S&P500 vs 20, 45 and 60 Year Cycles = Daily Correlations 88% - 92%

"The Great Time Cycles are most important because they record the periods of extreme high or low prices. The cycles are 90-Years, 82 to 84 Years, 60 Years, 45 Years, and 20 Years." 

"The digits 1 to 9 when added together total 45. 45 is the most important angle. Therefore 45 years in time is a very important cycle. One-half of 45 is 22 ½ years or 270 months. One-fourth of 45 is 11 ½ years or 135 months, which is three times 45." 

"This is the greatest and most important cycle of all, which repeats every 60 years or at the end of the third 20-Year Cycle. You will see the importance of this by referring to the war period from 1861 to 1869 and the panic following 1869: also 60 years later – 1921 to 1929 – the greatest bull market in history and the greatest panic in history followed. This proves the accuracy and value of this great time period."

"One of the most important Time Cycle is the 20-Year Cycle or 240 months. Most stocks and the averages work closer to this cycle than to any other."
 

W.D. Gann (1936): Master Time factor and Forecasting by Mathematical Rules, p. 218

Charts: MRCI

Nasdaq - Outside Reversal Day

Oscar Carboni - Nasdaq (Jan 14)

Mass Pressure Chart 2013

Several years ago the Mass Pressure Chart was hyped and sold as W.D. Gann's ultimate secret. Daniel T. Ferrera, a pundit on the matter, admits: "I have talked to many Gann experts about the Mass Pressure Chart and most have no clue as to what it may be. I have never seen an actual original Mass Pressure Chart from W.D. Gann and I do not know of anyone else who has come across one."

However, it seems the Mass Pressure Chart is but a selective or incomplete Decennial Pattern: Each value of this equally weighted composite is derived from 6 past price values of the DJIA exactly 80, 60, 40, 30, 20, and 10 years back. The Mass Pressure Chart and the Decennial Pattern oftentimes look very much the same, and have identical turning-points.

SPX vs George Bayer's Rule #6 - Mars @ 16(AQU)35

MARS IN GEOCENTRIC LONGITUDE PLUS 330 DEGREES
Here is a rule that does not occur very often. Whenever it can be used, grand results are obtained. We use the position of Mars in geocentric longitude and the value to be used is 16 degrees 35’. The signs which we have to use change from year to year backwards. In simpler words, we add to a value once established 330 degrees. As stated above the Laws of Nature are very intricate and hard to explain, but when looked up on charts and in the ephemerides you can grasp what I mean.

[George Bayer (1940): Stock and Commodity Traders´ Hand-Book of Trend Determination. Carmel, California; p. 15]

2012-10-29 22:42 (Mon) = MAR @ 16(sag)35
2012-12-08 14:13 (Sat) = MAR @ 16(cap)35
2013-01-15 21:28 (Tue) = MAR @ 16(aqu)35
2013-02-22 21:36 (Fri) = MAR @ 16(pis)35
2013-04-02 14:33 (Tue) = MAR @ 16(ari)35

Also Bayer-Rule #9 points to Tuesday afternoon / Wednesday morning as a potential CIT:  2013-01-15 14:51 (Tue) = MER @ 24(cap)14 (As always: all times EST).

Decennial Pattern for 2013

Larry R. Williams: The Right Stock at the Right Time, p. 11

In his book Tides and the Affairs of Men (1939), Edgar Lawrence Smith presented the idea of a ten-year stock market cycle. Smith's theory resulted from combining two other theories, Wesley Mitchell's 40-month cycle theory and the theory of seasonality. Combining these two periods, Smith theorized that there must be a ten-year, or 120-month, cycle. 

This would result from ten 12-month, annual cycles and three 40-month cycles coinciding every 10 years. When Smith investigated prices more closely, he found that indeed there appeared to be a price pattern in the stock market that had similar characteristics every ten years. This pattern has since been called the decennial pattern.

Smith used the final digit of each year's date to identify the year in his calculations. He termed the years 1881, 1891, 1901, etc., as the first years; 1882, 1892, etc. are the second; and so forth. 

"The 10-year cycle continues to repeat over and over, but the greatest advances and declines occur at the end of the 20-year and 30-year cycles, and again at the end of the 50-year and 60-year cycles, which are stronger than the others." 

