September Stock Market Performance in Midterm Election Years | Jeff Hirsch

Since 1950, September has historically delivered bearish stock market performance across major indexes, with all-year averages dropping 0.6% to 0.8% by month-end. Midterm-election years significantly amplify this weakness through four-phases: 

 

► Sep 1–8 (Tue–Tue) = Trading Days 1–5: Sideways-to-up / modestly higher. Most midterm series (especially Russell 2000 and DJIA) rise, with several peaking near +0.5% to +1.0%.
► Sep 9–17 (Wed–Thu) = TD 6–12: Sideways to mildly fading. Early gains are largely held or only slowly given back. S&P 500 midterm often remains the strongest (still near its peak), while NASDAQ and Russell lines begin drifting lower.
► Sep 18–25 (Fri–Fri) = TD 13–18: Steady decline. The mid-month advantage disappears; indices trend lower and most move into negative territory.
► Sep 28–30 (Mon–Wed) = TD 19–21: Accelerating sell-off / sharp weakness. Losses deepen, particularly in NASDAQ and Russell 1000 (historically finishing around –1.6% to –1.8%). Russell 2000 also shows a late plunge.

Reference:

Jeffrey A. Hirsch (September 1, 2026) - September Seasonality: Weakness Intensifies in Midterm Years.

 

See also:

Jeffrey A. Hirsch (June 25, 2026) - July Stock Market Performance in Midterm Election Years.

Hurst Cycles Update: SPX, NDX, ASX, Gold, Bitcoin | David Hickson

S&P 500: A 20-week trough formed July 29. Bullish momentum has weakened but is not yet bearish; the key question is whether another 40-/80-day peak forms before an F-category break below the 20-day FLD initiates the decline into the mid-September 80-day trough.

 

NASDAQ: A 20-week trough formed at the end of July, at least 20-week magnitude and potentially higher. The NASDAQ retains stronger near-term bullish potential than the S&P 500, with 30,239 still outstanding and a possible double peak preceding the eventual F-category decline into the 80-day trough.

 

Australian ASX: A 20-week trough formed around the US troughs, but the 20-day FLD has produced unclear signals and the trough did not clearly form below it. A 40-day trough probably formed in the third week of August, although an alternative remains. The ASX is likely approaching its second 80-day peak, but its FLD is unusually unreliable (23% interaction rating), while failure to reach 9,237 provides a stronger bearish warning than in the US markets.

 

 

Gold: A 20-week trough formed in the third week of July. Gold's bullish impetus may have been exhausted at its recent 80-day/possible 20-week peak; the confirmed F-category FLD break favors approximately $4,312 and a mid-September 80-day trough, although larger bullish cycles may remain ahead.

 

 

 
Bitcoin: Bitcoin has finally rallied from the potentially January 2026 18-month trough. A 20-week trough was identified in early July, although it could also represent a better placement of the 18-month trough. Bitcoin has finally produced the expected bullish strength; the 76,753 40-week FLD target has been exceeded, while the 20-day FLD will determine whether the 80-day trough occurred early or remains ahead.

 

 

Reference:

David Hickson (August 31, 2026) - Hurst Cycles Market Update. (video) 

Captain Obvious of the Euro-Titanic | Laura Ru

On August 27, at a business forum in Paris, Führerin Ursula von der Leyen stated the obvious: the former advantages of the European economy have all disappeared. The European economic model, she explained, had rested on several pillars: cheap imported energy from Russia, open global trade, growing access to the Chinese market, US strategic protection, and Western technological leadership.

Clearly batting for a team demanding Europe throw itself off the cliff.

 

What von der Leyen chose not to mention was that these advantages did not disappear by accident. They were systematically destroyed by the very institution she leads, through sanctions that severed energy and economic ties with Russia, a trade war against China, and regulatory overreach that suffocated European industry.

