More information on the concept HERE. Charted and calculated with Timing Solution |
Monday, August 1, 2016
SPX vs George Bayer's «A Time and Times and Half a Time»
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
George Bayer,
George Bayer Law of »A Time and Times and Half a Time«,
Soybeans,
SPX,
Timing Solution,
US-Stocks
SPX vs Venus Latitude Cycle @ MIN @ MAX @ 0°
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
geocentric,
Latitude,
SPX,
Timing Solution,
US-Stocks,
Venus
SPX vs Angles of Planets to Galactic Center | August 2016
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
Galactic Center,
SPX,
US-Stocks
SPX vs Mercury Speed | August 2016
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
geocentric,
heliocentric,
Mercury,
Speed,
SPX,
US-Stocks
US Homeownership at Lowest Level in over 50 Years
The Census Bureau has been tracking homeownership rates in its data series going back to 1965 on a non-seasonally adjusted basis. In the second quarter 2016, the homeowner- ship rate dropped to 62.9%, the lowest point on record. Source: Wolf Street |
Labels:
US Homeownership Rate,
Wolfstreet.com
SPX vs True Node Speed = Mean Node Speed + Extremes | August 2016
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
Mean Lunar Node,
Moon,
Speed,
SPX,
Sun,
True Lunar Node,
US-Stocks
SoLunar Map | August - September 2016
Upcoming turn-days are: Jul 30 (Sat), Aug 03 (Wed), Aug 07 (Sun), Aug 11 (Thu), Aug 14 (Sun), Aug 18 (Thu), Aug 21 (Sun), Aug 25 (Thu), Aug 29 (Mon), Sep 01 (Thu), Sep 05 (Mon), Sep 09 (Fri), Sep 13 (Tue), Sep 17 (Sat), Sep 20 (Tue), Sep 23 (Fri), Sep 27 (Tue), Oct 01 (Sat). Previous SoLunar Maps HERE |
Labels:
19 Year Cycle,
4 Lunar Month Cycle,
4 Lunar Year Cycle,
Apogee,
Declination,
Delta,
Financial Astrology,
Lunar Cycle,
Lunar Year Cycle,
Perigee,
SoLunar Map,
Sun,
Tides,
US-Stocks
Cosmic Cluster Days | August - September 2016
The basic assumption here is that heliocentric and geocentric angles between planets are related to financial market movements. A signal is triggered when the composite line of all aspects breaks above or below the Average Cosmic Noise Channel. Upcoming Cosmic Cluster Days (CCDs) are: Jul 29 (Fri), Aug 01 (Mon), Aug 08 (Mon), Aug 09 (Tue), Aug 10 (Wed), Aug 14 (Sun), Aug 17 (Wed), Aug 23 (Tue), Aug 29 (Mon), Sep 01 (Thu), Sep 04 (Sun), Sep 09 (Fri), Sep 15 (Thu), Sep 17 (Sat), Sep 27 (Tue), Oct 06 (Thu). Previous CCDs are HERE |
Labels:
AstroFin,
Astronomy,
Cosmic Cluster Days,
declinations,
geocentric,
heliocentric,
Planetary Composite Index,
SPX,
US-Stocks
Sunday, July 31, 2016
In 50 Years this has never failed to trigger a Bear Market | Jesse Felder
Jesse Felder (Jul 30, 2016 @ Zero Hedge) - Over the past half-century, we have never seen a decline in earnings of this magnitude without at least a 20% fall in stock prices, a hurdle many use to define a bear market. In other words, buying the new highs in the S&P 500 today means you believe “this time is different.” It could turn out that way but history shows that sort of thinking to be very dangerous to your financial well-being.
