» I’m not trying to predict the future; I am trying to accurately and quickly depict the present.
I’m not trying to predict what people will do, but rather identify what they are doing right now. «
Chris Camillo, 2023
Chris Camillo, 2023
Showing posts sorted by date for query lunar node. Sort by relevance Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by date for query lunar node. Sort by relevance Show all posts
Friday, March 15, 2024
Thursday, March 14, 2024
A Lunar Chaos Theory | Al Larson
As the planets orbit the sun, they exert tidal forces upon the gases of the gun, much as the moon raises tides on the earth. The equation below describes these forces. Numerical solution of this equation reveals that Jupiter, Mercury, Venus, Earth, Mars, and Saturn are the most Influential, in that order. In Figure 1 shows this tidal effect caused by planets 1 and 2 rotating a gaseous portion of the sun's surface. These gas swirls cause several solar effects, including sun spots, coronal holes, and solar flares. All these effects combine to vary the amount of radiation that leaves the sun.
This solar radiation travels toward the earth in two ways, as direct radiation, such as sunshine and radio waves, and as particles, carried by the solar wind. This flow of charged particles forms a torrent of energy that blast spaceship earth, creating a bow wave and a wake just as a boat going upstream would do. This bow shock wave forms a magneto-pause between the earth and the sun. It interacts with the earth's magnetic field, shaping and adding energy to it. At the north and south poles, the charged particles follow the magnetic lines of force, and enter our atmosphere in a Polar Cap Absorption Event. This leads to the auroral oval, producing our Northern and Southern Lights.
The bow wave also creates an envelope about the earth, called the magnetosphere. As the solar wind flows past the earth, the magnetosphere forms a teardrop shaped envelope of trapped particles, ending in the magneto-tail. It is inside this envelope that the moon orbits. As the solar radiation varies, so does the earth's magnetic field, atmospheric ionization, and temperature. Scientists have tracked down a host of relationships between these events and a variety of earthly phenomena such as climate, weather, crime rates, plant growth rates, frequency of thunderstorms, blood PH levels, psychiatric emergencies, etc. My own work has related these events to market action as well.
I believe there is also a third mechanism at work, one involving the moon. Let me explain: The moon's orbit is the most complex of all the ten bodies under consideration. While a planet's position may be accurately computed from an equation containing about nine or so terms, computing the moon's location to the same accuracy requires over 100 terms. Some of these terms are directly traceable to the pull of various planets and the sun on the moon. For example, there is a term related to Venus, our closest planetary neighbor. All these terms still do not describe a stable orbit, but one that rotates slowly In space, coming back to the same orientation in about 18.6 years. This is the moon's nodal cycle. Most people are familiar with the moon's full moon, new moon, or synodic cycle of 29.531 days. Many have tried to correlate it with market movements. The moon has many other cycles. It moves closer to and further from the earth, in what is the moon’s anomalistic cycle, which ls 27.554 days long. As the moon passes through the ecliptic plane (the plane of the earth's orbit) it crosses at its node, to form the moon's draconic cycle of 27.212 days (so named by the ancient Chinese who viewed this cycle as having the power of a dragon). Further, as the moon passes the earth’s equator, it forms the lunar tropical cycle of 27.321 days. There is also the motion from star to star, which is the sidereal cycle, of 27.322 days. Additionally, since the moon's orbit tips approximately 5 degrees, the observer on earth sees the moon 'ride high' or 'ride low' as it revolves in its orbit. The venerable Farmer’s Almanac points out the effect of this on tides, weather, and earthquakes.
I have, I believe, discovered another lunar cycle that I call the lunar chaos cycle. Figure 2 shows this cycle pictorially. My theory is that as the moon rides high and low, and moves closer and further from the earth, that the moon crosses the boundary between the ionized particles trapped in the moon's wake and the fast flowing solar wind. Figure 2 shows this possibly happening at two full moon positions (1 and 2) and two new moon positions (3 and 4). Such boundary crossings would lead to sharp disturbances in the earth’s magnetic field, affecting those of us who live within it.
