SPX vs 4.5 Degree Steps of Uranus from 2009 Low

On April 5, 2017 (Wed) Uranus will have moved 31.5 degrees of heliocentric longitude
since the major low in the SPX on March 6, 2009 (Fri).

The Sun’s Wobbles and the Earth’s Spiral Path

Figure 1 and Figure 2 (Enlarge)

Will J.R. Alexander et al. (2007) - Conventional illustrations show the Earth orbiting around a static Sun. This is misleading. First, the Sun wobbles through a tube of space and not along a smooth path at a constant velocity. Second, the Earth orbits the Solar System’s Center of Mass (SSCM) and not the Sun’s Center of Mass. The Earth therefore follows a spiral path as it moves through space. This is illustrated in Figure 1. (It is important to note that the scales in the figures 1 and 2 are highly compressed so that they can fit.)

The tube in the middle represents the volume of space that the Sun revolves in and is about 3.7 * 10^6 km in diameter. The ecliptic plane is at a 45° angle to the line of movement. The Earth to Sun distance (the chord length) varies, depending on where the Sun is located in the tube. While the paths of the Sun and the Earth are closely linked as they move through space, the changing relative positions result in corresponding changes in the distance between them.

Figure 2 shows the path of the combined Center of Mass of the four major planets, Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune, relative to the SSCM for the period 1978–2006. Visualize the three-dimensional view of this figure with the orbit path spiraling towards the viewer. Starting in 1978, the orbit maintains a nearly constant distance from the SSCM. In 1985 the orbit starts moving closer to the central point occupied by the SSCM. It swings around the SSCM, reaching its closest position in 1990. It then spirals away from the SSCM until 1994. From 1995 through to 2000 there is little change in the displacement from the SSCM. From 2001 through to 2006 it makes another approach to the SSCM. As can be seen, these changes are not regular in time. They were relatively unchanged from 1979 to 1985, and again from 1995 to 2000. They changed rapidly from 1986 through to 1994, when they closely orbited the SSCM.

The Sun follows a weighted reciprocal path but its Center of Mass is much closer to the SSCM. It also accelerates and decelerates synchronously but moves in the opposite direction in order to maintain the system in equilibrium. The Sunspot minima occurred in 1986, 1996 and 2006. The compass points on the figure are for reference purposes only. Note that the Sunspot minima of 1986 and 1996 both occurred in the SW quadrant of the figure, and that of 2006 in the NW quadrant when viewed from a position ahead of the approaching Solar System. This is in an anticlockwise direction relative to the forward clockwise movement of the spiral paths about the SSCM followed by the orbiting components of the Solar System. The angular distance followed by the orbit from 1986 to 1996 was 360° when it returned to the same quadrant. It was only 270° from 1996 to 2006 when it did not complete a full 360° rotation around the SSCM. The angles are approximate but are amenable to calculation.

Table 1 and Figure 3 (Enlarge)

Influence of the Planets: Table 1 shows the positions of the Planetary System’s Center of Mass (PCM) at the time of the Sunspot minima during the period 1902–2006. The information in this table provides the first positive linkage between solar activity and the hydro meteorological time series. There is a statistically significant linkage with the double Sunspot cycle. He found no statistically significant linkage with the single, 11-year cycle. His analyses showed that these alternating cycles are associated with different hydro meteorological characteristics. The periodic behavior of the Solar System has a duration of 21 years (actually 20.8 years during the past century), not 11 years. This explains why scientists have been unable to find a linkage with the 11-year cycle, from which they erroneously concluded that there is no linkage with solar activity. While the relative positions of the planets are closely grouped in space at 21-year intervals, they are not precise in either time or space. This is the reason for longer period cyclicity including 178 years and longer cycles.

Sunspot Production: The plane of the path of the orbiting planets and the Sun must be at 45° to the line of motion of the Solar System. This is in order to balance the gravitational forces of a three-dimensionally balanced group of objects travelling at constant forward speed relative to that of the SSCM. Each body in the Solar System will follow a three-dimensional spiral track around the SSCM thus maintaining the group’s constant forward speed. This path will also be influenced by the changing positions of the major planets relative to one another and the Sun’s reciprocal movement.

