![]() |
Current Solar Data from NOAA (HERE + HERE) |
Showing posts with label Sunspots. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Sunspots. Show all posts
Thursday, September 1, 2016
SPX vs Sunspots | 36 - 48 Hour Forecast
Labels:
27-Day Sunspot Cycle,
AP,
AstroFin,
F2 Layer,
Financial Astrology,
Market and Solar Activity,
NOAA,
SPX,
Sunspots,
US-Stocks
Monday, June 6, 2016
Spotless Sun | Solar Cycle # 24 weakest in more than a Century
![]() |
Not a single sunspot since June 3rd. However, solar activity of course continues modulating geomagnetism, and in some two or three days sunspots should reappear from region #12,546, currently still on the sun's farside. The current Solar Cycle # 24 is the weakest solar cycle in more than a century with the fewest sunspots since Solar Cycle # 14 peaked in February 1906. |
![]() |
The Sun rotates counterclockwise, but not as a rigid sphere: The equator rotates faster than the poles (differential rotation). |
Labels:
Market and Solar Activity,
Solar Cycle 24,
Sunspots
Thursday, June 2, 2016
SPX vs Solar Activity
Labels:
10.7 cm Flux,
AP Index,
Market and Solar Activity,
SPX,
Sunspots,
US-Stocks
Saturday, April 23, 2016
SPX vs 10.7 cm Flux | April - May 2016
Labels:
10.7 cm Flux,
NOAA,
SPX,
Sun and Financial Markets,
Sunspots,
US-Stocks
Thursday, February 25, 2016
SPX vs Sunpots
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
Market and Solar Activity,
SPX,
Sun and Financial Markets,
Sunspots,
US-Stocks
Friday, February 12, 2016
SPX vs Sunspots
Labels:
10.7 cm Radio Flux,
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
Market and Solar Activity,
Planetary A Index,
SPX,
Sunspots,
US-Stocks
Monday, December 14, 2015
SPX vs Sunspots
![]() |
The inverted Sunspots shifted +2 days oftentimes correlate with the stock market, and suggest: from a Monday low up into Tuesday. |
![]() |
The inverted Sunspots shifted +49 days hint to the current cycle's and the market's likely future direction. |
![]() |
The Planetary A Index < 10 is usually negative for the stock market; the inverted 10.7 cm Flux usually forecasts the market's direction. |
Labels:
10.7 cm Radio Flux,
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
Market and Solar Activity,
Planetary A Index,
SPX,
Sunspots,
US-Stocks
Sunday, October 18, 2015
SPX vs Sunspots
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
Market and Solar Activity,
SPX,
Sunspots,
US-Stocks
Saturday, October 3, 2015
SPX vs Sunspots
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
Market and Solar Activity,
SPX,
Sunspots,
US-Stocks
Monday, September 28, 2015
Yesterday Sunspots Increased = Today Market Should Decline
![]() |
However, the daily sunspot number reached a 2 year high (154) while the SoLunar Map signals an upturn in the stock market (see also HERE) |
Labels:
10.7 cm Radio Flux,
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
Market and Solar Activity,
NOAA,
SPX,
Sunspots,
US-Stocks,
X-Ray Flares
Saturday, September 26, 2015
Highest Daily Sunspot Number since April 2014
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
Market and Solar Activity,
NOAA,
SPX,
Sunspots,
US-Stocks
Wednesday, September 23, 2015
SPX vs Sunspots
![]() |
Sunspots shifted +49 days |
![]() |
The Ap index measures geomagnetic activity and the 10.7 cm Flux is considered a sunspot-proxy. Source: NOAA |
Labels:
10.7cm Flux,
AP,
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
Market and Solar Activity,
NOAA,
SPX,
Sunspots,
US-Stocks
Thursday, August 27, 2015
SPX vs Sunspots
Labels:
10.7cm Flux,
AP,
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
Market and Solar Activity,
NOAA,
SPX,
Sunspots,
US-Stocks
Monday, March 3, 2014
Sunspots and Stocks - The Short-Term

![]() |
'Daily Sunspot Numbers' and 'F10.7 Flux' e.g. @ NASA's OMNIWeb |
In the late 1990s Jeffrey Owen Katz and Donna McCormick examined the effects of sunspots especially on the S&P 500 and Minnesota Wheat. They developed several profitable trading strategies generating entries and exits based on solar activity alone. However, they concluded: "We personally do not believe solar influences directly determine the market. We do suspect that they act as triggers for events that are predisposed to occur, or as synchronizers of already-present market rhythms with similar periodicities." Well ...