A further perturbation can be theorized as well. This is the perturbation of the nearby planets Mercury and Venus. When the moon balances on the edge of the magneto-pause, a chaotic balance point exits. Either interior planet can tug the moon into the solar wind, tipping the balance just as Lorenz's Butterfly Effect tips the balance in weather.
[...] While at first it may be hard for the average buyer or seller of stocks and commodities to accept that his fortunes are controlled by a burning ball of gas and ten pieces of revolving rock, this study presents scientific evidence that this indeed may be true. The theory of lunar chaos does provide a rational explanation of possible cause and effect. The statistics of correlation, while they do not 'prove' the theory correct, are sufficiently strong to permit one to claim that this theory is possible.
Quoted from:
Al Larson a.k.a. Dr. Hans Hannula (1991) - A Lunar Chaos Theory.
In: Cycles, January/February 1991, Foundation of the Study of Cycles.
See also:
Monday, January 8, 2024
S&P 500 Index vs 18.61 Year Lunar Node Cycle │ January 2024
» The lunar node, quite abstractly speaking, is the point of intersection of the solar and the lunar orbits. There are, therefore, two nodes in opposite positions in the heavens: an ascending node or lunar north node, and a descending node - the lunar south node. The solar and the lunar orbits are not, in effect, in the same but in different planes, enclosing a certain angle. Thus there arise the two opposite points of intersection. The peculiarity of these two points of intersection is that they do not stand still but slowly move. The plane of the lunar path rotates in relation to the plane of the solar path; so the two nodes move a round. They move around the Zodiac in a contrary direction to the rotation of the planets, i.e., from Aries backward through Pisces, Aquarius, etc. A complete revolution of a lunar node takes place in 18 years and 7 months; after this time, therefore, the node — the ascending node, for example — is once again in the same position in the Zodiac as it was before. The ascending node is, thereby, the mathematical point that (at any given time and again after 18 years and 7 months [= 6,798.383 CD] the lunar orbit rises above the solar orbit, while at the opposite point the descending node sinks below it. «
Willi O. Sucher, 1937.
Friday, January 5, 2024
S&P 500 Cycles, Analogues & Projections │ Allen Reminick
S&P 500 Index - Correction targets.
January 05 (Fri) or January 09 (Tue) = low for a swing up into late January?
24-Year Cycle
71-Year Cycle
106-Week Cycle and 7.5-Month Cycle
Jan 04 (Thu) or Jan 09 (Tue) Low
7.5-Month Cycle
60-Year Cycle
24-Year Cycle
58-Month Cycle
3-Year Cycle
188-Week Cycle
Reference:
Allen Reminick (Jan 05, 2024) - Expect an UP S&P 500 in 2024. (video)
Thursday, December 21, 2023
S&P 500 Index vs 18.61 Year Lunar Node Cycle │ Projection into April 2024
Dec 21, 2023 (Thu) = May 10, 2005 (Tue)
In bull markets, New Moons are bottoms, and Full Moons are tops.
Jan 3 (Wed) 22:30 = 270° = Last Quarter
Jan 11 (Thu) 06:57 = 0° = New Moon
Jan 17 (Wed) 22:52 = 90° = First Quarter
Jan 25 (Thu) 12:53 = 180° = Full Moon
Tuesday, October 11, 2022
Astrological Methods of Forecasting the DJIA | Carol S. Mull
Carol S. Mull (1989) - Humankind moves through periods of optimism, expansion, anxiety, depression and panic, as dictated by the magnetic winds that govern the universe. These cycles affect market trading and can be forecast by observing and analyzing planetary phenomena. There are at least twenty different planetary, solar, or lunar movements that affect the market in a significant way. I know of no computer program that utilizes more than five or six of them. Below is a summary of the most useful, listed from those with the shortest effect through those lasting decades.
