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Thursday, November 24, 2016

Bradley Indices | Geocentric + Heliocentric | 2017

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The above Bradley Indices were created by combining all geocentric and heliocentric planetary aspects and declinations in numerical values for each day. Sometimes the changes in trend in these indices will fit incredibly with the market behavior. The direction of the indices aren't as important as the concrete trend change. Find more information on the Bradley Indices in Donald Bradley's original "Stock Market Prediction" and HERE.

Turn Days in the Geocentric and Heliocentric Bradley Indices 2017:

2016 Nov 25 (Fri) = High [geo]
2016 Nov 28 (Mon) = Low [geo] 

2016 Dec 09 (Fri) = High [geo]
2016 Dec 14 (Wed) = Low [geo] 

2016 Dec 28 (Wed) = High [geo]
2017 Jan 07 (Sat) = Low [geo]
2017 Jan 16 (Mon) = Low [helio]
 

2017 Jan 20 (Fri) = High [geo]
2017 Jan 23 (Mon) = High [helio]
2017 Jan 28 (Sat) = Low [geo + helio] 

2017 Feb 11 (Sat) = High [geo]
2017 Feb 19 (Sun) = High [helio]
2017 Feb 27 (Mon) = Low [geo + helio] 

2017 Mar 04 (Sat) = High [helio]
2017 Mar 06 (Mon) = High [geo]
2017 Mar 12 (Sun) = Low [geo]
2017 Mar 13 (Mon) = Low [helio]
 

2017 Mar 16 (Thu) = High [geo + helio]
2017 Mar 21 (Tue) = Low [geo+ helio] 

2017 Mar 28 (Tue) = High [geo+ helio]
2017 Apr 02 (Sun) = Low [geo+ helio] 

2017 Apr 19 (Wed) = High [geo + helio]
2017 Apr 26 (Wed) = Low [geo + helio] 

2017 May 11 (Thu) = High [geo+ helio]
2017 May 19 (Fri) = Low [geo + helio] 

2017 Jun 01 (Thu) = High [geo + helio]
2017 Jun 09 (Fri) = Low [geo + helio] 

2017 Jun 20 (Tue) = High [geo]
2017 Jun 22 (Thu) = High [helio]
2017 Jul 03 (Mon) = Low [geo]
2017 Jul 05 (Wed) = Low [helio]
 

2017 Aug 07 (Mon) = High [helio]
2017 Aug 09 (Wed) = High [geo]
2017 Aug 19 (Sat) = Low [geo]
2017 Aug 20 (Sun) = Low [helio]
 

2017 Aug 25 (Fri) = High [geo]
2017 Aug 29 (Tue) = High [helio]
2017 Oct 07 (Sat) = Low [geo]
2017 Oct 08 (Sun) = Low [helio]
 

2017 Nov 14 (Tue) = High [geo]
2017 Nov 19 (Sun) = High [helio]
2017 Dec 03 (Sun) = Low [helio]
2017 Dec 04 (Mon) = Low [geo]
 

2017 Dec 13 (Wed) = High [geo]
2017 Dec 14 (Thu) = High [helio]
2017 Dec 18 (Mon) = Low [helio]
2017 Dec 23 (Sat) = Low [geo]

 2018 Jan 03 (Wed) = High [geo]
2018 Jan 04 (Thu) = High [helio]
2018 Jan 28 (Sun) = Low [geo]
2018 Feb 01 (Thu) = Low [helio]

Saturday, December 1, 2018

Geocentric and Heliocentric Bradley Indices │ Turning Points 2019


2018 Dec 03 (Mon) = Low (helio)
2018 Dec 18 (Tue) = High (geo+helio)

2019 Jan 17 (Thu) = Low (geo)

2019 Jan 21 (Mon) = Low (helio)
2019 Feb 07 (Thu) = High (geo)
2019 Feb 10 (Sun) = Low (geo)
2019 Feb 19 (Tue) = High (geo+helio)
2019 Feb 27 (Wed) = Low (geo)
2019 Feb 28 (Thu) = Low (helio)
2019 Mar 17 (Sun) = High (helio)
2019 Mar 18 (Mon) = High (geo)
2019 Mar 31 (Sun) = Low (geo+helio)
2019 Apr 11 (Thu) = High (geo+helio)
2019 Apr 19 (Fri) = Low (geo+helio)
2019 Apr 22 (Mon) = High (geo+helio)
2019 Apr 28 (Sun) = Low (geo+helio)
2019 May 16 (Thu) = High (geo+helio)
2019 May 30 (Thu) = Low (geo+helio)
2019 Jun 02 (Sun) = High (geo)
2019 Jun 03 (Mon) = High (helio)
2019 Jun 16 (Sun) = Low (geo)
2019 Jun 16 (Sun) = Low (helio)
2019 Jul 04 (Thu) = High (geo+helio)
2019 Jul 11 (Thu) = Low (geo)
2019 Jul 15 (Mon) = Low (helio)
2019 Jul 23 (Tue) = High (geo+helio)
2019 Jul 29 (Mon) = Low (geo+helio)
2019 Aug 07 (Wed) = High (geo)
2019 Aug 09 (Fri) = High (helio)
2019 Aug 15 (Thu) = Low (helio)
2019 Aug 16 (Fri) = Low (geo)
2019 Aug 22 (Thu) = High (geo)
2019 Aug 29 (Thu) = High (helio)
2019 Oct 07 (Mon) = Low (geo+helio)
2019 Oct 18 (Fri) = High (geo+helio)
2019 Oct 29 (Tue) = Low (helio)
2019 Oct 30 (Wed) = Low (geo)
2019 Nov 10 (Sun) = High (geo+helio)
2019 Nov 17 (Sun) = Low (helio)
2019 Nov 18 (Mon) = Low (geo)
2019 Nov 29 (Fri) = High (geo)
2019 Nov 30 (Sat) = High (helio)
2019 Dec 19 (Thu) = Low (geo)
2019 Dec 21 (Sat) = Low (helio)
2019 Dec 29 (Sun) = High (geo)
2020 Jan 08 (Wed) = High (helio)
2020 Jan 15 (Wed) = Low (geo)
2020 Jan 20 (Mon) = Low (helio)
2020 Feb 01 (Sat) = High (geo)

