The S&P 500 versus the Speed of the True Lunar Node

Financial markets correlate closely with the 4–14 day cycle of the retrograde–stationary–direct motion of the True Lunar Node (North Node). This cycle can be depicted best by charting the Speed of the True Lunar Node against the S&P 500 (where "speed" refers to the geocentric motion in degrees of longitude per day).

S&P 500 (daily candles) vs True and Mean Lunar Node Speed, December 2025 to June 2026.

On March 30, 2026 — the date of the major stock market low shown in the chart above — the True Lunar Node was positioned at approximately 3°–4° Pisces (retrograde) in the Buttonwood Agreement NYSE natal chart (May 17, 1792, 8:52 AM LMT, New York). Using the Placidus house system, it fell in the 11th house, the sector governing groups, large-scale public participation, collective sentiment, international alliances, and speculative market trends driven by the masses.

Expect potential short-term changes in trend when the True Lunar Nodal Speed (blue solid line in the chart above)

► equals the Mean Lunar Nodal Speed (red horizontal dashed line), or

► is at 0 (grey horizontal dashed line), or 
► reaches maximum and minimum extremes.

 

The absolute maximum of the True Lunar Nodal Speed is approximately +0.0015 degrees of geocentric longitude per day (brief direct motion); the absolute minimum is -0.1074 degrees per day (peak retrograde motion). Standstills (stations) of the True Lunar Node occur when its geocentric speed in longitude momentarily reaches zero, as it oscillates around its mean retrograde motion due to solar and planetary perturbations. 

 

True Lunar Node speed data generated by eph1.

 

The True Node is predominantly retrograde (negative speed, averaging –0.053°/day) but regularly slows, stations (speed = 0°/day), and briefly moves direct (positive speed, up to +0.0015°/day) for hours to days before resuming retrograde motion. These stations are most pronounced and prolonged near eclipse seasons (roughly every 173 days), when solar perturbations on the lunar orbit are strongest.

The S&P 500 versus the Speed of the True Lunar Node (solid blue line)
and the Speed of the Mean Lunar Node (blue dashed line), 2014 to 2016.

In addition to the phenomenon of eclipses, there is a period of approximately ±2 weeks around the equinoxes, when Earth crosses the ecliptic from south to north (spring) and vice versa (fall). During these intervals, geomagnetic activity tends to be relatively strong, though highly variable and unpredictable, as solar emissions impact both hemispheres in an unbalanced manner.

 The S&P 500 versus the Speed of the True Lunar Node (solid blue line), November 2015 to April 2016.

 

The S&P 500 versus the Speed of the True Lunar Node and Eclipse Crash Windows, October 2014 to December 2015. 

The physical wobbling and oscillation of the Moon in its orbit around Earth and the Sun are driven by square aspects and conjunctions in both longitude and declination relative to the Sun and Earth. Around solar and lunar eclipses, the lunar nodes undergo rapid transitions between direct motion (speed above zero), retrograde motion (below zero), and near-standstill phases (at or very close to zero), as indicated by the blue-shaded time frames in the charts above. During these periods, financial markets commonly exhibit sentiment extremes and elevated volatility.

Approximately every 86.5 days, a so-called Moon Wobble occurs when the Sun is conjunct, opposite, or square (0°, 90°, 180°, 270°) to the True Lunar Node. The lunar node begins wobbling about two weeks before the exact event and remains unstable until roughly one week afterward. When coupled with solar or lunar eclipses, the wobble effect can be extended. As the Sun approaches conjunction or opposition to the lunar node, its motion is nearly blocked (as indicated by the bluish shaded areas). These periods are potential crash windows in financial markets. 

 

The S&P 500 versus the Sun conjunct, opposite, and square (0°, 90°, 180°, 270°) to the True Lunar Node, 2011 to 2015. 

 

The Moon's Nodal Wobble refers primarily to the retrograde precession of the lunar orbital nodes—the points where the Moon's orbit intersects the ecliptic plane. This line of nodes completes a full 360° cycle westward (retrograde) relative to the vernal equinox in approximately 18.613 years, at a mean rate of about 19.35° per year or 0.053° per day.

