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Wednesday, August 26, 2026

The Saturn-Rahu/Ketu Conjunction Blueprint of Market Cycles | Allen Reminick

This 1646 engraving by Jesuit polymath Athanasius Kircher is an astronomical calculating tool from his book Ars Magna Lucis et Umbrae (The Great Art of Light and Shadow). Known as the Eclipse Dragon, the diagram maps and predicts solar and lunar eclipses. The beast's winding body represents the ecliptic plane, as eclipses occur only when the Moon intersects this path. The dragon's head on the left marks the ascending North Node, historically called "Caput Draconis." Its coiled tail on the right signifies the descending South Node, or "Cauda Draconis."
Fifteen years of statistical validation show that buying during Moon-Ketu conjunctions and selling at Moon-Rahu conjunctions yields a 70% win rate over two-week periods in the S&P 500. The critical caveat is that even when the statistics suggest shorting during Moon-Rahu alignments, the prudent approach avoids counter-trend positions in a bull market. The deeper principle is that the nodes serve as polarity points: Ketu represents contraction and Rahu expansion, each exerting a predictable gravitational influence on market psychology.

Saturn-Rahu Synodic Cycle: The Explosive Bull Catalyst
The strongest evidence for planetary influence emerges from the 11.4-year Saturn-North Node synodic cycle (11.4045 years = 4,165.443 days). When the angle between them measures approximately thirteen degrees—as on March 01 (Sat), 2025 [exact 2025 Saturn–North Node conjunction: on April 14 with the mean node, on April 21 (Mon), 2025 with the true node], preceding the March 30th low—historical back-testing reveals extraordinary consistency. Over 110 years, every occurrence of this specific angular relationship produced an explosive rally shortly thereafter. The 2025 rally from the April lows demonstrated the pattern with remarkable precision, following the template established in 1992, 2003, and 2014, each separated by the 11.4-year interval.
The predictive power extends beyond price action into geopolitical correlation. The same Saturn-Rahu alignment that preceded the 2025 market low also maps to the beginning of the Iraq War in 2003, the Gulf War in 1991, and Ruhollah Khomeini's rise to power in Iran in 1979. Four cycles later, on February 28, 2026, Ali Khameini was murdered on the exact day another cycle began. The dissolution of the Soviet Union in December 1991 aligned with this cycle, while its formation sixty-nine years earlier also fell on the same pattern. The 2025 Straits of Hormuz crisis mirrors the Dardanelles crisis of 1878—precisely 148 years, or thirteen synodic cycles, apart—with both involving naval deployments to keep strategic waterways open.
Saturn-Ketu Conjunction: The Bearish Counterpoint
The opposite nodal alignment—Saturn conjunct Ketu—produces the mirror image: severe bear markets every 34 years, or three Saturn-Rahu cycles. The October 11th, 2007 conjunction in Leo [exact Saturn–Ketu conjunction October 12 or 23, ephemeris-dependent] marked the exact high of the Great Financial Crisis. 
Three cycles earlier came the 1974 bear market, triggered three days after President Nixon's resignation. Three cycles before that, the 1940 crash unfolded as Hitler's European campaign intensified. Each occurrence produced a waterfall decline of approximately twenty percent, establishing durable lows that, crucially, were followed by recovery to new highs within five years—a pattern suggesting that the 4,800 level on the S&P in April 2025 will hold as a long-term floor.
Symmetry of Opposites: Market Inversion Mechanics
When Saturn-Rahu and Saturn-Ketu conjunctions occur at opposite zodiacal points, the market responds with striking symmetry. The 2007 high, generated by a Ketu conjunction, corresponds to the 2025 low produced by its Rahu counterpart, inverting the Great Financial Crisis into an upside-down mirror image. 
 
The recent S&P rally was driven by the Saturn‑Rahu synodic cycle: On March 1, 2026, a high formed with a thirteen‑degree angle between Saturn and the North Node, followed by a low on March 30. This exact thirteen‑degree angle recurs every 11.4 years, and back‑testing over 110 years shows that every occurrence produced an explosive rally soon after the corresponding high. Crucially, from every Saturn‑Rahu low, the market is invariably higher five years later, with no exceptions, even when intermediate bear markets appear, as in 1957 and 1969. The synodic period of 11.4 years shifts through different zodiac signs, requiring a full thirteen cycles—totaling 148 years—to return to the identical starting position. On a short‑term basis, Moon‑Ketu conjunctions are bullish and Moon‑Rahu conjunctions are bearish, yet in a bull market one must never counter‑trend short on the Moon‑Rahu signal. 
The 17.5-year interval—1.5 times the 11.4-year cycle—aligns the 2008 Lehman Brothers collapse, the worst phase of the decline, with the most explosive portion of the 2025 rally. On November 21 (Fri), a secondary low followed by a six-week bounce, maps precisely to current market positioning, providing a roadmap for the coming months: a continuation of the rally into September, punctuated by a July dip.

