Epstein Island, and the Minab school rest in Iran’s mighty hands.
Showing posts with label NATO. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NATO. Show all posts
Thursday, March 26, 2026
Tuesday, January 27, 2026
China, Russia Must Manage 'Orderly' US Decline | Huang J. and S. Karaganov
The year 2026 opened with a series of maneuvers by the United States that continue to unsettle the global landscape. Beneath the surface of international diplomacy, powerful undercurrents are surging. Even as the aftershocks of the military strike on Venezuela linger, Donald Trump has turned his sights toward Greenland, alternating between economic buyouts and martial threats.
» The Americans are withdrawing to the Western Hemisphere.
They are transitioning into a "normal" regional power. «
This predatory posture—where even allies are not spared—raises a fundamental question: Is this the brute assertion of a military hegemon, or the final, desperate thrashings of a superpower in decline? As the rift between the US and Europe widens over the Greenland dispute, and the very foundations of the NATO alliance tremble, what kind of shockwaves will the global order sustain?1941 political cartoon by Theodor Seuss Geisel (Dr. Seuss) satirizing "America First" isolationism. An elderly woman in an "America First" sweater reads "Adolf the Wolf" to two horrified children, remarking: "...and the Wolf chewed up the children and spit out their bones... but those were foreign children, and it didn't really matter."
Huang Jing:
Regarding the abduction of Venezuelan President Maduro and the First Lady—an act of
blatant violent aggression—how do you foresee its impact?
Sergey Karaganov: To be clear, we are still operating without full transparency regarding the facts; the abduction is peculiar, appearing almost like a choreographed performance. While clearly the work of US security apparatuses, their local facilitators remain in the shadows. However, the trend is undeniable: Trump and the US are attempting to pivot back to the Western Hemisphere as they retreat from global leadership. This process began 15 to 17 years ago, though it went largely unremarked by the masses.
Huang: We only truly grasped it about 15 years ago.
Karaganov: Exactly. Circa 2006 or 2007. It was an internal discussion then, but the trajectory was visible. Notably, when Obama took office, his instinct was an "America First" strategy, but he was constrained by the globalist factions surrounding him. The kidnapping of Maduro and the "piracy" of seizing oil tankers are criminal acts. Yet, there is a "silver lining": the Americans are withdrawing to the Western Hemisphere. They are transitioning into a "normal" regional power rather than a global hegemon, shedding the pretense of world leadership. It is a double-edged sword. While we must condemn the incredible crime of abducting an elected leader, we are seeing a strategic retreat. For years, I have argued that we must create the conditions to help the US exit its global role—without triggering a world war.
Sergey Karaganov: To be clear, we are still operating without full transparency regarding the facts; the abduction is peculiar, appearing almost like a choreographed performance. While clearly the work of US security apparatuses, their local facilitators remain in the shadows. However, the trend is undeniable: Trump and the US are attempting to pivot back to the Western Hemisphere as they retreat from global leadership. This process began 15 to 17 years ago, though it went largely unremarked by the masses.
Huang: We only truly grasped it about 15 years ago.
Karaganov: Exactly. Circa 2006 or 2007. It was an internal discussion then, but the trajectory was visible. Notably, when Obama took office, his instinct was an "America First" strategy, but he was constrained by the globalist factions surrounding him. The kidnapping of Maduro and the "piracy" of seizing oil tankers are criminal acts. Yet, there is a "silver lining": the Americans are withdrawing to the Western Hemisphere. They are transitioning into a "normal" regional power rather than a global hegemon, shedding the pretense of world leadership. It is a double-edged sword. While we must condemn the incredible crime of abducting an elected leader, we are seeing a strategic retreat. For years, I have argued that we must create the conditions to help the US exit its global role—without triggering a world war.
Aggression as a symptom of decay: POTUS claiming US used classified "Disruptor"
weapon to paralyze Venezuelan defense systems in order to hijack Nicolás Maduro.
