Tuesday, January 8, 2013
S&P500 vs 118 CD Cycle
Labels:
118 Day Cyle,
AstroFin,
Delta,
DJI,
ITD,
Lunar Cycle,
SPX
Sunday, January 6, 2013
SPX vs George Bayer's Rule #4A - Mercury 80 Years Ago
We use the geocentric ephemeris, concentrate only on Mercury as it passes through the Zodiac. We mark each day when this planet enters a new sign 80 years ago, i.e. when it arrives at 0 degrees. We also mark those days in which Mercury turns retrograde or direct ... These dates are to be carried over ... exactly 80 years further according to the Sun’s motion and not according to Mercury’s motion ... Each and every one of these positions gave 80 years later tops and bottoms not of a few points but of from 50 to 200 points in hides.[George Bayer (1940): Stock and Commodity Traders´ Hand-Book of Trend Determination. Carmel, California; p. 47]
2012-10-13 10:40 (Sat) = MER into Scorpio 80 Years ago
2012-11-02 15:28 (Fri) = MER into Sagittarius 80 Years ago
2012-11-24 11:23 (Sat) = MER (R) 80 Years ago
2012-12-14 06:11 (Fri) = MER (D) 80 Years ago
2013-01-08 05:23 (Tue) = MER into Capricorn 80 Years ago
2013-01-27 17:38 (Sun) = MER into Aquarius 80 Years ago
2013-02-14 00:05 (Thu) = MER into Pisces 80 Years ago
2013-03-03 05:54 (Sun) = MER into Aries 80 Years ago
2013-03-13 14:48 (Wed) = MER (R) 80 Years ago
2013-03-25 16:55 (Mon) = MER into Pisces 80 Years ago
2013-04-05 18:39 (Fri) = MER (D) 80 Years ago
2013-04-17 10:26 (Wed) = MER into Aries 80 Years ago
Labels:
80 Year Cycle,
AstroFin,
DJI,
George Bayer,
George Bayer Rule #4A,
Mercury,
SPX,
US-Stocks
Saturday, December 29, 2012
Update - 45 Year Cycle
1967 = Daily High - Low Band |
1967 = End of Day Close |
1967 = End of Day Close |
Full Moon 1967 = New Moon 2012 |
Thursday, December 27, 2012
SPX vs George Bayer's Rule #38 - Latitude of Mercury
MERCURY LATITUDE HELIOCENTRIC[George Bayer (1940): Stock and Commodity Traders´ Hand-Book of Trend Determination. Carmel, California; p. 41]
In the present rule we shall use the heliocentric Latitude of Mercury ... There are four values in this line which bring forth changes of trend. These values are: 0°00', 3°21, 6°42, and 7°00’. The inside values are effective on either side, on the way up also on the way down. Some mighty fine tops and bottoms are produced when Mercury in this motion passes the above mentioned degrees.
2012-12-04 11:39 (Tue) MER Lat = 6°42'
2012-12-15 12:07 (Sat) MER Lat = 3°21'
2012-12-24 13:10 (Mon) MER Lat = 0
2013-01-03 17:08 (Thu) MER Lat = -3°21'
2013-01-19 02:39 (Sat) MER Lat = -6°42'
2013-01-24 03:54 (Thu) MER Lat = -7°00'
2013-01-28 15:41 (Mon) MER Lat = -6°42'
2013-02-07 05:49 (Thu) MER Lat = -3°21'
2013-02-12 05:28 (Tue) MER Lat = 0
2013-02-16 19:32 (Sat) MER Lat = 3°21'
2013-02-24 01:29 (Sun) MER Lat = 6°42'
2013-02-27 02:56 (Wed) MER Lat = 7°00'
2013-03-02 10:57 (Sat) MER Lat = 6°42'
2013-03-13 12:23 (Wed) MER Lat = 3°21'
Labels:
AstroFin,
DJI,
George Bayer,
George Bayer Rule #38,
Latitude,
Mercury,
SPX
Wednesday, December 26, 2012
SPX vs George Bayer's Rule #6A - Declination of Mars
MARS DECLINATION HELIOCENTRIC, 19°51’00” *
From the Nautical Almanac, page 191 up we find the apparent Declination of Mars. We use in this only the value 19°51’. We locate these days ahead of time and expect tops and bottoms to appear there ... These cases happen twice or three times a year.
