Calculated and charted with Timing Solution. |
Showing posts with label Timing Solution. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Timing Solution. Show all posts
Saturday, September 24, 2016
SPX vs Venus + Mercury Latitude Cycles @ MIN @ MAX @ 0°
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
geocentric,
Latitude,
Mercury,
SPX,
Timing Solution,
US-Stocks,
Venus
Friday, September 23, 2016
SPX vs Combustion of Jupiter | September 27 (Tue)
The Vedic concept of combustion is summarized HERE Charted and calculated with Timing Solution. |
HERE Anand Chiney explains the combustion of Jupiter with various orbs in the example of the Indian NIFTY. |
Labels:
Anand Chiney,
AstroFin,
Combustion of Planets,
Declination,
Financial Astrology,
geocentric,
Hindu Astrology,
Longitude,
NIFTY,
SPX,
Sun,
Timing Solution,
US-Stocks
Tuesday, August 23, 2016
SPX vs Sun's Movement | 150 Degrees from Spring Equinox
In the late afternoon (EDT) of Aug 22 (Mon) the Sun had moved 150 solar degrees (= geocentric longitude = 155 CD) from the Spring Equinox. More details on W.D. Gann's concepts of Natural Trading Days and Timing with Solar Degrees HERE + HERE. Charted and calculated with Timing Solution. |
Labels:
AstroFin,
Astronomy,
Financial Astrology,
Gann's Natural Trading Day,
SPX,
Sun,
Timing Solution,
US-Stocks,
W.D. Gann,
W.D. Gann's Method of Timing with Solar Degrees
Friday, August 19, 2016
DJIA: Bullish Into Q1-2 Next Year | Cyclic Vibrations
Enlarge |
I believe that we are terminating an impulsive advance from an Elliott wave perspective, this impulsive advance is the fifth wave of grandsupercycle degree [...] Another scary aspect of the chart above is the extended fifth wave that occurred from the lows in 1974 to where we stand today. R.N. Elliott warned about what usually occurs after a fifth wave extension since it is usually followed by a crash. Once we look at the projection lines we will notice such an outcome is highly likely based on our volatility forecast. The target for the correction after a fifth wave extension is the range of the second wave which brings us to the 1000-770 price range. Such a forecast for the Dow is certainly scary and I am not brave enough to make such a cataclysmic call which is why I will wait for the patterns to unfold to obtain more accurate price targets. It is important to know that the US stock market is likely to be the out-performer as indicated in one of my previous posts (The American S&P and German Dax ratio) in which I analyzed a ratio of the DJIA with the German DAX. If such a target is expected in terms of the DJIA one can only imagine what will occur to the European indices. I still prefer a German DAX short once the peak is in since one will make money from a higher EURO and a larger percentage drop. Let us now take a look at the shorter term wave count.
The shorter term wave count suggests that the DJIA is in its fifth wave of intermediate degree to terminate the primary degree rally from 2009 which will in itself terminate a cycle degree advance that started in 1974 which will itself terminate a supercycle degree advance that started in 1932 which will itself terminate a grand supercycle degree move that started in 1784. The cycles mentioned on many previous posts on this blog support that fact. I believe that such a large and historic top will end in weakness rather than strength. This is why I am preferring an ending diagonal scenario for the fifth wave of intermediate degree. I am certain that the correction that is about to unfold will be the largest correction in US history. This is a time to be cautious from equities and to try our best to avoid the calamity.
The first chart below presents an overlay of the 1920s bull market with the one seen since late 2011. Both bull markets occurred under a similar cyclical circumstance hence their high correlation (9 year cycle). The correlation is almost 80%! This projection line suggests that a peak is likely in the first quarter of next year. This conclusion is supported by a projection line of the 18 month cycle that started in 1971 which is presented below.
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The third chart above shows my volatility projection as well as the projection line of the late 20's. The volatility indicator was obtained from two 9 year cycles of a similar cyclical circumstance to where we stand today. The volatility projection suggests that the crash is likely to be drastic going into the low that is expected in 2020 which is when peak volatility is expected.