Huang: Agreed. I recall your work on "Disorder," suggesting that a
chaotic US decline is a threat to us all. This hegemonic fatigue began
because the US simply could not sustain the post-1991 international
system. You cite 2006; I would argue the definitive cracks appeared by
2008.
Karaganov: The decline of Western hegemony actually dates back to the 1960s. The signs were there, but ignored. When the USSR achieved nuclear parity, the foundation of a 500-year-old Western dominance began to crumble. After the Soviet collapse, the West—and the US specifically—fell into a state of "euphoria," believing they had reversed the tide of history. This lasted barely 15 years before Russia began to reconstitute its position and China emerged as a titan. Blinded by their "victory," the American elite made massive strategic blunders. They essentially subsidized China's rise, naively believing that capitalism would inevitably lead to a "democracy" that would act as a US satellite. When reality failed to meet their visions, they doubled down on failed invasions—Afghanistan, Iraq. By 2008, the internal decision to begin a long-term withdrawal had already taken root.
Karaganov: The decline of Western hegemony actually dates back to the 1960s. The signs were there, but ignored. When the USSR achieved nuclear parity, the foundation of a 500-year-old Western dominance began to crumble. After the Soviet collapse, the West—and the US specifically—fell into a state of "euphoria," believing they had reversed the tide of history. This lasted barely 15 years before Russia began to reconstitute its position and China emerged as a titan. Blinded by their "victory," the American elite made massive strategic blunders. They essentially subsidized China's rise, naively believing that capitalism would inevitably lead to a "democracy" that would act as a US satellite. When reality failed to meet their visions, they doubled down on failed invasions—Afghanistan, Iraq. By 2008, the internal decision to begin a long-term withdrawal had already taken root.
» Russia and China should work together to facilitate an orderly decline for
the United States. This is in everyone's interest, including Washington's. «
August 2021, managing 'disordered' collapse: US troops at Kabul Airport use
rifles to deter Afghan civilians attempting to flee during the withdrawal.
Huang: I agree, though I’d add a nuance: China’s rise wasn't merely a gift from the US. It was the result of correct internal policies and a desire to integrate into the global system to reform it from within. The US "vision" of a peaceful evolution into a Western-style state was indeed a profound miscalculation.
Karaganov: I don't disagree, but consider this: China’s development was facilitated by the Soviet/Russian security umbrella. Even when China was militarily weaker, the US never dared a direct strike. Furthermore, the US committed the ultimate strategic error. Through their actions, they pushed Russia and China—natural neighbors—into an unbreakable de facto alliance. Over the last 15 years, this "quasi-alliance" has effectively doubled the strategic weight of both nations. It is an monumental failure by Western competitors.
Karaganov: I don't disagree, but consider this: China’s development was facilitated by the Soviet/Russian security umbrella. Even when China was militarily weaker, the US never dared a direct strike. Furthermore, the US committed the ultimate strategic error. Through their actions, they pushed Russia and China—natural neighbors—into an unbreakable de facto alliance. Over the last 15 years, this "quasi-alliance" has effectively doubled the strategic weight of both nations. It is an monumental failure by Western competitors.
» The US will never come to the rescue of Europe. «
Huang: From a historical perspective, we remember how the USSR helped build China’s industrial base. Yet the USSR also suffered from overexpansion—Afghanistan being the fatal error—which led to the fragile US-China cooperation of the 1980s to contain Moscow.
Karaganov: Indeed. But it wasn't just overexpansion; it was arrogance. Khrushchev’s arrogance toward Mao in the 50s and the refusal to aid China’s nuclear program were grave miscalculations.
Huang: Yet China succeeded regardless.
Karaganov: Yes, and that autonomous development secured China’s strategic autonomy for decades. Had we helped then, the rapprochement with Nixon might never have been necessary. History would be unrecognizable. But today, the US is committing the greatest error of the modern era. Post-1991, they mistook their moment for permanent "Globalist" dominion. They tried to export "universal values" through Color Revolutions and the Arab Spring—all of which failed. Now, they are retreating into the Western Hemisphere because they must, not because they want to.
