Sunday, May 20, 2018

S&P 500 Short-Term Forecasting Method | Louise McWhirter


In her monthly analysis Louise McWhirter determined the dates when the transiting Moon passes by the
Mid-Heaven (24 degrees Pisces), the Ascendant (14 degrees Cancer) and the Descendant (14 degrees
Capricorn) of the NYSE natal horoscope (May 17, 1792 07:52 a.m.) She thought that Mars and Neptune
would “rule” the NYSE and hence also considered the Moon's transits with these planets.

Recent and upcoming dates:

2018 May 05 (Sat) 02:19 = MOO @ 14°CAP
2018 May 06 (Sun) 02:20 = MOO 0° MAR
2018 May 10 (Thu) 06:22 = MOO 0° NEP
2018 May 10 (Thu) 21:26 = MOO @ 24° PIS
2018 May 18 (Fri) 16:43 = MOO @ 14° CAN
2018 Jun 01 (Fri) 09:37 = MOO @ 14° CAP
2018 Jun 03 (Sun) 06:21 = MOO 0° MAR

2018 Jun 06 (Wed) 15:23 = MOO 0° NEP
2018 Jun 07 (Thu) 05:55 = MOO @ 24° PIS
2018 Jun 15 (Fri) 01:41 = MOO @ 14° CAN
2018 Jun 28 (Thu) 16:07 = MOO @ 14° CAP
2018 Jun 30 (Sat) 19:10 = MOO 0° MAR
2018 Jul 03 (Tue) 22:17 = MOO 0° NEP
2018 Jul 04 (Wed) 13:08 = MOO @ 24° PIS
2018 Jul 12 (Thu) 12:12 = MOO @ 14° CAN
2018 Jul 25 (Wed) 22:09 = MOO @ 14° CAP
2018 Jul 27 (Fri) 14:48 = MOO 0° MAR
2018 Jul 31 (Tue) 03:26 = MOO 0° NEP
2018 Jul 31 (Tue) 19:10 = MOO @ 24° PIS
2018 Aug 08 (Wed) 22:42 = MOO @ 14° CAN

[all times calculated for New York City =  EST/EDT]
Louise McWhirter (1938) - McWhirter Theory of Stock Market Forecasting [199 p.]

Saturday, May 19, 2018

US Sugar #11 | At or Near Longterm Cycle Low

US Sugar #11 Futures [monthly bars]
US Sugar #11 Futures [weekly bars]
US Sugar #11 Futures [daily bars]
US Sugar #11 Futures [daily close]
US Sugar #11 vs Average Annual Cycle (1973-2018)
US Sugar #11 vs Long Term Cycles (45 Year, 11.25 Year, 40 Month, 18 Month, etc.)
US Sugar #11 vs 45 Year Saturn - Uranus Cycle (heliocentric)

Sunday, May 6, 2018

Greater Eurasia | Russia’s New Energy Gamble

Bruno Maçães (Apr 2018) - In October 2017, Rosneft Chief Executive Officer Igor Sechin took the unusual step of presenting a geopolitical report on the “Ideals of Eurasian integration” to an audience in Verona, Italy. One of the maps projected on the screen during the presentation (HERE) showed the supercontinent—what Russian circles call “Greater Eurasia”—as divided between three main regions. For Sechin, the crucial division is not between Europe and Asia, but between regions of energy consumption and regions of energy production. The former are organized on the western and eastern edges of the supercontinent: Europe, including Turkey, and the Asia Pacific, including India. 


Between them we find three regions of energy production: Russia and the Arctic, the Caspian, and the Middle East. Interestingly, the map does not break these three regions apart, preferring to draw a delimitation line around all three. They are contiguous, thus forming a single bloc, at least from a purely geographic perspective. 


Sechin’s map has a number of other interesting elements. As noted already, Turkey is left on the European side of the line delimiting the energy production core in the west. The same is true for Ukraine, which although unavoidable in this context is still an unusual inclusion in a map sanctioned by the highest echelons of Russian state power. If one looks at the world through the prism of energy geopolitics, then Ukraine is a European country—a consumer, not a producer. 


[...] The map illustrates an important point about Russia’s new self-image. From the point of view of energy geopolitics, Europe and the Asia Pacific are perfectly equivalent, providing alternative sources of demand for energy resources. Russia has been struggling to abandon its traditional orientation toward Europe, hoping to benefit from the flexibility of being able to look both east and west to promote its interests. It seems that Sechin and Rosneft can place themselves in that position much more effortlessly. 


