DJI vs Bradley Index

Calculated and charted with Sergey Tarassov's Timing Solution (see also HERE)

CITs in this optimized Bradley Index:
 2013-01-13 (Sun)
2013-01-24 (Thu)
2013-02-07 (Thu)
2013-02-11 (Mon)
2013-02-14 (Thu)
2013-02-25 (Mon)
2013-03-11 (Mon)
2013-03-28 (Thu)
2013-04-11 (Thu)
2013-04-21 (Sun) 

Credits: Francis Bussiere - HERE

2013-04-28 (Sun)
2013-05-03 (Fri)
2013-05-10 (Fri)
2013-05-20 (Mon)
2013-05-26 (Sun)
2013-06-08 (Sat)
2013-06-21 (Fri)
2013-07-29 (Mon)
2013-08-15 (Thu)
2013-08-23 (Fri)
2013-09-01 (Sun)
2013-09-16 (Mon)
2013-09-30 (Mon)
2013-10-15 (Tue)
2013-10-20 (Sun)
2013-11-05 (Tue)
2013-11-15 (Fri)
2013-11-27 (Wed)
2013-12-14 (Sat)
2013-12-27 (Fri)
2014-01-07 (Tue)

2014-01-09 (Thu)

Credits: Alphee Lavoie - HERE

Credits: Mike Korell - HERE

2014-01-13 (Mon)
2014-02-06 (Thu)
2014-02-09 (Sun)
2014-02-14 (Fri)
2014-03-17 (Mon)
2014-04-13 (Sun)
2014-04-23 (Wed)
2014-05-12 (Mon)
2014-05-21 (Wed)
2014-06-01 (Sun)
2014-06-19 (Thu)
2014-07-06 (Sun)
2014-07-17 (Thu)
2014-07-23 (Wed)
2014-08-04 (Mon)
2014-08-11 (Mon)
2014-08-16 (Sat)
2014-08-30 (Sat)
2014-09-03 (Wed)
2014-09-13 (Sat)
2014-09-21 (Sun)
2014-10-02 (Thu)
2014-10-08 (Wed)
2014-10-18 (Sat)
2014-11-03 (Mon)
2014-11-23 (Sun)
2014-12-16 (Tue)
2014-12-24 (Wed)
2015-01-11 (Sun)

See also HERE & HERE

HERE

STD Red Week (Oct 29 - Nov 2)

www.chartsedge.com

While the S&P 500 futures continue to test support at 1400, Wallstreet's floor markets will be closed on Monday as New York braces for Hurricane Sandy. 

However,  STD Red Weeks are usually trenders from Tuesday a.m. to Friday a.m., that is: Monday and Friday usually reverse the Tuesday - Thursday trend. 

We expect a short term high around Full Moon (that is inverted to Mike Korell's forecast). If the typical Red-Week Pattern plays out, the low of the week should print by Thursday p.m. - Friday a.m., and will be followed by another decline with lower-lows into the Election-Week. As outlined earlier, the ITD suggests the high (some Elliott-Wave #4 or #2) could be reached as early as Tuesday-Wednesday (HERE).

This week includes the last 3 trading days of October and the first 2 trading days of November during the 4th year of the Presidential Cycle, and the bias of the S&P 500 in the Election Year Seasonal Chart is up. 

STD Blue Week (October 22 - 26)

STD Blue Days are usually choppy and tricky to trade. Statistically look back, STD Blue Days and STD Blue Weeks are M-shaped or W-shaped, and the loss-trades are above average. STD Red and Green days and weeks are much better for trends to work.

Monday - Tuesday, October 22-23, may turn out to be similar or inverse to Thursday - Friday of last week. Assuming there was no inversion on the STD-red day (Sunday, Oct 21), a ST-high on Monday, followed by another swing down into late Tuesday is likely. Also consider with past Blue Week patterns, especially 4 weeks back, 4 lunar months back, and 1 lunar year back.

www.chartsedge.com

As outlined HERE, the ITD #b Low is scheduled to develop around Oct 21-23, and should be followed by a rally into the ITD #6 High around Oct 29 = Full Moon.  

This forecast also matches Mike Korrell's latest projection (HERE), but contradicts the view of Francis Bussiere: ST high on Oct 24, down into Full Moon (HERE).

www.astrocycle.net

The McClellan Oscillators and Summation Indices for NYSE and Nasdaq both point to lower prices.

