STD Blue Week (October 22 - 26)

STD Blue Days are usually choppy and tricky to trade. Statistically look back, STD Blue Days and STD Blue Weeks are M-shaped or W-shaped, and the loss-trades are above average. STD Red and Green days and weeks are much better for trends to work.

Monday - Tuesday, October 22-23, may turn out to be similar or inverse to Thursday - Friday of last week. Assuming there was no inversion on the STD-red day (Sunday, Oct 21), a ST-high on Monday, followed by another swing down into late Tuesday is likely. Also consider with past Blue Week patterns, especially 4 weeks back, 4 lunar months back, and 1 lunar year back.

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As outlined HERE, the ITD #b Low is scheduled to develop around Oct 21-23, and should be followed by a rally into the ITD #6 High around Oct 29 = Full Moon.  

This forecast also matches Mike Korrell's latest projection (HERE), but contradicts the view of Francis Bussiere: ST high on Oct 24, down into Full Moon (HERE).

www.astrocycle.net

The McClellan Oscillators and Summation Indices for NYSE and Nasdaq both point to lower prices.

The $TRIN (NYSE - Short-Term trading Arms Index) had reached the upper Bollinger Band. This alone may suggest a bounce or reversal in equities. However, MACD and Stochastic have just turned up, and support the idea of a rising $TRIN, which is the continuation of the down-trend in stocks.   

STD Blue Week (July 2-6)

STD Blue Days are usually choppy and tricky to trade, and STD Blue Weeks are very much the same. Statistically look back, STD Blue Days and STD Blue Weeks are when you'll loose more trades. STD Red and Green days and weeks are much better for trends to work. You may wan't to take advantage of the 4th of July-holiday and go fishing this week. 

Monday - Tuesday, July 2-3, may turn out similar or inverse to Thursday - Friday of last week. Also compare past Blue Week patterns, especially 4 weeks and 4 lunations back.

The current COT-signal is bullish and so is the VIX (see below). 

July 3 is Full Moon; tidal CITs are June 29, July 4 and July 12. On the 4th of July the Earth will be farthest from the Sun (Aphelion).

2012-07-02 (Mon) = Moon @ Max S-Declination
2012-07-02 (Mon) = VEN 120° JUP [helio]
2012-07-03 (Tue) = Full Moon
2012-07-03 (Tue) = VEN 90° SAT [helio]
2012-07-04 (Wed) = Earth @ Aphelion
2012-07-05 (Thu) = MER 180° JUP [helio]
2012-07-06 (Fri) = MER 90° NEP [helio]
2012-07-07 (Sat) = VEN 60° URA [helio]
2012-07-07 (Sat) = MER 120° URA [helio]

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www.alphee.com

STD Yellow Week (June 25-29)

This coming week will be a Short-Term-Delta Yellow Week with a yellow Monday and a yellow Friday. Last Friday, June 23rd, the SPX closed near the day's high and we expect the STD-pattern to continue without inversion. Then this week should be tracing out some sort of a choppy W-shape. And according to the STD-Theory Monday-Tuesday should repeat last Thursday-Friday:

DOWN from a Monday (June 25) morning HIGH (high of the week) into the close of Tuesday June 26 (low of the week).    

This pattern makes sense even more since last Friday was a NR7-day (see HERE). However, other cycle projections suggest that the week's pattern would be as follows (see HERE + HERE + Mike Korell's ChartEdge-forecast below):

chopping up into the week's HIGH on Tuesday June 26, from there hard down into the low of the week on Wednesday June 27, a turn day

The Weekly Pivot-Point and Support-Resistance-Levels for the E-mini S&P 500 September are: 

R3 1,352.75
R2 1,344.25
R1 1,340.50
PP 1,335.75
S1 1,332.00
S2 1,327.25
S3 1,318.75
S4 1,310.25

STD Blue- and STD Yellow-days and -weeks are choppy and reportedly hard to trade, and some ST- traders recommend to go fishing instead. This notion is supported by the forthcoming Astro-Events suggesting potential CITs for almost every day:

2012-06-23-26 (Sat-Tue) = Tidal CIT
2012-06-25 01:42 (Mon) = SAT (D) = Merriman Level 1 - Turnday
2012-06-25 02:25 (Mon) = JUP 90° NEP = Merriman Level 1 - Turnday
2012-06-27 00:00 (Wed) = MAR 90° Galactic Center
2012-06-27 10:05 (Wed) = VEN (D) = Level 1 = Merriman Level 1 - Turnday
2012-06-28-29 (Thu-Fri) = Tidal CITs
2012-06-29 00:00 (Fri) = AI-CIT - Value = 7
2012-06-29 09:44 (Fri) = SUN 180° PLU = Merriman Level 3 - Turnday
2012-06-29 15:00 (Fri) = SUN 90° URA  = Merriman Level 1 - Turnday

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www.alpheefinance.com

Tony Caldaro's Weekend Update (June 23, 2012) 

www.caldaro.wordpress.com

The recent rally from SPX 1267 to 1363 started off impulsively as it was unfolding. We were expecting the rally to reach either the 1363 or 1372 pivots in a five wave sequence ahead of the FOMC meeting. The pattern, unfortunately, looked like three waves on tuesday as the FOMC began. After tuesday’s high, and wednesday’s volatility, the market sold off on thursday to SPX 1324. This selloff overlapped the first rally from SPX 1267 to 1329/36. This made the entire June rally look corrective. As a result we have labeled the SPX 1267 low as a wave A, and the recent rally as a wave B. The most probable scenario suggests a wave C is underway to either retest the June lows or make a lower low in early July.

Dan Eric's Elliott Wave Update (22 June 2012)
www.danericselliottwaves.blogspot.com 

It would be ideal for the wave structure if Monday made a quick lower low beneath Thursday's low prior to any retrace into 1346 - the bottom of wave i. This would complete a small 5 wave pattern down from the recent rally high peak of 1363.46.

STD Green Week (June 18-22)

Last week was a perfect Short Term Delta Red Week in an up bias.

This week is a STD Green Week, because Monday, June 18th will be a STD Green Day (see HERE).  

STD Green Days 66% of the time look like N's (or inverted N's). Look for a top around 11:00 and a down move into 13:00. So one might sell/buy a confirmed intraday top/low around 11:00 - 11:30. Not sure if afternoon green 15:00 CITs are as or more a reliable buy/sell but watch out to be out before 15:00 for the closing up- or down-leg of the "N".

Green Weeks are usually almost the same as Red Weeks = directional. However, Green Weeks often have CITs on early Tuesdays and on Thursdays. If Tuesday is biased up, then the odds increase for Wednesday and Thursday to be up as well. Tuesday to Thursday usually will reverse Monday's net move. 

New Moons oftentimes mark CITs, and Tuesday, June 19th, could be either the High or the Low of next week. The same day will be marked by the Moon's declination reaching max north, and a Berg Astro-Indicator CIT.
 
And last not least, a Green Friday should look like the Green Monday.
 

STD Red Week (June 11-15)

A normal Red Week will have Monday down into the close +/- and the rest of the week up with the red Friday either being up or being a normal H to L.  
 
Red Weeks are 65% chance of Tue-Fri running opposite of Monday's close. If Monday closes up then there's a 65% chance Tuesday - Friday will be down. 35% chance that the week will continue the direction set by Monday.

The chart below shows back increments of 4 weeks from today (= red Monday - see also HERE and HERE) highlighting recent red week-price patterns. 
 

STD Green Week (May 21-25)

2012-Feb-27 (Mon) = Green = 10.30H, 11.15L, 12.20H, 2.00L, 3.40H or Inverse
2012-Feb-28 (Tue) = Red = (9:55-10:10H), 79% 10:20L, 11:40H, 68%/32% Inversion, 13:00L, 14:00H, 15:10L
2012-Feb-29 (Wed) = Blue = (9.40H), 10.00-30 Low, 12.40H, 1.40L, 3.00-30H
2012-Mar-01 (Thu) = Orange = (9.40L), 10.00H, 11.00L, 12.30H, 2.30L, 3.20-50H
2012-Mar-02 (Fri) = Green = 10.30H, 11.15L, 12.20H, 2.00L, 3.40H 

Yesterday was a SU day closing near the day's high.