The 34-Year Cycle: Structural Superiority Through Zodiacal Rotation
While the 11.4-year Saturn-Rahu cycle demonstrates impressive predictive capability, the 34.2-year cycle exhibits greater longevity and structural integrity. The reason lies in zodiacal position: the 1991 conjunction occurred at the beginning of Capricorn [Jan 21 (Mon), 1991, while the 2025 alignment in the sidereal system occurred at approximately two degrees of Pisces]—a sixty-degree rotation. 
 
34.25-Year Saturn–Node Cycle Overlay: Weekly Dow versus the same chart shifted back 34.25 years (three Saturn–North Node synodic cycles of 11.4045 years each). The April 2025 low maps directly onto the December 1991 low, the 2007–09 financial-crisis decline aligns with the 1974 crash, and the 15 October 2014 low coincides with the 30 March 2025 low at 97 percent correlation on five-minute bars. The longer-term fidelity arises because the 1991 conjunction occurred at the start of Capricorn while the 2025 conjunction fell near 2° Pisces sidereal—a 60° rotation that preserves the cycle’s structural integrity far beyond isolated 11.4-year repetitions. Project the pattern forward from 34 years ago for the continuing roadmap.
This sixty-degree planetary shift, equivalent to one-sixth of the zodiac, preserves the cycle's periodicity across extended timeframes with 95% correlation. The April 2025 low corresponds precisely to the December 1991 low, with identical swing structures, while the 2007–2009 financial crisis maps to the 1974 crash, demonstrating that the thirty-four-year interval captures both the 11.4-year cycles and their sixty-degree rotations.

Jupiter-Saturn Supra-Cycle: The Grand Synthesizer
Above these cycles operates the Jupiter-Saturn synodic cycle, completing every 19.85 years and remaining in the same elemental sign for 250-year epochs. The 60-year cycle—three Jupiter-Saturn conjunctions, approximating 59.6 years—provides the most reliable long-term market template, with 1965 aligning perfectly with 2025 and 1966 with 2026. 
Multiplying the three cycles yields a 178-year interval connecting the 1842 Opium Wars to the current opioid crisis in the US, with trade direction reversing from west-to-east to east-to-west. The same 178-year span links Mexico's 1828 independence and subsequent invitation to American settlers with today's immigration crisis, demonstrating that these cycles govern not merely market prices but the collective human drama itself.
Human Element: Consciousness Embedded in Cosmic Structure
The patterns repeat because human nature remains constant. The same emotions, fear and greed, and cognitive biases that drove traders in 1878 continue to drive traders today. Planetary configurations serve as signposts—mathematical markers of where collective consciousness directs its attention and emotional energy. 
 
Partial Solar Eclipse (August 12, 2026) and Partial Lunar Eclipse (August 28, 2026) over New York. Moon-Rahu and Moon-Ketu conjunctions occur once per Draconic Month (~27.2122 days) at each node. The most critical conjunctions occur when the Moon aligns with a node near a syzygy (New or Full Moon), producing solar or lunar eclipses—for example, March 3, 2026, Ketu: Total Lunar Eclipse; August 12, 2026, Rahu: Total Solar Eclipse; August 28, 2026, Rahu: Partial Lunar Eclipse. 
Recognizing this structure dissolves the apparent chaos of markets into ordered pattern. The trader ceases to be a victim of random events and becomes an informed participant in a cosmic drama, understanding that the script was written not in Washington or on Wall Street, but in the mathematics of the solar system itself. As the ancient aphorism states: "As above, so below." Markets, far from being disconnected from natural law, operate as its most transparent expression.

 
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Tuesday, August 18, 2026

Japan's Yen Collapse Threatens to Drag the US Down With It | Alex Krainer

In March 2022, while the yen was trading around 115 to the US dollar, I wrote that the "yen will burn to a crisp over the coming years." Four+ years (and numerous interventions) later, it takes 159.2 yen to buy one dollar, the weakest it’s been in 40 years, which is amplifying Japan’s rampant inflationary pressures. If the oil prices continue to rise, which seems likely, and if the yen continues to fall, which also seems likely, Japan could find itself in a disastrous double jeopardy.
 