Karaganov: Indeed. But it wasn't just overexpansion; it was arrogance. Khrushchev’s arrogance toward Mao in the 50s and the refusal to aid China’s nuclear program were grave miscalculations.
Huang: Yet China succeeded regardless.
Karaganov: Yes, and that autonomous development secured China’s strategic autonomy for decades. Had we helped then, the rapprochement with Nixon might never have been necessary. History would be unrecognizable. But today, the US is committing the greatest error of the modern era. Post-1991, they mistook their moment for permanent "Globalist" dominion. They tried to export "universal values" through Color Revolutions and the Arab Spring—all of which failed. Now, they are retreating into the Western Hemisphere because they must, not because they want to.
Huang: As you famously said: US decline isn't the problem; the "disorder" of that decline is the catastrophe. Does the invasion of Venezuela reflect a managed exit or a chaotic one?
Karaganov: Let’s put it this way: Russia and China should work together to facilitate an orderly decline for the United States. This is in everyone's interest, including Washington's. The US was an "accidental" global hegemon. Before WWII, they were an economic powerhouse but a geopolitical non-factor. They became the world leader with very little capital investment because Europe collapsed and the USSR was exhausted.
Now, as the "Global South" and China rise, the West realizes it can no longer control the very system of free trade and international law it created. So, they have begun to sabotage their own system—using sanctions and breaking trade rules—because they can no longer win by the old rules. In Ukraine, the Biden administration initially thought they could isolate Russia from Europe. They succeeded in creating a rift, but now that they see Russia is willing to escalate—even to the nuclear level—they are looking for the exit. Trump is vocal about withdrawal, but Biden started the process. I saw it myself: Biden's 2022 New York Times piece, where he set "red lines" for the US (no direct entry, no regime change), was the first signal of the American retreat.
Karaganov: Let’s put it this way: Russia and China should work together to facilitate an orderly decline for the United States. This is in everyone's interest, including Washington's. The US was an "accidental" global hegemon. Before WWII, they were an economic powerhouse but a geopolitical non-factor. They became the world leader with very little capital investment because Europe collapsed and the USSR was exhausted.
Now, as the "Global South" and China rise, the West realizes it can no longer control the very system of free trade and international law it created. So, they have begun to sabotage their own system—using sanctions and breaking trade rules—because they can no longer win by the old rules. In Ukraine, the Biden administration initially thought they could isolate Russia from Europe. They succeeded in creating a rift, but now that they see Russia is willing to escalate—even to the nuclear level—they are looking for the exit. Trump is vocal about withdrawal, but Biden started the process. I saw it myself: Biden's 2022 New York Times piece, where he set "red lines" for the US (no direct entry, no regime change), was the first signal of the American retreat.
Zelensky, Starmer, Macron, and Merz, December 8, 2025.
Huang: You warned the Americans in 2012: "You are pushing us into a corner, and you will end up in one yourselves." In 2020, you argued that the goal wasn't just defeating Ukraine, but dismantling the Western international system itself—a system used as a tool for hypocritical hegemony. Do you still stand by that?
Karaganov: Absolutely. And we are succeeding. By raising the stakes, we have essentially pushed the US out of the war. We made them realize that Russia would risk nuclear conflict over Europe. Biden never explicitly promised to fight for Europe if it were attacked; he only spoke of "support." Now, Russia’s objective is to break the will of the European elites. Europe has historically been the source of the world's greatest troubles—colonialism, racism, world wars. They are currently drifting toward a Third World War. Our strategic long-term goal should be to push Europe to the periphery of the global stage, creating systemic conditions where their current "sinister" elites are rendered obsolete.
Huang: On that point, you and Trump seem to be in total agreement.
Karaganov: (Laughs) I said it first.