Russian officials have watched Europe's self-inflicted wounds with a mixture of bewilderment and dark amusement. Maria Zakharova, the official spokesperson for Russia's Foreign Ministry, responded to von der Leyen's confession with a single, devastating epithet: "Captain Obvious of the Euro-Titanic." From Beijing, the critique is no less damning. Chinese analysts have watched Europe's protectionist turn with growing frustration, arguing that the EU is destroying the very thing it claims to protect: its own industrial competitiveness.

The EU's share of global GDP has plummeted from 30% in 2008 to just 17% in 2025—a decline three times faster than that of China's Qing Dynasty during its collapse. And as one Chinese commentator put it, while the Qing fell to foreign invasion, Europe's decline is "self-inflicted, purely something Europe has brought upon itself."

It is, in the words of one Chinese analyst, "locking protectionism directly into its economic and trade policy system." European decision-makers, Chinese commentators argue, have lost touch with basic economic reality. They are absolutely right. This is a systemic crisis that permeates Europe's decision-making circles. Both Moscow and Beijing see the same tragic irony. Europe has spent years lecturing the world about rules and order, about strategic autonomy and economic resilience. Yet in its rush to punish Russia and contain China, it has torn down the very foundations of its own prosperity.

In Paris, the Führerin zeroed in on Europe's €10 trillion in household bank deposits, branding them "lazy" (paresseuse) capital that must be forced "to the service of European companies" through her Savings and Investment Union. Explicit plan: securitize them, supervise them. Coming for your savings, Europe.

Europe's energy prices are now two to three times higher than in the US and China. Its industrial base, once the envy of the world, is bleeding jobs and capacity. Its share of global markets continues to shrink. And its leaders, having created the crisis with their own hands, can only stand by and admit that the old model is gone. They are clearly batting for another team, one that demands Europe throw itself off the cliff.

 

Reference:
Laura Ru (August 30, 2026) - Europe's Self-Inflicted Collapse.  

Laura Ru (pen name of Laura Ruggeri) is a Milan-born Italian independent researcher, writer, and geopolitical analyst based in Hong Kong since 1997. A former academic in media and cultural studies, she focuses on multipolarity, international relations, US foreign policy, China–EU relations, and European political economy. She publishes long-form essays and commentary on  Substack, Medium, and Telegram.

See also:
Lawrence Wilkerson (August 28, 2026) - CIA, MI6, and Mossad Own Europe's Political Class.

The $70k Gold Target Has a Date: Late 2050s | Branimir Vojcic

Inflation-adjusted monthly gold since 1970 shows three dominant long-term cycles: 55, 91, and 179 months. Multi-decade peaks in real gold form only when all three crest together.

 

That alignment has occurred three times since 1970, each marking a major historical top: January 1980 at $2,875, August 2011 at $2,699, and February 2026 at $5,492. The latest window ran from April 2025 to June 2026; real gold printed an all-time high 88% above the 1980 peak.

 

The next synchronicity does not return until the second half of the 2050s. Technicals still allow a much higher target at that date. Gold is rising inside a century-long trend channel whose upper rail capped the 1930s and 1980s highs. In Elliott terms it is subdividing through Cycle-degree Wave 5. Standard Fibonacci relationships put Wave 5 in the $18,000–$26,000 zone, which the upper channel reaches in the 2040s. A classic commodity-style fifth-wave extension would take gold near $70,000—the same upper-rail level the 55-, 91-, and 179-month cycles hit when they next peak together in the late 2050s.

 

Reference:
Branimir Vojcic (August 31, 2026) - Next Multi-Decade Gold Peak. When? At What Level? (video)

S&P 500 vs. Jupiter–Saturn Cycle | September 2026

Derived from M.A. Vukcevic's solar-activity formula linking heliocentric Jupiter–Saturn sidereal orbits to model the sunspot cycle, the concept applied below utilizes a proprietary harmonic to project S&P 500 market swings.

With no consistent polarity or directional bias, the blue Jupiter–Saturn curve inflects within a 1-to-12-day window and swings ≥ 7 days are bisected (blue squares) to optimize short-term  correlation. Previous examples [HERE].