Labels:
18 Month Cycle,
9 Year Cycle,
Ahmed Farghaly,
Cyclic Vibrations,
DAX,
DJIA,
Elliott Wave,
Neural Network,
Spectrum Analysis,
Timing Solution,
US-Stocks
Monday, August 1, 2016
SPX vs George Bayer's «A Time and Times and Half a Time»
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
George Bayer,
George Bayer Law of »A Time and Times and Half a Time«,
Soybeans,
SPX,
Timing Solution,
US-Stocks
SPX vs Venus Latitude Cycle @ MIN @ MAX @ 0°
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
geocentric,
Latitude,
SPX,
Timing Solution,
US-Stocks,
Venus
Wednesday, July 6, 2016
The British Pound's 100-Year Debasement & The City's China Wild Card
Bloomberg (Jul 5, 2016) - Sterling first slumped after coming off the gold standard in 1931 in which it had been overvalued, just as it was in 1944 when it joined the Bretton Woods system of managed exchange rates. Another 30 percent devaluation was swallowed in 1949 and then Wilson sanctioned another drop in 1967 amid Britain’s balance of payments crunch. While the IMF was called in to help avoid a sterling crisis in the 1970s, it fell again in the early 1980s.
The U.K. joined the Exchange Rate Mechanism, a precursor to the Euro, in 1990 but was forced out just two years later because it couldn’t sustain a link to the Deutsche Mark. Now there is speculation that life outside the EU will cost the pound its place in the top tier of reserve currencies. It currently accounts for 5 percent of foreign exchange reserves, according to the IMF. A weaker currency may not do that much to prop up the U.K. economy. While it should boost manufacturing and tourism, three-quarters of the economy is dependent on services such as finance and their future is subject to whatever access to the EU the British government can negotiate. There are also
structural weaknesses leaning against the pound. The U.K. ran a near-record current account deficit of 6.9 percent of output in the first quarter and is suffering from weak productivity. Demand remains weak abroad and prices may not be that sensitive to swings in the exchange rate because producers still rely on foreign components for their goods.
Thierry Meyssan (Jul 04, 2016) - The Western Press keeps repeating the same message – by leaving the European Union, the British have isolated themselves from the rest of the world, and will have to deal with terrible economic consequences. And yet, the fall in the Pound could be an advantage within the Commonwealth, which is a far greater family than the Union, and present on all six continents. Famous for its pragmatism, the City could quickly become the international centre for the yuan and implant the Chinese currency in the very heart of the Union [...] The London Stock Exchange announced an agreement with the China Foreign Exchange Trade System (CFETS), and, in June, became the primary Stock Exchange in the world to rate Chinese treasury bonds. All the elements were in place to transform the City into a Chinese Trojan Horse in the European Union, to the detriment of US supremacy.
UK Equity Markets Dip Below 5%. Source: Bespoke (Jul 5, 2016) |
British Pound Sterling (GBP) to Chinese Yuan Renminbi (CNY) Source: www.xe.com |
Thierry Meyssan (Jul 04, 2016) - The Western Press keeps repeating the same message – by leaving the European Union, the British have isolated themselves from the rest of the world, and will have to deal with terrible economic consequences. And yet, the fall in the Pound could be an advantage within the Commonwealth, which is a far greater family than the Union, and present on all six continents. Famous for its pragmatism, the City could quickly become the international centre for the yuan and implant the Chinese currency in the very heart of the Union [...] The London Stock Exchange announced an agreement with the China Foreign Exchange Trade System (CFETS), and, in June, became the primary Stock Exchange in the world to rate Chinese treasury bonds. All the elements were in place to transform the City into a Chinese Trojan Horse in the European Union, to the detriment of US supremacy.
