Showing posts with label Regime Change. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Regime Change. Show all posts

Thursday, September 12, 2024

Failed US Regime Change Attempt in Mexico

The adoption of a constitutional reform in Mexico ended in riots. Demonstrators seized the Mexican Senate building and tried to disperse lawmakers. But unsuccessfully, two thirds of the senators managed to vote in favor. The reform will affect the Supreme Court of Mexico - its members will now be directly elected. This has become a priority for Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador. After all, the judges blocked many of his initiatives in every possible way. López Obrador's successor, Claudia Sheinbaum, won the recent elections, and his Morena party won two-thirds of the seats. Now they are going to change the judges.
 
 USAID financed demonstrators storm the upper house and enter the chamber.
 —  September 11, 2024.

At the moment, the courts are increasingly involved in politics, and all over the world - from the USA and Brazil to Poland and Israel. Therefore, the struggle for control over the judicial system is intensifying everywhere. In Mexico, López Obrador's reforms are causing acute dissatisfaction with Washington. The American ambassador even called them
"the erosion of democracy." Well, through USAID and funds from the United States, the activities of opposition NGOs are sponsored, whose participants just stormed the Senate building on September 11. And, unlike the storming of the US Capitol on January 6, 2021 this did not cause any criticism from Democrats in the United States. 
 
Mexico has already curtailed military cooperation with Washington and refuses GMO grain from the United States. During the López Obrador era, Mexico began to drift towards China. The pro-American candidates in the recent elections have flown by. So López Obrador has to rock the boat through the riots - and at the same time the US writes Mexico off the "list of democracies." López Obrador in response refuses to help with the migration crisis, which is already destabilizing the United States itself.

 
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Sunday, August 18, 2024

Mexico Pivoting Away From Washington’s Grip

In Mexico City, Washington is accused of sponsoring opposition NGOs such as Mexicans Against Corruption and Impunity (MCCI) through USAID programs and various private foundations, including Ford, Rockefeller, and Soros. The US government has sent nearly $5 million to MCCI since 2018, according to Mexico’s Financial Crimes Unit (UIF). Outgoing President Andrés Manuel López Obrador, also known as AMLO, whose term ends on September 30, 2024, has publicly condemned these actions, stating that his Foreign Ministry has sent a diplomatic notice to the US and that he will write directly to President Joe Biden about it. 

 Outgoing Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador
and President-elect Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo, in the shadow behind him - August 16, 2024.

This accusation is part of a broader pattern of strained relations between the US and Mexico under López Obrador's presidency. Mexico has curtailed military cooperation with the United States, closing its airspace to American military aircrafts and reconnaissance drones. Last year, López Obrador accused the US Department of Defense of spying and vowed to restrict military information after Mexican-related intelligence documents were leaked. 
 
 » [...] if a foreign enemy would dare to profane Your ground with their sole, think,
Oh beloved Fatherland!, that Heaven has given a soldier in every son. War, war! With no mercy  [...] «
Mexican National Anthem

The current row is part of a general pivot away from the US, driven by López Obrador and his left-wing populist MORENA political party, which has repeatedly asserted that Mexico will not be subservient to the US.

■  Last year, López Obrador rebuked “irresponsible” calls from some US lawmakers advocating military action against drug cartels. “We are not going to permit any foreign government to intervene in our territory,” he said.
■  López Obrador conditioned helping Biden with his southern border migrant crisis on lifting sanctions from Cuba and Venezuela – both of which are Mexican trading partners.
■  Mexico slashed imports of genetically-modified US corn in favor of boosting local production, sparking a trade dispute.
■  Mexico joined other major Latin American countries in pushing back on efforts by the US and EU to diplomatically isolate President Nicolás Maduro after the Venezuelan president was reelected to a third term in office.
■  Mexico has refused to support NATO’s proxy war in Ukraine and declined to impose economic sanctions on Russia.
■  Trade volume between Russia and Mexico increased by 9.8% in the first four months of 2024 compared to the same period in 2023, amounting to $759.99 million.
 
while Mexico remains chained by treaties to the sinking dollar-ship.
 