Sechin’s map subtly makes one final—and decisive—point. As you consider the three areas it delimits, it becomes apparent that two of them are already led and organized by a leading actor: Germany in the case of Europe and China for the Asia Pacific. Production chains within these highly industrial regions are increasingly managed by German or Chinese companies, which tend to reserve the higher value segments for themselves. Their spheres of influence extend to all important inputs, with one glaring exception: energy. In order to address this vulnerability, the two regions of energy consumption will be attracted to the core region, where they need to ensure ready and secure access to energy resources. And their efforts may well be made easier by the fact that the core region of energy production lacks a hegemon capable of ensuring its survival as an autonomous unit in the Eurasian system.


The very same day he delivered his speech on Eurasian geopolitics, Sechin announced that Rosneft would take control of Iraqi Kurdistan’s main oil pipeline, boosting its investment in the autonomous region to $3.5 billion, despite Baghdad’s military action sparked by a Kurdish vote for independence. The move helped shield Kurdistan from increasing pressure from Baghdad. Two weeks later, Sechin went on to sign a preliminary pact with the National Iranian Oil Company, the first step before a binding deal to participate in Iran’s oil and gas projects over the next few years, with investments totaling up to $30 billion and a production plateau of 55 million tons of oil per year.

Four Russian oil companies have even begun negotiating for opportunities in Syria, a venture driven as much by politics as by commercial interest. The aim is not to explore and extract Syria’s modest petroleum reserves, of course. By actively participating in rebuilding and operating Syrian oil and gas infrastructure, Russian energy companies will be in control of a critical transit route for Iranian and Qatari oil and gas heading to Europe, bringing two rival producers closer to its orbit and tightening its stranglehold on the European gas supply. In 2009, Qatar proposed to run a natural gas pipeline through Syria and Turkey to Europe. Instead, Al-Assad forged a pact with Iran to build a pipeline from the Persian Gulf and then through Iraq and Syria and under the Mediterranean. This project had to be postponed because of the war. When it is resumed, Russia will be in control.

It is in the very nature of the Eurasian system described by Sechin that the core energy production region—provided it is sufficiently united and organized—will benefit from its central position, being able to pick and choose between east and west in order to obtain the most favorable terms. Russia and the Middle East are now part of the same geopolitical unit. It took the Russian military intervention in Syria for the world to start to come to terms with this reality.

Saturday, May 5, 2018

S&P 500 Index vs True and Mean Lunar Orbital Speed | May 2018

S&P 500 Index vs Lunar Inclination + SoLunar Map | May 2018


Recent and upcoming events:
Apr 30 (Mon)
, May 03 (Thu), May 07 (Mon), May 07 (Mon), May 11 (Fri),  
May 14 (Mon), May 15 (Tue), May 18 (Fri), May 20 (Sun), May 22 (Tue)
 May 26 (Sat), May 27 (Sun), May 29 (Tue),  
Jun 02 (Sat), Jun 03 (Sun), Jun 06 (Wed).

 

Tuesday, May 1, 2018

S&P 500 Index vs Lunar Declination and Lunar Latitude | May 2018


Lunar Latitude at 0° degrees tends to coincide with contraction/narrow range;
 Lunar Declination at 0° degrees with expansion/wide range and/or trend changes;
Extremes in both Latitude and Declination with trend changes of all magnitudes.

Recent and upcoming events:

Apr 27 (Fri) 15:01 = MOO Dec @ 0
Apr 29 (Sun) 21:01 = Full Moon
Apr 29 (Sun) 22:45 = MOO Lat @ Max
May 04 (Fri) 19:05 = MOO Dec @ Min
May 07 (Mon) 06:22 = MOO Lat @ 0
May 12 (Sat) 03:18 = MOO Dec @ 0
May 14 (Mon) 05:27 = MOO Lat @ Min
May 15 (Tue) 07:46 = New Moon
May 18 (Fri) 11:04 = MOO Dec @ Max
May 20 (Sun) 09:17 = MOO Lat @ 0
May 24 (Thu) 21:41 = MOO Dec @ 0
May 27 (Sun) 00:44 = MOO Lat @ Max
May 29 (Tue) 10:22 = Full Moon
Jun 01 (Fri) 03:12 = MOO Dec @ Min
Jun 03 (Sun) 08:38 = MOO Lat @ 0


[all times calculated for New York City =  EST/EDT]