All bodies of the Solar System therefore have a combination of two velocities. The dominant velocity component is the constant galactic velocity that is followed by the SSCM. The orbital velocities of the individual bodies around the SSCM are super- imposed on the galactic velocity. As they orbit the SSCM their net forward velocity will be the galactic velocity plus the orbital velocity (corrected for the 45° slope of the solar orbits) as they move forward in their orbits around the SSCM, and the galactic velocity minus the orbital velocity as they move backwards in their orbits around the SSCM. The net result is that the galactic velocities equal that of the SSCM when the bodies directly trail or lie directly ahead of the SSCM. The galactic velocities increase as they move forward around the SSCM, and they decrease as they move backwards about the SSCM. The galactic velocity of each body in the Solar System, including the Sun, therefore alternately accelerates and decelerates within the galactic plane as it orbits the SSCM. This is the crux of the issue. Once it is appreciated that the reference system is the galactic plane and not the plane of the Solar System, then everything else falls into place.

Sunspot production is a direct function of the Sun’s galactic acceleration and deceleration, with Sunspot minima occurring when the Sun is directly ahead or trailing the SSCM. There can be no doubt that it is the influence of the changing relative positions of the major planets that is the direct cause of Sunspot activity. The actual mechanism for Sunspot production as a result of galactic velocity changes has yet to be determined, although several theories exist.

The Sun’s Wobble: The distance of the Sun from the SSCM is the weighted reciprocal of the distance of the combined Center of Mass of the orbiting planets. Consequently, both the Sun’s distance from the SSCM and its galactic velocity are continually changing. This creates a wobble in its path through space. This can be calculated given the knowledge of the masses and orbits of the four major planets. Figure 3 shows the Sun’s wobble as it moved through galactic space during the period 1944 to 1958. During most of this time its orbit was below that of the SSCM in this view. While the SSCM lies within the body of the Sun most of the time, there are occasions when the Sun wobbles outside the SSCM. This figure provides an indication of the extent of its wobble as the Sun moves through space.

Earth to Sun Chord Distance: As a result of the Sun’s wobble, the chord length between the Earth and the Sun and the amount of energy received by the Earth will change accordingly. The next exercise is therefore to determine the corresponding changes in the distance between the Earth and the Sun and thereby the changes in the rate of solar energy reaching the Earth. This is amenable to precise calculation. The calculation of the chord length between the Earth and the Sun at any particular time has two components. The first is the position of the Sun relative to the SSCM at that time. The second is the elliptical path of the Earth about the SSCM. The Sun’s displacement from the SSCM changes relatively slowly but the ecliptic direction of the Earth about the Sun changes with the seasons. Figure 10 shows the dis- placement of the position of the Sun from the SSCM during 1993 and its effect on variations in solar energy received on Earth during that year.

S&P 500 Index vs Market Momentum │ Greed

On March 31, 2017 (Fri) the daily price bar's Range of the SPX was less than the previous 13 bars, and the narrowest since the last short term change in the daily trend on March 27 (Mon). This makes it a Narrow Range 4 Day (NR4).

S&P 500 Index vs Mercury Speed | April 2017

Upcoming Turn-Days: Apr 02 (Tue), Apr 07 (Fri), Apr 10 (Mon), Apr 19 (Wed), Apr 21 (Fri), May 06 (Sat).

S&P 500 Index vs Mercury – Mars Speed Differential | April 2017

Upcoming Turn-Days: Apr 02 (Tue), Apr 13 (Thu), Apr 21 (Fri), Apr 20 (Sun).

S&P 500 Index vs Declination of Mercury and Venus | April 2017

Upcoming Turn-Days: Apr 10 (Mon), Apr 28 (Fri).