 
In the broader geopolitical context, Mexico is increasingly engaging with BRICS+ to diversify its global alliances and reduce reliance on the United States. This strategic shift includes substantial investments in the Mexican economy and strengthening ties with China, which offers significant trade and investment opportunities. Mexico's collaboration with BRICS+ presents huge potentials for growth in technology, energy, and agriculture. 
 
In 2024 IMF and World Bank rank Mexico 14th globally in terms of nominal GDP,  and 9th in terms of PPP.

The US attempts to influence the outcome of Mexican elections through its NGOs have been unsuccessful, and President-elect Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo, who received 60% of the vote in the June 2, 2024 elections, is expected to continue López Obrador’s policies. Should Donald Trump win the next US presidential election, the relationship between the two countries could deteriorate further, with heightened conflicts related to trade, migration, weapons- and drug-trafficking, potentially bringing the two nations to the brink of direct military conflict. Balancing the
BRICS+ alliances with existing commitments will be crucial for Mexico's strategic and economic goals.

Monday, February 6, 2017

The Wheel of Time: Raymond H. Wheeler's Drought Clock | Peter Temple

Dr. Raymond H. Wheeler (1892-1961) developed a clock to forecast recurring droughts, which coincided with colder climates. He found that every 170 years, the climate would turn colder and dryer, social mood would turn negative, civil wars would proliferate, and the economy would suffer from financial collapse.


Although he completed his work during the 1930s, 40s, and 50s, he was able to accurately forecast the second half of the 20th century, based upon the cycles that occurred over and over again like clockwork from 600 BC through today. The Drought Clock shows shorter 100 Year Cycles of cold and dry which are compounded by the larger degree 170 Year Cycle, when they happen at the same time. You can see that he forecast the start of a cold, dry 170 Year Cycle just before the year 2000. Cold dry periods in history have almost always led to droughts (limited access to food), civil wars, riots, and economic recessions or depressions [...] The 515 Year Climate Cycle is also a major Civilization Cycle where virtually everything around us changes (more details Here + HERE). 
 
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Sunday, June 28, 2015

The 100 Year Cycle - Climate, Regime Change & War │ Raymond H. Wheeler

In the 1940s, while at the University of Kansas, Professor Raymond Holder Wheeler undertook an immense project: he summarized all of recorded history. He compiled 2,500 years of records from which he derived many brilliant hypotheses. At one point, he employed as many as 200 scientists. He concluded that climate and human history were intimately related. He discovered many related cycles but declared the 100-Year Cycle to be the most important.
 
 » The turning points between old and new civilizations
occur when cold-dry times reach their maximum severity. «
 
The climate of the Earth shifts between warmer and colder periods, often in rhythmic cycles. Throughout history, there has been a sequence of four seasons across many diverse time periods, including 1,000 years, 500 years, 100 years, 10 years, 1 year, and likely others. The Earth’s coldest periods were typically followed by excessive warmth. Such was the case when temperatures shifted from the Medieval Warm Period, between 900 and 1300 A.D., to the sudden ‘Little Ice Age,’ which peaked in the 17th century. Since 2,500 B.C., there have been at least 78 major climate changes worldwide, including two major shifts in just the past 40 years. History shows that nations are generally built during transitions from cold periods to warm, when human energy levels temporarily reach a maximum, while nations tend to crumble during shifts from warm to cold. International wars typically occur during warm periods, while civil wars tend to occur during cold ones. Each phase, whether warm or cold, begins wet and ends dry. Cold droughts and periods of civil war generally coincide. A major cold drought and civil war period occurs approximately every 510 years, with less severe ones generally occurring every 170 years (the 171-Year Neptune-Uranus Cycle). There are also shorter rhythms: The generally warmer period at the beginning of the 20th century ended during World War II. Totalitarianism is typical of late warm periods, while democracy tends to revive during cold times.

Raymond H. Wheeler (1943): The Effect of Climate on Human Behavior in History.
In: Transactions of the Kansas Academy of Science, Vol. 46.

Wheeler’s cycle averages 100 years, although it can range from as short as seventy years to as long as 120 years. The cycle is divided into four phases, which are not precisely equal in duration, but in general, the cycle includes both a warm and a cold phase, with each phase having a wet and a dry period (18.6 Lunar Nodal Cycle).

