Tuesday, September 4, 2012

Sun Burst: Collapsing solar filament on August 31


A gigantic solar filament collapse has been caught on a NASA observatory camera. The stunning video covers nearly 3 hours compressed into half a minute. The event resulted in a coronal mass ejection and a small-scale geomagnetic storm on Earth.

The footage shot in extreme ultraviolet light shows the last hours of an arc of relatively cold plasma, which was kept stable by magnetic forces, but collapsed on August 31. The filament explodes, releasing a burst of radiation and coronal mass into space.


www.swpc.noaa.gov
The ejection delivered a glancing blow to Earth’s magnetosphere, triggering a moderate level geomagnetic storm, the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center reported. By Tuesday, however, radiation levels went below the minor event threshold.

A solar filament, also called a solar prominence if it is observed against space, consists of hot ionized hydrogen and helium looping hundreds of thousands of kilometers from the sun’s surface into the relatively hotter corona. It can persist for months before ceasing to exist. Astrophysicists so far have no comprehensive theory as to how such structures are formed.

3-day Solar-Geophysical Forecast issued Sep 03 22:00 UTC

Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low through the period (04 - 06 September) with a chance for isolated M- class flares.
Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at unsettled to active levels on day 1 (04 September) with a chance for minor storm levels as CME effects wind down. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected during days 2 - 3 (05 - 06 September) with a chance for active levels due to arrival of Earth-directed CMEs observed on 02 September along with a co-rotating interaction region ahead of a coronal hole high-speed stream (CH HSS). The CH HSS is expected to commence on day 3. The greater than 10 MeV proton event at geosynchronous orbit is expected to end on day 1.
See also HERE & HERE & HERE

Monday, September 3, 2012

SPX vs Mercury Declination

01.22.2011 16:55 (Sat) = Mercury Dec @ max South
03.09.2011 21:26 (Wed) = Mercury Dec @ 0
03.31.2011 06:20 (Thu) = Mercury Dec @ max North
06.19.2011 01:56 (Sun) = Mercury Dec @ max North
09.01.2011 18:28 (Thu) = Mercury Dec @ max North
09.27.2011 13:03 (Tue) = Mercury Dec @ 0
11.17.2011 23:21 (Thu) = Mercury Dec @ max South
01.14.2012 09:31 (Sat) = Mercury Dec @ max South
02.29.2012 22:45 (Wed) = Mercury Dec @ 0
03.13.2012 20:30 (Tue) = Mercury Dec @ max North
03.28.2012 17:13 (Wed) = Mercury Dec @ 0
04.09.2012 15:13 (Mon) = Mercury Dec @ max South
04.22.2012 18:38 (Sun) = Mercury Dec @ 0
06.08.2012 20:31 (Fri) = Mercury Dec @ max North
08.17.2012 03:14 (Fri) = Mercury Dec @ max North
09.18.2012 03:49 (Tue) = Mercury Dec @ 0
11.03.2012 19:22 (Sat) = Mercury Dec @ max South
01.05.2013 03:46 (Sat) = Mercury Dec @ max South
03.23.2013 13:30 (Sat) = Mercury Dec @ max South
04.17.2013 20:52 (Wed) = Mercury Dec @ 0
05.31.2013 01:02 (Fri) = Mercury Dec @ max North
08.04.2013 05:44 (Sun) = Mercury Dec @ max North
09.09.2013 21:11 (Mon) = Mercury Dec @ 0
10.19.2013 21:60 (Sat) = Mercury Dec @ max South
12.27.2013 22:03 (Fri) = Mercury Dec @ max South

Calculated and charted with Sergey Tarassov's Timing Solution.

Big Picture - DJIA & S&P 500


Here are quarterly bar charts of the DJIA and the S&P 500 going back to 1900 and 1925. 

The PPO and the Elder Impulse bars gives a good sense of the momentum during the last 100 years. 

SPX / FXA Analog: Decline into Election Day on November 6th ?