[George Bayer (1940): Stock and Commodity Traders´ Hand-Book of Trend Determination. Carmel, California; p. 47]
HERE |
2012-11-17 16:17 (Sat) MAR Dec @ Extr Min
2013-01-02 15:15 (Wed) MAR Dec = -19.850 degrees
2013-03-14 06:51 (Thu) MAR Dec = 0
2013-05-29 02:18 (Wed) MAR Dec = 19.850 degrees
2013-07-16 07:16 (Tue) MAR Dec @ Extr Max
2013-09-05 21:31 (Thu) MAR Dec = 19.850 degrees
2013-12-16 20:50 (Mon) MAR Dec = 0
2014-02-27 23:45 (Thu) MAR Dec @ Min
Labels:
AstroFin,
Declination,
DJI,
George Bayer,
George Bayer Rule #6A,
Mars,
SPX
S&P500 vs Jupiter-Mars Cycle
Calculated and charted with Sergey Tarassov's Timing Solution.
|
04.06.2012 02:21 = JUP 150 MAR
12.07.2012 12:47 = JUP 165 MAR
17.08.2012 08:59 = JUP 180 MAR
19.09.2012 17:41 = JUP 195 MAR
20.10.2012 22:50 = JUP 210 MAR
19.11.2012 10:08 = JUP 225 MAR
17.12.2012 17:29 = JUP 240 MAR
14.01.2013 08:05 = JUP 255 MAR
10.02.2013 18:05 = JUP 270 MAR
10.03.2013 12:35 = JUP 285 MAR
08.04.2013 01:32 = JUP 300 MAR
07.05.2013 21:38 = JUP 315 MAR
08.06.2013 11:54 = JUP 330 MAR
Labels:
AstroFin,
Mars-Jupiter Cycle,
Sergey Tarassov,
SPX,
Timing Solution
Tuesday, December 25, 2012
S&P500 vs Declination of Moon divided by Declination of Mars
Calculated and charted with Sergey Tarassov's Timing Solution.
|
Labels:
Alphee Lavoie,
AstroFin,
Astronomy,
Declination,
Mars,
Moon,
Sergey Tarassov,
SPX,
Timing Solution
Saturday, December 22, 2012
S&P500 vs Saturn-Uranus Cycle
Calculated and charted with Sergey Tarassov's Timing Solution.
|
SAT 000 URA
06/09/1988
SAT 090 URA
01/29/2000
SAT 180 URA
09/02/2009
SAT 270 URA
10/19/2021
SAT 000 URA
07/20/2032
More suitable for swing-trading is the 768th harmonic (0, 3, 6, 12, 24, 48, 96, 192, 384, 768. 360°/768 = 0.46875
degrees = 0 28' 7.5"). The progression takes 17.59 to 25.39 days, and the current values are:
2012-11-28
20:55 (Wed) = 22.27 CD
2012-12-21
04:15 (Fri) = 22.31 CD
2013-01-12 12:35 (Sat) = 22.35 CD
Since this is not a static progression, the next 384th harmonic will last 44.65 days, the 192nd 89.47 days, the 96th 179.61 days, etc.
2013-01-12 12:35 (Sat) = 22.35 CD
Since this is not a static progression, the next 384th harmonic will last 44.65 days, the 192nd 89.47 days, the 96th 179.61 days, etc.
1+2 = 3
1+2+3 = 6
1+2+3+6 = 12
1+2+3+6+12 = 24
1+2+3+6+12+24 = 48
1+2+3+6+12+24+48 = 96
1+2+3+6+12+24+48+96 = 192
1+2+3+6+12+24+48+96+192 = 384
1+2+3+6+12+24+48+96+192+384 = 768
1+2+3 = 6
1+2+3+6 = 12
1+2+3+6+12 = 24
1+2+3+6+12+24 = 48
1+2+3+6+12+24+48 = 96
1+2+3+6+12+24+48+96 = 192
1+2+3+6+12+24+48+96+192 = 384
1+2+3+6+12+24+48+96+192+384 = 768
Friday, December 21, 2012
Declinations 2013
Declinations: How they affect the stock market. A case study by Sergey Tarassov HERE |
MER par PLU 12/14/2012
JUP contra parallel MER 12/18/2012
PLU par VEN 12/19/2012
MER par MAR 12/21/2012 + SUN @ extremum South
JUP c.p VEN 12/24/2012
MAR par VEN 12/25/2012
SUN par MER 12/26/2012
JUP c.p MAR 12/27/2012
MAR par PLU 01/03/2013
SUN par VEN 01/04/2013
See also HERE
Calculate formula (MAR_DEC+MERC_DEC)-VEN_DEC HERE |
Labels:
Alphee Lavoie,
AstroFin,
Astronomy,
Declination,
Miles Wilson Walker,
Sergey Tarassov,
SPX
Wednesday, December 19, 2012
Tuesday, December 18, 2012
Sun conjunct Galactic Center
In 1932, Karl Jansky, a Bell
Telephone Laboratories engineer, was searching for the source of static affecting
overseas telephone lines. To detect the source he built a 95 foot radio-telescope. Part of the static turned out to be created by
the center of our Galaxy, a huge black hole about
the size of a large star containing the mass of four million Suns. The
Galactic Center (GC), then at 25°55' of Sagittarius, is the Sun of our Sun, and source of the utmost
gravitational energy present in our galaxy. Our Solar System takes approximately 226 million years to revolve around the Galactic Center. In 1969 Edward R. Dewey wrote about the influence of the GC on financial
markets (Cycles Magazine, Vol.20.10, p. 230 f. + Vol.20.12, p. 277 f.). According to standard rates of precession, the GC currently resides at 27°01' 57'' of Sagittarius (= 267.032 = Sagittarius A* - pronounced Sagittarius A star; other sources point to 267.031 and 267.024 degrees), and conjuncts with our Sun today (times below GMT).