 

This "wobble" or instability in nodal speed reflects heightened perturbations when the Sun's gravitational influence on the Moon's orbital plane is strongest. The True Node may exhibit rapid fluctuations in direction and speed (retrograde-stationary-direct), magnifying energetic or disruptive effects in observational contexts. Mean nodes remain steadily retrograde but also decelerate noticeably.
 

The Draconic Month—also known as the nodical or draconic lunar month—has a mean length of 27.212220 days (27 days, 5 hours, 5 minutes, and 35.8 seconds) and is one of the five distinct lunar orbital periods used in astronomy and astrology.

This Precession causes the Moon's maximum declination to vary between roughly ±18.3° (minor lunar standstill) and ±28.6° (major lunar standstill) over the cycle, influencing eclipse patterns, tidal extremes, and the apparent "wobble" in the Moon's orbital orientation as viewed from Earth. A secondary, shorter-term perturbation arises from solar gravitational effects, causing the True (osculating) Node to oscillate around the mean node by up to about ±1.5° with a dominant period of roughly 173 days.

The Moon's Extreme Declinations represent the annual instants of greatest northern (positive) and southern (negative) geocentric declination, which delineate the progression of the 18.613-year lunar standstill cycle. These events reach their peak values (±28.43°) during the major lunar standstill in 2025 and their minimum values (±18.33°) during the minor lunar standstill in 2034.

The Moon's Extreme Declinations and Standstill Cycle, 2025 to 2035.

These values reflect the combined effects of the Moon’s orbital inclination (≈5.15°) and the 18.613-year nodal precession relative to the ecliptic. During major standstill years the extremes approach the sum of the obliquity of the ecliptic (≈23.44°) plus the orbital inclination; during minor standstill years they approach the difference. The listed times mark the precise moments of zero declination rate of change (local extrema).

Eclipses occur when the Sun aligns closely with the lunar nodes (conjunction or opposition) near a new or full Moon, aligning the Sun, Earth, and Moon in three dimensions. Around these times—typically twice yearly in eclipse seasons separated by about 173 days—the True Node's geocentric motion slows markedly, often becoming stationary or briefly direct (positive speed) before resuming retrograde motion.

 

As observed from Earth, the Sun crosses both lunar nodes as it travels along the ecliptic. The interval between successive returns of the Sun to the same node is known as the draconic (or eclipse) year, approximately 346.6201 days. Hence, there are about 12.74 draconic months in one eclipse year, and 13.42 draconic months in one tropical (or solar) year. 

Equinoxes mark when the Sun crosses the celestial equator, aligning its apparent position with the intersection of the ecliptic and equator. The lunar nodes' alignment with equinox points modulates the Moon's Extreme Declinations and Standstill Cycles. When a node coincides near an equinox, it accentuates the 18.613-year nodal cycle's effects on lunar rising/setting azimuths and tidal variations. The True Node's oscillatory behavior can interact with these seasonal alignments, though without the pronounced speed reversal seen at eclipses. 

 

See also:

TPR (2012 to 2019) - The S&P 500 versus the Speed of the True Lunar Node (more historical chart examples). 
TPR (April 9, 2026) - Bradley Cowan’s Lunar Cycle Projection Methodology Applied to the S&P 500.

TPR (February 4, 2026) - 2026 US Stock Market Forecast Based on Jack Gillen's Principles.

S&P 500 – Bearish Structure and 7% Downside Setup | Justin Bennett

On the 4 hour chart, a bearish Break of Structure (BoS) confirms sellers remain in control, so the focus stays on short setups. Just below current price sits a key daily support level (equal lows), which also functions as a weekly external low—making it structurally critical.

 » On the daily time frame, a fair value gap (FVG or imbalance) stands out as a critical zone for the coming week. 

This gap has not yet been fully mitigated, leaving unfinished business in the market. «

S&P 500 (4 hour candles).

For next week, the primary setup is a rally into a daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) that has not yet been mitigated. If price trades into this area—especially into premium above recent highs—the objective is to wait for a lower time frame Change of Character (CHoCH) before entering shorts. No confirmation, no trade.