 
» The predictable disintegration of Japan's fiscal and economic position is now all but inevitable. Japanese Government Bonds will collapse. The unraveling could resemble what Germany had experienced 100 years ago. «
Namely, Japan has to import about 3 million barrels of crude oil per day which, at current prices, is well in excess of $250 million/day, settled in US dollars. The higher the oil price goes, the greater Japan's demand for US dollars, and the greater the downward pressure on the yen. The lower the yen, and the higher the prices of oil and other imported goods, the more inflation Japan imports via its US dollar oil purchases.
US Sovereign Liquidity Strain: Facing weak demand that pushed 30-year yields to a 16-year high of 5.33%, the US Treasury doubled its liquidity buybacks of 10-, 20-, and 30-year bonds from $2 billion to over $4 billion per operation. By issuing short-term debt to repurchase long-term debt, the Treasury temporarily suppressed yields by 9–10 basis points.
Aggressive Japanese Capital Flight: Japan, the largest foreign holder of US debt, liquidated $26.4 billion in Treasuries in June alone (bringing holdings to $1.117 trillion) to raise funds to defend the falling yen.

Failing Currency Interventions: Despite joint US-Japan interventions pulling the yen back from 40-year lows near 164, the currency quickly erased over half those gains to trade above 159, pressuring the Bank of Japan to prepare further sales.

Systemic Risk: The alignment of Japan selling US debt to protect its currency alongside the US acting as the buyer of last resort for its own bonds indicates deep structural friction in global debt markets, deferring broader volatility across equities, real estate, and fixed income. 
Raising rates is not an option
Ordinarily, when they wish to strengthen their currency, central bankers raise interest rates. That would make Japanese financial assets more attractive to global investors, which would boost the demand for and purchases of yen. But the Bank of Japan (BOJ) can hardly afford to do that, given that it would bankrupt the Japanese government, which is leading the developed world in terms of debt-to-GDP, which currently stands at around 240%.

» As inflation accelerates, the Nikkei could continue to soar. However, the nominal gains in stocks will be more than offset by their losses in yen, still leaving investors with close to total losses in real terms. «
 Nikkei (weekly candles), July 2022 to August 2026.
Raising interest rates would also crash Japan’s financial markets and with it, Japan’s pension funds. When the BOJ raised the interest rates by only 0.25% on 31 July 2024, the Nikkei collapsed by -12.4%—its worst one-day crash since the Kobe earthquake in 1987. Currently, Japan’s debt to GDP stands at around 240%.

Sustainable market manipulation?
The answer, probably, is yes, but not this week. Given that raising interest rates is unpalatable, Japan had the option of selling its $1.1+ hoard of US Treasuries and using the proceeds to buy and prop up the yen. In fact, Japan’s Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama was anxious enough about her government's fiscal position that on July 10 she explicitly encouraged Japanese households and pension funds "to increase their investments in Japanese financial assets."

But selling US investments to buy Japanese assets would put further pressure on US interest rates, putting a squeeze on the US Government which is already in a massive fiscal bind. In fact, the US Government can be so sensitive about foreign governments selling their Treasury debt that they can regard it as an act of war. Accordingly, Ms. Katayama quickly backpedaled from her cunning plan. Instead, the US and Japan together coordinated an intervention to support the yen and relieve Japan’s inflationary pressure.
 
» The reason why even real assets turn worthless is that inflation 
indiscriminately annihilates the purchasing power in an economy. « 
The Economics of Inflation. Basis for all curves: January 1922 = 100. 
In late July, the US coordinated market operations with Japan to support the yen, which have been somewhat successful: they knocked the yen back up from its 40-year low of 164 yen to the dollar to below 156. Since then, however, the yen fell back to just under 160 yen/USD, where it is trading today.

Even when governments do it, currency rate manipulations ultimately fail: they buy a temporary respite from the accelerating collapse, but they cannot reverse the decline as they leave the structural causes of the financial imbalances intact. In the end, I believe that the yen will indeed burn to a crisp (as will the euro and the British pound) and that Japan will ultimately drag the United States with it.

We'll know it when it happens
Unfortunately, predicting the timing of all these events is out of the question. Note, my original article about Japan being the harbinger of bad things to come is over 16 years old, and its predictions are yet to unfold in full. US/Japanese joint yen rescue operation may not be over yet. Further efforts to boost the yen could be successful, especially if they trigger large-scale short covering in the markets.

Namely, global investors and traders have accumulated the largest short position on record against the yen. Panicked short-covering could give another boost to the yen in the near term, but in the end, the predictable disintegration of Japan's fiscal and economic position is now all but inevitable.

