DJI vs Bradley Index

Calculated and charted with Sergey Tarassov's Timing Solution (see also HERE)

CITs in this optimized Bradley Index:
 2013-01-13 (Sun)
2013-01-24 (Thu)
2013-02-07 (Thu)
2013-02-11 (Mon)
2013-02-14 (Thu)
2013-02-25 (Mon)
2013-03-11 (Mon)
2013-03-28 (Thu)
2013-04-11 (Thu)
2013-04-21 (Sun) 

Credits: Francis Bussiere - HERE

2013-04-28 (Sun)
2013-05-03 (Fri)
2013-05-10 (Fri)
2013-05-20 (Mon)
2013-05-26 (Sun)
2013-06-08 (Sat)
2013-06-21 (Fri)
2013-07-29 (Mon)
2013-08-15 (Thu)
2013-08-23 (Fri)
2013-09-01 (Sun)
2013-09-16 (Mon)
2013-09-30 (Mon)
2013-10-15 (Tue)
2013-10-20 (Sun)
2013-11-05 (Tue)
2013-11-15 (Fri)
2013-11-27 (Wed)
2013-12-14 (Sat)
2013-12-27 (Fri)
2014-01-07 (Tue)

2014-01-09 (Thu)

Credits: Alphee Lavoie - HERE

Credits: Mike Korell - HERE

2014-01-13 (Mon)
2014-02-06 (Thu)
2014-02-09 (Sun)
2014-02-14 (Fri)
2014-03-17 (Mon)
2014-04-13 (Sun)
2014-04-23 (Wed)
2014-05-12 (Mon)
2014-05-21 (Wed)
2014-06-01 (Sun)
2014-06-19 (Thu)
2014-07-06 (Sun)
2014-07-17 (Thu)
2014-07-23 (Wed)
2014-08-04 (Mon)
2014-08-11 (Mon)
2014-08-16 (Sat)
2014-08-30 (Sat)
2014-09-03 (Wed)
2014-09-13 (Sat)
2014-09-21 (Sun)
2014-10-02 (Thu)
2014-10-08 (Wed)
2014-10-18 (Sat)
2014-11-03 (Mon)
2014-11-23 (Sun)
2014-12-16 (Tue)
2014-12-24 (Wed)
2015-01-11 (Sun)

See also HERE & HERE

HERE

STD Red Week (Oct 29 - Nov 2)

www.chartsedge.com

While the S&P 500 futures continue to test support at 1400, Wallstreet's floor markets will be closed on Monday as New York braces for Hurricane Sandy. 

However,  STD Red Weeks are usually trenders from Tuesday a.m. to Friday a.m., that is: Monday and Friday usually reverse the Tuesday - Thursday trend. 

We expect a short term high around Full Moon (that is inverted to Mike Korell's forecast). If the typical Red-Week Pattern plays out, the low of the week should print by Thursday p.m. - Friday a.m., and will be followed by another decline with lower-lows into the Election-Week. As outlined earlier, the ITD suggests the high (some Elliott-Wave #4 or #2) could be reached as early as Tuesday-Wednesday (HERE).

This week includes the last 3 trading days of October and the first 2 trading days of November during the 4th year of the Presidential Cycle, and the bias of the S&P 500 in the Election Year Seasonal Chart is up. 

STD Blue Week (October 22 - 26)

STD Blue Days are usually choppy and tricky to trade. Statistically look back, STD Blue Days and STD Blue Weeks are M-shaped or W-shaped, and the loss-trades are above average. STD Red and Green days and weeks are much better for trends to work.

Monday - Tuesday, October 22-23, may turn out to be similar or inverse to Thursday - Friday of last week. Assuming there was no inversion on the STD-red day (Sunday, Oct 21), a ST-high on Monday, followed by another swing down into late Tuesday is likely. Also consider with past Blue Week patterns, especially 4 weeks back, 4 lunar months back, and 1 lunar year back.

www.chartsedge.com

As outlined HERE, the ITD #b Low is scheduled to develop around Oct 21-23, and should be followed by a rally into the ITD #6 High around Oct 29 = Full Moon.  

This forecast also matches Mike Korrell's latest projection (HERE), but contradicts the view of Francis Bussiere: ST high on Oct 24, down into Full Moon (HERE).

www.astrocycle.net

The McClellan Oscillators and Summation Indices for NYSE and Nasdaq both point to lower prices.

