Thursday, October 1, 2026

EU/NATO-Russia War Inevitable: But Is Russia Our Enemy? | Alex Krainer

An all-out war between European NATO member nations and Russia is increasingly regarded as inevitable by many analysts on both sides of the divide, as the former CIA analyst Larry Johnson conveyed in an interview on Prof. Glenn Diesen's podcast published just yesterday. Johnson spent a few days in Moscow and spoke with a number of Russian officials and military generals who now believe that, "the combination of European rhetoric and European actions is making it inevitable that there's going to be a war."

» Russia is not my enemy. «
According to Grok's estimate, there have been at least 20,000 original
"Russia is not my enemy" posts, seen and liked by millions. 
 
As the American analyst Chris Helali put it, 
"Neither Americans, nor Europeans, and especially Ukrainians, have made any effort to reach a peace agreement. They don't want peace. They want to continue operating in a military mode. Their goal is not even the strategic defeat of Russia. Their goal is the Balkanization of Russia." 
Bulgaria's MEP Peter Volgin noted that, 
"The main activities of the European Commission and the European Parliament are aimed at convincing EU citizens that their main enemy is Russia, and that they will eventually have to fight against that enemy."
Of course, the idea that war is inevitable could be an exaggeration—the officials' job is to be prepared for the worst—and this may shape their mindset. It is true, however that among the European leaders, the rhetoric has escalated to the point where it feels as though the decision to go to war has already been made and that now the actions are focused on engineering the population's consent for war and willingness to fight. In an attempt to stem the march to war, on 29 September, Embassy of Russia in Ireland issued an official statement:
"There has been an abundance of talk, recently, from the European political circles that Russia somehow is planning to launch a military invasion of Europe, escalate its alleged hybrid campaign against European countries, or both. The slogan of ‘Russian threat' is being recycled in the Western media on a daily basis. … The current governments in Europe would like everybody to believe that they are the victims of Russia's alleged hostility or objects of the imminent ‘Russian invasion'. There is nothing to support such a claim. … we have no plans, no reasons and, most importantly, no real motives for aggravating situation with Europe."

The "Gallant Boar"?

The Russian embassy's statement also enumerates some of European nations' actions that are exacerbating the risk of breakout of a military conflict:
"Only in recent months, from June to September 2026, there have been almost incessant NATO military exercises with the anti-Russian scenarios in Poland, Latvia, Lithuania, Norway, Finland, as well as in the Baltic Sea. Finland and Baltic states, aside from being NATO members integrated into the Alliance's nuclear planning, either joined or are planning to join the initiative of President Macron of France of the so-called ‘forward deterrence', which provides for deployment of the French nuclear weapons on their territory (that is, on the Russia's doorstep).
Among all that, the joint Lithuanian, Polish, French military exercise ‘Gallant Boar 2026' stands out as specifically aimed at the Russian enclave of Kaliningrad at the coast of the Baltic Sea. There has been information that NATO is preparing air and naval blockade of Kaliningrad and Kaliningrad region. This is not fiction, but matter of grave concern to Russia. The irresponsible and shortsighted European political elite is playing a dangerous game.

As the Russia's Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said recently, if the West attacks us, we will respond and it would be completely different war and a very brief one. There should be no mistake – Russia would be ready to use all its arsenal, including nuclear weapons, to defend its territory if NATO countries try to isolate Kaliningrad region from the rest of the country.

Under such scenario the risk of armed confrontation is high with the likelihood of Russia using preemptive strikes against centers of decision-making in the Alliance countries already at the early stage of the conflict. It is a matter of utmost seriousness and should be treated by Europe as such."
 » All three war cycles show rising phase conditions. A convergence appears around 2027-2032. «
  
Where's Your Proof, Rutte?
Thus, it seems that the European military organizations are actively training for war, while their public officials and the media are warning that, the Russians are coming, the Russians are coming… At the same time, the Russians themselves say that, "there's nothing to support such a claim…" It would appear that someone's lying to the public, and according to the NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, it's the Europeans.

In a fairly spectacular exchange at a recent press conference, the Prime Minister of Lithuania, Mindaugas Sinkevičius spilled the beans in a fairly spectacular manner and revealed that there's no evidence that Russia was preparing an invasion of Europe: 
"I was addressing Secretary General, is there any proof—real proof—intelligence services providing something on the table that Russia is getting ready for something, and there's actually none…"
One might ask, if there's no evidence that Russia is preparing to invade Europe, then why is the hysteria being whipped up in the first place? This is quite an obvious question, but we're not supposed to ask questions—we're supposed to believe and go along with the program, whether the threat is real or invented.
 
Killer answer.
Putin's 2026 Valdai Q&A / plenary session, October 1, 2026.
 
Lock Up the Unbelievers!
This is why those who need us to believe—like UK Labour's adviser Paul Richards—recommend locking up those who question the narrative:
"…the British would rise to greatness against Russia. We would have to lock a few people up, by the way, some of the pro-Russian voices, people who say there isn't a threat, don't fight for your country, that don't go to war for Burnham—we'd have to lock them up!"
If you have no evidence, and your impulse is to lock up those who question your narrative, you have a very serious credibility issue and, as it turns out, a large proportion of European people—at least those who are paying attention to these developments—are more inclined to believe the Russians than their own, deeply unpopular leaders.


Russia Is Not My Enemy

One of the symptoms of this credibility deficit has been a viral appearance of anti-war memes in social media stating simply that, "Russia is not my enemy," or something to that effect. Above is a small sample of tens of thousands of posts that have appeared on X over the recent days: According to Grok's estimate, there have been at least 20,000 original "Russia is not my enemy" posts, seen and liked by millions. Many of them went a step further, stating that the EU, NATO, Ursula von der Leyen, Volodymyr Zelensky or other Western officials are the real enemy. The same sentiment has driven student protests against war and conscription across German cities, attended by hundreds of thousands of young people, firmly rejecting the idea that war is necessary. Thousands of them publicly burned or ripped up their draft notices.

If it were up to Paul Richards, they should all be locked up along with Lithuania's Prime Minister, but at the moment, at least, the public sentiment is bitterly opposed to war. For the first time in human history, we have the Internet and social media, which could change the social engineering formulas in ways that we can't account for. In the meantime, we all should take advantage of these outlets to make our voices heard and hope and pray that the war drive by Europe's degenerate elites can be stemmed. As Abraham Lincoln put it, the best way to destroy an enemy is to make them a friend. Wouldn't that be nice?
 
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