Showing posts with label Cycles. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Cycles. Show all posts

Friday, September 4, 2026

S&P 500 vs. True & Mean Lunar Nodal Speed | September to December 2026

Financial markets correlate closely with the 4–14-day cycle of the True Lunar Node (North Node/Rahu) as it moves through its retrograde, stationary, and direct phases. This cycle is best illustrated by charting the True Lunar Nodal Speed against, for example, the S&P 500, where "speed" refers to the node's geocentric motion, measured in degrees of longitude per day.
 
Last station: Sep 04 (Fri) 03:57, Retrograde (Rx) → Direct. Next: Sep 07 (Mon) 03:12, local maximum
(+0.0190°/day), then Sep 09 (Wed) 15:18, Direct → Rx. True = Mean on Sep 13 (Sun) 07:35 ( EDT).
 
The True Node is predominantly retrograde, with a negative speed averaging −0.053°/day. It regularly slows, stations (speed = 0°/day), and briefly turns direct, reaching speeds of up to +0.0015°/day, before resuming its retrograde motion. These stationary periods are most pronounced and prolonged near eclipse seasons, which occur roughly every 173 days, when solar perturbations of the lunar orbit are strongest.

Around eclipses, the lunar nodes can shift rapidly between direct, retrograde, and near-
stationary motion, coinciding with sentiment extremes and elevated market volatility.

Expect potential short-term changes in trend when the True Lunar Nodal Speed (blue solid line in the charts above):

 changes direction, shifting from retrograde to direct and back (speed = 0°/day); or
reaches a maximum or minimum extreme
 equals Mean Nodal Speed 
 
Depending on the season, most True-Node speed swings last 7–8 days (69%).
 
Retrograde (Rx) → Direct repeats every ~13.5 days (6.7–15.8). 
 
Direct is a short poke (~3.6 d); retrograde is the body (~9.9 d); together they make the ~13.5-day station clock. 
 
2026 Q1 — Daily
 OHLC bars of the S&P 500 vs. True and Mean Lunar Nodal Speed;
 annular solar eclipse Feb 17, total lunar eclipse Mar 03.
 
2026 Q1 — 4-hour OHLC S&P 500 vs. True and Mean Lunar Nodal Speed. 
Blue wave is True Node speed on price scale; dashed blue is speed = 0 (direct above, retrograde below); red dashed is mean speed. Blue dates are stations/extrema in ET. Red vertical dates are True speed = Mean speed. Gold = solar, purple = lunar eclipse. 
 
 Q1 2026: True Lunar Nodal Speed at 0°/Day, at Extremes, and Equal to Mean Nodal Speed.
 
However, neither the daily nor the 4-hour chart follows the node. They may answer it, late or early by a bar or two on the 4-hour chart, and sometimes not at all. There hardly is any 1-to-1 correlation. What the speed curve is good for is identifying the hours when a crowd's appetite changes. A station (speed through 0°) is the useful alert: the True Node has stopped adding longitude or stopped subtracting it. That pause often appears as a change of character in the next one to three 4-hour bars—wider range, a failed break, or the first close that refuses the prior drift—rather than as a guaranteed reversal print at the exact minute.

Extrema serve a different purpose. A deep retrograde minimum represents a maximum rate of withdrawal; in Q1, the January 16 and January 30 lows, and in Q3, the July 12 and July 26 lows, fell within or just behind washout clusters already underway. The signal is not "buy the timestamp." It is "the selling has reached a dated climax window; now wait for the 4-hour structure to stop making lower lows after that window." The brief direct maxima are weaker. They last only a few days and often mark nothing more than a pause within an existing drift. Trading them as tops is therefore unreliable; in this sample, they more often mark a pause in the existing drift than a reversal of it.  
  