The $TRIN (NYSE - Short-Term trading Arms Index) had reached the upper Bollinger Band. This alone may suggest a bounce or reversal in equities. However, MACD and Stochastic have just turned up, and support the idea of a rising $TRIN, which is the continuation of the down-trend in stocks.   

German DAX vs Delta & Space Weather

ITD #1 = Sep 5 L
ITD #2 = Sep 21 H = MTD #5 ?
ITD #3 = Sep 28 L (Full Moon)
ITD #4 = Oct 5 H
ITD #5 = Oct 10-11 L
ITD #y = Oct 15-16 H (New Moon)
ITD #z = Oct 22-24 L
ITD #6 = Oct 26-29 H = MTD #5 ? (Full Moon)
ITD #7 = Nov 7 L = MTD #6 ?

HERE + HERE + HERE

Since October 8 strong geomagnetic storms are pressing on traders' mood, and more M-class flares along with high values in the K Index should be expected into October 10-12 (HERE + HERE).

When a solar flare or CME happens, it can take up to 2 days to impact the Earth, depending on the solar wind's speed. Therefore, expecting drops in the stock market up to two days after large flares is reasonable (HERE + HERE).

www.astrocycle.net

Simple Moon Trading Strategy

Tom Pelc & Dmytro Bondar (The Royal Bank of Scotland, 2010)

...  we study the performance of 6 indices FTSE 100, S&P 500, DAX, EUROXX 50, Hang Seng, CAC 40 [versus the lunar cycle] for a period of several decades. 

... The proposed trading strategy can be summarized as follows: buy an index on the new moon (if this is a non-trading day, buy on the next trading day), hold till the full moon (usually 14-15 days), sell the index on the full moon (similarly, if non-trading day, sell on the next trading day), repeat the investment of the overall amount on the next moon cycle (usually in 14-16 days).

... Having invested £1,000 in S&P 500 in 1928, by now would outcome in holding £63,864 worth portfolio, while by implementing the proposed moon trading strategy, the value of portfolio would have been £1,502,689.   

www.astrocycle.net

STD Red Week (August 6 - 10)

For previous Short-Term-Delta Red Weeks in the S&P 500 see also HERE

STD Red Weeks oftentimes are trenders from Tuesday open to Friday open.  Monday and Friday often reverse the Tuesday - Thursday trend. This is the STD Red Week's pattern:

Alex Roslin's - COTs Timer (Aug 4)
Smart Money Commercial Hedgers dump S&P 500, COT signal flips to bearish

David Hickson - Hurst cycles (Aug 4)
We are expecting the 80-day cycle peak to form in the US markets soon, after which there will be a fall into the 80-day cycle trough which is expected in late August.
[Hurst triad] lines are presently projecting a target for the peak of 1400-1420.

Mike Burk - Seasonality (Aug 4)
As measured by the S&P 500 August has been, by far, the strongest month of the 4th year of the Presidential Cycle. I expect the major averages to be higher on Friday August 10 than they were on Friday August 3.

www.chartsedge.com

www.alphee.com

www.astrocycle.net

The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) broke above resistance from the July highs
and remains in an uptrend, but a spinning top formed on Friday.
These candlesticks show indecision and the prior two foreshadowed
pullbacks within the uptrend [Arthur Hill]

STD Blue Week (July 30 - August 3)

For previous Short-Term-Delta Blue Weeks in the S&P 500 see also HERE

During July each rally has led to higher highs before being sold off by about 50 points. Each of the lows has been accompanied by positive divergences. Short term momentum ended last week extremely overbought. Various indications point to a small pullback before the stock market moves higher. Such a pullback might last for only one day. The FOMC is coming up on Wednesday, August 1st. Normally a new month brings in new money producing higher prices in the later part of the week, August 1-3. However, on Monday the market is likely to dip and then be alert for whether Thursday, August 2 will be a high or low. A pullback may only retest the 1350's to 1360 (HERE).

The latest COT-signals are bullish for SPX and silver, but bearish for NDX and natural gas, while copper goes to cash after two weeks bearish, and the 30-year Treasury bond goes bearish (HERE).

www.chartsedge.com

www.alphee.com

www.astrocycle.net

STD Red Week (July 9-13)

STD Red Weeks are trenders from Tuesday open to Friday open.  Monday and Friday often reverse the Tuesday - Thursday trend. So this STD Red Week's pattern should be

• down into Tuesday AM around 11:00 - 13:00
• reversing Monday's loss by rising up from the Tuesday low into Thursday 10:00 +/- 1 hour.