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| Cafe Astrology .com - This Month’s Ephemeris |
A FEW HOURS OR MINUTES
Planet to Midheaven: You may have noticed that the DIJA will move up or down at about the same time each day for a week or more. This is because the planet and its aspects that is directly overhead the market location at any given time-of-day will affect the mood of the trader. Hence, if Saturn is crossing the Midheaven of the New York Stock Exchange location of Manhattan Island in New York at about 1:00 p.m., the market may have opened up, but will tend to drop from noon until 1:00 p.m., and may then turn up again. This trend will continue for about a week, with the timing being a little later each day until it finally moves beyond the time of the market closing. Jupiter in the same position will bring a rise in market prices. Neptune over the market Midheaven will bring increased trading in oil stocks. Uranus over the Midheaven will produce an erratic market.
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| Planetary Hours Calculator |
I know a daytrader who runs an astrological chart on his computer every fifteen minutes for New York City and then acts accordingly. This planet-to-Midheaven indicator is good for the hourly wobbles in the market and should always be considered against the general trend.
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| Solar, Lunar and Planets Ephemerides - Rise - Midheaven Transit - Set |
Sun and Moon Aspects: The astrological aspects that are easiest to learn and use are those between the Sun and the Moon. These can be found in an Almanac, ephemeris or astrological calendar. The Sun and Moon are conjunct at the New Moon and, unless overshadowed by heavier aspects, the market can be expected to move upward at that time.
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| Monthly Lunation Cycle 8 Lunar Sun-Moon 45° Phases |
The Sun and Moon are in square aspect (90°) at the first quarter and the last quarter and a bear market is the normal result. The Sun and Moon are in opposition (180°) at the Full Moon, which usually brings a somewhat bullish market, but is not as positive as the New Moon. Sun/Moon trines (120°) come halfway between the opposition and the first quarter or last quarter. They are indicators of bull markets.
Eclipses are really just super New or Full Moons and unless aspected, produce little market change at the time. However, they sensitize a certain degree in the sky and whenever another planet comes into aspect with that point, LOOK OUT. The Noon or Mercury to that point will produce an erratic unpredictable market. When Mars comes into aspect with that point, the market is likely to fall sharply.
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| TimeAndDate.com - Eclipses and Transits Visible in New York |
The Total Picture - Positive or Negative: A tool used by several financial astrologers is to tally all the aspects in the sky on a given day. This method is described by both LCdr. David Williams in his book, Financial Astrology, and by Donald Bradley in his book, Stock Market Prediction, but most users put their own construction on the methods described by Williams and Bradley.
The usual method is to list the aspects that are within a degree of orb on a given day over New York City within market hours, plus the more important ones that fall after or before the market is open. A numerical value is then assigned to each aspect. Conjunctions are ten; sextiles are 3; trines 10; squares 8, and oppositions six. In general, conjunctions, sextiles and trines are positive, whiles squares and oppositions are negative but this can be overridden by the nature of the planets involved. Saturn and Mars are always negative. Jupiter, Venus and Sun are always positive.
The usual method is to list the aspects that are within a degree of orb on a given day over New York City within market hours, plus the more important ones that fall after or before the market is open. A numerical value is then assigned to each aspect. Conjunctions are ten; sextiles are 3; trines 10; squares 8, and oppositions six. In general, conjunctions, sextiles and trines are positive, whiles squares and oppositions are negative but this can be overridden by the nature of the planets involved. Saturn and Mars are always negative. Jupiter, Venus and Sun are always positive.
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| Geocentric and Heliocentric Bradley Indices |
When the list is complete, add your negative column and then your positive column. If you have -86 and +13, you should definitely expect a down-day at the market. Plus 72 and minus 14 would indicate a bull market. This same method of tallying aspects can be used on a hourly basis or even fifteen minutes.
A FEW DAYS
Moon’s Daily Motion: The average daily motion of the Moon is 13.17749 degrees, but it fluctuates from 11.54’ to 14.36’, gaining in daily speed for nine to thirteen days and then losing speed for nine to thirteen days, depending on the season of the year. Whenever the Moon is gaining in daily speed the market tends to move upward; whenever the Moon is losing daily velocity, the market tends to move downward. This can account for small wobbles on a general trend line. (I find it of interest that this average thirteen day motion correlates with the Mayan calendar of thirteen day cycles, which they grouped into 260 day cycles (13x20). I am working on an overall plan to tie the market to the Mayan calendar, but it is not complete.)
