Showing posts with label Mass Migration. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Mass Migration. Show all posts

Sunday, October 18, 2026

Europe: Civil Unrest and International War Converge | Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: You were projecting civil unrest here in 2026 in advance. My brother's store was completely looted and destroyed in France. Macron can make his resolute television appearance, but nobody listened to the people, and they certainly ignored your forecasts, which you have always said were not merely your personal opinion. This appears to be spreading everywhere: to Belgium, Italy, and Germany, as well as Albania. Will this escalate into November? Pierre

» 
Et pendant ce temps-là... la la la... on joue à la guerre! « 

ANSWER: I wish I had better news. You are correct; 2026 was the major target for widespread civil unrest in Europe. This will not be the end of it. There will be a reprieve, but as I have warned, the migrant issue will put Europe at tremendous risk, for the people they let in have no interest in assimilating. This will perhaps continue into November. This is part of the rising fuel costs, and they continue to support Zelensky, and our computer warns energy is still in a bull market.
 
Yearly Civil Unrest, 2022 to 2033.

Crude can soar to as high as $200 a barrel in 2028, thanks to war and Zelensky. I have warned that the Neocons only look at their objective and are ignorant of everything else around them. They are really screwing the world economy, and much of the protests are also about the cost of living. Protests will not bring down the cost of living until the leaders abandon Zelensky.

Yearly International War, 2022 to 2033.
 
I have tried to warn that this is the first time I saw the computer have both models, Civil Unrest and International War, aligning at the same time. We have a Panic Cycle in civil unrest in 2029. This raises serious concern that the EU may no longer exist and that the rise in this civil unrest will increase the pressure for separatist movements. The politicians have simply refused to listen to the people they are supposed to represent because they see the people as too stupid to visualize what they see for the future.


These forecasts are NOT my personal opinion. This is the computer, all based on the historical record. We probably have the largest such database, separated between domestic and international events. This allows us to create two separate models and do not compare these forecasts as my opinion against someone else's. This is the data.

 
Bismillah, c'est les ténèbres!
Two geniuses on death row. 

See also:

Sunday, October 11, 2026

The Counterfeit Empire: How the EU Occupies Europe | Speculum Orientis

Plain language about the European Union is forbidden. Its apologists chant "peace," "cooperation," "human rights," but behind the litany stands a labyrinth of rule designed so that ordinary men never grasp how their lives are governed. Tradition sees no partnership of fatherlands here. The EU is an Atlanticist occupation imposed after 1945, built to extinguish organic sovereignty, erase Europe's qualitative order, and chain the continent to a foreign hegemon. Its centralisation is not the fault; its spiritual void and managerial tyranny are.

Locking Europe into permanent subordination.

The Historical Roots: An Empire Prevented
The official story sells the European project as a noble escape from war. The truth is uglier. After the Second World War, the United States required a Europe shattered enough never to threaten its interests or drift toward independence. The answer was integration—not a free union of peoples, but an occupation logic made permanent.

The Marshall Plan was the economic bait. The institutional trap was the European Coal and Steel Community, shaped by Jean Monnet, a technocrat deep in Anglo-American financial and intelligence circuits. Monnet's blueprint skipped parliaments and national legitimacies. American money, including covert CIA funds for the European Movement, manufactured consent among a beaten elite. The Schuman Declaration of 1950 was drafted in Monnet's office and approved by the US Secretary of State before any European public heard a word. From the first breath, the project was an Atlanticist protectorate, foreclosing any authentic European Imperium in favour of a managerial pseudo-empire.

While official Europe preached reconciliation, the transatlantic deep state planted a paramilitary dagger under the continent: Operation Gladio, stay-behind armies coordinated by NATO and the CIA, buried across Western Europe. Its public mission was resistance to a Soviet invasion; its actual function was internal control—false-flag terror, a strategy of tension to discredit national and communist movements, keeping populations fearful and pliant. Gladio did not only target the Left; it shattered any truly European imperial project that might rise outside Atlanticist command. The dream of a Europe united not by paperwork but by spiritual authority and organic hierarchy was replaced by a bureaucratic anti-empire serving an overseas merchant power.

» Protecting our democracy and European values. «
Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission,
Brussels, October 9, 2026.
 
