Tuesday, January 21, 2014

U.S. Stocks in 5th strongest and 6th longest Bull Cycle since 1900




















The bull market since March 2009 is the 22nd bull cycle since 1900. End of December 2013 it was in its 57th month. This is about the length of the current sunspot cycle 24. The ongoing bull market is now also the 6th longest bull cycle and with a performance of 154% (closing December 31st) the 5th strongest since 1900. 


Sunday, January 19, 2014

Sources of Wealth & the American System of Political Economy | Friedrich List

Friedrich List (1789–1846) was born in Reutlingen, Württemberg, in what was not yet a united Germany. As a young economics professor in the aftermath of the Congress of Vienna (1815), he worked for German unity and protective tariffs among the tiny, feudal-ruled German principalities. His German Trade and Tradesmen's Union (Allgemeiner Deutscher Handels- und Gewerbeverein) advocated a free republican constitution and the national promotion of domestic industries. List demanded protection from cheap imports from Britain’s global slave empire that were flooding German markets, fearing that the German people would end up as "drawers of water and hewers of wood for Britain." Austria's Prince Metternich regarded List as an intolerably dangerous "agitator" and arranged for his arrest and imprisonment, eventually forcing him to emigrate to the US in 1824.
 
» The power to create wealth is infinitely more important than wealth itself. «

Contrary to Metternich's intention, this led to List's most fertile period of collaboration with Americans such as Henry Carey and Henry Clay. In a speech before the Pennsylvania Society for the Promotion of Manufactures and the Mechanic Arts in 1827, List threw down the gauntlet: "I herewith declare war against the system of Adam Smith on behalf of the American System of Political Economy." His book 'Outlines on American Political Economy' was written that same year.

While in the US, List opened coal mines, helped plan a canal system, designed rail transportation, and proposed the construction of a Panama Canal. He returned to Germany in 1830 and became the American Consul to Leipzig. There, he launched his program for a national railway network and became known as the "Father of the German Railways." His program for the expansion of the Zollverein (Customs Union) was implemented in 1834. In 1841, List published what remains one of the most important works in the history of political economy, 'The National System of Political Economy,' in which he launched a devastating critique of British free-trade ideology:
"The causes of wealth are something totally different than wealth itself. An individual can possess wealth, i.e., exchange value, but if he does not have the power to create more valuable items than he consumes, he will become impoverished. An individual may be poor, but if he has the power to create a larger amount of valuable items than he consumes, he becomes rich. 

The power to create wealth is therefore infinitely more important than wealth itself; it guarantees not only the possession and increase of what has been acquired, but also the replacement of what has been lost. This is even more the case with whole nations, that cannot live on pensions, than with private persons. 

Germany has been ravaged in every century by plague, by famine, or by internal and external wars, but it has always managed to save much of its productive forces, and so it returned quickly to prosperity, while the rich and powerful, but despot- and priest-ridden Spain, in full possession of domestic peace, sank ever deeper into poverty and misery. The same Sun shines upon the Spaniards, they have the same earth and land, their mines are just as rich, they are the same people as before the discovery of America and before the introduction of the Inquisition; but this people has gradually lost its productive power, so it has become poor and miserable. The North American liberation war has cost that nation hundreds of millions, but through the acquisition of national independence their productive power was strengthened immeasurably, so they could create much greater riches within a few years after the peace than they had ever possessed.

[...] The motto, 'laissez faire, laissez passer' is [...] one that sounds no less pleasant to robbers, cheaters, and thieves than to the merchant, and therefore one ought to regard this maxim with suspicion [...] This perversity, to surrender the interests of manufacturing and agriculture to the unfettered demands of trade, is a natural consequence of that theory, which universally looks only at prices, never allowing for the work required to produce, and views the entire world as one single and indivisible republic of merchants. 