 » Price always moves from liquidity to inefficiency and vice versa, or from internal liquidity to external liquidity and vice versa. «

Longer term, a weekly close below the external low would signal acceptance and a higher timeframe shift. That opens the path toward a large unmitigated weekly imbalance, implying roughly a ~7% downside move (toward the 6,000 region).

 

» The next logical target is a large unmitigated weekly imbalance left behind by a strong displacement candle. 

This zone has never been retested and represents a magnet for price. Projecting into that imbalance suggests a

potential move of approximately 7% to the downside, bringing the S&P 500 toward just above the 6,000 level. «

S&P 500 (weekly candles).

  

In short: bearish structure, wait for a retrace into imbalance, confirm weakness, then target continuation lower.

 

Reference:

Justin Bennett (March 20, 2026) - S&P 500: This Is Only The Beginning (7% Drop). (video). 

[obviously recorded before the March 20 market open.] 

 

S&P 500 (4-hour candles; March 20 market close): bearish 4-hour FVGs and Premium/Discount levels.

Nasdaq (4-hour candles; March 20 market close): bearish 4-hour FVGs and Premium/Discount levels.

 

 

    

See also:

 JadeCap (2026) - All Five ICT Entry Models Explained. 

orderbloque (2025) - Market Logic Based on Liquidity, Volume, and Inefficiency.

Michael J. Huddleston (2023) - ICT Liquidity - The Financial Market's Zero Sum Game. 

WadeFX (2021) - Market Structure and Powerful Setups.

Richard D. Wyckoff (1931) - Accumulation and Distribution Schematics.

20-Week Cycle Low in the S&P 500 and US Stock Indexes | Major Low in July

The projected 20-week cycle low arrived today, Thursday, March 19, at 9:35 AM, 118.12 days after the 40-week cycle low on Friday, November 21, 2025, at 10:30—in the expected price zone. 

 

 SPY (daily candles): 20-week cycle from November 21, 2025 into March 17-19, 2026.

[Projection as of February 22, 2026.] 

 

  SPY (daily bars): 20-week cycle from November 21, 2025 into March 19, 2026.

 

The final nominal 5-day cycle low within the nominal 20-week cycle was projected from the S&P futures low at the open on Sunday, March 15 at 5:00 p.m. (EDT) into the nested 20-week cycle low on Thursday, March 19 at 9:35 a.m. All projected times and dates of highs and lows in the thick blue summation lines, also shown in the charts below, are derived from current cycle periods and are—within the cyclic composite model—mathematically precise to eight decimal places. Cycle periods during the most recent 20-week cycle have been exceptionally stable and reliable; however, they may contract or expand by fractional harmonic offsets (IBPs and ITWs in Delta-lingo).

Tomorrow, March 20, 2026, at 10:46 a.m. EDT, Mercury stations direct precisely at the spring equinox as the Sun enters 0° Aries, with the New Moon conjunct Saturn and Neptune in early Aries.  

 

This creates a strong geocosmic reversal zone. Cycle lows or significant momentum shifts are likely in stocks, metals, grains, and interest-rate markets. 

 

Schematic trajectory of the current 40-week cycle from November 21, 2025 into the 18-month cycle low in mid-July (±).

At the same time, March triple witching and options expiration may drive higher volume and support a bullish turn in the US stock market into the next 10-week cycle, with an early April lower high. Lower highs and lower lows are expected into a major low of at least 18-month cycle magnitude by July 2026.

 

The upcoming 10-week cycle (80-day cycle).

 

Reference:

TPR (February 22, 2026) - S&P 500 Hurst Analysis: Projection into Mid-March 20-Week Cycle Low. 

TPR (2025) - Insights into J.M. Hurst's 40-Week Cycle AKA the 9-Month Cycle.

 

The principle of harmonic nesting and the synchronicity of lows:

Hurst Method Nominal Market Cycle Chart by Richard Russell, Dow Theory Letters, 1985.

See also:

@Fiorente2 (March 16, 2026) - The 60-Year Cycle in US Stock Indexes Revisited.
TPR (March 16, 2026) - Louise McWhirter’s Forecasting Theory: The US Stock Market Through 2028. 
Larry Williams (February 19, 2026) - 2026 Market Update: Crude, NatGas, Metals, Stocks, Cocoa.

TPR (2012) - The Delta Phenomenon. 

