Wednesday, August 8, 2012

W.D. Gann's Natural Trading Days

From Spring Equinox on March 20th, the Sun has moved 135 degrees of longitude (solar degrees) or 140 calendar days into Tuesday, August 7th. 

 
W.D. Gann always said the year begins on March 21st (not January 1st) and that this was a very important seasonal time. He used geometrical divisions of the solar year (solar degrees of longitude AND calendar days) to ascertain turning points in financial markets. 

Dates 45, 90, 135, 180, 225, 270, and 315 solar degrees from Vernal Equinox (= 0 degrees Aries) are what he called Natural Trading Days.  

Though 15, 22.5 and 45 degrees also may coincide with changes in trend (CITs), Gann stressed the importance of the cardinal points (90 degrees apart). 225 degrees is 0.618 of a solar year.  
 
He also used multiples (squares) of 90 and 144, i.e. 90, 180, 270 etc. and 144, 288, 576, 720. CITs may also occur every 30 degrees (Sun moves into the next sign of the zodiac).

 
Since the Sun moves at different speed, e.g. 45 degrees not always equals 45 calendar days. For calculation an ephemeris is needed (e.g. HERE or HERE). The dates of Vernal Equinox, Summer Solstice, Autumnal Equinox and Winter Solstice slightly change over time (see HERE).

Vernal Equinox in 2012 = March 20th 
Summer Solstice in 2012 = June 20th 
Autumnal Equinox in 2012 = September 22nd 
Winter Solstice in 2012 = December 21st

W.D. Gann's Reading List

In 1946, aged 68, W.D. Gann produced a reading list for his students:



Since Gann’s death in 1955 this reading list has generally been overlooked by Gann enthusiasts because the constituent books have been difficult or expensive to obtain. With the exception of 3 books (see below - highlighted in grey). None of these 3 missing titles is even listed in the Library of Congress Online Catalog. However, copies of all other 76 books from Gann’s recommended reading list are now available free-of-charge and for the benefit of all Gann enthusiasts.

NUMEROLOGY
Numerology by Clifford Cheasley
Philosophy Of Numbers by Mrs L Dow Balliett
Number Vibration In Questions And Answers by Balliett
The Day Of Wisdom According To Number Vibration by Balliett
The Kabala Of Numbers (Part One) by Sepharial
How To Play The Races And Win by Mark Mellen
The Kabala Of Numbers (Part Two) by Sepharial
The Mysteries Of Sound And Number by Sheikh Habeeb Ahmad
Numerology For Everybody by Montrose
The Tarot Of The Bohemians by Papus
The Power Of Numbers by Numero
Numerology Made Plain by Ariel Yvon Taylor

ASTROLOGICAL
Horary Astrology by Robert DeLuce
World Book Of The Ages From Adam To The Millennium by H J Kerns
Raphael’s Pythoness Of The East by Raphael
Raphael’s Book Of Dreams by Raphael
Raphael’s Mundane Astrology - Part 2 - Part 3 by Raphael
Zodiac And Bible by Fannie Muller  Copy Not Yet Available
Mars The War Lord by Alan Leo
Ogilvie’s Astrological Birthday Book by Leo Bernart
Sepharial’s Astrology - Part 2 - by Sepharial
Astrology Explained by Sepharial
Astrology, Its Techniques And Ethics by C Aq Libra
Key To The Bible And Heaven - Part 2 - by Ludwig B Larsen
Science And The Key Of Life - Part 2 - 3 - 4 - 5 - 6 - 7 - by Alvidas
The Wheel Of Life Or Scientific Astrology - Part 2 - 3 - 4 - 5 - by Maurice Wemyss
Raphael’s Book Of Fate by Raphael
Guide To Astrology by Fred White
Law Of Values by Sepharial
The Silver Key by Sepharial
Fortunate Hours by A E Partridge
Directional Astrology by Sepharial
The Stars, How And Where They Influence by L Edward Johndro
The Earth In The Heavens: Ruling Degrees Of Cities by L Edward Johndro
Rectification Of The Horoscope by Robert DeLuce
Astrology For All by Alan Leo
The Secret Of The Ages by Robert Collier
The Science Of Foreknowledge by Sepharial
The Astrological Ready Reckoner And Student’s Assistant - Part 2 - by Sepharial
Your Stars And Destiny by Paul Councel
Manual Of Astrology - Part 2 - 3- 4 - by Sepharial
Textbook Of Astrology - Part 2 - by A J Pearce
The Witness Of The Stars by E W Bullinger
Solar Biology by H E Butler
Cosmic Symbolism by Sepharial
Popular Astronomy by Flammarion And Gore
Eclipses In Theory And Practice by Sepharial
Sun Spots And Weather by W T Foster
Popular Astrology For Everybody by Fredrick Hathaway     Copy Not Yet Available
 
