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Saturday, January 28, 2017

SoLunar Map | February — March 2017

This chart depicts the SoLunar bias for short-term movements of stock indices two months ahead. The markets are certainly influenced also by other planetary forces - especially longer-term - but a 3-5 day short-term rhythm and pattern is governed by the SoLunar forces (= 4 highs and 4 lows per lunar month). The SoLunar forces are a composite of Sun-Moon angles, orbital eccentricities, declinations and some long-term cycles. A Low in the SoLunar Map frequently is a High in the stock market and vice versa. Inversions occur, and if so, they should occur only once every 4 lunar months around a New Moon (max +/- 7 days). The SoLunar Rhythm is frequently disturbed by (1.) the FED, and (2.) by sudden solar activity, altering the geomagnetic field, and hence the mass mood. This can result in the skip and/or inversion of pivots in the SoLunar Map. An increasing number of sunspots and flares have usually a negative influence on the stock market some 48 hours later, and vice versa (Ap values > 10 are usually short-term negative). A rising blue line in the SoLunar Map means the bias for the market is side-ways-to-up, and vice versa. Highs and lows in the SoLunar Map also may coincide with the start and termination of complex, side-ways correction patterns like zig-zags, triangles or flags.

Upcoming SoLunar Turn-Days are: Jan 31 (Tue), Feb 04 (Sat), Feb 07 (Tue), Feb 10 (Fri) = Penumbral Lunar Eclipse, Feb 14 (Tue), Feb 18 (Sat), Feb 22 (Wed), Feb 26 (Sun) = Annular Solar Eclipse, Mar 01 (Wed), Mar 05 (Sun), Mar 05 (Sun), Mar 09 (Thu), Mar 12 (Sun), Mar 16 (Thu), Mar 20 (Mon), Mar 24 (Fri), Mar 27 (Mon), Mar 31 (Fri), Apr 03 (Mon). Previous SoLunar Maps HERE

SPX vs SoLunar Map | February 2017 | Review & Preview

Saturday, January 21, 2017

SPX vs Mercury 0° and 180° Jupiter and Saturn | George Bayer

Upcoming events:
2017 Jan 16 (Mon) 17:50 = JUP 000 MER [H]
2017 Feb 09 (Thu) 00:46 = SAT 000 MER [H]
2017 Mar 13 (Mon) 12:10 = JUP 180 MER [H]
2017 Mar 24 (Fri) 01:49 = SAT 180 MER [H]
2017 Apr 16 (Sun) 14:49 = JUP 000 MER [H]
2017 May 08 (Mon) 11:23 = SAT 000 MER [H]
2017 Jun 10 (Sat) 05:41 = JUP 180 MER [H]
2017 Jun 20 (Tue) 11:12 = SAT 180 MER [H]
2017 Jul 15 (Sat) 14:08 = JUP 000 MER [H]
2017 Aug 05 (Sat) 09:55 = SAT 000 MER [H]
2017 Sep 07 (Thu) 10:14 = JUP 180 MER [H]
2017 Sep 16 (Sat) 20:34 = SAT 180 MER [H]
2017 Oct 13 (Fri) 15:51 = JUP 000 MER [H]
2017 Nov 02 (Thu) 08:19 = SAT 000 MER [H]
2017 Dec 05 (Tue) 13:59 = JUP 180 MER [H]
2017 Dec 14 (Thu) 05:58 = SAT 180 MER [H]
2018 Jan 11 (Thu) 19:57 = JUP 000 MER [H]

Friday, January 20, 2017

The Fading American Dream | Trends in Absolute Income Mobility since 1940

Raj Chetty et al. (NBER Working Paper No. 22910 | Dec 2016) - One of the defining features of the “American Dream” is the ideal that children have a higher standard of living than their parents. When children are asked to assess their economic progress, they frequently compare their own standard of living to that of their parents.

Such measures of absolute income mobility – the fraction of children earning or consuming more than their parents – are also often the focus of policy makers when judging the degree of economic opportunity in the U.S.

Around 90% of children born in 1940 across the entire income distribution earned more than their parents did at age 30. That percentage dropped each decade, with only about 50% of children born in 1980 earning more than their parents. The likelihood that children at age 30 had a higher inflation-adjusted income than their parents did when they were the same age has been dropping over the last several decades.

DJIA Performance during Presidential Terms | 1900-2017

Bespoke (Jan 19, 2017) - Through Thursday, the DJIA is up over 148% (not including dividends) since the close on [Obama's] Inauguration Day 2009, and that ranks as the fourth best return for the DJIA under any President since 1900. Calvin Coolidge presided over a gain of 251.7% during his time in office [...] followed by Clinton (227%), and FDR (197%) [...] Hoover presided over a decline of over 80% [...] the second George Bush saw the DJIA fall 22%.