On July 29 CNN's Fear & Greed Index indicated "Extreme Greed" Source: CNN Fear & Greed Index |
Citigroup's Panic/Euphoria Model on August 01, 2016 = Most 'euphoric' since August 2015. Source: Citigroup Panic/Euphoria Model |
Labels:
Barron's,
Citigroup Panic/Euphoria Model,
CNN Fear & Greed Index,
Corporate Earnings,
FRED,
Jesse Felder,
Sentiment,
US-Stocks,
Zero Hedge
Weekly Chart Pattern Indicator Turned Bearish | Thomas Bulkowski
After the close on Friday, July 29th, Thomas Bulkowski's Chart Pattern Indicator for the S&P 500 Index turned bearish. The indicator is a ratio of bullish patterns to the total of bullish and bearish patterns, expressed as a percentage. More details on Thomas Bulkowski's Chart Pattern Indicator background (HERE) |
The chart pattern indicator line is not as important as the signals which it generates, but I have included a chart of the indicator itself so you can check for divergence. Divergence often gives hints as to which way the index moves in the future. Look for lower/higher peaks in the indicator while the index is making flat or higher/lower peaks. The index will often follow the indicator (HERE) Warning: If you use this indicator for periods shorter than weekly, you will likely be in for a nasty surprise. Due to the way I have it configured, signals up to a week old can change or disappear. Thhe current sell signal may not be valid for another week or it may change in a few days when more NR7s break out. Thus, this indicator is best used as a weekly signal (that is, signals older than a week are reliable) of market trend (HERE) |
Saturday, July 30, 2016
U.S. Oil Industry | Record Exports and Worst Profits since 1999
Big Oil had a horrible Q2 quarter. So far in Q3, oil prices had averaged lower than in Q2, and refining margins are much lower too. Exxon has the worst profit since 1999, and the industry cannot survive on current oil prices. “What we’re seeing is that there’s just no place for the supermajors to hide”, Brian Youngberg, an analyst at Edward Jones & Co. in St. Louis, said in an interview. “Oil prices, natural gas, refining, it all looks very bad right now.” (HERE) |
Labels:
Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count,
Bloomberg,
Crude Oil,
EIA,
Exxon
Friday, July 29, 2016
SPX vs Inverted 354 CD (Lunar Year) Cycle
The Lunar Year Cycle (Medium Term Delta) seems to have inverted recently (from L-L and H-H polarity to L-H and H-L polarity). If the current polarity persists a major high in the S&P500 by mid August is likely. |
SPY | Neural Network-Forecast | by Alphee Lavoie |
Labels:
1 Lunar Year Cycle,
354 CD Cycle,
Alphee Lavoie,
AstroFin,
Delta,
Financial Astrology,
Neural Network,
SPX,
US-Stocks
Emerging Markets Business Cycle | Approaching Gradual Recovery
Source: Morgan Stanley Research |
1. Productive growth, a stage of moderate to high productivity-driven growth;
2. Misallocation, in which there is moderate growth driven by bad macro policies;
3. Adjustment;
4. Restoring Macro Stability, and finally
5. Gradual Recovery.
A large number of emerging markets have moved into the “restoring macro stability” recently — which means that growth is still weak, but the economy is stabilizing. Russia, Brazil, Turkey, and Thailand are in this category Global GDP growth might get a boost next year, as some economies approach the end of the “emerging markets business cycle” and begin a gradual recovery.
These economies are not necessarily strong yet, but do show signs of increasing stable growth — except for Turkey, whose economy could be negatively impacted after the failed coup attempt. Thailand, for example, still has weak domestic demand and exports, but its economy is growing, partly due to robust growth in tourism, and Russian oil has managed to prosper even with today’s low prices. Brazil is still dealing with an economic crisis, which is exacerbated by its political one — but financial markets reacted favorably to news of the possibility of the president’s impeachment, and a Brazilian economist said that “the expected changes in the government and its economic policies could represent the beginning of a gradual return of investor confidence in Brazil,” and that the economy should return to growth by 2017.
If these countries move into the recovery stage in the next year, it would drive an acceleration in emerging market growth for the first time in four years. Morgan Stanley expects the GDP growth of emerging markets, excluding China, to accelerate from 2.7% to 3.8% in 2017. Those markets together make up 37% of global GDP. Countries that are already in this “recovery” phase include Mexico, which has the 11th-high GDP in the world but is still considered a developing country, and India, which has been called the “biggest turnaround story” in emerging markets because of its slow, gradual growth over the past few years. Meanwhile, China is still in the “misallocation” stage — the one with moderate growth but bad macroeconomic policies. Also in this category is Korea, whose low growth has been largely caused by declining trade with China.
Labels:
Brazil,
Business Cycle,
China,
Emerging Markets,
Morgan Stanley Research,
Russia,
Turkey
Most Volatile Seasonal Period About to Begin | Nautilus Research
Source: Nautilus Research |
Source: Nautilus Research |
Labels:
Annual Cycle,
Nautilus Research,
Seasonality,
US-Stocks,
VIX
Wednesday, July 27, 2016
SPX vs Jupiter – Saturn Cycle | August 2016
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
Jupiter - Saturn Cycle,
SPX,
US-Stocks
Tuesday, July 26, 2016
SPX vs BB 233 var 2 + 125 DMA | Resistance and Support
Labels:
Bollinger Bands,
Moving Averages,
SPX,
US-Stocks
Thursday, July 14, 2016
VIX | Put/Call Ratio | AI Forecast | Extreme Greed
The VIX should turn up today, meaning the SPX turning sideways-to-down into Jul 20 (Wed). The next lows in the VIX (= highs in the SPX) are likely Jul 14 (Thu), Jul 28 (Thu), and Aug 16 (Tue). Source: CBOE |
Source: CBOE |
FFC Long Range Forecasts rely exclusively on Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning to analyze and model. Source: Financial Forecast Center, LLC. |
90% of the stocks in the S&P 500 are now above the 20 Day Moving Average. |
Source: CNN Fear & Greed Index |
Labels:
118 Day Cycle,
4 Lunar Month Cycle,
Artificial Intelligence Long Range Forecast,
CBOE Options Equity Put/Call Ratio,
CNN Fear & Greed Index,
Financial Forecast Center,
SPX,
US-Stocks,
VIX
Tuesday, July 12, 2016
SPX vs True Node Speed = Mean Node Speed + Extremes | July 2016
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
Mean Lunar Node,
Moon,
Speed,
SPX,
Sun,
True Lunar Node,
US-Stocks
Wednesday, July 6, 2016
The British Pound's 100-Year Debasement & The City's China Wild Card
Bloomberg (Jul 5, 2016) - Sterling first slumped after coming off the gold standard in 1931 in which it had been overvalued, just as it was in 1944 when it joined the Bretton Woods system of managed exchange rates. Another 30 percent devaluation was swallowed in 1949 and then Wilson sanctioned another drop in 1967 amid Britain’s balance of payments crunch. While the IMF was called in to help avoid a sterling crisis in the 1970s, it fell again in the early 1980s.