SCIENTIFIC AND MISCELLANEOUS
The Candle Of Vision by “A E”
The Path To Wisdom by Richard Lynch
The Doctor Prescribes Colors by Edward Podolsky
Cosmic Causation In Geophysics by Paul Councel
The Master Key Of Destiny by Gregorius
Evolution And Reincarnation by Essie Ducquan                  Copy Not Yet Available
Miracle Of The Ages by Worth Smith
The Kybalion by The Three Initiates
Sixth And Seventh Books Of Moses
Mysteries Unveiled by William A Redding
Pax Tecum Or Peace And Relaxation Through Technique And Truth by Henry Casper
Faith As A Constructive Force by Swami Paramananda
Oracles Of Nostradamus by Charles A Ward
The Sickle by William W Walter
Lessons In Truth by Emilie Cady
Secret by Wesley W Stout
Open The Door by Wilfred Brandon
The Proofs Of Astral Influence On Man by Paul Choisnard
Spiritual Radio by Archbishop Du Vernet
Yoga System Of Study by Yoga Hari Rama
The Law Of Psychic Phenomena by Thomas Hudson
Power Of Will by Frank Channing Haddock
Oahspe by Dr John Newbrough
Philosophy Of Natural Magic by Henry Cornelius Agrippa
The World Book Of The Ages From Adam To The Millennium by H J Kerns
Bible Mystery And Bible Meaning by Thomas Troward
God-Man: The Word Made Flesh by George W Carey
Tertium Organum by P D Ouspensky
The Chemistry And Wonders Of The Human Body by George W Carey
The World’s Greatest Thought Discovery by Mack Stauffer
The Goal Of Creation - Part 2 - by Edmund Shaftesbury

Tuesday, August 7, 2012

Sunspots & Stocks

There is a correlation between the Sunspot Cycle and the Stock Market: Since 1933-34 all bull market highs (= start of a bear market) occurred 0-13 months after the peak of the Solar Cycle (List):
  • HIGH of Solar Cycle #17 in 4/1937 = bear market starts in the Dow Jones 8/1937 (+4 months)
  • HIGH of Solar Cycle #18 in 5/1947 = bear market starts in the Dow Jones 6/1948 (+13 months)
  • HIGH of Solar Cycle #19 in 3/1958 = bear market starts in the S&P 500 8/1959 (+6 months)
  • HIGH of Solar Cycle #20 in 11/1968 = bear market starts in the S&P 500 12/1968 (+1 month)
  • HIGH of Solar Cycle #21 in 12/1979 = bear market starts in the S&P 500 11/1980 (+11 months)
  • HIGH of Solar Cycle #22 in 7/1989 = bear market starts in the S&P 500 7/1990 (+12 months)
  • HIGH of Solar Cycle #23 in 3/2000 = bear market starts in the S&P 500 3/2000 (+0 month)
In early 1968 the quasi gold standard was more or less abolished, which lead to the inevitable expansion in money supply and inflation. Since that time every solar top made a bubble burst, in 3 of the 4 cases even in the same or following month which is incredibly precise:
  • HIGH of Solar Cycle #20 in 11/1968: stock market bubble bursts 12/1968 (the S&P 500 high of late 1968 was only exceeded nominally but not in real terms for decades)
  • HIGH of Solar Cycle #21 in 12/1979: commodity bubble bursts 1/1980
  • HIGH of Solar Cycle #22 in 7/1989: Japan bubble (stocks & real estate) bursts 12/1989
  • HIGH of Solar Cycle #23 in 3/2000: stock market bubble bursts 3/2000
The more sun-spots, the more important for financial markets. The solar super-storms of 1859, 1921 and 1989 went along with inflation peaks (Credits: Manfred Zimmel):
  • September 1-2, 1859 (highest inflation 1810-1910).
  • May, 1921 (highest inflation 1860-1940).
  • 1989 (highest inflation since mid 1960s).