Monday, January 16, 2017

An Aging World | Population Age 65+ in 2015 and 2050

Source: US Census

The social and economic implications of an aging population are becoming increasingly apparent in many industrialized nations around the globe. With populations in places such as North America, Western Europe and Japan aging more rapidly than ever before, policymakers are confronted with several interrelated issues, including a decline in the working-age population, increased health care costs, unsustainable pension commitments and changing demand drivers within the economy. These issues could significantly undermine the high living standard enjoyed in many advanced economies.

As of December 2015, people 65 or older account for more than 20% of the total population in only three countries: Germany, Italy and Japan. This figure is expected to rise to 13 countries by 2020. A rapidly aging population means there are fewer working-age people in the economy. This leads to a supply shortage of qualified workers, making it more difficult for businesses to fill in-demand roles. An economy that cannot fill in-demand occupations faces adverse consequences, including declining productivity, higher labor costs, delayed business expansion and reduced international competitiveness. In some instances, a supply shortage may push up wages, thereby causing wage inflation and creating a vicious cycle of price/wage spiral.

Japan is home to the oldest citizenry in the world, with 26.3%
of its population being 65 years of age or older. The population
aged 15 to 64 fell by 4% between 2000 and 2010 (World Bank).

To compensate, many countries look to immigration to keep their labor forces well supplied. While countries such as Australia, Canada and the United Kingdom are attracting more highly skilled immigrants, integrating them into the workforce can be a challenge because domestic employers may not recognize immigrant credentials and work experience, especially if they were obtained in countries outside of North America, Western Europe and Australia.

Given that demand for health care rises with age, countries with rapidly aging populations must allocate more money and resources to their health care systems. With health care spending as a share of gross domestic product (GDP) already high in most advanced economies, it is difficult to increase spending while ensuring care improves and other social needs do not deteriorate in the case of publicly funded or government-administered health care systems. Additionally, the health care sector in many advanced economies faces similar issues, including labor and skills shortages, increased demand for home care and the need to invest in new technologies. All of these cost escalators make it more difficult for existing systems to handle the increased prevalence of chronic diseases, let alone sufficiently address the needs of large and growing senior populations.

Countries with large elderly populations depend on smaller pools of workers in which to collect taxes to pay for higher health costs, pension benefits and other publicly funded programs. This is becoming more common in advanced economies where retirees live on fixed incomes with much smaller tax brackets than workers. The combination of lower tax revenue and higher spending commitments on health care, pension and other benefits is a major concern for advanced industrialized nations. Source: Investopedia. See also HERE

Monday, January 9, 2017

SPX vs 4.5 Degree Steps of Lunar Node to Lunar Apogee | 80th Harmonic

Upcoming aspects in this 18 Year Cycle:
Feb 04 (Sat) = 85.5 degrees, Mar 14 (Tue) = 90 degrees, Apr 13 (Thu), May 07 (Sun), May 26 (Fri),
Jun 19 (Mon), Jul 16 (Sun), Aug 22 (Tue), Sep 25 (Mon), Oct 21 (Sat), Nov 12 (Sun), Dec 02 (Sat),
Dec 26 (Tue), 2018 Jan 29 (Mon) = 144 degrees. See also HERE

Sunday, January 8, 2017

DJIA 2017 | Presidential Cycle + Seasonal Pattern + Decennial Cycle

Seasonal Cycle (1900-2016) Jan 01 - Dec 31 = +6.99%

1st Year of the Presidential Cycle (2017) Jan 01 - Dec 31 = +5.48%

7th Year of the Decennial Cycle (2017) Jan 01 - Dec 31 = +4.82%

"The Sun's position by itself in relation to the stock market can show you trends that are more

or less active for each year, as the Sun degrees are generally fixed. They fall on about the

same date every year. So this is why some periods of the year would be more of a pattern."

Jack Gillen (1979): The Key to Speculation on the New York Stock Exchange.

Seasonality | DJIA | NDX | FTSE | DAX | HSI | NI225

Credits: Seasonal Charts

SPX vs 15 Degree Steps of Lunar Node to Lunar Apogee | 24th Harmonic

Upcoming aspects in this 18 Year Cycle:
Jan 12 (Thu) = 165 degrees, Mar 14 (Tue) = 180 degrees, Apr 28 (Fri), Jun 04 (Sun), Jul 16 (Sun),
Sep 17 (Sun), Oct 28 (Sat), Dec 02 (Sat), Jan 15, 2018 (Mon).

David McMinn (2016): 9/56 Year Cycle: Lunar North Node - Apogee Angles [5 p.]