Karaganov: Absolutely. And we are succeeding. By raising the stakes, we have essentially pushed the US out of the war. We made them realize that Russia would risk nuclear conflict over Europe. Biden never explicitly promised to fight for Europe if it were attacked; he only spoke of "support." Now, Russia’s objective is to break the will of the European elites. Europe has historically been the source of the world's greatest troubles—colonialism, racism, world wars. They are currently drifting toward a Third World War. Our strategic long-term goal should be to push Europe to the periphery of the global stage, creating systemic conditions where their current "sinister" elites are rendered obsolete.
Huang: On that point, you and Trump seem to be in total agreement.
Karaganov: (Laughs) I said it first.
[Continue from 27:00 in the video above—highly insightful and well worth the watch.]
[中俄应该携手合作，帮助美国实现“有序衰落.”]
nor will the Americans, and this is obvious. We can only wait until she leaves," Peskov said.
Huang Jing is a Distinguished Professor at Shanghai International Studies University and a globally recognized authority on Chinese politics and US-Asia relations. Formerly a Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institution and Director at the National University of Singapore, he specializes in the US-China-Russia strategic triangle. He is a prolific author and advisor known for his realist analysis of great power competition and global governance.
Sergey Karaganov is the Honorary Chairman of the Russian Council on Foreign and Defense Policy and a presidential advisor to both Boris Yeltsin and Vladimir Putin. He currently serves as the Academic Supervisor of the Faculty of World Economy and International Affairs at Moscow’s Higher School of Economics. A primary architect of the "Greater Eurasia" concept, he is a leading realist thinker on Russian grand strategy and the transformation of the global order.
Friday, January 23, 2026
Replacing Europe: An Undercover Look at Mass Migration | Anthony Rubin
In a single generation, Europe has changed forever—more profoundly than in the last two thousand years. The globalist governments of Western Europe orchestrated this against their own peoples by design: they opened the borders, and a never-ending, multi-million-strong mass migration—in recent years primarily from Africa, the world's most violence-ridden continent—has been flowing into Europe. Mass immigration has fractured social unity and uprooted European cultures entirely, transforming once-majestic cities into no-go zones and slums. For
every 'refugee boat' that arrives, institutionalized African mafias net
between 50,000 and 60,000 euros directly in cash from the European Union, all while native Europeans are being replaced demographically, racially, spiritually, and culturally in their own homeland.
Who
is facilitating all this? The 'king daddy' above everything is the United
Nations (UN) and its migration wing, the International Organization for
Migration (IOM). You find them at every key border crossing. Then, of course, there is the European Commission and its degenerate, omnipresent bureaucracy. At the lower levels, you find all sorts of other criminal organizations and enterprises; utterly corrupt, opportunist European governments using migration as blackmail for financial aid; and a myriad of publicly funded, so-called international non-governmental organizations (INGOs),
such as the Red Cross, Catholic charities, the Norwegian Refugee Council, and the Hebrew Immigrant Aid Society (HIAS). Every one of them deserves investigation and prosecution, yet they continue to operate with total impunity.
Population Division, UN DESA, New York, March 21, 2000.
Orderly and Regular Migration," A/RES/73/195, Marrakesh, Morocco, December 19, 2018.
Nowadays, starting mostly from Mauritania, an Islamic Republic in West Africa, via the nearby Spanish Canary Islands, the end point of this mass migration is continental Western Europe, where the benefits are highest. These were the richest countries in the world, but they no longer are. Of course, the immediate and direct results of this influx have been not only rampant crime and rape, but also the radical decline in public security, quality of life, stability of cities, and an insane deterioration and collapse of fiscal, legal, education, healthcare, and pension systems across the board.
» Europe is not going to be the monolithic societies that they once were in the last century.
Jews are going to be at the center of that. It’s a huge transformation for Europe to make. They are
now moving into a multicultural mode, and Jews will be resented because of our leading role.
But without that leading role and without that transformation, Europe will not survive. «
Barbara Lerner Spectre, Founding Director, Paideia Stockholm, 2010.now moving into a multicultural mode, and Jews will be resented because of our leading role.