All Five ICT Entry Models Explained | JadeCap

The majority of traders lose money because they enter the market at the wrong time. In this breakdown, I will explain the exact entry models I utilized to generate over one million dollars in just two years, analyzing each one step by step. Although I have been trading for 14 years, it was only in the last few that I truly refined my strategy. It took nearly a decade for me to achieve consistency; consequently, I am sharing my experience and knowledge here to help you shortcut your own journey toward becoming a profitable trader. 

ICT Entry Models: Premium/Discount—Liquidity Raids—Fair Value Gaps—Order Blocks—Breaker Blocks. 

I. Premium and Discount

The first entry model is the fundamental concept of premium and discount. We utilize the Fibonacci retracement tool to define our specific trading range by anchoring it to a swing low and a swing high if we are bullish, or a swing high and a swing low if we are bearish. This allows us to identify the 50% equilibrium level, as well as the deep discount and premium zones.

Discount, Equilibrium, and Premium Zones: S&P 500 (1 hour candles).

 

After establishing these swing points, we wait for a retracement beyond the 50% threshold—into discount for buys or premium for sells—before hunting for an entry. Our objectives are typically a Fibonacci extension outside the range or the range high/low. In a bullish scenario, we wait for price to dip into the discount zone before targeting the previous high or a specific Fibonacci extension. Conversely, in a bearish scenario, we target the previous low or the extension.

 

Discount, Equilibrium, and Premium Zones: EURUSD (15 minute candles).

Regarding execution, candle confirmation is not strictly necessary. For instance, within a bullish range, any area below the 50% mark is considered a discount and serves as a favorable entry point. This model is particularly effective for limit orders, allowing traders to execute without being anchored to their screens. We enter long via a buy limit and place the stop loss outside the range. Because a setup is not technically invalidated until the initial swing point is breached, your stop loss should remain at that level to avoid being "chopped up" by price volatility.

II. Liquidity Raids 

This entry model identifies zones where "smart money" is likely accumulating positions: liquidity raids, commonly known as "Turtle Soup." First, we identify the specific liquidity pool we expect to be raided, such as a Previous Weekly High (PWH), Previous Daily Low (PDL), or session-specific levels like the Asian range.  

 

Liquidity Raids: EURUSD (5 minute candles).

A common mistake among novice traders is entering the market the moment a level is penetrated. Instead, we wait for a candle to close back inside the range. We look for a strong rejection followed by a close above or below the previous swing point. Only then do we enter, placing our stop loss beyond the newly created swing high or low. This ensures a superior risk-to-reward ratio, as it allows the market to signal an actual intent to reverse rather than forcing us to catch a "falling knife."

 

III. Fair Value Gap (FVG)

The Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a three-candle pattern where the second candle is so impulsive that the wicks of the first and third candles do not meet, leaving an imbalance, a "gap." We wait for the market to rebalance by trading back into this zone. 

 

Bullish Fair Value Gap: EURUSD (15 minute candles).

Ideally, the entry should be executed as price moves against the desired order flow. If we are looking to go long, we buy while price is actively dipping into the gap. While many traders demand extra confirmation, the most effective entries often occur when the market looks visually "weak," as this is where you secure the best pricing. 

 

Stop-loss placement can be aggressive (at the gap's edge) or conservative (at the high/low of the first candle). I recommend the conservative approach to give the trade sufficient room to breathe.

 

IV. Order Blocks

An order block is a down-closed candle prior to a move higher or an up-closed candle prior to a move lower. High-probability order blocks are those paired with an FVG. When an FVG rests immediately above or below an order block, it validates the level as a high-probability zone for institutional activity. 

 

Order Blocks and Breaker Blocks: Gold (5 minute candles).

We enter as the market retraces into that order block, anticipating a rejection. For instance, if several consecutive candles form an order block that aligns with an FVG, the bodies of the subsequent candles should respect that level.

 

V. Breaker Blocks

The breaker block combines liquidity concepts with order blocks. It is an order block formed prior to a raid on liquidity that is subsequently broken by a decisive move. If price sweeps liquidity and then aggressively trades through the original order block, that level transitions into a "breaker." We enter on the retracement back into the breaker's range.

 

Breaker Block: EURUSD (5 minute candles).