What happens next
Reiterating my earlier prediction with relation to this crisis, we can make three predictions about Japan’s economy:

► We'll see a period of stagflation (inflation+recession), the inflation part could ultimately morph into hyperinflation;
► Interest rates will continue to rise, and the price of Japanese Government Bonds will collapse. I believe that the unraveling could resemble what Germany had experienced 100 years ago;
► The Nikkei could continue to rally (for now)—as currency and debt turn worthless, equities tend to go vertical as we saw in many cases through history, including Venezuela, Zimbabwe, Argentina, Israel, and the Weimar Republic too.

Thus, as Japan's inflation accelerates, the Nikkei could continue to soar. However, the nominal gains in stocks will be more than offset by their losses in yen, still leaving investors with close to total losses in real terms. The reason why even real assets turn worthless is that inflation indiscriminately annihilates the purchasing power in an economy. When everyone’s purchasing power converges on zero, we really get the great reset: owning nothing minus being happy.
 
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25 Principles of Morality | Alain de Benoist

I do not have much taste for "morality." I know its genealogy too well (which Nietzsche seems to me to have clarified rather well). I have a tendency, moreover, to consider that there are as many "moralities" as there are possible levels of humanity—which makes for quite a number. 
 
In Benvenuto Cellini’s 1554 bronze masterpiece Perseus with the Head of Medusa, the hero holds aloft the severed head of the Gorgon whose gaze turned onlookers to stone. Perseus beheaded her in her sleep, using Athena’s polished shield as a mirror; the head still bears its crown of writhing serpents. Commissioned by Cosimo I de’ Medici as a symbol of Florentine triumph and authority, the sculpture stands permanently under the Loggia dei Lanzi in Florence’s Piazza della Signoria, with Cellini’s name inscribed on the sash across Perseus’s chest.
Soul over mind, life over reason, image over concept.
 
On the other hand, I believe strongly in principles, which can also be rules of life. (Every historical becoming goes from myth to principle by way of an idea). On the off chance, here are mine; I hope not to fail them too often.
1
Man is God’s partner, His associate for better or for worse. Both create in common. God is not above, nor outside of us. He is not beyond our sensations either. What matters is not to believe in God. What matters is to act in such a way that He can believe in us. To find and identify Him in us, to reveal ourselves as Him. Body and soul are one and the same thing. To reduce one to the other, to oppose these notions to each other: this stems from the same sickness of the spirit. A God who does not behave as one has the right to expect of Him deserves to be repudiated—provided that he who repudiates Him has given the best of himself.

2
It is not enough to be born, one must still be "created." Creation is posterior to birth; one can only be "created" by oneself. This is how one gives oneself a soul. Meister Eckhart speaks of "self-creation" (Selbstschöpfung): "I was the cause of myself, there where I willed myself, and I was nothing else. I was what I willed, and what I willed was me." In the Edda (Hávamál), there is the image of Odin sacrificed by himself to himself. A people founds a culture when it becomes cause of itself—when it finds in itself alone (in its tradition) the source of perpetual novelty. The same for man: to find in oneself the causes of self and the means of self-transcendence. (A decadent head of state is he who derives his authority from an other-than-self, from something other than the transcendence of his own principle).
3
Virtue is not a means relating to some ultimate end. It is its own end—its own reward. The interior reconquest or reconquest of self: the starting point of every quest as of every conquest. And first the mutual recognition and rediscovery of animus and anima. To establish over oneself a sovereign empire. To be to oneself one’s own object. To obey the Master who is in us, at the very instant we command the Slave who is in us. Search for the just mean.

4
To be oneself is not a sufficient watchword. One must still become what one can be—one must build oneself according to the idea one has of oneself. One must never be satisfied with oneself. One must want to change oneself before wanting to change the world. To accept the world as it is rather than accept ourselves as we are. To develop in ourselves those among our potentialities that make us specifically human; and among these, those that make us specifically ourselves. A strong will allows one to be what one wants—no matter what one was. Will takes precedence over all determinisms, even that of birth, provided that one can will. First cultivate interior energy, that energy of which "the ant can give proof as much as the elephant" (Stendhal), and which allows one to be in winter that through which spring returns.

5
Fix one’s own norm—and stick to it. Take the law in oneself, with the condition that it is not to be changed. (Which does not forbid giving new dimensions to the chosen perspective). Do not yield. Do not bend. Continue without reasons to continue. Be faithful to betrayed causes, be faithful for those who have not been. Be faithful also to those who are no longer. Defend against all and against oneself the idea one has of things and that one would like to be able to have of oneself.

6
Take "possession" of others only when one has taken "possession" of oneself: constraint upon oneself is the first condition of the right to constrain others. Likewise, tolerate one’s contemporaries after having tolerated oneself. The man of quality has demands first toward himself, the common man has them only toward others (Confucius). Power must be founded on superiority, not superiority on power. Those who direct have the right to possess, but those who possess do not necessarily have the right to direct. The man of quality is beyond despotisms: he dominates the dominators by ways that are his own. "A new nobility is necessarily opposed to everything that is rabble and despot" (Nietzsche).