But without that leading role and without that transformation, Europe will not survive. «
» For every boat [full of migrants] that arrives [to the Canaries], the [Mauritanian] mafia gets between 50,000 to 60,000 euros [from the Spanish government]. It’s all a game! And Spain wouldn't want this to stop. Every year Spain receives more than 3 billion euros from the European Union. Out of that 3 billion, Spain keeps 2 billion. Then the Spanish take the other 1 billion in cartons, in boxes, or in suitcases, put it on a flight, and it goes to Mauritania. There they speak with, say, ten people from the very top. For those people, the money isn't sent by check or by bank transfer. It’s in cartons; it’s in luggage. They are paid in cash. «
IOM representative to the Canaries, teaching basic economics of mass migration and 'refugee crisis,' 2025.
IOM representative to the Canaries, teaching basic economics of mass migration and 'refugee crisis,' 2025.
However, perpetually financed with billions of euros by the EU Commission in Brussels, European governments keep flying these people by the thousands from the Canaries to the mainland and putting them in camps all across Europe, where they just eat, sleep, and roam on the taxpayers' dime for years, waiting for their 'asylum papers.' Nobody seems to care that certain fish don't mix in the same aquarium, that the native populations don't want them, or that they haven't added anything to these countries.
billion euros—more than twice the [German] federal government's annual budget for 2014. «
Migrant 'camps' in Paris, January 23, 2026.
Paris 2026. Indistinguishable from Africa.
Helsinki Cathedral 2025: Huge provocation. Won't end well.
Is it reversible? You could stop it tomorrow; these are still the most powerful countries on earth. This is collective self-extermination, and if more Europeans knew and understood the extent of all this, they'd be up in arms in the streets against their governments. But it’s getting to a point where it might be too late. In Germany, they can't even raise a national army because it would be majority Muslim, and they are afraid to give weapons to hundreds of thousands of young Muslim men. Every day that goes by, it gets worse. Reversing it now would involve serious civil conflict because these migrants are high-testosterone men who will fight back. In Calais, France, someone was beheaded in a parking lot not far from where we were. When I met with a UN/IOM worker, he sold me an Excel sheet for 600 bucks showing that the vast majority of arrivals—over 95%—are men. There are almost no women or children. This is the end of Europe, and the West in general.
Reference:
January 23, 2026: Spain is set to approve a decree legalizing more than 500,000 undocumented immigrants.
This move provides full EU legal status, enabling them to live and work across Europe while accessing public benefits.
» The result will be a mixed new population with an average IQ of 90
—too dumb to grasp anything, but intelligent enough to work. «
What goes around, comes around.
Anthony J. Rubin (29), is the Miami-based founder of Muckraker, a guerrilla media outlet specializing in high-threat undercover exposés on global migration and NGO/government involvement in border crises. A self-described Libertarian Nationalist and America First advocate, he embeds in danger zones to produce documentaries like "Inside the Darién Gap" and "Replacing Europe" alongside his brother, Joshua. Their work combines hidden-camera investigations with a focus on US sovereignty and the rejection of globalism and interventionism.
Friday, January 16, 2026
"Russia Will Nuke Germany & UK if Ukraine War Persists" | Sergey Karaganov
"We are fighting Europe once again—the continent that has consistently been the source of all ills and evil in the history of humanity, including, of course, world wars, racism, and colonialism." Sergey Karaganov’s perspective on Europe and its relationship with Russia is defined by his belief in the urgent necessity of a definitive civilizational break from the West.
» The source of all ills and evil in the history of humanity. «
Zelensky, Starmer, Macron, and Merz coordinating their seizure of Russian assets, December 8, 2025.
He views the current conflict between the US-EU-NATO and Russia in Ukraine as a historical repetition, noting that "Europe has been several times invading us" and that "last time was in 1941–1945 when Western European countries came here under the banners of Hitler [Operation Barbarossa]." Karaganov asserts that "unbelievably after all their defeats they haven't learned the lesson" and "they are still pushing for a big war."