 
(1) The Cold-Dry Period (early 1870s to early 1900s and early 1960s to late 1970s): This is a time of general individualism, marked by weak governments, migrations, and other mob actions such as race riots. Class struggles and civil wars, ranging from palace intrigues to revolutions, occur during the general anarchy of the cold-dry period. People tend to be cosmopolitan, borrowing culture and living by superficial and skeptical philosophies. As this phase nears its end and transitions into the next phase, leadership emerges and societies stabilize; new governments are formed, and nationalistic spirit revives. Wars take the form of expansion and imperialism. In the transition from the cold to the warm era, human energies operate at a high level (similar to the spring of the year). Learning is revived, genius emerges, industrial revolutions take place, crops thrive, and times are prosperous.

Temperature fluctuations over the past 20,000 years show the abrupt cooling and warming events during the Younger Dryas. The late Pleistocene cold glacial climate, which built immense ice sheets, terminated suddenly about 14,500 years ago, causing glaciers to melt dramatically. About 12,800 years ago, after approximately 2,000 years of fluctuating climate, temperatures plunged suddenly and remained cool for 1,300 years. The mammoths disappeared around the same time, as did some Native American and Siberian cultures that had thrived by hunting them. About 11,500 years ago, the climate warmed suddenly again; the Younger Dryas ended, and the Holocene Interglacial Period began. Soils developed, and agriculture and permanent settlements became possible due to relatively high temperature levels over the past 10,000 years. Large parts of Northern Africa began to dry up and convert into desert during the Egyptian Warm Period, 3,300 years ago. Animals and humans moved to the Mediterranean, the Nile Valley, and the Sahel (Arabic for 'shore'), the southern edge of the Sahara Desert.
 
(2) The Warm-Wet Period (early 1900s to early 1920s and late 1970s to late 1990s): This period marks the climax of the trends initiated in the previous transition, with achievement becoming more organized and an emphasis placed on cooperation and the integration of views and efforts rather than individual accomplishment. Interest shifts toward the state rather than the individual, and governments become more rigid and centralized.

(3) The Warm-Dry Period (early 1920s to mid-1940s and late 1990s to early 2020s): As the climate shifts from a general warm-wet phase to a warm-dry phase, the rigid governments of the previous period become despotic, and police states emerge. Personal freedom declines, and behavior patterns become more introverted. In art, surrealistic, impressionistic, and nihilistic patterns develop, while in business, aggressiveness and self-confidence decline, leading to subsequent depressions and the collapse of economic systems. During the transition to the next cold period, wars reflect the culmination of the decadence of the previous period, becoming the cruelest type of struggle, with entire populations slaughtered or enslaved. However, as temperatures fall and rainfall increases, activity picks up, crops improve, and a general revival begins.

(4) The Cold-Wet Period (mid 1940s to early 1960s and mid 2020s to late 2040s): This phase sees the reemergence of individualistic philosophy, with decentralizing and reorganizing trends in government and business. It is a period of emancipation and natural behavior; art becomes straightforward and simple, and scholarship follows mechanistic lines. These trends continue to grow until they reach a climax of general anarchy during the cold-dry period that follows. In 1949, Wheeler indicated that the U.S. was passing through a cold-wet period and heading for a cold-dry period.

 Dr. Wheeler with one of his "Big Books".

Within these 20-30 year periods or ‘seasons,’ there are smaller ‘seasons’—in the same sequence—that account for variations within each larger ‘season.’ Once this 100-Year Cycle is complete, it blends into a larger cycle. We are currently witnessing the conclusion of a 500-Year Cycle and the breakdown of global 'Western' hegemony—similar to the early 16th century in Europe (491-Year Neptune-Pluto Cycle or 3 Neptune-Uranus Cycles). The early 1500s were characterized by technological innovation, population growth and migration, productive and capitalistic expansion, religious secessionism and wars, regime changes and breakdowns, as well as the emergence of new empires and global players. Today, we are clearly in another warm period that began in the mid-1970s and peaked around 2000.