2026 Q2
— Daily OHLC S&P 500 vs. True and Mean Lunar Nodal Speed.
 
2026 Q2 — 4-hour OHLC S&P 500 vs. True and Mean Lunar Nodal Speed. 


 Q2 2026: True Lunar Nodal Speed at 0°/Day, at Extremes, and Equal to Mean Nodal Speed.
 
True nodal speed equal to mean speed is mostly a mid-wave event, not a turn. Red dates on these charts sit on the slope, not at the crest. Use them as confirmation that the osculating node has fallen back in step with the secular drift, which on the 4-hour chart tends to coincide with a continuation bar rather than a reversal. The April 2026 stretch is the clearest illustration of slope over event: from the April 4 minimum through the April 10–11 station and maximum, the 4-hour market rose with the wave. May 30 is the counterexample: a deep minimum against a market that only chopped at the highs. A minimum that does not meet a 4-hour breakdown is not a trade.

Delay is the practical rule. Weekend stations (e.g. March 21, May 30, June 14) spend their first reaction in Sunday–Monday futures and only then in the cash session; do not treat the Saturday timestamp as a Monday open. Intraday, the usable lag is one to six 4-hour bars. July 31 into August 2 is the best sequence in the file: station, then maximum, while the 4-hour S&P left the July hole and ran. September 4, 03:57 EDT, retrograde to direct, presents the opposite texture—an event at the local high, followed by a fade in the later bars of the same day. The same class of event, two market answers. The distinction is the 4-hour structure already in place when the node arrives.
 
 
2026 Q3 
— Daily OHLC S&P 500 vs. True and Mean Lunar Nodal Speed;
total solar eclipse Aug 12, partial lunar eclipse Aug 28; last S&P 500 bar Sep 04.
 
2026 Q3 — 4-hour OHLC S&P 500 vs. True and Mean Lunar Nodal Speed. 
 
  
Q3 2026: True Lunar Nodal Speed at 0°/Day, at Extremes, and Equal to Mean Nodal Speed.
  
Used as a short-term timing method, then: ignore lobes shorter than six days; treat the seven-to-eight-day swing as the holding window; take stations as tempo alerts and extrema as climax windows; and require the next 4-hour bar to confirm. 
 
2026 Q4 — Nov 09 16:45 is the deepest Rx of the year (−0.241°/day)—furthest from the mean.
 
 
 Q4 2026: True Lunar Nodal Speed at 0°/Day, at Extremes, and Equal to Mean Nodal Speed.
(Date and Time calculated for New York City, ET).
 
And, as always, what is being practiced here is attention and precision, not prediction: any market still has to print a reversal in its own highs and lows. Used this way, the inflection points and crossings in the True and Mean Lunar Nodal Speed curves may serve as a reminder to pay closer attention during the upcoming nodal events listed above. But for a short-term trader simply looking to make money in the markets, better to ignore them altogether and focus on market structure, price action, and risk management instead  (Williams, Unger, Huddleston, Burke).
 
See also: 

Tuesday, September 1, 2026

Hurst Cycles Update: SPX, NDX, ASX, Gold, Bitcoin | David Hickson

S&P 500A 20-week trough formed July 29. Bullish momentum has weakened but is not yet bearish; the key question is whether another 40-/80-day peak forms before an F-category break below the 20-day FLD initiates the decline into the mid-September 80-day trough.

 
NASDAQA 20-week trough formed at the end of July, at least 20-week magnitude and potentially higher. The NASDAQ retains stronger near-term bullish potential than the S&P 500, with 30,239 still outstanding and a possible double peak preceding the eventual F-category decline into the 80-day trough.

 
Australian ASXA 20-week trough formed around the US troughs, but the 20-day FLD has produced unclear signals and the trough did not clearly form below it. A 40-day trough probably formed in the third week of August, although an alternative remains. The ASX is likely approaching its second 80-day peak, but its FLD is unusually unreliable (23% interaction rating), while failure to reach 9,237 provides a stronger bearish warning than in the US markets.
 