Labels:
10.7 cm Radio Flux,
Al Larson,
Bradley Siderograph,
Donna McCormick,
Geomagnetic Forecast,
Jeffrey Owen Katz,
KP Index,
Market and Solar Activity,
Solar Cycle,
Space Weather,
Sunspots
Sunspots, Climate, Agriculture, Financial Markets, and War | The Big Picture
![]() |
Most people think the Sun rests at the center of the solar system, and that the planets orbit it. This is almost correct, but not quite (HERE). |
Historically, most cultures believed that their collective behavior was influenced by the Sun and extraterrestrial cycles. Since 1755, when continuous recording of solar sunspot activity began in the West, much research has focused on the possible impacts of the solar cycle on climate, weather, agriculture, and, consequently, on financial markets. In the broader social realm, increased violence, crime rates, upheaval, revolutions, military attacks, and the intensity of warfare have been linked to the solar cycle and the resulting disturbances in the geomagnetic field (HERE).
The tidal and electromagnetic forces exerted on the Sun by the motions of the other planets—primarily Jupiter and Saturn—are the cause of cyclic solar activity. Outside of the Sun, Jupiter and Saturn combined contain 92% of the total planetary mass and 86% of the angular momentum. The Sun's radius is 0.0044 astronomical units, while Jupiter and Saturn can move the barycenter about 2.2 solar radii away from the center of the Sun. The total angular momentum in the Solar System is constant, while the angular momentum of each individual part of the system, referred to the Center of Mass, is variable. When Jupiter and Saturn are in conjunction with the Sun, the barycenter is far outside the Sun. But when both planets are on opposite sides, the barycenter is inside the Sun. Jupiter's magnetosphere extends well beyond Saturn's orbit. If it were not for the presence of the solar field itself, Jupiter's magnetosphere would reach the center of the solar system. Saturn also has a large magnetosphere, about one-fifth the size of Jupiter's. The variation in the Sun's motion about the Center of Mass is characterized by a periodicity of 178.770 years: Every 16 loops around the barycenter, the Sun repeats a very similar path. The slight time derivative or torque to this 178.770-year cycle, a time-dependent periodic function of +/- 1.05 years, is called the torque cycle. This is determined by nine subsequent synodic periods of Jupiter and Saturn (9 * 19.858 years = 178.720 years) and was used by Theodor Landscheidt to forecast sunspot cycles.
Probably, the earliest recorded hypothesis about the relation between solar and business activity was presented in a paper by German astronomer Wilhelm Herschel in 1801, who called attention to an apparent relationship between sunspot activity and the price of wheat. In 1875, British economist and statistician William Stanley Jevons suggested that there was a relationship between sunspots and business cycle crises. He reasoned that sunspots affect Earth's weather, which, in turn, influences crops and, therefore, the economy. In 1934, Argentinian Carlos Garcia-Mata and Felix I. Shaffner revisited the evidence about the links between solar activity and the business cycle in the US. They did not find support for Jevons’ theory about cyclical solar activity affecting crops. However, they uncovered a statistically significant correlation between fluctuations in non-agricultural business activity in the US and the solar cycle.