The Peak of the current Sunspot Cycle #24 is projected for spring 2013 (HERE). More related online resources: Solar Cycle Progression - Monthly SSN - Calculated annual average SSN - Solar Cycle start – end months, mid-point

In 1965 Charles J. Collins presented his investigation on "The Effect of Sunspot Activity on the Stock Market" (reprinted in the March 1966 of the 'Cycles' Magazine). His theorem is (briefly stated) the following:
(1) An important market peak has been witnessed or directly anticipated when, in the course of each new sunspot cycle, the yearly mean of observed sunspot numbers has climbed above 50.
(2) In each solar cycle, the largest stock market decline, in terms of percentage drop, comes after the sunspot number, on an annual basis, has climbed above 50.
HERE

HERE


Another pattern of stock market tops about 2.5 years before the Sunspot Peak is based on a 11-year smoothing of the data yielding slightly different highs compared to nominal prices (HERE):



Jeffrey Owen Katz and Donna L. McCormick  developed a profitable Trading System based on Sunspot numbers (HERE & HERE p. 198 ff.):
Like  seasonality  and  lunar phasesolar  activity  appears  to  have  a  real  influence  on some markets, especially the S&P 500 and Minnesota Wheat. As with lunar cycles, this influence is not sufficiently strong or reliable to be a primary element in a portfolio trading system; however, as a component in a system incorporating other  factors,  or  as  a  system  used  to  trade  specific  markets,  solar  activity  is  worth attention. We personally do not believe solar influences directly determine the market.  We  do  suspect  that  they  act  as  triggers  for  events  that  are  predisposed  to occur, or as synchronizers of already-present market rhythms with similar periodicities. For example, if a market is highly over-valued and unstable, as was the S&P 500 in October 1987, a large solar flare might be sufficient to trigger an already-imminent crash.

The observation that sharp down-turns can occur after solar flares has been supported.

Flares are the most powerful and explosive of all forms of solar eruptions, and the most important in terrestrial effect. Large flares release energy equivalent to the explosion of more than 200 million hydrogen bombs in a few minutes' time, sufficient to meet mankind's energy demands for a 100 million years (HERE - HERE - HERE).

HERE
HERE

Monday, August 6, 2012

STD Red Week (August 6 - 10)

For previous Short-Term-Delta Red Weeks in the S&P 500 see also HERE

STD Red Weeks oftentimes are trenders from Tuesday open to Friday open.  Monday and Friday often reverse the Tuesday - Thursday trend. This is the STD Red Week's pattern:



Alex Roslin's - COTs Timer (Aug 4)
Smart Money Commercial Hedgers dump S&P 500, COT signal flips to bearish

David Hickson - Hurst cycles (Aug 4)
We are expecting the 80-day cycle peak to form in the US markets soon, after which there will be a fall into the 80-day cycle trough which is expected in late August.
[Hurst triad] lines are presently projecting a target for the peak of 1400-1420.

Mike Burk - Seasonality (Aug 4)
As measured by the S&P 500 August has been, by far, the strongest month of the 4th year of the Presidential Cycle. I expect the major averages to be higher on Friday August 10 than they were on Friday August 3.



www.chartsedge.com
www.alphee.com
www.astrocycle.net
The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) broke above resistance from the July highs
and remains in an uptrend, but a spinning top formed on Friday.
These candlesticks show indecision and the prior two foreshadowed
pullbacks within the uptrend [Arthur Hill]