He warns that Europe’s "strategic parasitism" and "loss of the fear of God and nuclear war" make them "dangerous idiots that are pumping up hatred towards Russia like mad. Even in Hitler's Germany, the level of anti-Russian propaganda was maybe weaker than what is happening in Europe now." He argues that "they do not understand anything but physical pain," suggesting that Russia will be forced to "punish them severely" with "waves of nuclear strikes" should they continue fueling the war in Ukraine and threatening to directly attack Russia.
How far are we from Russia using nuclear weapons against Europe? "Two years, maybe one year. I've been calling on my government to escalate earlier. But President Putin is very religious and cautious." Karaganov specifies that "my choice would be Britain and
Germany" and "Germany should be nuked first because it is the source
of the worst in European history."
» Germany should be nuked first because it is the worst. «
Sergey Karaganov, January 14, 2026.
"I beg the Almighty that won't happen. I
have a lot of friends in Europe, but I have no contact with them
because they are banned by their elites from talking to us. These elites
are preparing them for war, though they cannot comprehend that if a
real big war is unleashed, there will be nobody in Europe left to talk
to. I pray that we won’t have to make this decision."
On the relationship between Russia and Europe, Karaganov believes "our European journey which Peter the Great started is over" and "it should have been over 150 years ago." He expresses a sense of liberation from Western influence, saying, "we are not European, thanks God" and "we are returning back to where we belong—to become the Eurasian nation... We have done away with "comprador" elites and thrown away the "fifth column." We are returning to our Russian soul. The only problem is that we have to pay for it with the lives of our best men. But other than that, Western sanctions have been a blessing. Russia, when threatened, is again a nation of warriors."
See
also:
Sergey Karaganov is a Russian political scientist, Professor Emeritus, and Supervisor at Moscow's Higher School of Economics. A long-standing personal friend and advisor to President Vladimir Putin—and formerly Boris Yeltsin—he is the honorary chairman of the Council on Foreign and Defense Policy. Architect of the "Karaganov Doctrine" and Russia’s Eurasian pivot, he advocates for an assertive foreign policy, interaction with the non-Western World Majority that has no binding relationships with the US and the organizations it patronizes, as well as for a radical civilizational break from the West.
Monday, December 8, 2025
Preventing Empire Collapse | Alexander Mercouris and Alex Christoforou
The new 33-page US National Security Strategy, strongly shaped by Elbridge Colby and personally prefaced by President Trump, represents a partial yet still incomplete departure from three decades of neoconservative pursuit of hegemony. Officially released on December 4, it explicitly
renounces any further quest for global domination, acknowledges that
post-1991 globalism hollowed out American industry while delivering few
benefits to ordinary citizens, and ultimately weakened the United States
itself. It faults an over-reliance on allies and proxies that
Washington could not fully control—pointedly implying Israel and
European-driven adventures in Ukraine—for repeatedly pulling America
into conflicts that did not serve its core interests.
» The unipolar era is over. «
In place of hegemony, the document calls for aggressive domestic reindustrialization, technological supremacy, and a return to traditional spheres-of-influence politics. It resurrects an explicitly imperial interpretation of the Monroe Doctrine, insisting that no external great power may have any presence whatsoever in the Western Hemisphere and that the United States must maintain absolute predominance there. At the same time, it insists that America must remain the world’s foremost military and economic power and must permanently prevent any rival from ever attaining the degree of primacy the United States itself enjoyed in recent decades.
China continues to be treated as the sole peer competitor capable of achieving parity or even supremacy; opposition to Taiwan’s reunification with the mainland remains a clear priority, revealing no substantive softening despite changed rhetoric. Russia, by contrast, is now a power with which the United States must seek accommodation and continental stability. The document is extraordinarily harsh toward European leadership and the European Union, accusing Brussels of delusional thinking on Russia and Ukraine, economic self-destruction, creeping authoritarianism, and the erosion of European civilization itself. Stabilizing Europe, it argues, requires ending the Ukraine war in partnership with the continent’s other great power—Russia.