19.09.2012 13:59 SUN 090 GC
04.11.2012 01:24 SUN 045 GC
18.12.2012 13:15 SUN 000 GC
31.01.2013 18:01 SUN 045 GC
17.03.2013 11:25 SUN 090 GC
However, this is but one among many cosmic events and forces, all together modulating mundane affairs (HERE).
19.09.2012 13:59 SUN 090 GC
04.11.2012 01:24 SUN 045 GC
18.12.2012 13:15 SUN 000 GC
31.01.2013 18:01 SUN 045 GC
17.03.2013 11:25 SUN 090 GC
However, this is but one among many cosmic events and forces, all together modulating mundane affairs (HERE).
Labels:
AstroFin,
Astronomy,
Edward R. Dewey,
Foundation for the Study of Cycles,
Galactic Center,
Karl Guthe Jansky,
SPX,
Sun
Friday, December 14, 2012
SPX vs George Bayer's Rule #9 - Mercury @ 19°36’ Scorpio
MERCURY GEOCENTRIC PASSING OVER 19°36’ SCORPIO AND SAGITTARIUS, ALSO OVER 24°14’ CAPRICORN PRODUCES BIG CHANGES *
Whatever the cause may be, why there are changes produced when Mercury passes certain geocentric degrees we do not know. The rule gives results. The values are 19°36’ Scorpio and Sagittarius, also 24°14’ in Capricorn ... While the first two values bring forth important changes of trend, the last value brings forth all tops in the five years’ period tested, which is quite encouraging to make commitments upon. The opposing places bring also changes: 19°36’ Taurus, 19°16” Gemini and 24°14’ Cancer.
[George Bayer (1940): Stock and Commodity Traders´ Hand-Book of Trend Determination. Carmel, California; p. 18]
*19°36’ Scorpio = 229.316 degrees *19°36’ Sagittarius = 259.600 degrees *24°14’ Capricorn = 294.233 degrees
2011-11-21 11:19 (Mon) MER @ 19(sag)36
2011-11-26 13:26 (Sat) MER @ 19(sag)36
2011-12-31 14:37 (Sat) MER @ 19(sag)36
2012-01-23 23:15 (Mon) MER @ 24(cap)14
2012-10-19 10:54 (Fri) MER @ 19(sco)36
2012-11-22 20:55 (Thu) MER @ 19(sco)36
2012-11-30 22:06 (Fri) MER @ 19(sco)36
2012-12-24 12:51 (Mon) MER @ 19(sag)36
2013-01-15 14:51 (Tue) MER @ 24(cap)14
2013-11-27 23:17 (Wed) MER @ 19(sco)36
2013-12-17 13:49 (Tue) MER @ 19(sag)36
2014-01-08 05:11 (Wed) MER @ 24(cap)14
Labels:
AstroFin,
DJI,
George Bayer,
George Bayer Rule #9,
Mercury,
SPX
Saturday, December 8, 2012
S&P 500 vs Mercury's Elongation Cycle
MER MAX Elongation East = 10/26/2012 04:48 PM @ 24.1°
MER MAX Elongation West = 12/04/2012 06:11 PM @ 20.6°
MER MAX Elongation East = 02/16/2013 04:17 PM @ 18.1°
MER MAX Elongation West = 03/31/2013 04:50 PM @ 27.8°