The higher one climbs, the more one walks alone: the more one must count on oneself. Those who are above are responsible for those who are below: they must respond to their expectation; they have "privileges" only insofar as one can really unload onto them—otherwise, all revolts are just. Freely follow those who are superior to us: have pride in having found a Master (Stefan George). The counterpart of submission is not domination, but protection. One has the right to obey and the duty to command (oneself)—not the inverse. Proclaim the duty to have rights, and the fine right to have duties.

7
The world is immeasurable tragedy. All existence is tragic, all affirmation is tragic. The world is chaos—but one can give it form. What we do has no other meaning than that which we give it. Counterpart: everything resonates on everything. Our most minute gestures have a consequence in the most remote parts of the universe. Evil has no positive existence. It is only a simple limitation of what becomes—a limitation of the form that beings give to the world. A pure, eternal negation.

8
We deserve everything that happens to us—individually and collectively. Past a certain threshold, there is neither luck nor chance: our adversaries, in the final analysis, are never strong except through our own weaknesses. Consequently, do not merely accept, but will what happens. Will what happens once we have not been able to prevent it from occurring. No resignation, but the maintenance of our own freedom. Amor fati: the only means of acting when one can no longer act. Stoicism: the only possible conduct when others are no longer. Make it so that what we can do nothing about can also do nothing to us (Evola).

9
In the beginning was action. Great and strong things have no raison d’être; that is why they must be done. (But everything that is unmotivated is not necessarily great and strong). Action is the most important thing, not he who undertakes it; the mission, not he who fulfills it. Against individualism— for an active impersonality. What one must do cannot be explained in terms of motives. Nobility keeps silent.

10
Honor: never fail the norms one has set for oneself. The image one has of oneself becomes true—this is evident—from the instant one conforms to it. From then on, whether it be an "image" or a "reality" matters little; the two terms are merged. The idea becomes flesh: this is the true incarnation of the Logos. Every promise commits, no circumstance releases. To be able to be proud of oneself is the best means of not having to be ashamed of others.

11
Style is the man. Liturgy counts more than dogma. The beautiful is never wrong. It is better to do mediocre things well than to do excellent things badly. The way one does things is worth more than the things themselves. The way one lives one’s ideas is worth more than these ideas. The way one lives is worth more than what one lives—and sometimes more than life. More simplicity than manners, one is a boor; more manners than simplicity, one is a pedant; as much manners as simplicity, such is the man of quality (Confucius).

12
Nietzsche: "What is noble? To seek situations where one needs attitudes. To abandon happiness to the great number, that happiness which is peace of soul, virtue, comfort, Anglo-Saxon commercialism. To instinctively seek heavy responsibilities. To know how to make enemies everywhere, at worst to make one of oneself."

13
Put one’s duty before one’s passions, and one’s passions before one’s interests. To accomplish "good actions" to earn one’s salvation, go to paradise, etc., is still to serve one’s interests. Do what one must, not what one loves. But this requires apprenticeship: man needs rules to build himself, because he is infinitely malleable. Work as service, duty as destiny.

14
Realize and ceaselessly remake the lived harmony of contingencies and principles. Make it so that acts conform to words. The man whose words exceed his acts is no more master of himself than the man whose acts exceed his words. To be sincere is not to tell the truth. It is to adhere entirely, without second thoughts, to everything one undertakes.

15
Do not repent, but draw lessons. Put everything into action. Not to do harm, but if one has done so, do not seek to justify oneself. The justifications one gives oneself are so many flights from oneself. Repentance does not aim to erase the fault, but to give oneself good conscience. Render good for good, justice for evil. (If one rendered good for evil, what would one render for good—and what value would it have?)

16
Never forgive; forget much. Never hate; despise often. Plebeian sentiments: hatred, rancor, susceptibility, vanity, avarice. Hatred, which is the contrary of contempt; rancor, which is the contrary of forgetting; susceptibility and vanity, which are the contrary of pride; avarice, which is the contrary of wealth. Of all these sentiments, ressentiment is the most despicable. Nietzsche: "Near is the time of the most despicable of men, he who is no longer even capable of despising himself."