Solar maximums are good predictors of US recessions, effectively predicting at least 8 out of 13 recessions between 1935 and 2012. Recessions occurred in the months around and after the solar maximums much more often than in other periods. Out of 13 recessions during this period, 8 started within 2 years around solar maximums, counting from 3 months before until 20 months after them. What about the remaining 4 recessions that occurred between 1935 and 2012, including the Great Recession of 2008-09? The brief recession of 1945 was likely caused by a reduction in US government supply and military orders at the end of WWII. Similar causes likely triggered the recession of 1953-54 after the end of the Korean War (historically, recessions have often occurred after the end of major wars). The painful recession of 1974-75 was caused by the oil price shock. And the Great Recession of 2008-09 was triggered by the collapse of sub-prime lending in the US, which exposed massive overvaluation of the housing stock and flaws in mortgage lending and securitization practices.
In the 64 years from 1948 to 2012, all 6 periods of sunspot maximums overlapped with minimums of the US unemployment rate. Moreover, each time the dynamics of unemployment shifted from a declining trend to a rapid increase, with the unemployment rate peaking 2-3 years after the sunspot maximums.
Reference:
Labels:
Market and Solar Activity,
Mikhail Gorbanev,
Paul D. Jose,
Solar Cycle,
Spin-Orbit Coupling Hypothesis,
Sunspots,
Theodor Landscheidt,
William Herschel,
William Stanley Jevons
Wednesday, January 1, 2014
Sunspot Cycle 24: "None of us alive have ever seen such a weak cycle"
Conventional wisdom holds that solar activity swings back and forth like a simple pendulum. At one end of the cycle, there is a quiet time with few sunspots and flares. At the other end, Solar Maximum brings high sunspot numbers and solar storms. It’s a regular rhythm that repeats every 11 years.
Reality, however, is more complicated. Astronomers have been counting sunspots for centuries, and they have seen that the solar cycle is not perfectly regular. For one thing, the back-and-forth swing in sunspot counts can take anywhere from 10 to 13 years to complete; also, the amplitude of the cycle varies. Some solar maxima are very weak, others very strong (HERE).
But "none of us alive have ever seen such a weak cycle [as the sunspot cycle 24]", said Dr. Leif Svalgaard of Stanford University and other prominent solar scientists at the 2013 Fall Meeting of American Geophysical Union (AGU), held on December 11, 2013 in San Francisco. This solar max is weak, and the overall current cycle conjures up comparisons to the famously feeble Solar Cycle 14 in the early 1900s (see also HERE & HERE).
John Hampson recently expected the "solar cycle 24′s flat top to end by mid-2014", and one of two possibities playing out: "One, equities peak out within the next 6 months, commodities don’t come again, and we thereafter enter the typical post-solar-peak recession (deflationary). Or, two, equities are peaking now and commodities are breaking upwards out of their large consoliation triangles since 2011 to produce a typical late-cyclical final rally and help tip the weak economy into that recession." (see also HERE).
Reality, however, is more complicated. Astronomers have been counting sunspots for centuries, and they have seen that the solar cycle is not perfectly regular. For one thing, the back-and-forth swing in sunspot counts can take anywhere from 10 to 13 years to complete; also, the amplitude of the cycle varies. Some solar maxima are very weak, others very strong (HERE).
But "none of us alive have ever seen such a weak cycle [as the sunspot cycle 24]", said Dr. Leif Svalgaard of Stanford University and other prominent solar scientists at the 2013 Fall Meeting of American Geophysical Union (AGU), held on December 11, 2013 in San Francisco. This solar max is weak, and the overall current cycle conjures up comparisons to the famously feeble Solar Cycle 14 in the early 1900s (see also HERE & HERE).
John Hampson recently expected the "solar cycle 24′s flat top to end by mid-2014", and one of two possibities playing out: "One, equities peak out within the next 6 months, commodities don’t come again, and we thereafter enter the typical post-solar-peak recession (deflationary). Or, two, equities are peaking now and commodities are breaking upwards out of their large consoliation triangles since 2011 to produce a typical late-cyclical final rally and help tip the weak economy into that recession." (see also HERE).