The Institutional Labyrinth: A Deliberate Maze
The EU's structure is no accident. It is a deliberate maze—a tangle of competences and procedures where no voter can locate responsibility, so no popular will can strike. The "institutional triangle" of Commission, Council, and Parliament is a screen. The true architecture places the Commission at the centre: an unelected executive that monopolises the right to propose laws. Flanking it stand the European Court of Justice and the European Central Bank—three bodies united by a single principle, insulation from any electoral sanction. The Parliament cannot initiate legislation and is reduced to secret trilogue deals; the Council of ministers offers the illusion of national sovereignty, but qualified majority voting routinely overrules dissent, and the Council's agenda is steered by the very Commission no voter can remove.
The Commission: The Inverted Hierarchy
The European Commission is the true executive. It alone possesses the near-monopoly of legislative initiative. It drafts regulations that penetrate every corner of national life, polices compliance, negotiates treaties, and can drag member states before the Court. Yet no voter in any election has ever cast a ballot for the College of Commissioners.

Even by democracy's own debased standards, the Commission is a fraud. But the deeper scandal—for those who still see—is not the missing mandate. It is that a purely administrative, economic-technocratic caste has usurped the station that belongs to spiritual and warrior authority. This is the revolt of the lower functions—the manager, the merchant, the rootless expert—against the higher orders of priest and king, an inversion that any traditional doctrine would recognise. The Commission is that inversion made flesh: an unelected college of economic functionaries, drawn from the lowest caste of market technocrats, deciding the identity and destiny of Europe's peoples. Their cabinet meetings are secret; their oath demands loyalty not to any nation but to the abstract deity of the acquis communautaire. They are the priesthood of a counterfeit religion, pushing "ever closer union" as secular salvation.
 
Woke liberal fascism—compulsory celebration of rootlessness, fluid identities, anti-traditional egalitarianism—
is the apparatus's state religion. It is the necessary value-system of a regime that has inverted all values. 

The Court: Qualities Erased
If the Commission is the engine, the Court is the silent sovereign. Through direct effect, supremacy, and implied powers, it has built a self-expanding federal legal order where EU law trumps all national law, including constitutional law. The supposed limits—conferral, subsidiarity, proportionality—have been hollowed into nothing. Conferral, which says the Union acts only within given competences, is bypassed by the Court's teleological reading: any national rule with a cross-border economic echo can be sucked into the centralising vortex. Subsidiarity, the promise that decisions stay close to the citizen, is dead; the Court always defers to the Commission's claim that Union action is more "effective." The ratchet turns one way. What is Europeanised never returns.
 
Sincere cooperation finishes the trap. Dressed as mutual loyalty, it becomes a command of obedience when the Commission or Court wield it. A member state whose constitutional court dares assert sovereignty, or whose government voices a different civilisational vision, is accused of violating this duty. Sincere cooperation is a muzzle, a juridical weapon to silence peoples who refuse the homogeneous mass. This is the reign of quantity: uniform legal norms erasing every qualitative distinction, reducing all that is noble and differentiated to an administrative formula.
 
BlackRock Merz assures the Cocaine Dwarf an extra €90 billion, October 4, 2026. 
 
The Charter: Deception as High Politics
The Charter of Fundamental Rights was proclaimed non-binding at Nice in 2000 because Britain and Poland flatly refused to let a supranational bill of rights override their traditions. That rejection should have killed it. Instead, the Lisbon Treaty smuggled it into binding law. Opt-out protocols were concocted, but the Court reads them as narrowly as possible.

Sold as a shield for the individual, the Charter is an engine of egalitarian ideology. The Commission's "rule of law" mechanism, invoked in the name of Charter values, coerces dissident nations that resist the Brussels social consensus. Traditional moral order, organic community, and faith are treated as obstacles to be dismantled. The same institutional class that ran Gladio's clandestine war against self-determination now lectures the continent on human rights. The velvet glove of "fundamental rights" hides the iron fist of homogenisation.
 
The ECB: The Monetary Absolute
The ECB is unaccountable power in its rawest form. The eurozone surrendered monetary sovereignty to an institution whose governing council deliberates in secret, cannot take instructions from any government, and has, in crisis, dictated austerity to elected parliaments in Greece, Italy, and elsewhere. A currency governed by bankers without mandate is the ultimate symbol of the modern inversion: the merchant's logic usurps the royal function, the quantitative rules the qualitative absolutely. The ECB holds the strings of national solvency; democratic choices that displease the Frankfurt technocracy are punished by market pressure and liquidity denial. The single currency was never a tool of prosperity—it was a cage.

The Ever-Growing Union: Aggression Without End
The treaties enshrine "ever closer union." Not a poetic wish—a constitutional engine that mandates limitless expansion. The aggression of the EU does not spring from a will to organic unity. A true Imperium would honour the hierarchical articulation of peoples, nations, and functions. The EU's totalitarian impulse is that of a purely economic-ideological machine that cannot tolerate any qualitative remainder, any sacred immunity.