This school of thought [Adam Smith's] does not see that the merchant can achieve his purpose—obtaining profits by trade, even at the expense of agriculture and manufacturing, at the expense of the productive forces—just as easily through the independence and autonomy of nations. It’s all the same to him, and it is in the nature of his business and his aspirations that he cannot give a fig about the effect that the way in which he imports or exports goods might have upon the morality, the prosperity, and the power of the nation. He imports poisons just as he imports medicines. He enervates entire nations with opium and distilled spirits. Whether he provides hundreds of thousands of jobs and livelihood through his imports and chicanery, or whether an equal number are thus brought to beggary, it means nothing to a businessman, so long as it improves his balance sheet."
The core of List's argument is straightforward: surrendering everything to the "invisible hand" of the market amounts to an anarchistic conception of freedom that deliberately refuses to distinguish between theft and productive investment. From this perspective, the British doctrine of free trade had already been challenged by thinkers such as Gottfried Leibniz and Jean-Baptiste Colbert in the seventeenth century, Alexander Hamilton in the eighteenth century, and, again, Henry Carey, Sergei Yulevich Witte, and many others in the nineteenth century.

In more recent times, however, British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher (1979–1990) became a fervent follower of the Austrian School's economic liberalism. She had read Friedrich von Hayek's The Road to Serfdom with enthusiasm and subsequently argued that social spending was tantamount to socialism. One simplification followed another: free trade became synonymous with freedom. The October 1986 "Big Bang" was presented as Thatcher's great blow for financial freedom: the sudden and radical deregulation of London’s financial markets. With the abolition of capital controls and the enormous bonuses paid to executives, financial elites from around the world were able to operate with unprecedented freedom in London. London became the largest financial center in the world, accompanied by spectacular growth in the newly deregulated financial sector.

In the US, the deregulation of infrastructure and the systematic reduction of investment in the real economy were promoted by certain Rockefeller protégés of the Mont Pelerin Society and were ultimately set into place under President Jimmy Carter (1977–1981). The process was accelerated significantly under Ronald Reagan (1981–1989). Three decades later, much of the US' industrial and productive employment had disappeared. The example of Detroit became a subject of study for Asian anthropologists examining the collapse of urban culture in a formerly major industrialized nation.

Free trade and deregulation, the argument continues, have produced devastating consequences wherever they have been implemented on a large scale. They contributed to the conditions underlying the current global crisis, which the author characterizes as being orchestrated by a financial oligarchy centered in Wall Street, the City of London, Paris, Frankfurt, Riyadh, and Doha. According to this view, these financial interests employ institutions and mechanisms associated with the Federal Reserve, ECB, IMF, WTO, UN, and NATO to generate enormous profits for a small minority while producing misery and failed states for the many.

At the same time, countries participating in institutions and initiatives such as the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), the Eurasian Union, and the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) are presented as evidence that economic growth and human progress remain possible in the contemporary world. Students of Leibniz, Colbert, and Hamilton, as well as List, Carey, and Witte, continue to advocate the use of state power to create wealth through industrial production, regulate the financial sector, expand high-quality public education and scientific research, strengthen healthcare and productive investment, and establish and protect the social and economic rights of working people and their families.

Thursday, January 9, 2014

SoLunar Tidal Forces 2014


















[Eastern Standard Time (EST) -0500 UTC]