Cosmic Cluster Days | September 2026

Heliocentric Cosmic Cluster Days (CCDs) do not exhibit a consistent polarity or directional bias in financial markets. The 'noise channel' functions as a signal filter, with its upper and lower bounds defined empirically. However, swing highs and lows that form within the noise channel may still correlate with short-term market trends and reversals.

 

  Cosmic Cluster Days  |   Composite Line  |  Noise Channel

   

Aug 30 (Mon) | Sep 07 (Mon) |Sep 10 (Thu) | Sep 16 (Wed) | Sep 21 (Mon) | Sep 25 (Fri) Oct 04 (Sun)

  For previous CCDs, click [HERE]. For background on the concept, click [HERE].

Astrological Decans, Tarot and Stock Market Cycles | Olga Morales

Financial markets react to shifts in collective mood—moving between optimism and pessimism, hope and fear, or confidence and panic. Australian financial astrologer Olga Morales explores how these emotional states manifest in market movements through astrological decans, Tarot symbolism, and planetary rhythms. Building on the foundational work of W.D. Gann (1878 – 1955) and Muriel Bruce Hasbrouck (1890 – 1981), her framework treats price patterns as direct expressions of collective human sentiment.

  

S&P 500 (daily candles). Mars decans: sharp reversals and volatility; Saturn decans: major market lows.

A decan is a 10-degree subdivision of a 30-degree zodiac sign—creating 36 segments across the 360-degree zodiac starting at 0° Aries (defined by the spring equinox in the tropical zodiac)—each traditionally assigned a specific planetary ruler. Morales suggests that market turning points and periods of heightened volatility often correspond with the Sun or other planets moving through particular decans: Mars-ruled decans are frequently associated with sharp reversals and increased volatility, while Saturn-ruled decans often coincide with significant market lows.

The five Decans ruled by Mars: Aries Decan 1 (0°–10° Aries), Gemini Decan 2 (10°–20° Gemini), Leo Decan 3 (20°–30° Leo), Scorpio Decan 1 (0°–10° Scorpio), Capricorn Decan 2 (10°–20° Capricorn), and Pisces Decan 3 (20°–30° Pisces). The 36 Decans Chaldean Order ranks the seven traditional planets by geocentric orbital speed (°/day) from slowest to fastest: Saturn, Jupiter, Mars, Sun, Venus, Mercury, and Moon. Initiating at 0° Aries under the ruler Mars, this seven-planet sequence repeats continuously across the 36 decans, concluding the zodiac wheel at 30° Pisces under Mars, which creates the consecutive double-Mars rule at the Pisces-Aries nexus. 

Decans and the Tarot's Minor Arcana

Drawing from the occult teachings of the Hermetic Order of the Golden Dawn, Muriel Hasbrouck demonstrated in her 1941 book, "Pursuit of Destiny" (later republished/retitled as "Tarot and Astrology"), that major market trend shifts consistently align with planetary entries into new decans. Her six-year study revealed that approximately 75% of market trend changes occurred within 24 hours of a decan boundary transition. Beyond financial markets, Hasbrouck applied this predictive framework to seismic activity, forecasting major earthquakes to a degree that occasionally drew government censorship. 

 

Following the Hasbrouck system, Morales assigns each decan a corresponding card from the Tarot's Minor Arcana. The cards are organized according to the four elements: Wands correspond to the fire signs Aries, Leo, and Sagittarius; Pentacles to the earth signs Taurus, Virgo, and Capricorn; Swords to the air signs Gemini, Libra, and Aquarius; and Cups to the water signs Cancer, Scorpio, and Pisces.

 

Psychological Interpretation of Market Behavior

By analyzing market indices like the S&P 500, individual Tarot cards provide a psychological interpretation of specific transits:

► Mars-Ruled Decans: Associated with heightened volatility, sharp reversals, and conflict. Specific transits reflect distinct behavioral states—for instance, the Sun moving through Mars-ruled Gemini (9 of Swords) corresponds to market panic and despair, while its transit through Scorpio (5 of Cups) reflects downturns driven by a loss of pleasure and sentiment.
► Saturn-Ruled Decans: Coincide with market bottoming phases, consolidation, and major cyclical lows.