Hence the invasion of every sphere: working time, agriculture, state aid, environment, data, immigration quotas, foreign policy. And most visibly, migration. Mass immigration, imposed against the consent of nations and dismantling the demographic continuity of Europe, is no accident of mismanagement. It is a deliberate instrument of qualitative dissolution. The full anatomy of this transformation is laid out in Notes from a Civilization in Winter.

The proposed "chat control" regulation mandates the scanning of all private digital communications, breaking encryption under the alibi of protecting children. This is the surveillance state creeping through the back door, pushed by an unelected bureaucracy that brands every opponent an apologist for abuse. Woke liberal fascism—compulsory celebration of rootlessness, fluid identities, anti-traditional egalitarianism—is the apparatus's state religion. It is the necessary value-system of a regime that has inverted all values: the low exalted, the rooted despised, the spiritual mocked, while the administrator occupies the place once held by kings, aristocracies, and priests.

The Counterfeit Empire and the Need to Stop It
Every attempt to tame the beast from within has failed. The Commission holds the pen; the Court twists every ambiguity toward Brussels' absolute claim; the Parliament is a lobby conveyor belt; the ECB grips the solvency whip. Conferral is a fiction. Subsidiarity is a lie. The institutions are irreversible because they serve not Europe but an Atlanticist order that must prevent any true European power from arising.

The path forward cannot be a return to the liberal nation-state—that atomising, anti-traditional form that itself prepared the ground for this occupation. To clear away Brussels is not to restore the Europe of 1939; it is to open the possibility of an order that is neither the nation-state nor the managerial pseudo-empire. An order rooted in spiritual authority and qualitative differentiation, whatever shape it takes, has nothing in common with the procedural, egalitarian machine sitting in Brussels, Frankfurt, and Luxembourg.

The "ever closer union" of the treaties is a demonic parody of true unity. It will not stop on its own. It must be stopped. And after its end, the ancient, sovereign, qualitatively ordered Europe may finally breathe again.

Sunday, July 5, 2026

Civil War Comes to the West | David Betz

Recognition of the possibility of civil war in the West exists in politics and related punditry and in a range of scholarship. Many people still deny or are reluctant to talk of it. Perhaps they fear a kind of ‘security dilemma’ that might occur; if people become convinced that civil war is coming because important people say so they might behave in ways that cause or hasten it. Equally, one might surmise, some know the truth but are factionally invested in the conflict and are simply positioning over who will be judged by history to have fired the first shot in it.

Henry Nowak, 18, was fatally stabbed in Southampton in April 2026 by Vickrum Digwa
and controversially handcuffed by police as he lay dying, ignited nationwide riots.
 
Neither, in my view, are credible positions to hold when confronted with the unfortunate reality. Theory is generally clear and convincing about the conditions under which civil war is likely to occur. Walton concluded that in any year just under four per cent of the countries in which the conditions of civil war were present would experience it. Accepting this, even as something of a pessimistic baseline, would suggest over the coming decade the collective West is in deep trouble. Moreover, there is little reason to hope that should one kick off in one major country its consequences would not spread more widely to others.

Civil War in Britain: The Why, The How, The When.

Colin Brazier, July 2, 2026.
 
Moreover, it is not simply that the conditions are present in the West; it is, rather, that the conditions are nearing the ideal. The relative wealth, social stability and related lack of demographic factionalism, plus the perception of the ability of normal politics to solve problems that once made the West seem immune to civil war are now no longer valid. 
 
Organized and directed polarization: liberal 'Left', radical 'Islamism', and 
patriotic 'far-right', all infested with Zionist agents, fanning the flames.
 
In fact, in each of these categories the direction of pull is towards civil conflict. Increasingly, people perceive this to be the case and their levels of confidence in government would seem to be declining even more in the face of the apparent unwillingness or inability of leaders to confront the situation honestly. The result, society-wise, is a reinforcing spiral calling to mind the opening lines of Yeats’ famous ‘The Second Coming’.

Turning and turning in the widening gyre
The falcon cannot hear the falconer;
Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold…

The fact of the matter is that the tools of revolt in the form of various appurtenances of modern life are just lying around, knowledge of how to employ them is widespread, targets are obvious and undefended, and more and more formerly regular citizens seem minded to take the shot.