2013-12-26 (Thu) = Tidal Force @ Zero
2014-01-01 (Wed) = SuperNewMoon = Moon @ Perigee + Tidal Force @ MAX
2014-01-04 (Sat) = Earth @ Perihelion
2014-01-07 (Tue) = 1st Quarter
2014-01-09 (Thu) = Tidal Force @ Zero
2014-01-15 (Wed) = Full Moon + Moon @ Apogee
2014-01-16 (Thu) = Tidal Force @ MIN
2014-01-23 (Thu) = Tidal Force @ Zero
2014-01-24 (Fri) = 3rd Quarter
2014-01-30 (Thu) = SuperNewMoon = Moon @ Perigee + Tidal Force @ MAX
2014-02-06 (Thu) = 1st Quarter + Tidal Force @ Zero
2014-02-12 (Wed) = Moon @ Apogee + Tidal Force @ MIN
2014-02-14 (Fri) = Full Moon
2014-02-20 (Thu) = Tidal Force @ Zero
2014-02-22 (Sat) = 3rd Quarter
2014-02-27 (Thu) = Moon @ Perigee + Tidal Force @ MAX
2014-03-01 (Sat) = New Moon
2014-03-06 (Thu) = Tidal Force @ Zero
2014-03-08 (Sat) = 1st Quarter
2014-03-11 (Tue) = Moon @ Apogee + Tidal Force @ MIN
2014-03-16 (Sun) = Full Moon
2014-03-20 (Thu) = Equinox + Tidal Force @ Zero
2014-03-23 (Sun) = 3rd Quarter
2014-03-27 (Thu) = Moon @ Perigee + Tidal Force @ MAX
2014-03-30 (Sun) = New Moon
2014-04-03 (Thu) = Tidal Force @ Zero
2014-04-07 (Mon) = 1st Quarter
2014-04-08 (Tue) = Tidal Force @ MIN
2014-04-15 (Tue) = Full Moon = Lunar Eclipse
2014-04-16 (Wed) = Tidal Force @ Zero
2014-04-22 (Tue) = 3rd Quarter + Moon @ Perigee
2014-04-23 (Wed) = Tidal Force @ MAX
2014-04-29 (Tue) = New Moon = Solar Eclipse
2014-04-30 (Wed) = Tidal Force @ Zero
2014-05-06 (Tue) = 1st Quarter + Moon @ Apogee + Tidal Force @ MIN
2014-05-13 (Tue) = Tidal Force @ Zero
2014-05-14 (Wed) = Full Moon
2014-05-18 (Sun) = Moon @ Perigee + Tidal Force @ MAX
2014-05-21 (Wed) = 3rd Quarter
2014-05-26 (Mon) = Tidal Force @ Zero
2014-05-28 (Wed) = New Moon
2014-06-02 (Mon) = Moon @ Apogee
2014-06-03 (Tue) = Tidal Force @ MIN
2014-06-05 (Thu) = 1st Quarter
2014-06-10 (Tue) = Tidal Force @ Zero
2014-06-12 (Thu) = Full Moon
2014-06-14 (Sat) = Moon @ Perigee
2014-06-15 (Sun) = Tidal Force @ MAX
2014-06-19 (Thu) = 3rd Quarter
2014-06-21 (Sat) = Solstice
2014-06-22 (Sun) = Tidal Force @ Zero
2014-06-27 (Fri) = New Moon
2014-06-30 (Mon) = Tidal Force @ MIN
2014-06-30 (Mon) = Moon @ Apogee
2014-07-03 (Thu) = Earth @ Aphelion
2014-07-05 (Sat) = 1st Quarter
2014-07-08 (Tue) = Tidal Force @ Zero
2014-07-12 (Sat) = SuperFullMoon = Moon @ Perigee
2014-07-13 (Sun) = Tidal Force @ MAX
2014-07-18 (Fri) = 3rd Quarter
2014-07-20 (Sun) = Tidal Force @ Zero
2014-07-26 (Sat) = New Moon
2014-07-27 (Sun) = Moon @ Apogee
2014-07-28 (Mon) = Tidal Force @ MIN
2014-08-03 (Sun) = 1st Quarter
2014-08-05 (Tue) = Tidal Force @ Zero
2014-08-10 (Sun) = SuperFullMoon = Moon @ Perigee + Tidal Force @ MAX
2014-08-17 (Sun) = 3rd Quarter + Tidal Force @ Zero
2014-08-24 (Sun) = Moon @ Apogee + Tidal Force @ MIN
2014-08-25 (Mon) = New Moon
2014-09-02 (Tue) = 1st Quarter + Tidal Force @ Zero
2014-09-07 (Sun) = Moon @ Perigee
2014-09-09 (Tue) = SuperFullMoon = Tidal Force @ MAX
2014-09-14 (Sun) = Tidal Force @ Zero
2014-09-15 (Mon) = 3rd Quarter
2014-09-20 (Sat) = Moon @ Apogee + Tidal Force @ MIN
2014-09-23 (Mon) = Equinox
2014-09-24 (Wed) = New Moon
2014-09-29 (Mon) = Tidal Force @ Zero
2014-10-01 (Wed) = 1st Quarter
2014-10-06 (Mon) = Moon @ Perigee + Tidal Force @ MAX
2014-10-08 (Wed) = Full Moon = Lunar Eclipse
2014-10-13 (Mon) = Tidal Force @ Zero
2014-10-15 (Wed) = 3rd Quarter
2014-10-18 (Sat) = Moon @ Apogee + Tidal Force @ MIN
2014-10-23 (Thu) = New Moon = Solar Eclipse
2014-10-26 (Sun) = Tidal Force @ Zero
2014-10-30 (Thu) = 1st Quarter
2014-11-02 (Sun) = Moon @ Perigee
2014-11-03 (Mon) = Tidal Force @ MAX
2014-11-06 (Thu) = Full Moon
2014-11-09 (Sun) = Tidal Force @ Zero
2014-11-14 (Fri) = 3rd Quarter + Moon @ Apogee
2014-11-15 (Sat) = Tidal Force @ MIN
2014-11-21 (Fri) = Tidal Force @ Zero
2014-11-22 (Sat) = New Moon
2014-11-28 (Fri) = Tidal Force @ MAX
2014-11-29 (Sat) = 1st Quarter
2014-12-06 (Sat) = Full Moon
2014-12-07 (Sun) = Tidal Force @ Zero
2014-12-12 (Fri) = Moon @ Apogee
2014-12-13 (Sat) = Tidal Force @ MIN
2014-12-14 (Sun) = 3rd Quarter
2014-12-18 (Thu) = Tidal Force @ Zero
2014-12-21 (Sun) = New Moon + Solstice
2014-12-24 (Wed) = Moon @ Perigee + Tidal Force @ MAX
2014-12-28 (Sun) = 1st Quarter
2015-01-02 (Fri) = Tidal Force @ Zero
2015-01-04 (Sun) = Full Moon + Earth @ Perihelion