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| Sun-Moon Daily Arc Move on Sphere = Longitude Speed |
Sunspots: Periods of solar prominence (sunspots) pour forth energy, causing all earthly activities to increase, including stock market trading. The usual result of this stimulus is a major market turning point, either up or down. Increased sunspot activity occurs whenever the planets Mercury, Venus, Mars, and Jupiter are on the same side of the Sun as the Earth. The greatest influence of all this tidal-like force occurs when Jupiter and Venus are in a heliocentric line-up with the Earth at 0°, 45°, and 90°, but lesser activity produces the well-known Dow cycles of 89 weeks, 124 weeks, and 208 weeks [see also HERE].
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| Jan Alvestad - Solar Terrestrial Activity Report |
A very good illustration of this market indicator occurred on October 19, 1987, when the market dropped 505 points. Jupiter was exactly opposite the Sun, increasing solar flares and market timing--thus forcing a market turning point. Another example is October 27, 1997, when Jupiter was square the Sun. So, be aware that heliocentric aspects to the Sun mark major market turning points, both up and down.
Powerful Aspects: Certain aspects are especially powerful and will influence the market for five to seven days. Examples of powerful benevolent aspects are Jupiter or Venus in aspect to Uranus, Sun, or Mercury. Powerful negative aspects are Saturn to any planet and Mars to anything except Venus and Jupiter.
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| National Astronomical Observatory of Japan - Celestial Phenomena |
A FEW WEEKS
The Planet Mercury: Mercury does rule trading and it alone can give you a reasonably good forecast. Whenever you see a Sun-Mercury conjunction, you may expect a high volume day that is very bullish. These happen about every six weeks. Mercury's daily motion is a very important market indicator. That is, whatever the daily motion of Mercury is increasing, the market is likely to move upward and whenever Mercury's velocity is decreasing, the market trend is downward. This has nothing to do with retrograde or forward motion.
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| Retrograde Planets Calendar |
It is the increase or decrease of velocity that counts and the direction does not matter. When Mercury is stationery or nearly so, the market has a very low volume and is bearish. If Mercury is rapidly gaining in velocity, the market gains rapidly. If Mercury is gaining velocity slowly, the market is up a little. The tone of the market can be discerned by the actions of Mercury .
Seasonal Highs and Lows: The market is usually up January 9th through the 18th. This is because the Sun reaches 23°-25° Capricorn in mid-January, which produces a grand trine with Mercury at 24° Taurus in the NY Stock Exchange chart, Sun at 26° Taurus in the NYSE chart, Neptune at 20° Virgo in the chart of the USA, and Pluto at 24° Capricorn in the chart of the USA. A similar effect happens each September, when transit Sun reaches 18°-27° Virgo.
In fact, the degree 24°-26° Taurus is important to stock exchanges around the world. The New York Stock Exchange has Sun and Mercury in that area, Tokyo Exchange has Sun, Amsterdam Exchange has Sun and Pluto, Budapest Exchange has Venus, Lisbon Exchange has Jupiter, London Exchange has Sun, Melbourne Exchange has Venus and Uranus, Toronto Exchange has Jupiter opposite, Zurich Exchange has Venus and Pluto. It is easy to see why the markets so often act in unison.
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| Jack Gillen's Sensitive Degrees of the Sun |
LONG TERM TRENDS
Venus Daily Motion: For longer term trends, I depend upon the increasing and decreasing of the velocity of Venus in the same way as the velocity of Moon and Mercury were used. This indicator points toward a lower 1999 than 1998.
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| Venus' Daily Motion |
The Outer Planets: Very long term trends changes are marked by the aspects of Saturn, Jupiter, Uranus, and Neptune. A very good book about this is THE EGG OF COLUMBUS by George Bayer, which pretends to be describing a banquet or feast. If you set charts for the dates given in the book, you will find exact aspects of the outer planets. Enough said? These long-term trends have been charted as cycles of varying lengths, but for exact work, you will need to work from the helio-centric aspects of the outer planets.
