Monday, December 30, 2013

Solar Tides & Financial Markets | Al Larson

Astrophysics & Chaos [Mar 30, 1999]
"The Solar Energy System does affect markets. The Sun gives off radiation which varies by about 2 percent. These variations are caused by tidal forces that the revolving planets exert on the gases in the Sun.

These tides cause vortexes in the Sun’s surface leading to solar flares, coronal holes, and magnetic storms. The energy changes from these are carried to Earth on an ionized stream of particles called the Solar Wind.

When the Solar Wind reaches Earth it is deflected around the Earth by the Earth’s magnetic field. 

This creates a magnetosphere around the Earth. At the poles ionized particles can penetrate the Earth’s atmosphere. Changes in the solar radiation cause changes in the voltage in the ionosphere.

This in turn causes changes in the electrical currents flowing through people standing on the Earth. These emotional swings account for about 40 percent of price motion."
 
Al Larson a.k.a. Hanns Hannula [extracted from his "Cash in on Chaos Newsletter" @ www.moneytide.com - more HERE & HERE]
 

Hans Hannula (1991): A Lunar Chaos Theory; p. 14


Wednesday, December 18, 2013

The Skyscraper Indicator | Excuse Me, While I Kiss the Sky

Cycles analyst Edward Dewey (1895–1978), who served as the chief economics analyst for the US Department of Commerce, developed the "Skyscraper Indicator" in the 1940s. This indicator correlates human optimism with the number of high-rise buildings under construction. When people are extremely optimistic, they tend to express these feelings in massive construction projects, especially very tall buildings, driven by a perceived need to build toward the sky. Since this extreme optimism is typically reached at major market peaks in the economy, severe economic downturns usually follow, which involve more than just declines in real estate prices.

The world’s current tallest building, the Burj Khalifa in Dubai (828 m), nicely illustrates this process. It was built as a monument to the Gulf emirate’s boom in the middle years of the last decade and opened in late 2009, precisely as the emirate plunged into a financial crisis. These are the highest buildings in 2013:
 
And these are the tallest buildings currently under construction and expected to be complete before 2020:

Skyscrapers under Construction.
 
It does not take a prophet to identify where the next economic bubbles are likely to burst. Of all the world's skyscrapers currently under construction, China accounts for 53% of them, and by 2016, China's highest buildings are projected to exceed the 'One World Trade Center' (417 m) in New York by 200 meters. The boom is evident, though the mid-2013 construction of the planned 838-meter 'Sky City' in south-central China was halted due to lack of a building permit. A similar enthusiasm for high-rises has gripped South Korea and India; India recently finished two skyscrapers and has 14 currently under construction. Furthermore, having miraculously survived the Arab Spring, the Saudi Arabian royal leadership is now decorating Jeddah with the 1,007-meter 'Kingdom Tower'.

Historical data supports this correlation: The construction of the Taipei 101 (508 m) began in 1999 and was completed in 2004. This duration spanned the recession of the early 2000s and the bursting of the tech bubble. Similarly, the completion of the Burj Khalifa in 2010 coincided with the height of the global financial crisis. Earlier, the Asian economic crisis, currency devaluation, and intense stock and property speculation in 1997–1998 coincided with the completion of the Petronas Towers (452 m), which were the world's tallest buildings at the time. According to the theory, the Great 18-Year Real Estate Cycle is once again due to peak and burst around 2016.

 World's Tallest Buildings 2020: Excuse me, while I kiss the sky ...

Friday, December 13, 2013

S&P 500 vs Planets out of Bounds


 Calculated and charted with Sergey Tarassov's Timing Solution.

When the declinations of Mercury, Venus and Mars are exceeding the extremes of the Sun's declination (= ± 23.27 degrees geocentric), the events are often correlating with market turns (see also HERE). 
 
20 May 2013- 13 Jun 2013 - Mercury OOB
24 May 2013- 19 Jun 2013 - Venus OOB
29 Jun 2013 - 3 Aug 2013 - Mars OOB
10 Oct 2013 - Dec 2013 - Venus OOB
16 Dec 2013 - 8 Jan 2014 - Mercury OOB

[Eastern Standard Time]

Wednesday, December 4, 2013

DJIA 2013-2014 vs 1929

Calculated and charted with Sergey Tarassov's Timing Solution. For the methodology see HERE
Tom DeMark detected this 2013-2014 analog with 1929. It points to a very important market top on January 14, 2014. However, in a recent interview Tom DeMark was expressing his frustration about his signals not working due to constant FED manipulations. Stan Harley has figured on January 10, 2014 as an important top based on Fibonacci cycles. Based on George Lindsay's techniques, Ed Carlson targets the first half of January as the later of two likely ultimate top dates for this uptrend: "The current LLH interval points to a top on 1/2/14."

Geocentric and Heliocentric Bradley Barometers │ Turning Points in 2014

In the 1940s, Garth Allen—better known by his pseudonym Donald Bradley (1925–1974)—developed the Bradley Siderograph to forecast financial markets, including stocks, bonds, and commodities. He assigned specific numerical values to certain geocentric and heliocentric planetary constellations for every day; the sum of these values is known as the geocentric or heliocentric Bradley Siderograph, or the Bradley Index.