See also HERE

Wednesday, January 1, 2014

Sunspot Cycle 24: "None of us alive have ever seen such a weak cycle"

Conventional wisdom holds that solar activity swings back and forth like a simple pendulum.  At one end of the cycle, there is a quiet time with few sunspots and flares. At the other end, Solar Maximum brings high sunspot numbers and solar storms. It’s a regular rhythm that repeats every 11 years. 

Reality, however, is more complicated. Astronomers have been counting sunspots for centuries, and they have seen that the solar cycle is not perfectly regular. For one thing, the back-and-forth swing in sunspot counts can take anywhere from 10 to 13 years to complete; also, the amplitude of the cycle varies. Some solar maxima are very weak, others very strong (HERE). 

But "none of us alive have ever seen such a weak cycle [as the sunspot cycle 24]", said Dr. Leif Svalgaard of Stanford University and other prominent solar scientists at the 2013 Fall Meeting of American Geophysical Union (AGU), held on December 11, 2013 in San Francisco. This solar max is weak, and the overall current cycle conjures up comparisons to the famously feeble Solar Cycle 14 in the early 1900s (see also HERE & HERE).

John Hampson recently expected the "solar cycle 24′s flat top to end by mid-2014", and one of two possibities playing out: "One, equities peak out within the next 6 months, commodities don’t come again, and we thereafter enter the typical post-solar-peak recession (deflationary). Or, two, equities are peaking now and commodities are breaking upwards out of their large consoliation triangles since 2011 to produce a typical late-cyclical final rally and help tip the weak economy into that recession." (see also HERE).

Credits: John Hampson

Credits: Jan Alvestad
 

Credits: Jan Alvestad
























Monday, December 30, 2013

Solar Tides & Financial Markets | Al Larson

Astrophysics & Chaos [Mar 30, 1999]
"The Solar Energy System does affect markets. The Sun gives off radiation which varies by about 2 percent. These variations are caused by tidal forces that the revolving planets exert on the gases in the Sun.