Stop-loss placement can be complex; I tend to favor a conservative placement because breakers can produce deep wicks that may stop out aggressive traders before the trend resumes. Often, a breaker overlaps with a fair value gap; in such cases, you might utilize the 50% equilibrium of the gap or the high/low of the original order block to set your invalidation point.

 

Every ICT Entry Model in 23 Minutes.

 

ooo00O00ooo

 

Ultimately, whether you are utilizing premium/discount, liquidity raids, or gaps, success depends on proper stop-loss placement and trade management. A stopped-out trade does not necessarily mean the setup failed—it often suggests the stop loss was too aggressive for the market's inherent volatility.

 

Reference:
JadeCap (2025) - Every ICT Entry Model in 23 Minutes. (video)

 

A Secret to Liquidity Sweeps.

 

The Only Trading Strategy I'd Use If I Had To Start Over.

 

See also:

JadeCap (2026) - One Trading Strategy for Life: The "Daily Sweep."

orderbloque (2025) - Market Logic Based on Liquidity, Volume, and Inefficiency. 

TPR - ICT Price Action. 

S&P 500 Hurst Analysis: Projection into Mid-March 20-Week Cycle Low

The current 40-week cycle began at the November 21, 2025 trough. Its primary components are two 20-week cycles, which averaged 16.9 weeks (118 days = Delta cycle) over recent iterations. 

 

 SPY (daily candles), September 2025 to May 2026.

The low of the first 20-week cycle is expected to occur between March 17 and March 19 (Tue–Thu).
 

► 10-day cycle (7.6 days) low = Feb 24 (Tue)
► 20-day cycle (14.7 days) low = Mar 3 (Tue)
► 40-day cycle (31 days) low = Mar 17 (Tue)
► 80-day cycle (57 days) low = Mar 18 (Wed)
► 20-week cycle (118 days) low = Mar 19 (Thu)

 

The 40-week cycle (and 18-month cycle) trough is projected into late July (±).

 

See also:

TPR (2025) - J.M. Hurst’s Cyclic Theory.

 TPR (August 5, 2025)  - Insights into J.M. Hurst's 40-Week Cycle AKA the 9-Month Cycle. 

Larry Williams (February 19, 2026) - 2026 Market Update: Crude, NatGas, Metals, Stocks, Cocoa. 

S&P 500: Hurst 10-Day Cycle Low Set to Hit Friday's CPI News Release

S&P 500 (3 hour candles): 10-Day cycle (currently ≈7.6 days) low due Friday, February 13 (CPI News Release).

 

 Nicolas Savino update, February 12.

 

See also:

Jeffrey A. Hirsch (January 27, 2026) - February Stock Market Performance in Midterm Election Years.

Engulfing Bar Strategy | JadeCap

This one pattern helped me make over $4 million in the last three years and even break the world-record payout at Apex. Let me show you exactly how it works:

 

» For a true engulfing pattern, the new candle must break the previous candle’s low and the previous candle’s high. «

 

What Is an Engulfing Bar? We’re simply looking for two candles—along with proper context—to define the pattern: Imagine we have a down candle with its open, high, low, and close. The next candle is what determines whether we have an engulfing bar. For a true engulfing pattern, the new candle must break the previous candle’s low and the previous candle’s high. It completely “engulfs” the previous range (aka Outside Bar/Candle).

 

So picture the first down candle closing. The next candle runs below that low, takes it out, reverses, pushes above the prior high, and closes somewhere near the top half of its range. That two-candle formation gives us a tremendous amount of information about where the next candle—or even the next several candles—may go.

 

Understanding the Context: Inside a higher-timeframe candle (4-Hour or daily), there are dozens of smaller candles—1-minute, 5-minute, 15-minute—that form all the micro-structure. Within that lower-timeframe structure, the engulfing pattern represents:

 

▪ A Liquidity Raid

▪ A Shift in Market Structure

▪ A Smart Money Reversal

▪ A Market Maker Buy Model (for bullish engulfing)

So although it's only two candles on a higher timeframe, those two candles often reflect an entire lower-timeframe reversal model.