MER MAX Elongation East = 06/12/2013 11:45 AM @ 24.3°
MER MAX Elongation West = 07/30/2013 03:48 AM @ 19.6°
MER MAX Elongation West = 08/16/2012 07:04 AM @ 18.7°
Labels:
AstroFin,
DJI,
Elongation,
Mercury,
SPX
Friday, December 7, 2012
Heliocentric Bradley Index 2013
2012-12-28 (Fri) = @ 0
2013-01-01 (Tue) = Major Low
2013-01-04
(Fri) = @ 0
2013-01-09 (Wed) = High
2013-01-16 (Wed) = Low @ 0
2013-01-28 (Mon) = High
2013-02-13 (Wed) = Low
2013-03-04 (Mon) = High
2013-03-08 (Fri) = Low
2013-03-18 (Mon) = High
2013-03-22 (Fri) = Low
2013-04-08 (Mon) = High
2013-04-15 (Mon) = Low
2013-04-26 (Fri) = High
2013-04-30 (Tue) = Low
2013-05-07 (Tue) = High
2013-05-10 (Fri) = Low
2013-05-16 (Thu) = High
2013-05-24 (Fri) = Low
2013-05-31 (Fri) = High
2013-06-05 (Wed) = Low
2013-06-12 (Wed) = High
2013-06-21 (Fri) = Low
2013-07-05 (Fri) = Major High
2013-07-17 (Wed) = Low
2013-07-23 (Tue) = High
2013-07-26 (Fri) = Low
2013-08-02 (Fri) = High
2013-08-08 (Thu) = Low
2013-08-12 (Mon) = High
2013-08-22 (Thu) = Low
2013-08-26 (Mon) = High
2013-09-02 (Mon) = Low
2013-09-10 (Tue) = High
2013-10-07 (Mon) = Major Low @ 0
2013-10-18 (Fri) = High
2013-11-19 (Tue) = Low
2013-11-22 (Fri) = High
2013-11-29 (Fri) = Low
2013-12-06 (Fri) = High
2013-01-09 (Wed) = High
2013-01-16 (Wed) = Low @ 0
2013-01-28 (Mon) = High
2013-02-13 (Wed) = Low
2013-03-04 (Mon) = High
2013-03-08 (Fri) = Low
2013-03-18 (Mon) = High
2013-03-22 (Fri) = Low
2013-04-08 (Mon) = High
2013-04-15 (Mon) = Low
2013-04-26 (Fri) = High
2013-04-30 (Tue) = Low
2013-05-07 (Tue) = High
2013-05-10 (Fri) = Low
2013-05-16 (Thu) = High
2013-05-24 (Fri) = Low
2013-05-31 (Fri) = High
2013-06-05 (Wed) = Low
2013-06-12 (Wed) = High
2013-06-21 (Fri) = Low
2013-07-05 (Fri) = Major High
2013-07-17 (Wed) = Low
2013-07-23 (Tue) = High
2013-07-26 (Fri) = Low
2013-08-02 (Fri) = High
2013-08-08 (Thu) = Low
2013-08-12 (Mon) = High
2013-08-22 (Thu) = Low
2013-08-26 (Mon) = High
2013-09-02 (Mon) = Low
2013-09-10 (Tue) = High
2013-10-07 (Mon) = Major Low @ 0
2013-10-18 (Fri) = High
2013-11-19 (Tue) = Low
2013-11-22 (Fri) = High
2013-11-29 (Fri) = Low
2013-12-06 (Fri) = High
2013-12-13 (Fri) = Major Low
Update - 45 Year Cycle
According to MRCI the correlation between the SPX 1967 and 2012 has now risen to 90%. From a major low on Nov 20, 1967 @ 90.09 to the major high @ 97.84 on Jan 9, 1968 the SPX had gained +6.75%.