S&P 500 Index vs Mercury – Venus Cycle | April 2017

Upcoming Turn-Days: Apr 07 (Fri), Apr 11 (Tue), Apr 16 (Sun), May 02 (Tue).

S&P 500 Index vs 24th Harmonic of Mercury's Right Ascension | April 2017

Upcoming Turn-Days: Apr 05 (Wed), Apr 10 (Mon), Apr 16 (Sun), Apr 23 (Sun), May 03 (Wed).

S&P 500 Index vs AstroMetric Indicator | April 2017

Upcoming Turn-Days: Apr 01 (Sat), Apr 07 (Fri), Apr 13 (Thu), Apr 14 (Fri), Apr 16 (Sun), Apr 17 (Mon), Apr 19 (Wed), Apr 21 (Fri), Apr 26 (Fri), May 01 (Mon).

S&P 500 Index vs True Lunar Node Speed | April 2017

Upcoming Turn-Days: Apr 03 (Mon), Apr 06 (Thu), Apr 10 (Mon), Apr 13 (Thu), Apr 18 (Tue), Apr 21 (Fri), Apr 24 (Mon), Apr 27 (Thu), May 02 (Tue), May 04 (Thu).

SPX vs Jupiter – Saturn Cycle | April 2017

Upcoming Turn-Days: Apr 03 (Mon), Apr 07 (Fri), Apr 10 (Mon), Apr 20 (Thu), Apr 27 (Thu), May 03 (Wed).

Cosmic Cluster Days | April — May 2017

The basic assumption here is that heliocentric and geocentric angles between planets are related to financial market movements. A signal is triggered when the composite line of all aspects breaks above or below the Average Cosmic Noise Channel. Upcoming Cosmic Cluster Days (CCDs) are: Apr 06 (Thu), Apr 07 (Fri), Apr 08 (Sat), Apr 12 (Wed), Apr 13 (Thu), Apr 19 (Wed), Apr 28 (Fri), Apr 30 (Sun), May 02 (Tue), May 08 (Mon), May 12 (Fri), May 16 (Tue), May 25 (Thu), Jun 01 (Thu). Previous CCDs are HERE

SPX vs Cosmic Cluster Days | March - April 2017 | Review & Preview

SoLunar Map | April — May 2017

These charts depict the SoLunar bias for short-term movements of stock indices two months ahead. The markets are certainly influenced also by other planetary forces - especially longer-term - but a 3-5 day short-term rhythm and pattern is governed by the SoLunar forces (= 4 highs and 4 lows per lunar month). 

The SoLunar forces are a composite of Sun-Moon angles, orbital eccentricities, declinations and some long-term cycles. A Low in the SoLunar Map frequently is a High in the stock market and vice versa. Inversions occur, and if so, they should occur only once every 4 lunar months around a New Moon (max +/- 7 days). 

The SoLunar Rhythm is frequently disturbed by (1.) the FED, and (2.) by sudden solar activity, altering the geomagnetic field, and hence the mass mood. This can result in the skip and/or inversion of pivots in the SoLunar Map. An increasing number of sunspots and flares have usually a negative influence on the stock market some 48 hours later, and vice versa (Ap values > 10 are usually short-term negative). A rising blue line in the SoLunar Map means the bias for the market is side-ways-to-up, and vice versa. Highs and lows in the SoLunar Map also may coincide with the start and termination of complex, side-ways correction patterns like zig-zags, triangles or flags. 
 
Upcoming SoLunar Turn-Days are: Apr 03-04 (Mon-Tue), Apr 07 (Fri), Apr 11 (Tue), Apr 14 (Fri), Apr 18 (Tue), Apr 22 (Sat), May 03 (Wed), May 07 (Sun), May 11 (Thu), May 14 (Sun), May 17 (Wed), May 21 (Sun), May 25 (Thu), May 29 (Mon), Jun 01 (Thu), Jun 05 (Mon). Previous SoLunar Maps HERE

SPX vs SoLunar Map | March 2017 | Review & Preview

SPX vs CBOE Equity Put / Call Ratio | Overbought

The 3-Day Moving Average of the CBOE Equity Put/Call Ratio at 0.57
and turning higher, signals the S&P 500 is overbought.