17
Against utilitarianism. As with men, as with armies. Troops that need to know why they are fighting in order to fight well are already mediocre troops. There is lower: troops that need to be convinced that their cause is the good one. And lower still: those that only fight when they have chances of prevailing. When one must undertake something, concern oneself only secondarily with knowing whether the enterprise can or cannot be crowned with success. The maxim of the Silent One remains the key to Dürer’s engraving, Knight, Death and the Devil. But it is not enough to undertake without being assured of victory, for one must still undertake even when one is sure to fail—because one is sure to fail: because remaining faithful to the norms one has given oneself is then the only honorable way to get through it. Think of the "soldier of Pompeii" (Spengler). And also of the example of Regulus. To want to do like the adversary under the pretext that it succeeded for him, is to become that adversary—not to be different from him. There is baseness as soon as one asks (oneself) "what is it for," "what does it bring," "what obliges us to do it." To try to preserve at all costs a life that we will lose anyway—an apologue of living dogs and dead lions—there’s a fine absurdity.

18
Virtue, like vice, can only be the prerogative of an elite. They require the same capacity for self-mastery; they pertain less to "morality" than to pure will. The freedom to do something always goes hand in hand with a freedom with respect to that something. In other words, one must will only the things to which one also feels capable of renouncing. Julius Evola: "You are permitted to do something only insofar as you are also capable of abstaining from doing it. You are permitted to want something—and to obtain it—only insofar as you are also capable of abstaining from wanting it and giving it up."

19
Do not seek to convince, seek rather to awaken. Life finds meaning in what is more than life—but not beyond life. What is more than life is not expressed in (and by) words, but is sometimes felt. Give precedence to soul over mind, to life over reason, to image over concept.

20
Lyricism can serve as a "moral" rule, provided that one has posited as the essential relation of existence not the relation of man to man, but that of man to the universe. (The only way there is to adhere to the world above is to build oneself by analogy with it). Great heads of state are those thanks to whom peoples can think of themselves lyrically.

21
The present actualizes all pasts, potentializes all futures. To accept the present, through jubilatory assumption of the instant, is to be able to enjoy at the same time all instants. Past, present, and future are the three perspectives, equally actual, given at every moment of historical becoming. Break definitively with the linear conception of history. Everything we do engages what has already come as much as what will (re)come.

22
The goal of life: to put something important between oneself and death. The epoch, like society, can prevent us from doing so. Two ways for society to drive one mad: demand too much, not propose enough. This can be, according to men, exactly the same thing.

23
Solitude. Know how to be of the party of the polar star: the one that stays in place when the others continue to turn. Peace is at the center of movement (Jünger)—in the axis of the wheel. Cultivate in oneself what the man of quality conserves, immutable, in all situations: Confucian jen, purusha of the Aryas, the humanitas of the Romans—the interior core of being.

24
There is no true piety but filial piety, extended to ancestors, to lineage and to people. Jesus affirming that Joseph is not his true father—that he is the son of a single God, the brother of all men—begins the process of disavowal of paternity. Our vanished ancestors are neither spiritually dead nor passed into another world. They are at our sides, in an invisible and rustling crowd. They surround us as long as their memory is perpetuated by their descendants. Thus is justified the cult of ancestors—and the duty to have their name respected.

25
All men of quality are brothers, no matter the race, country, and time.

Originally published as Cahier du Partisan (Partisan Manual), later republished
under title variations such as Manuel du partisan or Mémoire vive.
 
Alain de Benoist (b. 1943)  is the leading thinker of the European "New Right," the metapolitical movement he co-founded in France in 1968 with GRECE. Shaped chiefly by the German Conservative Revolution, he opposes Christianity, the Declaration of the Rights of Man, neoliberalism, representative democracy, egalitarianism, and their chief promoter, the United States. He regards sovereign states outside the Western unipolar order—even non-democratic or anti-secular ones—as checks on globalization and American unilateralism. Preferring "civilizational blocks" to conventional nation-states, he stresses distinct cultural-political zones that interact without Western homogenization. He coined ethnopluralism to advocate preserving and mutually respecting territorially bounded ethno-cultural regions. Key works include View from the Right (1977), How Can One Be a Pagan? (1981), Democracy: The Problem (1985), Europe, Third World, Same Fight (1986), Beyond Human Rights (2004), The Populist Moment (2017) and Against Liberalism (2019). Rejecting the "New Right" label, he stands outside the Left/Right divide. He lives in Paris and continues writing, lecturing and giving interviews.
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Tuesday, August 11, 2026

August 2026 Eclipses: Financial Markets & Monetary Regimes | Margo Amala

The August 2026 eclipse season is a potentially significant period for markets, monetary systems, geopolitical developments, and political leadership. The August 12 (Wed) total solar eclipse at 20° Leo centers sovereignty, executive authority, leadership, and public power. It belongs to Saros 126, historically associated with recessions, financial dislocations, geopolitical shocks, and leadership transitions. The August 28 (Fri) Pisces lunar eclipse completes the current Pisces series, marking the culmination of a decades-long Pisces cycle and a transition away from themes of uncertainty, ambiguity, and systemic fluidity.