 
GoldA 20-week trough formed in the third week of July. Gold's bullish impetus may have been exhausted at its recent 80-day/possible 20-week peak; the confirmed F-category FLD break favors approximately $4,312 and a mid-September 80-day trough, although larger bullish cycles may remain ahead.
 
 
BitcoinBitcoin has finally rallied from the potentially January 2026 18-month trough. A 20-week trough was identified in early July, although it could also represent a better placement of the 18-month trough. Bitcoin has finally produced the expected bullish strength; the 76,753 40-week FLD target has been exceeded, while the 20-day FLD will determine whether the 80-day trough occurred early or remains ahead.
 
 
Reference:

The $70k Gold Target Has a Date: Late 2050s | Branimir Vojcic

Inflation-adjusted monthly gold since 1970 shows three dominant long-term cycles: 55, 91, and 179 months. Multi-decade peaks in real gold form only when all three crest together.
 

That alignment has occurred three times since 1970, each marking a major historical top: January 1980 at $2,875, August 2011 at $2,699, and February 2026 at $5,492. The latest window ran from April 2025 to June 2026; real gold printed an all-time high 88% above the 1980 peak.

 
The next synchronicity does not return until the second half of the 2050s. Technicals still allow a much higher target at that date. Gold is rising inside a century-long trend channel whose upper rail capped the 1930s and 1980s highs. In Elliott terms it is subdividing through Cycle-degree Wave 5. Standard Fibonacci relationships put Wave 5 in the $18,000–$26,000 zone, which the upper channel reaches in the 2040s. A classic commodity-style fifth-wave extension would take gold near $70,000—the same upper-rail level the 55-, 91-, and 179-month cycles hit when they next peak together in the late 2050s.
 

Sunday, August 30, 2026

Astrological Decans, Tarot and Stock Market Cycles | Olga Morales

Financial markets react to shifts in collective mood—moving between optimism and pessimism, hope and fear, or confidence and panic. Australian financial astrologer Olga Morales explores how these emotional states manifest in market movements through astrologicadecans, Tarot symbolism, and planetary rhythms. Building on the foundational work of W.D. Gann (1878 – 1955) and Muriel Bruce Hasbrouck (18901981), her framework treats price patterns as direct expressions of collective human sentiment.
  
S&P 500 (daily candles). Mars decans: sharp reversals and volatility; Saturn decans: major market lows.

A decan is a 10-degree subdivision of a 30-degree zodiac sign—creating 36 segments across the 360-degree zodiac starting at Aries (defined by the spring equinox in the tropical zodiac)—each traditionally assigned a specific planetary ruler. Morales suggests that market turning points and periods of heightened volatility often correspond with the Sun or other planets moving through particular decans: Mars-ruled decans are frequently associated with sharp reversals and increased volatility, while Saturn-ruled decans often coincide with significant market lows.

The five Decans ruled by Mars: Aries Decan 1 (0°–10° Aries), Gemini Decan 2 (10°–20° Gemini), Leo Decan 3 (20°–30° Leo), Scorpio Decan 1 (0°–10° Scorpio), Capricorn Decan 2 (10°–20° Capricorn), and Pisces Decan 3 (20°–30° Pisces). The 36 Decans Chaldean Order ranks the seven traditional planets by geocentric orbital speed (°/day) from slowest to fastest: Saturn, Jupiter, Mars, Sun, Venus, Mercury, and Moon. Initiating at 0° Aries under the ruler Mars, this seven-planet sequence repeats continuously across the 36 decans, concluding the zodiac wheel at 30° Pisces under Mars, which creates the consecutive double-Mars rule at the Pisces-Aries nexus. 
Decans and the Tarot's Minor Arcana
Drawing from the occult teachings of the Hermetic Order of the Golden Dawn, Muriel Hasbrouck demonstrated in her 1941 book, "Pursuit of Destiny" (later republished/retitled as "Tarot and Astrology"), that major market trend shifts consistently align with planetary entries into new decans. Her six-year study revealed that approximately 75% of market trend changes occurred within 24 hours of a decan boundary transition. Beyond financial markets, Hasbrouck applied this predictive framework to seismic activity, forecasting major earthquakes to a degree that occasionally drew government censorship. 
 