Ahmed Farghaly (Jul 6, 2016): GBPUSD: Contradicting the EUR |
Labels:
Ahmed Farghaly,
Bespoke,
Bloomberg,
Bretton Woods Agreement,
BREXIT,
CFETS,
China,
Cyclic Vibrations,
GBP/CNY,
GBP/EUR,
GBP/USD,
IMF,
Thierry Meyssan,
Timing Solution,
UK,
Yuan
Saturday, July 2, 2016
New Insights in Commodities | Cyclic Vibrations
Ahmed Farghaly (Jul 1, 2016) - The first chart is a synthetic chart of commodities. The way it was constructed was by isolating the second 18 year cycle of three 54 year cycle. The reason why I extracted the second 18 year cycle is because this is the cycle we are in right now in terms of commodities hence it should be correlated more with its counterpart in past 54 year cycles. I have also altered the length of the cycles to match the current average length of the 18 year cycle which is approximately 14.4 years. I then combined those cycles together in order to get a continuous series so I can isolate the cycle via spectral analysis and run neural network models on this particular position of the Kondratieff wave. The indicator that you see above is a neural network model with an 14.4 year cycle used as an input and the detrended zigzag as the output. This indicator's turning point should mimic those in the future provided that no significant changes occur to the length of the nominal 18 year wave. The second chart depicts the dates more clearly.
It is worth mentioning that the 14.4 year cycle with 4 harmonics was used as the input rather than just one harmonic, the reason for this was to aid us in depicted the peaks and troughs of the cycles smaller than the 14.4 year wave. As is visible on the chart above, we seem to have a clear path in the CRB index until late 2017. The projection also suggests that 2018 is likely to be a bad year for commodities. This correction should then be followed by a move into 4th quarter of 2020 followed by a correction to 2022 and so on (third chart).
In the neural network model below the price chart is an up percentage move indicator (fourth chart). It is calculated by having the cycle as an input and measuring the position of moves of over 7% a month and projecting something similar for the future of the current cycle. The likelihood of large percentage months on a closing basis is greatest from here going into mid 2019. Hence capital is best allocated in the commodity market now rather than chase the move after most of the large percentage gains have already been realized (fourth chart).
This indicator (fourth chart) is a forecast of the volatility index indicator using the same input as the charts above. It seems evident that the likelihood of high volatility is greatest from now going into 2020. This would mean that the purchase of call options are likely to be a better play than their sale in the upcoming environment. Trading in expectation of low volatility will probabalisticly lead to a loss going into 2020.
It is worth mentioning that the 14.4 year cycle with 4 harmonics was used as the input rather than just one harmonic, the reason for this was to aid us in depicted the peaks and troughs of the cycles smaller than the 14.4 year wave. As is visible on the chart above, we seem to have a clear path in the CRB index until late 2017. The projection also suggests that 2018 is likely to be a bad year for commodities. This correction should then be followed by a move into 4th quarter of 2020 followed by a correction to 2022 and so on (third chart).
In the neural network model below the price chart is an up percentage move indicator (fourth chart). It is calculated by having the cycle as an input and measuring the position of moves of over 7% a month and projecting something similar for the future of the current cycle. The likelihood of large percentage months on a closing basis is greatest from here going into mid 2019. Hence capital is best allocated in the commodity market now rather than chase the move after most of the large percentage gains have already been realized (fourth chart).
This indicator (fourth chart) is a forecast of the volatility index indicator using the same input as the charts above. It seems evident that the likelihood of high volatility is greatest from now going into 2020. This would mean that the purchase of call options are likely to be a better play than their sale in the upcoming environment. Trading in expectation of low volatility will probabalisticly lead to a loss going into 2020.