W.D. Gann (1954): Master Stock Market Course, p. 224

January 11 Major High-Target & 118 CD Cycle Projection for SPX - VAY - VLIC

S&P500

Value Line Arithmetic Index

Value Line Geometric Index

Oscar Carboni - ESH13

Oscar Carboni - DJIY - Bull Flag - No Gap

John Hampson - Lunar Geomagnetic Model for Stock Market 2013

S&P500 vs 118 CD Cycle

SPX vs George Bayer's Rule #4A - Mercury 80 Years Ago

We use the geocentric ephemeris, concentrate only on Mercury as it passes through the Zodiac. We mark each day when this planet enters a new sign 80 years ago, i.e. when it arrives at 0 degrees. We also mark those days in which Mercury turns retrograde or direct ... These dates are to be carried over ... exactly 80 years further according to the Sun’s motion and not according to Mercury’s motion ... Each and every one of these positions gave 80 years later tops and bottoms not of a few points but of from 50 to 200 points in hides. 

[George Bayer (1940): Stock and Commodity Traders´ Hand-Book of Trend Determination. Carmel, California; p. 47]

 2012-10-13 10:40 (Sat) = MER into Scorpio 80 Years ago
2012-11-02 15:28 (Fri) = MER into Sagittarius 80 Years ago
2012-11-24 11:23 (Sat) = MER (R) 80 Years ago
2012-12-14 06:11 (Fri) = MER (D) 80 Years ago
2013-01-08 05:23 (Tue) = MER into Capricorn 80 Years ago
2013-01-27 17:38 (Sun) = MER into Aquarius 80 Years ago
2013-02-14 00:05 (Thu) = MER into Pisces 80 Years ago
2013-03-03 05:54 (Sun) = MER into Aries 80 Years ago
2013-03-13 14:48 (Wed) = MER (R) 80 Years ago
2013-03-25 16:55 (Mon) = MER into Pisces 80 Years ago
2013-04-05 18:39 (Fri) = MER (D) 80 Years ago
2013-04-17 10:26 (Wed) = MER into Aries 80 Years ago

Update - 45 Year Cycle

1967 = Daily High - Low Band

1967 = End of Day Close

1967 = End of Day Close

Full Moon 1967 = New Moon 2012

SPX vs George Bayer's Rule #38 - Latitude of Mercury

MERCURY LATITUDE HELIOCENTRIC
In the present rule we shall use the heliocentric Latitude of Mercury ... There are four values in this line which bring forth changes of trend. These values are: 0°00', 3°21, 6°42, and 7°00’. The inside values are effective on either side, on the way up also on the way down. Some mighty fine tops and bottoms are produced when Mercury in this motion passes the above mentioned degrees.

[George Bayer (1940): Stock and Commodity Traders´ Hand-Book of Trend Determination. Carmel, California; p. 41] 

2012-12-04 11:39 (Tue)    MER Lat = 6°42'
2012-12-15 12:07 (Sat)    MER Lat = 3°21'
2012-12-24 13:10 (Mon)    MER Lat = 0
2013-01-03 17:08 (Thu)    MER Lat = -3°21'
2013-01-19 02:39 (Sat)    MER Lat = -6°42'
2013-01-24 03:54 (Thu)    MER Lat = -7°00'
2013-01-28 15:41 (Mon)    MER Lat = -6°42'
2013-02-07 05:49 (Thu)    MER Lat = -3°21'
2013-02-12 05:28 (Tue)    MER Lat = 0
2013-02-16 19:32 (Sat)    MER Lat = 3°21'
2013-02-24 01:29 (Sun)    MER Lat = 6°42'
2013-02-27 02:56 (Wed)    MER Lat = 7°00'
2013-03-02 10:57 (Sat)    MER Lat = 6°42'
2013-03-13 12:23 (Wed)    MER Lat = 3°21'

SPX vs George Bayer's Rule #6A - Declination of Mars

MARS DECLINATION HELIOCENTRIC, 19°51’00” *

From the Nautical Almanac, page 191 up we find the apparent Declination of Mars. We use in this only the value 19°51’. We locate these days ahead of time and expect tops and bottoms to appear there ... These cases happen twice or three times a year.