Following the Hasbrouck system, Morales assigns each decan a corresponding card from the Tarot's Minor Arcana. The cards are organized according to the four elements: Wands correspond to the fire signs Aries, Leo, and Sagittarius; Pentacles to the earth signs Taurus, Virgo, and Capricorn; Swords to the air signs Gemini, Libra, and Aquarius; and Cups to the water signs Cancer, Scorpio, and Pisces.
 
Psychological Interpretation of Market Behavior
By analyzing market indices like the S&P 500, individual Tarot cards provide a psychological interpretation of specific transits:
Mars-Ruled Decans: Associated with heightened volatility, sharp reversals, and conflict. Specific transits reflect distinct behavioral states—for instance, the Sun moving through Mars-ruled Gemini (9 of Swords) corresponds to market panic and despair, while its transit through Scorpio (5 of Cups) reflects downturns driven by a loss of pleasure and sentiment.
Saturn-Ruled Decans: Coincide with market bottoming phases, consolidation, and major cyclical lows.
Sun-Ruled Decans: Produce strong bullish momentum, particularly when the Sun transits its sign of exaltation in Aries. 
Upcoming planetary and solar 10° decan ingresses and retrograde
re-entries (ET). Sun-, Mars-, and Saturn-ruled decans are shaded yellow. 
Fast planets trigger short-term volatility; slow outer planets dictate macro trends.
Mars decans tend to trigger volatility reversals, whereas Saturn decans mark lows.
 
Applications for Traders
While initial observations often focus on the Sun's transit through the 36 decans (see first chart above), Morales's framework applies to all planetary bodies (see table above). Fast-moving inner planets (Mercury, Venus, Earth, Mars) trigger short-term volatility bursts, whereas slow-moving outer planets (Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune, Pluto) dictate multi-month macro trends as they pass through 10-degree sectors. Morales encourages traders to experiment with these planetary rhythms rather than accept them passively. It might be worth comparing tropical decan results against those of the Sidereal zodiac—used in Vedic astrology and astronomical observation—where 0° Aries is anchored to fixed star constellations rather than the equinox.
 
 
» Adding the mathematical components completes Olga Morales’s decan model. The chart above maps a S&P 500 volatility model against the Sun's decan positions, with the solid red line representing volatility—not trend. «
See also:

Wednesday, August 26, 2026

The Saturn-Rahu/Ketu Conjunction Blueprint of Market Cycles | Allen Reminick

This 1646 engraving by Jesuit polymath Athanasius Kircher is an astronomical calculating tool from his book Ars Magna Lucis et Umbrae (The Great Art of Light and Shadow). Known as the Eclipse Dragon, the diagram maps and predicts solar and lunar eclipses. The beast's winding body represents the ecliptic plane, as eclipses occur only when the Moon intersects this path. The dragon's head on the left marks the ascending North Node, historically called "Caput Draconis." Its coiled tail on the right signifies the descending South Node, or "Cauda Draconis."
Fifteen years of statistical validation show that buying during Moon-Ketu conjunctions and selling at Moon-Rahu conjunctions yields a 70% win rate over two-week periods in the S&P 500. The critical caveat is that even when the statistics suggest shorting during Moon-Rahu alignments, the prudent approach avoids counter-trend positions in a bull market. The deeper principle is that the nodes serve as polarity points: Ketu represents contraction and Rahu expansion, each exerting a predictable gravitational influence on market psychology.