[calculated for New York City

Some background on the Bradley Indices
and previous turning points HERE

Donald A. Bradley (1950) - Stock Market Prediction (HERE)

Tuesday, October 11, 2022

Astrological Methods of Forecasting the DJIA | Carol S. Mull

Carol S. Mull (1989) - Humankind moves through periods of optimism, expansion, anxiety, depression and panic, as dictated by the magnetic winds that govern the universe. These cycles affect market trading and can be forecast by observing and analyzing planetary phenomena. There are at least twenty different planetary, solar, or lunar movements that affect the market in a significant way. I know of no computer program that utilizes more than five or six of them. Below is a summary of the most useful, listed from those with the shortest effect through those lasting decades.
 
Cafe Astrology .com - This Month’s Ephemeris

A FEW HOURS OR MINUTES
Planet to Midheaven: You may have noticed that the DIJA will move up or down at about the same time each day for a week or more. This is because the planet and its aspects that is directly overhead the market location at any given time-of-day will affect the mood of the trader. Hence, if Saturn is crossing the Midheaven of the New York Stock Exchange location of Manhattan Island in New York at about 1:00 p.m., the market may have opened up, but will tend to drop from noon until 1:00 p.m., and may then turn up again. This trend will continue for about a week, with the timing being a little later each day until it finally moves beyond the time of the market closing. Jupiter in the same position will bring a rise in market prices. Neptune over the market Midheaven will bring increased trading in oil stocks. Uranus over the Midheaven will produce an erratic market. 
 
Planetary Hours Calculator

I know a daytrader who runs an astrological chart on his computer every fifteen minutes for New York City and then acts accordingly. This planet-to-Midheaven indicator is good for the hourly wobbles in the market and should always be considered against the general trend. 
 
Solar, Lunar and Planets Ephemerides - Rise - Midheaven Transit - Set

Sun and Moon Aspects
: The astrological aspects that are easiest to learn and use are those between the Sun and the Moon. These can be found in an Almanac, ephemeris or astrological calendar. The Sun and Moon are conjunct at the New Moon and, unless overshadowed by heavier aspects, the market can be expected to move upward at that time.
 
Monthly Lunation Cycle 8 Lunar Sun-Moon 45° Phases

The Sun and Moon are in square aspect (90°) at the first quarter and the last quarter and a bear market is the normal result. The Sun and Moon are in opposition (180°) at the Full Moon, which usually brings a somewhat bullish market, but is not as positive as the New Moon. Sun/Moon trines (120°) come halfway between the opposition and the first quarter or last quarter. They are indicators of bull markets.

Eclipses are really just super New or Full Moons and unless aspected, produce little market change at the time. However, they sensitize a certain degree in the sky and whenever another planet comes into aspect with that point, LOOK OUT. The Noon or Mercury to that point will produce an erratic unpredictable market. When Mars comes into aspect with that point, the market is likely to fall sharply.

TimeAndDate.com - Eclipses and Transits Visible in New York

The Total Picture - Positive or Negative: A tool used by several financial astrologers is to tally all the aspects in the sky on a given day. This method is described by both LCdr. David Williams in his book, Financial Astrology, and by Donald Bradley in his book, Stock Market Prediction, but most users put their own construction on the methods described by Williams and Bradley.

The usual method is to list the aspects that are within a degree of orb on a given day over New York City within market hours, plus the more important ones that fall after or before the market is open. A numerical value is then assigned to each aspect. Conjunctions are ten; sextiles are 3; trines 10; squares 8, and oppositions six. In general, conjunctions, sextiles and trines are positive, whiles squares and oppositions are negative but this can be overridden by the nature of the planets involved. Saturn and Mars are always negative. Jupiter, Venus and Sun are always positive.
 