Assume—based on recent statements by credible national political and academic figures—that at least ten European countries face the risk of violent civil conflict. The table above lists fifteen; discard any five you consider least plausible. Even then, the probability of such conflict occurring in at least one of the remaining countries within five years is 87%—rising to 95% if all fifteen are included.
‘Normalcy bias’ is a concept originating in disaster management that refers to the way in which people sometimes fail to react in a timely manner to warnings of imminent danger. The defense establishments of the West ought to guard against a tendency to disbelieve or to minimize the threat of internal conflict. The matter is that conditions which are generally agreed to be indicative of the potential for civil war are vividly present across a range of states which have for a long time been thought beyond such sort of conflict.

      » Configured for civil war. « 
In June 2026, an attempted decapitation of an Irish Belfast man by a Sudanese 'asylum seeker' sparked viral outrage
that rapidly escalated into anti-immigrant riots, arson, and widespread disorder across Northern Ireland. 

Strategic studies may be quite caught off guard, moreover, for two other reasons. First, civil wars are little studied in the same manner as interstate wars. The literature on civil wars is extensive, including important works on its causation, resolution, social origins, outcomes, post-war rebuilding and so on; but it is rarely studied, as is ‘normal war’, from the perspective of military strategy—in other words, how it is or should be fought. The work of Stathis Kalyvas, the most astute contemporary observer of the ‘logic’ of civil wars, is a rare exception.
 
All ingredients in play.
 
However, second, even Kalyvas just over a decade ago concluded that in the long view, civil wars were in decline. His further point, though, was that civil war had undergone three major transformations over the last 200 years to, in the last instance, a form which he struggled to describe—one far less ordered and conventional. That form is becoming evident. To suggest that civil war is imminent and ascendant and precisely in parts of the world thought, heretofore, to be the wealthiest and least restive—is contrary to expectation—but that is where we are.

Quoted from:
David Betz (2023) - Civil War Comes to the West. Part 1 and Part 2.
Military Strategy Magazine, Volume 9, Issue 1, summer 2023, pages 20-26. 
Military Strategy Magazine, Volume 10, Issue 2, spring 2025, pages 6-16.  
 
See also:
David J. Betz is Professor of War in the Modern World in the Department of War Studies, King's College London where he heads the MA War Studies program. He is also a Senior Fellow of the Foreign Policy Research Institute.

Thursday, April 23, 2026

Suicide by a Thousand Cuts: EU Migrant Population Hits Record 64.2 Million

Immigration to the European Union has surged to historically high levels, reaching a total of 64.2 million foreign-born residents in 2025. According to the Centre for Research and Analysis of Migration, which utilizes Eurostat and UNHCR data, this represents a dramatic climb from the 40 million recorded in 2010 and a year-over-year increase of 1.6 million people. 
 
"Agents of Deveolpment," preparing for a crossing from the French coast toward the UK. 

To put this in perspective, approximately one in seven people residing in the European Union was born in a country other than the one where they currently live. The growth trend over the last 15 years highlights a significant shift in the bloc's composition.
 
French President Emmanuel Macron and Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis seated in Athens’ ancient
Roman Agora ruins during a public dialogue in April 2026, captioned "The Europeans." An image perfectly
emblematic of the EU: Weak men in fancy suits amidst the ruins of a civilization built by saner minds. 
 
 
Number of individuals born outside their country of residence
(including those with unknown birth country) in the EU, 2010-2025
 (excluding Portugal due to missing data).

 Number of immigrants in EU countries with the largest immigrant populations, 2010-2025.
 
Number of individuals born outside their country of residence in the EU, 2010-2025.
 
In 2010, the foreign-born population represented approximately 9% of the total EU population; by 2025, that share has risen to 14.25%. This presence is characterized by heavy geographic concentration, particularly in nations like Germany, where nearly 18 million foreign-born residents out of a total population of 83.6 million bring the local percentage to approximately 21.5%. 

Population Division, UN DESA, New York, March 21, 2000.
 
Resolution adopted by the UN General Assembly on the "Global Compact for Safe, 
Orderly and Regular Migration," A/RES/73/195, Marrakesh, Morocco, December 19, 2018. 
 
» 
The 2030 Agenda recognizes... migrant women, men and children... as agents of development. « 
 
This shift also carries a distinct demographic impact. While the median age of the broader EU population reached 44.9 years in early 2025, 72% of the foreign-born group in Germany is of working age, contrasting sharply with the aging domestic profile of the bloc. These figures demonstrate that migration is not just increasing in volume, but is fundamentally reshaping the labor and age structures of the Union's largest economies.

Immigrant Population in 2025 by EU country (% of total population).
 