These tides cause vortexes in the Sun’s surface leading to solar flares, coronal holes, and magnetic storms. The energy changes from these are carried to Earth on an ionized stream of particles called the Solar Wind.

When the Solar Wind reaches Earth it is deflected around the Earth by the Earth’s magnetic field. 

This creates a magnetosphere around the Earth. At the poles ionized particles can penetrate the Earth’s atmosphere. Changes in the solar radiation cause changes in the voltage in the ionosphere.

This in turn causes changes in the electrical currents flowing through people standing on the Earth. These emotional swings account for about 40 percent of price motion."
 
Al Larson a.k.a. Hanns Hannula [extracted from his "Cash in on Chaos Newsletter" @ www.moneytide.com - more HERE & HERE]
 

Hans Hannula (1991): A Lunar Chaos Theory; p. 14


Wednesday, December 18, 2013

The Skyscraper Indicator | Excuse Me While I Kiss the Sky

Cycles analyst Edward Dewey (1895–1978), who served as the chief economics analyst for the US Department of Commerce, developed the "Skyscraper Indicator" in the 1940s. This indicator correlates human optimism with the number of high-rise buildings under construction. When people are extremely optimistic, they tend to express these feelings in massive construction projects—especially very tall buildings—driven by a perceived need to build toward the sky. Since this extreme optimism is typically reached at major market peaks in the economy, severe economic downturns usually follow, involving more than just declines in real estate prices.

The world’s current tallest building, the Burj Khalifa in Dubai (828 m), nicely illustrates this process. It was built as a monument to the Gulf emirate’s boom in the middle years of the last decade and opened in late 2009, precisely as the emirate plunged into a financial crisis. These are the highest buildings in 2013:
 
And these are the tallest buildings currently under construction and expected to be completed before 2020:

Skyscrapers under Construction.
 
It does not take a prophet to identify where the next economic bubbles are likely to burst. Of all the world's skyscrapers currently under construction, China accounts for 53% of them, and by 2016, China's highest buildings are projected to exceed the One World Trade Center (417 m) in New York City by 200 meters. The boom is evident, though the mid-2013 construction of the planned 838-meter 'Sky City' in south-central China was halted due to a lack of a building permit. A similar enthusiasm for high-rises has gripped South Korea and India; India recently finished two skyscrapers and has 14 currently under construction. Furthermore, having miraculously survived the Arab Spring, the Saudi Arabia royal leadership is now decorating Jeddah with the 1,007-meter 'Kingdom Tower'.

Historical data supports this correlation: The construction of the Taipei 101 (508 m) began in 1999 and was completed in 2004. This duration spanned the recession of the early 2000s and the bursting of the tech bubble. Similarly, the completion of the Burj Khalifa in 2010 coincided with the height of the global financial crisis. Earlier, the Asian financial crisis, currency devaluation, and intense stock and property speculation in 1997–1998 coincided with the completion of the Petronas Towers (452 m), which were the world's tallest buildings at the time. According to the theory, the Great 18-Year Real Estate Cycle is once again due to peak and burst around 2016.

 World's Tallest Buildings 2020: Excuse me while I kiss the sky...

Friday, December 13, 2013

S&P 500 vs Planets out of Bounds


 Calculated and charted with Sergey Tarassov's Timing Solution.

When the declinations of Mercury, Venus and Mars are exceeding the extremes of the Sun's declination (= ± 23.27 degrees geocentric), the events are often correlating with market turns (see also HERE). 
 
20 May 2013- 13 Jun 2013 - Mercury OOB
24 May 2013- 19 Jun 2013 - Venus OOB
29 Jun 2013 - 3 Aug 2013 - Mars OOB
10 Oct 2013 - Dec 2013 - Venus OOB
16 Dec 2013 - 8 Jan 2014 - Mercury OOB

[Eastern Standard Time]

Wednesday, December 4, 2013

DJIA 2013-2014 vs 1929

Calculated and charted with Sergey Tarassov's Timing Solution. For the methodology see HERE
Tom DeMark detected this 2013-2014 analog with 1929. It points to a very important market top on January 14, 2014. However, in a recent interview Tom DeMark was expressing his frustration about his signals not working due to constant FED manipulations. Stan Harley has figured on January 10, 2014 as an important top based on Fibonacci cycles. Based on George Lindsay's techniques, Ed Carlson targets the first half of January as the later of two likely ultimate top dates for this uptrend: "The current LLH interval points to a top on 1/2/14."

Geocentric and Heliocentric Bradley Barometers │ Turning Points in 2014

In the 1940s, Garth Allen—better known by his pseudonym Donald Bradley (1925–1974)—developed the Bradley Siderograph to forecast financial markets, including stocks, bonds, and commodities. He assigned specific numerical values to certain geocentric and heliocentric planetary constellations for every day; the sum of these values is known as the geocentric or heliocentric Bradley Siderograph, or the Bradley Index.

Sergey Tarassov considers Bradley's book, Stock Market Prediction, to be the best work on financial astrology, stating: "He has done an excellent job, especially taking into account the fact that there were no PCs in the 1940s. First of all, he demonstrated that astrology really works. Second, he made this fact understandable to all people, not just a small astrological community. Each word in this book is meaningful compared to many modern sources of financial astrology." It is important to note, however, that the Bradley Indices do not predict the market's direction, but rather predict turning points within a time window of plus or minus four calendar days.


[Eastern Standard Time (EST) -0500 UTC]

Geocentric Bradley Index 2014
2013-11-04 (Mon) = High
2013-12-02 (Mon) = @ 0
2014-01-01 (Wed) = Major Low
2014-01-09 (Thu) = High
2014-01-23 (Thu) = Low
2014-02-04 (Tue) = High
2014-02-19 (Wed) = Low
2014-03-21 (Fri) = High
2014-04-04 (Fri) = Low
2014-04-28 (Mon) = High
2014-05-06 (Tue) = Low
2014-05-21 (Tue) = @ 0
2014-06-20 (Fri) = High
2014-06-27 (Fri) = Low
2014-07-15 (Tue) = Major High
2014-07-29 (Tue) = Low
2014-08-05 (Tue) = High
2014-09-10 (Wed) = Low
2014-09-17 (Wed) = High
2014-09-22 (Mon) = @ 0
2014-10-08 (Wed) = Low
2014-10-15 (Wed) = High
2014-11-20 (Thu) = Major Low
2014-12-09 (Tue) = High
2014-12-26 (Fri) = Low
2015-02-16 (Mon) = @ 0
2015-03-06 (Fri) = High
2015-03-11 (Wed) = Low
2015-04-03 (Fri) = High
 
 
Heliocentric Bradley Index 2013
2013-11-01 (Fri) = Major High
2013-12-03 (Tue) = @ 0
2014-01-01 (Wed) = Low
2014-01-07 (Tue) = High
2014-01-23 (Thu) = Major Low
2014-02-25 (Tue) = High
2014-03-07 (Fri) = Low
2014-03-21 (Fri) = High
2014-04-04 (Fri) = Low
2014-04-28 (Mon) = High
2014-05-06 (Tue) = Low
2014-05-21 (Wed) = @ 0
2014-06-20 (Fri) = High
2014-06-27 (Fri) = Low
2014-07-15 (Tue) = Major High
2014-07-29 (Tue) = Low
2014-08-08 (Fri) = High
2014-08-18 (Mon) = Low
2014-08-21 (Thu) = High
2014-09-23 (Tue) = @ 0
2014-10-08 (Wed) = Low
2014-10-15 (Wed) = High
2014-11-21 (Fri) = Major Low
2014-12-09 (Tue) = High
2014-12-26 (Fri) = Low
2015-02-11 (Wed) = @ 0
2015-03-04 (Wed) = High
2015-03-12 (Thu) = Low
2015-04-03 (Fri) = High
2015-04-13 (Mon) = Low
2015-04-24 (Fri) = Major High