► Sun-Ruled Decans: Produce strong bullish momentum, particularly when the Sun transits its sign of exaltation in Aries. 

Upcoming planetary and solar 10° decan ingresses and retrograde

re-entries (ET). Sun-, Mars-, and Saturn-ruled decans are shaded yellow. 

Fast planets trigger short-term volatility; slow outer planets dictate macro trends.

Mars decans tend to trigger volatility reversals, whereas Saturn decans mark lows.

 

Applications for Traders

While initial observations often focus on the Sun's transit through the 36 decans (see first chart above), Morales's framework applies to all planetary bodies (see table above). Fast-moving inner planets (Mercury, Venus, Earth, Mars) trigger short-term volatility bursts, whereas slow-moving outer planets (Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune, Pluto) dictate multi-month macro trends as they pass through 10-degree sectors. Morales encourages traders to experiment with these planetary rhythms rather than accept them passively. It might be worth comparing tropical decan results against those of the Sidereal zodiac—used in Vedic astrology and astronomical observation—where 0° Aries is anchored to fixed star constellations rather than the equinox.

 

Reference:
Olga Morales (August 29, 2026) - Can the Astrological Decans Reveal Market Turning Points? (video)

Olga Morales (2024) - The Astrological Decans, Tarot and Stock Market Cycles. 

 

» Adding the mathematical components completes Olga Morales’s decan model. The chart above maps a S&P 500 volatility model against the Sun's decan positions, with the solid red line representing volatility—not trend. «

See also:
Sergey Tarassov (August 30, 2026) - Olga Morales's Sun Decans Volatility Model. 

Muriel Bruce Hasbrouck (1941) - Tarot and Astrology: The Pursuit of Destiny.
TPR (2026) - Space-Time Forecasting of Economic Trends: Muriel and Louis Hasbrouck.

Sunspots Predict US Yield Curve Peak by Mid-2027 | Tom McClellan

The yield curve—measured here using the 10-Year US Treasury Note minus the 1-Year US Treasury Bill—has been steepening since reaching maximum inversion in June 2023, signaling healthier economic growth. Yield curve steepening occurs when long-term rates rise relative to short-term rates, driven by increases at the long end, cuts at the short end, or a mix of both.

► 3-Year Solar Lag: Solar activity cycles peak and bottom roughly 3 years before matching inflections appear in the 10y-1y US Treasury spread.
► Historical Baseline: The maximum yield curve inversion point recorded in June 2023 occurred exactly 3 years after the solar minimum in 2020.
► 2027 Steepening Peak: With Solar Cycle 25 having reached its maximum around July/August 2024, the 3-year lag model projects the current steepening phase to reach its climax around mid-2027.
► Post-2027 Outlook: Beyond the mid-2027 peak, the cyclical relationship points toward a renewed flattening phase as long-term and short-term yields begin converging back toward inversion.

Historically, changes in monthly sunspot activity lead the 10y-1y yield spread by roughly three years. While geopolitical shocks like the 1973–74 Arab Oil Embargo, the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, and the COVID-19 pandemic temporarily disrupt this correlation, the historical pattern consistently re-establishes itself once the crisis passes. For instance, the June 2023 yield curve inversion bottomed precisely three years after the 2020 sunspot minimum. Following the July 2024 peak in sunspot activity, this three-year lag projects a climax in yield curve steepening around July 2027. Beyond mid-2027, the pattern suggests the yield curve will begin flattening as short-term and long-term rates converge.

Reference:
Tom McClellan (August 27, 2026) - Sunspots and the Yield Curve.

See also: 

Vladimir Belkin (2026) - Federal Funds Rates and Solar Activity: Projection through 2031.