The key is the closure. Many beginners think a candle will close as an engulfing bar, only for it to close weakly or back inside the prior range. That invalidates the pattern. A proper engulfing bar should close with a strong, decisive body—typically in the upper 50% for bullish setups, or the lower 50% for bearish setups.

Bullish vs. Bearish Examples: For a bullish engulfing bar, the second candle runs below the prior low, reverses, and breaks the prior high (Outside Candle). For a bearish engulfing bar, it runs above the prior high, reverses, and breaks the prior low. Both reflect a higher-timeframe representation of a lower-timeframe Market Maker Model.

 

» Every setup has a failure rate. «

 

What Most Traders Don’t Realize: Every setup—Engulfing Bars, Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), Market Maker Models—has a failure rate. I learned this the hard way after blowing dozens of accounts trying to trade every engulfing bar I saw. Two things matter:

1. Every setup fails sometimes. If you backtest these candles, you'll see some of them lose. Your job is not to find the magical 100%-win-rate setup. It doesn’t exist. You may find these patterns work 60% of the time. Your winners must be managed well enough to pay for the losers.
2. Location matters. A lot. When I was new, I took every engulfing bar. That was a huge mistake.
   ▪ If you're bullish, you want the engulfing bar to form at a swing low, ideally after taking out sell-side liquidity.
   ▪ If it forms after taking out buy-side liquidity—at a high—it's often a sign of exhaustion and more likely to fail.
   ▪ The reverse is true for bearish setups.

Avoid:

▪ Bullish engulfing bars printed at or after taking out buy-side liquidity.

▪ Bearish engulfing bars printed at or after taking out sell-side liquidity.

 

These filters alone drastically improve your win rate.

 

The $98,000 Example: Let’s walk through the trade from last week. We printed a large bullish engulfing candle immediately after FOMC. The candle swept sell-side liquidity, reversed, broke the prior high, and closed strongly—exactly what we want at a swing low. We were also inside a daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), adding even more confluence.

 

Bullish Engulfing Bar Setup in the NZDUSD (4-Hour candles). 

My first target was buy-side liquidity above the highs. Since the market was near all-time highs, I was also looking for a move toward the psychological 25,000 level. As soon as the futures market reopened at 6 p.m., I entered with a 20-lot position. My stop was below the weekly open. I was looking for roughly a 1:3 risk-to-reward.

 

On the lower timeframes, the price action continued to confirm the model—bullish FVGs forming on the way up, continuation structure holding. Meanwhile, bearish engulfing candles printed at swing lows failed, exactly like we want to see.

 

I showed the live account login on the video: real balance, real fills, floating around $93,000 at one point. But the dollar amount doesn’t matter. If your account is small, making $200 or $400 using the same rules is identical—it’s just a matter of position size. Years ago, I was risking $500–$1,000. As my net worth grew, I increased my risk proportionally. Eventually, price hit my target and I closed the trade for roughly $98,000.

 

Final Thoughts: Engulfing bars are easy to spot—but only powerful when combined with

 

    ▪ Proper context

    ▪ Liquidity understanding

    ▪ Market structure

    ▪ Higher-timeframe narrative

    ▪ Disciplined trade management

 

Your homework is to backtest and forward-test these exact setups: where the engulfing bar forms, where the liquidity sits, where your stop should go, and how to trail it as price moves in your favor. Scaling in, adjusting stops, and managing the trade all revolve around that one pattern.

With this engulfing bar strategy and the rules I just shared, you now have everything you need to start identifying high-probability opportunities. Remember: profitable trading isn’t about talent or luck—it’s about discipline, patience, and following your rules every single time.

Reference:

JadeCap (Sep 27, 2025) - I made $98,741 Trading This Simple Candlestick Strategy. (video)

 

Stop using the wrong timeframes. Use H4 and M15.

 

See also:

JadeCap (July 18, 2025) - Simple ICT Day Trading Strategy That Works Every Day.
JadeCap (July 17, 2025) - ICT Intraday Liquidity & Volatility Trading Playbook.

Michael J. Huddleston (2022) - Trading the Outside Day Candle. (video) 

Michael J. Huddleston (2022) - The Two Fair Value Gaps: Profiting from Imbalance. (video) 

Larry Williams (1998) - Outside Bar Trading Setups.