The U.K. joined the Exchange Rate Mechanism, a precursor to the Euro, in 1990 but was forced out just two years later because it couldn’t sustain a link to the Deutsche Mark. Now there is speculation that life outside the EU will cost the pound its place in the top tier of reserve currencies. It currently accounts for 5 percent of foreign exchange reserves, according to the IMF. A weaker currency may not do that much to prop up the U.K. economy. While it should boost manufacturing and tourism, three-quarters of the economy is dependent on services such as finance and their future is subject to whatever access to the EU the British government can negotiate. There are also
structural weaknesses leaning against the pound. The U.K. ran a near-record current account deficit of 6.9 percent of output in the first quarter and is suffering from weak productivity. Demand remains weak abroad and prices may not be that sensitive to swings in the exchange rate because producers still rely on foreign components for their goods.
Thierry Meyssan (Jul 04, 2016) - The Western Press keeps repeating the same message – by leaving the European Union, the British have isolated themselves from the rest of the world, and will have to deal with terrible economic consequences. And yet, the fall in the Pound could be an advantage within the Commonwealth, which is a far greater family than the Union, and present on all six continents. Famous for its pragmatism, the City could quickly become the international centre for the yuan and implant the Chinese currency in the very heart of the Union [...] The London Stock Exchange announced an agreement with the China Foreign Exchange Trade System (CFETS), and, in June, became the primary Stock Exchange in the world to rate Chinese treasury bonds. All the elements were in place to transform the City into a Chinese Trojan Horse in the European Union, to the detriment of US supremacy.
UK Equity Markets Dip Below 5%. Source: Bespoke (Jul 5, 2016) |
British Pound Sterling (GBP) to Chinese Yuan Renminbi (CNY) Source: www.xe.com |
Thierry Meyssan (Jul 04, 2016) - The Western Press keeps repeating the same message – by leaving the European Union, the British have isolated themselves from the rest of the world, and will have to deal with terrible economic consequences. And yet, the fall in the Pound could be an advantage within the Commonwealth, which is a far greater family than the Union, and present on all six continents. Famous for its pragmatism, the City could quickly become the international centre for the yuan and implant the Chinese currency in the very heart of the Union [...] The London Stock Exchange announced an agreement with the China Foreign Exchange Trade System (CFETS), and, in June, became the primary Stock Exchange in the world to rate Chinese treasury bonds. All the elements were in place to transform the City into a Chinese Trojan Horse in the European Union, to the detriment of US supremacy.
Ahmed Farghaly (Jul 6, 2016): GBPUSD: Contradicting the EUR |
Labels:
Ahmed Farghaly,
Bespoke,
Bloomberg,
Bretton Woods Agreement,
BREXIT,
CFETS,
China,
Cyclic Vibrations,
GBP/CNY,
GBP/EUR,
GBP/USD,
IMF,
Thierry Meyssan,
Timing Solution,
UK,
Yuan
Sunday, July 3, 2016
Gold + Silver vs COT
The latest Commitments of Traders (COT) report suggests Gold and Silver could see a pullback. Source: Fibbo SR (Jul 03, 2016) |
SPX vs Mercury – Venus Cycle
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
geocentric,
heliocentric,
Mercury,
Mercury - Venus Cycle,
SPX,
US-Stocks,
Venus
SPX vs Jupiter – Saturn Cycle
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
Jupiter - Saturn Cycle,
SPX,
US-Stocks
SPX vs Mercury Speed
Labels:
AstroFin,
Financial Astrology,
heliocentric,
Mercury,
Speed,
SPX,
US-Stocks
SPX vs SoLunar Map
Labels:
19 Year Cycle,
4 Lunar Month Cycle,
4 Lunar Year Cycle,
Apogee,
Declination,
Delta,
Financial Astrology,
Lunar Cycle,
Lunar Year Cycle,
Perigee,
SoLunar Map,
Sun,
Tides,
US-Stocks
SPX vs CBOE Equity Put / Call Ratio | VIX | Fear & Greed Index | NR7
Jul 01 (Fri) = NR 7 |
The 4 Lunar Month Cycle suggests sideways-to-up of the VIX into Jul 6 (Wed) = sideways-to-down in US-Stock Indices |
Near a top. Source: CNN Fear & Greed Index |
Labels:
CBOE Equity Put / Call Ratio,
CNN Fear & Greed Index,
NR7,
SPX,
US-Stocks,
VIX
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