TPR (August 26, 2026) - US Treasury Secretary Bessent: "Sanctions Could Disrupt Global Finance!" 

CIA, MI6, and Mossad Own Europe's Political Class | Col. Lawrence Wilkerson

I take a grim satisfaction from knowing exactly what we did. I know how painstakingly the CIA, MI6 (SIS), and to a certain extent Mossad worked to shape today's Europe. Though Mossad was not initially a willing partner, they eventually joined in once they saw the money involved. To borrow a phrase from certain Asian scholars, we "taught the dogs to bark." 

 

» We bought entire countries' political apparatuses. «

 

We bought newspaper editors, labor union heads, and parliamentarians. We purchased two NATO Secretary-Generals—Jens Stoltenberg and Mark Rutte. We bought entire countries' political apparatuses, starting in earnest around 2002, when billions of CIA dollars began flowing. USAID was the instrument; we weaponized liberal democracy.
 

2022: Biden, with Reich Governor Scholz at his side, promised to

terminate Nord Stream 2. And the perfect lackey just kowtowed.

In that respect, I supported what Trump and Rubio did to the extent that they purged the lower-level operatives who executed these policies—though I did not support their removal of top bureaucrats. But we created the Europe that exists today, on purpose. And now we are paying the piper. It will take another six to eighteen months to root out many of these figures, and God knows how long to cleanse the parliaments. We painstakingly crafted Europe in our own image.

From Anti‑War to Neo‑Con

I recall the anti-war fervor of 2003, when the US invasion of Iraq was seen as outrageous, aggressive, and counterproductive across Europe. The hawks—figures like Colin Powell and Dick Cheney—were despised and ridiculed. Those days are gone. Today's European leaders are indistinguishable from the US neoconservatives of that era. The reaction to George W. Bush back then was a call to battle for that administration, and they set all this in motion.

1965: Humberto Delgado, Portuguese Air Force General, prominent opposition leader against the Estado

Novo dictatorship of António de Oliveira Salazar; assassinated by NATO/CIA/MI6 stay-behind operatives.

 

 

1978: Aldo Moro, leader of the Christian Democracy party, Prime Minister of Italy, and chief architect

of the "Historic Compromise", a coalition government that would bring the  Communist Party (PCI)

into the ruling cabinet; assassinated by NATO/CIA/MI6 stay-behind operatives.

 

1986: Olof Palme, Swedish Prime Minister, leader of the Social Democratic Party, staunch promoter

of the welfare state and Third World liberation movements, condemned the US war in Vietnam and

the apartheid regime in South Africa; assassinated by NATO/CIA/MI6/Mossad stay-behind operatives.

1989: Alfred Herrhausen, Chairman of Deutsche Bank, visionary leader, active promoter of

German-Russian economic relations, and highly influential advisor to Chancellor Helmut Kohl; 

assassinated by NATO/CIA/MI6/Mossad stay-behind operatives. 

  

1991: Detlev Karsten Rohwedder, president of the Treuhandanstalt, the German government agency

tasked with privatizing East German state-owned enterprises, was considered insufficiently flexible

toward certain foreign demands; assassinated by NATO/CIA/MI6/Mossad stay-behind operatives.

 

2003: Jürgen Möllemann, prominent German politician from the Free Democratic Party,

 president of the German-Arab Society, outspoken critic of Israel and promoter of the

Palestinian cause; assassinated by NATO/CIA/MI6/Mossad stay-behind operatives. 

 

2008: Jörg Haider, Austrian right-wing populist politician, governor of Carinthia and

harsh anti-Zionist; assassinated by NATO/CIA/MI6/Mossad stay-behind operatives.

 

Et cetera et cetera et cetera:

 murder, slaughter, genocide: children, women, heads of state; terrorism; intimidation; weapon, drug, organ, 

child trafficking; well poisoning; pedophilia; hijacking; torturing; counterfeiting; looting; piracy; bribery...