Saturn-Rahu Synodic Cycle: The Explosive Bull Catalyst
The strongest evidence for planetary influence emerges from the 11.4-year Saturn-North Node synodic cycle (11.4045 years = 4,165.443 days). When the angle between them measures approximately thirteen degrees—as on March 01 (Sat), 2025 [exact 2025 Saturn–North Node conjunction: on April 14 with the mean node, on April 21 (Mon), 2025 with the true node], preceding the March 30th low—historical back-testing reveals extraordinary consistency. Over 110 years, every occurrence of this specific angular relationship produced an explosive rally shortly thereafter. The 2025 rally from the April lows demonstrated the pattern with remarkable precision, following the template established in 1992, 2003, and 2014, each separated by the 11.4-year interval.
The predictive power extends beyond price action into geopolitical correlation. The same Saturn-Rahu alignment that preceded the 2025 market low also maps to the beginning of the Iraq War in 2003, the Gulf War in 1991, and Ruhollah Khomeini's rise to power in Iran in 1979. Four cycles later, on February 28, 2026, Ali Khameini was murdered on the exact day another cycle began. The dissolution of the Soviet Union in December 1991 aligned with this cycle, while its formation sixty-nine years earlier also fell on the same pattern. The 2025 Straits of Hormuz crisis mirrors the Dardanelles crisis of 1878—precisely 148 years, or thirteen synodic cycles, apart—with both involving naval deployments to keep strategic waterways open.
Saturn-Ketu Conjunction: The Bearish Counterpoint
The opposite nodal alignment—Saturn conjunct Ketu—produces the mirror image: severe bear markets every 34 years, or three Saturn-Rahu cycles. The October 11th, 2007 conjunction in Leo [exact Saturn–Ketu conjunction October 12 or 23, ephemeris-dependent] marked the exact high of the Great Financial Crisis. 
Three cycles earlier came the 1974 bear market, triggered three days after President Nixon's resignation. Three cycles before that, the 1940 crash unfolded as Hitler's European campaign intensified. Each occurrence produced a waterfall decline of approximately twenty percent, establishing durable lows that, crucially, were followed by recovery to new highs within five years—a pattern suggesting that the 4,800 level on the S&P in April 2025 will hold as a long-term floor.
Symmetry of Opposites: Market Inversion Mechanics
When Saturn-Rahu and Saturn-Ketu conjunctions occur at opposite zodiacal points, the market responds with striking symmetry. The 2007 high, generated by a Ketu conjunction, corresponds to the 2025 low produced by its Rahu counterpart, inverting the Great Financial Crisis into an upside-down mirror image. 
 
The recent S&P rally was driven by the Saturn‑Rahu synodic cycle: On March 1, 2026, a high formed with a thirteen‑degree angle between Saturn and the North Node, followed by a low on March 30. This exact thirteen‑degree angle recurs every 11.4 years, and back‑testing over 110 years shows that every occurrence produced an explosive rally soon after the corresponding high. Crucially, from every Saturn‑Rahu low, the market is invariably higher five years later, with no exceptions, even when intermediate bear markets appear, as in 1957 and 1969. The synodic period of 11.4 years shifts through different zodiac signs, requiring a full thirteen cycles—totaling 148 years—to return to the identical starting position. On a short‑term basis, Moon‑Ketu conjunctions are bullish and Moon‑Rahu conjunctions are bearish, yet in a bull market one must never counter‑trend short on the Moon‑Rahu signal. 
The 17.5-year interval—1.5 times the 11.4-year cycle—aligns the 2008 Lehman Brothers collapse, the worst phase of the decline, with the most explosive portion of the 2025 rally. On November 21 (Fri), a secondary low followed by a six-week bounce, maps precisely to current market positioning, providing a roadmap for the coming months: a continuation of the rally into September, punctuated by a July dip.

The 34-Year Cycle: Structural Superiority Through Zodiacal Rotation
While the 11.4-year Saturn-Rahu cycle demonstrates impressive predictive capability, the 34.2-year cycle exhibits greater longevity and structural integrity. The reason lies in zodiacal position: the 1991 conjunction occurred at the beginning of Capricorn [Jan 21 (Mon), 1991, while the 2025 alignment in the sidereal system occurred at approximately two degrees of Pisces]—a sixty-degree rotation. 
 