![]() |
Credits: John Hampson |
![]() |
Credits: Jan Alvestad |
![]() |
Credits: Jan Alvestad |
Labels:
DJI,
Geomagnetic Forecast,
Geomagnetic Storm,
Jan Alvestad,
John Hampson,
KP Index,
Market and Solar Activity,
NOAA,
Solar Cycle 24,
Solar Wind,
Space Weather,
SPX,
Stock Market,
Sunspot Cycle,
Sunspots
Monday, December 30, 2013
Solar Tides & Financial Markets | Al Larson
Astrophysics & Chaos [Mar 30, 1999] |
"The Solar Energy System does affect markets. The Sun gives off radiation which varies by about 2 percent. These variations are caused by tidal forces that the revolving planets exert on the gases in the Sun.
These tides cause vortexes in the Sun’s surface leading to solar flares, coronal holes, and magnetic storms. The energy changes from these are carried to Earth on an ionized stream of particles called the Solar Wind.
When the Solar Wind reaches Earth it is deflected around the Earth by the Earth’s magnetic field.
This creates a magnetosphere around the Earth. At the poles ionized particles can penetrate the Earth’s atmosphere. Changes in the solar radiation cause changes in the voltage in the ionosphere.
This in turn causes changes in the electrical currents flowing through people standing on the Earth. These emotional swings account for about 40 percent of price motion."
These tides cause vortexes in the Sun’s surface leading to solar flares, coronal holes, and magnetic storms. The energy changes from these are carried to Earth on an ionized stream of particles called the Solar Wind.
When the Solar Wind reaches Earth it is deflected around the Earth by the Earth’s magnetic field.
This creates a magnetosphere around the Earth. At the poles ionized particles can penetrate the Earth’s atmosphere. Changes in the solar radiation cause changes in the voltage in the ionosphere.
This in turn causes changes in the electrical currents flowing through people standing on the Earth. These emotional swings account for about 40 percent of price motion."
Al Larson a.k.a. Hanns Hannula [extracted from his "Cash in on Chaos Newsletter" @ www.moneytide.com - more HERE & HERE]
Labels:
10.7 cm Radio Flux,
DJI,
Geomagnetic Forecast,
Geomagnetic Storm,
KP Index,
Lunar Cycle,
Market and Solar Activity,
NOAA,
Solar Wind,
Space Weather,
SPX,
Stock Market,
Sun,
Sunspots
Sunday, September 1, 2013
The Cloud Mystery | Henrik Svensmark
Looking at the Milky Way from above, we see four giant spiral arms. Our solar system is currently located within a small armlet called Orion, between the two large spiral arms, Sagittarius-Carina and Perseus. However, it doesn't stay there. It rotates at a speed of about 830,000 kilometers per hour around the galactic center, completing a full rotation every 250 million years. This rotation period is called a galactic year. This means that, on average, every 65 million years, our solar system moves through one of the major spiral arms of the Milky Way.
» The Sun controls the Earth's cloudiness. The climate is controlled by the clouds.
The clouds are controlled by cosmic rays. And the cosmic rays are controlled by the Sun. «
The clouds are controlled by cosmic rays. And the cosmic rays are controlled by the Sun. «
The Solar System's passage through the Milky Way (HERE)
During such a passage, the average temperature on Earth is about 5-10°C colder than outside the spiral arms, where more clouds can form, causing cooler climatic conditions. Within a spiral arm, more cosmic rays reach the Earth because there are more supernovae in the immediate vicinity of our solar system. These dying stars emit cosmic rays—subatomic particles with enormous energy rushing through the galaxy at almost the speed of light. Some of them shower down and bombard the Earth. In our atmosphere, the cosmic rays serve as nuclei for the condensation of water vapor and cloud formation. The clouds then reflect sunlight, cooling the Earth.
The Sun, of course, also plays an important role in cloud formation. When there are many sunspots, the Sun's magnetic fields emit more charged particles, called the solar wind. The solar wind counteracts and neutralizes cosmic rays, controlling how many reach the Earth. During the 20th century, the Sun's magnetic activity almost doubled. As a result, fewer cosmic rays reached the Earth, the cloud cover thinned, and the Earth's climate warmed.