S&P 500 vs Heliocentric Mars – Uranus Cycle | May 1st, 2018 @ 225 degrees

[all times calculated for New York City =  EST/EDT]

Sunday, April 29, 2018

S&P 500 Index vs Jupiter – Saturn Cycle | May 2018


Upcoming turn-days: 
Apr 24 (Tue), Apr 28 (Sat), May 03 (Thu), May 04 (Fri), May 06 (Sun), May 10 (Thu), 
May 15 (Tue), May 19 (Sat), May 23 (Wed), May 26 (Sat), May 30 (Wed)
Jun 04 (Mon), Jun 09 (Sat).
Previous turn-days HERE

Sunday, April 15, 2018

S&P 500 Index vs Lunar Declination and Lunar Latitude | April 2018


Lunar Latitude at 0° degrees tends to coincide with contraction/narrow range;
 Lunar Declination at 0° degrees with expansion/wide range and/or trend changes;
Extremes in both Latitude and Declination with trend changes of all magnitudes.

Recent and upcoming events:
Mar 31 (Sat) 08:40 = Full Moon
Apr 02 (Mon) 19:06 = MOO Lat @ Max
Apr 07 (Sat) 10:35 = MOO Dec @ Min
Apr 10 (Tue) 04:09 = MOO Lat @ 0
Apr 14 (Sat) 17:18 = MOO Dec @ 0
Apr 15 (Sun) 21:54 = New Moon
Apr 17 (Tue) 00:54 = MOO Lat @ Min
Apr 21 (Sat) 03:39 = MOO Dec @ Max
Apr 23 (Mon) 08:22 = MOO Lat @ 0
Apr 27 (Fri) 15:01 = MOO Dec @ 0
Apr 29 (Sun) 21:01 = Full Moon
Apr 29 (Sun) 22:45 = MOO Lat @ Max
May 04 (Fri) 19:05 = MOO Dec @ Min

[all times calculated for New York City =  EST/EDT]

Saturday, April 14, 2018

S&P 500 Index vs BitCoin | shifted 44 Calendar Days


The correlation between Bitcoin prices shifted 44 Calendar Days into the future and the S&P 500 was discovered by Raj Time and Cycles (HERE + HERE). The correlation cycle is not perfect; it contracts and stretches ± 2 calendar days. Currently a 44 calendar day correlation points to a major high in the S&P 500 around April 17 (Tue).

Friday, April 13, 2018

Detecting the Change of Trend by Means of Critical Degrees | George Bayer

Measuring longitude on the earth is measured from a fixed meridian. Greenwich is usually taken. Longitude in this sense is the angular distance through a place, such as New York City from the fixed meridian, Greenwich. It is always measured from East to West. Astronomical books tell us that the angular distance of a point from a great circle is the angle subtended at the center of the sphere by the intercept of the secondary of the great circle through the point between it and the great circle. The angular distance of one great circle from another is the angle between two great circles. This is the same as the angle subtended at the center of the sphere by the intercept of their common secondary, lying between them. Positions of cities are determined that way.

» Whenever Mars or Jupiter arrive at these locations on the Ecliptic in longitude, there is a change in the market. At times we find several planets arriving on one and the same day at critical degrees making a change of trend a surety. These critical degrees are valued for each sign of the Zodiac. They are located at 0°, 5°, 17°30', 25°. « 
 
Their explanation of celestial longitude is as follows: The celestial longitude of a body is the arc of the ecliptic intercepted between the first point of Aries and the secondary of the ecliptic through that body. The value found is always expressed in degrees and minute and counted from the first point of Aries.

A given longitude of 85°15' means that the planet is 85°15' distant from 0° Aries. The value would be shown in our ephemeris as 25°15' Gemini, for we have the sign of Aries 30° long, the next sign of Taurus also 30° in length, absorbing together 60° of our 85°15', leaving for the sign following, Gemini, 25°15'. In the ephemeris all the work is done already; they are given.

George Bayer, 1937.

Using the Tables as shown in the ephemeris and checking any possible relation between the longitudes of the various planets to the stock market as a whole, I found critical degrees in the Ecliptic. The effect of these critical degrees upon the market as a whole is astonishing. Whenever Mars or Jupiter arrive at these locations on the Ecliptic in longitude, there is a change in the market. At times we find several planets arriving on one and the same day at critical degrees making a change of trend a surety. These critical degrees are valued for each sign of the Zodiac. They are located at 0°, 5°, 17°30', 25°. Supposing Mars passes into the sign of Virgo as will happen on September 26th, 1936. We should find changes coming into the market the moment this planet passes over the 1st degree, over the 5th, the 17 1/2th and the 25th degree. This phenomenon occurs through every sign of the Zodiac. 

