S&P 500 Forecast for August 2026 | Nicholas D. Savino

Here is the S&P 500 August 2026 Forecast. Also posted is the inverse below. The charts are not scaled for Price. 

 

Primary forecast pattern for August.
 

Inverse pattern for August; currently not favored.  
 

How the July Forecast played out.

Reference:
Nicholas D. Savino (August 2, 2026) - S&P 500 Forecast for August 2026.
[check for updates]

See also:
Jeff Hirsch (July 25, 2026) - August Stock Market Performance in Midterm Election Years.

Seth Golden (July 28, 2026) - Presidential Cycle Sweet Spot: Post-Midterm Election Gains.

S&P 500 Forecast for July 2026 | Nicholas D. Savino

Here is the SPX July 2026 Forecast. Also posted is the inverse. The charts are not scaled for Price. This forecast correlates with the Bonds Forecast in that ~July 13 appears to be an important date for a Change In Trend (CIT).
 

Primary forecast pattern for July.

 

Inverse pattern for July, which is currently not favored.  

  

 

How the June Forecast played out: June has been difficult. The best right now in this

environment is that the forecast can show Change In Trend (CIT) turning points. 

Reference:

Nicholas D. Savino (June 30, 2026) - S&P 500 Forecast for July 2026.

[check for updates]

S&P 500 Forecast for June 2026 | Nicholas D. Savino

Primary forecast pattern for June.

 

The forecast focuses on market direction and timing rather than magnitude of price change. 

 

Inverse pattern for June, which is currently not favored.  

 

How the May 2026 forecast played out. 

 

Reference:

Nicholas D. Savino (May 31, 2026) - S&P 500 Forecast for June 2026.

 

[check for updates]  

S&P 500 Forecast for May 2026 | Nicholas D. Savino

The primary forecast pattern for May.

 

The forecast focuses on market direction and timing rather than magnitude of price change. Key challenges in advanced cycle spectrum analysis (as implemented in Timing Solution) include Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT)-based spectral decomposition of price data into dominant cycles, which typically requires at least 3 years of daily observations for 30-day forecasting, with more than 5 years being optimal; pattern recognition; construction of composite cycle projection lines; and identification of initial directional biases for the upcoming month. There is also the inverse pattern, which is currently not favored by Nicholas Savino.  

 

The inverse forecast pattern for May.

 

How the April 2026 forecast played out. 

 

Reference:

Nicholas D. Savino (May 2, 2026) - S&P 500 Forecast for May 2026.

 

See also:
Jeffrey A. Hirsch (May 1, 2026) - May Stock Market Performance in Midterm Election Years.

Namzes (April 19, 2026) - S&P 500 Bear Outlook Intact: Q3 3.5-Year Hurst Cycle Low.

S&P 500 Forecast for March 2026 | Nicholas D. Savino

Following a brief correction through March 3 (Tue), the forecast projects a rally toward a peak around March 9 (Mon). This high is expected to be followed by a decline into March 16 (Mon), a rally leading into March 27 (Fri), and subsequent weakness heading into the end of the month.

 

March 3 (Tue) Low, March 9 (Mon) High, 

March 16 (Mon) Low, March 27 (Fri) High.

 

This forecast focuses on directional timing and is not scaled for price.

 

Reference:

Nicholas D. Savino (March 1, 2026) - S&P 500 Forecast for March 2026.   

[check for updates] 

 

S&P 500, NASDAQ, DJIA, and Russell 2000 (daily bars) and 20-week cycle.

 

S&P 500 (daily bars) vs 22-year and 60-year cycles.

 
See also:
Jeffrey A. Hirsch (February 25, 2026) - February Stock Market Performance in Midterm Election Years.

TPR (February 22, 2026) - S&P 500 Hurst Analysis: Projection into Mid-March 20-Week Cycle Low. 

Larry Williams (February 19, 2026) - 2026 Market Update: Crude, NatGas, Metals, Stocks, Cocoa.

Larry Williams (1998) - The Oops! Reversal Setup.

S&P 500: Hurst 10-Day Cycle Low Set to Hit Friday's CPI News Release

S&P 500 (3 hour candles): 10-Day cycle (currently ≈7.6 days) low due Friday, February 13 (CPI News Release).

 

 Nicolas Savino update, February 12.

 

See also:

Jeffrey A. Hirsch (January 27, 2026) - February Stock Market Performance in Midterm Election Years.

Revised February S&P 500 Forecast | Nicholas D. Savino

Nicholas Savino has revised his February 2026 S&P 500 forecast, inverting the original cycle projection (left chart above). While February 5 (Thu) was previously slated as a peak, recent price action now points toward a low. From this pivot, a rally to a new all-time-high is expected to unfold, extending through February 17 (Tue), followed by choppy, sideways price action through month-end (right chart above).

Update, February 9, 2026.

 

See also:
Jeffrey A. Hirsch (January 27, 2026) - February Stock Market Performance in Midterm Election Years.

Namzes (January 5, 2026) - 2026 Hurst Cycles Playbook for the S&P 500.