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| HeavensAbove.com - Planet Summary |
Mars Aspects: The planet Mars acts as a "trigger" for certain undesirable long-term stock market movements, whenever this planet is square or opposite one of the outer planets. That is, the outer planetary aspects set the long-term trends, but Mars produces the action. The following aspects are especially bad for the market: Mars conjunct Saturn, Mars square Neptune, Mars opposite Jupiter, Mars in opposition, regardless of the planet. In contrast, stock prices have consistently risen during the thirty days just before a conjunction of Mars with Jupiter or Mercury.
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| Geocentric and Heliocentric Aspect Search Engine (500BC - 2500AD) |
CONCLUSION:
These are some of the more important astro indicators of DJIA trends. Applying them is not a quick study. Instead, it requires several years of blending the various factors, until a certain "wisdom" develops. Above all, you should always be aware of both political and economic happenings around the world for these will provide the background for your research.
See also:
Monday, October 10, 2022
Lunar Phases and Stock Returns | Kathy Yuan et al.
Kathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu (2002) - This paper investigates the relation between lunar phases and stock returns for a sample of 48 countries. We find strong global evidence that stock returns are lower on days around a full moon than on days around a new moon. Constructing a lunar trading strategy, we find that the magnitude of this return difference is roughly 4.2 percent per annum.
Since lunar phases are likely to be related to investor mood and are not related to economic activities, our findings are thus not consistent with the predictions of traditional asset pricing theories that assume fully rational investors. The positive association we find between lunar phases and stock returns suggests that it might be valuable to go beyond a rational asset pricing framework to explore the psychological effects of investor behavior on stock returns.
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| Figure 1 - Average Daily Return of the Global Portfolio by Lunar Dates |
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| Figure 2 - Average Daily Stock Returns of Global Portfolio by Lunar Windows |
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| Figure 3 - Distribution of Full Moon Days on Days of Week |
Quoted from:
Kathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu (2002) - Are Investors Moonstruck? Lunar Phases and Stock Returns.
Kathy Yuan, Lu Zheng & Qiaoqiao Zhu (2002) - Are Investors Moonstruck? Lunar Phases and Stock Returns.
See also:
AstroSeek.com (2022) - Moon Aspects - October 2022
Carol S. Mull (198?) - The Lunar Cycle (disjointed find and fragment of unknown source and context)
Carol S. Mull (1989) - Astrological Methods of Forecasting the DJIA
Carol S. Mull (198?) - The Lunar Cycle (disjointed find and fragment of unknown source and context)
Carol S. Mull (1989) - Astrological Methods of Forecasting the DJIA
Saturday, November 30, 2019
S&P 500 vs True Lunar Node Speed | Exuberant Mood and Frenzy
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| The Lunar Node Wobble: Node @ 0 = Nov 29 (Fri), max Direct @ High = Dec 02 (Mon), @ 0 = Dec 04 (Wed), Mean @ -0.053 = Dec 07 (Sat), max Retrograde @ Low = Dec 09 (Mon), @ -0.053 = Dec 10 (Tue), @ 0 = Dec 14 (Sat), @ High = Dec 17 (Tue), @ 0 = Dec 19 (Thu), @ Low Dec 23 (Mon), Annular Solar Eclipse = Dec 26 (Thu), @ 0 = Dec 27 (Thu), @ High = Dec 27 (Sun), @ 0 = Dec 31 (Tue), @ Low = Jan 01 (Wed), @ 0 = Jan 03 (Fri), @ High = Jan 07 (Tue), @ 0 and Penumbral Lunar Eclipse = Jan 10-11 (Fri-Sat), @ Low = Jan 13 (Mon), @ 0 = Jan 18 (Sat), etc. |