An insider is any officer, director or owner of 10% or more of a class of a company's securities.
In most cases, an insider must report any trade to the SEC within two business days.
The tables highlight companies that filed with the SEC through last Wednesday. More HERE

CNN's Fear & Greed Index is Neutral.
Source: CNN Fear & Greed Index

SPX vs Declination of Mercury and Venus Parallel | March 26, 2017

SPX vs Solar Activity | 10.7 cm Flux | Sunspots | Ap Index

Russell 2000 Index vs Galactic Cosmic Rays

The Developed World Populism Index │ Ray Dalio

* The latest point includes cases like Trump, UKIP in the UK, AfD in Germany, National Front in France,
Podemos in Spain, and Five Star Movement in Italy. It doesn’t include major emerging country populists,
like Erdogan in Turkey or Duterte in the Philippines.

On March 22, 2017 Ray Dalio published "Populism: The Phenomenon", a paper that analyzes the role of populism in today’s world and in history. Ray Dalio runs the $150 billion dollar hedge fund Bridgewater Associates, the world’s largest. The paper introduces a "Developed World Populism Index", which Dalio says measures the strength of populism over time. It’s a weighted index of the vote share of anti-establishment parties or candidates in national elections for major developed countries since 1900. The index shows that populism is now at its highest level since the early 1930s. Contemporary populism includes supporters of Donald Trump, UKIP in the UK, AfD in Germany, National Front in France, Podemos in Spain and Five Star Movement in Italy. "Populism is not well understood because, over the past several decades, it has been infrequent in emerging countries (e.g., Chávez’s Venezuela, Duterte’s Philippines, etc.) and virtually nonexistent in developed countries. It is one of those phenomena that comes along in a big way about once a lifetime — like pandemics, depressions, or wars. The last time that it existed as a major force in the world was in the 1930s, when most countries became populist. Over the last year, it has again emerged as a major force."
 

A portrait of President Andrew Jackson (1829-1837) hangs on the wall behind President Trump in the
Oval Office of the White House. Jackson was a rich, bragging populist, who said: "I was born for a
storm and a calm doesn’t suit me." Also: "Peace, above all things, is to be desired, but blood must
sometimes be spilled to obtain it on equable and lasting terms." Trump like Jackson is a rich, bragging
businessman, a narcissist and reality TV star, who never held any public office before. Calm doesn’t
suit him either, and millions at the U.S. home front are prepared for storm and blood
(see also HERE + HERE).

"We believe that populism’s role in shaping economic conditions will probably be more powerful than classic monetary and fiscal policies (as well as a big influence on fiscal policies)," writes Dalio and three Bridgewater colleagues. Populism is a political and social phenomenon that arises from the common man, typically not well-educated, being fed up with 1) wealth and opportunity gaps, 2) perceived cultural threats from those with different values in the country and from outsiders, the “establishment elites” in positions of power, and 4) government not working effectively for them, according to Dalio. In other words, populism is a rebellion of the common man against the elites and, to some extend, against the system. In summary, populism is:

• power to the common man.
• through the tactic of attacking the establishment, the elites, and the powerful.
• brought about by wealth and opportunity gaps, xenophobia, and people being fed up with government not working effectively, which leads to the emergence of the strong leader to serve the common man and make the system run more efficiently.
• protectionism.
• nationalism.
• militarism.
• greater conflict, and greater attempts to influence or control the media.

SPX vs 93 Trading Day Cycle

More on the nominal 20 Week Cycle HERE + HERE

SPX vs Mercury 180° Saturn (heliocentric)

Today Mercury opposes Saturn (heliocentric).
March 24, 2017 is also a Sensitive Degree of the Sun (HERE),
a turn-day in the Jupiter-Saturn Cycle (HERE),
and a SoLunar turn-day (HERE).
Martin Armstrong expects a consolidation of US-stock indices into May (HERE).