Leo-Pisces / Saros 126 Eclipses and Major Events, 1836 to 2026. 

The Leo–Pisces axis and Saros 126 repeatedly coincide with major political and financial turning points. In 1971, a Leo–Pisces eclipse sequence preceded the August 15 Nixon Shock, which ended dollar convertibility into gold and transformed the international monetary system. In 1980, the cycle coincided with Reagan's defeat of Carter and a major silver-market peak. In 1990, a Saros 126 eclipse occurred shortly before Iraq's invasion of Kuwait. In 1998, the Leo–Pisces transition coincided with the final phase of the dot-com boom. In 2008, Saros 126 preceded the Lehman Brothers collapse by approximately 45 days. Earlier monetary precedents include the 1836 Specie Circular, the 1893 Silver Purchase Act, and the 1931 sterling crisis preceding Britain's abandonment of the gold standard.


Saros 126 has a reported historical correlation of approximately 75% with recessions occurring within two months of the eclipse. Equity-market behavior tends to show a two-stage pattern: relatively positive short-term performance followed by slower deterioration over subsequent months, consistent with a rolling recession or delayed structural repricing rather than an immediate collapse. Individual equities can experience corresponding leadership and valuation inflection points; Tesla, for example, is currently associated with a breakdown around a 20-week cycle low.


Precious metals occupy a central position in the historical pattern because major Leo–Pisces and Saros 126 periods repeatedly coincide with monetary-system transitions. The 1971 Nixon Shock is the principal precedent: the eclipse sequence coincided with a fundamental redefinition of money, monetary convertibility, and control of the global monetary system. Comparable historical episodes include the 1836, 1893, and 1931 monetary disruptions. Gold and silver are currently approaching or experiencing a 20-week cycle low, creating a technical timing point within the broader monetary-cycle pattern. The key issue is therefore not merely metal-price volatility but a potential reassessment of currency, monetary authority, and the role of hard assets.

August 12, 2026 Solar Eclipse Map of Path on earth.
 
Historical backtesting of Saros Series 126 and the 19-year Metonic cycle reveals a sharp decoupling between equity markets and underlying macroeconomic conditions:
► Recession Risks: Dating back to 1828, 75% of total eclipses in Saros Series 126 (8 of 12) preceded an economic recession within two months. This aligns with the Lunar Nodes shifting into the Aquarius-Leo axis—a movement historically correlated with business cycle troughs.
► Equity Trajectory: Following Metonic cycle eclipses, short-term equity performance is overwhelmingly bullish, boasting positive market returns 87.5% of the time at 1 month and 75% at 3 months. However, returns decay steadily to 50% at 6 months and 37.5% at 12 months, signaling a gradual market roll-off rather than an immediate crash.

The geopolitical expression is concentrated around sovereignty, resources, territorial control, and strategic chokepoints. Astrocartographic emphasis includes Greenland, associated with resources and energy; Spain, associated with immigration and political leadership; and the Strait of Hormuz, associated with Saturnian restriction, strategic blockage, and constrained movement. Mars in Cancer reinforces protectionism, defensive nationalism, territorial concerns, and emotionally charged public reactions.
 
The central historical analogy is 1971, when a Leo–Pisces eclipse sequence coincided with a fundamental monetary-regime change and a structural transformation in precious metals. August 2026 combines the same eclipse-axis symbolism with a Saros 126 recession signal, a 20-week precious-metals cycle low, heightened geopolitical constraints, and visible questions surrounding political and monetary authority. 
The principal risk is therefore a synchronized transition across equities, precious metals, currencies, leadership structures, and geopolitical power rather than an isolated eclipse-driven market move.
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Saturday, July 11, 2026

ICT New York Midnight Open (NYMO): How to Actually Use It | Darya Filipenka

Traders use the New York Midnight Open (NYMO) in different ways. This is my approach. It is grounded in ICT principles (see second video below), though my interpretation differs slightly (first video). The New York midnight open is not a standalone trading level; it is a contextual framework for understanding accumulation, manipulation, and distribution within the intraday cycle.
 
Black horizontal line represents the NY Midnight Open (NYMO).
Red shaded area: discount entry zone at FVG; Green shaded area: expected premium extension target zone.
Option 1: Breakout Continuation (FVG)
A strong body closure past NY midnight open sets up a trend play. Enter on the retest of the first 3m/5m Fair Value Gap (FVG or imbalance) formed after the break. Stop loss goes beyond midnight open or the nearest swing point; target 2R.