Geocentric and Heliocentric Bradley Indices 2014
2013-11-01 (Fri) = Major High (helio)
2013-11-04 (Mon) = High (geo)
2013-12-02 (Mon) = @ 0 (geo)
2013-12-03 (Tue) = @ 0 (helio)
2014-01-01 (Wed) = Major Low (geo + helio)
2014-01-07 (Tue) = High (helio)
2014-01-09 (Thu) = High (geo)
2014-01-23 (Thu) = Low (geo) + Major Low (helio)
2014-02-04 (Tue) = High (geo)
2014-02-19 (Wed) = Low (geo)
2014-02-25 (Tue) = High (helio)
2014-03-07 (Fri) = Low (helio)
2014-03-21 (Fri) = High (geo + helio)
2014-04-04 (Fri) = Low (geo + helio)
2014-04-28 (Mon) = High (geo + helio)
2014-05-06 (Tue) = Low (geo + helio)
2014-05-21 (Tue) = @ 0 (geo + helio)
2014-06-20 (Fri) = High (geo + helio)
2014-06-27 (Fri) = Low (geo + helio)
2014-07-15 (Tue) = Major High (geo + helio)
2014-07-29 (Tue) = Low (geo + helio)
2014-08-05 (Tue) = High (geo)
2014-08-08 (Fri) = High (helio)
2014-08-18 (Mon) = Low (helio)
2014-08-21 (Thu) = High (helio)
2014-09-10 (Wed) = Low (geo)
2014-09-17 (Wed) = High (geo)
2014-09-22 (Mon) = @ 0 (geo)
2014-09-23 (Tue) = @ 0 (helio)
2014-10-08 (Wed) = Low (geo + helio)
2014-10-15 (Wed) = High (geo + helio)
2014-11-20 (Thu) = Major Low (geo)
2014-11-21 (Fri) = Major Low (helio)
2014-12-09 (Tue) = High (geo + helio)
2014-12-26 (Fri) = Low (geo + helio)
2015-02-11 (Wed) = @ 0 (helio)
2015-02-16 (Mon) = @ 0 (geo)
2015-03-04 (Wed) = High (helio)
2015-03-06 (Fri) = High (geo)
2015-03-11 (Wed) = Low (geo)
2015-03-12 (Thu) = Low (helio)
2015-04-03 (Fri) = High (geo + helio)
2015-04-13 (Mon) = Low (helio)
2015-04-24 (Fri) = Major High (helio)

Saturday, October 19, 2013

S&P 500 vs George Bayer's Rule #1

SPEED OF MERCURY IN GEOCENTRIC LONGITUDE
Periodically the speed comes to a stand-still. At such times the planet moves from a direct motion into a retrograde motion or from a retrograde to a direct motion ... It is advisable to plot this Mercury speed ... through an entire year and note the effect of such changes. We obtain tops or bottoms ... When the previous movement is down, Wheat must be bought on weakness of the day; if the market moves upward prior to change of Mercury’s speed, short positions must be taken on strength during the day mercury changes its speed. 
George Bayer (1940): Stock and Commodity Traders´ Hand-Book of Trend Determination. Carmel, California; p. 13. 



On Friday the S&P 500 closed on low volume and with the narrowest intra-day trading range since September 27th (more HERE)

Friday, September 13, 2013

Delta Pattern vs German DAX 30

Buy Rosh Hashana (Sep 5-6, 2013) was certainly a good idea this year.
So what about Sell Yom Kippur (Sep 14, 2013)?
Projected Major High = Sep 18-20 

2013-09-18 (Wed) = VEN 0 SAT
2013-09-19 (Thu) = SUN 90 Galactic Center + Full Moon
2013-09-19 (Thu) = MER c.p. MAR +
MER 90 JUP
2013-09-19 (Thu) = VEN 180 MAR
2013-09-19 (Thu) = MER 90 JUP
2013-09-20 (Fri) = PLU [D]
2013-09-20 (Fri) = MER par. VEN + MER 90 JUP + MER 90 NEP
2013-09-22 (Sun) = Fall Equinox + Tidal Force @ 0


See also HERE

Tuesday, September 10, 2013

DJIA 2013 vs 1935 - Update

Calculated and charted with Sergey Tarassov's Timing Solution
For the methodology see HERE