 

Forging the CIA

The CIA had never before operated on such a scale. Harry Truman greatly objected to the agency's formation, initially, but he was eventually sold out by William "Wild Bill" Donovan and J. Edgar Hoover—despite Hoover's hatred for Donovan. It is a strange history, but the agency bought this new mission lock, stock, and barrel because it knew billions would pour its way. And indeed they did. They set about changing the European attitude. When the largest anti-war rally in British—and possibly European—history erupted in London in 2003, we did not like that at all. We set out to reverse it.

» NATO's purpose is: Keep the Russians out, the Americans in, and the Germans down. «
Lord General Hastings Lionel Ismay, 1st Baron Ismay, NATO's first Secretary General, 1952.

1952: Stalin proposed reunifying Germany as a demilitarized, neutral state. Chancellor Adenauer rejected it as "Soviet ruse," prioritizing West Germany's US/British/French occupation regime
over national sovereignty and unity; remained in power and lived to 91. 

Cultivating Stoltenberg

How close was I to this? I was up close and personal in getting Jens Stoltenberg to his position. We saw what he did within his own government, recognized how malleable and susceptible he was to our messaging, and used him as a center pole from which to extend our influence into other governments. He was willing because he knew we had promised him the NATO Secretary-General post. I did not see the infection of the EU up close, but I am sure it followed chapter and verse alongside our manipulation of NATO leadership.

 

» We purchased two NATO Secretary-Generals. « 

 

NATO's Top‑Heavy Bloat

That effort was not difficult. You must understand the history of NATO's top-heavy flag structure. Every time we built a headquarters and placed a three- or four-star general there, the Europeans felt compelled to match us. We built this incredible overhead of flag officers—Navy, Air Force, Marine Corps—across Europe, and they were so influenceable that all you had to do was whisper in their ear. Suddenly, you had this pliant NATO military leadership doing your bidding. The CIA merely had to whisper about Russia, building up the threat as needed.

» We taught the dogs to bark. « 

Russophobia as Propaganda

This Russophobia began early—with Boris Yeltsin's disappearance and Vladimir Putin's arrival on the scene. That is when we started using fear of Russia as a propaganda instrument. In the Dutch media, it was exposed that Mark Rutte, while Prime Minister, would excuse Israeli actions and adopt extra-hawkish positions on Russia and Yemen, all to look good on his job application for NATO. They knew exactly what the Americans would reward.

Since 1871, the US/Anglo prime geopolitical doctrine for Europe:
"Keep Germany and Russia separate and in conflict."
[Or, as Victoria Nuland put it in 2014: "Fuck the EU!"]

 

2026: Pete Blaber, former US Delta Force Commander, on the truth

about the NATO/CIA/MI6/Mossad war against Russia in Ukraine.

  

Weaponizing Historical Guilt

We were also acutely aware—particularly in Germany, but elsewhere too—of how deeply the Holocaust lingered over European consciousness. With Mossad's assistance, we exploited that guilt to the maximum. This is why Germany has the laws and regulations it does regarding anti-Semitism today; we helped build them.

 

Reference: 

Lawrence Wilkerson (August 19, 2026) - Buying Europe's Political Class. (video)

 

» They lose their jobs if there is peace. «  

Colonel Lawrence B. Wilkerson (b. 1945) is a retired US Army colonel and former senior government official. A 31-year Army and Vietnam veteran, he became closely associated with Colin Powell in 1989, serving as his assistant as Powell completed his tenure as President Reagan’s National Security Advisor. Wilkerson remained with Powell through his tenure as Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, into civilian life, and, when Powell became Secretary of State under George W. Bush, as his Chief of Staff from 2002 to 2005. He later became a prominent critic of the Iraq War, expressing particular regret over his role in preparing Powell's infamous 2003 UN Security Council presentation on Iraq's alleged weaponized anthrax. Since retiring in 2005, Wilkerson has held academic posts at the US Naval War College and College of William and Mary. He is a fellow of the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft and a member of Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity, and regularly comments on US foreign policy, the Middle East, and national security.