The same is true with Jupiter; it also applies to other planets in a minor way. A planet such as Sun, Mercury or Venus due to their fast motion reach these degrees so often and soon that they cannot be used as indicators singly, only in connection with several hitting on one and the same day. It means a change for example, when Mercury happens to be at 5° of a sign, Venus passes 17°30' of some sign and the Sun may enter into a new sign, thus crossing 0° and this all on one single day. In case Mars or Jupiter happens to pass one of these critical degrees also on that specific day, you surely will have a change in the market. Under change, we understand a new cycle. Therefore, when the movement happened to be upward until the day the change is due, we should move downward or, when other indices allow it, we can make a gap upward. You should have ample facilities on hand to distinguish which has to happen, especially when you know that the event is due on this day. In such a case watch your method #1 if an 8 1/2 move is completed; watch the volume as we approach the time for the change; watch all the factors of the other methods and combine those indicating a downmove and separately those indicating a possible gap upward and weigh carefully. 
 
» Bear in mind, that the markets are to the laymen a common gambling ground, to a few an open book, 
consisting of rhythms of pre-destined amplitudes, not a maze of uncertainty and guess work. « 

We also must know that the various planets have various effects in the different houses and you have to search old charts what effect each planet actually did have in past cycles upon the market. This is one reason why I find the movements of the various commodities much easier and surer than those of individual stocks. I have made myself charts for practically every commodity for thirty, forty years on a daily basis, such as wheat, cotton, cottonseed oil and it is from checking back the effect of the planets that I arrive at what the effect should be now. With stocks, you only have a handful that are older than twelve or fifteen years. They have not gone through a series of major cycles as yet and therefore you have to rely on secondary factors, which, as you may well realize, are not absolutely safe. This brings me once more to the statement that you should concentrate on one or two single stocks or commodities, because if you know only one and well, you can make all the money you can use and then some. Later on I will bring another reason to warrant this statement.
 
The other tables given in the ephemeris are not required for our work, such as latitude, declination. Thorough tests on my part have revealed that they do not contain such critical points.

This method operates, of course, in harmony with the others. Many times you will be able to detect small, sharp moves that otherwise would not be understood and that would cause uneasiness.

Explaining the simplest astrological methods you now will note that we are drifting completely away from price and swing into time only. We move away from the dollar that are in the market and measure Nature’s change of mind in the feelings of the human trader.

Price changes become an "accident" while time changes are the concrete facts. These changes are caused by planetary positions in the heavens and are known and the direction of the flow of the tide can be easily arrived at. The planetary positions act only when a definite degree, a definite minute and second is reached in the Zodiac. Such events can be calculated to the second when they must happen, not when they may happen. 
 
On such a day, hour, minute and second all the cycles of our other methods will also agree and produce a bottom or a top. On that day you then must either buy or sell, as the case may be, ask no questions, expect no replies. The time of the cycle is up, the public changes its mind, its attitude towards stocks or commodities, a condition which cannot be felt physically, but figured. Is anything easier, safer? Bear in mind, that the markets are to the laymen a common gambling ground, to a few an open book, consisting of rhythms of pre-destined amplitudes, not a maze of uncertainty and guess work. Buildings, twenty stories high are filled with Statisticians, selling analyses of stocks on strength of earning and what not to the greedy, by the hundred thousand, knowing as little as the statisticians themselves; on the contrary, they recognize them as "Giants of Finance and Economics" and pay them for their "information" hundreds of dollars each per year, which, as far as the market is concerned, is not worth the paper on which it is printed.
 
» Each stock reacts (also commodities) at specific degrees and minutes
of the Zodiac to one or two planets in one or two positions. « 
 
Millions of people are successful in their own lines of business. They observe subconsciously the laws of Nature. The swings of business are not so pronounced as those of the market. The same laws, of course, remain underlying. Most businesses supply necessities of life and as long as we have people living, they must purchase such necessities. The profits in such enterprises are strictly limited by keen competition. Man, as a rule, chooses the easiest path to earn a livelihood. Comparatively few work out of this rut. These few, however, step right into enormous difficulties, especially when entering the markets. They try to operate in the market under the identical laws which they carried along from their line of business. But they find that these laws will cause them to gradually, but surely, lose their money.
 