The $TRIN (NYSE - Short-Term trading Arms Index) had reached the upper Bollinger Band. This alone may suggest a bounce or reversal in equities. However, MACD and Stochastic have just turned up, and support the idea of a rising $TRIN, which is the continuation of the down-trend in stocks.   

STD Red Week (August 6 - 10)

For previous Short-Term-Delta Red Weeks in the S&P 500 see also HERE

STD Red Weeks oftentimes are trenders from Tuesday open to Friday open.  Monday and Friday often reverse the Tuesday - Thursday trend. This is the STD Red Week's pattern:

Alex Roslin's - COTs Timer (Aug 4)
Smart Money Commercial Hedgers dump S&P 500, COT signal flips to bearish

David Hickson - Hurst cycles (Aug 4)
We are expecting the 80-day cycle peak to form in the US markets soon, after which there will be a fall into the 80-day cycle trough which is expected in late August.
[Hurst triad] lines are presently projecting a target for the peak of 1400-1420.

Mike Burk - Seasonality (Aug 4)
As measured by the S&P 500 August has been, by far, the strongest month of the 4th year of the Presidential Cycle. I expect the major averages to be higher on Friday August 10 than they were on Friday August 3.

www.chartsedge.com

www.alphee.com

www.astrocycle.net

The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) broke above resistance from the July highs
and remains in an uptrend, but a spinning top formed on Friday.
These candlesticks show indecision and the prior two foreshadowed
pullbacks within the uptrend [Arthur Hill]

STD Blue Week (July 30 - August 3)

For previous Short-Term-Delta Blue Weeks in the S&P 500 see also HERE

During July each rally has led to higher highs before being sold off by about 50 points. Each of the lows has been accompanied by positive divergences. Short term momentum ended last week extremely overbought. Various indications point to a small pullback before the stock market moves higher. Such a pullback might last for only one day. The FOMC is coming up on Wednesday, August 1st. Normally a new month brings in new money producing higher prices in the later part of the week, August 1-3. However, on Monday the market is likely to dip and then be alert for whether Thursday, August 2 will be a high or low. A pullback may only retest the 1350's to 1360 (HERE).

The latest COT-signals are bullish for SPX and silver, but bearish for NDX and natural gas, while copper goes to cash after two weeks bearish, and the 30-year Treasury bond goes bearish (HERE).

www.chartsedge.com

www.alphee.com

www.astrocycle.net

STD Red Week (July 9-13)

STD Red Weeks are trenders from Tuesday open to Friday open.  Monday and Friday often reverse the Tuesday - Thursday trend. So this STD Red Week's pattern should be

• down into Tuesday AM around 11:00 - 13:00
• reversing Monday's loss by rising up from the Tuesday low into Thursday 10:00 +/- 1 hour.

In case one is short, don't hold longer than Tuesday open, maybe close out near the close on Monday.  If a convincing move, reverse the trade some time Tuesday.  

The bias of the S&P 500 in the Election Year Seasonal Chart is up.

US stock indices are expected to rise into July 18 (Wed). 

2012-07-17 02:57 (Tue) = VEN 45° URA [helio]
2012-07-17 06:13 (Tue) = MER 60° NEP [helio]
2012-07-17 07:42 (Tue) = MAR 120° JUP = Level 2
2012-07-17 14:59 (Tue) = MAR 90° PLU  = Level 2
2012-07-18 00:00 (Wed) = New Moon
2012-07-18 21:36 (Wed) = MAR 180° URA = Level 1
2012-07-18 18:34 (Wed) = MER 90° URA [helio]
2012-07-18 18:36 (Wed) = VEN 45° PLU [helio]
2012-07-19 16:33 (Thu) = MER 0° PLU [helio]

More info on the Mars-Uranus Crash Cycle HERE + HERE

www.chartsedge.com

www.alphee.com

www.cyclelt.com

www.danericselliottwaves.blogspot.com

"The uptrend has progressed from SPX 1267 to 1363, Minor wave 1. Then pulled back to SPX 1309/10/13, Minor wave 2. The recent rally to SPX 1375 looks like Minute wave i, with friday’s 1348 low Minute wave ii of Minor 3. While a further pullback for Minute ii is possible we think it’s unlikely at this time since the market did get quite oversold. Once the SPX clears the 1358 level we believe the uptrend should resume to new highs. ... Short term support is at the SPX 1342/47 area and then 1334/38. Overhead resistance is at the 1363 and 1372 pivots. Short term momentum hit quite oversold on friday before rebounding toward neutral. The short term OEW charts remain positive with the swing point still around SPX 1350." [www.caldaro.wordpress.com]

www.ttheory.com

www.astrocycle.net

STD Blue Week (July 2-6)

STD Blue Days are usually choppy and tricky to trade, and STD Blue Weeks are very much the same. Statistically look back, STD Blue Days and STD Blue Weeks are when you'll loose more trades. STD Red and Green days and weeks are much better for trends to work. You may wan't to take advantage of the 4th of July-holiday and go fishing this week. 