[George Bayer (1940): Stock and Commodity Traders´ Hand-Book of Trend Determination. Carmel, California; p. 47]

* Heliocentric declination does not exist. In astronomy the heliocentric coordinate system uses longitude and latitude; the geocentric coordinates system longitude and declination. Since Mars oscillates between latitude +/- 1.85 degrees, Bayer was actually looking for days when Mars' declination was at +/- 19°51’00” = 19.850 degrees.

HERE

2012-09-30 02:05 (Sun)    MAR Dec = -19.850 degrees
2012-11-17 16:17 (Sat)    MAR Dec @ Extr Min
2013-01-02 15:15 (Wed)    MAR Dec = -19.850 degrees
2013-03-14 06:51 (Thu)    MAR Dec = 0
2013-05-29 02:18 (Wed)    MAR Dec = 19.850 degrees
2013-07-16 07:16 (Tue)    MAR Dec @ Extr Max
2013-09-05 21:31 (Thu)    MAR Dec = 19.850 degrees
2013-12-16 20:50 (Mon)    MAR Dec = 0
2014-02-27 23:45 (Thu)    MAR Dec @ Min

S&P500 vs Jupiter-Mars Cycle

Calculated and charted with Sergey Tarassov's Timing Solution.

24.04.2012  06:54 = JUP 135 MAR
04.06.2012  02:21 = JUP 150 MAR
12.07.2012  12:47 = JUP 165 MAR
17.08.2012  08:59 = JUP 180 MAR
19.09.2012  17:41 = JUP 195 MAR
20.10.2012  22:50 = JUP 210 MAR
19.11.2012  10:08 = JUP 225 MAR
17.12.2012  17:29 = JUP 240 MAR
14.01.2013  08:05 = JUP 255 MAR
10.02.2013  18:05 = JUP 270 MAR
10.03.2013  12:35 = JUP 285 MAR
08.04.2013  01:32 = JUP 300 MAR
07.05.2013  21:38 = JUP 315 MAR
08.06.2013  11:54 = JUP 330 MAR

S&P500 vs Declination of Moon divided by Declination of Mars

Calculated and charted with Sergey Tarassov's Timing Solution.

Calculate formula (moon_dec-mar_dec) HERE

S&P500 vs Saturn-Uranus Cycle

Calculated and charted with Sergey Tarassov's Timing Solution.

In the early 1930s James Mars Langham began publishing on the correlation between the stock market and  geocentric cycles like Jupiter-Saturn, Saturn-Venus, Saturn-Uranus, etc. Here we look at the heliocentric Saturn-Uranus Cycle. Due to orbital eccentricity, the progression of 90 degrees angular distance takes 9 to 12 years, the whole round 44.11 years:

SAT 000 URA 06/09/1988

SAT 090 URA 01/29/2000

SAT 180 URA 09/02/2009

SAT 270 URA 10/19/2021

SAT 000 URA 07/20/2032

More suitable for swing-trading is the 768th harmonic (0, 3, 6, 12, 24, 48, 96, 192, 384, 768. 360°/768 = 0.46875 degrees = 0 28' 7.5"). The progression takes 17.59 to 25.39 days, and the current values are:

2012-11-28 20:55 (Wed) =  22.27 CD

2012-12-21 04:15 (Fri) = 22.31 CD 
2013-01-12 12:35 (Sat) = 22.35 CD

Since this is not a static progression, the next 384th harmonic will last 44.65 days, the 192nd 89.47 days, the 96th 179.61 days, etc. 

1+2 = 3
1+2+3 = 6
1+2+3+6 = 12
1+2+3+6+12 = 24
1+2+3+6+12+24 = 48
1+2+3+6+12+24+48 = 96
1+2+3+6+12+24+48+96 = 192
1+2+3+6+12+24+48+96+192 = 384
1+2+3+6+12+24+48+96+192+384 = 768 

Declinations 2013

Declinations: How they affect the stock market.
A case study by Sergey Tarassov HERE

SUN parallel MAR 12/12/2012
MER par PLU 12/14/2012
JUP contra parallel MER 12/18/2012
PLU par VEN 12/19/2012
MER par MAR 12/21/2012 + SUN @ extremum South
JUP c.p VEN 12/24/2012
MAR par VEN 12/25/2012
SUN par MER 12/26/2012
JUP c.p MAR 12/27/2012
MAR par PLU 01/03/2013
SUN par VEN 01/04/2013

