Thursday, June 2, 2016

SPX vs CBOE Options Equity Put/Call Ratio

CBOE Equity Put/Call Ratio is at a current level of 0.55, down from 0.58 the previous market day and up from 0.54
one year ago. This is a change of -5.17% from the previous market day and 1.85% from one year ago.

Tuesday, May 31, 2016

The Limits of Oil’s Rebound

Anatole Kaletsky (May 30, 2016) - [...] "From now on, the costs faced by these marginal producers will set the top and bottom of oil’s trading range. Low-cost producers in Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Iran, and Russia will continue to pump as much as their physical infrastructure can transport as long as the price is higher than $25 or so. The price needed to elicit enough production from US shale and Canadian tar sands to meet strong demand may be $50, $55, or even $60, but it is unlikely to be much higher than that.

Unpredictable shifts in supply and demand will, of course, cause fluctuations within this trading range, which past experience suggests could be quite large. In the 20-year period of competitive pricing from 1985 to 2004, the oil price frequently doubled or halved in the course of a few months. So the near-doubling of oil prices since mid-January’s $28 low is not surprising. But now that the $50 ceiling is being tested, we can expect the next major move in the trading range to be downward." 


Crude oil increased 0.62 USD/BBL or 1.26% to 49.98 on Tuesday May 31 from 49.36 in the previous trading session.
Crude oil lost 10.26 USD/BBL or 17.03 % during the last 12 months from 60.24 USD/BBL in May of 2015.
Historically, Crude oil reached an all time high of 145.31 in July of 2008 and a record low of 1.17 in February of 1946.
Bull Markets in Oil tend to be short, whereas Bear Markets last 11 to 28 Years. So far we are in the 8th year
(HERE).

SPX | Narrowest 2 Year Percent Range of Monthly Closes

Credits: Nautilus Research

Tom McClellan: "Such low volume episodes are typically followed by uptrends. Exceptions noted."
Credits:
Tom McClellan

Gold vs MER in SAG + GEM | MER @ MIN + MAX SUN | MOO 000° MAR

Calculated and charted with Timing Solution.

Monday, May 30, 2016

Gold vs Pluto Retrograde | Sun 000° + 180° Pluto

Martin Armstrong (May 31, 2016): "All the big manipulations have ALWAYS been to the UPSIDE, not to the downside. It is absurd to
pretend that gold is suppressed perpetually so they can make money in some strange way."
Calculated
and charted with
Timing Solution
.

Friday, May 27, 2016

SPX vs True Node Speed = Mean Node Speed + Extremes | June 2016


SPX vs Jupiter – Saturn Cycle | June 2016


SPX vs Mercury – Venus Cycle | June 2016


SPX vs Mercury Speed | June 2016


SPX vs Lunar Declination Acceleration Cycle | June 2016


SPX vs Lunar Orbital Speed | June 2016


SoLunar Map | June - July 2016

Upcoming turn-days are: May 28 (Sat), Jun 01 (Wed), Jun 05 (Sun), Jun 09 (Thu), Jun 12 (Sun), Jun 16 (Thu), Jun 20 (Mon),
Jun 23 (Thu), Jun 27 (Mon), Jun 30 (Thu), Jul 04 (Mon), Jul 08 (Fri), Jul 12 (Tue), Jul 15 (Fri), Jul 19 (Tue), Jul 23 (Sat),
Jul 27 (Wed), Jul 30 (Sat), Aug 03 (Wed).
Previous SoLunar Maps HERE

Cosmic Cluster Days | June - July 2016

The basic assumption here is that heliocentric and geocentric angles between planets are related to financial market movements.
A signal is triggered when the composite line of all aspects breaks above or below the Average Cosmic Noise Channel.
Upcoming Cosmic Cluster Days (CCDs) are: May 29 (Sun), Jun 10 (Fri), Jun 13 (Mon), Jun 14 (Tue), Jun 24 (Fri), Jun 26 (Sun), Jul 06 (Wed),
Jul 09 (Sat), Jul 11 (Mon), Jul 14 (Thu), Jul 22 (Fri), Jul 23 (Sat), Jul 26 (Tue), Jul 27 (Wed), Jul 29 (Fri), Aug 01 (Mon).

Monday, May 23, 2016

The 162-Year Cycle in Stocks and Commodities Since 1555 | Ahmed Farghaly

 Stock Prices 1509 to date.
 
The chart above begins at the millennial low in 1555, followed by a remarkable sequence. I first discovered the 162-year cycle by drawing a trendline between two consecutive lows of the 54-year cycle, specifically the lows of 1842 and 1896. A break in such a trendline suggests that a larger cycle has turned, and indeed, the trendline was broken during the 1929-1932 crash. This provided me with an early indication of the 162-year cycle's presence. I assumed it was a 162-year cycle because the first 54-year cycle used to draw the trendline marked a rally off a bear market that lasted 64 years, making it an ideal starting point. I then confirmed my hypothesis by examining wheat prices and, later, commodity prices, which led me to conclude that the existence of the 162-year cycle is no longer a hypothesis but a fact.

The combined chart offers further evidence of this cycle’s presence. Notice how neatly the first 324-year cycle subdivides into two 162-year cycles. The trough of the 162-year cycle is precisely in the middle of the 324-year cycle. Upon closer inspection, you’ll see that both 162-year cycles subdivide into three 54-year cycles, reinforcing our conclusion that the Kondratieff wave is the third harmonic of the 162-year cycle. After the trough in 1784, we experienced three 54-year cycles, ending with the crash of the late 1920s, which marked the trough of the 162-year cycle. What followed was the greatest bull market in modern history, and it is unfortunate that we are nearing its end. The peak of the last 324-year cycle occurred in the third 18-year cycle of the second 54-year cycle of the second 162-year cycle, which is where we find ourselves today. The likelihood of further translation beyond the previous 324-year cycle is slim, considering that the influence of the 972-year cycle has leveled out since the 1930s.

The Elliott Wave structure is also quite interesting. What stands out on the chart is the fact that we had a fifth-wave extension in the entire advance since 1784. Even more intriguing is that the move from 1932 also featured a fifth-wave extension. According to the wave principle, fifth-wave extensions are typically followed by crashes. Commodities offer excellent examples of this phenomenon, as their dramatic crashes are often the result of a fifth-wave extension.