The new operating model abandons the image of America as a "weary Titan" bearing the world’s burdens alone. Instead, Washington will concentrate on its own hemispheric backyard while outsourcing or franchising security responsibilities elsewhere: Europe is expected to provide for its own defense, Asia will be handled by regional proxies, Africa reduced to transactional resource partnerships, and the Middle East treated as a complicated but no longer central theater. These partners will still answer to the United States and pay their dues, yet day-to-day management becomes their problem.
Historically, this precise pattern—admitting overextension, rejecting free-trade globalism, demanding allied burden-sharing while assuming continued overall control, and invoking the "weary Titan" metaphor—appeared during the terminal phases of both the British Empire under Joseph Chamberlain in the 1890s–1900s and the Spanish Empire under Gaspar de Guzmán, Count-Duke of Olivares in the 17th century. In both cases the reforms were offered as salvation but in reality signaled irreversible imperial decline.
Historically, this precise pattern—admitting overextension, rejecting free-trade globalism, demanding allied burden-sharing while assuming continued overall control, and invoking the "weary Titan" metaphor—appeared during the terminal phases of both the British Empire under Joseph Chamberlain in the 1890s–1900s and the Spanish Empire under Gaspar de Guzmán, Count-Duke of Olivares in the 17th century. In both cases the reforms were offered as salvation but in reality signaled irreversible imperial decline.
» Explicitly imperial interpretation of the Monroe Doctrine. «
The strategy is riddled with contradictions. While calling for stabilization with Russia, Pentagon sources simultaneously press Europe to be combat-ready against Moscow by 2027; Europeans counter that 2030 is more realistic, and Viktor Orbán openly states that the official EU position is preparation for war with Russia by that later date. The unspoken American ultimatum to Europe is therefore: achieve full military self-sufficiency on Washington’s timeline or the United States will negotiate directly with Moscow over Europe’s head and end the Ukraine conflict on Russia’s terms. Given Europe’s incapacity to meet that deadline, the second path becomes the default—yet powerful entrenched forces in Washington, Brussels, and the broader transatlantic apparatus remain committed to perpetual confrontation with Russia and containment of Russia.
» Franchising security responsibilities elsewhere. «
The document is ultimately a fragile compromise between a small restraint-oriented faction and the far larger interventionist bureaucracy. History suggests the bureaucracy will prevail, just as it defeated Chamberlain and Olivares. Moscow and Beijing instantly recognize the contradiction of a United States that urges its vassals to keep fighting while posing as the reasonable party seeking stability; they will not be deceived. Russia, in particular, reads the American declaration that peace in Ukraine and stabilized relations with Moscow are now core US interests as confirmation that time is on its side, that it can stand firm on all demands, and that Washington will eventually concede because it is the United States, not Russia, that now needs the war to end.
Thus, while the 2025 National Security Strategy marks the intellectual arrival of restraint-oriented thinking inside parts of the American national-security establishment and constitutes an official admission that the unipolar era is over, its internal contradictions and the entrenched power of the old order make it unlikely to survive in anything like its present form. Like its British and Spanish predecessors, it may ultimately be remembered less as the blueprint for managed retrenchment than as one of the first formal acknowledgments that American hegemony has irrevocably ended.
Thus, while the 2025 National Security Strategy marks the intellectual arrival of restraint-oriented thinking inside parts of the American national-security establishment and constitutes an official admission that the unipolar era is over, its internal contradictions and the entrenched power of the old order make it unlikely to survive in anything like its present form. Like its British and Spanish predecessors, it may ultimately be remembered less as the blueprint for managed retrenchment than as one of the first formal acknowledgments that American hegemony has irrevocably ended.
Reference:
Professor Shen Yi, Director of the Center for BRICS Studies and Professor at the School of
International Relations and Public Affairs at Fudan University, evaluating the 2025 US NSS.
See also:
Tuesday, December 2, 2025
Is Ukraine Developing Nuclear Weapons with UK and France? | Gerry Nolan
If Kim Dotcom is right (his bating average is very high), and Ukraine really is developing nuclear weapons with UK and French help, then Europe isn’t just escalating. It’s playing Russian roulette with civilization. And the worst part? It’s plausible. Horrifyingly plausible.