See also HERE

Calculate formula (MAR_DEC+MERC_DEC)-VEN_DEC HERE

Update - 45 Year Cycle

More HERE

Sun conjunct Galactic Center

In 1932, Karl Jansky, a Bell Telephone Laboratories engineer, was searching for the source of static affecting overseas telephone lines. To detect the source he built a 95 foot radio-telescope. Part of the static turned out to be created by the center of our Galaxy, a huge black hole about the size of a large star containing the mass of four million Suns. The Galactic Center (GC), then at 25°55' of Sagittarius, is the Sun of our Sun, and source of the utmost gravitational energy present in our galaxy. Our Solar System takes approximately 226 million years to revolve around the Galactic Center. In 1969 Edward R. Dewey wrote about the influence of the GC on financial markets (Cycles Magazine, Vol.20.10, p. 230 f. + Vol.20.12, p. 277 f.). According to standard rates of precession, the GC currently resides at 27°01' 57'' of Sagittarius (= 267.032 = Sagittarius A* - pronounced Sagittarius A star; other sources point to 267.031 and 267.024 degrees), and conjuncts with our Sun today (times below GMT).

19.09.2012 13:59   SUN 090 GC
04.11.2012 01:24   SUN 045 GC
18.12.2012 13:15   SUN 000 GC
31.01.2013 18:01   SUN 045 GC
17.03.2013 11:25   SUN 090 GC

However, this is but one among many cosmic events and forces, all together modulating mundane affairs (HERE).

SPX vs George Bayer's Rule #9 - Mercury @ 19°36’ Scorpio

MERCURY GEOCENTRIC PASSING OVER 19°36’ SCORPIO AND SAGITTARIUS, ALSO OVER 24°14’ CAPRICORN PRODUCES BIG CHANGES *

Whatever the cause may be, why there are changes produced when Mercury passes certain geocentric degrees we do not know. The rule gives results. The values are 19°36’ Scorpio and Sagittarius, also 24°14’ in Capricorn ... While the first two values bring forth important changes of trend, the last value brings forth all tops in the five years’ period tested, which is quite encouraging to make commitments upon. The opposing places bring also changes: 19°36’ Taurus, 19°16” Gemini and 24°14’ Cancer.

[George Bayer (1940): Stock and Commodity Traders´ Hand-Book of Trend Determination. Carmel, California; p. 18]

*19°36’ Scorpio = 229.316 degrees   *19°36’ Sagittarius = 259.600 degrees  *24°14’ Capricorn = 294.233 degrees

2011-11-21 11:19 (Mon)    MER @ 19(sag)36
2011-11-26 13:26 (Sat)    MER @ 19(sag)36
2011-12-31 14:37 (Sat)    MER @ 19(sag)36
2012-01-23 23:15 (Mon)    MER @ 24(cap)14
2012-10-19 10:54 (Fri)    MER @ 19(sco)36
2012-11-22 20:55 (Thu)    MER @ 19(sco)36
2012-11-30 22:06 (Fri)    MER @ 19(sco)36
2012-12-24 12:51 (Mon)    MER @ 19(sag)36
2013-01-15 14:51 (Tue)    MER @ 24(cap)14
2013-11-27 23:17 (Wed)    MER @ 19(sco)36
2013-12-17 13:49 (Tue)    MER @ 19(sag)36
2014-01-08 05:11 (Wed)    MER @ 24(cap)14

S&P 500 vs Mercury's Elongation Cycle

When Mercury is visible after sunset, it is near its greatest eastern elongation; when visible before sunrise, near its greatest western elongation. Most of the time these extremes coincide with short-term changes in market-trend. The last one was the December 4 low in stocks (EOD close - Mercury elongation calculator HERE).