Geocentric and Heliocentric Bradley Indices

When the list is complete, add your negative column and then your positive column. If you have -86 and +13, you should definitely expect a down-day at the market. Plus 72 and minus 14 would indicate a bull market. This same method of tallying aspects can be used on a hourly basis or even fifteen minutes.

A FEW DAYS
Moon’s Daily Motion: The average daily motion of the Moon is 13.17749 degrees, but it fluctuates from 11.54’ to 14.36’, gaining in daily speed for nine to thirteen days and then losing speed for nine to thirteen days, depending on the season of the year. Whenever the Moon is gaining in daily speed the market tends to move upward; whenever the Moon is losing daily velocity, the market tends to move downward. This can account for small wobbles on a general trend line. (I find it of interest that this average thirteen day motion correlates with the Mayan calendar of thirteen day cycles, which they grouped into 260 day cycles (13x20). I am working on an overall plan to tie the market to the Mayan calendar, but it is not complete.)
 
Sun-Moon Daily Arc Move on Sphere = Longitude Speed

Sunspots
: Periods of solar prominence (sunspots) pour forth energy, causing all earthly activities to increase, including stock market trading. The usual result of this stimulus is a major market turning point, either up or down. Increased sunspot activity occurs whenever the planets Mercury, Venus, Mars, and Jupiter are on the same side of the Sun as the Earth. The greatest influence of all this tidal-like force occurs when Jupiter and Venus are in a heliocentric line-up with the Earth at 0°, 45°, and 90°, but lesser activity produces the well-known Dow cycles of 89 weeks, 124 weeks, and 208 weeks [see also HERE].
 
Jan Alvestad - Solar Terrestrial Activity Report

A very good illustration of this market indicator occurred on October 19, 1987, when the market dropped 505 points. Jupiter was exactly opposite the Sun, increasing solar flares and market timing--thus forcing a market turning point. Another example is October 27, 1997, when Jupiter was square the Sun. So, be aware that heliocentric aspects to the Sun mark major market turning points, both up and down.

Powerful Aspects: Certain aspects are especially powerful and will influence the market for five to seven days. Examples of powerful benevolent aspects are Jupiter or Venus in aspect to Uranus, Sun, or Mercury. Powerful negative aspects are Saturn to any planet and Mars to anything except Venus and Jupiter.

National Astronomical Observatory of Japan - Celestial Phenomena

A FEW WEEKS
The Planet Mercury: Mercury does rule trading and it alone can give you a reasonably good forecast. Whenever you see a Sun-Mercury conjunction, you may expect a high volume day that is very bullish. These happen about every six weeks. Mercury's daily motion is a very important market indicator. That is, whatever the daily motion of Mercury is increasing, the market is likely to move upward and whenever Mercury's velocity is decreasing, the market trend is downward. This has nothing to do with retrograde or forward motion.
 
Retrograde Planets Calendar

It is the increase or decrease of velocity that counts and the direction does not matter. When Mercury is stationery or nearly so, the market has a very low volume and is bearish. If Mercury is rapidly gaining in velocity, the market gains rapidly. If Mercury is gaining velocity slowly, the market is up a little. The tone of the market can be discerned by the actions of Mercury .

Seasonal Highs and Lows: The market is usually up January 9th through the 18th. This is because the Sun reaches 23°-25° Capricorn in mid-January, which produces a grand trine with Mercury at 24° Taurus in the NY Stock Exchange chart, Sun at 26° Taurus in the NYSE chart, Neptune at 20° Virgo in the chart of the USA, and Pluto at 24° Capricorn in the chart of the USA. A similar effect happens each September, when transit Sun reaches 18°-27° Virgo.
 
In fact, the degree 24°-26° Taurus is important to stock exchanges around the world. The New York Stock Exchange has Sun and Mercury in that area, Tokyo Exchange has Sun, Amsterdam Exchange has Sun and Pluto, Budapest Exchange has Venus, Lisbon Exchange has Jupiter, London Exchange has Sun, Melbourne Exchange has Venus and Uranus, Toronto Exchange has Jupiter opposite, Zurich Exchange has Venus and Pluto. It is easy to see why the markets so often act in unison.

Jack Gillen's Sensitive Degrees of the Sun

LONG TERM TRENDS
Venus Daily Motion: For longer term trends, I depend upon the increasing and decreasing of the velocity of Venus in the same way as the velocity of Moon and Mercury were used. This indicator points toward a lower 1999 than 1998. 
 
Venus' Daily Motion

The Outer Planets
: Very long term trends changes are marked by the aspects of Saturn, Jupiter, Uranus, and Neptune. A very good book about this is THE EGG OF COLUMBUS by George Bayer, which pretends to be describing a banquet or feast. If you set charts for the dates given in the book, you will find exact aspects of the outer planets. Enough said? These long-term trends have been charted as cycles of varying lengths, but for exact work, you will need to work from the helio-centric aspects of the outer planets.

HeavensAbove.com - Planet Summary

Mars Aspects: The planet Mars acts as a "trigger" for certain undesirable long-term stock market movements, whenever this planet is square or opposite one of the outer planets. That is, the outer planetary aspects set the long-term trends, but Mars produces the action. The following aspects are especially bad for the market: Mars conjunct Saturn, Mars square Neptune, Mars opposite Jupiter, Mars in opposition, regardless of the planet. In contrast, stock prices have consistently risen during the thirty days just before a conjunction of Mars with Jupiter or Mercury.

Geocentric and Heliocentric Aspect Search Engine (500BC - 2500AD)

CONCLUSION
These are some of the more important astro indicators of DJIA trends. Applying them is not a quick study. Instead, it requires several years of blending the various factors, until a certain "wisdom" develops. Above all, you should always be aware of both political and economic happenings around the world for these will provide the background for your research.

 
See also:

Thursday, March 21, 2024

The 500 Year Cycle | Raymond H. Wheeler

The 1000 year cycle tends to break down into halves of about 500 years each. Centering on the dates of 375 BC, 30 AD, 460 AD, 955 AD, and 1475 AD, climate was dry and colder than usual. The warm periods were short and were often disrupted by drops in temperature. Midway between these dates, the warm periods stretched out; the interruptions were not as long, and the cold periods shortened. The result is an intermediate cycle averaging 510 years in length.
 
 » Mass migrations were extensive, and all the ancient civilizations collapsed. «
Vandals sacking Rome, 455 AD.

The beginning of the first of these 500-year rhythms marks an important place in the history of climate. Prior to 575 BC, climatic cycles were longer and more extreme than they have been since then. In the two centuries immediately following, from 450 ta 320 BC, it was warm much of the time. Two 100-year cycles were almost fused into one. The cold period between them, at 420 BC, was very short. After that, the cold periods lengthened. By the end of this 500-year period, at the time of Christ, there was an exceptionally long cold period.

The cold phase centering on 460 AD, at the end of the next 500-year cycle, was also exceptionally cold. Mass migrations were extensive, and all the ancient civilizations collapsed. There was a long-term downward trend in rainfall. Although there were long cold phases in the 600s and 700s, they were frequently interrupted by silts to the warm side and did not seem to be exceptionally bad. The cold phases of the 800s and 900s were extremely severe, causing many migrations, primarily from the northern countries — especially when conditions began to deteriorate approaching 955, near the end of the 500-year rhythm.
 
 » Civilizations broke up and new ones took their places. «
 Migrants storming European Union borders, 2024 AD.

Subsequently, temperatures warmed suddenly. The 1000s were so warm that trees grew in Greenland. This was the period when Vikings crossed the Atlantic, One of the most severe hot droughts in history occurred in the 1130s. The 13th century saw a long warm period. Then climate began to deteriorate again. While the 14th century was warm much of the time, there were frequent and sharp drops in temperature; often it was very stormy. During several winters, the straits between Denmark and Sweden froze over solid enough to support horses and sleds, Greenland began to freeze. In the 15th century, there was no long warm period.

The next 500-year rhythm terminated at 1475. Subsequently, temperatures warmed up again. The 17th century was so warm that the next 100-year cycle had but a short cold phase, centering on 1655, and this was quickly interrupted by a shift back to the warm side. During the 19th and 20th centuries, climate deteriorated again.

 
» The 500 year period beginning at 1475 is drawing to a close. «
 Migrants breaching US southern border, 2024 AD.
Climate change? Sure.

Events of great importance occur every 500 years. Midway between 575 BC and 460 AD, the Roman Empire began its decline as Christianity rose. There were no strong European civilizations for a long time. On the other hand, there were very strong Asiatic empires such as that of the Huns. Midway between 460 and 1475, in the 9th and 10th centuries, a vast change occurred, again involving mass migrations, These events divided the Middle Ages into two halves. In the first half, there were brilliant empires like those of Justinian with its capital at Constantinople, Charlemagne in the West, and the Arabs in the East. The Arabs moved into Spain and India, developing brilliant civilizations at Cordoba and Bagdad. But all this came to an end. These civilizations broke up and new ones took their places. Following 975, the feudal period developed, with the growth of principalities that were to form modern European states. Amazing empires were built by the Mongols in Asia, the Incas in South America, and the Mayas in Central America. In India and Japan, new empires were born. The Balkans achieved their Golden Ages during this period.

All this came to an end in the 15th century. The Medieval economy, customs, and modes of thought disappeared. With the new 500-year climatic cycle came the Renaissance, the Reformation, and the building of modern nations — first under absolute monarchs, then under constitutional governments. This most recent 500-year cycle has witnessed the awakening of modern art, science, and economics. In these more advanced civilizations, the common people have, for the first time in history, come into their own under democratic political and economic systems.

 » The same types of events occurr with almost clock-like regularity. «

The 500 year period beginning at 1475 is drawing to a close. We are now witnessing many of the same types of events that have occurred under similar circumstances with almost clock-like regularity five times before in history. These events are of the utmost significance for the businessman and student of today — and tomorrow.
 
Quoted from:
Raymond H. Wheeler (1943) - The 500 Year Cycle. 
With a Forecast of Trends Into the 21st Century.
 
  » A 500-year cycle is now terminating, which belonged to Europe.
The next 500-year cycle will belong to Asia.
«
Raymond H. Wheeler, 1951.

See also:
Raymond H. Wheeler (1943) - The 100 Year Cycle - Climate, Regime Change and War.
Donald A. Bradley (1943) - Cycles Write World History.

Sunspots, Lunar Cycles and Weather Cycles | Louis M. Thompson

The occurrence of an 18- to 20-year cycle in weather in the U.S. Midwest is no longer controversial. The controversial issue is the cause. This article will present both sides of the issue, and will indicate why we will know more about the cause after the 1990s.


[...] The sunspot cycle has been associated with the “20-year drought cycle” in the western U.S. since about 1909, when A.E. Douglass started publishing his tree-ring studies. This scientist became so well known that he was able to establish the Laboratory for Tree Ring Research in Tuscon, Arizona, in 1938. 
 

[...] The sunspot cycle has averaged about 11 years since 1800. As the sun rotates on its axis, it makes a complete turn in about 27 days. Large and persistent spots appear to move from left to right for about two weeks, disappear, and return after about two weeks. The leading edges of spots or clusters of spots have a negative charge in one 11-year cycle and a positive charge in the next cycle. Hence, the term “double sunspot cycle.”


The conventional wisdom is that the drought cycle of about 20 years occurs near the end of the negative cycle and at the time of low solar activity. The drought periods of the 1910s, 1930s, 1950s, and 1970s occurred at the end of the negative cycle. The drought periods did not consistently follow that pattern from 1800 to 1900, although the severe droughts of the 1820s and 1840s occurred at the end of the negative cycle.

Quoted from:
Louis M. Thompson (1989) - Sunspots and Lunar Cycles: Their Possible Relation to Weather Cycles.
In: Cycles, September/October 1989, Foundation for the Study of Cycles.
 
See also:
William Stanley Jevons (1875) - Sunspots and the Price of Corn and Wheat.

Friday, September 8, 2023

Cycles Write World History | Donald A. Bradley

Research embracing many fields of scientific pursuit and all available historical records proves that the climate of the earth as a whole goes through long cycles. World-climate shifts from cold to warm periods and from wet to dry periods with amazing regularity. Dry periods accompanied by colder weather take place about every 170 years, every third such “cold drought” being severe in its effects.

"The turning points between old and new civilizations occur when 
cold-dry times reach their maximum severity."

Professor Raymond H. Wheeler, eminent psychologist of the University of Kansas, heads this study project which finds an important correlation between world climate and political history. Dr. Wheeler's analysis of an immense accumulation of data shows that great international changes occur on these shifts from warm to cold and vice versa. Nations deteriorate on the shift from warm to cold, the study reveals. What is probably most fascinating among the findings is that totalitarianism is representative of world-wide political sentiment during warm periods. Democracy is vivified and sought after by men during cold periods. Intervals of cold droughts usually coincide with eras of civil wars. International wars are fought, for the most part, during warmer times. The Wheeler project has identified basic mass-psychological patterns with every climatic condition found in the global weather cycle. Public attitudes and popular ideas are directly colored by the general nature of the world-climate prevailing at any time.
 
Raymond H. Wheeler and his 'big book'.
 
Astrology offers a logical explanation for this 170-year rhythm in world activities. It is hardly a coincidence that every cold-drought is synchronized with one of the solar system's major planetary configurations. Called a great mutation in astrological parlance, a conjunction of the planets Uranus and Neptune occurs every 171 years, on the average. These conjunctions are within effective orb for 15 years before and after their central date of coming-together in the sky. This Uranus-Neptune cycle leaves a continuous impression on the unwinding scroll of world history in inciting those conditions in human and natural affairs described.

Central conjunctions of Uranus and Neptune took place in the A.D. years of 
110, 281, 453, 624, 796, 967, 1139, 1310, 1481, 1653 and 1824 [1906-10, 1993, 2078-81, 2165]

[The years cited mark the general centers of the 30-year influence at work. They are computed for the conjunctions in mean heliocentric longitude, and not for the apparent (geocentric) times of occurrence. The time-margin allowed for this difference is nearly a whole decade.]

Each of these epochs is at or near the dead center of a period of serious cold drought recorded in the annals of history and science. It is no surprise to the astrologer that lowered mean temperature, lack of much rainfall, political stress and civil war itself should be typical of our earth’s response to these vibrations. Uranian influences alone have long been recognized as revolutionary in action. Neptune is peculiarly associated with meteorological matters, and also with canons of idealistic thought. Astrologers are generally agreed that Neptune is the planet of “isms” and ideologies which provoke national and international changes of attitude. Uranus is disruptive in action and progressive in the long run. Neptune, on the other hand, is said to determine world sentiments which have an emotional base. Conjunctions of these divergent forces bring about the years of famine and civil strife which make and break the great economic and political structures we call nations.

The primary precipitation-and-temperature cycle is obviously connected with a particular interplanetary periodicity. There are dozens if not hundreds of other cycles in man’s social and natural environment which can be traced to similar causes. Relations of two or more planets to each other as viewed from the earth are called aspects. The positions of any moving heavenly body across the great star-sprangled backdrop of the sky are called transits. In astrology, we make use of the term transit to mean the location of a planet by the sign of the zodiac it occupies. Aspects and sign-transits of the various planets are the fundamental causes of cycles on earth. Although not actually zodiacal factors, the declinations of certain planets and changes in the elements of planetary orbits are found to be strong components in the astrological theory of world cycles.

Above and beyond true physical phenomena is the strange tendency of world affairs toward cycles which reflect the general connotations of successive zodiacal signs. This is apparent if one reconsiders the famous historical analyses of Oswald Spengler in the light of astrology. Spengler’s anthropomorphic outlines of spiritual, cultural and political “contemporary epochs” seem to follow a fascinating zodiac of characteristics, commencing each broad swing in mankind’s affairs with typical Aries qualities, and culminating it, after ten more eras, with Piscean attributes. The reason for this inclination is inexplicable, at the present, as no astronomical connection has been discovered.

Mention of such interesting matters lays the groundwork for our immediate subject — that of applying astrology as a calculable gauge of contemporary economic conditions.

Monday, August 6, 2012

Arch Crawford on Financial Astrology

Interview (April 30, 2010)
  
Hi, my name is Dave Goodboy. I'm Executive Producer of www.RealWorldTrading.com, and today I'm pleased to be joined by world-renowned financial astrologer Arch Crawford (www.crawfordperspectives.com). I fully realize that this is a highly controversial and unusual subject, however, Arch has one of the best documented historic records for correct market calls of any market analyst. In fact, over the last 3 and 6 month time frames,Timer Digest, has ranked him #3 of all market letter writers. Jump on board for a journey into this esoteric subject!
Dave: How are you today, Arch?

Arch: Very well, thank you.

Dave: Let's start at the beginning. What first got you interested in the financial markets?

Arch: I always loved numbers as a child as used to extract square roots for fun and I saw my Father looking in the paper an there's this whole page of numbers. I loved the numbers so I started watching the stock market, pulling out stocks under $10 through the A's, B's and halfway through through the C's -- and there were a lot of them in 1954. The methods I studied were basically technical. In 1960, I kept a chart of US Steel -- there was a big steel strike -- and I kept the headlines on the chart. And it made sense whatsoever.

Dave: There was no correlation between the headline and the stock movement?

Arch: Exactly. One of the first books I read was Darvas' How I Made $2 Million In The Stock Market. He was a dancer and he used a simple trend-following method. A couple of years later I went to work for Merrill Lynch in Raleigh N.C., putting up prices on a chalkboard and 2-3 months after that they got an electronic board and I became an assistant in the cage.
Dave: This is the early '60s?
Arch: Yes, this is 1961. I had been studying math and physics at the University of North Carolina and I started off with really great grades and they were beginning to drift lower and lower and I figured I would go do what I wanted to do before I got thrown out, so I left while I still had decent grades. I told Merrill Lynch "this is what I want to do with my life, send me to New York" and they said,"don't be ridiculous." So later, after I'd been there a while I said I quit, I'm going to New York and look for a job. They said "don't do that,we'll transfer you." They said "what department would you like?" and I told them technical research. They sent me right up to the research department but the technical things I was doing at that time was I was actually drawing the weekly charts of Merrill Lynch's industry specialists and that took me three days to do 45 charts. While I was in Raleigh the commodity guy there got me Edwards & McGee and they were getting the trendline charts from Commodity Research Bureau and it had 600 charts every week. I use to draw all the lines and supports and resistance and trendlines and look at the moving averages and make a projection as to what was going to happen and go back and look at last week's while I'm doing this week's and see what worked out and what didn't. I'm self-taught from that standpoint, using Edwards & McGee. I was spending every night in the library. I made friends with the librarian--an elderly Irish lady--and I bought lottery tickets from her, so she let me stay in the library at night and lock it up at 12:00. I was looking at the chart of the market and it was beginning to form a multiple head and shoulder top pattern.

Dave: When you say the market, you mean the Dow?

Arch: The Dow Jones, yes. I said if this pattern remains symmetrical, the market will top in the middle of December and it will crash next year in 1962. It topped in the middle of December. It finished the head and shoulder top and broke down on April 13, the day Kennedy made the steel companies roll back the price increases. That broke the neckline and it started down and then it drifted down and rallied a bit and drifted down and rallied a bit and then started turning very nasty and we went into the crash of '62. And I was going around saying "it's going to crash" and I got the nickname "Crash Crawford." And then it actually did it--the worst crash since 1929.