Saturday, January 7, 2017

Harmony of the Spheres | Dance of the Planets

James Ferguson’s (1710-1776) representation of the apparent motion of the Sun, Mercury, and Venus from the Earth, based on similar diagrams by Giovanni Cassini (1625-1712) and Roger Long (1680-1770). Taken from the "Astronomy" article in the first edition of the Encyclopædia Britannica (1771; Volume 1, Fig. 2 of Plate XL facing page 449). This geocentric diagram shows, from the location of the Earth, the Sun's apparent annual orbit, the orbit of Mercury for 7 years, and the orbit of Venus for 8 years, after which Venus returns to almost the same apparent position in relation to the Earth and Sun. In Arabic, Venus is called “El Zahra” - the flower. See HERE + HERE + HERE + HERE

Earth - Mercury Cycle.
This and all following graphics by John Martineau.

Earth - Venus Cycle:
Earth = 8 years x 365.256 days/year = 2,922.05 days
Venus = 13 years x 224.701 days/year = 2,921.11 days (ie. 99.9%)

Earth - Mars Cycle.

Earth - Jupiter Cycle.

Saturn - Uranus Cycle.

Jupiter - Saturn Cycle.

Venus - Mars Cycle.

The radius of the Moon compared to the Earth's is 3:11

Radius of Moon = 1,080 miles = 3 x 360
Radius of Earth = 3,960 miles = 11 x 360 = 33 x 1 x 2 x 3 x 4 x 5
Radius of Earth plus Radius of Moon = 5,040 miles = 1 x 2 x 3 x 4 x 5 x 6 x 7 = 7 x 8 x 9 x 10
The ratio 3:11 is 27.3%, and the orbit of the Moon takes 27.3 days, which is also the average rotation period of a sunspot. The closest to farthest distance ratio that Venus and Mars each experiences in the Mars-Venus dance is also 3:11. The Earth orbits between them. The sizes of the Moon and the Earth is drawn to scale in the last illustration above, where the perimeters of the dotted square and the dotted circle are of the same length: The perimeter of the dotted red square is 4 x Earth’s diameter = 4 x 7,920 miles = 31,680 miles. The circumference of the dotted blue circle is 2 pi x radius = 2 x 3.142 x 5040 miles = 31,667 miles (ie. 99.9%).

Thursday, January 5, 2017

The Measure of the Circle | Math for Mystics

Pi (π) is the ratio of the circumference of a circle to its diameter.
As a fraction, its closest approximations are 22/7, 333/106 and 355/113.

Projection on the plane of the ecliptic of the parabolic
orbits of 72 comets, 1802. Engraving by Wilson Lowry after
Johann Elert Bode.

Circle of Fifths, and relationship of relative
minor keys to major key signatures.

"The circle is one of the noblest representations of Deity, in his noble works of human nature. It bounds, determines, governs, and dictates space, bounds latitude and longitude, refers to the Sun, Moon, and all the planets, in direction, brings to the mind thoughts of eternity, and concentrates the mind to imagine for itself the distance and space it comprehends. It rectifies all boundaries; it is the key to information of the knowledge of God; it points to each and every part of God's noble work."

John Davis (1845): The Measure of the Circle [p. 12].

Tuesday, January 3, 2017

Lunar and Solar Eclipses 2017 | August 21 — The Great American Eclipse

2017 Feb 11 (Sat) = Penumbral Lunar Eclipse @ 24° LEO 59'
This eclipse may turn out to be of immediate importance
to Canada and the USA. The UK, Spain, Algeria, Morocco
and Mali are likely to be affected at a later date. With
the Sun being eclipse ruler, countries falling under the
Sun’s rulership will have to be taken into consideration.

2017 Feb 26 (Sun) = Annular Solar Eclipse @ 02° PIS 34'
This eclipse may be of immediate importance to Canada and
the USA. With Jupiter being eclipse ruler, countries falling
under Jupiter’s rulership will have to be taken into
consideration.

2017 Aug 07 (Mon) = Partial Lunar Eclipse @ 08° AQU 04'
This eclipse may turn out to be of immediate importance to
Poland, Austria and Italy. Russia, China and India may be
affected at a later date. With Saturn being eclipse ruler,
countries falling under Saturn’s rulership will have to
be taken into consideration.

2017 Aug 21 (Mon) = Total Solar Eclipse @ 20° LEO 21'
This is truly a great American eclipse sweeping the U.S. from
the Pacific to the Atlantic. However, this eclipse may be of
immediate importance to Russia. Canada and the USA are likely
to be affected at a later date. With the Sun being eclipse
ruler, countries falling under the Sun’s rulership will
have to be taken into consideration.
Sources: NASA. + Peter Stockinger. See also HERE + HERE

Asa Smith’s Illustrated Astronomy was the most popular American pictorial astronomy
guide of the 19th century, with numerous diagrams demonstrating or showing principles
of planetary motion and features, other astronomical phenomena, the moon, and the
constellations. Originally copyrighted in 1848, numerous editions followed.