The Sun, of course, also plays an important role in cloud formation. When there are many sunspots, the Sun's magnetic fields emit more charged particles, called the solar wind. The solar wind counteracts and neutralizes cosmic rays, controlling how many reach the Earth. During the 20th century, the Sun's magnetic activity almost doubled. As a result, fewer cosmic rays reached the Earth, the cloud cover thinned, and the Earth's climate warmed.
» Within a spiral arm, more cosmic rays reach the Earth. Cosmic rays serve
as nuclei for the condensation of water vapor and cloud formation. «
as nuclei for the condensation of water vapor and cloud formation. «
A ‘lazy’ Sun would produce less magnetic activity, less solar wind, and more cosmic rays would reach the Earth’s atmosphere, where they could build up clouds and cool the planet’s climate. The Sun controls the Earth’s cloudiness. The climate is controlled by the clouds. The clouds are controlled by cosmic rays. And the cosmic rays are controlled by the Sun.
The Cloud Mystery - Henrik Svensmark on Climate Change, 2007.
The Great Global Warming Swindle — Martin Durkin, 2007.
Sources:
Henrik Svensmark and Eigil Friis-Christensen, astrophysicists, Danish National Space Institute (DTU Space), Copenhagen | Nir Shaviv, astronomer, Racah Institute of Physics, Hebrew University of Jerusalem | Jan Veizer, geologist, Department of Earth Sciences, University of Ottawa and Institute for Geology, Mineralogy and Geophysics, Bochum Ruhr University | Jasper Kirkby (2011): The CLOUD experiment at CERN [65 m] | Lars Oxfeld Mortensen (2007): The Cloud Mystery - Henrik Svensmark on Climate Change [53 m] | Martin Durkin (2007): The Great Global Warming Swindle [76 m]
Labels:
Astronomy,
Astrophysics,
Climate Change,
cosmic rays,
Eigil Friis Christensen,
Galactic Center,
Henrik Svensmark,
Jan Veizer,
Man Made Global Warming,
Milky Way,
Nir Shaviv,
Solar System,
Solar Wind,
Sunspots
Tuesday, November 13, 2012
SPX vs Solar Flux & Lunar Cycle
Active Region 1613, located in southern hemisphere, produced three M-class solar flares in last 6 hours. At 23:28 UTC, November 12, 2012 it peaked with M2.0 solar flare, then on November 13, 2012 at 02:04 an impulsive M6.0 peaked followed by M2.5 at 05:50 UTC (HERE).
See also HERE & HERE
See also HERE & HERE
Labels:
10.7 cm Radio Flux,
Lunar Cycle,
Market and Solar Activity,
Solar Eclipse,
Space Weather,
Sun,
Sunspots
Wednesday, September 12, 2012
SPX vs Delta - Update
A high (ITD #3) around Equinox - a Gann Natural Trading Day clustered with more astro-events (HERE & HERE) - would also be perfectly in line with the seasonal pattern:
2008-11-05 High + 1416 CD = Sep 22 (Sat) = 4 Lunar Year Cycle (LTD)
2011-10-04 Low + 354 CD = Sep 22 (Sat) = 1 Lunar Year Cycle inverted (MTD)
2012-05-29 High + 118 CD = Sep 24 (Mon) = 4 Lunation Cycle (ITD)

Though THE high projected for late August is not in yet, the 1972-2012 correlation = 40 year Cycle has increased to 89% !
2008-11-05 High + 1416 CD = Sep 22 (Sat) = 4 Lunar Year Cycle (LTD)
2011-10-04 Low + 354 CD = Sep 22 (Sat) = 1 Lunar Year Cycle inverted (MTD)
2012-05-29 High + 118 CD = Sep 24 (Mon) = 4 Lunation Cycle (ITD)

Though THE high projected for late August is not in yet, the 1972-2012 correlation = 40 year Cycle has increased to 89% !
Labels:
40 Year Cycle,
Delta,
DJI,
ITD,
LTD,
MTD,
Seasonality,
SPX,
Sunspots,
W.D. Gann
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)