Monday - Tuesday, July 2-3, may turn out similar or inverse to Thursday - Friday of last week. Also compare past Blue Week patterns, especially 4 weeks and 4 lunations back.

The current COT-signal is bullish and so is the VIX (see below). 

July 3 is Full Moon; tidal CITs are June 29, July 4 and July 12. On the 4th of July the Earth will be farthest from the Sun (Aphelion).

2012-07-02 (Mon) = Moon @ Max S-Declination
2012-07-02 (Mon) = VEN 120° JUP [helio]
2012-07-03 (Tue) = Full Moon
2012-07-03 (Tue) = VEN 90° SAT [helio]
2012-07-04 (Wed) = Earth @ Aphelion
2012-07-05 (Thu) = MER 180° JUP [helio]
2012-07-06 (Fri) = MER 90° NEP [helio]
2012-07-07 (Sat) = VEN 60° URA [helio]
2012-07-07 (Sat) = MER 120° URA [helio]

www.chartsedge.com

www.alphee.com

STD Yellow Week (June 25-29)

This coming week will be a Short-Term-Delta Yellow Week with a yellow Monday and a yellow Friday. Last Friday, June 23rd, the SPX closed near the day's high and we expect the STD-pattern to continue without inversion. Then this week should be tracing out some sort of a choppy W-shape. And according to the STD-Theory Monday-Tuesday should repeat last Thursday-Friday:

DOWN from a Monday (June 25) morning HIGH (high of the week) into the close of Tuesday June 26 (low of the week).    

This pattern makes sense even more since last Friday was a NR7-day (see HERE). However, other cycle projections suggest that the week's pattern would be as follows (see HERE + HERE + Mike Korell's ChartEdge-forecast below):

chopping up into the week's HIGH on Tuesday June 26, from there hard down into the low of the week on Wednesday June 27, a turn day

The Weekly Pivot-Point and Support-Resistance-Levels for the E-mini S&P 500 September are: 

R3 1,352.75
R2 1,344.25
R1 1,340.50
PP 1,335.75
S1 1,332.00
S2 1,327.25
S3 1,318.75
S4 1,310.25

STD Blue- and STD Yellow-days and -weeks are choppy and reportedly hard to trade, and some ST- traders recommend to go fishing instead. This notion is supported by the forthcoming Astro-Events suggesting potential CITs for almost every day:

2012-06-23-26 (Sat-Tue) = Tidal CIT
2012-06-25 01:42 (Mon) = SAT (D) = Merriman Level 1 - Turnday
2012-06-25 02:25 (Mon) = JUP 90° NEP = Merriman Level 1 - Turnday
2012-06-27 00:00 (Wed) = MAR 90° Galactic Center
2012-06-27 10:05 (Wed) = VEN (D) = Level 1 = Merriman Level 1 - Turnday
2012-06-28-29 (Thu-Fri) = Tidal CITs
2012-06-29 00:00 (Fri) = AI-CIT - Value = 7
2012-06-29 09:44 (Fri) = SUN 180° PLU = Merriman Level 3 - Turnday
2012-06-29 15:00 (Fri) = SUN 90° URA  = Merriman Level 1 - Turnday

www.chartsedge.com

www.alpheefinance.com

Tony Caldaro's Weekend Update (June 23, 2012) 

www.caldaro.wordpress.com

The recent rally from SPX 1267 to 1363 started off impulsively as it was unfolding. We were expecting the rally to reach either the 1363 or 1372 pivots in a five wave sequence ahead of the FOMC meeting. The pattern, unfortunately, looked like three waves on tuesday as the FOMC began. After tuesday’s high, and wednesday’s volatility, the market sold off on thursday to SPX 1324. This selloff overlapped the first rally from SPX 1267 to 1329/36. This made the entire June rally look corrective. As a result we have labeled the SPX 1267 low as a wave A, and the recent rally as a wave B. The most probable scenario suggests a wave C is underway to either retest the June lows or make a lower low in early July.

Dan Eric's Elliott Wave Update (22 June 2012)
www.danericselliottwaves.blogspot.com 

It would be ideal for the wave structure if Monday made a quick lower low beneath Thursday's low prior to any retrace into 1346 - the bottom of wave i. This would complete a small 5 wave pattern down from the recent rally high peak of 1363.46.