The time and price correlations point to a major high on Jan 7, 2013 @ 1.454 - slightly exceeding the 0.786 retrace of the Sep 14, 2012 high @ 1.446. See also HERE
The time and price correlations point to a major high on Jan 7, 2013 @ 1.454 - slightly exceeding the 0.786 retrace of the Sep 14, 2012 high @ 1.446. See also HERE
Thursday, November 29, 2012
Geocentric Bradley Index 2013
2013-01-03 (Thu) = High
2013-01-08 (Tue) = @ 0
2013-01-14 (Mon) = Low
2013-01-16 (Wed) = @ 0
2013-01-21 (Mon) = High
2013-01-24 (Thu) = @ 0
2013-01-28 (Mon) = Low
2013-01-31 (Thu) = @ 0
2013-03-06 (Wed) = High
2013-03-11 (Mon) = Low
2013-03-29 (Fri) = High
2013-04-05 (Fri) = Low
2013-05-06 (Mon) = High
2013-05-15 (Wed) = Low
2013-05-31 (Fri) = High
2013-06-10 (Mon) = Low
2013-06-21 (Fri) = Major High
2013-07-02 (Tue) = Low
2013-07-10 (Wed) = High
2013-08-22 (Thu) = Low
2013-08-30 (Fri) = High
2013-10-07 (Mon) = Major Low
2013-11-01 (Fri) = Major High
2013-12-03 (Tue) = @ 0
2014-01-01 (Wed) = Low
Wednesday, November 28, 2012
Sunday, November 25, 2012
The Essence
Proportion is to Space what Rhythm is to Music
|
... It may thus be said that man, who is a microcosm, and the universe, which is a macrocosm, are like two mirrors each reflecting the other. On the one hand man only exists in relation to the macrocosm which determines him, and on the other hand man knows the macrocosm, and this means that all the possibilities which are unfolded in the world are principally contained in man’s intellectual essence. This is the meaning of the saying in the Qur'ān: “And He (God) taught Adam all the names (i.e. all the essences of beings and of things)” (2:31)
Titus Burckhardt (1953): Introduction to Sufi Doctrine, p. 63-64.
Saturday, November 24, 2012
Market Probability Chart of S&P 500
Credits: Stock Trader's Almanac 2012 |
Friday, November 16, 2012
45 Year Cycle
In other words: Saturn-Uranus Cycle ≈ 45.3 Years ≈ conjunction, square or opposition happening about every 11.3 Years ≈ 4 * Sunspot Cycles of an average of 11.3 Years. Of course the 45 year cycle is important, but finally just one cycle among many others, all together modulating the tides of events.
However, sure there are periods with a specific feeling, a mentality, a zeitgeist of the majority of people, an attitude, an aura, that last for about 45 years. Hence there is also a 45 year cycle of scientific and social innovation and stagnation, each of about 20 years where there is science innovation, but humanities, opinion and social relations are "conservative" and do not change. There is a transition of about 2 to 4 years and then the humanities have numerous experiments and changes, but science becomes stagnant and does not innovate. Social conflict, revolution and war are also synchronous with this pattern (HERE & HERE & HERE & HERE).
The average second year of a decade prints a major low around this time of the year, which is (on average) amongst the best long-term buying opportunities of the decade, since during the third year the DJIA significantly surges above the second year highs. Another important fact is, that the DJIA's closed the average Election Year solidly above the June and November lows. Jeffrey Hirsh points out: "Presidential election years are the second best performing year of the four-year cycle ... When incumbent parties retained power ... stocks often bottomed within two years later ... we could see a bottom by 2014." Ten years ago some stock indices bottomed in October 2002, others in March 2003. In fact, the 45 Year Cycle projects another major low into March 2013 (most likely below this upcoming November low), and the low of the decade into May 2015. This is 43 months off the March 2009 low or 4 more 9 Month Cycles throughs ahead of us, where the current Kitchin Cycle terminates. Much could be debated on whether it is the last one of Kondratieff-Winter or the 1st one of Spring in the 6th Kondratieff-Cycle.
Ideally this current decline should end on November 19, and a rally throughout the Thanksgiving-week is likely. Mercury turns direct on November 26, which is best for a ITD #8 high. A drop into a higher low on the Lunar Eclipse on November 28 is expected. An intermediate high will be in by December 3-4. A decline into the December low around New Moon ideally ends on Monday, 17th. From there some sort of early and extended Santa Claus-rally will ensue into year end or even the first trading days of 2013 (see also HERE). This will be the end of the correction. From that important high (right shoulder in the Head-and-Shoulders pattern or TPDH #27) the stock markets will start another steep decline into the general vicinity of the October 2011 low (SPX 1.100 - 1.070 / DJI 10.600 - 10.400). This 9 month cycle low is scheduled for as early as March 1 or as late as the equinox. It will be the low of 2013, the start of a new TPDH-pattern and the launchpad for a rally into December 2013. This matches the latest prediction for Sunspot Cycle 24 with a maximum in the Fall of 2013. What puzzles however is the Commercial's Eurodollar Positions suggesting the party will be over by late May early June 2013 already. Time will tell.
Labels:
45 Year Cycle,
AstroFin,
Correlation 1967 - 2012,
Decennial Cycle,
Saturn-Uranus Cycle,
SPX,
Sunspot Cycle,
W.D. Gann,
War Cycle
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