Before and after Lunar and Solar Eclipses the True Lunar Node starts wobbling (e.g. Dec 26, 2019 (Thu) = Annular Solar Eclipse and Jan 10–11, 2020 (Sat-Sun) = Penumbral Lunar Eclipse), quickly moving back and forth, retrograde, stationary, direct (see Moon Wobbles in a NASA animation HERE). Financial markets correlate with this 4 to 14 Day Cycle of the retrograde-stationary-direct motion of the Lunar True Node. About every 86.655 days a so called Moon Wobble (lunar libration) occurs when the Sun is conjunct, opposite and square (0°, 90°, 180°, 270°) the Lunar Node (4 * 86.655 days = 1 Nodical Year or Eclipse Year = 346.62 days). The Node starts wobbling about two weeks before the exact event and remains unstable until about one week after. If coupled with Solar and Lunar Eclipses, the wobble-effect can be extended. And as the Sun approaches conjunction and opposition towards the Lunar Node, it's motion is almost blocked (speed at or near zero). Notably these periods go along with exuberant mood and frenzy, most of the times correlating with rallies or crashes in financial markets. Previous events and correlations HERE
Sunday, November 17, 2019
Thursday, August 29, 2019
S&P 500 Index vs True Lunar Node Speed | August 2019
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| Lunar True Node Speed @ maxDirect = Aug 25 (Sun) Lunar True Node Speed @ Mean = Aug 29 (Thu) Lunar True Node Speed @ maxRetrograde = Sep 02 (Sun) Lunar True Node Speed @ Mean = Sep 05 (Thu) Lunar True Node Speed @ maxDirect = Sep 08 (Sun) |
Before and after Lunar and Solar Eclipses the True Lunar Node starts wobbling (e.g. on Jul 16-17, 2019), quickly moving back and forth, retrograde, stationary, direct. Financial markets correlate with this 4 to 14 Day Cycle of the retrograde-stationary-direct motion of the Lunar True Node. About every 86.655 days a so called Moon Wobble (lunar libration) occurs when the Sun is conjunct (e.g. on Aug 16, 2017), opposite and square (0°, 90°, 180°, 270°) the Lunar Node (4 * 86.655 days = 1 Nodical Year or Eclipse Year = 346.62 days). The Node starts wobbling about two weeks before the exact event and remains unstable until about one week after. If coupled with Solar and Lunar Eclipses, the wobble-effect can be extended. And as the Sun approaches conjunction and opposition towards the Lunar Node, it's motion is almost blocked (speed at or near zero). Notably these periods go along with exuberant mood and frenzy, most of the times correlating with rallies or crashes in financial markets. Previous charts HERE
Saturday, August 24, 2019
S&P 500 Index vs 18.61 Year Lunar Node Cycle | August 2019
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| Projected low = Aug 24 (Sat), high = Sep 17 (Tue). |
Thursday, November 22, 2018
S&P 500 Index vs 18.61 Year Lunar Node Cycle | Nov 27 (Tue) Low
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| This 2000-2018 Analog projects some sort of a low on Nov 27 (Tue), some sort of a rally into Dec 09 (Sun), another decline into Dec 22 (Sat), a high on Dec 28 (Fri), and a low on Jan 05 (Sat). |
Tuesday, November 6, 2018
S&P 500 Index vs Lunar Node Speed | The Moon's Rhythm in November 2018
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| S&P 500 Index vs True Lunar Node Speed @ 0 and Extremes | 30 Day CIT Forecast. On Nov 07 (Wed) the lunar node's speed will reach a short term minimum. Stock indices are likely to move sideways-to-down from Nov 08 (Thu) into Nov 12 (Mon). |
Sunday, August 5, 2018
S&P 500 Index vs Natural Trading Days | Cluster ± August 8-9 (Wed-Thu)
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| Aug 08 (Wed) = 90 TD from Apr 02 (Mon) Low + 180 CD from Feb 09 (Fri) Low + True Lunar Node Speed @ Max + MOO @ Max N-Declination Aug 09 (Thu) = 135 TD from Jan 26 (Fri) Major High + SUN 000 MER + VEN contra parallel SAT (heliocentric) + VEN 120 URA (h) + VEN 090 SAT (h). |
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| S&P 500 Index vs True Lunar Node Speed @ 0 and Extremes | 30 Day CIT Forecast |
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