MER MAX Elongation East = 10/26/2012 04:48 PM @ 24.1°
MER MAX Elongation West = 12/04/2012 06:11 PM @ 20.6° 
MER MAX Elongation East = 02/16/2013 04:17 PM @ 18.1°
MER MAX Elongation West = 03/31/2013 04:50 PM @ 27.8°
MER MAX Elongation East = 06/12/2013 11:45 AM @ 24.3°
MER MAX Elongation West = 07/30/2013 03:48 AM @ 19.6°
MER MAX Elongation West = 08/16/2012 07:04 AM @ 18.7°

Heliocentric Bradley Index 2013

 

2012-12-28 (Fri) = @ 0

2013-01-01 (Tue) = Major Low

2013-01-04 (Fri) = @ 0
2013-01-09 (Wed) = High
2013-01-16 (Wed) = Low @ 0
2013-01-28 (Mon) = High
2013-02-13 (Wed) = Low
2013-03-04 (Mon) = High
2013-03-08 (Fri) = Low
2013-03-18 (Mon) = High
2013-03-22 (Fri) = Low
2013-04-08 (Mon) = High
2013-04-15 (Mon) = Low
2013-04-26 (Fri) = High
2013-04-30 (Tue) = Low
2013-05-07 (Tue) = High
2013-05-10 (Fri) = Low
2013-05-16 (Thu) = High
2013-05-24 (Fri) = Low
2013-05-31 (Fri) = High
2013-06-05 (Wed) = Low
2013-06-12 (Wed) = High
2013-06-21 (Fri) = Low
2013-07-05 (Fri) = Major High
2013-07-17 (Wed) = Low
2013-07-23 (Tue) = High
2013-07-26 (Fri) = Low
2013-08-02 (Fri) = High
2013-08-08 (Thu) = Low
2013-08-12 (Mon) = High
2013-08-22 (Thu) = Low
2013-08-26 (Mon) = High
2013-09-02 (Mon) = Low
2013-09-10 (Tue) = High
2013-10-07 (Mon) = Major Low @ 0
2013-10-18 (Fri) = High
2013-11-19 (Tue) = Low
2013-11-22 (Fri) = High
2013-11-29 (Fri) = Low
2013-12-06 (Fri) = High

2013-12-13 (Fri) = Major Low

Update - 45 Year Cycle

According to MRCI the correlation between the SPX 1967 and 2012 has now risen to 90%. From a major low on Nov 20, 1967 @ 90.09 to the major high @ 97.84 on Jan 9, 1968 the SPX had gained +6.75%. 

The time and price correlations point to a major high on Jan 7, 2013 @ 1.454 - slightly exceeding the 0.786 retrace of the Sep 14, 2012 high @ 1.446. See also HERE

Geocentric Bradley Index 2013

2012-12-31 (Mon) = @ 0
2013-01-03 (Thu) = High
2013-01-08 (Tue) = @ 0
2013-01-14 (Mon) = Low
2013-01-16 (Wed) = @ 0
2013-01-21 (Mon) = High
2013-01-24 (Thu) = @ 0
2013-01-28 (Mon) = Low
2013-01-31 (Thu) = @ 0
2013-03-06 (Wed) = High 
2013-03-11 (Mon) = Low
2013-03-29 (Fri) = High
2013-04-05 (Fri) = Low
2013-05-06 (Mon) = High
2013-05-15 (Wed) = Low 
2013-05-31 (Fri) = High 
2013-06-10 (Mon) = Low
2013-06-21 (Fri) = Major High
2013-07-02 (Tue) = Low
2013-07-10 (Wed) = High
2013-08-22 (Thu) = Low
2013-08-30 (Fri) = High
2013-10-07 (Mon) = Major Low
2013-11-01 (Fri) = Major High
2013-12-03 (Tue) = @ 0
2014-01-01 (Wed) = Low

SPX vs George Bayer's Rule #27 - Mercury-Venus Speed Differential

HERE

The Essence

Proportion is to Space what Rhythm is to Music

In the sight of the Essence, which is one, the universe is like a single being. The essential unity of the world is the most certain of things but also the most hidden: all knowledge and every perception, however adequate or inadequate, presupposes the essential Unity of beings and of things. 

... It may thus be said that man, who is a microcosm, and the universe, which is a macrocosm, are like two mirrors each reflecting the other. On the one hand man only exists in relation to the macrocosm which determines him, and on the other hand man knows the macrocosm, and this means that all the possibilities which are unfolded in the world are principally contained in man’s intellectual essence. This is the meaning of the saying in the Qur'ān: “And He (God) taught Adam all the names (i.e. all the essences of beings and of things)” (2:31) 

Titus Burckhardt (1953): Introduction to Sufi Doctrine, p. 63-64.

Market Probability Chart of S&P 500

Credits: Stock Trader's Almanac 2012