Credit: www.astropro.com
Dave: That was your first major accurate prediction?
Arch: Yes. I also turned 21 in the meantime on April17th and inherited $1000 from a sweet aunt who had died and I put it all in puts and made seven times my money, so that was my beginning.
Dave: How did you go from being a technical analyst to a financial astrologer?

Arch: On the day before my birthday, in 1963, the Wall Street Journal had a front-page article about three guys who were predicting the market using astrology. The credible one was Lt. Cmdr. David Williams who had been head of the purchasing department for Con Ed for 40 years and a Lt Cmdr in the Navy in the Big War and he was a fine gentleman. Williams had written a pamphlet called Astro-economics in 1955. I went out and bought it. Next to that pamphlet in this metaphysical bookstore was Donald Bradley Stock Market Prediction and he had developed a model using all two-planet pairs. I started keeping his model by hand and--thank God for computers! It was a lot of calculation but it was worth it. The market would follow that line for several months and then if would go off and do something else and for several months it would be off of that line and then it would come back onto it sometime later.

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Dave: What particular planets?

Arch: All of them. Ten counting the Sun and moon. The Moon didn't count in them because it was too quick. What I found in following that for a while was that when there is a large configuration involving several planets it becomes what the Mandelbrot set, the chaos people, call a "strange attractor" which would take the market up or down to the date of this large configuration was most exact or to the last aspect between whatever planets were involved and then the market would turn and go the other way.

Dave: When you say configuration, what do you mean?

Arch: A number of planets in harmonic relationship. A harmonic relationship of one means two planets have the same longitude in space.

Dave: They're in line with each other?

Arch: Yes. Looking out from Earth, they're in the same place. A harmonic of two is like a full Moon where one is opposite the other separating the sky into two different parts, the left half and the right half. The second harmonic is 180 degrees, which is one-half of the 360 degree circle, and the third harmonic is 120 degrees which is one-third of the 260 degree circle. So a trine is 120 degrees and a square is 90 degrees. These are the ones most traditional astrologers use.

Dave: You noticed that these configurations would affect the market,am I following you?

Arch: Oh absolutely. When several planets are involved instead of just these two-planet pairs, it becomes a unique event and that's what makes it a strange attractor and the market will pull up to that day and then down or down to that day and then up.

Dave: How many times a month do these strange attractors occur?

Arch: Two to three times a year on a good year. Other than that they follow the Bradley somewhat.

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Dave: You found David Williams' pamphlet and the Bradley book...

Arch: First I got a book of planetary positions and I noticed when they were in the one-third and one-sixth harmonic harmonic the market tended to go up and when they were in the second and fourth harmonic it tended to go down. That's what I entered into my notes and that's what Williams said in his book. In terms of statistics there are so many factors involved that a lot of scientists can look at this and they will say "Ahh, there are not statistically meaningful" but you can combine them in two or three or four cycles together and they become extremely meaningful.

Dave: These strange attractors that occur two to three times per year... is it something that changes the trend of the market?

Arch: Yes. It'll either take them up to that day and drop it or down to that day and rally it.

Dave: This really sounds crazy. What's the theory behind the concept? Why does it seem to work?

Arch: You got me. The closest I know about was from another guy named John Nelson, who was a radio propagation specialist for RCA Corporation, and they put him on the top of a building with a telescope and said "figure out when the darn sunspots are going to blow up" because before the days of the satellites they were sending dataflow across the North Atlantic. When the sunspots hit they had to switch to sending to South America and then over to Africa and then back up to Europe and it was time consuming and costly so they wanted to know when these things were going to happen. Nelson by regular cyclical means got up to a 65% accuracy rate which was not satisfactory at all and someone said "why dont you look at the planetary alignment around the sun at the times of these sunspots because that may give you a handle on what you want to look at." So he took the 13 worst magnetic storms on the Earth that were on record with RCA and drew the horoscope heliocentric chart - heliocentric meaning the Sun in the middle. He was totally blown away by all the harmonic ratios in the days that these sunspots popped off in a big way.

Dave: So it's basically somehow affecting the magnetic field which in turn is affecting people's behavior?

Arch: Yes. Nelson and I figured that if there is a powerful alignment heliocentrically they'll blow the sunspots out and if it happens to be a high tidal force - a new Moon or full Moon - then the ionized layer of the Earth's atmosphere will be brought down close to the Earth and make people crazy.

Dave: Let me see if I follow you. It affects people's emotions--making them feel elated--therefore they will buy stocks, and when they're depressed hit they will sell stocks?

Arch: When the electrons hit it tends to be depressive and when the protons hit hit it tends to be elating and so if you get a major solar flare it tends to throw a lot of heavy protons but the electrons get there first so the first couple of days the market drops and then when the protons get there it goes screaming the heck up. But there are a lot of complications with that. In the 1987 crash, there were the largest number of electrons hitting the atmosphere that I had ever seen for the longest period of time. When the electrons got over 1 to the third per cubic centimeter, that's when the market started coming apart. It proceeded on down on Friday--of course that was options expiration - and crashed on more Monday. The strategy at that time was if the market went down a certain amount you sell S&P futures are you are protected to whatever level. The system they had would protect you down to five standard deviations from normal. Monday, it was a seven standard deviation event and the whole system was threatening to come down.