SPX vs George Bayer's Rule #1 - Mercury Turning Direct

SPEED OF MERCURY IN GEOCENTRIC LONGITUDE
WE TAKE Raphael’s geocentric Ephemeris for this purpose, looking up page 26-29. the value we have to use is given in the second last column on these pages. This speed changes from day to day. Periodically the speed comes to a stand-still. At such times the planet moves from a direct motion into a retrograde motion or from a retrograde to a direct motion, see illustration No. 2 below. The extreme speed of Mercury is 2degrees 12’, however at times this extreme speed is reached at 2 degrees 4’. 
It is advisable to plot this Mercury speed on K&E paper through an entire year and note the effect of such changes. We obtain tops or bottoms.
It is not a law that gets one rich quick, but one in which several contracts can be taken and held a few days. When the previous movement is down, Wheat must be bought on weakness of the day; if the market moves upward prior to change of Mercury’s speed, short positions must be taken on strength during the day mercury changes its speed.
[George Bayer (1940): Stock and Commodity Traders´ Hand-Book of Trend Determination. Carmel, California; p. 13]
 
2010-09-12 (Sun) 17:57:00 = MERCURY (D)
2010-12-10 (Fri) 06:47:00 = MERCURY (R)
2010-12-30 (Thu) 02:19:00 = MERCURY (D)
2011-03-30 (Wed) 15:49:00 = MERCURY (R)
2011-04-23 (Sat) 04:59:00 = MERCURY (D)
2011-08-02 (Tue) 22:40:00 = MERCURY (R)
2011-08-26 (Fri) 16:49:00 = MERCURY (D)
2011-11-24 (Thu) 02:04:00 = MERCURY (R)
2011-12-13 (Tue) 20:49:00 = MERCURY (D)
2012-03-12 (Mon) 02:44:00 = MERCURY (R)
2012-04-04 (Wed) 05:07:00 = MERCURY (D)
2012-07-14 (Sat) 21:08:00 = MERCURY (R)
2012-08-08 (Wed) 00:28:00 = MERCURY (D)
2012-11-06 (Tue) 17:39:00 = MERCURY (R)
2012-11-26 (Mon) 17:54:00 = MERCURY (D)
2013-02-23 (Sat) 04:35:00 = MERCURY (R)
2013-03-17 (Sun) 15:05:00 = MERCURY (D)
2013-06-26 (Wed) 08:03:00 = MERCURY (R)
2013-07-20 (Sat) 13:08:00 = MERCURY (D)
2013-10-21 (Mon) 05:17:00 = MERCURY (R)
2013-11-10 (Sun) 16:15:00 = MERCURY (D)
2014-02-06 (Thu) 16:33:00 = MERCURY (R)
2014-02-28 (Fri) 09:01:00 = MERCURY (D)
2014-06-07 (Sat) 06:53:00 = MERCURY (R)
2014-07-01 (Tue) 07:41:00 = MERCURY (D)
2014-10-04 (Sat) 11:43:00 = MERCURY (R)

Sunday, August 5, 2012

Element One & Element Eight



Universes create other universes - a snow flake under a microscope shows this fractal pattern - each part is itself an ice crystal, and therefore can be a centre of growth. It can pull in material from outside, and grow.

Hydrogen is the universal ONE. It is the first element on the periodic chart. It takes 90% of the universe, leaving only 10% for all the other 143 possible remaining elements. H is the most appropriate symbol for the ONE, for this letter is the 8th letter of the European alphabet, as it is also of the Runic, as well as of the Egyptian and Greek.
In a hydrogen-atom the phase velocity difference between the velocities of the orbits of the proton vs. the electron is 8 = 8 hz = 1 / 0.125. Hydrogen resonates fundamentally at note C = 8 hz = Unity = the golden 7 + 1. The various renderings of H, show it into archaic times, to have the DNA H-bond shape, which only unzips at 8hz, H’s fundamental frequency. 

  
"Space is filled with a network of currents which transfer energy and momentum over large or very large distances. The currents often pinch to filamentary or surface currents. The latter are likely to give space, as also interstellar and intergalactic space, a cellular structure."
Hannes Alfvén, Swedish electrical engineer, plasma physicist and winner of the 1970 Nobel Prize in Physics

"The whole of space is filled with electrons and flying electric ions of all kinds. We have assumed that each stellar system in evolution throws off electric corpuscles into space. It does not seem unreasonable therefore to think that the greater part of the material masses in the universe is found, not in the solar systems or nebulae, but in "empty" space."
Kristian Birkeland (1913 HERE)

WATER is the union of the gaseous elements ONE and EIGHT = O = Oxygen.  One molecule of water contains hydrogen and oxygen in a 1:8 ratio by mass. This is due to the law of multiple proportions which basically states that when elements combine they do so in a ratio of small whole numbers.  