» Ukraine is developing nuclear weapons with the help of the UK and France. This is why the peace process takes so long.
The US knows and it is playing on time. Ukraine is a US client state. If Trump wanted peace he would have it immediately.
Russia is being played. « — Kim Dotcom, December 1, 2025.
NATO’s top general has now crossed the line from deterrence into madness. Admiral Giuseppe Cavo Dragone has publicly floated the idea of "preventive action" against Russia—meaning pre-emptive strikes on targets "where drones could be ready to be launched." Europe isn’t defending itself; Europe is announcing that it is preparing for war and is ready to strike first. This is elite panic—the behavior of governments that fear their own people far more than they fear Moscow.
This adds up sadly... That Ukraine is developing a nuclear program with assistance from Britain and France, a charge that will be dismissed in Western capitals, but one that fits too neatly with Kiev's own public statements. This isn’t a wild accusation from the fringe. Ukraine’s leadership has repeatedly signaled nuclear ambitions: from Zelensky in Munich hinting at abandoning the Budapest Memorandum, to the ambassador, Andrey Melnyk, in Berlin threatening nuclear rearmament, to “we may need nukes if NATO won’t take us.” These aren’t slips. They are warnings and confessions disguised as hypotheticals.
security guarantee. According to the dismissed general, other options include NATO membership or
a "large military contingent" to confront Russia. They just crave a nuclear showdown.
And now? Europe is openly discussing preemptive strikes on Russia. NATO’s top general, Cavo Dragone,
floated "preventive action" against Russian sites, code language for
first-strike doctrine. Russia responded by calling it "an
extraordinarily irresponsible step." They’re right. This is not
deterrence but brinkmanship from a political class that has lost its
mind, and knows it.
» I was actually in Monaco earlier this summer… and every other car there was an Italian supercar, like a Pagani or Bugatti, and
they all had UKRAINE plates. They’re STEALING that money, and it’s just one big corrupt scandal. « — Donald Trump Jr.
Why is the claim more than plausible? Because Kiev has the motive, is on record expressing the intent (to give cover for its patrons), the remnants of a Soviet scientific base, and the Western patrons capable of providing the expertise. And because a desperate state with collapsing front lines, a sacrificed population, and dwindling Western patience will consider anything, including the unthinkable, to secure leverage.
Rustem Umerov sticks to the script: "gratitude to the American people, the leadership, Trump’s peace initiative."
"The US is hearing us, the US is supporting us, the US is walking beside us." Little substance, lots of pleasantries.
And Europe? Europe is no brake. Europe is the accelerant. London and Paris, terrified of their own political collapse, are escalating in every direction: naval-drone terror, hybrid and kinetic warfare, now nuclear ambiguity. They fear their own voters more than they fear Moscow. That’s why they push Zelensky to take risks no sane leadership would touch. Because if Ukraine falls, their governments fall with it.
This is how great powers sleepwalk into catastrophe: a desperate puppet state, unhinged European elites, and nuclear ambiguity. And a military alliance openly debating first strikes on a nuclear superpower.
Zelensky and "The Spirit of Ukraine," 2022 and 2025.
This is how great powers sleepwalk into catastrophe: a desperate puppet state, unhinged European elites, and nuclear ambiguity. And a military alliance openly debating first strikes on a nuclear superpower.
» It's over. NATO and the EU are finished. The Empire of Lies is crumbling. «
The world is standing at the abyss. Not because Russia wants war, but because Europe’s political class is trying to outrun the judgment waiting for them at home. And if they drag Ukraine into becoming a terror regime with nukes, or drag NATO into first-strike doctrine, the next miscalculation won’t be “hybrid warfare.” It will be irreversible. We are closer to the abyss today than at any point since 1962, and the people lighting the fuse are in Brussels, London, and Paris. Not Moscow.
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