 
Should the pattern and correlation of the Aussie to the equity markets and risk appetites continue, the timing and proportional decline into election day on November 6th, could put President Obama on the losing end of what was carried out by voters to his benefit - on November 4th, 2008.   




  





 

Saturday, September 1, 2012

Sell Rosh Hashanah - Buy Yom Kippur

Jeffrey A. Hirsch turns around the old Wall Street adage “Buy Rosh Hashanah, Sell Yom Kippur.” The wiser course of action these days is to “Sell Rosh Hashanah, Buy Yom Kippur, Sell Passover.” He explains that “the basis for the new pattern is that with many traders and investors busy with religious observance and family, positions are closed out and volume fades creating a buying vacuum.

Rosh Hashanah, the Jewish New Year, falls on the Hebrew calendar dates of 1 and 2 Tishrei (2012 = September 16 (at sundown) - 18).

Yom Kippur, the Day of Atonement, falls on the Hebrew calendar date of 10 Tishrei (2012 = September 25-26)

Simple Moon Trading Strategy

Tom Pelc & Dmytro Bondar (The Royal Bank of Scotland, 2010)

...  we study the performance of 6 indices FTSE 100, S&P 500, DAX, EUROXX 50, Hang Seng, CAC 40 [versus the lunar cycle] for a period of several decades. 


... The proposed trading strategy can be summarized as follows: buy an index on the new moon (if this is a non-trading day, buy on the next trading day), hold till the full moon (usually 14-15 days), sell the index on the full moon (similarly, if non-trading day, sell on the next trading day), repeat the investment of the overall amount on the next moon cycle (usually in 14-16 days).



... Having invested £1,000 in S&P 500 in 1928, by now would outcome in holding £63,864 worth portfolio, while by implementing the proposed moon trading strategy, the value of portfolio would have been £1,502,689.   





















www.astrocycle.net












































Saturday, August 18, 2012

Vâlmiki's Change of Heart | Swami Vivekananda

There are two great epics in the Sanskrit language, which are very ancient. Of course, there are hundreds of other epic poems. The Sanskrit language and literature have continued down to the present day, although, for more than two thousand years, it has ceased to be a spoken language. I am now going to speak to you of the two most ancient epics, called the Râmâyana and the Mahâbhârata.
 
Swami Vivekananda, 1894.
 
They embody the manners and customs, the state of society, and the civilization of the ancient Indians. The oldest of these epics is called the Râmâyana, which means "The Life of Râma." There was some poetical literature before this—most of the Vedas, the sacred books of the Hindus, are written in a sort of metre—but this book is held by common consent in India as the very beginning of poetry.

The name of the poet or sage was Vâlmiki. Later on, a great many poetical stories were attributed to that ancient poet, and subsequently, it became a very general practice to attribute to his authorship many verses that were not his. Notwithstanding all these interpolations, it comes down to us as a very beautiful arrangement, without equal in the literatures of the world.

There was a young man who could not in any way support his family. He was strong and vigorous and, finally, became a highway robber; he attacked persons in the street and robbed them, and with that money, he supported his father, mother, wife, and children. This went on continually until one day a great saint called Nârada was passing by, and the robber attacked him.

 The youthful sage Narada at the white-bearded Valmiki's hermitage.
 
The sage asked the robber, "Why are you going to rob me? It is a great sin to rob and kill people. What do you incur all this sin for?" The robber said, "Why, I want to support my family with this money." "Now," said the sage, "do you think that they will also take a share of your sin?" "Certainly they do," replied the robber. "Very good," said the sage. "Make me safe by tying me up here while you go home and ask your people whether they will share your sin in the same way as they share the money you make."

The man accordingly went to his father and asked, "Father, do you know how I support you?" He answered, "No, I do not." "I am a robber; I kill persons and rob them." "What! You do that, my son? Get away! You outcast!" He then went to his mother and asked her, "Mother, do you know how I support you?" "No," she replied. "Through robbery and murder." "How horrible it is!" cried the mother. "But, do you partake in my sin?" said the son. "Why should I? I never committed a robbery," answered the mother. Then, he went to his wife and questioned her, "Do you know how I maintain you all?" "No," she responded. "Why, I am a highwayman," he rejoined, "and for years have been robbing people; that is how I support and maintain you all. And what I now want to know is whether you are ready to share in my sin." "By no means. You are my husband, and it is your duty to support me."