1 + 8 = 9 = the most worldly and sophisticated of all numbers. Of all the single digit numbers, 9 may be the most profound. Composed of 3 trinities (3 x 3 = 9), 9 represents the principles of the sacred Triad taken to their utmost expression. 9 x 9 = 81 = the mass of the Earth is approximately 81 times that of the Moon.
"[This] would be unprofitable if it did not lead us to appreciate the wisdom of our Creator,  and  the  wondrous  knowledge  of  the  Author  of  the  world,  Who  in  the  beginning created the world out of nothing and set everything in number, measure and weight, and then in time and age of man formulated a science which reveals fresh wonders the more we study it."
Hrotsvitha of Gandersheim (935 – 1002)

Thursday, August 2, 2012

The Electric Universe


What is wrong with present-day accepted astrophysics ?

It is not scientific. In today's world many people characterize themselves as being 'scientists'. Only those who always carefully follow the scientific method are deserving of that title. Modern establishment astrophysics fails the test in several ways.
 
Scientists are distinguishable from artists, poets, musicians, and others in that they use what is known as the 'scientific method'.  It is not that 'inspiration' or 'the muse' is not valuable in science, it is - but it is not the starting point of what we call science.  In the process called the scientific method a true scientist will:
  • Observe nature - carefully record what is seen.
  • Seek patterns in the observed data - put numbers on the data - fit equations to those numbers.
  • Generalize those equations into a word description of the process - this is a hypothesis.
  • Carry out experiments and/or gather independent data to see how well the hypothesis predicts future observations and results. This is called "closing the loop" on your hypothesis.
  • Reject, or modify the hypothesis if the experiments show it falls short of success in these predictions.
  • Only after the results of several experiments have been successfully predicted by the hypothesis, can it be called a theory.
If two different theories predict a given phenomenon equally well, the simpler theory is probably the best one. This principle is called Occam's Razor.

Theories can never be proven to be correct - some other mechanism entirely may be the cause of the observed data.  But theories can be disproved if they fail to predict the outcomes of additional experiments. Such theories are termed to be falsified. Sometimes the scientific method as described above is called the empirical method.
 
The Deductive Method
As an alternative to the empirical method, there is a method of deriving theories from assumed generalizations about the universe.  This is called the deductive method.  In this process one starts with a "law of nature" or "obviously correct" generalization about the "way things work" and deduces (reasons out - derives) its consequences in detail.  A hypothesis arrived at via this method is promoted to the status of being a Theory if a large enough body of experts 'accept' it.  Thus, in this method, a vote of the experts determines if a theory is correct.  Once such a theory has been accepted it is not easily rejected in light of conflicting evidence; it is, however, often modified - made more complex - and, unfortunately, new data is often selectively chosen to support it.

The selection and publication of only the data that support the accepted theory is expedited by the "peer review system".  If the experts who have accepted a given theory control both the funding of future research and also what gets published, there is little chance for conflicting viewpoints to develop.
 
Pseudo Science
Some hypotheses, when presented by august, well established scientists, are given credence without anyone questioning whether the hypothesis has been developed using the scientific method. Yet in most cases it is not difficult to check whether or not the scientific method has been used correctly.  For example, consider the hypothesis that "There are gnomes in my garden that always make themselves invisible when anyone tries to observe them."  Clearly, no conceivable experiment or observation could falsify that statement.  This is evidence the hypothesis comes from a pseudo-scientific source.  Legitimate theories must be falsifiable.
 


The Problem Faced by Modern Astronomy is that Experiments Are Not Possible 
Because the stars are light years away, we cannot hope to be able to go there and perform experiments on them. Until relatively recently even the planets were out of our reach.  Thus, cosmologists never get to complete the scientific method.  We cannot 'close the loop' in cosmology. But, if we cannot test our hypotheses, how can we reject or modify them?  The answer, of course, is that astrophysicists, more than those in any other branch of science, must be exceedingly careful to continually examine their hypotheses in light of any new data.  It is the contention of the author [...] that they have not been doing this.