In case one is short, don't hold longer than Tuesday open, maybe close out near the close on Monday.  If a convincing move, reverse the trade some time Tuesday.  

The bias of the S&P 500 in the Election Year Seasonal Chart is up.

US stock indices are expected to rise into July 18 (Wed). 

2012-07-17 02:57 (Tue) = VEN 45° URA [helio]
2012-07-17 06:13 (Tue) = MER 60° NEP [helio]
2012-07-17 07:42 (Tue) = MAR 120° JUP = Level 2
2012-07-17 14:59 (Tue) = MAR 90° PLU  = Level 2
2012-07-18 00:00 (Wed) = New Moon
2012-07-18 21:36 (Wed) = MAR 180° URA = Level 1
2012-07-18 18:34 (Wed) = MER 90° URA [helio]
2012-07-18 18:36 (Wed) = VEN 45° PLU [helio]
2012-07-19 16:33 (Thu) = MER 0° PLU [helio]

More info on the Mars-Uranus Crash Cycle HERE + HERE

www.chartsedge.com

www.alphee.com

www.cyclelt.com

www.danericselliottwaves.blogspot.com

"The uptrend has progressed from SPX 1267 to 1363, Minor wave 1. Then pulled back to SPX 1309/10/13, Minor wave 2. The recent rally to SPX 1375 looks like Minute wave i, with friday’s 1348 low Minute wave ii of Minor 3. While a further pullback for Minute ii is possible we think it’s unlikely at this time since the market did get quite oversold. Once the SPX clears the 1358 level we believe the uptrend should resume to new highs. ... Short term support is at the SPX 1342/47 area and then 1334/38. Overhead resistance is at the 1363 and 1372 pivots. Short term momentum hit quite oversold on friday before rebounding toward neutral. The short term OEW charts remain positive with the swing point still around SPX 1350." [www.caldaro.wordpress.com]

www.ttheory.com

www.astrocycle.net

Delta-Pattern on Track

Also see HERE + HERE.

www.astrocycle.net

May 22 = ITD & MTD LOW ?

http://astrocycle.net/index.php?URL=AC_May18lp.php&A=1

http://www.cyclelt.com/INT.htm

http://time-price-research-astrofin.blogspot.de/2012/05/alphee-lavoie-nn-forecast-for-dji.html
http://time-price-research-astrofin.blogspot.de/2012/05/delta-tides-may-1st-to-august-1st-2012.html 

http://chartsedge.com/

The Moon cycles turned Bearish again for a possible Eclipse Panic Low near the 21st

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The dual Moon cycles shown as white and yellow lines on the charts are gradually going back in phase for the Summer and this makes trading the Moons more reliable as Price is more likely to follow the lines in the periods when they are both going down or up together. We can see this with the early April and early May declines matching the period when both lines were going down together, but the Eclipse of May 20th is causing a Panic low like the November 25th eclipse suggesting a large rebound into the Moon in Leo of the 25th as seen in the charts below and a sharp rebound back to 1340-50 is quite possible this week.

STD Green Week (April 23-27)

 

Tony Caldaro (link): The decline from last weeks Intermediate wave B at SPX 1393 clearly looks like Intermediate wave C. Thus far, we have had a three wave decline to SPX 1370, which we labeled Minor A. Then a rally to SPX 1387, which we labeled Minor B. Minor C is underway now. As soon as the OEW 1363 pivot range, (1356-1370), fails, the steep part of this declining wave should be underway. We continue to look for a correction low between SPX 1300 and 1340, and ideally between 1313 and 1327. Short term support is at the 1363 pivot and SPX 1340, with resistance at the 1372 and 1386 pivots. Short term momentum is nearly back to neutral after getting extremely oversold.

Francis Bussiere (link): Moon in Capricorn Low near Monday the 23rd?
Moon 20 degree High near Wednesday the 25th?  
Moon in Taurus Low near Monday the 30th?
Moon in Leo High near Monday the 6th?

The dual Moon cycles work best from May to October when they are in phase, and historically this is the weakest period in the market.