34.25-Year Saturn–Node Cycle Overlay: Weekly Dow versus the same chart shifted back 34.25 years (three Saturn–North Node synodic cycles of 11.4045 years each). The April 2025 low maps directly onto the December 1991 low, the 2007–09 financial-crisis decline aligns with the 1974 crash, and the 15 October 2014 low coincides with the 30 March 2025 low at 97 percent correlation on five-minute bars. The longer-term fidelity arises because the 1991 conjunction occurred at the start of Capricorn while the 2025 conjunction fell near 2° Pisces sidereal—a 60° rotation that preserves the cycle’s structural integrity far beyond isolated 11.4-year repetitions. Project the pattern forward from 34 years ago for the continuing roadmap.
This sixty-degree planetary shift, equivalent to one-sixth of the zodiac, preserves the cycle's periodicity across extended timeframes with 95% correlation. The April 2025 low corresponds precisely to the December 1991 low, with identical swing structures, while the 2007–2009 financial crisis maps to the 1974 crash, demonstrating that the thirty-four-year interval captures both the 11.4-year cycles and their sixty-degree rotations.

Jupiter-Saturn Supra-Cycle: The Grand Synthesizer
Above these cycles operates the Jupiter-Saturn synodic cycle, completing every 19.85 years and remaining in the same elemental sign for 250-year epochs. The 60-year cycle—three Jupiter-Saturn conjunctions, approximating 59.6 years—provides the most reliable long-term market template, with 1965 aligning perfectly with 2025 and 1966 with 2026. 
Multiplying the three cycles yields a 178-year interval connecting the 1842 Opium Wars to the current opioid crisis in the US, with trade direction reversing from west-to-east to east-to-west. The same 178-year span links Mexico's 1828 independence and subsequent invitation to American settlers with today's immigration crisis, demonstrating that these cycles govern not merely market prices but the collective human drama itself.
Human Element: Consciousness Embedded in Cosmic Structure
The patterns repeat because human nature remains constant. The same emotions, fear and greed, and cognitive biases that drove traders in 1878 continue to drive traders today. Planetary configurations serve as signposts—mathematical markers of where collective consciousness directs its attention and emotional energy. 
 
Partial Solar Eclipse (August 12, 2026) and Partial Lunar Eclipse (August 28, 2026) over New York. Moon-Rahu and Moon-Ketu conjunctions occur once per Draconic Month (~27.2122 days) at each node. The most critical conjunctions occur when the Moon aligns with a node near a syzygy (New or Full Moon), producing solar or lunar eclipses—for example, March 3, 2026, Ketu: Total Lunar Eclipse; August 12, 2026, Rahu: Total Solar Eclipse; August 28, 2026, Rahu: Partial Lunar Eclipse. 
Recognizing this structure dissolves the apparent chaos of markets into ordered pattern. The trader ceases to be a victim of random events and becomes an informed participant in a cosmic drama, understanding that the script was written not in Washington or on Wall Street, but in the mathematics of the solar system itself. As the ancient aphorism states: "As above, so below." Markets, far from being disconnected from natural law, operate as its most transparent expression.

 

Tuesday, August 11, 2026

Gold Has Bottomed? What the Cycles Say | Branimir Vojcic

Shorter-term cycles indicate that Gold has formed an interim bottom. 
 
 
The composite line of the five dominant short- and medium-to-longer-term cycles (32, 79, 118, 194 and 1,181 trading days or 46.4, 114.5, 171 and 281 calendar days) projects an upcoming medium-term peak on September 11 (Fri), followed by the next trough on November 16 (Mon). 


However, the composite line of the two dominant long-term cycles (1,181 trading days or 4.687 years and 1,832 trading days or 7.27 years) suggests that Gold's correction will continue through late October 2028, followed by a rally extending into the end of November 2030.