Option 2: Liquidity Sweep Continuation
Price wicks through NY midnight open but fails to close past it, indicating a sweep. Enter at the next candle open once an opposing order block (OB) forms to confirm continuation. Stop loss goes at the sweep swing point; target 2R.

Option 3: Weak Breakout Reversal
A weak closure or immediate rejection wick at midnight open signals a fakeout. Enter a reversal play at the next candle open once a counter-trend OB forms. Stop loss goes at the midnight open or recent swing level; target 2R.

Option 4: Higher-Timeframe Inversion
A strong breakout hits a higher-timeframe (HTF) key level, forcing a reversal. Enter at the next candle open when the initial breakout FVG fails and acts as an Inversion FVG (IFVG), aligned with an opposing OB. Stop loss goes at the HTF swing point.
A key misconception is treating it as a level to trade from. Price does not react to it because it is "magical"; it serves as a reference point. Its value is understood through the Power of Three: accumulation, manipulation, and distribution. The New York midnight open often marks the transition between these phases.
 
ICT NYMO Explained.
 
Think of a sprinter: accumulation is the setup, manipulation the adjustment, and distribution the race. The move does not begin at the New York midnight open—it begins only after price leaves and holds away from it.
Stage 1: Accumulation
Defined by range-bound price with no clear direction or strong volume, often forming around the daily open. Intraday, price frequently consolidates near the New York midnight open. Position relative to the level is meaningless here; directional bias is not yet established and the dealing range is still forming.
Stage 2: Manipulation
The false move before the real move. Price may trade above or below the level to induce liquidity, but this does not define premium or discount. It is typically a setup. Price should interact with higher-timeframe levels and show a reaction, confirmed by order flow shifts or displacement. Once price completes this and returns through the level, manipulation is likely ending.
Stage 3: Distribution
The real move begins only after a decisive break and close beyond the NYMO level. Sweeps or consolidation indicate continued manipulation. A strong close, typically with displacement, confirms expansion. Repeated returns to the level signal that the range is still forming.
Dealing Range Perspective
The Dealing Range is the price range between a defined high and low that establishes premium and discount. The New York midnight open acts as the center of the developing range. Only after distribution begins do true expansion, clear premium/discount zones, and defined swings emerge. These cannot be traded meaningfully until price holds away from equilibrium.
 
Invalidation
If price fails to hold after a break, distribution is not active. Rejections (sweeps without close) and weak closes followed by reversals signal lack of confirmation. Strong, sustained closes are required. Continuous trading above and below the NYMO level without expansion indicates ongoing accumulation—best to stay out.
 
Invalidation Signal: If price fails to hold away from the NYMO, distribution is
inactive and the market remains undecided. Not every touch is significant. 
 
Retest Logic (Time-Based Behavior)
If the level is not retested between 3:00–7:00 a.m. New York time (range formation window), the probability increases of a retest between 8:30–11:00 a.m. If it is retested early, the range is often balanced and distribution may continue. If not, the level becomes a likely pullback or mitigation target, creating higher-probability setups.
 
How to Trade It
Wait for a strong close beyond the NYMO level, then look for a retracement into the first fair value gap; enter on reaction with risk beyond the level. Alternatively, treat sweeps as continuation setups with confirmation via order flow and structure, refining entries with candle sequences, order blocks, or fair value gaps.

If a break lacks conviction, wait for confirmation such as a break in opposing structure. In optimal conditions, combine a strong break, order flow confirmation, and higher-timeframe alignment. If a higher-timeframe objective is reached immediately after the break, favor reversal setups.
 
Some Extremely Useful Statistics
The following statistics can be used to align with what occurs between 3:00 and 7:00 a.m. to confirm a potential retracement.
► SPX / ES: If price opens at 9:30 a.m. above the New York midnight open, there is a 58% chance it will retrace to that level. If price opens below the New York midnight open, the probability of a retracement increases to 69%. 
► On Thursdays, there is a stronger tendency to retrace to the New York midnight open when price opens below the level. On these days, the probability increases to 88%.
► NDX / NQ: If price opens above the New York midnight open, there is a 57% chance of a retracement. If price opens below the level, there is a 63% chance of a retracement back to the New York midnight open.
► On Tuesdays there is a 67% chance of a retracement to the New York midnight open if price opens above the level, and a 73% chance of a retracement if price opens below it. 
► Gold: If price opens above the New York midnight open, there is a 47% chance of a retracement to that level. This idea should again be aligned with higher-timeframe levels and the 3:00 to 7:00 a.m. range—specifically, what occurs during that window. If price opens below the New York midnight open, there is a 51% chance of a retracement.
 Reference:
  
 
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