Delta Update

www.time-price-research-astrofin.blogspot.com

Tidal CITs @ Willets Point [NYC] 
2012-04-18-19 (Wed-Thu)
2012-04-27-29 (Fri-Sun)
2012-05-07 (Mon)
2012-05-13-14 (Sun-Mon)
2012-05-18 (Fri)
2012-05-21-22 (Mon-Tue)
2012-05-24-25 (Thu-Fri)
2012-05-29 (Tue)
2012-06-05 (Tue)
2012-06-13-14 (Wed-Thu)
2012-06-16 (Sat)
2012-06-23-26 (Sat-Tue)
2012-06-28-29 (Thu-Fri)
2012-07-04 (Wed)
2012-07-12-13 (Thu-Fri)
2012-07-22-23 (Sun-Mon)
2012-07-28 (Sat)
2012-08-02 (Thu)
 
www.time-price-research-astrofin.blogspot.com

Intermediate-Term Delta-Count (ITD):
2012-04-02 (Mon) = ITD #(9) = HIGH = MTD #10 = LTD #7 = SLTD #3 ?
2012-04-23 (Mon) = ITD #(11) = LOW = MTD #11 = LTD #8
2012-05-01 (Tue) = ITD #(11 x) = HIGH = MTD #12 ?
2012-05-04 (Fri) = ITD #(11 y) = LOW
2012-05-07 (Mon) = ITD #1 HIGH = MTD #12 ?
2012-05-18 (Fri) = ITD #(1) = LOW
2012-05-29 (Tue) = ITD #2 HIGH
2012-06-04 (Mon) = ITD #3 LOW = MTD #1 ? = LTD#8 ? = SLTD #4 ?
2012-06-11 (Mon) = ITD #4 HIGH [+/- 2 TD]
2012-06-18 (Mon) = ITD #5 LOW [+/- 2 TD] = MTD #1 ? = LTD#8 ? = SLTD #4 ?
2012-06-29 (Tue) = ITD #6 HIGH [+/- 2 TD] = MTD #2 ?
2012-07-09 (Mon) = ITD #7 LOW [+/- 2 TD]
2012-07-23 (Mon) = ITD #8 HIGH [+/- 2 TD] = MTD #2 ? = SLTD #3 ?
2012-08-01 (Wed) = ITD #9 LOW [+/- 2 TD]
2012-08-06 (Mon) = ITD #10 HIGH [+/- 2 TD] = MTD #2 ? = SLTD #3 ?

Astro-Events, Tides & Delta combined: 
2012-06-10 (Sun) = AI 9
2012-06-10 06:55 (Sun) = MAR 0 SAT [helio]
2012-06-10 21:49 (Sun) = MER 180 NEP [helio]
2012-06-11 05:41 (Mon) = Third Lunar Quarter
2012-06-11 (Mon) = ITD #4 HIGH ?
2012-06-12 (Tue) = Bradley CIT [geo & helio]
2012-06-12 (Tue) = CIT of (Decl MER+MAR-VEN) = MWW-CIT
2012-06-13 (Wed) = Tidal CIT
2012-06-13 (Wed) = AI 0
2012-06-13 07:03 (Wed) = SUN 120 SAT = Level 2
2012-06-15 20:43 (Fri) = Moon @ Apogee
2012-06-16 (Sat) = Tidal CIT
2012-06-16 21:05 (Sat) = MER @ 178 [helio] = MWW-CIT
2012-06-17 00:00 (Sun) = SUN 180 Galactic Center
2012-06-18 18:20 (Mon) = MER 180 URA [helio]
2012-06-18 (Mon) = ITD #5 LOW [+/- 2 TD] = MTD #1 ? = LTD#8 ? = SLTD #4 ?
2012-06-19 10:02 (Tue) = New Moon
2012-06-20 18:08 (Wed) = Summer Solstice
2012-06-20 05:18 (Wed) = VEN 0 PLU [helio]

NOTE: Robert Hitt suggests the low of next week as early as late Wednesday "at a level that would generate fear but NOT a low below June 4th" [ www.astroecon.com ]. This would then become ITD #5 LOW and determine June 4th as ITD #3 LOW = MTD #1 + LTD#8 + SLTD # (see above chart). 

www.marketanthropology.com

www.ChartLinesTrading.com

www.alphee.com 

 

www.mrci.com

www.ccstrade.com 

 

See also HERE.