Crude Oil and the Half Solar Cycle | Sergey Tarassov

In Crude Oil, a cycle corresponding to approximately half of the Sunspot activity cycle (Sunspot Cycle 2H, ~2,007 days, or ~5.5y) appears to be present. The cycle is detectable through spectral analysis and was calculated using an astronomy-based model that accounts for the irregular duration of solar cycles. 

The pink-shaded chart background marks the out-of-sample projection of Crude Oil through 2030.

 

Out-of-sample testing since 2020 shows that this variable solar-derived cycle maintains alignment with subsequent Crude Oil price movements.
 

Reference:

Sergey Tarassov (June 28, 2026) - Crude Oil and the Half Solar Cycle: A Variable Cycle Analysis.