Still, the stock market and commodity market afford the greatest possibility of making money constantly without much risk, without much effort, provided the work is done exclusively within certain laws and rules, however far fetched and unbelievable they may sound to the average business man. This is the secret of the market. The operations of the multitude are wrong and necessarily so. Who else would carry the costs, commissions, taxes, the fairy-like brokerage offices down-town? The proof is seen in the persistent and steadily dribbling losses taken by the majority of investors, speculators, traders, bankers and others. Only those who have within themselves vibrations attuned to the market responding thus automatically to tops and bottoms, or those who have been able to use Nature's laws, can measure with great exactness the dates of change. The first group will never be able to forecast movements. It simply is a "something" that causes them to buy or sell and discover later that they were "right again". Their response is spontaneous, but does not go beyond the present.
 
When making commitments in a stock, by either buying or selling it short, creates immediately thereafter a somewhat mixed feeling of hope and fear within any man. Supposing he bought a stock. He hopes the market will be favorable to the upside so that he can realize a profit; at the same time he fears that the market might not go up; in fact, he dreads a downmove. To conquer this feeling is almost impossible, at least with the millions who merely guess which way "the cat might jump". Even with all the methods explained herein, it is difficult to overcome this feeling, although it gradually will wear off.
 
At times, when an important move is in the making, which is about the only time to visit a broker's office, watch the crowd in their psychology! This is more fun than a Broadway show! See these creatures buck Nature's laws, respectively abiding to the same whichever you may call it, buying stocks or commodities right at the top of a move, happy as children who just received a "gift", while on the other hand, when Nature provides a bottom in the market, these same crowds, sell the erstwhile previous bargains for the proverbial song, far below actual values, fearing they might go lower. Nature is generous, but wicked withal. The market shows these sides in the truest fashion.
 
The law of critical degrees as given above refers to the market as a whole and, when following them in individual stocks, you are apt to take severe losses, although you may be right as to the trend of the general market.
 
Therefore, I had to do some more research to overcome this difficulty. Here is the result: Each stock reacts (also commodities) at specific degrees and minutes of the Zodiac to one or two planets in one or two positions. Taking wheat for example, we note that Venus and Mars and no other planet brings about the changes therein. These two planets, as they cross 23°20, respectively 12°16' of a sign, produce changes. The stock Philip Morris acts only on Venus and the changes occur when Venus passes 17°30' of any sign. Each stock must be searched over a period of time and the planets bringing about the changes decoded.
 
In 1935, wheat made its important tops and bottoms exclusively the moment Mars passed 12°16' of a sign. A rough sketch will show it:
 
 
At the same time, Philip Morris (MOs) acted as follows:
Venus at 17,30' Aries gave a bottom on March 12th, 1935
" " " Gemini bottom April 30th, 1935
" " " Cancer bottom May 28th, 1935
" " " Leo top June 24th, 1935
" " " Virgo top July 31st, 1935
From August 18th, 1935 until September 30th, Venus moved retrograde and its motion was very slow, accounting for the sidewise movement in that specific stock during this period.
 
You may note in this example that in the sequence of the signs, we miss the sign of Taurus. This sign does not bring about a change in this stock. You further note that we have three bottoms to begin with and two tops to end with, so that some other planet is playing into this stock that brings about the reversal not found quoted herein. You may plot the daily motion of this stock for 1935 and find that planet yourself and the degree and minute that must be used.
 
I found that Cottonseed oil responds to the motion of Mercury-Neptune, that the prices of butter simply move up and down according to the aspects of Jupiter-Venus and, aside of that, in perfect ellipses.
 
end of method #6

Source:
Detecting the Change of Trend by Means of Critical Degrees. In:
George Bayer (1937) - Time Factors in the Stock Market; Carmel, California; pp. 69-72. 

 S&P 500 Index vs George Bayer’s Critical Degrees of Mars
@ 0° @ 5° @ 17° @ 25° of each Zodiac Sign. Next date is April 17
(Tue).

Tuesday, April 3, 2018

S&P 500 Index vs Jupiter – Saturn Cycle | April 2018


 Upcoming Turn-Days:
Apr 06 (Fri), Apr 11 (Wed), Apr 15 (Sun), Apr 19 (Thu), Apr 24 (Tue), Apr 28 (Sat),  
May 03 (Thu), May 04 (Fri), May 06 (Sun).
Previous turn-days HERE