Tuesday’s bias is an Inversion day with 79% chance for a 9:55 - 10:10 LOW and a 11:40 HIGH +/-30. There will be another Inversion with 68% chance for a last hour LOW and 32% chance for a last hour HIGH. The 15:10 CIT should be a LOW = (9:55-10:10H), 79% 10:20L, 11:40H, 68%/32% Inversion, 13:00L, 14:00H, 15:10L

[ We are currently in a ITD-inversion window ]

http://time-price-research-astrofin.blogspot.de/2012/05/delta-tides-may-1st-to-august-1st-2012.html

2012-05-18 (Fri) = Tidal CIT
2012-05-18 (Fri) = AI 0
2012-05-19 02:22 (Sat) = MER 180 MAR [helio]
2012-05-19 11:35 (Sat) = Moon @ Apogee
2012-05-20 18:47 (Sun) = New Moon = Solar Eclipse
2012-05-20 21:08 (Sun) = MER 180 SAT [helio]
2012-05-21-22 (Mon-Tue) = Tidal CIT
2012-05-21 (Mon) = ITD #(1-x) HIGH [+/- 2 TD] = MTD #12 ?
2012-05-23 10:14 (Wed) = VEN 180 JUP [helio]
2012-05-24-25 (Thu-Fri) = Tidal CIT
2012-05-25 (Fri) = ITD #2 LOW [+/- 2 TD]
2012-05-25 (Fri) = AI 0
2012-05-25 11:31 (Fri) = MER 0 JUP [helio]
2012-05-26 03:47 (Sat) = MER 180 VEN [helio]
2012-05-27 11:08 (Sun) = MER 180 EAR [helio]
2012-05-27 16:19 (Sun) = SUN 0 MER
2012-05-28 (Mon) = Bradley CIT [geo & helio]
2012-05-28 15:16 (Mon) = First Quarter
2012-05-29 (Tue) = Tidal CIT
2012-05-30 10:24 (Wed) = VEN 120 URA [helio] = MWW-CIT
2012-05-30 20:40 (Wed) = MER @ 88 [helio] = MWW-CIT
2012-06-01 (Fri) = ITD #3 HIGH [+/- 2 TD] = MTD #12 ?

STD Red Week | May 14-18

Delta - Tides - Astro-Events

2012-05-11 (Fri) = ITD #(1) = LOW [+/- 2 TD]

2012-05-13-14 (Sun-Mon) = Tidal CIT

2012-05-13 08:27 (Sun) = SUN 0 JUP = Level 2
2012-05-13 13:33 (Sun) = JUP 180 EAR [helio]
2012-05-15 03:51 (Tue) = MER @ 358 [helio] = MWW-CIT
2012-05-15 09:27 (Tue) = VEN (R) = Level 1
2012-05-16 10:55 (Wed) = MAR 120 PLU = Level 2
2012-05-16 15:15 (Wed) = MER 0 URA [helio]
2012-05-18 (Fri) = Tidal CIT

2012-05-21 (Mon) = ITD #(1-x) = HIGH [+/- 2 TD] = MTD #12 ?

See also HERE

STD Green Week (April 23-27)

 

Tony Caldaro (link): The decline from last weeks Intermediate wave B at SPX 1393 clearly looks like Intermediate wave C. Thus far, we have had a three wave decline to SPX 1370, which we labeled Minor A. Then a rally to SPX 1387, which we labeled Minor B. Minor C is underway now. As soon as the OEW 1363 pivot range, (1356-1370), fails, the steep part of this declining wave should be underway. We continue to look for a correction low between SPX 1300 and 1340, and ideally between 1313 and 1327. Short term support is at the 1363 pivot and SPX 1340, with resistance at the 1372 and 1386 pivots. Short term momentum is nearly back to neutral after getting extremely oversold.

Francis Bussiere (link): Moon in Capricorn Low near Monday the 23rd?
Moon 20 degree High near Wednesday the 25th?  
Moon in Taurus Low near Monday the 30th?
Moon in Leo High near Monday the 6th?

The dual Moon cycles work best from May to October when they are in phase, and historically this is the weakest period in the market.

Recent STD Red Weeks

April 16-17 major High - sharp decline into April 20-23 Low - rally into mid May 
(follow upper STD scheme)

STD-Green-Red-Blue-Pattern in the SPX & ST Outlook

This week was a 'Blue Week' = M-shaped. Ideally the right M-shoulder-high was today.

Next week is a red week = trending = high of week on Monday - low of week on Friday or inverse

tomorrow Friday = last Monday or inverse = blue = W-shaped 
= choppy 
= (9.40H) 10.00-30L 12.45H 1.40L 3.00-30H

Next Monday = today Thursday or inverse