Labels:
14.4 Year Cycle,
18 Year Cycle,
54 Year Cycle,
Ahmed Farghaly,
Commodities,
Cyclic Vibrations,
Kondratieff Cycle,
Neural Network,
Spectrum Analysis,
Timing Solution
Tuesday, June 21, 2016
Summer Solstice Full Moon
“It is very true, some of the Ancients have Winter and Summer, made the day and night to consist of equal hours. I mean every hour to consist of sixty minutes, equally; but Astrologists do not so, but follow this method, viz. according to the motion of the Sun both Summer and Winter, so do they vary their hours in length or shortness.” One measures the time between sunrise and sunset and divides it into 12 equal parts. These are the planetary hours (HERE) |
Calculated and charted with Timing Solution. |
Enlarge |
Labels:
Annual Cycle,
Lunar Cycle,
Planetary Hours,
SoLunar Map,
Summer Solstice,
Timing Solution,
W.D. Gann's Method of Timing with Solar Degrees
Thursday, June 9, 2016
CHF Long Against EUR + USD | EUR/USD to Double | Cyclic Vibrations
Ahmed Ferghaly's latest cyclic analysis of currencies searches for possibilities to long against the USD in the upcoming environment. EUR and USD are likely to perform a continued, maybe drastic devaluation towards the CHF into 2019. Then the recovery rally of the EUR is expected to last into late 2023 (HERE + HERE) |
In this 18 Year Cycle the EUR should double to the USD (HERE). |
Labels:
18 Month Cycle,
18 Year Cycle,
54 Month Cycle,
54 Year Cycle,
Ahmed Fraghaly,
CHF,
Cyclic Analysis,
EUR,
EURCHF,
EURUSD,
J.M. Hurst,
Timing Solution,
USD,
USDCHF
Tuesday, May 31, 2016
Gold vs MER in SAG + GEM | MER @ MIN + MAX SUN | MOO 000° MAR
Calculated and charted with Timing Solution. |
Labels:
Aphelion,
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
Gold,
heliocentric,
Mercury,
Perihelion,
Timing Solution
Monday, May 30, 2016
Gold vs Pluto Retrograde | Sun 000° + 180° Pluto
Martin Armstrong (May 31, 2016): "All the big manipulations have ALWAYS been to the UPSIDE, not to the downside. It is absurd to pretend that gold is suppressed perpetually so they can make money in some strange way." Calculated and charted with Timing Solution. |
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
Gold,
Martin A. Armstrong,
Pluto,
Retrograde,
Timing Solution
Thursday, May 26, 2016
SPX vs Planets @ 14° Cancer + 14° Capricorn
See also HERE Calculated and charted with Timing Solution. |
Labels:
Ascendant,
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
Jack Gillen,
Louise McWhirter,
NYSE Natal Chart,
Timing Solution,
US-Stocks
Tuesday, May 24, 2016
SPX vs Venus - Mars Cycle (heliocentric)
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
heliocentric,
SPX,
Timing Solution,
US-Stocks,
Venus - Mars Cycle
Saturday, May 7, 2016
SPX vs Sun + Inner Planets | May 2016
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
SPX,
Timing Solution,
US-Stocks
Friday, May 6, 2016
Crude Oil vs Annual Cycle + Spectrum Analysis | 2015 - 2017
Labels:
Annual Cycle,
Crude Oil,
Spectrum Analysis,
Timing Solution
Sunday, May 1, 2016
SPX vs Combustion of Planets | 2015 - 2016
Labels:
AstroFin,
Combustion of Planets,
Declination,
Financial Astrology,
geocentric,
Hindu Astrology,
Longitude,
SPX,
Sun,
Timing Solution,
US-Stocks
Sunday, April 17, 2016
SPX vs Retrograde / Direct Motion of Pluto + Mars | 2012 - 2016
Calculated and charted with Timing Solution. |
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
Mars,
Pluto,
Retrograde-Direct Cycle,
SPX,
Timing Solution,
US-Stocks
Saturday, April 9, 2016
SPX vs Composite Cycle | April - December 2016
Labels:
AstroFin,
Composite Cycle,
Financial Astrology,
Lunar Cycle,
SPX,
Timing Solution,
US-Stocks
Sunday, March 20, 2016
SPX vs Solar Degrees from ATH | 2015 - 2016
Calculated and charted with Timing Solution. |
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
SPX,
Sun,
Timing Solution,
US-Stocks
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