Einstein was a purely theoretical physicist - he never went near a physics lab.  He conducted only 'gedankenexperimente' - thought experiments - in order to arrive at his general theory of relativity (GR).  This is a perfect example of the deductive method at work.  Its use is exceptionally dangerous in an area like cosmology wherein it is difficult to falsify any theory.  Now that the GR Theory is accepted by establishment astrophysics, any new data (such as photographs of the astronomical object known as the "Einstein Cross") are discussed only within the framework of this complicated theory.

The images of the four small objects in the Einstein Cross when looked at only from this viewpoint, are considered to be supporting evidence for the GR Theory.  However, they could just as well be interpreted as being evidence supporting a much simpler cosmological theory.

Evidence contradictory to the accepted Big Bang Theory, such as images of connections between objects that have widely different red shift values, are dismissed as being mirages.
 
False Assumptions in Astrophysics
Most of today's accepted astronomy/cosmology is a set of deductively arrived at hypotheses precariously based on two false assumptions :
  1. Electrical fields, currents, and plasma discharges are not important in space. Only gravitational and magnetic fields are important.
  2. If the light from an object exhibits redshift, the object must be speeding away from us.  And its distance from us is directly proportional to that speed.
Both of these assumptions are demonstrably wrong. They have been, and continue to be, contradicted by actual observations of the sky.  Those observations tell us that
  1. The universe is highly electrical in nature.
  2. Redshift is more a measure of an object's youth than its velocity.
Invisible Entities Invented To Patch Up Failing Theories
The theories that have sprung from these faulty, overly complicated mathematical models have given birth to such arcane notions as: curved space, neutron stars, WIMPs (and now WIMPZILLAS), MACHOs, several different types of black holes, superluminal jets, dark energy, and magnetic field lines that pile-up, merge and reconnect.  All of these inventions are fictions put forth by astrophysicists in desperate efforts to defend their theories when faced with contradicting observations.  None have ever been observed or photographed.  Many of them are demonstrably impossible.  But their existence is repeatedly invoked to explain new observations and measurements that contradict the enshrined theories of modern astronomy without resorting to the use of electrical principles.

We continually hear statements such as, "There must be a black hole at the center of that galaxy." (Otherwise we cannot explain its level of energy output.)  "There must be invisible dark matter in that galaxy." (Otherwise we cannot explain how it rotates the way it does.)  "Ninety nine percent of the universe is made up of dark energy." (Otherwise the Big Bang Theory is falsified.)  "Pulsars must be made up of strange matter." (Otherwise we might have to look for an electrical explanation). We are also asked to believe that two objects (like galaxy NGC 4319 and its companion Markarian 205) are not connected together even though we have photographs of the connection. So, we are told not to believe in the things that we can see, but that we should believe in the existence of the magic entities that their theories require - even though we cannot see or measure them.
 
Astrophysicists Denigrate Outsiders - Then Quietly Adopt their New Ideas
There have been several instances in the past when the astronomical mainstream has long rejected an idea that is later accepted.  There is usually no public disgrace for the in-group who were on the wrong side of the issue.  When, after being viciously denigrated, the validity of a new idea becomes inescapably obvious, a few years go by, and then we quietly hear: "Well, Everyone has known for a Long Time that this (the new idea) was always true."  An example of this is Hannes Alfvén's discovery of plasma waves. This relatively recently discovered property of plasmas is now being wrongly used by astrophysicists to explain away all sorts of (what is for them) enigmatic phenomena - such as the temperature inversion in the Sun's lower corona.
 
The Future
In a few years, perhaps we will hear: "Well, Everyone has known for a Long Time that quasars are not extremely distant, and red shift is more a measure of the youth of an object than its recessional velocity and distance.  No one said for sure there ever was a Big Bang.  It was just another false theory. Everyone has known for a Long Time that electric currents flowing in plasmas produce many of the mysterious observed solar and cosmic phenomena."  And we will not hear of machos, wimps, neutronium, dark energy, and broken magnetic field lines from any serious scientist ever again.

Time will tell. Will the founders of the Electric / Plasma Universe Theory be acknowledged as having been the pathfinders they are? Or will lesser men quietly adopt these ideas without giving credit to their originators and then claim them to be 'well known'? 


More HERE & HERE & HERE & HERE