The eyes of the robber were opened. "That is the way of the world—even my nearest relatives, for whom I have been robbing, will not share in my destiny!" He came back to the place where he had bound the sage, unfastened his bonds, fell at his feet, recounted everything, and said, "Save me! What can I do?"

The sage said, "Give up your present course of life. You see that none of your family really loves you, so give up all these delusions. They will share your prosperity, but the moment you have nothing, they will desert you. There is none who will share in your evil, but they will all share in your good. Therefore, worship Him who alone stands by us whether we are doing good or evil. He never leaves us, for love never drags down, knows no barter, no selfishness."

 Vâlmiki composing the Râmâyana.
 
Then the sage taught him how to worship. The man left everything and went into a forest. There he went on praying and meditating until he forgot himself so entirely that the ants came and built ant-hills around him, and he was quite unconscious of it. After many years had passed, a voice came saying, "Arise, O sage!"

Thus aroused, he exclaimed, "Sage? I am a robber!" "No more 'robber'," answered the voice, "a purified sage art thou. Thine old name is gone. But now, since thy meditation was so deep and great that thou didst not notice even the ant-hills which surrounded thee, henceforth, thy name shall be Valmiki—'he that was born in the ant-hill'." So, he became a sage.

And this is how he became a poet. One day, as this sage, Vâlmiki, was going to bathe in the holy river Ganga, he saw a pair of doves wheeling round and round and kissing each other. The sage looked up and was pleased at the sight, but in a second, an arrow whisked past him and killed the male dove. As the dove fell down on the ground, the female dove went on whirling round and round the dead body of its companion in grief.

In a moment, the poet became miserable, and looking round, he saw the hunter. "Thou art a wretch," he cried, "without the smallest mercy! Thy slaying hand would not even stop for love!" "What is this? What am I saying?" the poet thought to himself. "I have never spoken in this sort of way before." And then a voice came: "Be not afraid. This is poetry that is coming out of your mouth. Write the life of Rama in poetic language for the benefit of the world." And that is how the poem first began. The first verse sprang out of pity from the mouth of Vâlmiki, the first poet. It was after that he wrote the beautiful Râmâyana, "The Life of Rama."
 
Quoted from: 

Friday, August 17, 2012

Update - SPX vs Heliocentric Latitude Composite

See also HERE

August 15th was the apex of a triangle; next day breakout to the upside. 
Next potential market CIT derived from this astro-composite is August 28th.

Update - Cycles

The 40 Year Cycle (SLTD) points to August 29 (+/- 4 CD) as THE MAJOR high of the year.
The 4 Year Cycle (LTD) points to a decline from today's high into August 24-27 (inverted).
The 1 Year Cycle (MTD) doesn't show a clear polarity.
The 4 Month Cycle (ITD)  should peak today, followed by a dip into August 21, and another brief rally into the major high on August 24-27.
The Lunar Mystery Cycle also suggests the topping process will last into August 24-27.

2012-08-23 (Thu)  = MER-MAR speed dif 00°59’ [Bayer Rule #02]

2012-08-24 (Fri)   = Bradley CIT [geo]
                          = First Lunar Quarter
                          = MOO 0 Node
                          = MER c.p. VEN [helio]
                          = NEP 0 EAR [helio] = SUN 180 NEP = Merriman Level 1 Cosmic Signature
                          = 60 CD from 6/25/2012 L
2012-08-25 (Sat)  = Tidal CIT
                          = JUP 90 EAR [helio]
                          = MER par PLU [helio]
                          = MAR 120 URA [helio]
2012-08-26 (Sun) = MAR 120 NEP = Merriman Level 1 Cosmic Signature
                          = MER @ 88 [helio] = Myles Wilson Walker-CIT
                          = MOO @ Max S-Dec
                          = 89 CD
from 5/29/2012 H
2012-08-27 (Mon) = MER 120 SAT + MER 120 NEP + MER 120 EAR [all helio]
                          = MOO Inc @ +3.00 degrees
                          = 34 CD from 7/24/2012 L + 55 CD from 7/3/2012 H 

www.fourmilab.ch

Tuesday, August 14, 2012

Geocentric Bradley Index Signal = August 13th (+/- 1 CD)

Donald A. Bradley (1950): Stock Market Prediction.
The Planetary Barometer and How to Use it.
Original

publication by the Llewellyn George Foundation for
Astrological Research; 43 pp.
In 1947 Donald Bradley wrote a small pamphlet titled Stock Market Predictions and sold it for the  astronomical price of $4.00, which in 1947 dollars was quite a bit. Bradley took the 12 planets and gave them a positive or negative rating. From this rating, he produced a sidereal graph that gave a trend for the stock market for the next year, and the next, and the next. In fact, it could go out hundreds of years. The pamphlet had only one year of the stock market (1946), but it  illustrated how well the correlation of his model to the actual price pattern worked for that year.

Unfortunately, no one ever followed up for years, and his work fell into obscurity until 1986 when Jim Twentyman and Larry Pesavento began looking at the Bradley model. They had all of the stock market data on the NYSE from 1876 (10 years after the civil war) through 1986. A 110-year sample size was statistically accurate enough to test Bradley’s theory. The results were quite amazing. Over the past 130 years (since 1876), the correlation is better than 70 percent. Remember that this model can be done years in advance. It is one small indication that the planets may have some say in what happens in the markets.

Although the
Bradley Index shows some excellent correlations between naturally occurring cycles and the stock markets, certain caveats must be mentioned:
(1) It has a tendency to invert (be a mirror image of) the regular model at certain times during the year. Sometimes, there are as many as three inversions in a year while, at other times, there are no inversions, and the model correlates quite well. Inversions can be a problem, but they also present an opportunity because the exact Bradley date (calendar date) has a very high probability of being near a significant trend change, plus or minus one day, better than 80 percent of the time.
(2) The second caveat relates to the fact that it is NOT a trading system; it is a guideline for what financial markets may or may not do between the Bradley dates. Practical experience has shown that, when the Bradley model is working, it behooves the trader to pay attention to the high correlation existing at that time.
However, when it is not correlating, it should be viewed with skepticism. So, it was never meant to be a trading system. In fact, it is still an unproven theory.

(above text is based on A Stock Market Model That "Shoots for the Stars" by Larry Pesavento, 2006)


2012-07-27 (Fri)
2012-08-13 (Mon)
2012-08-24 (Fri)

Monday, August 13, 2012

Cosmic Patterns: Influence on Man and His Communication | John H. Nelson

Between 1951 and the early 1970s, John H. Nelson, a radio engineer employed by RCA Communications in New York, developed and published a method for forecasting shortwave radio propagation disturbances over the North Atlantic. In his seminal article in RCA Review (March 1951, see below), he correlated heliocentric planetary positions with historical logs of signal quality recorded at RCA's receiving station in Riverhead, Long Island. Nelson observed that propagation disturbances tended to coincide with specific angular relationships—primarily 0°, 90°, 180°, and 270°—among the planets Mercury, Venus, Earth, Jupiter, and Saturn relative to the Sun. (HERE
 

Nelson later reported high predictive accuracy, claiming that of approximately 1,500 forecasts issued in 1967, 93.2% were within one point of observed conditions on a six-point scale. He presented his approach as an empirical engineering technique, avoiding explicit references to astrology, though the angular aspects he identified closely resembled those traditionally employed in astrological analysis (such as conjunctions, squares, and oppositions).

» In summation, after more than 25 years of research in this field of solar system science, I can say without equivocation that there is very strong evidence that the planets, when in certain predictable arrangements, do cause changes to take place in those solar radiations that control our ionosphere.  I have no solid theory to explain what I have observed, but the similarity between an electric generator with its carefully placed magnets and the sun with its ever-changing planets is intriguing.  In the generator, the magnets are fixed and produce a constant electrical current.  If we consider that the planets are magnets and the sun is the armature, we have a considerable similarity to the generator.  However, in this case, the magnets are moving.  For this reason, the electrical-magnetic stability of the solar system varies widely.  This is what one would expect. «
John H. Nelson, Cosmic Patterns: Their Influence on Man and His Communication, 1974.
 
SHORTWAVE RADIO PROPAGATION CORRELATION WITH PLANETARY POSITIONS

BY J. H. NELSON, Engineering Department, RCA Communications, Inc., New York, N. Y., March 1951.
Summary—An examination of shortwave radio propagation conditions over the North Atlantic for a five-year period, and the relative position of the planets in the solar system, discloses some very interesting correlations. As a result of such correlations, certain planetary relationships are deduced to have specific effect on radio propagation through their influence upon the sun. Further investigation is required to fully explore the effect of planet positions on radio propagation in order that the highly important field of radio weather forecasting may be properly developed.
INTRODUCTION
MANY investigators of solar activity in the past have conducted extensive studies of planetary phenomena in an effort to account for the maximum and minimum of the eleven-year sunspot cycle and also the shorter period variations in sunspot numbers which take place from month to month. The results of several of these investigators appear to indicate a connection between the interrelationship of the planets and the degree of spottedness of the solar surface. The works of Huntington,¹ Clayton,² and Sanford,³ were found to be particularly applicable to the subject matter of this paper.

The results of their investigations suggested that a similar study relating planetary phenomena to radio disturbances over the North Atlantic might reveal information of value. Since June, 1948, the author has conducted research on this subject, and this paper presents the correlation that has been found between shortwave radio disturbances and certain planetary phenomena as described below.

MOTION OF THE PLANETS
The heliocentric interrelationship between Mercury, Venus, Earth, Mars, Jupiter and Saturn was extracted from the AMERICAN EPHEMERIS AND NAUTICAL ALMANAC published by the U. S. Naval Observatory in Washington, D C. for the years 1942, 1944, 1947, 1948, and 1949. Dates when the heliocentric relationship of any two planets was 0°, 90°, 180° or 270° were recorded. At 0° an inner planet is in line on the same side of the sun with an outer planet; at 90° an inner planet is 90° ahead of an outer planet; at 180° an inner planet and an outer planet are in line on opposite sides of the sun; at 270° an inner planet is 90° behind an outer planet. These relations are hereinafter referred to as configurations.

In addition to plotting the positions of the various planets in this way, a record was made of the solar quadrants over which each configuration took place. The solar quadrants in this study are determined by the Earth-Sun relationship under which the Sun is divided into its four quadrants as follows: The first quadrant is the visible sector of the eastern hemisphere of the Sun as viewed from the Earth; the second quadrant is the invisible sector of the eastern hemisphere; the third quadrant is the invisible sector of the western hemisphere; and the fourth quadrant the visible sector of the western hemisphere.

Every configuration of the type previously mentioned was calculated between Mercury and Venus, Mercury and Earth, Mercury and Mars, Mercury and Jupiter, and Mercury and Saturn. Following this the same method was used with Venus and its outer planets, Earth and its outer planets, Mars and its outer planets, and Jupiter and Saturn. The analysis shows that these configurations are quite random in time and vary from cases where only one configuration between two planets takes place in a 14-day period to cases in which five of these six planets are involved in a configuration with some other planet within a forty-eight hour period. Cases where an inner planet makes a configuration with two outer planets within a twenty-four hour period are quite numerous.

At perihelion, Mercury moves 6° 19' per day and therefore will make more configurations per unit time at this point in its orbit than at aphelion, where its speed is reduced to 2° 44' per day. The variation in orbit speed of the other planets is negligible for this particular study.
 

Sunday, August 12, 2012

Lunar Chaos Cycle | Al Larson

Al Larson (1991) - Basic Physical Mechanisms: Development of a physical theory of cycles begins with an examination of the solar systems construction. It is composed of ten very important chunks of rock that orbit a ball of burning gas, the sun. The nine planets and our moon are the big rocks. For eons, these rocks have proceeded relentlessly on their courses, carefully balancing the forces they exert on each other and on the sun, and vice versa.

 "Fully 76% of the Venus events coincided with highs and lows,
as did 84% of the Mercury events.
"
 
To date, two mechanisms have been proposed that could explain the effects of this system on earthly events. Theodor Landscheidt has presented many correlations between the solar system's center of mass and the outburst of solar flares. His theory states that, as the planets rotate, they shift the center of mass of the combined planet/sun system around. Al times, this center of mass actually moves outside the surface of the sun. As it passes the sun's surface, a chaotic boundary condition exists, resulting in outbursts of large solar fares [...] As the planets orbit the sun, they exert tidal forces on the sun's gases, much as the moon raises tides on the earth [...]  Jupiter, Mercury, Venus, Earth, Mars, and Saturn are the most influential, in that order. These gas swirls cause a number of solar effects, including sunspots, coronal holes, and solar flares. All these effects combine to vary the amount of radiation that leaves the sun. This solar radiation is carried toward the earth in two ways: 
  1. as direct radiation, such as sunshine and radio-waves, and 
  2. as particles carried by the solar wind. This flow of charged particles forms a torrent of energy that blasts spaceship earth, creating n bow wave and a wake, just as a boat going upstream would do.
This bow wave forms a magnetopause between the Earth and the Sun, and interacts with the earth’s magnetic field, both shaping it and adding energy to it. At the north and south poles, the charged particles follow the magnetic lines of force, and enter our atmosphere in what is called a Polar Cap Absorption Event. This leads to the auroral oval, producing our Northern and Southern Lights.

The bow wave also creates an envelope about the earth, called the magnetosphere. As the solar wind flows past the earth, the magnetosphere forms a teardrop-shaped envelope of trapped particles that ends in what is called the magnetotail. It is inside this envelope that the moon orbits.

As the solar radiation varies, so does the earth's magnetic field, atmospheric ionization, and temperature. Scientists have tracked down a host of relationships between these events and a variety of earthly phenomena such as climate, weather, crime rates, plant growth rates, frequency of thunderstorms, blood PH levels, psychiatric emergencies, etc. My own work has related these events to market action as well. I believe a third mechanism that involves the moon also is at work . 
 

A Theory of Lunar Chaos: I believe I have discovered another lunar cycle, which I call the “lunar chaos cycle.” My theory is that, as the moon rides high and low and moves closer and further from the earth, it crosses the boundary between the ionized particles trapped in the moon's wake and the fast-flowing solar wind. The figure at left shows boundary crossings at two full-moon positions (1 and 2) and two new-moon positions (3 and 4). Such boundary crossings would lead to sharp disturbances in the earth's magnetic eld, which would affect those of us who live within it. A further perturbation can be theorized, as well- the perturbation of the nearby planets, Mercury and Venus. When the moon's balanced on the edge of the magnetopause, a chaotic balance point exists. Either interior planet can tug the moon into the solar wind, tipping the balance just as Lorenz's Butterfly Effect tips the balance in weather patterns.

A Simple Mathematical Model: To test this theory, I created a simple mathematical model. This model computes the degree of exact alignment of a planet (either Mercury or Venus) with the Earth and Moon, and when the Moon is above or below 3° inclination. This yields a lunar chaos input function for each planet [see chart above].

Saturday, August 11, 2012

Chladni Patterns

HERE
In 1787 the German jurist, musician, physicist and astronomer Ernst Florens Friedrich Chladni published Entdeckungen über die Theorie des Klanges (Discoveries Concerning the Theory of Sound), laying the foundations for what came to be called acoustics, the science of sound. Chladni introduced a method to make sound waves visible and to show how sound actually does affect physical matter and has the quality of creating geometric patterns: With the help of a violin bow which he drew perpendicularly across the edge of flat plates covered with sand, he produced those patterns and shapes which today are known as Chladni Patterns (see also HERE & HERE & HERE & HERE). 

These Patterns show primarily two things (see below): areas that are vibrating and areas that are not. When a flat plate of an elastic material is vibrated, the plate oscillates not only as a whole but also as parts. The boundaries between these vibrating parts, which are specific for every particular case, are called node lines and do not vibrate. The other parts are oscillating constantly. If sand is then put on this vibrating plate, the sand (black in the illustration) collects on the non-vibrating node lines. The oscillating parts or areas thus become empty. The converse is true for liquids; that is to say, water lies on the vibrating parts and not on the node lines.  

more HERE

Friday, August 10, 2012

S&P 500 Inflation Adjusted Earnings near ATH

With second-quarter earnings largely in the books (over 84% of S&P 500 corporations have reported), the chart below provides some long-term perspective to the current earnings environment by focusing on 12-month, as reported S&P 500 earnings.

The chart also illustrates how earnings declined over 92% from its Q3 2007 peak to Q1 2009 low which brought inflation-adjusted earnings to near Great Depression lows. Since its Q1 2009 low, S&P 500 earnings have surged (up an inflation-adjusted 1129%) and currently come in at a level that is well above its dot-com bubble peak and fast approaching its credit bubble peak. It is interesting to note that the original run up in real earnings from Great Depression lows to dot-com highs took over 67 years. The current spike has taken 37 months. Also, current Q2 earnings times four would make for a new inflation-adjusted high for S&P 500 corporate earnings. Therefore, as long as earnings do not decline, S&P 500 companies are on pace to make a new all-time record in earnings by Q1 2013 at the latest (HERE).


 For every $20 bln the FED purchases in long term debt the stock market rises 1%
  • QE1 was $1.4 tln: expected rise 70%, actual rise 69%. 
  • QE2 was $600 bln: expected rise 30%, actual rise 29%. 
  • Op Twist was $400 bln: expected rise 20%, actual rise 22%. 
  • Op Twist expanded to $667 bln: expected overall rise 33%, actual rise yet to be determined (HERE).

Thursday, August 9, 2012

SPX vs George Bayer's Rule #27 - Mercury's Speed is 59' or 1°58'

MERCURY’S SPEED IN LONGITUDE GEOCENTRIC OF 59’ AND 1°58’
see also HERE
So let us take Raphael’s Ephemeris again, ... and follow the movements of Mercury from day to day in its longitude. Its speed ranges from 0 to 2.12. In another rule I told you already that 0 and 2.12 in Mercury’s speed bring changes of trend. 
Now we use Mercury’s speed when it is the same as the mean daily motion of the Sun in Longitude or double this amount. The daily motion of the Sun is 59’; double this amount is 1°58’.
Each time Mercury passes these values we can expect changes of trend and, mind you, often times they give big tops and big major bottoms ...
[George Bayer (1940): Stock and Commodity Traders´ Hand-Book of Trend Determination. Carmel, California; p. 35]
 
22.12.2011 01:12 (Thu) = Mercury Speed @ 00°58'59"
04.03.2012 15:25 (Sun) = Mercury Speed @ 00°58'59"
18.04.2012 00:21 (Wed) = Mercury Speed @ 00°58'59"
15.05.2012 20:50 (Tue) = Mercury Speed @ 01°58'00"
07.06.2012 09:24 (Thu) = Mercury Speed @ 01°58'00"
29.06.2012 20:44 (Fri) = Mercury Speed @ 00°58'59"
16.08.2012 03:49 (Thu) = Mercury Speed @ 00°58'59"
26.10.2012 10:56 (Fri) = Mercury Speed @ 00°58'59"
12.11.2012 09:20 (Mon) = Mercury Speed @ 00°58'59"
20.11.2012 22:40 (Tue) = Mercury Speed @ 00°58'59"
03.12.2012 22:57 (Mon) = Mercury Speed @ 00°58'59"
16.02.2013 06:24 (Sat) = Mercury Speed @ 00°58'59"

Calculated and charted with Sergey Tarassov's Timing Solution.