Dave: What happened the day after that?

Arch: The next morning it was down like another 200 points in 15 minutes with hardly any stocks open. The Fed said "anybody comes in from Wall Street that wants money, give it to them" and the market came roaring back and was positive by 10:00.

Dave: Let's talk about another astrological event--the eclipse. Are there any correlations between market movements and eclipses?

Arch: Yes. They are the most powerful events, taken individually. W.D. Gann wrote seven books about the market and he was an astrologer but he rarely said anything specifically about astrology in all of those books.

Dave: He was very vague in everything he wrote.

Arch: Well he was very secretive about it and swore the people around him to secrecy relative to astrology. David Williams actually introduced me to a friend of his who had worked for Gann and he said "yeah he swore us to secrecy but we didn't know anything anyway." (laughs)

Dave: What happens during a solar eclipse?

Credit: www.astropro.com
Arch: The solar eclipse tends to have a longer-term effect, not necessarily so much on the day it happens--in other words it will be a more important event, but the lunar eclipse tends to be more dramatic for one day or two days.

Dave: How many eclipses are there per year?

Arch: There are 3-5 eclipses per year. Around the time of the 1987 crash, The Wall Street Journal ran an article about a guy who had come up with a Mayan calendar date that was very important, and that was supposed to be August 17 and all the new new age people were going to sacred sites and dancing and drumming and praying and meditating and doing what they do. It was called the "Harmonic Convergence." It was supposed to be this Mayan date. Well I looked at this date and I didn't see anything . I looked forward and here seven days later was the tightest 5-body conjunction in at least 800 years and they were all visible bodies. And I said "that is what the Mayans were talking about." I said "this market will peak on August 24, give or take three days, after which we will have a horrendous crash." The market peaked at Noon on August 25 and it dropped and dropped and it stopped and turned violently on the day of the solar eclipse on the Fall equinox and it had the biggest up-day in history, to that date, in points. It broke down in the morning, scared the heck out of traders, turned around and had the biggest up-day in history. Then it rallied for two weeks; at the top of that rally we had the biggest earthquake in Southern California in at least seven years and two days later we had the lunar eclipse, which was the biggest down day in history to date. So the lunar eclipse touched off the earthquake.

Dave: Does astro work the same across all markets?

Arch: These are things that act on emotion and it depends on what markets are moving emotionally at the time. Another thing I discovered in calculating these cycles was the Mars/Uranus cycle and it's just about a two year cycle. The market does not crash every two years but every crash that's taken place in the last 100 years took place in the same 40% of that cycle...every one. So I watch those periods whether we are technically weak or strong, whether we are set up for a possible bad time or not. I said on September 4, 2001 "this market may crash by October 5." The week after the towers fell we had the worst percentage decline since the fall of France in 1940. I also said that there was an event--I think it was Mercury changing direction on the Fall equinox which was September 21--and I said that may make that timeframe more important than normal, and that was the low actually, the 21st--within one day I think Friday was the low and the equinox was Saturday morning. Also, in that September 4, 2001 letter I said the United States will be at war around the weekend of the 7th or 8th of September

Dave: Impressive. What do you see for the near future?

Arch: There was nobody else--astrologer or psychic or card reader or anybody else--that had anything close to that. We are not in that crash period now but the Bradley model shows a high around the middle of July and goes down all the rest of this year. I think it looks pretty bad right now and it could turn down right now. We may have a hard hit for 2-3 days next week and then a rally into July, which may or may not make a higher high and then down the rest of the year. The next crash cycle takes place from August '06 to March '07.

Dave: When you say crash cycle, you mean a major 1987 style event?

Arch: Yes, The Mars/Uranus cycle, where every crash has taken place.

Dave: What do you see for gold?

Arch: I believe gold will hit a high maybe Monday and will then drop into the summer and after that we will have a super up-move in it beginning around Labor Day and going for close to a year. Gold, oil, silver, metals, CRB Index generally. Inflation hedges are ruled by Neptune for whatever reason. I've never paid any attention to rulership they were telling me that when Saturn came up to 0 degrees Leo the price of gold would drop because Saturn is contractive and I said that's horsepuckey. Well, the day that Saturn hit Leo the IMF announced it would sell tons and tons of gold over months and months of time and it was the only limit move that year. But, it was the day Saturn hit in apparent right ascension, which is the way astronomers look at the sky, not ecliptic longitude, which is the way astrologers look at the sky. So I learned a little about rulership stuff and I said "oh my God." Why should some rulership thing work? I don't know...

Dave: Is the rulership something astrologers learned from the ancients?

Arch: The ancients had it pretty much locked up in terms of what was supposed to happen theoretically in those times, yes.

Dave: Arch, we're almost out of time. I look forward to speaking with you again soon.

Arch: It's been fun and I always enjoy talking about this work; it's meant a lot to me for many many years.