Sergey Tarassov considers Bradley's book, Stock Market Prediction, to be the best work on financial astrology, stating: "He has done an excellent job, especially taking into account the fact that there were no PCs in the 1940s. First of all, he demonstrated that astrology really works. Second, he made this fact understandable to all people, not just a small astrological community. Each word in this book is meaningful compared to many modern sources of financial astrology." It is important to note, however, that the Bradley Indices do not predict the market's direction, but rather predict turning points within a time window of plus or minus four calendar days.


[Eastern Standard Time (EST) -0500 UTC]

Geocentric Bradley Index 2014
2013-11-04 (Mon) = High
2013-12-02 (Mon) = @ 0
2014-01-01 (Wed) = Major Low
2014-01-09 (Thu) = High
2014-01-23 (Thu) = Low
2014-02-04 (Tue) = High
2014-02-19 (Wed) = Low
2014-03-21 (Fri) = High
2014-04-04 (Fri) = Low
2014-04-28 (Mon) = High
2014-05-06 (Tue) = Low
2014-05-21 (Tue) = @ 0
2014-06-20 (Fri) = High
2014-06-27 (Fri) = Low
2014-07-15 (Tue) = Major High
2014-07-29 (Tue) = Low
2014-08-05 (Tue) = High
2014-09-10 (Wed) = Low
2014-09-17 (Wed) = High
2014-09-22 (Mon) = @ 0
2014-10-08 (Wed) = Low
2014-10-15 (Wed) = High
2014-11-20 (Thu) = Major Low
2014-12-09 (Tue) = High
2014-12-26 (Fri) = Low
2015-02-16 (Mon) = @ 0
2015-03-06 (Fri) = High
2015-03-11 (Wed) = Low
2015-04-03 (Fri) = High
 
 
Heliocentric Bradley Index 2013
2013-11-01 (Fri) = Major High
2013-12-03 (Tue) = @ 0
2014-01-01 (Wed) = Low
2014-01-07 (Tue) = High
2014-01-23 (Thu) = Major Low
2014-02-25 (Tue) = High
2014-03-07 (Fri) = Low
2014-03-21 (Fri) = High
2014-04-04 (Fri) = Low
2014-04-28 (Mon) = High
2014-05-06 (Tue) = Low
2014-05-21 (Wed) = @ 0
2014-06-20 (Fri) = High
2014-06-27 (Fri) = Low
2014-07-15 (Tue) = Major High
2014-07-29 (Tue) = Low
2014-08-08 (Fri) = High
2014-08-18 (Mon) = Low
2014-08-21 (Thu) = High
2014-09-23 (Tue) = @ 0
2014-10-08 (Wed) = Low
2014-10-15 (Wed) = High
2014-11-21 (Fri) = Major Low
2014-12-09 (Tue) = High
2014-12-26 (Fri) = Low
2015-02-11 (Wed) = @ 0
2015-03-04 (Wed) = High
2015-03-12 (Thu) = Low
2015-04-03 (Fri) = High
2015-04-13 (Mon) = Low
2015-04-24 (Fri) = Major High

Geocentric and Heliocentric Bradley Indices 2014
2013-11-01 (Fri) = Major High (helio)
2013-11-04 (Mon) = High (geo)
2013-12-02 (Mon) = @ 0 (geo)
2013-12-03 (Tue) = @ 0 (helio)
2014-01-01 (Wed) = Major Low (geo + helio)
2014-01-07 (Tue) = High (helio)
2014-01-09 (Thu) = High (geo)
2014-01-23 (Thu) = Low (geo) + Major Low (helio)
2014-02-04 (Tue) = High (geo)
2014-02-19 (Wed) = Low (geo)
2014-02-25 (Tue) = High (helio)
2014-03-07 (Fri) = Low (helio)
2014-03-21 (Fri) = High (geo + helio)
2014-04-04 (Fri) = Low (geo + helio)
2014-04-28 (Mon) = High (geo + helio)
2014-05-06 (Tue) = Low (geo + helio)
2014-05-21 (Tue) = @ 0 (geo + helio)
2014-06-20 (Fri) = High (geo + helio)
2014-06-27 (Fri) = Low (geo + helio)
2014-07-15 (Tue) = Major High (geo + helio)
2014-07-29 (Tue) = Low (geo + helio)
2014-08-05 (Tue) = High (geo)
2014-08-08 (Fri) = High (helio)
2014-08-18 (Mon) = Low (helio)
2014-08-21 (Thu) = High (helio)
2014-09-10 (Wed) = Low (geo)
2014-09-17 (Wed) = High (geo)
2014-09-22 (Mon) = @ 0 (geo)
2014-09-23 (Tue) = @ 0 (helio)
2014-10-08 (Wed) = Low (geo + helio)
2014-10-15 (Wed) = High (geo + helio)
2014-11-20 (Thu) = Major Low (geo)
2014-11-21 (Fri) = Major Low (helio)
2014-12-09 (Tue) = High (geo + helio)
2014-12-26 (Fri) = Low (geo + helio)
2015-02-11 (Wed) = @ 0 (helio)
2015-02-16 (Mon) = @ 0 (geo)
2015-03-04 (Wed) = High (helio)
2015-03-06 (Fri) = High (geo)
2015-03-11 (Wed) = Low (geo)
2015-03-12 (Thu) = Low (helio)
2015-04-03 (Fri) = High (geo + helio)
2015-04-13 (Mon) = Low (helio)
2015-04-24 (Fri) = Major High (helio)