:49 = SUN # MER + SUN 000 MER
2019 Feb 06 (Wed) 10:59 = SUN # MER
2019 Mar 04 (Mon) 10:51 = SUN # NEP
2019 Mar 06 (Wed) 20:00 = SUN # NEP + SUN 000 NEP
2019 Mar 14 (Thu) 21:46 = SUN # MER + SUN 000 MER

2019 Mar 18 (Mon) 11:24 = SUN # MER
2019 Mar 22 (Fri) 14:47 = SUN # CHI + SUN 000 CHI
2019 Mar 30 (Sat) 05:53 = SUN # CHI
2019 Apr 21 (Sun) 08:28 = SUN # URA
2019 Apr 22 (Mon) 19:07 = SUN # URA + SUN 000 URA
2019 May 21 (Tue) 09:06 = SUN 000 MER

Previous correlations between the stock market and combustion events HERE

Thursday, December 13, 2018

Contraction > Breakout > Expansion | Toby Crabel's Price Patterns

Larry Williams described all of market's action
in 8 patterns characterized by direction, contraction
and expansion (e.g. HERE)
In 1990 Toby Crabel published Day Trading With Short Term Price Patterns and Opening Range Breakout. The book is about the fundamental nature of price action, about contraction and expansion, the ebb and flow of price in all markets. Looking at daily bar charts, expect breakouts and / or changes in trend after the following price bar patterns:

Narrow Range (NR): A price bar's range less than the previous bar's range. The opposite of NR is Wide Spread (see below). NR is technically NR2 when compared to NR4, NR5, and NR7
(see below; more e.g. HERE).  

Narrow Range 4 (NR4): A price bar's range less than the previous 3 bars' ranges is the narrowest range in 4 days or NR4. The opposite is WS4 (see below; more e.g. HERE). 

On Dec 13 (Thu) the E-mini Nasdaq 100 Futures and other US stock indices performed a IDnr4 down day.

Narrow Range 5 (NR5): A price bar's range less than the previous 4 bars' ranges is the narrowest range in 5 days or NR5. The opposite is WS5.
 

Narrow Range 7 (NR7): A price bar's range less than the previous 6 bars' ranges is the narrowest range in 7 days or NR7. The opposite is WS7 (more e.g. HERE).

Wide Spread (WS): A price bar's range wider than the previous bar's range is a WS. The opposite is NR. WS is technically WS2 when compared to WS4, WS5, and WS7 (more e.g. HERE).
 

Wide Spread 4 (WS4): A price bar's range wider than the previous 3 bars' ranges is the widest range in 4 days or WS4. The opposite is NR4.
 

Wide Spread 5 (WS5): A price bar's range wider than the previous 4 bars' ranges is the widest range in 5 days or WS5. The opposite is NR5. 

Wide Spread 7
(WS7): A price bar's range wider than the previous 6 bars' ranges is the widest range in 7 days or WS7. The opposite is NR7.

Inside Day (ID): If the high of the current day is lower than the high of the previous day AND the low of the current day is higher than the low of the previous day we have an ID or Inside Day. The opposite is an OD (more e.g. HERE).

Outside Day (OD): If the high of the current day is higher than the high of the previous day AND the low of the current day is lower than the low of the previous day then we have an OD or Outside Day. The opposite is an ID
(more e.g. HERE).

Inside Day (ID) and NR4 (
IDnr4): An IDnr4 is a combination of an ID and a NR4. This happens when the current day's high is lower than the previous day's high AND the current day's low is higher than the previous day's low AND the range is the narrowest when compared to the previous 3 trading days (more e.g. HERE).

2 Bar Narrow Range (
2BNR): The 2-day-range (the higher of the 2 highs less the lower of the 2 lows) is the narrowest 2-day-range in the last 20 trading sessions.

3 Bar Narrow Range (3BNR): The 3-day-range (the higher of the 3 highs less the lower of the 3 lows) is the narrowest 3-day-range in the last 20 trading sessions.

4 Bar Narrow Range (
4BNR): The 4-day-range (the higher of the 4 highs less the lower of the 4 lows) is the narrowest 4-day-range in the last 30 trading sessions.

8 Bar Narrow Range (
8BNR): The 8-day-range (the higher of the 8 highs less the lower of the 8 lows) is the narrowest 8-day-range in the last 40 trading sessions.

BearHook: A NR with the Open less than the previous bar's Low AND the Close greater than the previous bar's Close (more
e.g. HERE).

BullHook: A NR with the Open greater than the previous bar's High AND the Close less than the previous bar's Close (more
e.g. HERE).

Stretch: The Stretch is calculated by taking the 10 period SMA of the absolute difference between the Open and either the High or Low, whichever difference is smaller. For example: if Open = 1,250, High = 1,258, Low = 1,240, then take the value of 8 for that day because 1,258 - 1,250 = 8 which is smaller than 1,250 - 1,240 = 10. Then add together all of these values for the last 10 trading days and divide this by 10 to get the 10 day SMA. This value will then become the Stretch. The Stretch is used in calculating where to enter the trade and where to place a stop using the ORB and ORBP trading strategies (see below). 


Simple Moving Average (SMA): An SMA is calculated over a number of candles/bars in a chart as the simple average value of that number of bars, e.g. the SMA for the last 10 days closing prices of the DJIA: add together the closing prices for the last 10 days of the DJIA and then divide that by 10 = 10 day SMA. You do not need to use just the closing price to calculate this. You can also use the Open, High, Low, and Close or a combination of any of those, e.g. HLC/3.

Opening Range Breakout (ORB): Using this strategy, a buy stop is placed just above the Open price plus the Stretch and a sell stop just below the Open price minus the Stretch. The first stop triggered enters the trader into the trade and the other stop becomes the protective stop. The earlier in the trading session the entry stop is hit the more likely the trade will be profitable at the close. A market movement that kicks off a trend quickly in the current trading session could add significant profit to a trader's position by the close and should be considered for a multi-day trade. As time passes and we are not filled early on then the risk increases and it becomes prudent to reduce the size of the position during the day. Trades filled towards the end of the day carry the most risk and the later in the day the trade is filled the less likely the trader will want to carry that trade overnight (more
e.g. HERE).

Variations of this strategy include the
Opening Range Breakout Preference (ORBP): An ORBP trade is a one sided ORB trade. If other technical indicators show a strong trend in one direction then the trader will exercise a "Preference" for the direction in which to trade the ORB trade. A stop to open a position would be placed on the side of the trend only and if filled a protective stop would then be placed. The calculation of where to place the "stop to open" would be the same as that for the ORB trade: For longs, the Open price plus the Stretch and for shorts the Open price minus the Stretch. The ORBP trade is a specialized form of the ORB trade (more e.g. HERE). 

Saturday, December 8, 2018

S&P 500 Index vs AstroMetric Indicator | December 2018

This indicator points to more volatility in US equity markets next week. 
Dec 12 (Wed) or Dec 14 (Fri) will likely print an intermediate low, followed by a rally into year's end.
Previous performance of the indicator HERE