The Geography of Concentration
A small number of countries handle the vast majority of arrivals and residency stocks. Germany continues to be the primary destination, hosting nearly 18 million foreign-born residents, of whom 72% are of working age. Meanwhile, Spain has emerged as the leader in recent growth, adding 700,000 residents in a single year—roughly one-third of the entire EU’s annual increase—bringing its total foreign-born population to 9.5 million (20%). While Germany and Spain account for nearly half of the total increase, smaller states like Luxembourg, Malta, and Cyprus are experiencing the most significant pressure relative to their population size.
 
Ranking of EU27 countries by total migrant inflows, 2024.
 
Ranking of EU27 countries by total migrant inflows per 1,000 inhabitants, 2024. 
 
Asylum applications follow a similarly concentrated pattern, with four nations receiving nearly three-quarters of all claims. Spain leads the applications with 141,000, drawing heavily from Latin America, followed by Italy with 127,000 and France with 116,000, both of which exhibit diverse source-country patterns. Germany received 113,000 applications, primarily from conflict-driven regions such as Syria and Afghanistan. While larger nations take the most applications in absolute terms, smaller countries often bear a greater burden relative to their population.
 
Countries of Origin of First-Instance Asylum Applicants, 2025.

 
Socio-Economic Strain and the Housing Crisis
As migration reaches these new peaks, official data points to a severe mounting strain on living conditions across the bloc. In 2024, 8.2% of EU residents were considered overburdened by housing costs, spending at least 40% of their disposable income on rent or mortgages. The crisis is particularly acute for the youth, with nearly one in ten people aged 15 to 29 facing a similar housing cost burden. Furthermore, 16.9% of the population now lives in overcrowded households, and 9.2% are unable to adequately heat their homes.
Refugees as a Share of Total Population, 2025: Germany hosts the most (≈2.7 million), more than double Poland (≈1 million), followed by France (≈751,000), Spain (≈471,000), and Czechia (≈381,000). Italy (≈314,000), Austria (≈281,000), and the Netherlands (≈263,000), while most others have fewer than 200,000. Totals include refugees, people in refugee-like situations, and displaced persons from Ukraine under temporary protection.
Recently, European Council President Antonio Costa has emphasized that housing affordability is now "at the core of people's disillusionment with democratic institutions." Spot on, Mr. Costa... these economic pressures, combined with concerns over public security, services, and the cost of living, have fueled the rise in anti-immigration sentiment across EU member states and the UK. While the EU allocates approximately 2% of its seven-year budget to migration and "border management," the bulk of the financial and social costs are currently borne by individual national governments. 
 
billion—more than twice the German federal government's total annual budget.
 
Now just imagine—due to a prolonged general economic crisis and decline—what will happen once national administrations are no longer able to milk their native populations for hundreds of billions of euros and can no longer redistribute enough protection money to millions of formerly pampered, predominantly male, military-age "refugees" and "migrants" from dozens of Muslim countries destroyed by U$raHell, UK, NATO, and the very EU… they may suddenly start helping themselves otherwise.
 
Most urgent EU priority instead: Drone production and another €90 billion "loan" for Ukraine.

Geopolitical Tensions and 'Defense' Realities
The official EU migration narrative is now inextricably linked to Russia... Russia's support of Syrian "dictator" Assad, the Libyan "Gaddafi regime," and "Putin's unprovoked aggression" against Ukraine. The EU currently hosts approximately 4.35 million Ukrainian nationals, with Germany serving as the largest host at over one million people. However, the political climate is shifting as domestic hospitality begins to wane. Berlin and Kyiv are now coordinating efforts to facilitate the return of military-age Ukrainian men to their home country's meat grinder as losses mount at the front.
 
Though this be madness, yet there is method in’t.

Simultaneously, the EU—getting ready for "war with Russia by 2030"—is pivoting toward a more aggressive "defense" posture. Through the recently launched €800 billion EU “ReArm Europe / Readiness 2030” plan, member states are significantly increasing "defense spending" to counter perceived Russian aggression. 
 
 Militarism, war, deindustrialization, mass-migration, inflation, debt, impoverishment,
corruption, energy and food shortages: All ingredients in place for a perfect storm in the EU.
 
Moscow has dismissed these security concerns as "nonsense," suggesting that EU governments are using the "threat narrative" to distract their citizens from internal domestic failures and the growing complexities of their deliberately self-fabricated "Agenda 2030" replacement migration crisis. 
  
This is what the invasion looks like in April 2026. Thanks to Pedro Sánchez, all these
people will soon receive residence permits. Spain's socialist government approved
a mass regularization, offering one-year renewable permits to around 500,000 
undocumented migrants. The end of Spain. The end of Europe.
 
See also: